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Veeteede Amet · 28. oktoober 2019
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6-3-1/2421
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6-3 Eesti vete navigatsioonimärgistuse kavandamine ja hooldamine
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6-3-1 Projektid, detailplaneeringud ja muud dokumendid ehitustegevuse kohta veeteedel ja navigatsioonimärkide vahetus läheduses
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6-3-1/2019
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Ott Küüsmaa (Veeteede Amet, Kasutajad, Hüdrograafia ja navigatsioonimärgistuse teenistus, Laevateede osakond)
Lahendamise tähtaeg
18. november 2019

Failid

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Sisu (failidest)

Vastavalt nimekirjale Meie 25.10.2019 nr 7-12/19/2208-6 Leedu üleriigilise planeeringu piiriülene keskkonnamõju hindamine Vastavalt piiriülese keskkonnamõju hindamise konventsiooni (Espoo konventsiooni) keskkonnamõju strateegilise hindamise protokollile on Leedu informeerinud Eestit sellest, et on koostamas uut pikaajalise perspektiiviga üleriigilist planeeringut. Praeguseks on planeeringu menetluses jõutud etappi, mille raames on välja töötatud riigi ruumilise arengu strateegilised suunad (alternatiivid) ning territooriumi kasutamise prioriteedid (nn kontseptuaalne raamistik). Tulenevalt käimasoleva etapi kõrgest tasandist ning tuginedes kättesaadavale teabele on Leedu arvamusel, et planeeringuga ei kaasne olulist piiriülest keskkonnamõju naaberriikidele. Siiski on Leedu edastanud võimalike kommentaaride tegemiseks vastavate materjalide ingliskeelsed kokkuvõtted (üleriigilise planeeringu kontseptuaalne raamistik ning selle keskkonnamõju strateegiline hinnang). Lähtuvalt Leedu määratud vastamistähtajast on võimalikud kommentaarid kõnealuste materjalide kohta oodatud 18. novembriks 2019. Täiendav teave on leitav veebilehel http://www.bendrasisplanas.lt/2019/06/03/en/ . Lugupidamisega (allkirjastatud digitaalselt) Sigrid Soomlais keskkonnakorralduse osakonna juhataja Lisad: 1) kontseptuaalne raamistik; 2) keskkonnamõju strateegiline hinnang Rainer Persidski 626 2973, [email protected] Narva maantee 7a/ Tallinn 15172/ 626 2802/ [email protected]/ www.envir.ee/ Registrikood 70001231 SUMMARY / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework SUMMARY The preparation phase of the conceptual framework The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania 1 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework CONTENTS INTRODUCTION 3 1. THE FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES OF THE SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT OF LITHUANIA VALUES, AMBITIONS, VISIONS 4 2. DEVELOPMENT PRINCIPLES OF SPATIAL SYSTEMS AND TERRITORIAL ELEMENTS 8 2.1. Development of spatial systems 8 2.2. Development of territorial elements 13 2.3. Development of specific topics 17 3. ALTERNATIVES FOR SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT AND FUNCTIONAL PRIORITIES 18 4. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS 43 CONCLUSIONS 46 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework INTRODUCTION The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania (hereinafter referred to as the ‘CPRL’) is the main territorial planning document of the country, which provides a long-term perspective for the development of the country’s territory. The planned territory is the land and sea territories of the Republic of Lithuania, including the territorial sea of the Republic of Lithuania, as well as areas where Lithuania exercises exclusive sovereign rights, i.e., the contiguous zone and the exclusive economic zone (EEZ), including the continental shelf. The CPRL will become one of the primary development documents of the country and the solutions provided therein will be valid until 2030, and the proposed vision will be valid until 2050. The conceptual framework of the CPRL establishes general objectives of the development and provides solutions that define the main directions of the development: the spatial development directions of the country’s territory are specified, and functional priorities of the usage of remote habitat territories are determined therein. The preparation phase of the conceptual framework is primarily based on the extensive and comprehensive analysis of the current state of the CPRL and its findings, referring the fundamental values of the country and society. Possible challenges are also considered when developing the conceptual solutions: the inevitable economic changes, the increase in the regional exclusion, ageing society, climate change and its consequences, and so on. The need of the State to create, approve and have a master spatial planning document of this scale can be realised only by the collective work and consensus of the people supporting the development of the State. The State territorial development is associated with awareness of objectives and principles of sustainable development. In the vision of the CPRL, the sustainable development of the territory of Lithuania is perceived as the entirety of all areas and territorial components, operating in an integrated system and ensuring the creation of sustainable environment. The conceptual framework provides for two alternatives: the implementation of the first one ensures the sustainable development of the country’s territory, thus achieving a high level of quality of life throughout the country. The leading solutions of the conceptual framework of the CPRL are highlighted in the text using a particular font – ‘a solution of the conceptual framework’, while the solution of the territorial and spatial structure is additionally marked with the ‘T ‘symbol. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework 1. THE FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES OF THE SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT OF LITHUANIA VALUES, AMBITIONS, VISIONS The exact path of the State’s life is difficult to determine due to many internal and global factors; therefore, the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania is drafted based on values to preserve and foster them. First of all, the universally acknowledged principles of sustainable development are highlighted, such as a modern state, which we should use and develop. The general principles are associated with the values of the Lithuanian state and its people, which are laid down in the Constitution of the Republic of Lithuania or, in a fragmentary way, in various strategic documents of the State. It is essential to supplement the values by current events that highlight the development objectives of the State: to achieve the national well-being, preserve identity, be recognisable in Europe and globally. Thus, the values of the State and its people are the foundation of Lithuania’s ambitions and vision up to 2050. The universally recognised sustainable development scheme is linked to the values- ambitions-and-vision pyramid. This link shows the interconnections of the State’s values with the outlook direction of the State’s development and the people’s well-being of people in the long term. The value pyramid model consists of: ● Core values of the country (including the Constitution of the Republic of Lithuania and strategic documents of the country stating the value aspects); ● Ambitions to foster national values, i. e. what we want to achieve. ● Visions that help to implement the ambitions. Fig. 1. The sequence of elaboration (adaptation) of the sustainable development model CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Values. Economic, social and environmental balance and the sustainable operation of areas by creating positive synergies to satisfy the people’s well-being in the present without compromising the future possibilities for the people’s well-being are considered as one of the cornerstones of the country’s Sustainability, balance and harmony development. Typical values are complemented and elaborated by the values of the State and its people, reflecting the country’s specificities. Ambitions. The aim of fostering the value basis is to create a high quality of life, which in turn produces high levels of prosperity in the country. High quality of life is inseparable from responsible consumption/usage, as well as the preservation and the further development of the identity of the environmental, region and High living quality today and tomorrow the State. Responsible consumption/usage is must be expressed in both daily and systematic actions, and only the overall outcome will result in prerequisites for sustainable development of the country. Vision means the implementation of ambitions. Three key aspects have been identified for the concept (aspiration) of Lithuania’s territorial development (after the evaluation of the specificity of the comprehensive plan it was sought to examine aspects related to territorial expression or closely related to territorial decisions): ● vibrant urban structures; ● viable ecosystem; ● efficient bio-production territories. Through implementing these visions by appropriate measures, the State’s competitiveness will be increased, the high- quality living environment (in its broader sense) will be created, the consequences of climate change will be mitigated, and the adaptation to climate change will be achieved. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Following the sustainable development model, the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania identifies and elaborates the main ambitions and visions providing directions for the development of the country’s territorial elements and spatial systems. The following vital spatial systems are distinguished in the conceptual framework: ● urban system; ● economic system; ● mobility (communication system); ● engineering systems; ● ecosystems; ● resources. National territorial elements are differentiated to: ● Intensive clusters of urbanisations (urban and suburban areas); ● Agricultural areas; ● Sea and coastline; ● (Relatively) natural territories. The matrix of spatial systems and territorial elements (see Fig. 2) integrates the spatial (spatial systems) and territorial (territorial factors) aspects. The spatial systems are analysed, tested and planned to employ all territorial elements, by underlining their influence, identifying their importance and determining the impact. Different values and expressions of various systems within individual territorial components indicate their weight and significance throughout the spatial structure of the country. Additionally, the derivative and critical topics of the conceptual framework of the CPRL are laid down and examined: ● Identity of the State and the regions; ● Competitive regions, a competitive State; ● Significant objects of the country. Fig. 2. Interaction diagram of spatial systems and territorial elements. (Intensity of the operation of the systems in territorial elements: – small, – average, – large) CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Spatial systems and territorial elements elaborate the visions that reflect and support the three underlying development visions of the country: a viable urban structure, efficient bio- production areas, vibrant ecosystems, which are more or less expressed in the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania, thus acquiring a specific territorial location. Fig. 3. Integration of values, ambitions and visions. The provisions for the development of the country listed in the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania must be specified not only at the solution-specification stage but also in the lower-level territorial planning documents, projects, all kinds of strategic documents. The different layers of papers must be interconnected in the original ideological context. Territorial planning Strategic Projects, implementation documents documents programmes National programmes National Regional programmes level Regional Local programmes level Local level Projects Fig. 4. Integration of values, ambitions and visions in various levels. The visions of the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania are long-term, and they may be reached in certain phases by successive increments, which are named at the solution-specification stage of the plan. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework 2. DEVELOPMENT PRINCIPLES OF SPATIAL SYSTEMS AND TERRITORIAL ELEMENTS 2.1. Development of spatial systems Urban system. To achieve the ambitions and visions set in the conceptual framework, the urban system must create the most favourable conditions for social, economic and environmental development of the country and high quality of life of people. Viable urban structures are built based on sustainability, activity balance and sustainable environment. The vision of the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of Lithuania is implemented through developing and consolidating the viable urban structures, in the development and the shaping of: ● Polycentric urban system; ● Hierarchic regional centres and their communication system; ● The synergy of centres and the method of affordable services and activities; ● Compact urban development; ● The integrity of the State’s urban system with the EU. The polycentric principle is also a continuous solution of the current Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania. The importance of the polycentric development is being emphasised in Europe as well, namely in the EU strategic documents: European Spatial Development Perspective (1999), EU Territorial Agenda 2020 (2011), the Pact of Amsterdam enshrined in the EU Urban Agenda (2016). The Lithuanian urban system operates within the hierarchic polycentric urban structure T, consisting of urban centres and their functional relationship. Urban centre levels are associated with the appropriate coverage of services – the highest level of urban centres host the broadest range of services, the lowest level – the essential functions. Urban centres are designated to the following standards: ● Metropolitan centres: cities active in the international system of urban centres (interconnected by functional relations of the worldwide level), hosting the most extensive range of services (from those satisfying imperative and relatively frequent needs to services of relatively scarce demand), and acting as the country’s economic engines. ● Regional centres: cities that play a particularly important role in regions, providing services ranging from those satisfying imperative needs to those of relatively medium and even partially small demand, and concentrating high service capabilities, economic activities and jobs. ● Regional local centres: cities with the primary objective of maintaining the viability of the regions by working with regional centres, providing services of not lower than relatively frequent demand. ● Local centres are concentrating essential services and serving the smallest territorial units (having evaluated the level of the Comprehensive Plan, the general principles of development are defined for the level of local centres, their significance in the urban public system is understood, but it is not discussed in detail). A group of demand attributed to urban centres is designated as a minimum service package for the appropriate level of support, and there are no limitations expected under favourable CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework demographics and economic conditions, to focus higher-level services. The contents of the needs are output-like, and it may be specified or revised in the solution stage of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania. Urban structure elements are operating in the EU context. The urban system that is appropriately developed with viable urban structure components – sustainable urban centres – creates possibilities not only for the country to generate wealth, reduce regional exclusion but also to encourage prosperous functioning as a full-fledged EU member for increasing the competitiveness of the State The latter aspect is a particularly crucial structural part of the Lithuanian urban structure, which is visible in the international context. It is established that the European urban architecture integrates the main urban centres – partner cities Vilnius- Kaunas, Klaipėda, partner cities Šiauliai-Panevėžys T. These urban centres are connected with those of the other Member States by the main transport corridors located in the following directions: North-South (Corridor I (Via Baltica), planned Rail Baltica, and the corridor branch IA (Via Hanseatica); East-West (Corridor IX (branch IXB – Kyiv-Minsk-Vilnius-Klaipėda and branch IXD – Kaunas-Kaliningrad)), as well as pertaining water and air transport links. Through the usage of transport, energy and engineering systems nodes, science and innovation centres and other relative and absolute advantages, the critical Lithuanian urban centres need to break into international value-added chains, transport and logistics, ITT, financial and other service systems. Lithuanian universities available in the most significant urban centres of the country, targeted by their potential, research institutes and innovative business infrastructure, knowledge and competences, become a favourable medium for the active cross-border cooperation, determining the growing investment in R&D activities. Fig. 5. Diagram of urban structure operating at the international level Strengthening of the main urban centres, i. e. Vilnius and Kaunas, Šiauliai and Panevėžys, which have a relatively small distance from each other (in the European context) from the territorial point of view by applying the principle of partnership complementarity is planned. Through exploiting the existing and expected infrastructure, the synergy created by large cities partnerships would increase the country’s overall weight at the international level, which would, in turn, generate all-round benefits for the internal well-being of the country and improve the quality of life in the regions. Vilnius-Kaunas and Šiauliai-Panevėžys partnerships must be carried out: ● through the creation of a high level of connectivity, allowing them to overcome the distance between them at the lowest possible time expenses; CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework ● by ensuring passenger multi-modal travel opportunities (increasing interoperability and compatibility between international and national public transport services, and so on, and facilitating the movement of tourists); ● by ensuring access to multi-modal and inter-modal cargo logistics; ● by developing a typical relationship with innovation policy systems; ● through the ongoing cooperation between research and innovation centres by an increasing degree of integration of economic, social, cultural and other fields in the international level; ● by positioning itself in a global context as a platform with a suitable environment for start-ups with advanced e-services. The main activities of Vilnius-Kaunas and Šiauliai-Panevėžys partnerships, which are distinguished in the conceptual framework, are elaborated in the solution-specification stage by supplementing them. Although the main urban centres and transport corridors active at the international level are highlighted, it shall also be noted that it is essential to shape the regional and lower-level contacts with neighbouring states (especially the EU Member States) urban centres, regions that could contribute to the growth and singularity of Lithuanian cities. Spatial economic systems. The spatial, financial system is the geographic network of economic activities which are using connections of urban, transport, energy, and engineering systems as well as natural and human resources. The objectives of the spatial, financial system are to ensure sustainable economic growth and competitive development of the country’s economy. In order to achieve these objectives, the following key elements are necessary: a convenient infrastructure for land, air and water transport, an efficient energy infrastructure, efficient exploitation of natural and cultural, fossil fuel resources, high quality digital infrastructure, and human resources meeting the needs of the labour market to be ensured by the efficient training and further development system for qualified personnel, high standards of quality of life, and the business environment promoting private initiative. Communication system/mobility. The communication system is considered to be one of the most important engines driving the country, which in the long run will contribute to the economic value, competitive advantage and visibility in the international context, security in the country, and the maximum quality of life. In the Comprehensive Plan, the communication system is viewed not as the consequence of the performance and quality of the individual components of the communication system but as the entirety of its parts, the effectiveness of which is based on the multimodality and intramodality properties, the absolute interaction and synergy between components of the communication system, which ensures the uninterrupted connectivity between cities, regions, countries through rationally located communication facilities (ports, stations, logistics centres, traction facilities) and efficient communication between them (including ITS and other organisational/management tools and services). A cohesive, economically efficient communication system is safe and has a minimum negative impact on the human health, which is proposed in the Comprehensive Plan to be shaped through the rational use of land, cohesive travelling processes, maximum traffic safety performance, partnership-based economic efficiency and timely implementation of innovative clean logistics processes. The country's transport system consists of economic activity corridors T, ensuring significant international relations and accessibility of the most active country commercial centres, and internal country corridors T, which are essential for the availability of the countries urban centres and individual territories. The Comprehensive Plan highlights the rational territorial CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework location of the infrastructure objects (ports (air, maritime (internal waters)), land transport stations, objects ensuring multimodality and intramodality)T, which would provide a regular, sustainable operation and focus on the possibilities and economic activity for a particular use. Specific types of transport or individual infrastructural connections in a system like are not significant until they are interoperable with the others. Ecosystem – a geo-ecological compensation system. A full-fledged, viable, resistant and functional eco-compensation system (NC) (green infrastructure), which in the long run should ensure the ecological stability of the entire territory of the Republic of Lithuania, which would create real preconditions for the development of sustainable bio-productive economy and conditions for healthy living and favourable recreation in urban, agrarian, marine, and natural landscapes T. Forest plays a crucial role in eco-compensation, so it is necessary to increase the overall forestry of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania up to 38–42%. It is expedient to differentiate the norms of the target forestation, taking into account the nature and intensity of the natural basis of the morphological areas of the landscape, the type of industrial use and the degree of ecological risk. It is also necessary to separate the forest functions by distinguishing the parts of stands that should be protected, adapted for recreation and assigned to intensive economic use. The protected areas of Lithuania amount to 17.64% of its territory. Following the European Union recommendations (EU Strategy 2020), the target area of protected systems should be 18%. The conceptual framework of this plan provides for solutions related to the establishment and conversion of protected areas T (continuity of the solutions of the previous comprehensive plan). It is planned to establish the State parks under sophisticated protection: The National Park of Sudovia and eight new historical State parks. It is also designed to transform some regional parks into historic national parks and to establish new local parks. To ensure the maintenance and management of recreational areas of national importance, it is planned to supplement the ST system with regional recreational parks. New State sanctuaries have been proposed, paying particular attention to soil protection by developing a network of pedological sanctuaries. The development of protected areas should also be linked to the creation of new NATURA 2000 sites. Resource system. The resource system of the territory consists of non-renewable natural and renewable natural resources, as well as human-made (using natural resources) cultural resources. The primary natural resources are underground natural resources, soil, forest resources, and recreational and cultural potential generated by the totality of the natural and cultural components of the landscape. Cultural heritage resources consist of movable and immovable, intangible cultural heritage as well as the integrating cultural landscape. The conceptual framework establishes the sustainable usage of resources, preservation of cultural heritage and cultural scene, and integration thereof into other systems, so that the usage of one resource could not adversely affect the survival potential and quality of other resources, and would be territorially differentiated and prioritised taking into account their natural and cultural value and the potential economic benefits. The potential of subterranean resources, the distribution of geothermal capacities of different mineral deposits or underground depths in the country are uneven. It is the result of millions of years of development of different parts of the country’s territory, characterised by different periods, different geological (tectonic, sedimentation, geochemical, and so on) conditions. Each CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework mineral deposit is unique, occurring at a specific time, in a particular location, under particular circumstances, and is characterised by its particular spatial distribution. The abundance of subterranean resources, territorial distribution does not depend on the urban, functional or administrative division of territories. Instead, it is possible to observe inverse dependencies: areas with different subterranean resources, their abundance, value, availability of resources, differing in their usefulness or exclusivity, traditionally and historically different in their practical use, different urbanisation, technical, social, even cultural or development of engineering infrastructure. Not only their value, demand, quality, technical availability, but also environmental aspects, distances from significant users and other issues are gaining in importance in recent times. Therefore, the exploitation of explored, estimated, or forecasted subterranean resources becomes an increasingly complex ‘integral function’ that is determined by many aspects and does not directly correlate with the alternatives for the development of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania proposed in the conceptual framework of the CP. In the case of a particular choice, only the logistical aspects of the use of these resources may vary slightly, depending on the more detailed solutions of the planning stages (compared to the Comprehensive Plan). The critical determinants of the use of these resources are the quality of the raw material, its value, demand, the versatile capacity of the deposits, the profitability of extraction, the distances between raw material and production to the primary consumers, which determine not only the use of the raw materials but also the final costs and so on. However, this can only be assessed for each specific purpose of a deposit of subterranean resources about its interconnection to one particular object (a consumer of raw materials). Therefore, both the first and the second alternatives of the CPRL basically are subject to the same basic principles of the use of subterranean resources (in a broad sense) described in the conceptual framework T, which guarantee not only the national economy's supply of local fossil fuels, subterranean thermal, capacitive, etc. utilisation of useful properties, but also protection of the environment, including the underground, from pollution and other negative consequences related to the use of resources, oriented to the protection of renewable resources from exhaustion, ensuring their safe, rational and sustainable exploitation. The recreational potential of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania is formed by natural and cultured areas with natural and cultural heritage objects located there. Having evaluated the total recreational potential of the territory, it is planned to increase the importance of recreation in the general structure of the use of territories T, by distinguishing the priority territories with the maximum recreational potential. The target is to make territories that have preserved their naturalness and local cultural identity the object of recreation and cognition not only for domestic but also for foreign visitors, to increase the social-economic viability of rural settlements. It is recommended to identify several stretches of landscape with exceptional natural and cultural value, which are recreationally attractive and picturesque. Engineering systems. Engineering systems include energy systems (electricity, heat and gas), drinking water supply and wastewater management, waste management and communication. The strategic priority of energy systems for 2030–2050 is a cohesive and independent State in terms of energy. This aim will be achieved through the transition to a low-carbon economy, ensuring the Lithuanian Energy interconnection with the continental Europe (electricity and natural gas system) and the development of the liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure. The sector of water supply and wastewater management will probably face challenges of centralised water and wastewater management facilities assurance and related costs on the division of declining population. In the waste sector, in the long term the transition to a circular economy model is expected. In the communication sector, the quality of CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework electronic communication services is essential, as well as securing the development of the whole territory of universal postal services to ensure accessibility , taking into account the trend of declining population in different regions. 2.2. Development of territorial elements Successful, social, and sustainable cities Successful and sustainable cities are one of the main factors of viability in the regions of their location. The assessment of the current status of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania identifies two major development problems of Lithuanian cities: dispersive growth and shrinking. The conceptual framework suggests compact urban formation principles that represent the existing conditions for addressing civic issues and ensure further sustainable urban development T: ▪ Dense building structures are formed, according to the specifics of the structure of the city (principles and scaling of the building), the optimum density of the building is sought, the boundaries of the city are identified; ▪ Sustainable land use (mitigate adverse environmental impacts by reducing land use) and balanced diversity of land use (multifunctionality); ▪ Functional, structural, social, communication and engineering completeness and complexity of urbanised areas, reuse of brownfields; ▪ Accessibility of the recreational regions by foot and public transport (enhancing community and social interaction through public spaces, traffic calming and prioritising pedestrian areas); ▪ Priority is given to public transport in the urban transport system. The main tools of compact city formation are a consolidation of suburban structures, multifunctionality for short city trips, priority intensification, conversion of central areas, conversion of brownfields and other inner territorial reserves, high architectural quality, functional and aesthetically pleasing spaces. Priority areas for renovation and development shall be identified in the preparation of integrated spatial planning documents of the cities, as well as the planned funds for the development of these territories. Investments must be concentrated to achieve a sophisticated, compact site result. Cultural heritage in cities is seen as a resource for creating quality, sustainable environment, shaping local identity, social-economic attractiveness, and one of the factors contributing to sustainable development. The development of cities focuses on the group of solutions for increasing the quality of life T: ● There must be a harmoniously developed network of infrastructure for school and preschool education, oriented towards results and quality of education. ● The modern and accessible network of health services infrastructure. ● Empowering of active ageing. ● Inclusive culture. ● Quality public spaces and easy access to recreational areas. Public spaces must have a clear identity and integrate with the environment. Public spaces have to function as opportunities for social cohesion and local cultural expressions. ● In urban areas, biodiversity to improve the quality of the living environment, biodiversity is required, as well as living and migration conditions, and enhancement of CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework the connectivity of the remaining island-like natural elements through green connections – corridors. ● Affordable housing. It is important to emphasise that the housing support measures strategy must be consistent with the urban frame development strategy, which also covers the range of public services provided. Young families cannot be encouraged to set up where the social, engineering and communication infrastructure is underdeveloped and unintended. ● Clean city air. ● Efficient engineering infrastructure, great use of renewable energy sources, improvement of energy efficiency. ● The transition to a circular economy. ● Adaptation to climate change. At the city level, climate elements will be monitored, and emergency warning systems will be deployed, ensuring an adequate response speed. Cities will concentrate on fast-growing, knowledge-intensive services and exports, which should eventually reduce the relative weight of the currently dominant low- and medium-value-added manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, transport and logistics activities in gross domestic value-added. These structural changes in the Lithuanian economy are necessary to maintain rapid and competitive economic growth and to avoid the so-called ‘average-income traps. To promote sustainable economic development in cities, it is vital to offer infrastructure for commercial activities (FEZ, industrial-service parks, public logistics centres). Complementary strategies (e. g., Smart city, Green city, and so forth) that contribute to sustainable city development, sustainable use of resources, and reduction of GHG emissions can operate in the structure of a compact city. Organic and economic (sustainable) agriculture and vibrant rural areas. The resource management of bio-productive agricultural regions is based on the concept of differentiation of agrarian ecosystems by their geo-ecological and eco-agrarian potential, their resistance to dangerous anthropogenic interference, and the ability to assimilate or neutralise the impact T. The agricultural ecosystems of lowland moraine provide for intensive agriculture with arable priority and large-scale land use. It is recommended to develop plateaus by combining intensive and extensive agriculture for the medium-sized land use with an internal conversion priority. This covers the possibility of replacing the intensive agriculture with the extensive one and the arable farming into the non-arable or free-range farming. In the lowland moraine, it is recommended to develop extensive agriculture (for the medium-sized land use) with perennial grasslands and pastures, free-range farming, promoting internal (through the abandonment of arable agriculture and conversion to non-arable farming) and external (through the transformation of agricultural land to forestry uses or other economic activity) conversion. The sandy plains are planned for extensive agriculture on small-scale land use and the diverse nature of farming activities. Priority should also be given to the external conversion of economic activities by changing the purpose of the least productive land from agriculture to forestry. The karst area is particularly sensitive to the impact of human activities, and therefore provides a priority area for extensive organic farming with internal conversion, replacing arable farming with the non-arable one and perennial grasslands and pastures in the most sensitive areas. The solutions of the conceptual framework will create a legal basis and a landscape management tool for limiting agricultural chemistry and controlling nitrogen emissions; these measures could create actual preconditions for the restoration of biodiversity in heavily agrarian degraded areas. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework The improvement of the content of organic matter in soil and the quality of its contribution to the reduction of bio genes emissions to water bodies, the recovery of soil microbiota, the prevention in reducing soil erosion and risk of the increased soil density. The conceptual framework provides for a priority for small rural settlements for the development of their internal and external functional links with urban centres and natural territories T. Single-farm settlements are related to active farmers only. Healthy communities will in many cases, be an essential condition for the vitality of rural settlements. Cultural heritage should be protected through the enhancement and adaptation of cultural heritage sites, the promotion of continuity of traditions, the development of the infrastructure needed for heritage conservation, and the promotion of social vitality and economic utility through the development of infrastructure networks. When adapting the infrastructure for the smooth provision of high-quality cultural services in rural areas, it is essential to focus not only on the more effective dissemination of culture but also on the improvement of the social living environment. Alternative spaces, heritage sites, public spaces can be used to optimise the cultural services provided and integrate individual objects into a complex network providing socio-cultural services, and to channel funds towards content creation, provider empowerment and community engagement. To raise awareness of the value of culture and raise the level of cultural consumption, it is essential to promote access to cultural education, by providing access to cultural services for the population, especially children and young people. To this end, the potential of local communities can be harnessed by providing incentives and tools to strengthen local communities and enable them to access local cultural resources. Empowering communities to use local cultural content and resources to solve specific problems and create and maintain identities would provide essential public services at the local level and enhance the vitality of localities. Natural areas as the basis for ecological balance. The optimal landscape structure (natural, agrarian and urbanised) structure should be realised through the identification, enhancement and display of landscapes of exceptional value. The conceptual framework envisages the formation of a functional, socially and naturally viable and imaginative scene, ensuring continuity of economic activities T and creating favourable living conditions in terms of social and environmental quality, and opportunities for maintaining various elements of wildlife and biodiversity. The landscape structure should be nurtured through the upkeep of the land, its aesthetics and its historical features. Most of the Lithuanian landscape has been formed through the interaction of the natural and cultural environment. Therefore, the built cultural landscape must be protected, managed and planned in a way that is consistent with the cultural heritage and the relevant protection requirements applicable to the latter. In order to achieve an improved awareness of the standard landscape value in different ethnic regions, it is necessary to focus on the targeted representation of the cultural landscape habitats of exceptional value, the support of their specific economic use, the promotion and preservation of the landscape components specific to diverse ethnographic regions, by promoting a purposefully targeted and deliberate use rather than a strict protection. The rest of the natural landscape (wooded and swampy lake) should be managed and protected, ensuring its uniqueness and representativeness. Sustainable use of biological resources (especially forests) is essential to maintain and improve the overall condition and functionality of these areas. