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Rootsi mereala ruumilise planeeringu ning mõjuhindamise aruande täiendused

Majandus- ja Kommunikatsiooniministeerium · 7. aprill 2025
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13 Maa ja ruumiloome
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13-5 Ruumilise planeerimise poliitika kujundamise ja korraldamise kirjavahetus
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Lembe Reiman (Majandus- ja Kommunikatsiooniministeerium, Kantsleri valdkond, Planeeringute valdkond, Ruumilise planeerimise osakond)
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2. mai 2025

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  • 📎Rootsi mereala ruumilise planeeringu ning mõjuhindamise aruande täiendused.asice21901 KB

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Vastavalt nimekirjale 07.04.2025 nr 6-3/25/1590-2 Rootsi mereala ruumilise planeeringu ning mõjuhindamise aruande täiendused Rootsi on keskkonnamõju konventsiooni (Espoo konventsiooni) keskkonnamõju strateegilise hindamise (KSH) protokolli alusel teavitanud Eestit Rootsi mereala ruumilise planeeringu eelnõu ja mõjuhindamise (sh KSH) aruande täiendamisest vastavalt piiriüleste konsultatsioonide käigus laekunud ettepanekutele. Samuti on materjale korrigeeritud seoses Rootsi valitsuse 04.11.2024 otsusega jätta tegevusload andmata 13 Rootsi meretuulepargi projektile. Eelnevalt oleme Teie seisukohti antud planeeringu ja mõjuhindamise aruande kohta küsinud 19.12.20231. Rootsi Valitsuse 04.11.2024 otsusest teavitasime Teid 29.11.20242. Kirjale on lisatud Rootsi mereala ruumilise planeeringu eelnõu ning selle mõjuhindamise aruanne (tõlgitud inglise keelde). Arvestades Rootsi määratud vastamistähtaega, ootame hiljemalt 02.05.2025 põhjendatud arvamusi ja ettepanekuid edastatud materjalide kohta. Lugupidamisega (allkirjastatud digitaalselt) Antti Tooming elurikkuse ja keskkonnakaitse asekantsler Lisad: mereala ruumilise planeeringu eelnõu ning mõjuhindamise aruanne (ingliskeelsed versioonid) Lilli Tamm, 626 9133 [email protected] 1 Kiri on registreeritud Kliimaministeeriumi dokumendihaldussüsteemis 19.12.2023 numbriga 6-3/23/5625-2. 2 Kiri on registreeritud Kliimaministeeriumi dokumendihaldussüsteemis 29.11.2024 numbriga 6-3/24/5444-2. Suur-Ameerika 1 / Tallinn 10122 / 626 2802/ [email protected] / www.kliimaministeerium.ee/ Registrikood 70001231 Impact assessment of the proposals for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat Final version (ref. 00764–2022) 2025-01-20 Impact assessment of proposals for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat Final version (ref. 00764-2022) This report has been produced by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management. The Agency is responsible for the content and conclusions of the report. © SWEDISH AGECY FOR MARINE AND WATER MANAGEMENT | Date: 2025-01-20 Cover image: Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management | Box 11 930 | 404 39 Gothenburg | https://www.havochvatten.se/en -2- Preface On 10 February 2022, the Government adopted Sweden’s first marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat. The marine spatial plans are the state's comprehensive guidance to state authorities, regions and municipalities when planning and examining claims for the use of areas in the sea. The considerations in the marine spatial plans are strategic and long-term. In connection with the decision on the marine spatial plans in 2022, the Government also decided on a new assignment focusing on new areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans. This is to enable offshore energy extraction with an additional 90 terawatt hours of annual electricity production in addition to the areas included in the agreed marine spatial plans (M2022/00276). The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has drawn up proposals for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat, together with an impact assessment, through broad dialogue and collaboration with many different stakeholders. Marine spatial planning is an important tool for achieving long-term sustainable development and management in Sweden's marine areas. The function of the impact assessment is to provide a broad picture of the potential effects and consequences of the plan proposal, with an emphasis on effects from offshore wind power. The impact assessment complies with the standard for the environmental impact assessment required within the framework of strategic environmental assessment pursuant to Chapter 6, Sections 1– 19 of the Environmental Code. Two formal dialogues have been carried out, consultations in autumn 2023 and a review in spring-summer 2024. In addition to the national consultation, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has also held an international Espoo consultation through the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency to gather the views of neighbouring countries. Comments have formed the basis for the development of both the plan proposal and the impact assessment. Gothenburg, January 2025 Anna Ledin Director-General, Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management -3- Summary The impact assessment describes the impact of the proposed marine spatial plan on environmental, social and economic aspects linked to the state of the sea, maritime industries and marine interests. The assessments are carried out at an overall level in accordance with the Environmental Code’s rules on strategic environmental assessment. The focus is on assessing direct and indirect effects and impacts in the short and long term linked to the plan’s guidance on the most suitable use and particular consideration. Assessments are made for each marine spatial plan; the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat. An overall assessment is also carried out jointly for the three marine spatial planning areas and an assessment of the significance of the plan in relation to relevant plans, programmes and strategies. In the impact assessment, there is a strong focus on assessing the impact from the proposed energy areas. New proposals for energy areas are the main difference from the agreed marine spatial plans. It is also the focus of the government assignment from 2022 to expand the area for offshore energy production in order to achieve an objective of enabling an annual electricity production of 120 TWh in the territorial sea and exclusive economic zone. Overall assessment of the impact of offshore wind energy Transboundary and cumulative impacts In the territorial seas and exclusive economic zones of Sweden and neighbouring countries, human activity is continuously increasing. Planned offshore wind power is expected to account for a sharp increase in the short and medium term, in Sweden and in neighbouring countries. Therefore, consideration needs to be given to the risk of cumulative effects of mainly offshore wind power, but also other activities. The energy areas in the plan proposals can contribute to cumulative effects in the Gulf of Bothnia and Skagerrak/Kattegat. No new energy areas are proposed in the