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Limiting the pollution of surface and groundwater from urban and agricultural areas is one of the necessary conditions for the overall vitality of the landscape. Integration of protective green spaces into the structure of farming territories would help to restore water quality in water bodies and would facilitate the restoration of hydro-ecosystem biodiversity. The natural carcass (NC) area should account for at least 65% of the country's territory T. Several directions for increasing the geo-ecological potential of the GC territories are envisaged: (a) maintaining existing potential through sustainable, economically and environmentally rational use of resources; (b) restoration of damaged and severely damaged agricultural potential through artificial and/or natural means; (c) restoring the geo-ecological potential of severely damaged and degraded the GC sites in urban areas through alternative ecological compensation measures. The restoration of the natural carcass structure of agricultural areas will create the physical conditions for increasing the geo-ecological and eco-agrarian potential of damaged and severely damaged agricultural areas, creating preconditions for the restoration and enhancement of biodiversity and creating better conditions for maintaining the fertility of agrarian land T. In natural areas, the GC development will create the preconditions for natural landscape stabilisation processes, which would ensure the preservation of the relatively natural landscape areas and, in areas with weak geo-ecological potential, the potential for their restoration T. In urban areas, to improve the quality of the living environment and to better adapt to the effects of climate change by ensuring biodiversity, the integration of preserved natural elements into green spaces – corridors – is envisaged T. Green infrastructure measures link the aspects of wildlife scattered throughout the urban areas to a single, organically functioning, urban natural frame structure. Ensuring the quality, productivity and viability of urban soil are considered to be a prerequisite for the excellent functioning of the connections. The realisation of the latter aims should contribute to the successful improvement of the quality of the urban environment, the aesthetic appeal of the city and the economic value of its parts. Responsible use of the sea and coast. Conditions necessary for the sustainable development of the Lithuanian maritime territory (seaside, high seas) and the transnational goals and objectives set out in the Comprehensive Plan: safe, clean and efficient naval transport; a coherent energy policy; a healthy marine environment; one of the essential conditions is functional environmental status for the quality of the natural and cultural resources available; sustainable fisheries and aquaculture; and climate resilience. In the system of functional zoning units of the territory plan of the Republic of Lithuania, two areas of user priority are distinguished: ● SEASIDE. Existing uses are shaped by recreation, sustainable forestry and agriculture and fishing, with priority, uses being recreation, conservation and fishing, as well as transport; ● OFFSHORE. An area where environmental interests intersect and opportunities to expand other activities are prioritised for nature conservation and sustainable use. The development of the usage structure of the sea area is determined by its relations with the urban centres of the land, especially with Klaipėda, state-category and support-type metropolitan centre, and Klaipėda port. The international East-West transport corridor, which is being formed in the territory of the sea, passes through Klaipėda. The preconditions for proper CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework development are the Šventoji-Būtingė region, where the oil terminal is already operating, the reconstruction of Šventoji port is being started, and one of the options for the construction of an external deep-water port is being explored. 2.3. Development of specific topics Strong territorial identity of Lithuania Local identity shall be developed by creating strong links between different sectors, municipal and local communities, and having regard to the social, cultural and historical patterns. Lithuania, which has different and unique ethnic regions, can create not only a local or national but also a regional cultural identity. Fostering of tangible and intangible cultural heritage, new narratives based on territorial exclusivity would contribute to the creation of the welfare of the country by establishing forms of expression of the public spirit. Fostering cultural landscape of an exceptional value must be developed by more significant opportunities for a better understanding of the protected values, promoting public awareness in respect of protected areas, and ensuring the protection of the values of protected areas, development of this system. Members of the public are not necessarily benefiting from access to the cultural and recreational services sector, but the overall awareness creates a national identity, the pride in national culture and encourages the preservation thereof for future generations. Character creates the feeling of belonging to social structures, environment or nation. Lithuania’s strategic objects. The conceptual framework describes the country’s vital objects that contains the definitions of the Law on Territorial Planning and the Law on Land Withdrawal for Social Needs in the Implementation of Economic Projects of National Importance. The list of the relevant resolutions of the Lithuanian Parliament (the Seimas) of the Republic of Lithuania and the Government of the Republic of Lithuania to recognise the economic projects of national importance projects and the resolutions of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania to recognise the projects of extraordinary national importance. A preliminary list of new strategic objects proposed by the CPRL is submitted. Competitive country. A competitive state is characterised by sustainable and balanced economic growth, the continuance of the economic competitiveness in the international environment, and average demographic and global balance of migration, having a specific provision of high-quality public health, education, security, cultural services, and efficient transport, engineering and digital infrastructure. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework 3. ALTERNATIVES FOR SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT AND FUNCTIONAL PRIORITIES ALTERNATIVE I ALTERNATIVE II General description of alternatives The first alternative of the conceptual The second alternative of the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania includes Territory of the Republic of Lithuania propose the solutions enabling to achieve the ambitions partnership principles that are active within the and visions (see Fig. 1, diagram ‘Values, current structure of the country by creating aspirations and ideas’) by developing the conditions for a more flexible adaptation to the country‘s spatial structure with ten regions, changing demographic situation, optimising namely, Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipėda, Šiauliai, resources and financial resources required to Panevėžys, Alytus, Marijampolė, Utena, achieve a high quality of life in the whole Telšiai and Tauragė. In this alternative, a territory of the country T. By facilitating priority is given to the principle of autonomy cooperation, not only urban centres but also of equitable regions, whereby public regions are strengthened. According to the investment in the territory of Lithuania is principles of this alternative, a targeted systematic distributed as evenly as possible, and a wide concentration of the country's investment should range of essential services is concentrated in be focused on the partner entities in areas and each region T. The territorial distribution of the territories which, considering their strengths and major urban centres in the ten regions is specificities, can bring the most significant benefits relatively even in the country, which makes and returns not only to the specific location but possible assumptions for the relatively equal also to the region and the State. access to regional services. The system of provision of education, health and social security Evaluating existing spatial structure and systems in services is based on the principle of hierarchical it, five partnership groups are modelled having the urban structure, which provides different levels territorial basis, creating new synergies, and of essential public services in the territories of ensuring stability in the country T: individual urban centres. However, even the ● Vilnius-Utena-Ukmergė; actual reach does not ensure the same level of ● Kaunas-Marijampolė-Alytus; public services and quality of life in the long run. ● Klaipėda-Tauragė-Telšiai; In the case of this alternative, the regional logic ● Šiauliai-Mažeikiai; and development strategy of regional centres in ● Panevėžys-Biržai-Rokiškis. Lithuania would cover the area fairly evenly with Partnerships are created by various types of medium efficiency mobility service packages, but interfaces. Through the identification of these interfaces – an absolute uniformity, certain CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework regional connections should be strengthened, aspects are assessed, having a territorial and autonomous transport corridors should be denomination and describing both existing ensured to ensure the quality of the centres. dependencies and potential opportunities: ● the physio-morphological issue describes The objective of each region is to remain a the available natural basis; centre of attraction for citizens and businesses ● territory-shaped activity potential, for alike, building on its competitive advantages and example, productive land implies agrarian creating favourable urban, transport, activity, and evocative landscape – recreation and engineering and other systems, thereby tourism; justifying its independence. The focus is on ● economic aspect – boundaries of fostering local identity through the individual functional regions according to PIT remittances of exploitation and preservation of local cultural employees (based on ‘Invest Lithuania’ resources as a factor for competitiveness. At information); present, both demographic and economic ● communication potential – when urban activity trends reveal that these regions are centres and economic areas are connected by at developing very unevenly, with different starting least two high-quality alternative transport positions and potential for future development. systems (existing and planned); Perceiving the aim of remaining a competitive ● physical contiguity – territorial contiguity state with efficiently managed public and of lower-level centres with higher-level centres. budgetary resources, this alternative runs the risk of failing to achieve sustainable It is the territorial utilisation of certain aspects, development in the long term in the absence interests and potentials that enables the sufficient demographic growth (and especially in strengthening of existing structures and the non-metropolitan areas). creation of synergies, new values that cannot be achieved on their own. Partnerships create synergies in the provision of services at the international, national or regional level, help to make more efficient use of public financial, administrative and human resources, avoid duplication of public functions in adjacent territories and support sustainable and competitive state development. The combined transport and another potential of the partner cities makes it possible and suggested to organise high-efficiency mobility services in large part of Lithuania. Provision of regions with engineering infrastructure, waste management and communication services would also be provided through priority partnerships, e. g., providing for tasks to implement the circular economy at the regional level would enable partnerships to make better use of available resources. New narratives, based not only on the distinctiveness of places but also on their relationship, would reinforce a sense of belonging to the same culture and a collective identity. This alternative aims at more straightforward and more efficient management and investment allocation. Synergies between municipalities and CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework regional development take place without changing the established administrative system. The need for system changes will become evident as the process progresses and can be modified accordingly. The solutions of Alternative II can be implemented in stages, detailing them in the solution-specification stage. In implementing the answers of this master plan, specific pilot projects may be carried out to identify realisation problems and validate best practices. Urban system and its structure For the period up to 2050, only the population of the major cities – Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipėda and their neighbouring municipalities (in total eleven districts), is projected to grow. Demographic stabilisation is forecasted in the ‘growth clusters’ Šiauliai and Panevėžys, their circular districts and the municipalities located between Vilnius and Kaunas (in total ten towns). The remaining 39 municipalities are expected to shrink. The current demographic trends are expected to stay the same until 2050; thus, maintaining structures need to be put in place to help the country rationally and optimally use its available resources, while creating an urban network of locations that will ensure the quality of life throughout the country. The conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania, taking into account the level of the Comprehensive Plan being prepared, forms solutions for the three highest standards and defines the basic principles for the local level, but they are not elaborated or graphically depicted. The conceptual framework distinguishes the supporting urban structure, which will be elaborated at the solution-specification stage. Each level of both urban centres and functional links includes objects of different potential, strengths or weaknesses. At the next phase of preparation of the master plan, these objects will be given individual development measures. Under favourable conditions, the growth of the urban structure elements – urban centres – is unrestricted; it is noted that it must be balanced, corresponding to the ambitions and visions listed in the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania. To achieve regional stability and prosperity The second alternative, while developing the throughout the country, the polycentric principle urban system, also seeks to ensure the most is applied to the functioning of urban systems – favourable conditions for the social, economic and a hierarchical polycentric urban structure is ecological development of the country and to formed. In the first alternative of the conceptual create the preconditions for a high quality of framework, the elements of the urban human life, given the negative demographic structure are associated with priority projections for 2050 – the rational and optimal use functional relationships with higher-level of available resources and the development of components, corresponding to a sequential systems that allow for quality living conditions hierarchical pyramid-type model T. This throughout the country. As a result, we must work structure operates at international, national, together to build on our shared strengths and to regional and local levels. discover the potential benefits. To achieve this, a polycentric hierarchical urban structure is developed, based on the model of an established network, which maintains the CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework homogeneous structure of residential areas and especially strengthens functional links between certain groups of elements. The introduction of the partnership principle in this framework allows for the creation of much more favourable values than could be achieved by acting alone or in a relatively individual capacity. The following levels of urban centres are determined in the alternatives: Metropolitan centres are differentiated according to their specific features: ● Capital – Vilnius; ● Transnational communication – Kaunas; ● Seaside – Klaipėda. In the first alternative, regional centres are In the second alternative, regional centres are broken down into the following types: broken down into the following types: ● Developmental type – cities that are of ● Developmental type – cities that are of particular importance to local habitats and particular importance to local habitats and operate actively according to their operate on an international level, provide capabilities on an international level, services ranging from those satisfying provide services ranging from those imperative needs to those of relatively satisfying imperative needs to those of medium and even partially small demand, relatively medium and even partially small concentrate high service capabilities, jobs and demand, concentrate high service are economic donors. These are Šiauliai and capabilities, jobs and are economic donors. Panevėžys. The functioning of these centres These are Šiauliai and Panevėžys. The has been strengthened through mutual functioning of these centres has been partnership, creating significant assumptions strengthened through mutual partnership, the support of the viability in the northern creating significant assumptions the support and north-eastern Lithuania; of the viability in the northern and north- ● Supportive type – cities that play a eastern Lithuania; particularly important role in maintaining the ● Supportive type – cities that play a quality of life in the region, provide services particularly important role in maintaining of at least relatively moderate demand. These the quality of life in the region, provide are: Alytus, Utena, Marijampolė, Tauragė, services of at least relatively moderate Telšiai, Mažeikiai; demand. These are Alytus, Marijampolė, ● Supplementary type – cities that are Utena, Telšiai, Tauragė. important for local habitats, are priority partners of regional centres and provide part of services offered by regional centres, an appropriate level of service and jobs. These are Ukmergė, Rokiškis, Biržai. Regional local centres – cities with the primary objective of maintaining the viability of the regions by working with regional centres, providing services of not lower than relatively frequent demand. Local centres – concentrating essential services and serving the smallest territorial units. Solutions at the international level of the urban structure remain the same as in both alternatives (see Chapter Development of Spatial Systems, Urban System). Ten urban centres are operating at the national The urban structure of the national level is CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework level in the urban structure corresponding to the dominated by fourteen urban centres operating in present state of the administrative division of the following groups: Vilnius-Utena-Ukmergė; the regions: three metropolitan centres Vilnius, Kaunas-Marijampolė-Alytus; Klaipėda-Tauragė- Kaunas, Klaipėda; two regional development Telšiai; Šiauliai-Mažeikiai; Panevėžys-Biržai- centres – Šiauliai, Panevėžys; five regional Rokiškis. Partnerships between urban centres support centres – Telšiai, Tauragė, Marijampolė, operating at the national level create the Alytus, Utena. Viable regional centres – factors preconditions for the higher value and quality of of regional growth and stability, creating life by using the available resources, preconditions for maintaining equal living available/developing infrastructure (from social to conditions. engineering) with fewer resources. Factors of complementarity between urban centres, co- At the regional level, urban centres at all levels distribution of services through partnerships, have their respective weight and significance in allow them to remain competitive, to respond the spatial structure of the country. In addition more flexibly to changing demographic realities to the above ten centres, 54 local, regional and to the challenges of urbanisation – to centres are planned. The importance of maintain an equivalent standard of living in the functional links between lower and higher levels country. of urban centres is emphasised. At the regional level, urban centres at all levels Although the local level is not specified, it is have their respective weight and significance in noted that area-level urban centres and links the spatial structure of the country. In addition to with higher-level centres are no less critical in the fourteen centres mentioned above, 50 local, the urban system for ensuring the quality of life regional centres are envisaged (different from the throughout the country. first option because the four local, regional centres are classified as upper-level urban centres. There are also strong links not only with the dominant urban centres in the region but also with other centres under the influence of the partnerships between the regional centres. Local level urban centres must also optimise the infrastructure needed for the quality of service provision, apply the partnership principle to maintain/develop it, and contribute to ensuring mobility, accessibility of services between local and upper-level urban centres. Urban centre partnerships do not create typical urbanisation, they do not encourage them, and urban centres are compact cities. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Country’s urban structure Alternative I Alternative II CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework ALTERNATIVE I ALTERNATIVE II Distribution of services in the urban structure The principles and objectives of the public service The principles and objectives of the public service system under Alternative I: system under Alternative II: ● Establishment of a network of ● Establishment of a network of educational infrastructure that is coherent and educational infrastructure that is coherent and oriented towards achievement and quality of oriented towards achievement and quality of education (through an incentive system). education (through an incentive system). A Existing infrastructure is used efficiently, functioning infrastructure is used efficiently, implementing the principles of integration of implementing the principles of multifunctionality functions and ensuring high availability of and integration of functions. Utilising services. Urban centres at the regional and partnerships between urban centres, local level are responsible for the efficient infrastructure requiring significant investments is operation of the educational infrastructure managed jointly (e.g., swimming pools, sports network and the quality of education services grounds, learning laboratories). within their territorial scope. ● A flexible network of pre-school ● A flexible network of pre-school education infrastructure is being developed, education infrastructure is being developed, increasing the availability of pre-school education increasing the availability of pre-school services, especially in rural areas. It creates education services, especially in rural areas. It opportunities for locally based urban centres to creates opportunities for locally based urban build compact pre-school age groups based on centres to build compact pre-school age groups existing infrastructure. based on existing infrastructure. ● There is a system of health care ● There is a system of health care infrastructure that meets the demographic infrastructure, ensuring demographic situation specifics and needs of urban centres, effectively and equal access (the exact number of inpatient utilising the specialisation of medical hospitals and the type of services provided will institutions (the number of inpatient hospitals be determined during the restructuring of the and the type of services provided will be hospital network). determined by implementing the restructuring ● The system of social services for the of the hospital network). elderly is based on a useful integrated social ● The system of social services for the services model where the social needs of the elderly is, based on a useful integrated social elderly and people with disabilities are met services model where the social needs of the through coordinated action between health elderly and people with disabilities are met and social care professionals. through coordinated action between health and In this alternative, the distribution of cultural social care professionals, by combining existing services is based on a hierarchical principle, with competencies, skills, resources and shared minimum standards for the accessibility of infrastructure. services, but to ensure the best availability and ● Cooperation between different types of quality of services in any urban centre. The urban centres in the health and social spheres is lowest level urban centres provide access to very intensive. Lack of supportive care and basic (e.g., cultural education) cultural services nursing and institutional care services in the city and the higher-level urban centres offer high are compensated by providing such services in quality professional cultural services (e.g., other municipalities. The service infrastructure services provided by national cultural shall be managed and developed for optimal use institutions). of the shared infrastructure network. ● National centres for cultural In cultural services, this alternative offers a shift competence providing services of relatively from directly performing cultural dissemination CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework scarce demand. Such centres of excellence functions in individual urban centres to could become state cultural and art institutions establishing partnerships between different operating in major cities as well as municipal levels of urban centres, allowing for a focus on institutions and cultural centres. responding and educating the needs of residents ● Regional centres of cultural through centres of different levels: competence providing services of relatively ● The national centres for cultural moderate demand. These centres act as competence are the bodies that perform their facilitators for the implementation of the basic functions at the highest level, providing expert, package of cultural facilities and should have an managerial, methodological and mentoring optimal network, differentiated according to the assistance to regional centres. Such centres of specific needs and resources of the area. excellence could become state cultural and art ● Specialised cultural institutions institutions operating in major cities as well as providing services of relatively frequent municipal institutions and cultural centres. Such demand – cultural institutions are differentiated centres would have a particular role to play in by cultural sectors and ensure the provision of implementing national priorities, coordinating services and development of a specific cultural activities and providing resources at a national branch. level. ● Local cultural infrastructure providing ● The regional centres for cultural access to essential services – local cultural competence act as facilitators and facilitators infrastructure points, providing a basic cultural for the implementation of the basic package of package that includes different service cultural services, and should have an optimal providers, regardless of legal status. network, differentiated according to the specific Summary of the conceptual solutions of the needs and resources of the area. first alternative: ● Specialised cultural institutions – cultural ● In implementing this alternative, the institutions are differentiated by cultural public service delivery model is based on the sectors and ensure the provision of services and conceptual model of the hierarchical system of development of a specific cultural branch. urban centres being formed; ● Local cultural infrastructure providing ● Urban centres of different levels within access to essential cultural services and their territory are responsible for the operation providing cultural education functions – local of the network of essential public services cultural infrastructure points providing a basic (according to the level of a hierarchy of cultural package that includes different service functions assigned to them) and the quality of providers, regardless of legal status. services provided; The key to the success of the partnership- ● The availability of public services and based service delivery model is to ensure that the adequate territorial distribution thereof shall these services are accessible through mobile be pursued; platforms of different levels and efficiency. ● In the case of surplus public service Summary of the conceptual solutions of the infrastructure – optimisation of such support second alternative and integration of functions is performed taking ● In implementing this alternative, the into account demographic situation; public service delivery model is based on the ● The alternative I proposed to optimise partnerships of urban centres and the principal the network of cultural services would ensure a model of the potential interconnection system; balanced territorial provision of cultural ● Urban centres of different levels, services. However, standards of access to individually and collectively, in collaboration services based solely on territorial principles and with other urban centres, responsible for the not on a qualitative cross-section of resources operation of the primary public service and demand may not guarantee the actual infrastructure network and the quality of provision of quality cultural services. Without an services provided; integrated approach to the provision of cultural ● In Alternative II, the territorial localisation facilities, there is a risk of widening the cultural of essential public services is less rigid – a share CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework accessibility gap. of services of relatively scarce demand and a percentage of services of relatively moderate demand occurs in the hierarchy of functions. It means that the cooperation between urban centres and the specialisation and complementarity of services can only provide part of the services (other services are provided by other urban centres within the partnership); ● In the provision of public services, the aim is to improve the mobility of an efficiently functioning public service system, ensuring accessibility through partnerships of urban centres; ● Cooperation between different types of urban centres in the health, education and social spheres is very intensive. ● In case of surplus public service infrastructure – optimisation of such support, integration of functions is performed taking into account demographic situation, the principles of functional integration, multifunctionality and shared management and sharing of infrastructure are being implemented. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Both in the first alternative and the second alternative, the package of public services has yet to be assessed by population concentration for the services concerned. As the latter indicator is more volatile than individual systems and it is practically impossible to provide detailed forecasts of the population for the planned period in the respective territories, the concept solutions do not offer graphical solutions in this aspect. The supply of public services must be responsive to demographic change. Under favourable demographics and economic conditions, urban centres could be provided with a higher level of service than shown in the diagram. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Primary distribution of public services by the levels of urban centres Alternative I Alternative II CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework ALTERNATIVE I ALTERNATIVE II Communication system/mobility In the case of this alternative, based on the logic In the case of this alternative, based on the and development strategy of regional centres in partnership-based concept and development Lithuania: strategy in Lithuania: ● To ensure high-quality interconnection ● By using the combined transport and centres, individual connections and autonomous another potential of the partner, cities make it transport corridors should be created possible and suggested to organise high-efficiency (considering the relatively underdeveloped mobility services in large part of Lithuania. infrastructure of today) on public roads, thus ● In the spirit of partnership, the developing an alternative to road transport. infrastructural enhancement of some corridors of Here, the introduction of new support offers the regional importance is meaningless, since the risk of not maintaining a healthy cost/benefit same result (high level of mobility of people and balance. goods) can be achieved by organisational ● The whole territory of Lithuania would measures that require fewer resources; be covered evenly with moderate efficiency ● however, securing communication within mobility packages, which: zones of partnerships is not a cost-free investment ● on the one hand, would ensure equal to secure missing links (especially if an alternative attractiveness and opportunities for all regions to road transport is being developed). in terms of mobility, but Structural elements of the conceptual solutions of ● no area (except for cities providing the second alternative: international, national transport services) would 1. Three centres providing international (due to financial challenges) create the transport services are maintained and conditions for extremely high-quality movement strengthened: Vilnius, Kaunas and Klaipėda. (especially for the significant centres of Support of the global transport network – two attraction). existing corridors and improved international Structural elements of the conceptual solutions corridors T. of the first alternative: 2. Two national service centres are maintained 1. Three centres providing international and strengthened (Šiauliai, Marijampolė), transport services are maintained and infrastructural (Rail Baltica), and strengthened: Vilnius, Kaunas and organisational measures (particularly for Klaipėda T. Support of the global transport passenger transport) are implemented to network – two existing corridors and upgraded enable Panevėžys becoming the international corridors. communication centre of national 2. Two national service centres are importance T. maintained and strengthened (Šiauliai, 3. Upgrading infrastructure and implementing Marijampolė), infrastructural (Rail Baltica), organisational (for passenger transport) and organisational measures (particularly measures in eight cities (Telšiai, Tauragė, for passenger transport) are implemented to Utena, Ukmergė, Jonava, Kėdainiai, Alytus, enable Panevėžys becoming the Druskininkai) for them to become the service communication centre of national centres of regional level T. importance T. 4. Interconnection and communication between 3. Upgrading infrastructure and all centres are ensured by four national, ten implementing organisational (for passenger regional corridors and two recreational- transport) measures in eleven cities regional corridors T. (Palanga, Telšiai, Tauragė, Radviliškis, 5. Three objects providing international Utena, Ukmergė, Jonava, Kėdainiai, transport services (existing airports of Vilnius Kaišiadorys, Alytus, Druskininkai) for them and Kaunas, the current Klaipėda seaport), CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework to become the communication centres of and national-level objects (existing Palanga regional level T. and Šiauliai airports) are maintained and 4. Interconnection and communication strengthened; three new transport between all centres are ensured by seven infrastructure objects are planned (RailBaltica national, nine regional corridors and two project, modern airport, deep-sea outer recreational-regional corridors T. seaport)T. 5. Three objects providing international 6. There are three qualitative level mobility transport services are maintained and services available: 5 high levels (efficiency) strengthened (existing airports of Vilnius mobility zones, eight intermediate (efficiency) and Kaunas, the current Klaipėda seaport), mobility zones and the accessibility services and two national-level objects (existing (mobility as a right) zone T. Palanga and Šiauliai airports); three new transport infrastructure objects are planned (RailBaltica project, modern airport, deep- sea outer seaport)T. 6. There are two qualitative level mobility services available: 10 Intermediate (efficiency) mobility zones and the accessibility services (mobility as a right) zone T. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Development directions of the communication system Alternative I Alternative II CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Organisation diagram of mobility services Alternative I Alternative II CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Engineering systems General directions of engineering system development at the international and national levels: ● the transition to a low-carbon economy, increasing energy efficiency, promoting RES, alternative fuels and electrification in the transport sector, providing the necessary conditions for the development of clean energy production and so on; ● development of producing consumers; ● interconnection of the Lithuanian energy system with continental Europe (electricity and natural gas systems); ● development of liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure; ● the transition to a circular economy, with priority given to reducing waste generation, efficient management of waste generated, based on the order of priorities in waste prevention and control, and preserving the value of raw materials; ● ensuring the quality and development of electronic communication services throughout the country; ● provision of engineering infrastructure, provision of drinking water, communication needs, wastewater management services at the lowest cost. ALTERNATIVE I ALTERNATIVE II Re-investment is possible in the case of the first The other alternative solutions will allow for a more alternative solutions for an even distribution of efficient allocation of investment and cost burden. public investments. Regions, where engineering Possible challenges in implementing alternative infrastructure development is environmentally solutions include the complexity of meeting friendly/hygienic but have a low number of international and national targets due to potential users, have higher infrastructure maintenance difficulties in administrative cooperation. costs than an area with more users (e.g., district heating, drinking water, wastewater management). ALTERNATIVE I ALTERNATIVE II Spatial economic structures Regions are developing according to the The network of major economic centres is existing administrative-functional division developed through vertical and horizontal (counties), based on the principle of equitable partnerships between urban centres, aiming at areas, where public investments are the provision of public services, regional distributed as evenly as possible on the transport, energy, engineering and other territory of Lithuania and all necessary public synergies in the utilisation of system nodes, services are concentrated in each region T. resources and investments T. The objective of each region is to remain a centre of attraction for both citizens and Regional development and planning processes businesses, thereby justifying its administrative should be based on specialisation, the clearing of competitive advantages, the pooling of CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework autonomy. competences and the search for interregional synergies. The identification of synergies and The main benefits of the first alternative for the partnerships at national or regional level economic environment are highlighted: contributes to more efficient use of public financial, ● the development of an international administrative and human resources. structure of industrial clusters and transport corridors and nodes; Advantages of the second alternative in terms of ● an evenly developed network of urban, the economic environment: ● the development of an international infrastructure, communication and economic structure of industrial clusters and transport centres, creating as much territorial as possible corridors and nodes; equal conditions for residents and commercial ● both vertical and horizontal partnerships activities. between urban centres create opportunities for more significant economic development potential The potential negative factors of the first and more efficient use of public resources alternative for the economic environment: (including administrative ones); ● maintaining such a network of urban ● territorial planning based on such principles centres can become complicated and would reduce competition between regions for economically inefficient due to urbanisation public financial resources; trends, changes in economic structure, ● such a model would help to share technological revolution and its impact on functions, resources and infrastructure and avoid duplication in adjacent territories; agriculture; ● such a model allows for greater flexibility in ● uneven starting positions in individual responding to changing demographics realities and regions due to too limited or too similar the challenges of urbanisation. competitive advantages or disadvantages; regions that lack competitive advantage are The potential negative factors of the second eventually programmed to become economically alternative for the economic environment: dependent and sustainable; ● more complex implementation, challenges ● the need for areas to concentrate the and the need for political will to restructure full range of public services and competition for regional funding and administration; public financial resources impedes specialisation ● The Rail Baltica railway will not reach and economies of scale, and remains a threat of Klaipėda port but will feed the ports of duplication of functions or infrastructure in neighbouring countries in transit of goods. For this adjacent areas; reason, the importance of Klaipėda port and ● The Rail Baltica railway will not reach added value may be undermined. Klaipėda port but will feed the ports of neighbouring countries in transit of goods. For this reason, the importance of Klaipėda port and added value may be undermined. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Economic systems Alternative I Alternative II CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework ALTERNATIVE I ALTERNATIVE II Sea and coastline spatial structures Alternative I reflect the status quo – retaining the Alternative II is more conservative than the first existing strategic approaches to the development one, more in line with domestic needs, does not of maritime areas and responding to the concrete envisage more comprehensive development of the solutions currently in place, intends to create renewable energy sector (both domestically and favourable conditions for maximum with neighbouring countries), and does not development: exploitation of marine mineral consider establishing a transit shipping corridor. and energy resources, maximization of the Other provisions remain identical to Alternative I, development of the underwater energy network i.e. ensure the preservation of natural values, (providing for energy transfer both to land and reserve sufficient areas for the needs of state to export to neighbouring countries by sea); to security, emphasise the need to legalise the promote renewable energy production in all exploration and use of mineral and energy possible sea heights and to ensure the safety of resources at sea, and promote the protection of navigation through the Lithuanian EEZ by underwater cultural heritage. providing a new transit route. Ecosystem (an ecological compensation system) The system of natural frameworks and protected areas is territorially reflective of the current situation, maintains existing strategic provisions for the development of these areas, and the directions are set out in this document and the National Landscape Management Plan. Resource system Extensification of the existing land use in the Taking into account the location of the individual areas of intensive bio-production (active natural and cultural values located in the territory conversion of arable land to grasslands and and the landscape complexes of natural, cultural pastures and reduction of forest use). The and visual value that unite them, this alternative potential for additional income-generating involves the centres of recreational service of recreation is being abandoned as part of a low- national and regional importance and the viable economic activity in intensively agrarian interconnected corridors of European and areas. complementary linear recreational infrastructure Compared to Alternative II, a smaller part of the marine waters is intended for the protection of of cross-border importance, which consistently ecosystems. enable better representation of natural and Only the system of recreational connections of cultural heritage values, characteristic and international importance in the eastern and distinctive landscape complexes in the territory of western part of the Republic of Lithuania is Lithuania: maintained and created. ● Corridors of recreational infrastructure of Only the system of existing recreational centres international and cross-border importance are of national and regional importance is envisaged, together creating significant Europe- maintained and further developed. wide recreational links including the neighbouring countries, which ensure the integration of areas of natural and cultural value into one system and at the same time create opportunities for the CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework demonstration and awareness of the most important natural and cultural values in the territory of Lithuania and intensified development of various recreational activities. These Europe- wide recreational corridors are distinguished: 1. EuroVelo route in the western part of Lithuania, covering the Curonian Spit and the mainland coast; 2. EuroVelo route in the eastern part of Lithuania, including the area rich in lakes and forests; ● The system of international importance is supplemented with recreational links of cross- border importance, which link natural and cultural values (recreational resources) localised on the territory of Lithuania with the resources located in the neighbouring countries: 1. Samogitian recreational connection connecting the most valuable natural and cultural objects and landscape complexes of Samogitian highlands; 2. Recreational link of Central Lithuania linking natural – cultural objects and landscape complexes located in Sudovian Plain, Central Lithuanian Plain, Eastern Samogitian Upland and Semigallian Plain; 3. East-West recreational link encompassing natural and cultural objects with exceptionally high recreational potential and landscaping complexes connecting them. ● Considering the importance of recreation centres, the significance of the natural and cultural heritage values they contain in the context of other recreational centres and the State as a whole, and their potential for development, the development of the system of recreation centres of national and regional importance is planned, by changing their importance or adding new recreational centres of local influence: the group of the recreation service centres of national importance (Vilnius, Trakai, Kaunas, Klaipėda, Palanga, Druskininkai) is supplemented by Birštonas and Neringa; the group of the recreation service centres of regional importance is completed by Kėdainiai and Molėtai. Summary of the conceptual solutions of the second alternative: The current usage rate of bio-production areas is maintained by intensifying the Natural Carcass in CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework their most geo-ecologically sensitive areas. These activities are combined with measures of good agricultural practice. Various recreational activities are being developed in areas of intensive agrarian business that provide additional income. Compared to Alternative I, a more significant part of the marine waters is intended for the protection of ecosystems. The system of recreational connections of international importance adds three additional recreational links of cross-border importance. The system of recreation centres is supplemented by two recreational centres of national and two regional importance. Spatial development directions of territories Preliminary solutions of the spatial development concept of territories are focused on: 1. Preservation and enhancement of the ecological-compensatory potential of the area by forming a coherent and functional GC system; 2. Ensuring biodiversity expression and enrichment; 3. Development and representation of the natural and cultural values and identities of the country representing the system of protected territories; 4. Protection of valuable natural and cultural landscape complexes; 5. Formation of the geo-ecologically optimal structure of the relatively natural, agrarian, urbanised and marine landscape. Expected conceptual directions of development of parts of the territory (sustainable, supportive and developmental type)T are closely related to the existing and planned protection and utilization regime of the territory, which is mainly determined by the natural conditions of individual parts of the area, as grafted or targeted because of the nature and intensity of planned use and protection. Based on these assumptions, the south-eastern region and the western part of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania (Samogitian highlands) are expected to be of a sustainable type, where, in view of the predominantly vivid landscape that is attractive both naturally and culturally, the decrease in the intensity of use of land is planned, converting it to the extensive farming and the increase in the recreation and conservation importance. Supportive type habitats are localised in parts of the area between hilly highlands and plains that focus on sustainable economic activities while preserving the ecological stability of the regions, combining them with recreation and conservation where possible. Developmental type habitats include the most spatially active part of the territory (Northern, Central and South-western Lithuania), which is developed in the perspective of intensive use, restoring and maintaining ecological stability, increasing the geo-ecological potential of the system parts of the natural carcass and optimal conditions for the expression and restoration of biodiversity. Functional priorities of use of territories Based on the first alternative of functional Based on the second alternative on the functional priorities for land use, it is presumed that in the priorities of the territory use, it is presumed that current intensive bio-productive areas (North- the current intensity of use of bio-productive CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Central and South-Western Lithuania and other areas (northern-central and south-west Lithuania agronomically intense parts of the territory), in and other agronomically intensive parts of the order to maintain the natural production territory) is maintained, and in order to maintain capacity, satisfactory environmental components their production potential, good ecological and minimum biodiversity possibilities, the condition of environmental components and extensification of land use is required (active formation of favourable conditions for the conversion of arable land to grasslands and expression of biological diversity, it is necessary to pastures, and reduction in intensity of forest use), develop the intensive ecological compensation which, without the implementation of proactive systems (Natural Carcass) networking in the most and intensive measures to improve the ecological geo-ecologically sensitive areas of agrarian status of the agricultural landscape, becomes the ecosystems, combining the latter with good only way to stabilize the unsatisfactory agricultural practices. According to this environmental condition of the areas. Under this alternative, various recreational activities are alternative, areas with intensive agricultural being developed in areas of intensive agricultural activities are abandoned as potentially secondary activity that would possibly provide additional economic activities with little potential for income. additional income. Assumptions made under this Assumptions made under this alternative: alternative: A. The realisation of the latter option will A. The realisation of the latter alternative not have a significant positive or will not have a significant positive or negative impact on the viability of urban negative impact on the viability of urban areas. Only the abandonment of areas. Only by promoting and developing recreational activities complementary to various types of recreational activities the main economic activities is a possible complementary to the main economic precondition for the decline of the rural activities would the preconditions be population and the overall viability of created for the increase of the rural agricultural areas. population and the vitality of the B. According to this alternative, in areas agricultural areas in general, or at least to with high agricultural use, conversion of stabilise the negative changes. arable land (arable land – grassland B. According to this alternative, providing pasture) would create preconditions for the intensive formation of natural carcass maintaining the productivity and components in the most ecologically productivity of agricultural land, but at sensitive areas of the agrarian landscape the same time potentially decreasing the in heavily cultivated fields would create economic benefit from these activities. realistic preconditions for restoring and C. The positive side of this is the increased maintaining the productivity of ecological stability of agricultural areas agricultural land and ecological stability and the real prerequisites for the of the agricultural landscape while emergence and increase of biodiversity potentially increasing the economic of agrarian territories in a significant benefits of these activities. way. C. The positive side of this is the increased D. The development of Lithuania and all the ecological stability of agricultural areas countries of the Baltic Sea region is and the real prerequisite for the closely linked to the sea, which has a emergence and increase of biodiversity of particularly significant influence on the agrarian territories in a targeted and formation of economic, social and intensive way. political environment. Favourable D. The development of Lithuania and all the growth drivers for the Baltic Sea Region countries of the Baltic Sea region is closely can make this region one of the critical linked to the sea, which has a particularly macro-regions for growth in the 21st significant influence on the formation of century in the EU. economic, social and political The functional zone of the territory, which is CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework environment. Favourable growth drivers related to maritime shipping and fishing, consists for the Baltic Sea Region can make this of the following subzones T: region one of the critical macro-regions (1) The priority groups for deconcentrated for growth in the 21st century in the EU. offshore development in the functional area are The functional zone of the territory, which is commercial fishing, aquaculture, sea lanes, power related to maritime shipping and fishing, transmission and telecommunication lines, and T consists of the following subzones : other economic activities. These activities may (1) The priority groups for deconcentrated include the development of mineral resources, the offshore development in the functional area are installation of renewable energy (wind, waves, commercial fishing, aquaculture, sea lanes, power currents, etc.) parks and their accessories, and the transmission and telecommunication lines, and reservation of marine space for other, currently other economic activities. These activities may unknown, activities. include the development of mineral resources, (2) The priority groups of businesses in the the installation of renewable energy (wind, functional area of renewable energy production waves, currents, etc.) parks and their accessories, are installation of renewable energy (wind, wave, and the preservation of marine space for other, currents, etc.) parks and their accessories, currently unknown, activities. engineering systems of power supply structures (2) The priority groups of activities in the (transformer, etc.) and other purpose engineering functional area of renewable energy production equipment. Construction, power and are installation of renewable energy (wind, wave, telecommunication lines. Other activities may also currents, etc.) parks and their accessories, be developed in the background: commercial engineering systems of power supply structures fishing, aquaculture and other economic activities (transformers, etc.) and other engineering that do not interfere with priority activities, and equipment. Construction, power and the extraction of minerals. telecommunication lines. Other activities may (3) The priority groups of activities in the also be developed in the background: commercial functional area of fast shipping are sea lanes, fishing, aquaculture and other economic activities pipelines, energy and telecommunication lines that do not interfere with priority activities, and that are eco-friendly in nature. Other activities the extraction of minerals. developed in the area include commercial fishing, (3) The priority groups of businesses in the extraction of minerals, marine space reserved for functional area of fast shipping are sea lanes, port other economic activities not known today, raids and anchorages, pipelines, energy and without interfering with the priority activities. telecommunication lines that are eco-friendly in (4) The priority groups of activities in the nature. Other activities developed in the area functional area for military exercises and the include commercial fishing, extraction of protection of ecosystems are eco-friendly minerals, removal of excavated soil, marine space activities, national defence activities, shipping, reserved for other economic activities not known commercial fishing. These activities may be today, without interfering with priority activities. accompanied by other activities such as mining (4) The priority groups of activities in the and recreational activities. functional area for military exercises and the (5) Within the mixed-use functional area, priority protection of offshore ecosystems are eco- shall be given to the following groups of activities: friendly activities, national defence activities, renewable energy production (from waves and commercial fishing. These activities may be currents), pipelines, power and accompanied by other activities such as mining telecommunication lines, and other engineering and recreational activities. applications. Other activities are being developed (5) Within the mixed-use functional area, priority in this area: excavated soil removal, recreational shall be given to the following groups of activities: activities, development of aquaculture. renewable energy production, pipelines, power (6) Within the port development functional area, and telecommunication lines, and other priority shall be given to the following groups of engineering applications. Other activities are activities: installation of seaports, small craft being developed in this area: excavated soil ports, marinas, navigation facilities, other CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework removal, recreational activities. engineering and hydro-technical structures, sea (6) Within the port development functional area, lanes, port raids and anchorages, pipelines, water priority shall be given to the following groups of supply, sewage disposal, energy, and activities: installation of seaports, small craft telecommunication lines. Other activities with ports, marinas, navigation facilities, other ecosystems-friendly nature are developed in this engineering and hydro-technical structures, sea area, as well as recreational activities, commercial lanes, port raids and anchorages, pipelines, water fishing, water abstraction for drinking or supply, sewage disposal, energy, and production water, wastewater discharge, and telecommunication lines. Other activities with other economic activities. ecosystems-friendly nature are developed in this (7) The priority groups of activities in the area, as well as recreational activities, commercial functional area for the protection of coastline fishing, water abstraction for drinking or ecosystems are eco-friendly activities, commercial production water, wastewater discharge, and fishing, recreational fishing, water sports, other economic activities. recreation, tourism, and other recreational (7) The priority groups of activities in the activities. In assessing and fostering the functional area for the protection of coastline conservative nature of the area, small harbours ecosystems are eco-friendly activities, and marinas associated with priority activities, commercial fishing, recreational fishing, water energy transmission lines and military exercises sports, recreation, tourism, and other may be established in the area. recreational activities. In assessing and fostering the conservative nature of the area, small harbours and marinas associated with priority activities, energy transmission lines and military exercises may be established in the area. Strategic objects Alternative solutions in respect of strategic objects are similar. The relevant resolutions of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania and the Government of the Republic of Lithuania to recognise the economic projects of national importance projects are partially listed below (an extensive list is provided in the report): ● Plans for the modernisation of the district heating sector in Vilnius and Kaunas by installing cogeneration power plants using local and renewable energy sources; ● Installation of industrial parks (in Šiauliai, Kėdainiai, Visaginas, Marijampolė, Panevėžys, Alytus, Naujoji Akmenė and elsewhere); ● Creation of industrial park in Kruonis PSHP; ● Development of free economic zones (in Kaunas and Klaipėda); ● A project of the public logistics centre of Vilnius and Kaunas. ● Part of the project ‘Gas interconnection Poland-Lithuania’ in the territory of the Republic of Lithuania; ● Part of the plan of the East-West transport corridor in Lithuania (Klaipėda State Seaport, roads and railway infrastructure complex); ● Development of broadband electronic communication networks in Lithuanian rural areas; ● Project ‘Rail Baltica’; ● Plan for the preparation of communication on roads of national and local importance for the transport of heavy and bulky cargo for the construction of a new nuclear power plant on the route Klaipėda–Telšiai–Šiauliai–Panevėžys–Visaginas; ● Project for optimisation and preparation of electricity transmission network of North-east Lithuania for the connection of the power system of the Republic of Lithuania to the grids of CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework Continental Europe for synchronous operation. The relevant resolutions of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania to recognise the projects of exceptional national importance: ● Project ‘Via Baltica’; ● Project ‘Rail Baltica’; ● Part of the plan of the East-West transport corridor in Lithuania (Klaipėda State Seaport, roads and railway infrastructure complex); ● A project of expanding military training areas and military training territories of the Lithuanian Armed Forces in Jonava district municipality, Rukla eldership and Švenčionys district municipality, Pabradė eldership. Below the new planned objects are proposed for which it is expedient to grant the status particular national importance. ● Project ‘Connection of the power system of the Republic of Lithuania to the grids of Continental Europe for synchronous operation’ (recognized as the project of exceptional national importance by the Law on Connection of the power system of the Republic of Lithuania to the grids of Continental Europe for synchronous operation, approved by the Resolution No XI-2052 of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania of 12 June 2012); ● The project of connection of offshore wind farms to the mainland; ● About 12 000 ha reserve territory for the national defence system in the western part of the area of Lithuania (preference is given to the municipalities of Šilalė, Kelmė, Telšiai or Rietavas region); ● Up to 900 ha reserve territory for the national defence system in Klaipėda County, Kairiai; ● Planned airport; ● External deep-sea port. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework 4. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS A preliminary plan for the implementation of the conceptual solutions is proposed for the development and implementation of the conceptual visions of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania (hereinafter referred to as the ‘CPRL’) for 2050 (to be specified during the solutions stage), including potential synergies between Lithuanian strategies, and coalitions in the partnership and national level. The legal and practical are measures for assurance of the integrity of the conceptual solutions, and urban development is proposed to implement the theoretical solutions of the CPRL. Alternatives to the spatial development of the country have been prepared and discussed in detail (in the third report). Their concepts are different, and so are how they are implemented. The first alternative is based on the steady development of the entire country with ten regional centres. Its implementation would require the improved systemic and legal environment, and one of the biggest challenges – the allocation of financial resources to local development and maintenance of equal quality of life. As opposed to the steady development, the second alternative proposes partnership principles that are active within the current structure of the country by creating conditions for a more flexible adaptation to the changing demographic situation, optimising resources and financial resources required to achieve a high quality of life in the whole territory of the country. In case of this alternative, a targeted systematic concentration of the country's investment should be focused on the partner entities in areas and territories which, considering their strengths and specificities, can bring the most significant benefits and returns not only to the specific location but also to the region and the State. The implementation of the second alternative would require greater involvement of all groups (state, municipal institutions, business, society) than the former, but would, in the long run, bring more significant benefits to the State and significantly contribute to the stability and prosperity of the country. One thing is clear: whatever option we choose, the State policy needs to be updated, aimed at strengthening national identity, increasing competitiveness, regional partnerships and promoting national coalitions, mitigating climate change and adaptation to climate change, strengthening the national security. The fourth report lays down the implementation principles of the conceptual framework of the CPRL, including the planned measures and actions, the necessary legal developments to be considered, and the proposal of legal and practical integrity plan of the conceptual framework of the CPRL. The creation and realisation of the legal and practical plan are of particular importance because the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania is prepared in parallel with the National Development Plan (NDP), which combines the national development strategies. Recommendations on the specification of the conceptual solutions of the CPRL are prepared for the solution-specification stage. The theoretical solutions that are subject to proposals for specification at the solution-specification stage are distinguished. Part IV of the report is of particular importance – recommendations for improving the indicator system. In the next step of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania (solution-specification), it is necessary to use the method of indicators developed at the current stage and developed at the conception stage, which will be valuable in the future, particularly in the context of the monitoring of the Comprehensive Plan. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework The proposed legal and practical integrity plan of the conceptual framework of the CPRL (proposals for strategies) Recommendations for the implementation of the conceptual framework of the CPRL by 2050 to ensure the smooth operation of the internal functioning of the systems and elements, preserve and highlight the country’s identity in the European context, and to develop the foundations of a competitive State. The actions and tools needed to realise the vision of the conceptual framework are noted, as well as the partnerships needed to implement the solutions. There is also a discussion on possible amendments of the national strategy documents and other legislation or the need for a new law. The principles of implementing the tasks are delivered, without elaboration to specific legal clauses. Recommendations on the specification of the conceptual solutions of the CPRL for the solution-specification stage The conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania for 2050 contains the directions of spatial development, lists the principal elements and structures of the urban system and identifies measures and actions to achieve the goals of the conceptual framework, based on the conceptual (generic) solutions. The conceptual framework of the CPRL assesses the long-term spatial development of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania. The evaluation is inherently conceptual. Whereas the general solutions- specification stage covers a period of 10 years; therefore, the conceptual solutions elaborated in the solution-specification stage can be arranged more precisely and more clearly, including the spatial location of some of them. It should be noted that for the integrity and logical analysis sequence of the CPRL, it is essential to ensure the transfer and elaboration of the conceptual solutions formulated in the theoretical framework at the solution-specification stage of the CPRL. This chapter includes the recommendations on the specification of the conceptual solutions of the CPRL drafted for the solution-specification stage. Some of the overall solutions of the theoretical framework referred to in Alternative I and Alternative II are different, so further elaboration will depend on which alternative is accepted. The global conceptual solutions include the essential elements of the spatial system of the Lithuanian territory considered in the CPRL: polycentric hierarchical urban structure, compact city principles, public service provision principles, regional development directions, transport infrastructure system, mobility service efficiency zones, deep water port infrastructure, energy and engineering infrastructure, agrarian ecosystems with the geo-ecological potential, relatively natural ecosystems, etc. Recommendations for improving the indicator system The developed conceptual solutions, detailed at the solution-specification stage, must be measured to evaluate the positive and negative changes in the implementation/non- implementation of the solutions and to decide whether to develop or change the chosen principles and/or ways of their implementation. Analysing the values of indicators can be of help in identifying the emerging problem situations, as well as synergies that can be useful in finding best governance practices, monitoring the success and impact of sustainability and investment. The indicative indicators presented in this chapter have been selected by the authors of the conceptual framework as initial information for the design and development of the system indicators for monitoring the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania. It is noted that the signs have to cover both quantitative and qualitative parameters. Taking into account the problem of data scarcity and the need for new data identified at the stage of CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework analysis of the current state of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania, completely new indicators are submitted, which are not currently collected. The author also highlights the level of detail of the data, depending on its statistical level (state (national), regional, municipal, residential or smallest mathematical field) to identify not only general trends but also the locations of the country with positive or negative changes. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework CONCLUSIONS 1. The territorial planning document of the highest level – the conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania (CPRL) has been prepared, based on which the spatial functional development solutions of the State territory will be drafted. All parts of this document form the foundation of the entire regional policy of the Republic of Lithuania, the national planning system and the output data for the lower-level territorial planning documents. 2. The planned territory is the land and sea territories of the Republic of Lithuania, including the territorial sea of the Republic of Lithuania, as well as territories where Lithuania exercises exclusive sovereign rights, i.e., the contiguous zone and the exclusive economic zone (EEZ), including the continental shelf. 3. The planning document of the State territory is synchronised with the strategic documents system of the Republic of Lithuania, which is arranged by the National Development Plan (NDP), and its realisation is linked with the long-term development plans of the State. 4. The long-term conceptual solutions are planned for the outlook until 2050 on the basis of values: sustainable development principles, the Constitution of the Republic of Lithuania and other overarching objectives of the State and its people to strengthen statehood, maintain and develop the country’s identity, increase competitiveness in the European and global context, and broaden and deepen planning traditions. 5. The prepared territorial planning document is especially vital for the regional development of Lithuania as a progressive European state, determining the mandatory priority provisions of the territory use and security requirements. 6. Two alternatives of the spatial development of the national territory are prepared, having the common objective to create the best perspective spatial model of the State, to provide for optimal performance of mechanisms. 7. The basis of both alternatives is the urban structure of the polycentric territory of the country, which is being developed and improved by maintaining and fostering the value system of natural and cultural heritage. The country’s spatial structure is designed in the alternatives applying two different principles: individual equivalent centres and centre partnerships groups. 8. Solutions at the international level of the urban structure remain the same as in both alternatives: three metropolitan centres Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipėda; two regional development centres – Šiauliai and Panevėžys. In both cases, the urban centre partnerships are proposed in the provision of international-level services. 9. The first alternative is based on the continuity of the CPRL with the ten critical regional centres (regions); the spatial model of the State is based on, supplemented and adjusted to the State development trends that were identified during the preparation of the current stage. 10. In the first alternative: CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework 10.1. the existing spatial structure of the country is developed with ten regions (centres) – Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipėda, Šiauliai, Panevėžys, Alytus, Marijampolė, Utena, Telšiai, and Tauragė. 10.2. Solutions are implemented by consistently maintaining the continuity of the planning of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania. 10.3. A priority is given to the principle of autonomy of equitable regions, whereby public investment in the territory of Lithuania is distributed, and services provide as evenly as possible, and a wide range of essential services is concentrated in each region. 10.4. The most evolutionary development of the Lithuanian territory is planned. 11. The spatial development of the State referred to in the second alternative is based on the partnerships between the territorial components and subjects of the country and their synergy. Cooperation of regions and municipalities (synergy) must create preconditions for the implementation of the principles of sustainable development, ensure the smooth functioning of the country’s internal systems and elements, preserve and emphasise the country’s identity, develop the foundations of a competitive state. 12. In the second alternative: 12.1.Five clusters of territorial partnerships are modelled, creating new synergies and ensuring stability in the country: Vilnius-Utena-Ukmergė; Kaunas- Marijampolė-Alytus; Klaipėda-Tauragė-Telšiai; Šiauliai-Mažeikiai; Panevėžys- Biržai-Rokiškis. These five partnership groups can serve as a basis for the formation of the regions and the creation of shared activities. 12.2. The solutions upgrade the established practice of the planning system of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania, and systemic partnerships are implemented. 12.3. A targeted concentration of the country's investment is applied, focusing on the partner entities in areas and territories which, considering their strengths and specificities, can bring the most considerable benefits and returns not only to the specific location but also to the region and the State. 12.4. The solutions are implemented in stages, by restructuring the standard and legal relations of the state institutions, self-governing bodies and public to create community systems. 13. To achieve the formulated vision (viable urban structures, sustainable ecosystems, efficient bio-productive territories), two different alternatives for the development of the region of the country are proposed for the perspective of 30 years: 13.1. Evolutionary replacement, by maintaining the continuity of the planning of the area of the Republic of Lithuania; 13.2. Restructuring alternative, by upgrading the existing planning system of the country’s territory through systematic partnerships. 14. The implementation of the conceptual framework of the CPRL is a long-term aspiration of the State to create a state of prosperity in this challenging period of geopolitical processes, climate change, 4th industrial revolution, demographic changes and other challenges that the country is facing. 15. The implementation of the conceptual framework of the CPRL is inseparable from the establishment of a clear, accurate and methodologically sound system CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework for monitoring the implementation of the Comprehensive Plan, and the creation of legal principles for the modification, adjustment and improvement thereof. 16. The conceptual framework of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania is the basis for the development of actual solutions, the specificity and viability of which for the perspective of 2030, as well as their interface with the country’s strategic documents and budgeting principles can ensure the sustainable development of the country’s territory in the short term. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK / The Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania: The preparation phase of the conceptual framework STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 1 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................................................................... 2 LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................................................... 4 LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................................................. 6 ABBREVIATIONS.................................................................................................................................. 7 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................. 8 BACKGROUND .................................................................................................................................... 9 1. EVOLUTION IN THE ABSENCE OF THE CPRL ............................................................................................ 18 1.1. Problems and their accumulations……………………………………………………………………………………………….. 18 1.1.1. Negative migration and lack of human resources……………………………………………………………………. 18 1.1.2. Lack of economic activity and unsustainable development…………………………………………………….. 18 1.1.3. Environmental pollution ………………………………………………………………………………………………………….19 1.1.4. Cohesion of different interests ………………………………………………………………………………………………. 19 1.2. Natural environment, protected areas and listed sites ………………………………………………………………… 19 1.2.1. Natural resources .........................................................................................................................19 1.2.2. Protection of natural values and ecosystems …………………………………………………………………………. 20 1.2.3. Landscape .....................................................................................................................................21 2. DESCRIPTION OF GENERAL PROVISIONS AND ALTERNATIVES OF THE CPRL CONCEPT......................................... 22 3. NATURAL AREAS AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS THAT ARE LIKELY TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED ................. 23 4. ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES IN TERMS OF ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT..................................... 27 4.1. Assessment of the conceptual solutions for the urban system and its structure…………………………… 27 4.2. assessment of the conceptual solutions for service distribution within the urban structure …………29 4.3. Assessment of the conceptual solutions for the transport system and mobility…………………………….32 4.4. Assessment of the conceptual solutions for the engineering system …………………………………………….35 4.5. Assessment of the conceptual solutions for spatial economic structures…………………………………….. 38 4.6. Assessment of the conceptual solutions for ecosystems (ecological compensation system)………… 42 4.7. Assessment of the conceptual solutions for the resources system ……………………………………………… 45 4.8. SEA for newly planned facilities that are appropriate to have the status of a project of national importance …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….49 4.8.1. Connection of Lithuanian electricity system to the synchronous grid of Continental Europe….. 49 4.8.2. Project of the off-shore wind connection to the mainland ..........................................................51 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 3 4.8.3. Reserve area of up to 12,000 ha for the national defence system purposes in the western part of Lithuania (with priority given to Šilalė, Kelmė, Telšiai or Rietavas District Municipality areas)………… 53 4.8.4. Reserve area of up to 900 ha for the national defence system purposes in Kairiai, Klaipėda County ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 54 4.8.5. Planned airport ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 57 4.8.6. EXTERNAL DEEP WATER SEAPORT …………………………………………………………………………………………. 60 5. COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES .................................................................................................................................. 65 6. DESCRIPTION OF THE CHOSEN CPRL ALTERNATIVE, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE PLANNING ORGANISER ............................................................................................................... 