Baltic Sea, and therefore no new contributions to cumulative effects in the marine spatial plan area follows. The risk of cumulative effects is particularly high in areas with a high concentration of energy areas where there are high nature values and ecological links of international importance, such as migratory birds and harbour porpoises. The impact on the cultural environment and landscape is also important in cases where energy expansion is visible from neighbouring countries' coastlines. Cumulative effects may also occur in relation to shipping where energy expansion can increase the risk of incidents and reduce maritime safety. When it comes to fishing, there is extensive foreign fishing in all Swedish marine areas and offshore wind power can affect the conditions for several fleets. Offshore wind power in Swedish sea areas can also affect other countries' defence-related activities and vice versa. Cross-border interactions on cumulative effects are necessary to assess cumulative impacts from a sea basin perspective. Gulf of Bothnia The marine spatial plan’s guidance in the Gulf of Bothnia has implications for the marine environment and biodiversity. Ecological aspects that risk being negatively affected by proposed energy areas include the ringed seal, which is dependent on ice in order to reproduce and rear its pups. There are uncertainties regarding the effect of offshore wind power on the conditions for ice -4- formation. The risk of impact on migrating salmon is considered to be limited if energy establishment in shallow coastal areas is avoided. The impact on the benthic habitat is expected to be small, as well as the impact on fish and spawning grounds. For migratory birds in particular, the plan proposal entails potentially major negative effects in connection with proposed energy areas at Finngrunden. Also wintering birds can be negatively affected in this area. The area for areas with particular consideration to high nature values has been expanded in the plan proposal, with a special focus on birds, seals and bottom habitats. This is expected to have positive effects on the protection of biodiversity and contribute to a network of green infrastructure. For impacts related to climate, water and air, the assessment is that the marine spatial plan guidance has a major positive effect in that it guides increased opportunities for renewable energy production that can replace energy types that generate greenhouse gas emissions. However, the expansion of energy areas may mean changes in the steaming distances for shipping and commercial fishing. The effect of increased mileage is difficult to assess on the basis of available information. Both offshore wind energy construction and sand extraction can lead to local impacts in the form of turbidity and dispersal of sediments, but the assessment is that this does not affect the marine environment in the long term. In terms of impact on landscapes, cultural environments and recreation, several energy areas risk visually affecting national interests, world heritage sites and coastal areas with landscape protection, such as Haparanda Archipelago, the High Coast and Hornslandet. Energy areas within a distance of less than 35 kilometres from cultural sites have been designated ‘k’ for particular consideration of high cultural heritage values, which indicates that particular consideration should be given to visual impact when establishing energy in these areas. The plan proposal for the Gulf of Bothnia has the potential to provide energy production of approximately 130 TWh per year. The Gulf of Bothnia is expected to connect mainly to bidding zones 1 and 2 and the supply of electricity production is needed for energy transition, primarily for industry. Energy establishment also leads to positive indirect employment effects. However, the proposed energy expansion affects other interests in the marine area. In the Gulf of Bothnia, there are both Swedish and Finnish commercial fishing whose access to fishing areas can be affected. The impact on commercial fishing is negligible in the Bothnian Bay and North Kvarken, and medium-sized in the Southern Bothnian Sea. Indirect effects may occur in value chains linked to the fisheries processing industry and landing ports. Shipping is affected partly by a slightly longer mileage in the changed fairway in the Southern Bothnian Sea, and partly by the potential impact on navigation and maritime safety of the increased presence of fixed installations that offshore wind farms would entail. The plan indicates that safety distances should be established when designing and permitting energy areas in order to minimise collision risks. The potential impact on ice formation is an uncertainty factor for winter navigation in the Gulf of Bothnia. Baltic Sea The plan does not provide guidance on more energy areas in the Baltic Sea than the existing or already licensed wind farms. This means that the plan's guidance on energy extraction does not contribute to negative effects on the natural environment, cultural environment, outdoor activities, tourism, shipping, fish and commercial fishing in the plan area. -5- At the same time, this means that a large potential for energy extraction is not exploited. A large contribution to renewable and fossil-free energy in southern Sweden is lacking, as well as the potential climate benefit an establishment would have provided space for. Limited guidance on energy extraction and energy areas in the plan area is negative for the wind industry, including wind power project companies and affected sectors. New electricity production in the Baltic Sea is expected to connect mainly to bidding zones 3 and 4. In order to achieve this goal, Sweden's offshore wind power must be realised with a higher concentration in other marine spatial planning areas. Investigation areas for shipping around Gotland as well as sand extraction areas remain from the adopted marine spatial plan. Skagerrak/Kattegat The plan proposal for Skagerrak/Kattegat contains energy areas in important migratory routes for birds and bats. This poses a high risk of negative impacts. The risk of cumulative effects is high as several of the energy areas with projects that have received permits are assessed to have a negative effect on birds. Realisation of the energy areas would have a cumulative negative effect on harbour porpoises in both the northern and southern parts of Skagerrak/Kattegat. Negative effects on the benthic habitats are considered to be limited if nature values are taken into account in the design. A potential positive local net effect may arise if energy use replaces bottom trawling in areas especially in Skagerrak. However, the impact on commercial fishing may mean an intensification of fishing in adjacent accessible areas with increased pressure in them. For impacts related to climate, water and air, the assessment is that the marine spatial plan guidance has a great positive effect in that it guides on increased opportunities for renewable energy production that can replace fossil fuels and also fuels in the long term, which would lead to lower