73 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 4 LIST OF TABLES Table 1: GOALS OF SERVICE DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THE URBAN SYSTEM BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS ......................................................................................................................................................................29 Table 2: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SERVICE DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THE URBAN SYSTEM FOR ALTERNATIVE I .........................................................................................30 Table 3: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SERVICE DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THE URBAN SYSTEM FOR ALTERNATIVE II ........................................................................................31 Table 4: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO SERVICE DISTRIBUTION OF SERVICES WITHIN THE URBAN STRUCTURE ...................................................................................................................................................31 Table 5: GOALS OF THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS ...................32 Table 6: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY FOR ALTERNATIVE I ...............................................................................................................33 Table 7: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY FOR ALTERNATIVE II .............................................................................................................33 Table 8: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY ...................................34 Table 9: GOALS OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS ..............................................35 Table 10: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE I .......................................................................................................................................36 Table 11: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE II ......................................................................................................................................36 Table 12: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO ENGINEERING SYSTEMS ............................................................37 Table 13: GOALS OF SPATIAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS .................................38 Table 14: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SPATIAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE I .......................................................................................................................39 Table 15: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SPATIAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE II ......................................................................................................................40 Table 16: GOALS OF ECOSYSTEMS BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS ............................................................42 Table 17: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ECOSYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE I ..............................................................................................................................................42 Table 18: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ECOSYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE II .............................................................................................................................................43 Table 19: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO ECOSYSTEMS (ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION SYSTEM)............43 Table 20: GOALS OF RESOURCES BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS ..............................................................45 Table 21: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF RESOURCES FOR ALTERNATIVE I ..............................................................................................................................................46 Table 22: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF RESOURCES FOR ALTERNATIVE II .............................................................................................................................................46 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 5 Table 23: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO THE RESOURCES SYSTEM ..........................................................47 Table 24: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE CONNECTION OF THE LITHUANIAN ELECTRICITY SYSTEM TO THE SYNCHRONOUS GRID OF CONTINENTAL EUROPE ....................50 Table 25: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE PROJECT OF THE OFF- SHORE WIND CONNECTION TO THE MAINLAND ..........................................................................................52 Table 26: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE 12,000 HA RESERVE AREA ..............................................................................................................................................................53 Table 27: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE 900 HA FIRING GROUND........................................................................................................................................................56 Table 28: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE NEW AIRPORT .......58 Table 29: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE EXTERNAL DEEP WATER PORT IN MELNRAGĖ .........................................................................................................................62 Table 30: ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE EXTERNAL DEEP WATER PORT IN BŪTINGĖ ...................................................................................................................................................62 Table 31: TABLE OF THE NATURE AND SIGNIFICANCE SCORE OF THE ASSESSMENT CONSEQUENCES .......65 Table 32: ASSESSMENT OF ALTERNATIVE I FOR THE CPRL CONCEPT ...........................................................66 Table 33: ASSESSMENT OF ALTERNATIVE II FOR THE CPRL CONCEPT ..........................................................66 Table 34: COMPARISON BETWEEN ASSESSMENT OF THE ALTERNATIVES (II – I) .........................................67 Table 35: INDEXES OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES ASSESSMENT BY ASPECT ..................................69 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 6 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: ENERGY INTEGRATION OF THE BALTIC STATES IN CONTINENTAL EUROPE ..................................49 Figure 2: POTENTIAL AREAS FOR WIND ENERGY DEVELOPMENT ................................................................51 Figure 3: DRAWING OF AREA RESERVATION FOR PUBLIC NEEDS, 2016.......................................................55 FIGURE 4: LOCATION OF THE EXTERNAL PORT IN KLAIPĖDA-MELNRAGĖ ....................................................60 FIGURE 5: LOCATION OF THE EXTERNAL DEEP WATER SEAPORT IN BŪTINGĖ ............................................61 FIGURE 6: IMPACT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES ON THE COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC AND MACROECONOMIC AS WELL AS SOCIAL AND CULTURAL DEVELOPMENT........................69 FIGURE 7: COMPARISON OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES IN TERMS OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND NATURAL ENVIRONMENT ...........................................................................................71 FIGURE 8: COMPARISON OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES BY TERRITORIAL ELEMENT .....................72 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 7 ABBREVIATIONS AQ Air quality CC Climate change CPRL Comprehensive plan of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania DM District municipality EE Engineering environment EIA Environmental impact assessment ETA Economic transport activity EU European Union FEZ Free economic zone FDI Foreign direct investment FR/EP Financial resources and economic prosperity GHG Greenhouse gas HHW Human health and wellbeing ICH Immovable cultural heritage ITS Intelligent transport systems NF Nature frame LH Landscape and heritage LM Labour market MMW Minimum monthly wage MOB Mobility NHB Natural habitats and biodiversity NRNS Natural renewable and non-renewable sources OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development RES Renewable energy sources S Soil SEA Strategic environmental assessment SEZ Special economic zone UE Urban environment UNO United Nations Organisation WQ Water quality STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 8 INTRODUCTION STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT (SEA) is made in line with the Procedure for the Strategic Environmental Assessment of Plans and Programmes as approved by Resolution No 967 of the Government of the Republic of Lithuania of 18 August 2004 at the concept stage of drawing up of comprehensive territorial plans. The subject of the assessment is a long-term strategic document – conceptual provisions and alternatives of the comprehensive plan of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania (The Plan) brought forward to SEA developer. Assessment methods, aspects and environment components are chosen in relation to the strategic level of the document in question and also indicated in the technical specification of the tender documentation. SEA procedures are carried out domestically, also at the cross-border level by delivering necessary SEA materials to EU member states and other countries specified in the abovementioned Procedure. SEA PROCESS STAKEHOLDERS:  Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Lithuania as the organiser of the comprehensive plan.  Consultative working group comprised of representatives of a number of public authorities (Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Lithuania, Ministry of Health of the Republic of Lithuania, State Service for Protected Areas, State Forest Service, Ministry of Culture of the Republic of Lithuania, Environmental Protection Agency, Department of Cultural Heritage under the Ministry of Culture, Ministry of Transport and Communications of the Republic of Lithuania, Ministry of National Defence, Ministry of Social Security and Labour, Ministry of Energy, Ministry of Economy and Innovation, Ministry of the Interior and Ministry of Agriculture).  The Plan Coordination Commission (‘Coordination Commission’) comprised of ministerial representatives.  The public. SEA stakeholders should produce their conclusions on The Plan concept solutions and the quality of SEA documents in accordance with the provisions of the Procedure. The consultative working group and the public get engaged in the process by the right of non-SEA stakeholders. Members of the consultative working group should provide information and advice to the Plan organiser and developers. The public may make comments and proposals with regard to the SEA report and draft plan. The Coordination Commission will accept completed the Plan solutions in the form of spatial development strands of the national territory and functional priorities of territorial use. Solutions should be selected and adopted on the basis of the conclusions of the SEA report. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 9 BACKGROUND PLANNING ORGANISER | Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Lithuania. CPRL DEVELOPER | UAB TAEM URBANISTAI. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT DEVELOPER | UAB CIVITTA and UAB PLENTPROJEKTAS. Proper SEA contributes to the achievement of a high environmental protection level, improves the quality of the CPRL being developed, increases the effectiveness of decision-making, helps to identify new development alternatives and prevents wrong decisions. One of the key principles of SEA, as a preventive environmental protection instrument, is as early as possible in the planning process to ensure the availability to the planning document preparation organiser of comprehensive and reliable information about significant implementation consequences on the environment of planned territory. The main requirement while integrating SEA into the process of preparation of territorial planning documents is to make sure that the assessment will be carried out prior to the adoption and/or approval of the CPRL concept, where it is still not too late to consider and choose the most suitable solution alternative. This will allow to offer necessary preventive and compensatory measures to prevent and/or mitigate potential adverse effects and opt for the best solutions for their development and implementation. Assessment In the case of both Alternative I and Alternative II, the CPRL concept provides for common functional priorities / strands of Lithuania’s territory and assesses the principle of territorial development rather than its quantification. There is no information about the development solutions for Lithuania’s territory, their scope, technological or local alternatives and such uncertainty objectively makes it impossible to base SEA on quantitative assessment criteria, while one of the main assessment methods will be related to expert assessment. In order to eliminate the subjectivity of such assessment associated with personal opinions, views and competences of SEA experts, expert assessment will also include other assessment techniques, such as multi-criteria analysis, consequences matrices (tables) and a scenario approach. SEA is performed in line with the Procedure for the Strategic Environmental Assessment of Plans and Programmes, EBPO guidance for SEA preparation and European Observation Network for Territorial Development and Cohesion (ESPON) guidelines, taking into account necessary procedures for carrying out, coordination and publication of such assessment. CONTENT OF THE ASSESSMENT | The assessment takes account of the topics. With regard to both Alternative I and Alternative II, SEA is carried out by the topics of spatial structures (7 chapters) and strategic objects. Strategic objects in respect of which environmental assessment is planned refer to sites and facilities proposed by the CPRL concept developers to be included as newly planned objects that are appropriate to be given the status of a project of national importance. ASPECTS OF THE ASSESSMENT | Each of the abovementioned topics is considered in terms and environmental protection and sustainable development. Sustainable development covers the aspects of economic and macroeconomic development, social and cultural development and natural environment development. COMPLEXITY OF THE ASSESSMENT | In the process of drawing up of the CPRL SEA report, the complexity of assessment will be ensured through the analysis of synergies between structures in relation to STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 10 interaction between environment components and consequences affecting them, through identification of new challenges (both sectoral and cross-sectoral), general proposals and recommendations. The assessment of each topic in terms of chosen aspects takes addresses such territorial elements as intense urbanisation nuclei, agricultural areas, sea, coastline and natural areas (relatively). ASSESSMENT PROCESS | The assessment will entail breakdown by assessment components of the environment that is likely to be affected. With the assistance of an expert team and in consultation with the main assessment stakeholders, totally 14 environment components to be assessed were distinguished (see below). The components are evaluated by territorial elements, which are reflected by basic targets specified in the concept. Goals reflecting territorial elements (basic targets) were identified with a view to evaluating effects of alternatives on components in question. For some topics of spatial structures to be assessed goals were defined in relation to the whole territory of the country rather than any specific territorial element. Those are certain general provisions (goals) classified as ‘0’. Identification of consequences ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS TO BE ASSESSED | Considering the scope and character of the envisaged CPRL conceptual alternatives and their possibly significant effect on the environment in environmental, social, economic, macroeconomic and cultural terms, also taking account of the areas of competence of SEA stakeholders, with the help of an expert team and in consultation with the main assessment stakeholders, totally 14 environment components to be assessed were distinguished as relevant to the development assessment in a variety of aspects. FIGURE 1: ASSESSMENT STRUCTURE Source: compiled by authors CHARACTER AND SIGNIFICANCE OF CONSEQUENCES | While considering the above components, the assessment was made with regard to the likely significant environmental effects of the implementation of alternatives (positive and negative), taking into account their character:  Probable significant positive consequences (++).  Probable minor positive consequences (+).  No significant consequences or probable minor positive consequences (0/+).  Consequences are insignificant or both positive and negative consequences are likely (0 or +/-). STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 11  No significant consequences or minor negative consequences are likely (0/-).  Probable minor negative consequences (-).  Probable significant negative consequences (--). Significance of consequences (++ or --) is determined through expert assessment on the basis of the characteristics, duration, likelihood of occurrence and possible scope of consequences. CHARACTERISTICS AND CATEGORIES OF CONSEQUENCES | The consequences under discussion may be direct, indirect, cumulative, synergetic, of different duration (long-term (permanent), mid-term, short- term (temporary)), reversible and irreversible, with different likelihood of occurrence (high, medium, low), of different spatial scope (given the territory to be affected: national or regional level), of a cross- border level (likely to have a significant effect on the environment of another country). The above characteristics of consequences are only referred to in assessments in which they are clearly identifiable. EXPERT ASSESSMENT | This is a summarised opinion of an expert team derived from specialist expertise, experience and intuition. The expert assessment technique represents a procedure that allows aligning opinions of individual experts and arriving at a common decision. This method is particularly appropriate for CPRL SEA, as in this case it is extremely difficult or practically impossible to apply objective computational or empirical research methods. Expert assessment techniques are based on intuitive and logical problem analysis methods and are used to distinguish and analyse the significance and character of major consequences. Expert assessment is subject to qualitative and quantitative assessment indicators and may rely on equivalents, research, scientific articles, legal acts, rules or strategic instruments. Expert assessment involves such group assessment methods as a panel discussion, brainstorming or Delphi methods. CONSEQUENCES MATRICES (TABLES) | This method is based on breakdown of alternatives stipulated in the CPRL concept by components / topics and assessment of each of them in terms of environmental protection and sustainable development, taking into account the significance and character of consequences. This approach is used for summarising and visualising the effects of other techniques, expert or public discussions and comparison of alternatives (see Error! Reference source not found.). STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 12 FIGURE 2: CONSEQUENCES MATRIX SAMPLE TABLE Source: compiled by authors MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS | This method is used to compare among different CPRL concept alternatives and choose the best option on the basis of numerical results of the expert assessment. Further information about this method is given Description of SEA components and goals to be achieved While assessing the consequences under separate topics, it is important to identify components that define development in relation to each aspect, i.e. to determine how consequences on economic transport activity, labour market or engineering environment and other development components will be assessed. Having understood how each component is defined and which aspects and indicators are considered to assess consequences on each of them, it is possible to make a general assessment of the overall impact of components with regard to each aspect of development. Environment components to be assessed are further described in Table 1: COMPONENTS OF ASSESSMENT ASPECTS AND THEIR DESCRIPTION. TABLE 1: COMPONENTS OF ASSESSMENT ASPECTS AND THEIR DESCRIPTION COMPONENT DESCRIPTION COMPONENTS OF ECONOMIC AND MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Economic transport Given its geopolitical position, Lithuania is seen as a bridge between East and West, it activity (ETA) also has access to sea. As a result, logistics account for nearly 10% of Lithuania’s GDP1. Transport, as a part of the economic activity associated with meeting people’s needs, ensures personal and business trips (work and rest conditions) and international commodity exchange and is a necessary link in the production chain. This component is defined by carriage of passengers, goods and cargo by road, rail, through airports or seaports, volume of logistics and passenger transport activities, etc. The assessment is made with regard to the impact of implementation of each goal on the change in ETA. 1 Enterprise Lithuania, Overview of the Entrepreneurship Trend in Lithuania 2018 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 13 COMPONENT DESCRIPTION Labour market (LM) This component and its constituent indicators are often the key tools for measuring the economy. With economic growth, Lithuania’s labour market indicators have recently improved. The employment rate in Q1 2018 reached 70.6%, while the unemployment rate was 7.4%2. The proportion of the employed and active job-seekers in the total population, employment rate, percentage of employees in a specific sector as compared out of the total number of the employed, the number of active entities per one hundred working persons, average net wage, demand for a specific occupation, profession or specialisation are the key indicators defining the labour market. The assessment is made with regard to the impact of implementation of each goal on the offer of jobs in a certain area, i.e. the influence of the implementation of goals to be assessed on the creation of new jobs. Engineering The component of engineering environment addresses social and engineering environment (EE) infrastructure, its condition and quality, including motor roads and their condition, energy systems and grids (electricity, heating and gas), drinking water supply and waste water treatment, waste handling, renewable sources of energy, improvement of energy efficiency, transition to circular economy, electronic communications infrastructure, tourism and recreation infrastructure (paths, fences, sightseeing towers, etc.), structures of different purpose, etc. The assessment of the consequences of implementation of goals on EE takes account of not only the quantity of the current / newly developed infrastructure, but also its quality and management efficiency (e.g. the way the excess infrastructure is used). Engineering environment is significant not only nationally, but is also considered internationally, having evaluated the goals set for the development of engineering systems in a wider EU context (e.g. international electricity system connections, gas pipeline, Klaipėda LNG terminal, RES). Financial This component helps to determine the financial and/or economic situation of a city, resources/economic region or state. Financial resources are defined by the character, volume and potential prosperity (FR/EP) return of investment. Economic prosperity is measured by a number of different indicators and definitions, however generally those include such macroeconomic indicators as gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, unemployment, labour productivity, income distribution, tax burden and the rate of social benefit. Economic prosperity is a wider measure of economic prosperity than GDP. Net economic prosperity adjusts GDP by deducting ‘bad’ indicators (e.g. pollution) and adding useful indicators, which are not part of the single economic market, for example, leisure and the value it brings to an individual3. This means that the assessment takes account of not only the direct financial translation of the implementation of the goals to be assessed, but also the indirect economic benefit / damage (e.g. with regard to decreased air pollution or saving people’s lives). COMPONENTS OF SOCIAL AND CULTURAL DEVELOPMENT Mobility (MOB) This component defines characteristics of individuals and access to vehicles and other forms of transport. Mobility is measured by travel structure, dissemination, frequency, length, duration and costs. More sustainable mobility is characterised by a better travel structure (a greater portion of travels involves walking, non-motorised transport, public transport, green transport, etc.), lesser dissemination, duration and length. Priority is to be given to car or fossil fuel-powered vehicle alternatives and alternative means of transport. The assessment should be based on the understanding that more sustainable travel structure, wider use of green transport, more frequent circulation of public 2 Lithuanian labour Exchange, Lithuanian Labour Market Trends in 1st half of 2018 3 Nordhaus, W. D. and J. Tobin (1972). Is Growth Obsolete? STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 14 COMPONENT DESCRIPTION transport, greater possibilities for a passenger to choose a direction and time, shorter travels in terms of length and duration result in positive consequences on the mobility component. Human health and This component refers to overall quality of living, which encompasses the state of wellbeing (HHW) absolute physical, mental and social human wellbeing. The assessment addresses the accessibility of social, cultural and other services, the quality of living environment and its components, possibility to meet the basic human needs – physiological, safety, social, self-esteem (respect) and self-realisation – as well as financial needs. Urban environment Urban environment as one of the components defining territorial development, is (UE) perceived as built-up urban areas in towns and cities, rural areas built-up in a compact manner with engineering systems corridors and undeveloped plantations, public areas and national forests in cities accommodated for common use. Urbanised environment is identified by a territorial expression and values of certain indicators, such as undeveloped areas, number of permanent residents, etc. The assessment of consequences on urban environment addresses the impact on viability, spatial structure, visual expression, environmental quality and functionality of a residential location. COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENT (LANDSCAPE) Landscape and heritage Landscape means an area, as perceived by people, whose character is the result of the (LH) action and interaction of natural and/or human factors (European Landscape Convention). Cultural landscape refers to a man-made landscape that reflects the co- existence of people and environment. Natural landscape means a natural or sub-natural landscape, which has evolved and is developing under the influence of natural processes and whose development is substantially affected by natural processes and minimally affected by human activities. Cultural and natural heritage means a precious value for a nation (and the humanity as a whole) defining its identity. Natural habitats and Biodiversity means the entirety of living organisms and their living environment biodiversity (NHB) (habitats) and the variety of processes that take place in that environment (the variety of all forms of life) on our planet and/or in the area in question. Natural habitat refers to areas of land or water with characteristic geographical, abiotic and biotic, fully natural or semi-natural properties. Natural renewable and Natural resources, natural values include all that a human being obtains from natural non-renewable sources environment for his existence and economy and uses to provide for future development (NRNS) of material production. Natural resources are employed not only for the development of production or household applications, but also for recreation. Natural resources may be either renewable or non-renewable. Renewable sources cover solar, wind energy, hydropower, thermal / geothermal energy, fresh water, fertile soil horizon, biosphere resources. Non-renewable sources include mineral resources. COMPONENTS OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION Water quality (WQ) Good ecological status of surface water is characterised by biological, physical and chemical, hydromorphological indicators and their values typical of indicators for quality elements under natural, i.e. reference conditions, where the impact of man’s economic activities is at a minimum level. Soil (S) Soil is the top loose layer of the Earth’s crust formed in rocks impacted by paedogenetic factors (living organisms, water, air temperature) and able to yield a crop. Soil is the main production tool in agriculture and forestry. Its formation is determined by paedogenetic factors. The main factors defining soil condition are the quantity of organic STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 15 COMPONENT DESCRIPTION matter in soil, compaction, acidification, erosion, pollution and biodiversity decline. Air quality (AQ) Outdoor air in the troposphere, excluding work places (Law on Ambient Air Protection). Not all substances in air are considered to be pollutants. Air pollution is generally defined as a certain concentration of pollutants in the atmosphere negatively affecting human health, environment and cultural heritage (buildings, monuments and materials). The clear sky and good visibility not necessarily signal clean air. Not always air pollution comes from man-made sources. A number of natural phenomena, including volcanic eruptions, forest fires and sand storms, emit pollutants into the atmosphere. To secure good status of the ambient air, it is sought to keep emissions to the ambient air in Lithuania below non-hazardous air pollution levels and reduce ambient air pollution by sulphur dioxide, nitrogen oxide, solid particles, non-methane volatile organic compounds, also by heavy metals and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Climate change (CC) Climate means a set of statistical characteristics of the system consisting of interacting elements (atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, land surfaces and biosphere) with long, but complete periods of change. The result of interaction between these system elements is climate conditions on Earth or in any of its regions. A series of research and measurement confirm that climate is already now rapidly going through change, which is proved by increasing global temperature and rising sea level, warming and acidification of oceans, continental and mountain glaciers, shrinking areas covered by Arctic ice and snow and more frequent recurrence of extreme weather conditions. The anthropogenic impact leads to current climate changes and is the main cause of global warming that started in the middle of the 20th century. Greenhouse gases (GHG) refer to carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and F-gases. The impact of economic activities on climate change can be usefully translated into CO2 equivalent. CO2 equivalent means a non-dimensional value defining the impact of different GHG on global warming as compared to CO2. Lithuania has committed itself to ensure the implementation of short-term climate change mitigation goals and contribute to the achievement of indicative medium-term and long-term climate change mitigation goals by reducing GHG emissions. Each topic is analysed by the above components; however, the implementation consequences of alternatives are measured by their influence on Lithuania’s strategic objectives. These objectives are set out in approved strategic documents, such as Lithuanian Regional Policy – White Paper, 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and SDGs, National Progress Strategy ‘Lithuania 2030’, National Energy Independence Strategy, CPRL goals, EU Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection, etc. TABLE 2: OBJECTIVES OF THE STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT BY COMPONENT ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIVES OF THE STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS Components of economic Economic sustainability / prosperity – competitive state (CPRL concept) and macroeconomic development: Economic transport To ensure the creation of a competitive and resource efficient transport system by activity building up a multimodal transport network, securing interaction and consolidation process in freight and passenger logistics (White Paper) Labour market Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 16 ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIVES OF THE STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS employment and decent work for all (2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development) Engineering environment Make cities and human settlements inclusive, resilient and sustainable and ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns (SDGs) Financial resources / By 2030, progressively achieve and sustain income growth of the bottom 40 per cent of economic prosperity the population at a rate higher than the national average (2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development) Components of social and Social sustainability / identity – high-quality living environment and viable urban cultural development: structures (CPRL concept) Mobility Meeting mobility needs of the population through the creation of an effective integrated public transport system, modern infrastructure of suitable quality and promotion of sustainable mobility initiatives (National Progress Strategy ‘Lithuania 2030’) Human health and Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages (SDGs) wellbeing Urban environment Optimising the national urban structure, which would offer the best opportunity for social, economic and ecological development of the country and create conditions for high quality of living (CPRL goals) Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable (SDGs) Components of natural Environmental sustainability / responsible consumption – viable ecosystems and environment efficient bio-productive areas (CPRL concept) (landscape): Landscape and heritage Ensuring preservation of environmental sustainability of economic activity and landscape and maintaining the current cultural landscape and its benchmark areas as part of our country’s identity (White Paper of Lithuanian Rural Development and Agricultural Policy) Natural habitats and Preserve and increase biodiversity through its rational use and reduce the degradation biodiversity of natural habitats (CPRL goals) Natural renewable and By 2030, achieve the sustainable management and efficient use of natural resources non-renewable sources (SDGs) Common goals for use of energy from RES in 2050 – it is intended to obtain 80 per cent of the total consumption of electricity, heat and cooling energy and energy in the transport sector from renewable energy sources (National Energy Independence Strategy) Components of Environmental sustainability / responsible consumption – viable ecosystems and environmental efficient bio-productive areas (CPRL concept) protection: Water quality Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation (SDGs) Soil Reduce soil degradation, as well as sustain and increase the current soil fertility, ensure long-term sustainability of soil productivity (White Paper of Lithuanian Rural Development and Agricultural Policy) Protection and sustainable use of soil and restoring degraded soils to a level of STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 17 ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIVES OF THE STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS functionality consistent at least with current and intended use, thus also considering the cost implications of the restoration of soil (EU Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection) Air quality With regard to protection of air quality, to make sure that emissions to the ambient air in Lithuania are kept below the levels set in international and EU legal acts and that concentration of air pollutants in the ambient air is within the limits of ambient air pollution that do not pose any hazard to human health and the environment (National Environmental Protection Strategy 2030) Climate change The strategic goal of Lithuania’s climate change mitigation policy is to ensure that the growth of the country’s economy is more rapid than the increase in GHG emissions. For the purpose of monitoring the implementation of this strategic goal, an assessment criterion – GHG emissions per GDP unit (t CO2e/EUR 1 million GDP) (National Strategy for the National Climate Change Management Policy) – has been set. Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts (SDGs) STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 18 1. EVOLUTION IN THE ABSENCE OF THE CPRL 1.1. PROBLEMS AND THEIR ACCUMULATIONS The CPRL current state analysis identifies problem situations and associated challenges. The most important groups of challenges are related to negative migration and lack of human resources, lack economic activity and unsustainable development, environmental pollution and cohesion of different interests. 1.1.1. NEGATIVE MIGRATION AND LACK OF HUMAN RESOURCES The overall demographic situation in Lithuania is impaired due to large-scale migration, low birth rates and high mortality. This leads to depopulation, decrease in the number of children and people of working age and increase of dependent population of an older age within the total age structure of the population. The society is ageing throughout the EU and immigration from third countries does not offset this trend. Cross-border migration might be a key to certain challenges of the labour market, but it cannot reverse common trends. Challenges which we see today as problems will not be solved, but their character is going to change before 2030. In the current structure of the Lithuanian population, generations of young people and children are not numerous, i.e. there is no demographic potential for the growth of the population. Tension in the labour market might be alleviated by immigration flows from Ukraine or other third countries, which sooner or later is likely to cause social tensions in Lithuanian cities. Rural areas will continue to lose population (possibly, to a large extent, due to demographic renewal and internal migration processes). With stricter environmental requirements, in rural areas the investment burden will have to be borne by low-income earners within the rural population. Cost of living in rural areas will grow. Poverty and exclusion problems are likely to confront small towns. In peri- urban areas and higher mobility service zones the structure of the rural population will vary. There will be a greater number of mobile, educated (with professional qualification or higher education) middle-aged and older individuals able to handle new technologies. Accordingly, it will cause higher demand for service quality and transport, as well as a change in cultural life and values. According to Statistics Lithuania, population numbers are changing, but their proportion in rural areas and cities remains at the same level since 1989: approximately 67.5% in cities and 32.5% in rural areas. Therefore, Lithuania’s rural areas are expected to have 600,000-800,000 permanent residents in 2050. With the efforts of the state or the population, quality of life will improve both in urban and rural areas, however, urban residents will continue to suffer from climate change and social tensions. 1.1.2. LACK OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND UNSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The gap between cities and regions will inevitable enlarge. Cities will enjoy the accumulation of local and foreign investments and the expansion of high-tech and high added value production and skilled labour force. On the initiative of local communities, local business will develop in rural areas, and the local market will build on short food chains and services. This will give a basis for sustaining viability of local communities. With increasing pressure from EU structures with regard to environmental protection, area of territories subject to strict environmental requirements will expand and compulsory deployment of environmental measures in agriculture will reduce profitability. On the other hand, it will gradually drop with the impairment of soil quality. In cities, economic activity will continuously improve, at the same time environmental and social problems will consistently accumulate and require more and more funds for their solution. Energy consumption will be increasing both in households and business, while the production of energy from renewable sources will not reach the desirable level. This will lead to greater STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 19 energy import from the EU or third countries. Continuously promoted consumption of services and goods will steadily grow, just as amounts of waste, especially in urban areas. Waste management costs will be rising. This suggests that the problem of economic activity and associated issues will worsen and accumulate regardless of great efforts on the part of the Government, whether on its own initiative or urged by EU authorities, to cope with the situation. 1.1.3. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION Development of technology as well as robotization and digitalisation of production should cause decrease in emissions from stationary sources to air. However, due to growing costs, the progress will not be as rapid as desired. The level of automobilising is rising in the country and public transport fails to meet the needs either in urban or rural areas. Therefore, it is likely that even the introduction of a pollution tax will not reverse the tendency to use motor vehicles. Given that logistics centres are constructed, highways are built and planned in order to provide the best possible conditions for freight carriers, the volume of freight carriages, and at the same time air pollution by nitrogen oxides, is unlikely to decrease. As for agriculture, environmental measures are expected to be applied, but as long as the market for agricultural products remains favourable, the scale of intense cultivation of cereal crops in central regions of Lithuania will not decrease. As a result, diffuse pollution will compromise the state of surface water bodies and soil. Intensive use of chemical fertilisers for fertility purposes will contribute to climate change (with high emissions of nitrous oxide). It is expected that forest cover increasing through the national efforts will minimise pollution effects. Hence, regardless of efforts taken and application of measures, environmental pollution will be getting worse, the quality of resources will deteriorate and other related environmental problems will intensify. 1.1.4. COHESION OF DIFFERENT INTERESTS Conflicts of interest with regard to conservation, recreation, economic development followed by urbanisation, national defence within the 100 km coastline will be getting worse and hard to handle. Development priorities of national importance promoted by foreign investment possibilities and the haste to take decisions will lead to compromises that result in impairment of quality and decrease in the number of recreational resources, diminishing welfare of the local population and access to small business, hastily conserved or even lost natural / cultural heritage. Fragmented sectoral planning decisions will have a unilateral effect of economic prosperity, while sustainable or sustained seaside and coastline development targets will remain to be declaratory. 1.2. NATURAL ENVIRONMENT, PROTECTED AREAS AND LISTED SITES 1.2.1. NATURAL RESOURCES Lithuania’s main sustainable development objective is to attain the EU’s average in terms of economic and social development and resource efficiency, keep environmental pollution indicators within the permitted EU rates, comply with requirements of international conventions that restrict environmental pollution and impact on global climate. One of the priorities of sustainable development is more efficient use of natural resources. CHANGES IN THE ABSENCE OF CPRL | Currently, the established legal framework encourages the increase of forest cover in the country. Therefore, is it likely to grow. Nevertheless, sectoral decisions are only rational from a certain perspective. In implementing comprehensive plan solutions, forest cover will be further extended where forest is necessary for sustainability, environmental balance, landscape variety and other purposes. Accordingly, the enlargement of forest cover in the country without consideration of CPRL solutions will not allow to achieve sustainable development goals or properly develop an ecological compensation system. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 20 Utilised agricultural areas CHANGES IN THE ABSENCE OF CPRL | Intensive use of agro-ecosystems will impair soil fertility and increase its compaction. Zones so affected will gradually expand and at the end of the planning period will prevail in the overall structure of utilised agricultural areas. With the degradation of drainage systems, some of the utilised agricultural areas will turn into mires. In the overall structure of holdings, 10-50 ha (average size) farms with mixed economic activities will be prevalent. While the quality of utilised agricultural areas worsens, it is easier for mixed farms to survive in the changing agricultural market. Only small farms which refocus on high quality of production or services and join the business of short food or services chain will be able to subsist. Recreational resources CHANGES IN THE ABSENCE OF CPRL | Trends in the use of recreational resources and tourism potential will remain unchanged. A narrow sectoral approach, lack of partnership traditions and institutional division do not allow for generating additional benefits and development of adjacent sectors. Under such conditions, cities and resorts (Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipėda, Palanga, Neringa, Druskininkai, Birštonas) will benefit most from tourism. Tendencies of regional cooperation are observed in the Aukštaitija (Highlands) region. It is likely that by the end of the planning period the Aukštaitija region will succeed in bringing municipalities together for a joint activity and properly position the region on the international tourism market. Underground resources CHANGES IN THE ABSENCE OF CPRL | The growth of economic activity will cause higher demand, prospecting and extraction of mineral resources used in building. Volumes of oil recovery are unlikely to rise, as explored resources will be exhausted. Further prospecting will depend on common political decisions. The country is not ready for prospecting and extraction of other mineral resources. There is a lack of specialists, the public is not ready for larger-scale extraction projects. There are no political decisions, expertise or negotiating positions in the relevant global market. Without complex solutions stagnation should be expected with regard to the use of other underground deposits until the end of the planning period. 1.2.2. PROTECTION OF NATURAL VALUES AND ECOSYSTEMS Geo-ecological compensation system CHANGES IN THE ABSENCE OF CPRL | As a result of human activities, the number of natural and semi- natural territories will gradually decline, i.e. the geo-ecological potential of natural areas will continue to weaken. There are less and less territories that maintain overall ecological stability of animate nature and a man’s living environment, safeguard further existence and steady development of biodiversity, ensure absorption, neutralisation and clean-up of residues from anthropogenic activities, as well as continuity of the cycle of natural materials circulation. The process of diminishing is slow, restricted by environmental legal acts and institutional protection. It is likely that by the end of the planning period the degradation and transformation processes of the natural environment will not become irreversible. Protected areas system CHANGES IN THE ABSENCE OF CPRL | At present, no protection encouraging natural processes is assured with regard to naturally valuable territories. The state of those territories gradually worsens. The expansion of protected areas would eliminate the problem only partially. It is likely that in the nearest future the percentage of protected areas will increase up to 18%. The public opposes the establishment of new national parks, therefore full attention will probably be given to the protection of sustained landscape in the existing protected areas. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 21 1.2.3. LANDSCAPE CHANGES IN THE ABSENCE OF CPRL | The evolution of the landscape condition is reflected by the developments in the landscape farmland structure that take place in the territories. Among the present trends, special mention should be made of renaturalization, change in the forest species composition and utilised agricultural areas. The area of built new agricultural land and forest cover is expanding. Tendencies in the change of landscape condition are closely related to intensive change in economic and social conditions, this is why it is not sought to necessarily preserve the landscape as it is. Given moderate development of new agricultural areas and expansion of the total forest cover, the overall tendency in the change of the country’s landscape is good, yet unstable. All efforts to protect the landscape are channelled towards safeguarding the sustainability of change. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 22 2. DESCRIPTION OF GENERAL PROVISIONS AND ALTERNATIVES OF THE CPRL CONCEPT The vision suggested in the CPRL concept is set until 2050. The concept has been developed on the basis of the current state analysis and findings, which show the strands, trends and challenges of the spatial development of the national territory. Also, active discussions involving the public, specialists and representatives of various scientific circles were held in order to create a vision of the country’s development. The vision of the comprehensive plan of the territory of the Republic of Lithuania, as possible the best prospective spatial model of the country, has been developed in relation to three basic objectives of the spatial formation of the country’s territory: viable urban structures; viable ecosystems; efficient bioproduction areas. The concept highlights six main spatial systems, including urban, economic, transport (mobility), engineering, ecosystems and use of resources. From the territorial perspective, it identifies four territorial elements: intense urbanisation nuclei (cities and suburbs), agricultural areas, sea and coastline and (relatively) natural areas. While formulating conceptual solutions, principles were set for the development of spatial systems, territorial elements and special topics, descriptions were provided for two solutions concerning spatial development and functional priorities alternatives, and a list of sites / projects of strategic importance to be developed was prepared. A detailed description of the CPRL concept alternatives to be assessed is provided in the executive summary of the concept. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 23 3. NATURAL AREAS AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS THAT ARE LIKELY TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED PROTECTED AREAS | The Lithuanian system of protected areas includes the following:  Protected areas of conservational priority: strict reserves (natural and cultural) (5), national reserves (402), municipal reserves (112), objects of natural heritage (684, including 156 natural monuments), objects of natural heritage protected at a municipal level (217)4 and immovable cultural heritage sites and monuments (25,420).  Protected areas of ecological protection priority: protected areas under ecological protection.  Recuperational protected areas: recuperational (3) and genetic plots (156). Integrated protected areas: state parks (national (5) and regional (30)) and biosphere monitoring areas (biosphere reserves (1) and biosphere polygons (28)). Natura 2000 areas were and are integrated into the national system of protected areas. Lithuania has established areas important for the protection of birds (84) and habitats (475). As Lithuania consistently implements EU strategies for sustainable development and biodiversity, the minimum coverage of protected areas should reach 18%. An important objective is to preserve the sustained landscape condition in protected areas. TABLE 3: PROTECTED AREAS OF INTERNATIONAL IMPORTANCE IN LITHUANIA WORLD HERITAGE SITES WETLANDS OF INTERNATIONAL THE SYSTEM OF THE BALTIC SEA (UNESCO, 1972) IMPORTANCE (RAMSAR, 1971) PROTECTED AREAS (HELCOM, 1974) Vilnius Old Town (1994) State Čepkelių reserve (1993 m.) The Curonian Spit national park (1994) The Curonian Spit national park State Kamanų reserve (1993) Coastal cliff (Pajūris) regional park (2000) (1994) State Kernavė cultural reserve State Viešvilė reserve (1993) Nemunas delta regional park (1994) (2004) Trakai historical national park Žuvintas biosphere reserve (1993) (application submitted) Žuvintas biosphere reserve Nemunas delta regional park (1993) (2011) Adutiškio-Svylos-Birvėtos wetland complex (2011) Girutiškio swamp (2011) Source: State Service for Protected Areas Established areas that are of importance in terms of bird protection and identified locations that meet the criteria set for areas significant to the protection of habitats overlap to a considerable extent. The overlapping area approximates to 392,000 ha. 4 According to the data of 1 May 2018, State Cadastre of Protected Areas of the Republic of Lithuania. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 24 NATURE FRAME | The nature frame connects all protected areas into a single network but is not regarded as a protected area. In the areas of the natural frame, protection is ensured for the spatial and territorial structure and natural character of the landscape, ecological stability, aesthetic value of the landscape. FORESTS | According to the data of the State Land Fund of the Republic of Lithuania of 1 January 2019, forests cover 2,158,949.7 ha, or 33.5% of the country’s territory. Lithuania’s forest habitats are of high importance in terms of European phytogeographic distribution: one of the most important lines of plant natural ranges crosses Lithuania’ territory, which delineates the natural range of hornbeams in the northeast. The country’s territory extends in the transition zone of coniferous and broad-leaved woods, hence a rich variety of forest habitats formed here is complex and often has an irregular internal structure. There are 14 types of habitats of importance to the European Community identified in Lithuanian forests, including 6 types of habitats seen as a priority. CULTURAL HERITAGE | The greatest part of Lithuania’s immovable heritage is constituted of archaeological, urban and architectural values. Archaeological and mythological heritage sites are noted for their huge diversity: hillforts, old ramparts, defence walls and fortifications, ruins and remains of buildings, places of religious cult, etc. Urban values include historic old towns and towns, historical parts of cities, old villages and similar places or locations. Architectural sites embrace buildings, their parts, appurtenances, building complexes and ensembles. The register of cultural values lists over 2,000 archaeological sites, 90 historic cities and towns, around 580 manor estates, approximately 300 identified parks, still existing 43 ethnographic villages. The heritage of wooden manors and ethnographic villages is unique and remarkable. A substantial portion of the cultural heritage consists of movable cultural values such as monumental art works, wayside shrines, crosses and other art values (easel painting, mural painting, stained glass, metal plastics, ceramics, modelling, sculpture, carving, altars, pulpits, confessionals, organs, artistic furniture or equipment, other works of visual or applied arts). The majority of those are found in Lithuanian churches and monasteries. The world heritage sites on the World Heritage List are the most outstanding examples of the world cultural and natural heritage. Lithuania boasts four (4) sites included in the World Heritage List, namely Vilnius Historic Centre, Curonian Spit, Kernavė archaeological site and Struvė Geodetic Arc points. TERRITORIAL SEA OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA AND EXCLUSIVE ECONOMIC ZONE | The territorial sea of the Republic of Lithuania (‘territorial sea’) refers to the 12 nautical miles strip of the Baltic Sea waters along the coast of the Republic of Lithuania. The exclusive economic zone of the Republic of Lithuania (‘exclusive economic zone’) (EEZ) takes in the Baltic Sea extending beyond the limits of the territorial sea, in which the Republic of Lithuania has certain sovereignty rights, jurisdiction and obligations. The border of the Lithuanian continental shelf in the Baltic Sea coincides with the EEZ boundaries. In the context of the Baltic Sea, Lithuania’s exclusive economic zone is relatively rich in fish variety and resources. There are 21 freshwater species and 33 marine species registered here. The coast serves as a nursery ground for a lot of marine and migratory fish species. This area also features a vast number of freshwater fish species whose nursery grounds are in salt water (bream, zander, perch, roach, etc.). As many as 19 cyclostomes and fish species are protected under the Habitats Directive, Bern Convention or CITES Convention (Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora), 5 species are entered on the Lithuanian Red List and 18 species are regarded as very rare. Within the Lithuanian waters, the major areas of commercial fishing are the seacoast, the area at the Russian border and the area bordering the Swedish zone. Here fish is caught by trawl nets and set nets. Commercial fishing of the main species is subject to quotas. National protected areas established in Lithuania’s territorial sea and exclusive economic zone make part of the European ecological network Natura 2000. Their purpose is the protection of birds and habitats. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 25 TABLE 4: NATIONAL PROTECTED AREAS ESTABLISHED IN THE LITHUANIAN TERRITORIAL SEA AND SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE ITEM NAME AREA (HA) VALUES FOR THE PROTECTION OF WHICH A PROTECTED AREA IS ESTABLISHED (HABITAT CODE AND NAME) 1. Sambija plateau 25,041 ha 1170 – Reefs biosphere polygon 2. Klaipėda-Ventspils 31,949 ha 1170 – Reefs plateau biosphere Area of accumulations of overwintering water birds (velvet polygon scoters, razorbills, long-tailed ducks) 3. Baltic Sea 31,959 ha Area of regular accumulations of migratory water birds of biosphere polygon importance to the European Community: little gulls (Larus minutus) and overwintering water birds (velvet scoters (Melanitta fusca), razorbills (Alka torda)). 4. Baltic Sea 14,000 ha Protected valuable Baltic Sea coast ecosystem between Giruliai thalasological strict and Manciškės established particularly to preserve populations reserve of red-throated divers (Gavia stellata), Steller’s Eiders (Polysticta stelleri), common goldeneyes (Bucephala clangula), goosanders (Mergus merganser) and little gulls (Larus minutus), areas of their overwintering and migratory accumulations, areas of the natural sea habitat of European importance – 1170 Reefs – and ensure proper level of their protection. 5. Karklė 3,100 ha Protected unique sea complex characterised by a wide thalasological strict biodiversity on the Lithuanian coast, sea rocky reef biotopes with reserve, Pajūrio mussel communities, furcellaria colonies, fish spawning and (coastal cliff) feeding grounds, 1170 Reefs habitat of importance to the regional park European Community, protected areas of overwintering and migratory accumulations of Steller’s Eiders (Polysticta stelleri), common goldeneyes (Bucephala clangula), goosanders (Mergus merganser) and little gulls (Larus minutus), European river lamprey. 6. Neringa 12,516 ha Protected shallow seacoast underwater landscape ecosystem thalasological strict with habitats of European importance, an area important to the reserve, Curonian protection of birds and habitats, overwintering and feeding areas Spit national park for long-tailed ducks (Clangula hyemalis), red-throated divers (Gavia stelata), goosanders (Mergus merganser), common goldeneyes (Bucephala clangula), common pochards (Aythia ferina), great crested grebes (Podiceps cristatus), Steller’s Eiders (Polysticta stelleri). Source: compiled by authors SOIL | Soil cover of the Baltic and Žemaičių highlands is highly varied and contrasting, while that in the plains of western Lithuania is homogeneous and even. The varied and contrasting soil cover makes it impossible to form large crop rotation fields, as soils with different characteristics do not dry up or yield crops at the same time, and agro-technical and agricultural drainage measures vary in terms of their efficiency. In comparison with some European countries, soils in Lithuania are well explored and mapped. Agro- chemical and special soil analyses have been carried out since 1964. In 1999 a comprehensive modern national soil classification of Lithuania (LTDK-99) was created in compliance with the revised, amended and supplemented (1997) legend of the FAO-UNESCO Soil Map of the World (1990). STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 26 ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY | The National Environmental Protection Strategy approved by Resolution No XII-1626 of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania of 16 April 2015 sets out the main principles of environmental protection. The strategic goal is to achieve the environment in Lithuania that is healthy, clean and safe and sustainably meets public, environmental and economic needs. In the area of water protection, it is aimed at ensuring good state of ground water and surface water bodies, the Curonian Lagoon and the Baltic Sea, suitability of surface water bodies for recreational needs and access for the entire population of the country to drinking water that meets safety and quality requirements. The condition of surface water bodies is most negatively affected by diffuse and point source pollution, drainage and straightening of rivers, hydropower plants and international pollution loads coming from the neighbouring countries. The pollution of the Baltic Sea is caused not only by pollutants directly entering the Baltic Sea, but also by pollutants finding their way from river. Lithuania is obligated by the EU by 2021 to increase the portion of water bodies in good status more than by one third. With regard to the protection of air quality the aim is to make sure that pollution emissions to ambient air in Lithuania is kept with the limits set out in international and EU legal acts, the concentration of air pollutants in ambient air does not exceed ambient air pollution levels innocuous for human health and environment. Just as in other EU member states, in Lithuania pollution released to the ambient air is decreasing. The greatest challenge is to minimise pollution by nitrogen oxides. This pollutant not only indirectly affects human health, but also contributes to the formation of another pollutant hazardous to health and ecosystems – ozone in ambient air – which does not directly come from pollution sources. The major portion of nitrogen oxides (59% according to data of 2016) originates from the transport sector, out of which 78% of the total emissions is released by the road transport. Another pollutant that raises concerns in relation to air pollution, air quality and, at the same time, adverse effect on human health (particularly relevant in Lithuanian cities during heating periods) is solid particles, the main sources of which is the energy sector, including household (private homes) heating production installations and solid fuels that are burned in them. The strategic goal of Lithuania’s climate change mitigation policy is to secure that the growth rate of the country’s economy surpasses the increase in GHG emission levels. In order to monitor the attainment of this strategic goal, an assessment criterion was set in the form of GHG emissions per GDP unit (t CO2e/EUR 1 million GDP). Lithuania successfully complies with the commitments of the Kyoto Protocol to cut GHG emissions to the atmosphere. In comparison with the reference year 1996, in 2016 emissions decreased by 58.3%, however, in such sectors as agriculture, transport, household, waste, etc. over the three recent years the volumes of greenhouse gases rose by nearly 12%, the major portion of which is due to the road transport. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 27 4. ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES IN TERMS OF ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 4.1. ASSESSMENT OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS FOR THE URBAN SYSTEM AND ITS STRUCTURE TABLE 5: GOALS OF THE URBAN SYSTEM AND ITS STRUCTURE BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENT GOAL DESCRIPTION 0. GENERAL STRUCTURAL PROVISIONS 0a Full integration in EU urban environment through the optimisation of the urban structure and boosting the country’s competitiveness. Creating preconditions for high quality of living by way of developing the polycentric hierarchical network of residential areas and minimising regional exclusion. 1. SUCCESSFUL, SOCIAL AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES 1a Integrated development of compact cities through the consolidation of peri-urban structures. 2. ORGANIC, COST-EFFECTIVE (SUSTAINABLE) AGRICULTURE AND VIABLE RURAL AREAS 2a Enhancing viability of rural residential areas by creating full living conditions and developing the community, as well as protecting their uniqueness and authenticity. 4. RESPONSIBLY USED SEA AND COASTLINE 4a Exploiting the existing recognised recreation potential through the development of tourism infrastructure, promoting marine recreation and the knowledge of marine culture and natural heritage. The following tables (see Error! Reference source not found., Error! Reference source not found.) show the assessment results of the environmental consequences under this topic. TABLE 6: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE URBAN SYSTEM AND ITS STRUCTURE FOR ALTERNATIVE I GOAL ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL MACROECONOMIC CULTURAL ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT (LANDSCAPE) COMPONENTS8 COMPONENTS5 COMPONENTS 6 COMPONENTS7 5 ETA – economic transport activity, LM – labour market, EE- engineering environment, FR/EP – financial resources/economic prosperity STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 28 GOAL ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL MACROECONOMIC CULTURAL ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT (LANDSCAPE) COMPONENTS8 COMPONENTS5 COMPONENTS 6 COMPONENTS7 ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a 0/+ + + +/- + + +/- 0 0 0 + + + + 1a 0/+ + 0/+ 0/- ++ + ++ ++ ++ ++ + +/- + ++ 2a 0/- 0/- 0/- 0/- + +/- + + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 4a 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ + + +/- +/- + + +/- 0 +/- +/- TABLE 7: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE URBAN SYSTEM AND ITS STRUCTURE FOR ALTERNATIVE II GOAL ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL MACROECONOMIC CULTURAL ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT (LANDSCAPE) COMPONENTS COMPONENTS COMPONENTS COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a + ++ ++ + ++ ++ + + 0 + + + + + 1a + ++ + 0/+ ++ + ++ ++ ++ ++ + +/- + ++ 2a +/- 0/+ 0 +/- ++ + + + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 4a 0/+ + + + + + +/- +/- +/- + +/- 0 +/- +/- TABLE 8: SUMMARIES AND INSIGHTS INTO THE ASSESSMENT OF THE URBAN SYSTEM AND ITS STRUCTURE SUMMARIES AND INSIGHTS  The polycentric urban structure creates good preconditions for rational use of resources characterised by relatively even territorial distribution (development of agriculture and forestry as well as wilderness tourism, extraction of mineral resources for local needs, etc.), steady provision of preconditions for quality of life. The potential of individual cities in the polycentric system (ability to generate activities of high added value) is insufficient to boost the country’s competitiveness (Goal 0a). Hence, the concept solutions target at combining the economic / social development potentials of neighbouring cities – Vilnius and Kaunas, as well as Šiauliai and Panevėžys, and promoting integrated actions of cooperating municipalities directed towards common goals and enabling rapid expansion of activities with high added value. Cities visible in the European context are conducive to local and foreign investments, which in turn supports 6 MOB – mobility, HHW – human health and wellbeing, UE – urban environment. 7 LH – landscape and heritage, NHB – natural habitats and biodiversity, NRNS – natural renewable and non-renewable sources. 8 WQ – water quality, S – soil, AQ – air quality, CC – climate change. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 29 SUMMARIES AND INSIGHTS improvement of their quality of life and urban environment but tends to deepen regional exclusion. In the vase of both alternatives, the Lithuanian urban structure developed according to the principle of partnerships will remain polycentric with three more vividly expressed urban combinations – Vilnius- Kaunas, Šiauliai-Panevėžys and Klaipėda. Subject to the extension of the principle of partnerships in the network of urban centres of a regional level, Alternative II provides better conditions for addressing regional divide (Goal 0a).  A realised idea of compact cities and integrated suburbs (Goal 1a) is likely to have more or less significant positive effects on all environment components concerned. A compact city refers to a densely populated city characterised by multifunctional urban structures, sustained and efficient use of resources, available supply of quality services, developed and convenient public transport, reduced need for a private car and environmentally sustainable system of green plantations. Increasing density of urban development leads to more intense use of the existing infrastructure, however, there is still the risk of losing values, destroying natural structures and severing established social relations. In order to prevent undesirable consequences, the principles of complex planning and development should be followed. In the case of Alternative II, integration of existing suburbs in common social and infrastructure structures of a compact city would be easier with the application of the adjusted principle of partnerships, which allows to share resources and flexibly accommodate the existing infrastructure at the same time saving public funds.  The concept solutions set the goal of ‘enhancing viability of rural residential areas by creating full living conditions and developing the community, as well as protecting their uniqueness and authenticity’ (Goal 2a). In the case of both alternatives, urban system development solutions will not provide conditions for the enhancement of the overall viability of rural areas or at least stabilisation of negative changes (vanishing of villages). It is expected, that at the end of the planning period rural areas will count as many as 600,000-800,000 residents. It is likely that full living conditions in a specific rural area will be created by its residents gathered together in the form of communities. The availability of public services is intended to be secured through the development of mobility packages. Once SMART mobility services are developed on the initiative of local communities, the access to the top-level services by public transport will be possible, but inconvenient due to the number of changes of transport on the route. As a result, the need for the rural population to own a private car will remain.  Goal 4a of ‘exploiting the existing recognised recreation potential through the development of tourism infrastructure, promoting marine recreation and the knowledge of marine culture and natural heritage’ is likely to be associated with the renovation, conversion and humanisation of the urbanised environment on the sea shore and coast, therefore, both alternatives consider low importance to the environment components in question. Giving Neringa the status of a recreational centre of the national importance (Alternative II) will make little difference, as Neringa makes part of the national park with tough activity restrictions. On the other hand, the implementation of a strategic facility project – external seaport – (with the planned installation of a public quay) could give a stronger impetus to tourism infrastructure development, marine recreation and related activities. 4.2. ASSESSMENT OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS FOR SERVICE DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THE URBAN STRUCTURE TABLE 1: GOALS OF SERVICE DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THE URBAN SYSTEM BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS GOAL GOAL DESCRIPTION NO 1. SUCCESSFUL, SOCIAL AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES 1a To ensure a modern and accessible network of health care services infrastructure. 1b To form an accessible, affordable and result- and educational quality-oriented network of preschool sector and education infrastructure. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 30 GOAL GOAL DESCRIPTION NO 1c To expand the system of social services for older people, which is based on the effective model of integrated social services, i.e., by meeting the social needs of older people through a coordinated team of health care and social protection specialists, incorporating the available competences, skills and resources, and using the general infrastructure. 1d To create a multi-tier infrastructure of cultural services and strive to employ cultural (heritage) objects by involving the society in cultural activities. 1e To increase competitive advantage of public transport over personal vehicles in terms of trip time and ensure accessibility of everyday locations by alternative means of transportation. 2. ORGANIC, ECONOMICAL (SUSTAINABLE) AGRICULTURE AND VIBRANT RURAL AREAS 2a To ensure that villages, towns and small settlements act as local centres of rural territories offering concise accessible essential services (education, health, social) corresponding to the changed demographic situation. 2b To concentrate the cultural services provided in the regions and integrate separate objects into complex network rendering sociocultural services – the system of services. To adapt the cultural infrastructure of the regional centres for promotion of high-quality content by engaging the alternative facilities, heritage sites and public areas. To stimulate local communities to participate actively in the process of preservation and enshrining of cultural heritage, carry on craftsmanship traditions and stimulate cultural tourism. 2c To enhance coherence between local centres of rural territories and higher level urban areas, accessibility of special services by creating, optimising and ensuring availability of regional public transport and efficient services, and increasing synergy of various means of transport, and private and public transport for daily commute services. The results of assessment of impact of this subject on the environment are presented in the Tables below (see Table 2, Table 3). TABLE 2: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SERVICE DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THE URBAN SYSTEM FOR ALTERNATIVE I GOALS COMPONENTS OF ECONOMIC COMPONENTS OF SOCIAL NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL AND MACRO-ECONOMIC AND CULTURAL ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT (LANDSCAPE) COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 1a 0 0 0 -- + + +/- 0 0 0 0 0 0/- 0/- 1b 0 0 0/+ - + + +/- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1c 0 ++ 0 -- + +/- + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1d 0 + 0 +/- 0 + + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1e + 0/+ 0/+ +/- + + ++ 0 0 0 + + + + 2a +/- 0/+ 0/+ - + + +/- + 0 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 2b 0 + 0 - 0/- + 0 + 0 0 0 0 0 0 2c 0 0 0/+ +/- + + 0 0 0 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 31 TABLE 3: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SERVICE DISTRIBUTION WITHIN THE URBAN SYSTEM FOR ALTERNATIVE II GOALS COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 1a 0 0/+ 0/+ +/- ++ ++ ++ 0 0 0 0 0 - - 1b 0 0/+ + +/- ++ +/- ++ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1c 0 ++ 0/+ - ++ +/- + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1d 0 + 0/+ +/- 0 ++ ++ + 0 0 0 0 0 0 1e ++ 0/+ + ++ ++ + ++ 0 0 0 ++ ++ ++ ++ 2a +/- 0/+ + 0/- + + + + 0 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 2b 0 + 0/+ 0/- 0/- ++ 0/+ + 0 0 0 0 0 0 2c 0/+ 0 + +/- ++ ++ 0 0 0 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ TABLE 4: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO SERVICE DISTRIBUTION OF SERVICES WITHIN THE URBAN STRUCTURE SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The greatest impact of implementation of the services system reform will be exerted on the components of economic and social environment in both alternatives. Any significant impact, particularly negative, on the natural environment and environmental quality components is highly unlikely. Upon implementation of conceptual solutions for distribution of services in the network of residential areas, the best results in terms of quality of services and accessibility can be expected in the medium-sized towns and large cities, where it is expected to develop service packages encompassing all the levels – from those satisfying imperative needs to those of partially small or even small demand. It is expected that at the end of the planned period, these areas will be populated by 1.5-2.0 mln (approx. 70%) of permanent Lithuanian residents. The implemented aim ‘Competitive public transport and ensuring availability of daily services through alternative means of transport’ (Goal 1e) will have a material effect on the economic and social welfare and environmental indicators in the cities in respect of implementation of both alternatives. This goal must be prioritised in the urban policy by development of compact cities (medium-sized and large in particular). Significant positive benefits will be potentially manifested in the mobility, human health and well-being, and built environmental components. During implementation of reformation of the social protection system (Goal 1c) and when seeking to meet the cultural development targets (Goal 1d), expansion of labour market in the cities of various sizes and significant positive impact on the environmental components (air, climate change) due to reduced traffic flows and congestion, as a result of use of alternative means of transport, are expected.  The reformation of the education and social institutions network will demand the greatest investments. However, in case of Alternative II, the efficiency of investment will be considerably greater because it would allow creating the possibility for municipalities and public services institutions to communicate on the grounds of joint activities, sharing human and material resources, project-related activities and creating a broader variety and better quality of services determined by common accord. Thus, due to the common ‘partnership’ policy in all levels of urban system in Alternative II, the transformation of the public services system is likely to be more flexible and dynamic, as it will be implemented with participation of municipalities, public services institutions, public (NGO, trade unions, etc.) and local communities. This allows expecting both, economic benefits offered by the effect of synergy of activities and fundamental changes in political life of the public, i.e. slightly increased democratic and civic awareness of the society, STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 32 SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS confidence in the state and public institutions, more active political participation and general public accord.  In the rural area, the reform of the structure of services will yield positive results in terms of social environment components (in particular by planning cohesion of local centres and higher level urban centres; connectivity of transport services is declared in Goal 2c); however, the significance of outcomes is lower than in the cities. The population density in rural areas, particularly in those situated remotely from the developed metropolitan centres, is very low with a trend towards reduction. In this situation, the network of centres providing essential services is narrowing, while the available service infrastructure become excessive, the maintenance costs of which become burdensome on the municipal budget. The implementation of the conceptual solutions will include optimisation of the services infrastructure and introduction of the principles of connectivity, multi-functionality (in Alternative I and II) and shared management of infrastructure (in Alternative II). Implementation of these principles on the local level will be challenging at best, because this concept does not provide for development of the centres’ synergy and connectivity of transport services on this level. The standards of accessibility of services, based on the model of territorial hierarchy of services without the qualitative resources and demand factor on the regional and local level, disparage the possibility to ensure the quality of the services actually provided.  The conceptual solutions of both alternatives emphasise the ‘joint liability’ of urban centres (each centre separately, on the level of the centre or network as a whole) for cohesion of operation of the network on the basic public services infrastructure and quality standard of the services provided. All urban centres are part of the municipal jurisdiction as an administrative unit or part thereof, therefore, the success of implementation of this provision both in terms of the ‘competition’ and ‘partnership’ principles will be determined by different targets to be achieved by the institutions and integrity degree of the approach. The economic benefit in terms of public financial matters can be expected due to the operating synergy effect, if the ‘competitiveness’ principle on the institutional level is replaced with the ‘partnership’ principle for the purposes of development of the infrastructure. 4.3. ASSESSMENT OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS FOR THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY TABLE 5: GOALS OF THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS GOAL GOAL DESCRIPTION NO 0. GENERAL STRUCTURAL PROVISIONS 0a The main efficiency target of the transport system and its constituents is synergy and multimodality that ensure uninterrupted connectivity between the cities, regions and countries via the rationally allocated transport points (ports, stations, logistic centres and attraction sites) and effective connection between them (including intelligent transport systems (hereinafter – the ITS) and other organisational / managerial tools and services). 