levels of air emissions. However, the expansion of energy areas may mean changes in driving distances for commercial fishing, with the risk of some increase in emissions as a result. The construction of offshore wind power can lead to local impacts in the form of turbidity and dispersal of sediments, but the assessment is that this does not affect the marine environment in the long term. The west coast has high values from a cultural environment and recreation point of view. A large number of areas of national interest and national interest claims for the cultural environment and recreation can be found along the coast. The plan's proposals for energy areas, particularly in Halland, are expected to have a major negative effect on these interests, with a risk of impact on the tourism industry. In Skagerrak, the energy areas are located further out from the coast but, on the other hand, include large areas in the marine area. The marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat guides potential energy extraction of about 20 TWh per year, which would constitute an important addition of fossil-free electricity to parts of western Sweden. Electricity production is expected to be able to connect to bidding zones 3 and 4. The potential impact on shipping in Skagerrak/Kattegat is assessed to be relatively small, both for Swedish and international shipping, provided that permits for the establishment of wind farms take into account existing recommendations. The plan indicates that safety distances should be established when designing and permitting energy areas in order to minimise collision risks. -6- Energy areas were adjusted according to the planning consultation taking into account national interest claims for commercial fishing and fishing operations. Overall, the impact on commercial fishing of the energy areas in the marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat is considered to have a potential major impact on commercial fishing in the plan area, primarily in the case of the northern shrimp fishing, as well as bottom trawling for Norway lobster and fish. This includes the effects of areas with licensed wind farms. The impact on commercial fishing can also have second-round effects on value chains, self-processing, the processing industry, affected landing ports and municipal interests. Environmental objectives and the EU Marine Strategy for the Marine Environment Directive The marine spatial plans’ guidance is considered to make both positive and negative contributions to Sweden’s national environmental objectives. The environmental quality objectives where the plan has the greatest positive effect are "Limited climate impact". By creating the conditions for an increased establishment of offshore wind power in the Swedish territorial sea and Swedish exclusive economic zone, there is potential to replace fossil energy production and, in the long term, fossil fuels with an alternative that does not generate greenhouse gases. The environmental quality objectives where the plan has the greatest negative effect are Sea in balance and living coast and archipelago, A rich plant and animal life, and Good built environment. Offshore wind affects marine environments both during construction and the operational phase, which risks negatively affecting ecosystems and threatening biodiversity, such as birds and marine mammals. The landscape is also affected by offshore wind power, as well as cultural environments and areas that are important for recreation. For the environmental quality objectives Fresh air and Non-toxic environment, marine spatial plans have a marginal effect in that guidance on energy use can affect local emissions, both positively and possibly negatively as driving distances change. The marine spatial plans’ guidance on sand extraction can lead to local impacts on the marine environment, and lead to the dispersion of pollutants from sediments. The marine spatial plans are assessed in relation to the Swedish Marine Environment Regulation and the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive to be able to affect the descriptors for biodiversity (seabirds, marine mammals), alien species, seabed integrity, hydrographic conditions and underwater noise. It is possible to limit the impact on the marine environment by introducing conditions and consideration measures, but there are several uncertainties linked to the extensive deployment of offshore wind power. Uncertainties include potential risks of hydrographical changes and consequential effects, effects on ice formation, outcomes of consideration measures and opportunities for coexistence. Relation of the marine spatial plans to the National Strategy for Sustainable Regional Development throughout the country 2021 – 2030 and its priorities: Equal opportunities for housing, work and welfare throughout the country: • High quality of life with good and attractive habitats - By guiding about areas for use recreation and cultural environment, as well as consideration and adaptation for natural and cultural landscapes, the marine spatial plan affects the strategy's priority related to promoting natural and cultural landscapes, visits in nature, the right of public access and recreation. • Good spatial planning - Through the plan's guidance on the most appropriate use and particular consideration, marine spatial plans contribute to a long-term and balanced -7- trade-off between different societal interests. Thus, the marine spatial plans contribute to the strategy's priority of promoting a sustainable social structure, reduced climate impact, conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services in a changing climate, and that the interests of defence are taken into account. Innovation and renewal as well as entrepreneurship and entrepreneurship across the country: • A competitive, circular and bio-based, climate and environmental sustainable economy - The plan's guidance on energy in two of the marine spatial plans contributes to the strategy's priority on the deployment, production and use of renewable energy that is important for regional energy supply and sustainable regional development. • The plan’s guidance on the use of commercial fishing contributes to the same priority by taking into account the conditions for commercial fishing. Accessibility throughout the country through digital communication and the transport system • Accessibility through sustainable transport systems - The plan's guidance on shipping and other uses contributes to the priority through maritime transport supply that is significant for people and businesses across the country. The priority also highlights the importance of coordination between activities and transport infrastructure at local, regional and national level. -8- Content Impact assessment of proposals for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat ........................................................................................... 2 Preface ............................................................................................................................................. 