0b To maintain international significance of connections and ensure conformity with the standards in all main international connections. To ensure connectivity of the centres providing transport services at national level with the centres providing international transport services, as well as with the connections to the neighbouring countries. 0c To enhance accessibility of the territories with recreational resources and increase the recreational potential through implementation of transportation means in these territories. 0d To ensure implementation of road safety and security measures allowing to prevent traffic casualties in the country. To ensure that the traffic system is adapted for people with special needs (hereinafter – the PSN). STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 33 1. SUCCESSFUL, SOCIAL AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES 1a To ensure that the transport system infrastructure facilitates formation of a sustainable travelling structures and accessibility of the primary and everyday locations by alternative transport methods (on foot, by bicycles, public transport, etc.). To promote development of digital infrastructure. 1b To adapt the travel system infrastructure to allow deeper integration of travel alternatives and freight services through application of the principles of multimodality and intermodality. To ensure broader application of the ITS solutions and smart technologies (‘digital infrastructure’). 2. ORGANIC, ECONOMICAL (SUSTAINABLE) AGRICULTURE AND VIBRANT RURAL AREAS 2a To enhance interoperability of all modes of transport, private and public transport. 4. RESPONSIBLE USE OF THE SEA AND COAST 4a To facilitate integration of the maritime and land transport connections and intermodality of freight services through creation of seaport infrastructure and logistic centres with special focus on the railway transport. 4b To ensure development of the network of small seaports and wharfs on the Baltic Sea coastline, which is dedicated to development of marine recreation and other maritime activities. The results of assessment of impact of this subject on the environment and description of the environmental impact assessment are presented in the Tables below (see Table 6, Table 7 and Table 7). TABLE 6: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY FOR ALTERNATIVE I GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a + + + +/- + + + 0/- 0/- 0/- + + + + 0b + + + +/- + 0 + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0c 0 0 0/+ 0 + + 0/+ +/- - +/- 0 0 0 0 0d 0/- 0 + ++ + ++ + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1a 0/+ 0/+ + +/- + + + + + + + + + + 1b 0/+ 0/+ + +/- + + ++ 0 0 0 + + + + 2a 0/+ 0/+ + +/- + ++ + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4a + + + 0/+ 0 + 0 - - - 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 4b + 0/+ + + + + + + - + 0/- 0 0/- 0/- TABLE 7: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY FOR ALTERNATIVE II GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 34 GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a ++ + + 0/+ ++ + + 0/- 0/- 0/- + + + + 0b + + + 0/+ ++ 0 ++ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0c 0 + + 0/+ + + + +/- - +/- + + + + 0d 0/- 0 + ++ + ++ + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1a + 0/+ + + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ + + + + 1b + 0/+ + + ++ ++ ++ 0 0 0 + + + + 2a + 0/+ + 0/+ + ++ + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4a ++ + ++ + 0 + 0 - - - 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 4b + 0/+ + + + + + + - + 0/- 0 0/- 0/- TABLE 8: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO THE TRANSPORT SYSTEM AND MOBILITY SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The achievement of goals 0a, 0c and 4b could exert local low-significance or insignificant negative consequences for natural environmental components, including the biodiversity in both the alternatives offered. The arrangement of the transport connections during creation of new logistic centres, whereas 3 new objects of transport infrastructure are planned (Rail Baltica project, new airport and deep-sea outer seaport), although only locally, could potentially affect the natural environment (landscape) components. On the other hand, the goals (0a, 0b, 0c and 4a) are important for the country's integration into the global EU and world transport structure and country's economic and social growth, therefore, they will be implemented no matter what. Potential negative impact can be determined by preparation of the projects and territory planning documents with measures provided for prevention or mitigation of the negative effects. Therefore, it is expected that negative impact on the environmental components will be temporary and will not be significant in the long run.  The greatest positive impact on human health and well-being, as well as on financial environment and economic prosperity, will be exerted by implementation of road safety goals (0d) in both alternatives. The integrated road safety measures will not have significant impact on the natural environment components.  Alternative II is able to facilitate more possibilities in terms of transport system effectiveness (0a) and international and regional connectivity (0b), i.e. it can exert a greater positive effect on the economic and social environmental components.  Implementation of sustainable travel model and multimodality/intermodality solutions can be better facilitated by Alternative II. Particularly significant positive impact is expected in respect of the social environmental components. The adaptation of the travel infrastructure in rural areas through creation of interoperability of private and public transport (2a) could exert significant positive effect on human health and wellbeing due to the conditions facilitated for the local residents allowing to meet their basic needs. The impact of both alternatives in terms of this aspect would be equally significant.  The solutions in Alternative II for implementation of the integration of maritime and land transport connections target will demonstrate a greater effect on the economic components than those provided in Alternative I. The added benefit will be generated with the help of economic partnerships in the seas and coastal areas, granting priority to mobility, provision of services and appropriation of economic potential in Klaipėda-Tauragė-Telšiai partnership area. The high level of goods mobility can be achieved with the help STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 35 SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS of organisational measures demanding less resources, therefore, return on investment can be expected, while the economic benefits generated through partnerships will in the long run yield significant positive effects. In both alternatives, the development of small seaports will offer low-significance positive impact on the economic and social environment components. MEASURES ALLOWING PREVENTION, MITIGATION OR COMPENSATION OF SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE IMPACT OF IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT The following indirect measures can be used to mitigate or prevent impact: environmental education and introduction of the cognitive tourism information system. This can be particularly relevant for the protected territories. The direct measures mitigating impact of transport infrastructure on natural habitats and biodiversity are the following:  Design, implementation and maintenance of environmental measures by reconstructing, laying and maintaining the roads in accordance with the ‘Recommendation for design, implementation and maintenance of environmental measures. Biodiversity protection APR-BĮA 10’.  Implementation of goals 4a and 4b, development and expansion of small seaports and wharfs on the Baltic Sea coastline must be carried out with respect to the coast formation processes and in accordance with the solutions provided for in the protected areas planning documents, coastline management plan and complex planning documents.  To apply the new soil dumping principles, priority coastal erosion reducing measures; to minimise negative impact on the environment and other economic activities, fishery in particular. The specific measures allowing to mitigate environmental impact or prevent it altogether will be determined during the environmental impact assessment, drafting of the planning documents or planning of economic activities. 4.4. ASSESSMENT OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS FOR THE ENGINEERING SYSTEM TABLE 9: GOALS OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS GOAL NO GOAL DESCRIPTION 0. GENERAL STRUCTURAL PROVISIONS 0a To promote RES development while focusing on development of prosumers and wind energy, as well as further use of renewable energy sources for district network heat generation through introduction of efficient biofuel co-generation and household power generation. To intensify the use of renewable underground thermal resources, i.e. employment of the possibilities offered by geothermal energy. 0b To introduce the circular economy model in order to stimulate reuse of products (allowing longer preservation of product value and avoiding waste accumulation). 0c To ensure quality of electronic connection and its development throughout the country. 0d To expand the potential of the regional gas infrastructure and liquefied natural gas (LNG) technologies, and the distribution and competence centre, with Lithuania potentially becoming the LNG sector's distribution centre in the south-eastern Baltic Region. 0e To promote the use of electronic vehicles in the transport sector, maintain first generation biofuels production and second generation biofuels production and consumption. In the long run, it is expected that 50% of the transport sector's energy consumption will comprise the RES-generated energy and use of vehicles running on conventional fuels (petrol and diesel) in the cities will drop by 100% before 2050. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 36 GOAL NO GOAL DESCRIPTION 1. SUCCESSFUL, SOCIAL AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES 1a To stimulate availability of heat in the buildings, which is produced by district heat supply method, while prioritising the urban territories. 1b To ensure efficient engineering infrastructure network in the densely populated territories and suburban areas. 2. ORGANIC, ECONOMICAL (SUSTAINABLE) AGRICULTURE AND VIBRANT RURAL AREAS 2a To optimise the engineering infrastructure in less populated areas to ensure its compatibility with the needs of local residents and economy. 4. RESPONSIBLE USE OF THE SEA AND COAST 4a To ensure and develop infrastructure required for implementation of strategic objects, as well as development and enhancement of connections (energy, gas, integrated wind farm network, etc.) with the neighbouring countries. The results of assessment of impact of this subject on the environment and description of the environmental impact assessment are presented in the Tables below (see Table 10, Table 11 and Table 12). TABLE 10: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE I GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a 0 + + ++ + 0/+ + +/- +/- + + + ++ ++ 0b 0 + + + 0 + + + + + + + + ++ 0c 0 0 + 0/+ ++ +/- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0d + + + +/- 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 0e 0 0 + +/- ++ + + 0 + + + + + + 1a 0 0 +/- +/- 0 + 0 0 + + + + + + 1b 0 0 +/- +/- + +/- +/- 0 + + + + + + 2a 0 0 +/- +/- 0/- + 0 0 0 0 + + + + 4a 0 + ++ ++ + 0 + - - + 0 - 0/+ + TABLE 11: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE II GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 37 GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a 0 + + ++ + 0/+ + +/- +/- + + + ++ ++ 0b 0 + + + 0 + + + + + + + + ++ 0c 0 0 + 0/+ ++ +/- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0d + + + +/- 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 0e 0 0 + +/- ++ + + 0 + + + + + + 1a 0 0 + + 0 + 0 0 + + + + + + 1b 0 0 + + + + + 0 + + + + + + 2a 0 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/- + 0 + + + + + + + 4a 0 + ++ ++ + 0 + - - + 0 - 0/+ + TABLE 12: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO ENGINEERING SYSTEMS SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The development of RES (renewable energy sources) energy generation and consumption in the second half of the planned period presupposes the most significant positive effects on the economic environment components, in particular on financial resources and economic prosperity. The first decade's production capacity of RES energy will be uncompetitive on the energy exchange market and demand public investment, however, return on investment is expected in the long run. Implementation of the ambitious energy independence targets (100% of energy from RES before 2050) will require convincing small energy consumers to invest into RES production for own needs. This can become burdensome for residents of rural areas and small towns living in poverty and exclusion, as well as to small-sized economic entities. On the other hand, the transition to reduced pollution generation of power will also offer indirect economic benefits due to reduction of the levels of gas emissions producing the greenhouse effect.  The goal of transformation of the country's economy through introduction of the circular economy model is aimed at maximising the reduction of waste levels and use of resources through innovative design of products and reuse, adjustment or repair, processing, and sustainable use thereof, as well as implementation of the novel business models. This will offer the best benefits to soil (no additional territories required for arrangement of dump sites), ambient air quality (no emissions-related air pollution at the waste collection, temporary storage, sorting and utilisation sites) and climate change components (reduction of CO2 levels and other gases responsible for climate change). The implementation of the targets in the first decade could be challenging as it will require convincing small business subjects to implement innovations at the cost of profit. However, in the long run, the development of the culture of circular economy in the EU and Lithuania will pay off.  Ensuring quality and development of electronic communication services throughout the country's territory (including development of broadband electronic communication networks in rural areas of Lithuania) in respect to the downward population trends in separate regions, as well as creation of sharing economy will be significant in terms of development of mobility of residents in both alternatives. The coordinated measures for simultaneous implementation of both goals (0c and 0e) would yield an additional synergy benefit for the transport, mobility and financial resources components. This will produce advantageous conditions for the use of autonomous motor vehicles in the private and public transport sectors in the STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 38 SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS urban and rural areas. The appropriate quality of electronic communications, additional investment into development of alternative fuelling stations, public transport renewal and wider use of RES in the transport sector will in the short run demand substantial investment and be expensive in terms of cost and benefit ratio, however, in the long run, it will produce a significant effect in creating a competitive public transport services system based on efficient use of resources, both in the cities and rural areas.  The development of infrastructure onshore and offshore required for implementation of the strategic projects, creation and enhancement of connections (energy, gas, integrated wind farm network, etc.) with the neighbour states will be significant for the labour market, engineering environment, financial resources and economic prosperity components, however it will produce negative effects on the coastal natural environment components. Seeking integration into the global economic, infrastructure and European security architecture entails huge investments into the infrastructure of the Klaipėda State Seaport, development of the main country's roads and railway paths and construction of the new deep-sea seaport, which is the most brutal form of urbanisation able to produce radical in-depth transformation of natural, urban and living environment and local identity while facilitating formation of landscape, biodiversity and small business environment with novel qualities. In this case, preservation of natural qualities is crucial. 4.5. ASSESSMENT OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS FOR SPATIAL ECONOMIC STRUCTURES TABLE 13: GOALS OF SPATIAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS GOAL NO GOAL DESCRIPTION 0. GENERAL STRUCTURAL PROVISIONS 0a Through employment of transport, energy and engineering system nodes, science and innovation centres and other relative and absolute advantages, the key Lithuanian urban centres should be absorbed into the added value chains, transport and logistics, cyberlaw, financial and other services systems. 0b Through promotion of economic growth in the cities and creation of higher added value and industrialisation in the regions, to offer infrastructure for economic activities (FEZ industrial and services parks, public logistic centres). 0c To reduce regional economic exclusion, in particular in the lower-level urban centres by supporting the economic development and strategic planning processes with specialisation, identification of competitive advantages and promotion of creation of not only activities meeting the local demands, but in particular export-oriented enterprises, as well as concentration of competences and stimulation of synergy. 1. SUCCESSFUL, SOCIAL AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES 1a To concentrate higher- and top-level technologies industry, knowledge-intensive services and export- related economic activities in the main urban centres in the country. These activities should reduce the weighting of shares of the low and average low value added economy. 2. ORGANIC, ECONOMICAL (SUSTAINABLE) AGRICULTURE AND VIBRANT RURAL AREAS 2a To resolve the unemployment and long-term unemployment in the regions by ensuring accessibility of workplaces. 2b To stimulate the use of natural resources in the economically depressed municipalities through reduction of resource extraction limitations and environmental restrictions. This could facilitate improvement of economic indicators, especially in the challenging regions. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 39 GOAL NO GOAL DESCRIPTION 2c To form sustainable agriculture with cost-effective economic activities. 3. NATURAL AREAS AS THE FOUNDATION OF ECOLOGICAL STABILITY 3a To ensure the use of economically substantiated, local, renewable and non-renewable natural resources and minerals in order to enhance consumption efficiency and increase the ratio of the economy generated value and energy consumption. 3b To increase the potential of the wooded and other recreational territories for tourism and health promotion purposes through development of a linear recreational infrastructure (overland (pedestrian, bicycle, motor road routes) and sea or inland waterway) by linking it to the national, regional and local identity. 4. RESPONSIBLE USE OF THE SEA AND COAST 4a To expand and develop the tourism sector by employing the available and recognised recreational potential (where the Curonian Spit and continental coast, as well as the entire coastline are characterised by significant recreational resources), promote introduction of marine recreation in Lithuania and marine cultural and natural heritage. The results of assessment of impact of this subject on the environment and description of the environmental impact assessment are presented in the Tables below (see Table 14, Table 15 and Table 16). TABLE 14: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SPATIAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE I GOALS COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a ++ + ++ ++ ++ + + 0/- 0/- 0/- - 0/- +/- - 0b + + + + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0c 0 0 0 0/- + +/- 0/- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1a 0/+ + 0 +/- 0 + 0 0 0 0 0/- 0/- 0/- 0/- 2a 0/- 0/+ 0 0/- + + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2b 0 + 0 + 0 +/- 0 -- -- -- - - - - 2c 0 0 +/- + 0 0/+ 0 + + + + + + + 3a 0 0 0/+ + 0 +/- 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3b 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ + + 0 + - 0 +/- +/- +/- +/- 4a 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ + + +/- + + + +/- +/- +/- +/- STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 40 TABLE 15: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF SPATIAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE II GOALS COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a ++ + ++ ++ ++ + + 0/- 0/- 0/- - 0/- +/- - 0b + + + + 0 0 0/+ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0c 0 + + + + + 0/+ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1a + ++ 0 + 0 + 0/+ 0 0 0 0/- 0/- 0/- 0/- 2a 0/+ + 0 0/+ + + 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2b 0 + 0 + 0 +/- 0 -- -- -- - - - - 2c 0 0 +/- + 0 0/+ 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3a 0 0 0/+ + 0 +/- 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3b 0 + + + + + 0 + - 0 +/- +/- +/- +/- 4a 0/+ + + + + + + +/- +/- +/- +/- +/- +/- +/- TABLE 16: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO SPATIAL ECONOMIC SYSTEMS SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  More or less significant negative impact on the natural environment and environmental protection components is expected during implementation of the solutions in the spatial economic system development goals (2b and 0a). Stimulation of the efficient use of resources in the economically depressed municipalities (2b) through reduction of resource extraction limitations and environmental restrictions is likely to cause irreparable damages to the protected area, protected animal and plant species, habitats, forestry resources and soil. This goal is prejudicial to the values, ambitions and visions declared in the CPRL.  Entry into the global economic structures (0a) bears the risk of development of the key urban centres and strategic objects of infrastructure at the cost of natural territories. Upon assessment of the country’s public awareness and institutional protection of natural structures, it is expected that the negative consequences will be of a low significance. The development of the seaport infrastructure will expand the coastal capacities of shipping, while the boosted economic activities and resident mobility will increase the vehicle flow on the Lithuanian roads, which will definitely degrade the quality of air and water and exacerbate the climate change consequences. The implementation of the sustainable development targets and application of the impact mitigation measures are likely to produce lower-significance effects on the environmental components.  The development of economic and social components will be greatly affected by the implementation of targets in the key urban centres and strategic objects of infrastructure development goal (0a). Although the goals provide for huge investments into the infrastructure of the Klaipėda State Seaport, development STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 41 SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS of the main country's roads and railway paths, and construction of the new deep-sea seaport, in the long run, both alternatives will produce high-significance positive effects on the financial resources and economic prosperity. The international visibility of the main urban centres will be enhanced through partnerships in both alternatives. The partnerships will ensure connectivity and efficiency of these centres and facilitate creation of high quality living and urban environment. The implementation of solutions for creation of high added value in the regions and development of industrialisation and sustainable economy in the cities will also bear a significant impact on the economic environmental components in both alternatives.  The differences between the alternatives will be manifested during implementation of the targets in goals 0c, 1a and 2a. The reduction of regional economic exclusion, particularly in the lower-level urban centres will be economically more cost-efficient in Goal 0c of Alternative II. Synergy identification and employment of the benefits offered by partnerships will facilitate greater economic development potential and ensure competitive advantage for export-oriented businesses. The principal model of the urban centre partnerships and potentials merger system will allow both the efficient use of human resources and facilitate creation of new businesses and workplaces in the higher- and top-level technologies industry, knowledge-intensive services and export-related economic activities, therefore, high-significance positive effects can be expected on the labour market. Ensuring availability of workplaces in terms of the concept in both alternatives is deemed to exert long-term positive impact on the human welfare.  The increase of potential of forests and other recreational territories, development of the linear recreational infrastructure (3b), as well as the expansion of the tourism sector onshore and offshore (4a) will directly or indirectly enable development of small- and medium-sized businesses. In Alternative II, granting the status of the centre of national importance to Neringa, improvement of accessibility of the recreational resources and resident mobility are likely to exert greater positive effects on the economic environment components than in Alternative I. The implementation of goals 3b and 4a in both alternatives is likely to offer a low-significance impact on the labour market, infrastructure and its environment, financial resources and economic prosperity. MEASURES ALLOWING PREVENTION, MITIGATION OR COMPENSATION OF SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE IMPACT OF IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT It is appropriate to apply the principles of sustainable development and development of compact territories (including the use of land), as well as the conversion and renovation measures in order to mitigate the negative effects associated with excessive (short-term or non-remunerative in the long run) infrastructure, particularly through construction of large logistic, industrial and other objects. The implementation of Goal 2b promotes the use of resources while reducing the environmental restrictions. This method of improvement of the economic indicators in the municipalities can damage the entire ecosystem, especially as there is no clear need for the use of these resources. The improvement of economic indicators must be solved through the increase of resources consumption efficiency, which is the foundation of preservation of the social and economic progress and ensuring availability of limited resources and ecosystem capacity. The European policy admits that the existing economic development model based on the increasing consumption of resources and harmful emissions is not a lasting solution. The concept goals (Goal 3) are aimed at ensuring the use of economically substantiated, local, renewable and non-renewable natural resources and minerals in order to enhance consumption efficiency and increase the ratio of economy-generated value and energy consumption. The implementation of this goal is associated with resource-efficient and climate change resistant economy, protection of natural resources and ecosystems, and sustainable management and supply of raw materials. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 42 4.6. ASSESSMENT OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS FOR ECOSYSTEMS (ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION SYSTEM) TABLE 16: GOALS OF ECOSYSTEMS BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS GOAL GOAL DESCRIPTION NO 0. GENERAL STRUCTURAL PROVISIONS 0a To ensure protection of the values of the protected territories and develop the protected territory system. 1. SUCCESSFUL, SOCIAL AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES 1a To concentrate higher- and highest-level technologies industry, knowledge-intensive services and export- related economic activities in the main urban centres in the country. These activities should reduce weighting of shares of the low and average low value added economy. 1b To integrate the natural frame into the urban structure, increase natural properties and connectivity of the plantations system and links between separate components of the natural frame, facilitate manifestation of natural processes and ensure better city microclimate regulation possibilities in the urban territories. 2. ORGANIC, ECONOMICAL (SUSTAINABLE) AGRICULTURE AND VIBRANT RURAL AREAS 2a To integrate the natural frame into the urban structure, increase natural properties and connectivity of the plantations system and links between separate components of the natural frame, facilitate manifestation of natural processes and ensure better city microclimate regulation possibilities in the urban territories. 3. NATURAL AREAS AS THE FOUNDATION OF ECOLOGICAL STABILITY 3a To facilitate possibilities and physical conditions for self-restoration or artificial restoration of the natural frame constituents of the damaged, severely damaged and degraded agrarian territories through a targeted increase of the geo-ecological potential of its constituents. 3b To form an ecologically sustainable and relatively natural (abundant in woods, marshes and lakes) landscape, preserve its functionality and create conditions for manifestation of its biodiversity. 4. RESPONSIBLE USE OF THE SEA AND COAST 4a To preserve identity of the area, marine landscape diversity and historical memory. The results of assessment of impact of this topic on the environment are presented in the Tables below (see Table 17, Table 18). TABLE 17: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ECOSYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE I GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a 0 0/+ 0/+ +/- 0 + 0 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 43 GOAL COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS 1a 0 0/+ 0+ +/- 0 0/+ 0/+ ++ + + + + + + 1b 0 0/+ 0 +/- 0 ++ + + ++ + ++ ++ ++ ++ 2a 0 0/+ 0/+ +/- 0 0/+ 0/+ ++ + + + + + + 3a 0 0/+ +/- +/- 0 ++ 0 + + + + + + + 3b 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/- 0 + 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 4a 0 0/+ 0/+ +/- 0 + 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ TABLE 18: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF ECOSYSTEMS FOR ALTERNATIVE II GOAL COMPONENTS OF ECONOMIC COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL NO AND MACRO-ECONOMIC SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC 0a 0 0/+ 0/+ +/- 0 + 0 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ 1a 0 0/+ 0+ +/- 0 0/+ 0/+ ++ + + + + + + 1b 0 0/+ 0 +/- 0 ++ + + ++ + ++ ++ ++ ++ 2a 0 0/+ 0/+ +/- 0 0/+ 0/+ ++ + + + + + + 3a 0 0/+ +/- +/- 0 ++ 0 + + + + + + + 3b 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/- 0 + 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 4a 0 0/+ 0/+ +/- 0 + 0 +/- +/- +/- ++ ++ ++ ++ TABLE 19: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO ECOSYSTEMS (ECOLOGICAL COMPENSATION SYSTEM) SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The goals discussed and assessed from the point of view of the ecosystem and ecological compensation system, as well as their solutions, are closely related to the goals, their implementation solutions and effects on various environmental components scrutinised in other subjects. Upon implementation of all this subject’s goals and their solutions at the end of the planned period, the natural environmental components will be more of less affected both in the cities and rural and natural areas. The improvement of the condition of landscape, natural areas and biodiversity of protected territories, quality of water, air and soil is expected to improve with reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. The integration of the natural frame (ecological compensation) structure into the urban territories (Goal 1b) will strongly improve the living welfare in the cities. No negative impact on the natural and social environment components is expected.  The assessment of impact on the economic environment components includes description of the possible direct and indirect effects. It is expected to see emergence of demand in new professions (on the coast) on the labour market or simply the demand in new workplaces, particularly relevant for the rural areas. The development of the protected areas (Goal 0a) is likely to increase the demand in the STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 44 SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS engineering or recreational infrastructures – new visitor centres, bicycle paths, etc., the display of exclusive landscape (goals 1a and 2a) will require provision of observation platforms, the restoration of degraded territories (Goal 3a) will possibly involve implementation of the modern reclamations systems allowing to ensure proper land condition in agriculture, and preservation of the local identity along the cost will create demand in renovation of the existing or arrangement of the new infrastructure. The landscape preservation in the cities will potentially require additional investments in order to ensure the quality of panoramas and other features of the landscape. The potential development of cognitive tourism and cultural heritage activities could yield economic benefits. The implementation of the presented goals will require larger or smaller investments of public funds. The investments are expected to produce indirect economic benefits by means of the services offered by the ecosystems, improved natural resources, human health, etc. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 45 4.7. ASSESSMENT OF THE CONCEPTUAL SOLUTIONS FOR THE RESOURCES SYSTEM TABLE 20: GOALS OF RESOURCES BY ASSESSMENT COMPONENTS GOAL GOAL DESCRIPTION NO 1. SUCCESSFUL, SOCIAL AND SUSTAINABLE CITIES 1a To ensure preservation and abundance of the living nature components (plantations) and facilitate natural processes in the urban territories. 1b To seek responsible approach to the geological framework properties through development of compact cities, towns and villages. 1c Preservation of immovable cultural heritage, its involvement and integration into the modern urban systems. Use of heritage as a resource and creation of social added values through facilitation of conditions for development of the public cultural and creative competences. 2. ORGANIC, ECONOMICAL (SUSTAINABLE) AGRICULTURE AND VIBRANT RURAL AREAS 2a To enshrine the characteristic features of different ethnographic regions in the populated rural areas. To stimulate local communities to participate actively in the process of preservation and enshrining of cultural heritage. 2b To facilitate possibilities and physical conditions enabling to support the soil viability and restore damaged territories. 2c To ensure protection of agricultural resources, create ecological and cost-efficient agricultural system, form conditions for biodiversity restoration of heavily degraded agrarian territories, identification, maintenance, preservation and display of agrarian territories with exclusive and valuable landscape. 3. NATURAL AREAS AS THE FOUNDATION OF ECOLOGICAL STABILITY 3a To increase the current bioproduct potential of natural territories. 3b To ensure the use and protection of underground natural resources while maintaining the economically feasible and environmentally safe approach. 3c To preserve and expand biodiversity of the forest ecosystems and its ecological and compensation potential. 3d Efficient use of recreational potential of natural areas while avoiding deterioration of their quality. 4. RESPONSIBLE USE OF THE SEA AND COAST 4a In order to ensure the quality of the available natural resources, to preserve the good condition of the marine environment. To consume the energy, living marine and other natural resources efficiently, responsibly and effectively in biological, environmental and economic terms. 4b To protect the underwater cultural heritage and promote understanding thereof and marine recreational activities. 4c To expand the marine aquaculture possibilities in the Lithuanian territorial waters and exclusive economic zone. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 46 The results of assessment of impact of this subject on the environment and description of the environmental impact assessment are presented in the Tables below (see Table 21, Table 22 and Table 23). TABLE 21: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF RESOURCES FOR ALTERNATIVE I GOALS COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HH UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC W 1a 0 0 0 0/+ 0 + + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ 1b 0/+ 0/+ 0 0/+ 0 0 0/+ +/- +/- +/- + + + + 1c 0 0 0/+ +/- 0 + +/- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2a 0 0/+ 0 +/- 0 + 0 + 0 0 0 0 0 0 2b 0 0 +/- +/- 0 0 0 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ 2c 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 + + + 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 3a 0 0 0 +/- 0 0 0 + + + + + + + 3b 0 0 0 + 0 0 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3c 0 0 0 - 0 + 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3d 0 0 0 - 0 + 0 +/- - +/- +/- +/- +/- +/- 4a 0 0 + ++ 0 + 0 0 0 0 + + + + 4b 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0 + 0 + + + + + + + 4c 0/+ 0/+ + + 0 0 0 + + + - - 0 0 TABLE 22: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF RESOURCES FOR ALTERNATIVE II GOALS COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRN WQ S AQ CC S 1a 0 0 0 0/+ 0 + + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ 1b 0/+ 0/+ 0 0/+ 0 0 0/+ -/+ -/+ -/+ + + + + 1c 0 0 0/+ +/- 0 + +/- + 0 0 0 0 0 0 2a 0 0/+ 0 +/- 0 ++ 0 ++ 0 0 0 0 0 0 2b 0 0 +/- +/- 0 0 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 47 GOALS COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS 2c 0 0 0 + 0 0 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3a 0 0 0 +/- 0 0 0 + + + + + + + 3b 0 0 0 + 0 0 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3c 0 0 0 - 0 + 0 + + + ++ ++ ++ ++ 3d 0 0 0 + 0 + 0 +/- - +/- +/- +/- +/- +/- 4a 0 0 + ++ 0 + 0 0 0 0 + + + + 4b 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/+ 0 + 0 + + + + + + + 4c 0/+ 0/+ + + 0 0 0 + + + - - 0 0 TABLE 23: SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS INTO THE RESOURCES SYSTEM SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The implementation of the Goal 1a targets (ensuring preservation and abundance of the available living nature components (plantations), facilitating natural processes in the urban territories) is likely to produce significant impact on all the environmental components under consideration related to this goal, in particular on the elements of natural environment. This is one of the goals of protection of the resources, the implementation of which is expected to offer even low significance benefits in the financial resources and economic prosperity area due to the reduced effect of pollution. The preservation of the city’s elements of the living nature and facilitation of natural processes must become the priority goals of the urban policy, especially in the large and medium-sized cities.  The promotion of variety of activities and proactiveness of local communities, cultural expression (Goal 2a) and involvement of the cultural heritage objects are likely to produce significant effects of human health and wellbeing (social environment component), landscape (natural environment component), and in certain cases, create new workplaces, which is important for development of viability of the populated rural areas. The impact in Alternative II will be more significant due to the partnership principle developed throughout all levels.  The most significant impact on the natural environment components in the rural areas are expected upon facilitation of possibilities and physical conditions for enabling support and restoration of soil viability (Goal 2b). Both alternatives provide for the solutions, which could enable creation of conditions for protection of the soil productivity and reduction of pollution of the ground and surface waters. The environmentally sound soil cultivation and reduction of its degradation processes will preserve its water absorption properties and ability to accumulate and preserve high levels of organic materials, which can facilitate better conditions for all environmental components. The extensification of intensive farming activities provided for in Alternative I can create more advantageous conditions to stop land degradation. The application of the good agricultural practices provided for in Alternative II could help restoration and preservation of the soil viability. Moreover, the simultaneous implementation of the Goal 2c targets (protection of agricultural resources through creation of ecological and cost-efficient agricultural system and identification of exclusive-value agrarian landscapes) could yield additional benefits due to a lower demand of investments and a better cost-benefit ratio.  