3 Summary .......................................................................................................................................... 4 Overall assessment of the impact of offshore wind energy ...................................................... 4 Transboundary and cumulative impacts ........................................................................... 4 Gulf of Bothnia ................................................................................................................... 4 Baltic Sea ........................................................................................................................... 5 Skagerrak/Kattegat ............................................................................................................ 6 Environmental objectives and the EU Marine Strategy for the Marine Environment Directive ................................................................................................................. 7 Relation of the marine spatial plans to the National Strategy for Sustainable Regional Development throughout the country 2021 – 2030 and its priorities: ................... 7 Content ............................................................................................................................................. 9 Introduction.............................................................................................................................. 15 Marine spatial planning and objectives of the marine spatial plans ................................ 15 Strategic environmental assessment of marine spatial plans ......................................... 16 Formal requirements for strategic environmental assessment of marine spatial plans .................................................................................................................... 16 Scope of the impact assessment ........................................................................ 17 International consultation and cooperation ......................................................... 17 Current situation, zero alternative and assessment scenarios ....................................... 18 Current situation and zero alternative ................................................................. 18 The meaning and guidance of the marine spatial plans - Level of exploitation and realisation ............................................................................................................ 20 Assessment scenarios ........................................................................................ 20 The marine spatial plans’ relation to other plans and programmes ................................ 21 National interests, policy documents and spatial planning ................................. 21 Environmental and climate objectives ................................................................. 24 Terminology and definitions............................................................................................. 27 Instructions for reading .................................................................................................... 28 Conditions and environmental effects..................................................................................... 29 Impact on population and health ..................................................................................... 29 Current situation, conditions and development ................................................... 29 -9- Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy .................. 29 Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity ........................................ 32 Birds..................................................................................................................... 32 Bats...................................................................................................................... 34 Marine mammals ................................................................................................. 36 Benthic habitat ..................................................................................................... 37 Fish and spawning grounds ................................................................................ 40 Proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values .... 43 Effects on ground, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment ..................................................................................................................... 43 Water and air ....................................................................................................... 43 Climate ................................................................................................................ 47 Landscape ........................................................................................................... 53 Cultural environment ........................................................................................... 59 Management with water, land and the physical environment in general ........................ 64 Energy ................................................................................................................. 64 Recreation ........................................................................................................... 70 Tourism ................................................................................................................ 73 Defence ............................................................................................................... 75 Shipping............................................................................................................... 79 Commercial fishing .............................................................................................. 83 Impact assessment of marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia ......................................... 88 Impact on population and health ..................................................................................... 88 Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity ........................................ 91 Birds..................................................................................................................... 91 Bats...................................................................................................................... 95 Marine mammals ................................................................................................. 97 Benthic habitats ................................................................................................... 99 Fish and spawning grounds .............................................................................. 102 Impact of proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values ................................................................................................................ 104 Effects on land, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment. ........................................................................................................................... 106 Water and air ..................................................................................................... 106 Climate .............................................................................................................. 109 Landscape ......................................................................................................... 113 - 10 - Cultural environment ......................................................................................... 116 Effects on the management of water, soil and the physical environment in general .... 126 Energy extraction .............................................................................................. 126 Recreation ......................................................................................................... 135 Tourism .............................................................................................................. 141 Defence ............................................................................................................. 142 Shipping............................................................................................................. 142 Commercial fishing ............................................................................................ 147 Reindeer husbandry .......................................................................................... 151 Overall assessment Gulf of Bothnia .............................................................................. 153 Nature and ecological aspects .......................................................................... 153 Recreation, cultural environment and landscape.............................................. 153 Energy extraction, shipping and commercial fishing......................................... 154 Aggregated assessment of energy areas ......................................................... 154 Assessment scenarios show potential distribution of cumulative effects ......... 155 Cross-border cumulative effects ....................................................................... 158 Impact assessment of marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea ............................................... 160 Impact on population and health ................................................................................... 160 Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity ...................................... 162 Birds................................................................................................................... 162 Bats.................................................................................................................... 163 Marine mammals ............................................................................................... 163 Benthic habitats ................................................................................................. 164 Fish and spawning grounds .............................................................................. 164 Impact of proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values ................................................................................................................ 165 Effects on land, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment. ........................................................................................................................... 167 Water and air ..................................................................................................... 167 Climate .............................................................................................................. 168 Landscape ......................................................................................................... 169 Cultural environment ......................................................................................... 171 Effects on the management of water, soil and the physical environment in general .... 178 Energy extraction .............................................................................................. 178 Recreation ......................................................................................................... 182 Tourism .............................................................................................................. 186 - 11 - Defence ............................................................................................................. 187 Shipping............................................................................................................. 187 Commercial fishing ............................................................................................ 189 Overall assessment of the Baltic Sea............................................................................ 191 Nature and ecological aspects .......................................................................... 191 Recreation, cultural environment, landscape and tourism ................................ 191 Energy extraction, shipping and commercial fishing......................................... 191 Cross-border cumulative effects ....................................................................... 192 Impact assessment of marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat ...................................... 194 Impact on population and health ................................................................................... 194 Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity ...................................... 197 Birds................................................................................................................... 197 Bats.................................................................................................................... 200 Marine mammals ............................................................................................... 202 Benthic habitats ................................................................................................. 205 Fish and spawning grounds .............................................................................. 209 Impact of proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values ................................................................................................................ 211 Effects on land, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment. ........................................................................................................................... 214 Water and air ..................................................................................................... 214 Climate .............................................................................................................. 217 Landscape ......................................................................................................... 219 Cultural environment ......................................................................................... 222 Effects on the management of water, soil and the physical environment in general .... 