The preservation and expansion of biodiversity of the forest ecosystems and ecological compensation potential (Goal 3c), which is necessary in order to achieve the sustainable development targets, are likely to produce low significance negative effects on economic prosperity. The health of forest ecosystems and ecological potential are crucial for maintenance of developmental stability of all natural STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 48 SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS environment components, as well as for human health and wellbeing. The economic prosperity targets must be aimed at increasing the forest’s (wood yield) commercial value, which reduces its ecological value. This will require a complex approach to benefits and consequences of implementation of other goals set out in the concept requiring the use of the country’s natural resources. The concept also provides for enhancement of the bioproduction potential of the natural areas (Goal 3a), efficient use of the recreational protection of the natural territories (Goal 3d) and economically- and environmentally- sound use of underground natural resources (Goal 3b). The intensified use of recreational potential is likely to cause negative effect on the biodiversity, landscape and forest resources, whereas enhancement of bioproduction potential will generally require more substantial investments. The rational use of underground natural resources is likely to produce only significant positive impact on the natural and economic environment components. Therefore, the implementation of the sustainable development goal requires a complex resources consumption plan with differentiation of priorities in separate territories.  A good marine environment condition allowing to preserve the quality of natural resources (Goal 4a) presupposes significant positive effects on the economic environment components (due to RES development offshore, expansion of engineering infrastructure, and direct and indirect return on financial investments), human health and wellbeing (due to living environment of the coastal population, as well as the quality of recreational resources), and natural environment components (due to sustainable use of both marine and continental resources determining condition of the marine environment). In this case, the marine condition monitoring system is important, as it will facilitate adequate and timely response to any changes. The development of new marine activities (aquacultural development – Goal 4c, protection of cultural heritage and underwater understanding, marine recreation – Goal 4b) is likely to exert a low-significance impact on this region's social and economic expansion, however, the aquacultural activities are expected to deteriorate the quality of sea water and seabed covering. Special measures must be implemented in order to prevent the said consequences. MEASURES ALLOWING PREVENTION, MITIGATION OR COMPENSATION OF SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE IMPACT OF IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT In Alternative I, taking into account the functional priorities, the agricultural activities in the northern and central Lithuania are extensified as compared to the current situation, even though it is the most fertile soil in Lithuania. This alternative also discards recreation, which could potentially ensure additional profit, as a low-prospect economic activity type of the part of the territories with intensive agrarian application. Alternative I provides for long-term low-significance negative effects (-) FR/EP. In order to mitigate the negative impact exerted through enhancement of economic prosperity in the rural area, an activity of a different nature must be stimulated (farm segregation, development of small-sized short food chain businesses and promotion of mixed farms, etc.). Seeking mitigation of damages to the soil condition caused by the intensive farming activities (reduction of organic materials, compaction, acidification, erosion, pollution and decrease of biodiversity demonstrates land degradation) and creation of erosion-resistant soil, it is recommended to apply various agrotechnical measures, i.e., planting of perennial plants on the slopes, application of anti-erosion crop rotation, stopping application of autumn fallow, etc. Various agrotechnical measures should also be applied for reduction of other land degradation processes, as well as the novel engineering solutions for the improvement of the land improvement conditions. The Ministry of Agriculture prepared the Code of Good Agricultural Practices setting out the measures, the application of which can mitigate the negative impact of farming on soil, water and climate. Increasing woodland (Goal 3a and 3c) (the concept provides for a 38-42% increase of woodland), expanding biodiversity of woods and other measures allowing enhancement of the ecological compensation potential, could possibility reduce the impact of wood felling on the components of natural environment. This would be compatible with one of the UN sustainable development goals – promotion of implementation of sustainable management of all types of forests, halting deforestation, restoration of extinguished woodland and profuse improvement of afforestation on the global level. The solutions provide for differentiation of increase of woodland according to the natural foundation of the landscape's morphological regions, nature and intensity of farming and ecological risk degree in order that the general result aimed at would produce feasible ecological STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 49 MEASURES ALLOWING PREVENTION, MITIGATION OR COMPENSATION OF SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE IMPACT OF IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT benefits in the territories with intensive agrarian activities and no negative effects on the landscape's scenic properties in the wooded hilly areas. This could improve the ecological stability of wooded regions, form natural frame in the agrarian territories with unstable ecological system and expand the biodiversity. 4.8. SEA FOR NEWLY PLANNED FACILITIES THAT ARE APPROPRIATE TO HAVE THE STATUS OF A PROJECT OF NATIONAL IMPORTANCE 4.8.1. CONNECTION OF LITHUANIAN ELECTRICITY SYSTEM TO THE SYNCHRONOUS GRID OF CONTINENTAL EUROPE FIGURE 1: ENERGY INTEGRATION OF THE BALTIC STATES IN CONTINENTAL EUROPE The projects important for synchronisation are being implemented and planned in Lithuania: installation of the synchronous grid, ensuring reliability of the city of Vilnius, reconstruction of the transmission network in the North-Eastern Lithuania and preparation of the transmission network in the Western Lithuania. The cutting-edge technological solutions – synchronous compensators – will be used for STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 50 autonomous power frequency stability regulation in the Baltic States. At least three synchronous compensators will be installed in each of the Baltic countries9. Upon agreement among the Baltic States, the synchronisation of the power system is expected to be completed before 2025. The assessment results of impact of this strategic object on the environment are presented in the Table below. TABLE 24: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE CONNECTION OF THE LITHUANIAN ELECTRICITY SYSTEM TO THE SYNCHRONOUS GRID OF CONTINENTAL EUROPE OBJECT COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND MACRO- SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC Project: 0 0 ++ -- 0 0/- 0 0/- - + 0 0/- 0 + Connection of the Lithuanian electricity system to the synchronous grid of Continental Europe SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  In order to ensure energy independence, the operation of the power systems of the Baltic States synchronised with the European grids will be ensured via the existing LitPol Link connection with Poland, with additionally provided DC submarine connection between Lithuania and Poland, and implementation of other required technical measures. A number of related projects will be implemented parallel to this project, which are designed for construction of a new infrastructure or reconstruction of the existing one, to ensure reliability of the grid operation, enhance controllability of the system, grid restoration, and renovation and installation of the ICT systems10. The power system synchronisation project is financed by the internal and/or external funds of the transmission system operator and/or EU funds, subsidies and grants received or equivalent types of funds. The costs of implementation of the power system synchronisation project shall be included in the transmission services price in the procedure set forth by the National Commission for Energy Control and Prices. In the coming decade, Lithuania will remain an electricity importing country highly dependable on the changes occurring in the neighbouring countries. The assessment of the price perspectives in the long term demonstrates the expected increase in prices in all the surrounding markets. The assessment of different development scenarios of the Lithuanian and neighbouring countries’ energy sector and fuel price constituents demonstrates growth of electricity prices in Lithuania. The assessment of the investments 9 Litgrid, Network Expansion, last viewed on 01/08/2019, http://www.litgrid.eu/index.php/tinklo-pletra/strateginiai- projektai/sinchronizacija/114#synchronization_visual 10 Litgrid AB, Lithuanian Power System 400-110 kV Grids Development Plan for 2018-2027, page 26, last viewed on 13 August 2019, http://www.regula.lt/SiteAssets/posedziai/2019-02-28/4_litgrid_priedas.pdf STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 51 required for the implementation of the project and growing power prices allows to expect high- significance negative effects (--) FR/EP.  The impact of the power system synchronisation project on the natural environment and environmental quality components will exert low-significance local effects. A somewhat more substantial impact is expected in respect of biodiversity factor. The negative effect is expected during construction and operation of the high voltage power lines, as well as a short-term negative effect during submarine cable construction due to seabed disturbance, water turbidity and other phenomena. 4.8.2. PROJECT OF THE OFF-SHORE WIND CONNECTION TO THE MAINLAND The Sea Areas part of the Comprehensive Plant of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania was approved by the Resolution No XII-1781 of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania of 11 June 2015. In respect to the general rapid development of the offshore wind sector in Europe and the Baltic Sea, this Comprehensive Plan is aimed at development of the potential areas designated for wind farming. The 20- 50 m deep zone located to the north of Klaipėda, including Klaipėda-Ventspils plateau and Klaipėda bank constitute the priority area for wind farm construction. The development of the RES technologies could allow planning construction of energy farms not only in the areas prioritised for wind farming, but also on other territories reserved for development of marine activities in the presence of environmental substantiation and taking into account assessment of the marine area demands for the needs of development of other activities. FIGURE 2: POTENTIAL AREAS FOR WIND ENERGY DEVELOPMENT Source: Drawing of technical infrastructure of the ‘Sea Areas’ part of the Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania The sea territory comprehensive plan provides for the importance of initiation of creation of the integrated wind farm network facilitating connection of the planned energy farms of Lithuania and other Baltic States to the EU funded wind farm network of Denmark, Poland, Sweden and Germany. The assessment results of impact of this strategic object on the environment are presented in the Table below. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 52 TABLE 25: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE PROJECT OF THE OFF-SHORE WIND CONNECTION TO THE MAINLAND OBJECT COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS MACRO-ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC Project of 0 0 ++ + 0 0 0 - - +/- 0 - +/0 + the off- shore wind connection to the mainland. SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  According to the data made available by Litgrid AB, construction of offshore wind farms is more expensive and complex than onshore construction. In addition to expensive construction, there are also operational costs. On the other hand, the offshore wind farms pay off quicker because at sea the wind is more constant and stronger, therefore, the production volumes are higher than those from onshore farms. Currently, the offshore power generation cost is higher than that onshore, however, the return on investment is expected in the long run; moreover, the transition to a less polluting energy production will also yield indirect economic benefits for FR/EP due to the reduced emission levels of greenhouse gases.  The supplementation of the CPRL with the marine solutions part provides for potential territories that are most appropriate for development of offshore energy, including wind farming projects. The application of the complex planning principles allowed to select certain areas in the sea, which produce the minimal impact on the natural environment and other economic activities and are not prejudicial to the valuable protected habitats or territories important for birds. The sites allocated for the wind farms are situated at a 34 km distance from the shore, therefore, they will not be visible from the coast to the naked eye even at an excellent visibility. No objects of cultural heritage have been identified in the potential area, however, the risk of damaging the vulnerable marine and coastal ecosystems, pollution of the landscape with technological structures, reduced aesthetic attractiveness and local recreational potential always remains. To summarise, the assessment of biodiversity and habitats demonstrates that low-significance negative (-) impact can be expected. The effects on other animals and birds is of a low significance. Nonetheless, part of the potential effects has not been studied.  The use of wind energy plays an important role in combating climate change, while integration of the RES into the market contributes to reducing the levels of greenhouse gas emissions from the energy sector. The development of offshore renewable energy facilitates reduction of consumption of natural resources and higher production of clean energy, therefore, a long-term positive (+) effect on the climate change can be expected. The expected recurring impact will be exerted on the seabed and sediments due to vibration during operation of the wind turbines, as well as temporary effects occurring during installation of the foundation, which, however, will not be significant. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 53 4.8.3. RESERVE AREA OF UP TO 12,000 HA FOR THE NATIONAL DEFENCE SYSTEM PURPOSES IN THE WESTERN PART OF LITHUANIA (WITH PRIORITY GIVEN TO ŠILALĖ, KELMĖ, TELŠIAI OR RIETAVAS DISTRICT MUNICIPALITY AREAS) Reserve area of up to 12,000 ha for the national defence system purposes in the western part of Lithuania (with priority given to Šilalė, Kelmė, Telšiai or Rietavas District Municipality areas) The national woodlands for farming purposes are situated in the northern / western and/or western part of Lithuania, which could be used to form the territory suitable for national defence purposes. In any event, the infrastructure (railway, highway, power and communications networks) is located at a 5-12 km distance from this area. The communication infrastructure must be adapted to the required workload: roads – 12 tons/axis, bridges – up to 130 tons. The larger rural settlements are located at a 3 km distance, cities – at a 10 km distance. There are some steadings and small villages between the forest areas, the residents of which carry our farming activities on private land, as well as occasional abandoned farmsteads or farming buildings are present. The assessment results of impact of this strategic object on the environment are presented in the Table below. TABLE 26: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE 12,000 HA RESERVE AREA OBJECT COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS MACRO-ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC Reserve area of up to 0 + + - 0 0/- 0/- - - - - - - - 12,000 ha for the national defence system purposes in the western part of Lithuania (with priority given to Šilalė, Kelmė, Telšiai or Rietavas District Municipality areas) SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The expansion of the military training areas or provision of the news ones will not produce significant effects on the development of economic and social environment. More workplaces can be created on the local level, which is obviously very relevant. The development of military activities on the training areas will exert significant impact on the natural environment components and result in deterioration of the environmental properties (on the regional and local levels).  The transformation of utility of woodland and performance of various military activities (training, tactical exercises, etc.) will alter the condition of the existing natural habitats, disturb the breeding grounds of animals and their migration. Even if the protected territories or Natura 2000 network areas are not included into the territories allocated for national defence, their biodiversity, ecosystems and their functions, as well as the ecosystem services, are still expected to be negatively affected.  Kairiai training area would be expanded (with an additional 900 ha of land) towards the southern training area and exercise territory where the state protected area and Natura 2000 network areas are located. The expansion of the training area territory would change the utilisation purpose of the land and forests and their method of use. This means that the utilisation of the wooded land on this territory could be changed, including construction of military objects, STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 54 performance of military training and other activities. The transformation of utilisation of the wooded land would alter the natural environment, properties of natural habitats and landscape of the existing territories, with the fate of cultural heritage remaining uncertain. The planned military activities and construction of military objects would completely destroy the protected natural habitats of Community importance in these areas and animal species would be endangered.  It has been estimated that over 260 different types of chemical substances would be released into the environment as a consequence of military activities. The military base territories are commonly polluted with petroleum products, organic compounds and heavy metals. These pollutants can spread beyond the pollution source by water and air11. Destruction of ecosystems relationships and hydromorphological changes of natural water courses in this type of territories may have a negative impact on the territory itself and the entire water catchment area, and the quality of seawater. The military base territories are commonly polluted with petroleum products, organic compounds and heavy metals. The military areas contain plenty of military machinery driving and training tracks and tactical training fields. Due to the intensive military activities, such territories are commonly characterised by extensive relief and soil damage with considerable impact exerted on flora and fauna.  The intensive use of heavy and unstable vehicles during training increases fuel consumption volumes and negatively affects the quality of ambient air. The military aviation, as well as, marine transport contributes to the negative effects on the environment. The military activities exert a substantive negative impact on air pollution and ozone layer degradation. For example, the environmental pollution caused by the air forces in the Western Germany amount to 58% of the total country's pollution by air transport. The development of military areas will produce the most significant effect on the climate change due to forest felling and destruction of the natural soil layer. The decomposition of the organic matters in the soil causes release of carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere; on the other hand, formation of these substances removes CO2 from the atmosphere. 4.8.4. RESERVE AREA OF UP TO 900 HA FOR THE NATIONAL DEFENCE SYSTEM PURPOSES IN KAIRIAI, KLAIPĖDA COUNTY The Brigadier General Povilas Plechavičius training area of the Lithuanian Armed Forces has been operating since 1949. It comprises two land parcels. They are separated by the King Vilhelm Channel and the state forest area. The area of the training polygon – 674.99 ha. At the moment, the training area and its infrastructure are adapted for training of land forces (up to a size of a squad) units only. The expansion of the Lithuanian Armed Forces and modernisation of the weapons systems will require more territories for military training; therefore, the development of the training area is planned (required additional area – 900 ha). The warehousing territory (land area – 24.21 ha) of the Lithuanian Armed Forces is situated nearby this training area, which is also expected to be expanded due to the growing storage needs. The additional warehousing area (approx. 50 ha) is required in the western part of Lithuania. The unique property of this training area is that according to its geographical position, it is the only area in Lithuania, which, if expanded, allows facilitation of training for the military air, marine and land forces, organisation of joint military marine and land forces exercises and ensures support of the host nation to the NATO allies, etc. The military polygon and training area, as well as the hazardous zone, are marked on the Comprehensive Plan of Klaipėda County. The drawing presents the layout of the existing training area and planned expansion thereof in respect to other urban and urbanised territories and objects. 11 Ministry of National Defence, Invisible Dangers of Training Areas, last viewed on 02/08/2019, https://kam.lt/kam/download/1081/2006.karys.balandis.poligonai.pdf STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 55 FIGURE 3: DRAWING OF AREA RESERVATION FOR PUBLIC NEEDS, 2016 Source: Extract from the Comprehensive Plan of Klaipėda County, last viewed on 01/08/2019 https://map.tpdr.lt/tpdr-gis/index.jsp?action=tpdrPortal Currently, part of the woodland on the territory of the training area is group II recreational forests and the training area land parcels border the protected territories: Lužija botanical and zoological nature reserve and Curonian Lagoon biosphere polygon in the west, Kliošiai landscape reserve in the south; in addition, these protected areas are attributed to Natura 2000 ecological network identifying the habitats of Community importance and territories important for conservation of birds. Sites important for conservation of habitats:  LUŽIJA AND TYRAI SWAMPS (LTKLA0005) established by Resolution No 192 of the Government of the Republic of Lithuania of 04/03/2009 Protected natural habitats of Community importance: 2320 Dry sand heath, 6120 Xeric sand calcareous grasslands, 6410 Molinia meadows, 6430 Eutrophic tall herb, 6450 Alluvial meadows, 6510 Mesophytic hay meadows, 7120 Degraded raised bogs, 91D0 Bog woodland and scarce large blue, a species of butterfly listed in the Lithuanian Red Data Book.  CURONIAN LAGOON (LTSIU0012) established by Order No D1-210 of the Minister of the Republic of Lithuania of 22/04/2009. Protected natural habitats of Community importance: 1130 Estuaries, 1150 Lagoons; Baltic salmon, bitterling, ziege (Pelecus cultratus), spined loach, twaite shad, asp and river lampre. Sites important for conservation of birds:  TYRAI SWAMP (LTKLAB002) (established by Resolution No 399 of the Government of the Republic of Lithuania and dedicated to protection of Dunlin (Calidris alpina), Wood sandpiper (Acrocephalus paludicola).  CURONIAN LAGOON (LTKLAB010) established by Resolution No 313 of the Government of the Republic of Lithuania of 24/03/2010 for protection of the breeding grounds of tundra swan (Cygnus columbianus), pintail (Anas acuta), goosander (Mergus merganser), smew (Mergellus albellus), little gull (Larus minutus) and white-tailed eagle (Haliaeetus albicilla), The activities in the protected territories are governed and their protection is ensured by the Law on Protected Areas, Forestry Law, Law on Environmental Protection, Regulations on the Natural and STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 56 Complex Reserves, Special Conditions of Land and Forest Use, General Regulations for Sites Important for Conservation of Habitats and Birds, as well as the regulations of these protected areas and other legal acts. The assessment results of impact of this strategic object on the environment are presented in the Table below. TABLE 27: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE 900 HA FIRING GROUND OBJECT COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS MACRO-ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/ MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC EP Reserve area 0 0/+ 0/+ 0/- 0 0/- 0/- -- -- -- - - - - of up to 900 ha for the national defence system purposes in Kairiai, Klaipėda County MEASURES ALLOWING PREVENTION, MITIGATION OR COMPENSATION OF SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE IMPACT OF IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT: The new plans, projects and programmes that could exert a significant negative impact on the Natura 2000 areas and affect their protection objectives must be assessed in advance in order to determine the effects according to Article 6 of the Habitat Directive or provisions of Article 7 of the Law on the Assessment of the Impact of Proposed Economic Activities on the Environment. The EIA procedures allow to analyse and evaluate the potential effects of the planned economic activities according to the protection objectives of the areas, i.e. the aims of conservation of natural habitats and species these specific protection areas are allocated for. It is important to ensure the scope of assessment of the impact allowing to make an informed decision regarding existence or absence of impact. Where the implementation of the activities is predetermined by the public needs, the opinion of the European Commission must be requested. In all cases, the measures preventing negative impact on the Natura 2000 areas must be provided, as well as the sufficient compensatory measures, if the effects are unavoidable. The State Service for Protected Areas must inform the European Commission about the approved compensatory measures to be used to compensate the negative impact12. SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The expansion of the military training areas or provision of the news one will not produce significant effects on the development of economic and social environment. More workplaces can be created on the local level, which is obviously very relevant. The development of military activities on the training areas will exert significant impact on the natural environment 12 Government of the Republic of Lithuania, Natura 2000, last viewed on 01/08/2019, https://am.lrv.lt/lt/veiklos- sritys-1/saugomos-teritorijos-ir-krastovaizdis/natura-2000 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 57 components and result in deterioration of the environmental properties (on the regional and local levels).  The transformation of utility of woodland and performance of various military activities (training, tactical exercises, etc.) will alter the condition of the existing natural habitats, disturb the breeding grounds of animals and their migration. Even if the protected territories or Natura 2000 network areas are not included into the territories allocated for national defence, their biodiversity, ecosystems and their functions, as well as the ecosystem services, are still expected to be negatively affected.  Kairiai training area would be expanded (with additional 900 ha) towards the southern training area and exercise territory where the state protected area and Natura 2000 network areas are located. The expansion of the training area territory would change the utilisation purpose of the land and forests and their method of use. This means that the utilisation of the wooded land on this territory could be changed, including construction of military objects, performance of military training and other activities. The transformation of utilisation of the wooded land would alter the natural environment, properties of natural habitats and landscape of the existing territories, with the fate of cultural heritage remaining uncertain. The planned military activities and construction of military objects would completely destroy the protected natural habitats of EC importance in these areas and animal species would be endangered.  It has been estimated that over 260 different types of chemical substances would be released into the environment as a consequence of military activities. The military base territories are commonly polluted with petroleum products, organic compounds and heavy metals. These pollutants can spread beyond the pollution source by water and air13. Destruction of ecosystems relationships and hydromorphological changes of natural water courses in this type of territories may have a negative impact on the territory itself and the entire water catchment area, and the quality of seawater. The military base territories are commonly polluted with petroleum products, organic compounds and heavy metals. The military areas contain plenty of military machinery driving and training tracks and tactical training fields. Due to the intensive military activities, such territories are commonly characterised by extensive relief and soil damages with considerable impact exerted on flora and fauna.  The intensive use of heavy and unstable vehicles during training increases fuel consumption levels and negatively affects the quality of ambient air. The military aviation, as well as, marine transport contributes to the negative effects on the environment. The military activities exert a substantive negative impact on air pollution and ozone layer degradation. For example, the environmental pollution caused by the air forces in the Western Germany amounted to 58% of the total country's pollution by air transport. The development of military areas will produce the most significant effect on the climate change due to forest felling and destruction of the natural soil layer. The decomposition of the soil organic matters releases carbon dioxide (CO 2) into the atmosphere; on the other hand, formation of these substances removes CO2 from the atmosphere. 4.8.5. PLANNED AIRPORT The National Programme on the Development of Transport and Communications for 2014-2022 provides for the necessity of coordinated renewal of the infrastructure required for the airport activities of the international Trans-European Transport Network (hereinafter – the TEN-T), to ensure efficient and 13 Ministry of National Defence, Invisible Dangers of Training Areas, last viewed on 02/08/2019, https://kam.lt/kam/download/1081/2006.karys.balandis.poligonai.pdf STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 58 sustainable use thereof, improve environmental protection, flight safety and aviation security, and continue expansion of capacities14. The CPRL concept emphasises the importance of the international level airport infrastructure involving investment into development of airports providing international services (Vilnius and Kaunas airports) and/or construction of a new airport in a place situated remotely from the urban centre (between the cities of Vilnius and Kaunas). The new airport would not only take over part of the airline operation services, but also enable the country to offer new international air transport services, while providing a solution for the noise and pollution issues in Vilnius and Kaunas and their surroundings. Implementation of this measure must be carried out parallel to focusing on solutions for the public transport services (e.g., transportation service of passenger to the airports by rail)15. The construction of the airport will facilitate development of two types of services: aviation and non- aviation. The aviation services will include air traffic expansion, general and business aviation projects, analysis of the aviation market – new routes, possibilities of attracting new air carries, communication with the state authorities and associated business organisations for the purposes of development of the tourism promotion projects. The non-aviation services will include development and expansion of various services (e.g., parking areas and car parking services, quick security check systems, catering, entertainment and other services), creation of new services, quality improvement and investment projects oriented towards increasing passenger comfort and general level of satisfaction. The decision on whether the airport is necessary can be adopted in 2022 with construction commencing in 2030-2035. The assessment results of impact of this strategic object on the environment are presented in the Table below. TABLE 28: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE NEW AIRPORT OBJECT COMPONENTS OF COMPONENTS OF NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENT COMPONENTS MACRO-ECONOMIC CULTURAL (LANDSCAPE) DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT COMPONENTS ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC Planned new ++ + ++ - ++ +/- +/- -- -- - 0/- - -- -- airport SUMMARY AND INSIGHTS  The construction of the new airport will exert significant positive effects on the country's economic / macroeconomic development. First of all, this object will allow expansion on the labour market: the airports facilitate direct or indirect employment of residents working for the airlines, and in the maintenance and catering services, retail trade and air traffic control fields. The airport operation is compared to Rail Baltika, while the expansion of the public transport means will facilitate creation of integrated and multimodal passenger transportation solutions. This will produce high-significance positive impact on development of economic activities in the transport industry. Nonetheless, the return on investment will not be received by 2050 (it has been estimated that such airport will pay off in 50 years’ time, with preliminary start of construction in 2030-2035). On the other hand, the availability of a new airport could improve 14 Ministry of Transport and Communications, National Programme on the Development of Transport and Communications for 2014-2022, Section II, last viewed on 19 August 2019. 15 TAEM URBANISTAI UAB, Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania. Concept Preparation Stage, page 39, published on 10 July 2019. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 59 the country's international accessibility and connectivity by air transport and increase its visibility in the international context. The true significance of this object is displayed in the context of the general strategic goal of the country ‘Integration into global economic and transport structures’.  In a broad sense, nationwide, the development of new airports between the largest cities and urban centres of the countries, i.e. Vilnius and Kaunas, would greatly enhance the provided city partnership in the global context, facilitate preconditions for domination of the country's two urban centres and their visibility in the European context. On the regional and local level, the construction of this type of object is linked to more than development of urban territory, extending to activity restrictions, temporary real estate market turmoil, etc. Therefore, both positive and negative effects on the social environment components can be expected.  The aviation activities, meaning not only flights, but also the airports, exert significant negative impact on the environment, including high levels of greenhouse gas emissions, air and noise pollution, water demand and waste accumulation16. By the year 2050, the impact of the aviation sector on the climate is expected to increase by up to 5-15%. The natural environment and environmental quality components will experience significant effects on both the regional and local levels. The are no 3.5 km long straight forest free fields in Lithuania (in particular between Vilnius and Kaunas), where it would be possible to build the runways for larger aircrafts, therefore, relief levelling, forest felling, straitening or reclamation of the crook beds can be expected. This will produce significant negative effects on the landscape, all biodiversity and animal migration routes. 16 European Environment Agency, Aviation and Shipping Emissions in Focus, 2018, last viewed on 8 August 2019, https://www.eea.europa.eu/lt/articles/daugiausia-demesio-2013-aviacijos-ir STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 60 4.8.6. EXTERNAL DEEP WATER SEAPORT Location: Klaipėda-Melnragė EXTERNAL DEEP WATER SEAPORT NEAR KLAIPĖDA-MELNRAGĖ17| It is located in the open sea, near Klaipėda-Melnragė. The approximate length of the coastal area is 4,875 m. The coastal area is not included into the NATURA 2000 area, and the span is therefore absolutely sufficient for expansion of the external port in the future, if necessary. FIGURE 4: LOCATION OF THE EXTERNAL PORT IN KLAIPĖDA-MELNRAGĖ Source: Revised Feasibility Study of Klaipėda Port Development by Construction of the External Port PORT DEVELOPMENT COSTS18 |Total Klaipėda/Melnragė port construction costs: EUR 619,094,681. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT MITIGATION COSTS19 | Based on the analysis by Smart Continent, there are 6 fishing companies which may be subject to impact in this port development location (Melnragė), and approximately EUR 620,000 may be needed for the compensations. Location: Būtingė EXTERNAL DEEP WATER SEAPORT IN BŪTINGĖ20 | Over the recent decades, the area to the north of Šventoji ending at the Lithuania-Latvia border (site 3) has been considered as a potential location for the external port. Due to the acceptable water depth, the location in Būtingė is already used for liquid cargo unloading through the SPM (Single Point Mooring) buoy located about 7 km from the coastline. The related fuel storage tanks of AB Orlen Lietuva are located about 2.5 km from the coastline, fairly close to the A13 highway. Certain limitations in relation to the potential location of the external port apply due to the pipeline laid at sea to the SPM buoy and respective easement area of the highway. On the other hand, after the port is set up, it will be easy to include liquid cargo handling into the operations of the new port. 17 Smart Continent, Revised Feasibility Study of Klaipėda Port Development by Construction of the External Port, 2018, p. 188, online: 19 August 2019 https://www.portofklaipeda.lt/uploads/DOKUMENTAI/2018/KVJUD%20isorinis%20uostas%2020180928.pdf. 18 Ibid, p. 209 19 Ibid, p. 209 20 Ibid, p. 209 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 61 Nevertheless, the Būtingė alternative is located just 550 metres from the Lithuania-Latvia border and is part of the Būtingė Geomorphological Reserve area, which may also be a significant hindrance to development of the area. FIGURE 5: LOCATION OF THE EXTERNAL DEEP WATER SEAPORT IN BŪTINGĖ Source: Revised Feasibility Study of Klaipėda Port Development by Construction of the External Port PORT DEVELOPMENT COSTS21 | According to Annex B Section C of the Study Report by Lackner, implementation costs for development stage 1 (2020-2030) are estimated at EUR 991,447,366; for stage 2 (2030-2040) – EUR 172,359,152 (the total of EUR 1,163,806,518). ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT MITIGATION COSTS22 | 11 fishing companies may be subject to impact in this port development location (Būtingė), and about EUR 1.2 mln may therefore be needed for the compensations. 21 Ibid, p. 212 22 Ibid, p. 212 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 62 The results of the environmental impact assessment of the consequences of this strategic object are provided in the tables below (see Table 29, Table 30). TABLE 29: ASSESSMENT RESULTS OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE EXTERNAL DEEP WATER PORT IN MELNRAGĖ OBJECT COMPONENTS OF ECONOMIC AND COMPONENTS OF SOCIAL AND COMPONENTS OF NATURAL COMPONENTS OF MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL DEVELOPMENT ENVIRONMENT (LANDSCAPE) ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC External deep ++ ++ ++ ++ + - - - - - -- 0/- -- -- water seaport TABLE 30: ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE EXTERNAL DEEP WATER PORT IN BŪTINGĖ OBJECT COMPONENTS OF ECONOMIC AND COMPONENTS OF SOCIAL AND COMPONENTS OF NATURAL COMPONENTS OF ENVIRONMENTAL MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CULTURAL DEVELOPMENT ENVIRONMENT (LANDSCAPE) PROTECTION ETA LM EE FR/EP MOB HHW UE LH NHB NRNS WQ S AQ CC External deep ++ ++ ++ + - 0/- 0/- -- -- -- -- - -- -- water seaport STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 63 SUMMARIES AND INSIGHTS  Construction of a deep water seaport either in Melnragė or Būtingė is very significant for the economic and macroeconomic development components. The market, economic transport activity, and economic prosperity are likely to grow significantly. The main social and economic benefit would be gained by terminal operators, as they would be handling more loads as a result of the new external port. Practice of the external port of Gdansk shows that development of an external port creates more than 370 direct jobs23. Moreover, 1 direct job creates 5-7 indirect jobs. A new external port in Klaipėda region would give rise to a new centre of economic development, creating new jobs, leading to development of the transport infrastructure, logistic services, and new activities related to port servicing, etc.  Although development of the port would lead to creation of new jobs, the majority of the staff is likely to be commuting from Klaipėda24. The main social and economic benefit would be gained by terminal operators, as they would be handling more loads as a result of the new external port. Revenue of the terminals generated by stevedoring operations would be used for the payroll, operational expenses, capital investments, taxes, and other expenses which would bring benefit to the economy of Lithuania and other indirect beneficiaries. The state-owned railway carrier and infrastructure manager would also receive additional revenue. After the external port is set up, the company will be able to carry more cargo to the Port of Klaipėda and receive additional revenue from it for additional services. Moreover, development of the seaport would attract new shipments from Belarus or Russia to be carried by the railway carrier. As a result of the increased freight traffic, the road carriers will have the same benefit as Lithuanian Railways. After the external port is set up, more ships will be attracted (shipping companies generate about EUR 5,400 from a single ship), and the shipping companies will receive additional revenue from servicing of the ships25.  After the objects are set up, the environment and environmental quality components will be subject to significant impact. Shipping operations also produce considerable greenhouse gas emissions and air pollutants, increase the noise and water pollution. According to Lindstad and Eskeland (2016), marine transport accounts for 10-15% of the total global anthropogenic SOx and NOx emissions26. The shipping operations and processes related to the port activity which have been proven to have the maximum possible impact on the marine environment and water are ballast water discharge, waste and blackwater disposal, deepening and extracted waste disposal, oil spills caused by normal operations or accidents, spills of hazardous substances, including chemical and radioactive substances, physical damage to marine habitats caused by hulls (e.g., deepening), etc. Environmental pollution increases during the port construction and, in particular, during the operations, worsening the condition of the marine natural resources. Būtingė  The estimated scope of the dredging works is considerably larger in case of construction of the port in Būtingė, on the seaward side, causing negative effect on the aquatic ecosystems. Moreover, the port of Būtingė would be surrounded in the sea by the state-protected areas and, on Latvian side, by Pape Nature Park. All the territories are included into the European ecological network Natura 2000. The nearest railway section necessary for servicing the port is Kretinga-Skuodas. The connecting section to the port of Būtingė is planned to be started at Darbėnai station. Length of the 23 Ibid, p. 187 24 Smart Continent, Revised Feasibility Study of Klaipėda Port Development by Construction of the External Port, 2018, p. 224, online: 19 August 2019. https://www.portofklaipeda.lt/uploads/DOKUMENTAI/2018/KVJUD%20isorinis%20uostas%2020180928.pdf. 25 ibid, p. 211 26 Tony Robert Walker, Environmental Effects of Marine Transportation, online: 1 August 2019, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/322992301_Environmental_Effects_of_Marine_Transportation. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 64 connecting section: 9,750 m (5,333 m for the single-track and 4,117 m for the double-track section). The connecting span would be constructed across the coastal plain forests, including construction of a bridge across the river Šventoji. The river Šventoji is one of the Natura 2000 protected areas in the Baltics (LTKRE0006).  Development of a port in a non-urban, natural environment would alter the coastal and marine landscape substantially, defacing it with the engineering, transport and other structures necessary for development of the port. The natural landscape becomes technologized. The resident population of the town of Šventoji is about 2 thousand people; it is characterised by the prevalence of recreational function and significant seasonality. The new major strategic object in the fairly immediate proximity (at the distance of 3 km) would be likely to have negative effect on development of Šventoji according to the recreational functional priority due to deterioration of the quality of environment and reduction of the recreational potential.  To sum up, despite the EUR 3.64 EUR in benefit for each EUR 1 invested, constructing a port in Būtingė would require considerable investments in the short term. Melnragė  Development of a port in Melnragė is planned near the urbanized areas, and the possibilities for development of urbanization as well as attractiveness of the environment for development of residential areas are likely to be limited considerably. Quality of the urbanized environment is also reduced considerably due to more complicated implementation of the multifunctionality and complexity principles. A port is a relatively closed territory in an urbanized location. Major spatial and functional changes are likely to occur due to development of additional transport and engineering infrastructure as well as specifics of the port infrastructure. Although globally, development of the port would strengthen the position of Klaipėda city in the European context, it is estimated to cause negative consequences to the UE.  In the course of development of the port in Melnragė, the possibilities for recreation, which are highly relevant and favoured by people in the anticipated area, would be limited due to the altered functional priorities. Development of the port territory also leads to limitations of the residential development of the city. Negative impact on the environment components, the condition of which has direct influence on human health (high noise and pollution level), is also probable.  Construction of a port acts on the nearshore lithodynamics and natural coast formation processes. The marine and coastal landscape will be altered significantly. In all the assessment works related to selection of the construction location for the external deep water seaport, it is noted that the impact on the environment, landscape, biodiversity, coast formation processes will be possible to determine only by detailed assessment during the environmental impact assessment (EIA). The impact caused by increase of the port depths and hydrotechnical structures alters the influx of salt water into the Curonian Lagoon and distribution of the outflowing lagoon water in the sea. The impact on the salt and fresh water distribution in the Curonian Lagoon would be reinforced by the structures at sea constructed as part of the development of the external deep water seaport.  Based on the cost-benefit analysis, in case the external port was constructed in Melnragė, the economic benefit-cost ratio (EBCR) showing how many times the benefit created by the project exceeds its implementation costs, would be 6.9327, i.e. EUR 6.93 in benefits would be expected for each EUR 1 invested. 27 Ibid, p. 224 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 65 5. COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS RESULTS ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY | The multi-criteria analysis method involves summarisation of the assessment results from four individual aspects: macroeconomic and economic development, social and cultural development, natural environment (landscape), and environmental protection. Significant consequences of the concept alternatives, the environment components affected the most, and synergy between the consequences are determined. The method has been applied to compare different CPLR concept alternatives to each other and select the best alternative on the basis of the analogue analysis and numerical results generated by the expert assessment. The multi-criteria analysis enables comparing the both concept alternatives by expressing their appropriateness using numerical values, although the goals and aspects subject to assessment are very different. First of all, the assessment criteria for the alternatives are determined in order to reflect the consequences of implementation of the alternatives. The nature and significance of the consequences (-- to ++) are assessed by scores on the basis of the chosen assessment scale from -2 to +2 (see Table Table 31). TABLE 31: TABLE OF THE NATURE AND SIGNIFICANCE SCORE OF THE ASSESSMENT CONSEQUENCES ASSESSMENT DESCRIPTION NUMERICAL VALUE ++ Significant positive consequences are expected 2 + Positive consequences of low significance are expected 1 0/+ No significant consequences or positive consequences of low significance are expected 0.5 +/- or 0 Insignificant consequences, or both positive and negative consequences are expected 0 0/- No significant consequences or negative consequences of low significance are expected -0.5 - Negative consequences of low significance are expected -1 -- Significant negative consequences are expected -2 Source: compiled by authors ANALYSIS RESULTS | The total assessment score for each alternative is produced by summing up the significance sums of the topics for the respective alternative (see TableTable 32 and Table Table 33). The darker the blue colour used in the tables to mark the assessment score, the greater the positive consequences for the assessed component. The darker the red colour, the greater the negative consequences for the assessed component. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 66 TABLE 32: ASSESSMENT OF ALTERNATIVE I FOR THE CPRL CONCEPT Alternative I Economic and Macroeconomic development Social-cultural development Natural environment (landscape) Environmental protection Transport Labour Engineering Financial Mobility Human Urban Landscape Natural habitats Natural Water Soil Air Climate economic market environment resources / health and environment and heritage and biodiversity renewable quality quality change Total: activity economic wellbeing resources Topics prosperity Urban environment structures 2 7 5 -2 22 13 13 17 17 17 13 10 13 16 163 Service distribution 2 8 3 -11 12 15 9 4 0 0 3 3 2 2 53 Transport system 7 7 12 5 15 19 16 1 -5 1 4 5 4 4 98 Engineering systems 1 6 10 8 13 9 8 0 4 12 7 6 9 12 104 Spatial economic structures 4 7 6 8 10 10 1 3 -1 1 1 1 2 1 53 Ecological compensation systems 0 7 4 -1 0 20 5 25 22 20 20 20 20 20 183 Resource systems 1 2 3 3 0 9 2 15 12 13 12 12 13 13 108 Strategic objects 6 7 12 -1 2 -3 -3 -10 -10 -6 -6 -6 -7 -6 -29 Power grid 0 0 2 -2 0 -1 0 -1 -1 1 0 -1 0 1 -1 Wind power plants 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -1 0 0 -1 1 1 2 National defence system territory (12,000 ha) 0 1 1 -1 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -7 National defence system territory (900 ha) 0 1 1 -1 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -1 -1 -1 -1 -11 Planned airport 2 1 2 -1 2 0 0 -2 -2 -1 0 -1 -1 -2 -3 2 2 2 1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -2 -1 -2 -2 External deep-water seaport in Būtingė -8 2 2 2 2 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -1 -2 -2 External deep-water seaport in Melnragė -3 TOTAL by components: 23 50 55 9 74 92 51 55 40 58 54 52 58 62 732 TOTAL by aspects: 136 217 153 226 TABLE 33: ASSESSMENT OF ALTERNATIVE II FOR THE CPRL CONCEPT Alternative II Economic and Macroeconomic development Social-cultural development Natural environment (landscape) Environmental protection Transport Labour Engineering Financial Mobility Human Urban Landscape Natural habitats Natural Water Soil Air Climate economic market environment resources / health and environment and heritage and biodiversity renewable quality quality change Total: activity economic wellbeing resources prosperity Topics Urban environment structures 8 18 13 8 30 22 17 17 17 17 13 10 13 16 220 Service distribution 4 10 10 0 23 22 23 7 0 0 5 5 3 3 113 Transport system 12 9 14 12 23 23 21 3 -3 3 6 7 6 6 141 Engineering systems 1 6 14 12 13 11 10 2 8 13 7 6 9 12 122 Spatial economic structures 7 12 8 14 10 11 6 1 -3 -1 2 3 3 2 75 Ecological compensation systems 0 7 4 -1 0 20 5 22 20 17 20 20 20 20 175 Resource systems 1 2 3 7 0 11 2 16 11 12 13 13 14 14 118 Strategic objects 6 7 12 -1 2 -3 -3 -10 -10 -6 -6 -6 -7 -6 -29 Power grid 0 0 2 -2 0 -1 0 -1 -1 1 0 -1 0 1 -1 Wind power plants 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -1 0 0 -1 1 1 2 National defence system territory (12,000 ha) 0 1 1 -1 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -7 National defence system territory (900 ha) 0 1 1 -1 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -1 -1 -1 -1 -11 Planned airport 2 1 2 -1 2 0 0 -2 -2 -1 0 -1 -1 -2 -3 External deep-water seaport in Būtingė 2 2 2 1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -2 -1 -2 -2 -8 External deep-water seaport in Melnragė 2 2 2 2 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -1 -2 -2 -3 TOTAL by components: 39 69 78 50 101 116 81 58 40 56 60 57 63 67 937 TOTAL by aspects: 236 299 154 247 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 67 According to the assessment results, Alternative II (937 points) received more points than Alternative I (732 points). For the natural environment (landscape) and environmental protection, the both alternatives received similar number of points: 153 points (Alternative I) and 154 points (Alternative II-a) and 226 points (Alternative I) and 247 points (Alternative II). The largest differences have been registered in the assessment from the economic and macroeconomic as well as social and cultural development aspects. In the assessment from the social and cultural development aspect, Alternative II received 1.4 times more points than Alternative I (Alternative I – 217 points, Alternative II – 299 points). In the assessment from the economic and macroeconomic development aspect, the difference between the alternatives is even greater: Alternative I received 136 points, Alternative II – 236 points. Hence, Alternative II brings 1.7 times more benefit than Alternative I from the economic and macroeconomic aspects. Implementation of either of the two alternatives would lead to similar consequences in terms of natural environment (landscape) and environmental protection, but Alternative II would be more favourable in terms of social and cultural development and bring greater economic benefit. If compared by the assessment topics (urban structures, service distribution, etc.), Alternative II is more beneficial, except for the topic of ecological compensation systems, where greater positive consequences for the landscape and heritage, natural habitats and biodiversity, and natural renewable sources components are expected of Alternative I. Nonetheless, the difference is very insignificant (-7 points (175.2-182.6) and emerges only in implementation of Goal 4a ‘To preserve the local identity, marine landscape diversity, and historical memory’ (see Error! Reference source not found.). TABLE 34: COMPARISON BETWEEN ASSESSMENT OF THE ALTERNATIVES (II – I) Alternative II - I Economic and Macroeconomic development Social-cultural development Natural environment (landscape) Environmental protection Transport Labour Engineering Financial Mobility Human Urban Landscape Natural habitats Natural Water Soil Air Climate economic market environment resources / health and environment and heritage and biodiversity renewable quality quality change Total: activity economic wellbeing resources Topics prosperity Urban environment structures 7 11 8 10 9 9 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 57 Service distribution 2 2 7 11 11 7 14 2 0 0 2 2 1 1 60 Transport system 5 1 2 7 8 4 5 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 43 Engineering systems 0 0 4 4 0 2 2 2 4 2 0 0 0 0 19 Spatial economic structures 3 5 3 6 0 2 5 -2 -2 -2 1 1 1 1 23 Ecological compensation systems 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2 -2 0 0 0 0 -7 Resource systems 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 1 -1 -1 2 2 2 2 10 TOTAL by components: 17 19 23 41 27 24 30 3 0 -2 6 6 5 5 205 TOTAL by aspects: 100 82 2 22 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 68 SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT OF THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY | To compare the both CPRL concept alternatives from the sustainable development aspects, the Min-Max method enabling aggregation of different indicators into a single common index and used in Section IV ‘Complex problem areas’ Part III ‘Intersectoral analysis’ of the analysis of current state under the CPRL is employed28. In this case, to compare different alternatives, the assessment values for the consequences of the both alternatives are subject to standardization in relation to all the aspects. In standardization of the consequence assessment values, higher values mean a better result. The standardized consequence assessment value is calculated on the basis of the consequence assessment value for one aspect (e.g., for Alternative I, the consequences of the social and cultural development aspect have been assessed at 217 points), less the lowest consequence assessment value among all the aspects (for Alternative I, this is the assessment value of the economic and macroeconomic development aspect equal to 136 points), and the obtained difference is then divided by the difference between the highest and lowest values among the assessment points of all the aspects (in this case, it is the assessment score of the environmental protection aspect (226) less the assessment score of the economic and macroeconomic development aspect (136). The highest value in the calculations is subject to a set ceiling: the same sum of points – 299 points – is applied to Alternative I and Alternative II. This is the highest calculated sum of points (for Alternative II, this sum of points has been generated for the social and cultural development aspect) among the both alternatives and it refers to the maximum assessment potential. This means that the more points below this sum are generated for the assessed aspect, the greater the positive effect on the sustainable development progress (their effect on each other must be assessed as well). The consequence assessment values for the both alternatives standardized under the above technique are analysed from each aspect of development. The values of standardized indicators are multiplied by 10, thereby turning the results into the ten-point system for clarity. The resulting indicators are grouped into 4 scales by the standardized value:  If the standardized value is < 2.5, the index equals to 1.  If the standardized value is ≥ 2.5 and < 5, the index equals to 2.  If the standardized value is ≥ 5 and < 7.5, the index equals to 3.  If the standardized value is ≥7.5 and ≤ 10, the index equals to 4. Thus, the highest possible index value is 4, and the lowest – 1. Based on this assessment methodology, the consequence assessment values of the both alternatives have been attributed with the respective indices, comparable from the economic and macroeconomic as well as social and cultural development aspects. The natural environment (landscape) and environmental protection aspects are excluded from the sensitivity assessment of the sustainable development indicators for the both concept alternatives, as the both alternatives have generated a very similar score and show virtually no differences. This means that implementation of either of the alternatives would have the same consequences for the natural environment (landscape) and environmental protection, but their effect on the economic and macroeconomic as well as social and cultural development of the country would be different. In the sensitivity assessment of the sustainable development indicators for the both alternatives, negative values of the index (-2 to 0) mean decline of the both areas, index values from 0 to <2 show the balance, while index values from ≥2 to 4 mark their growth. ASSESSMENT RESULTS | Assessment index of the economic and macroeconomic development for Alternative I is 1, for Alternative II – 3; assessment index of the social and cultural development for Alternative I is 2, for Alternative II – 4. Assessment indices of natural environment (landscape) and 28 TAEM URBANISTAI UAB, Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania, analysis of current state. Part III ‘Intersectoral analysis”. Section IV ‘Complex problem areas”, p. 816, published on 25 July 2018. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 69 environmental protection are the same for the both alternatives – 1 and 3 respectively (see Table Table 35). Implementation of Alternative I would lead to the balance of the country’s economic and macroeconomic, social and cultural development, and natural environment, while growth is anticipated in environmental protection only. In case of implementation of Alternative II, growth is anticipated in all the areas, except for the natural environment, where balance is anticipated same as in the case of Alternative I. TABLE 35: INDEXES OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES ASSESSMENT BY ASPECT ALTERNATIVES ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL AND NATURAL ENVIRONMENTAL MACROECONOMIC CULTURAL ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT (LANDSCAPE) ALTERNATIVE I 1 2 1 3 ALTERNATIVE II 3 4 1 3 Source: compiled by authors Thus, assessment results do not differ for the alternatives in terms of the natural environment (landscape) and environmental protection aspects. The only difference lies in that, if Alternative I was chosen for implementation, this would provide balance of the economic and macroeconomic as well as social and cultural development of the country, while Alternative II would likely lead to the growth of the both areas (see Fig. FIGURE 6). FIGURE 6: IMPACT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES ON THE COUNTRY’S ECONOMIC AND MACROECONOMIC AS WELL AS SOCIAL AND CULTURAL DEVELOPMENT Source: compiled by authors In the case of Alternative II, utilisation of the partnership between the cities and interregional synergies would contribute to more efficient management of the sources and cohesive, sustainable and competitive development of the economy. The public investments are concentrated in the economic STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 70 donors, i.e. in the economic activity nuclei, where they would bring the largest economic benefit to the state. The benefit would be allocated, by means of the redistribution mechanisms, to funding of the public commitments, including economic functions of the recipients, infrastructure, and other projects. The regional development and planning processes are based on the specialization, filtering out of the competitive advantages, mobilization of competences, and exploration of the interregional synergies. In formation of partnerships between the urban centres, the principles of service complementarity and infrastructure sharing are used, human resources are utilised better, and possibilities for implementation of new initiatives and development of private business are created to promote creation of new jobs. High-efficiency mobility services would provide better multimodality and enable easier and faster commute to even more remote workplaces. This would lead to higher activity on the labour market, in particular, in the north, northeast parts of the country, where new partnership zones between Šiauliai and Mažeikiai as well as between Panevėžys, Biržai and Rokiškis, would be formed. Higher economic activity in the partnership zones would lead to greater attractiveness of the territorial medium for economic activity. In the case of Alternative II, the principal model of the partnerships of urban centres and potential interconnection system would create the prerequisites for creation of new businesses and jobs, open more opportunities for the labour market participants. In the current status analysis under the CPRL, assessment of sustainable development of the economy and social domain in different areas of the country was performed by applying such indicators as direct foreign and material investments per capita, created added value, number of operating economic entities, share of the working-age population, average net wage, net migration, unemployment rate, share of the population earning more than MMW, and so on. The indicator of the number of operating economic entities per 100 residents correlates strongly with most economic, transport and engineering infrastructure, urbanisation process indicators. Strong correlation with direct foreign investments per capita (0.6), material investments per capita (0.62), added value per capita (0.77), share of the employed population (0.7), net migration change (0.72), and so on, has been registered29. This shows that the economic viability processes have considerable effect on the country’s social development. For example, the share of the residents earning more than MMW positively correlates with the average wage (0.56), material investments (0.54), added value (0.61). The areas with lower economic indicators are also characterised by lower social indicators. With FDI being one of the key economic indicators, increase of the FDI also helps address social issues30. CONCLUSIONS AND SUMMARY | In the case of Alternative II, growth of the economic and macroeconomic development would have direct positive effect on the country’s social and cultural development as well (growth is anticipated). Implementation of Alternative I would enable achieving the balance of the country’s macroeconomic and economic as well as social and cultural development. Implementation of either of the alternatives would contribute to solution of the environmental protection issues and continued balanced development, would not worsen and would preserve the country’s natural environment (landscape). In the case of Alternative II, however, more sustainable coherence between the spatial economic, social and environmental infrastructure would be provided, as greater economic progress and more active social development of the country are possible to achieve by preserving the quality of the natural environment (landscape) and environmental sustainability (see Fig. FIGURE 7). 29 Correlation conveys the strength of the statistical relationship between the two indicators. Absolute correlation coefficient value for significant statistical relationship is 0.5 to 0.7, for very significant statistical relationship – over 0.7. TAEM URBANISTAI UAB, Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania, analysis of current state. Part III ‘Intersectoral analysis”. Section I ‘Correlation between the indicators”, p. 744, published on 25 July 2018. 30 Ibid, p. 749 STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 71 FIGURE 7: COMPARISON OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES IN TERMS OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND NATURAL ENVIRONMENT Source: compiled by authors In terms of assessment of implementation of the CPRL concept alternatives by territorial element and comparison to the current state, the consequences of implementation of either alternative on the marine and coastal as well as natural territories would be similar; however, implementation of Alternative II would bring greater positive consequences on sustainable development of the intensive urbanisation nuclei (cities) and agrarian territories (see FIGURE 8). In implementation of the conceptual solutions under either alternative, balance is anticipated for the agrarian territories, and intensive growth – for the cities, but implementation of the solutions under Alternative II would have greater positive effect on development of the territories and general development of the whole country (state level). STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 72 FIGURE 8: COMPARISON OF THE CPRL CONCEPT ALTERNATIVES BY TERRITORIAL ELEMENT Source: compiled by authors STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 73 6. DESCRIPTION OF THE CHOSEN CPRL ALTERNATIVE, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE PLANNING ORGANISER The Report on the Strategic Environmental Assessment under the framework of the top (state) level territorial planning document – Comprehensive Plan of the Territory of the Republic of Lithuania (CPRL). The Report may be used as the basis for selection of the conceptual solutions alternatives and decision- making regarding approval of the CPRL concept. Following the comprehensive assessment of the conceptual solutions and alternatives thereof (Alternative I and Alternative II) and summarisation of its results, it is proposed that the CPRL concept is formed on the basis of the conceptual solutions under Alternative II. MULTICRITERIA ASSESSMENT RESULTS | The multicriteria assessment results have shown that the consequences of implementation of either alternative have little differences from the natural environment (landscape) and environmental protection aspects, but Alternative II has generated 1.4 times higher score than Alternative I from the social and cultural development aspect, and Alternative II brings 1.7 times more benefit than Alternative I from the economic and macroeconomic development aspect. Assessment of the sustainable development indicators of the both alternatives has shown that implementation of the conceptual solutions under Alternative I would result in the balance of the country’s macroeconomic and economic as well as social and cultural development, while in the case of Alternative II, the economic progress and more active social development of the country would be reached. Hence, the conceptual solutions under Alternative II of the CPRL concept would provide active social/economic development of the country while preserving the quality and sustainability of natural environment. INTEGRATION INTO GLOBAL STRUCTURES | To implement the goals of integration of the country into the global economic, infrastructure, and European security structures, the planned substantial investments into development of the country’s roads and railways, infrastructure of the State Klaipėda Seaport, construction of a new deep water port, electricity and gas connections create the best preconditions for the country’s economic and social growth. The major transformations of the economic environment are likely to be experienced by the sea and coast. The port infrastructure subject to development would result in higher nearshore boat traffic, the increasing economic activity and mobility of the population would lead to higher road vehicle traffic, construction in the city and its sphere of influence, higher load on natural sources and environment. URBAN STRUCTURE | The polycentric hierarchical urban structure has created good preconditions for rational use of the sources characterised by a relative uniform territorial distribution (in the context of the country), and consistent creation of life quality for the people. The potential of individual cities in a polycentric system is too low to increase the country’s competitiveness; therefore, the concept solutions contain the declared aspiration to join the economic/social development potentials of Vilnius and Kaunas, Šiauliai and Panevėžys, which are located fairly close to each other; promote integrated activity of the cooperating municipalities with the view towards common goals, creating the preconditions for rapid development of high value-added activities. Visibility of the cities in the European area enables creating the medium favourable for local and foreign investments, which, in turn, promotes the growth of quality of life and urban environment in the cities, although it also has a tendency to increase the regional exclusion. The consequences of the tendency would be mitigated considerably by the ‘partnership’ principle provided for in the solutions under Alternative II, which would be implemented in the regional-level network of urban centres, by the developed connectivity of the urban centres, and high mobility services. Hence, in the case of Alternative II, the urban structure of Lithuania developed under STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 74 the ‘partnership’ principle would remain polycentric, maintaining the viability of regions, and would include three better manifested urban constructs: Vilnius-Kaunas, Šiauliai-Panevėžys, and Klaipėda, all integrated into the European higher-profile city network and generating the overall social and economic activity of the country. SERVICE DISTRIBUTION AND URBAN POLICY | After the conceptual solutions of service distribution across the residential area network are implemented, the best results in terms of service quality and availability could be expected of the medium and major cities (in the case of Alternative II and in certain towns), where development of the service packages of all levels – from the basic services to partially rare or even rare – is anticipated. Their estimated population at the end of the planned period is 1.5-2.0 mln. (about 70%) of Lithuania’s permanent residents. Two objectives declared in the CPRL concept solutions should become the priority of the urban policy: the objective to develop competitive public transport systems and secure accessibility of the services by alternative transport, and the objective to protect the natural elements of the cities and create the conditions for manifestation of natural processes. The both objectives may be successfully implemented in the city management practice by implementation of the principles of compactness and complex planning of urban development. The concept solutions emphasize the ‘collective responsibility’ of urban centres of different levels (of each centre individually, centre level or the overall network) for operational coherence of the basic public service infrastructure network and quality standard for the services provided. All the urban centres fall under the jurisdiction of the respective municipalities as administrative units or parts thereof; therefore, in implementation of the provision both under the principle of ‘competition’ (in the case of Alternative I) and under the ‘partnership’ principle (in the case of Alternative II), success would be determined by the ability of the centre managers to cooperate and by the degree of integration of the goals sought by and approach of different institutions. VIABILITY OF RURAL AREAS | The concept solutions for development of urban and economic structures do not create any conditions for improving the overall viability of rural areas or at least stabilizing the negative changes (vanishing of villages). The argumentation is that the local level (local and locality level) falls under the jurisdiction of the respective municipalities, where the activity is governed by the common plans of the municipalities. Pursuant to the concept solutions, the fully-fledged living conditions in a specific rural area would be created by the residents organised in the communities. 600-800 thousand residents are estimated to live in rural areas at the end of the planned period. Availability of public services and accessibility of workplaces are planned to be secured by development of the mobility packages, which would operate less efficiently compared to the city packages due to the low population density and large distances. In creation of fully-fledged living conditions in rural areas, optimization of service infrastructure should be established as a priority of the urban policy and should include implementation of the principles of integration of functions, multifunctionality, joint management and sharing of infrastructure (in the case of Alternative II) and development of interconnectivity between local urban centres and connectivity of transport services. RESOURCES SYSTEMS | The conceptual solutions show the institutional approach towards the utilisation of natural sources. Although the nature of sources and methods of utilisation differ significantly, complex planning of utilisation of natural sources is necessary with the view towards the sustainable development goals, by differentiating the priorities by territories at the regional and local levels. The concept provides for parallel creation of the preconditions and physical conditions for maintenance and recovery of soil viability (Goal 2b under the ‘Resources system’ topic), improvement of the existing bio-production potential of natural territories (Goal 3a under the ‘Resources system’ topic), effective utilisation of the recreational potential of natural territories (Goal 3d under the ‘Resources system’ topic), economic and environmentally rational utilisation of underground depths (Goal 3b under the ‘Resources system’ topic). Intensive utilisation of the recreational potential is likely to have negative consequences on biodiversity, landscape, forest resources. In general, improvement of the bio-production potential is likely to lead to greater investments with indirect returns. Rational utilisation of the underground depth resources is likely to have only significant positive consequences for the natural and economic environment components. ‘Health’ and ecological potential of forests and soil are very significant in terms of STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF THE COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OF THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF LITHUANIA 75 preservation of stability of development of all the components of natural environment as well as human health and wellbeing. With the view towards economic prosperity, it would be rational to improve the commercial value of the forest (of the timber extracted from it), which reduces its ecological value. Hence, for further specification of the solutions, complex approach towards the benefit and consequences of implementation of the goals established under the concept in relation to sustainable utilisation of the resources of the country’s natural and agrarian territories is needed. PROTECTION OF CULTURAL HERITAGE | The goals and solutions of protection of cultural heritage integrated in the ‘Resources system’, ‘Service distribution within the urban structure’, ‘Urban systems and structures’, have positive consequences of low significance on the environment components (except for the financial resources). Analysis of the solutions, associated with utilisation and engagement of the cultural heritage, from various aspects, the consequences of the solutions have been noticed to have an accumulative nature and synergy effect in relation to the landscape, human health and wellbeing, urban environment components. As increasingly more cultural heritage sites will have been engaged, analysed, learnt gradually, consistently at the end of the planned period, significant consequences on the understanding and representation of the identity of the locality, region or country are likely to emerge. In the case of Alternative II, as the ‘partnership’ principle is implemented, the local communities at all levels of the spatial structure will have more incentives for creative and cultural expression, and the effect is likely to be even more significant. DEVELOPMENT OF RECREATIONAL STRUCTURE | For better representation and display of the natural and cultural values, concept topic ‘Resources systems’ provides for the development solutions for the linear recreational structures: the recreation service centres of national and regional importance and the interconnected corridors of European and complementary linear recreational infrastructure of cross- border importance. The terminology used in the solutions is not linked to the concepts and definitions used in the legal acts governing the development of tourism, and it is therefore difficult to understand their implementation principles. After the goals and solutions declared in the concept are implemented, positive consequences of low significance for the labour market, engineering environment, financial resources, and economic prosperity are likely. A more significant effect is likely to take place at the local level, rural areas, towns. Better results of implementation of the conceptual development solutions for the linear recreational structures could be achieved by their integration into the development goals and solutions for the urban systems, resources system, service distribution, transport systems. PROCESS PUBLICITY | It should be noted that the publicity process was launched since the very first steps of preparation of the CPRL were taken. During implementation of conceptual and specified solutions in the first decade, a great deal of confusion, dissatisfaction of individual layers of society, interest groups is to be expected. In order to implement the CPRL ambitions, visions and goals, for instance, the energy independence goals (100% of energy from the RES in 2050), or instil the culture of ‘circular economy’, it will be necessary to convince small energy consumers to invest into the RES production for own purposes. This can become a burden for the residents and small economic entities in rural areas and towns. With the view to implement the set goals, the efforts of the institutions to engage the society, explain the aspired goals, introduce to the results, etc., must be made. It is likely that publicity of the solutions, public relations, discussions with the interest groups will contribute considerably to development and implementation of the conceptual solutions, as well as joint creation of the welfare state. Saatja: <[email protected]> Saadetud: 28.10.2019 08:50 Adressaat: <[email protected]>; Sihtasutus Eestimaa Looduse Fond <[email protected]>; <[email protected]>; Eesti Keskkonnaühenduste Koda <[email protected]>; <[email protected]>; <[email protected]>; <[email protected]>; VA_eva <[email protected]> Teema: Leedu üleriigilise planeeringu piiriülene keskkonnamõju hindamine Manused: Leedu üleriigilise planeeringu piiriülene keskkonnamõju hindamine.asice Tere Teile on saadetud Keskkonnaministeeriumi dokumendihaldussüsteemi kaudu dokument pealkirjaga "Leedu üleriigilise planeeringu piiriülene keskkonnamõju hindamine", mis on registreeritud 25.10.2019 numbriga 7-12/19/2208-6. Lugupidamisega Keskkonnaministeerium Narva mnt 7a, 15172 Tallinn telefon 626 2802 [email protected] www.envir.ee
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