232 Energy extraction .............................................................................................. 232 Recreation ......................................................................................................... 240 Tourism .............................................................................................................. 246 Defence ............................................................................................................. 248 Shipping............................................................................................................. 248 Commercial fishing ............................................................................................ 251 Overall assessment Skagerrak/Kattegat ....................................................................... 259 Nature and ecological aspects .......................................................................... 259 Recreation, cultural environment and landscape.............................................. 259 Energy extraction, shipping and commercial fishing......................................... 260 Aggregated assessment of energy areas ......................................................... 261 - 12 - Assessment scenarios show potential distribution of cumulative effects ......... 262 Cross-border cumulative effects ....................................................................... 266 Results and conclusions ....................................................................................................... 268 Assessment against the Marine Strategy Framework Directive and the Water Framework Directive ...................................................................................................... 268 Plankton communities and pelagic environments............................................. 268 Fish .................................................................................................................... 269 Seabirds ............................................................................................................ 271 Marine mammals ............................................................................................... 272 Benthic habitats ................................................................................................. 274 Hydrographic conditions .................................................................................... 275 Underwater noise .............................................................................................. 276 Alien species ..................................................................................................... 277 Other effects ...................................................................................................... 278 Fulfilment of Sweden's environmental quality objectives .............................................. 278 Assessment against other plans, policies and programmes ......................................... 280 Assessment of the impact of the marine spatial plan on ecosystem services .............. 283 Supportive ecosystem services......................................................................... 283 Regulating ecosystem services......................................................................... 283 Supplying ecosystem services .......................................................................... 284 Cultural ecosystem services ............................................................................. 284 Gulf of Bothnia ................................................................................................... 285 Skagerrak/Kattegat............................................................................................ 286 Measures, follow-up and monitoring ..................................................................................... 287 Location ......................................................................................................................... 287 Borders of energy areas ................................................................................................ 288 Wind farm design ........................................................................................................... 288 Technological choices for construction, operation and decommissioning .................... 289 Improving and nature-based measures......................................................................... 290 Winter navigation and offshore wind power ...................................................... 291 The impact of offshore wind power on outdoor activities, recreation and the tourism industry ................................................................................................. 291 Offshore wind monitoring programme ............................................................... 291 Methodology .......................................................................................................................... 293 Population and health .................................................................................................... 294 Protected animal and plant species and biodiversity, bottom habitats ......................... 294 - 13 - Water and air, and other elements of the environment ................................................. 294 Climate ........................................................................................................................... 295 Landscape ..................................................................................................................... 295 Visualizations..................................................................................................... 295 Visibility analysis ............................................................................................... 295 Other impacts on landscapes............................................................................ 296 Cumulative and transboundary effects ............................................................. 296 Cultural environment...................................................................................................... 297 Indirect impact – National interest in cultural heritage conservation (Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code) .............................................................. 297 Direct impact...................................................................................................... 298 Indirect and direct impact – Regional value areas ............................................ 298 Other impacts on cultural environment ............................................................. 298 Cumulative and transboundary effects ............................................................. 298 Management with land, water and the physical environment, as well as with materials, raw materials and energy .............................................................................................. 299 Energy extraction ........................................................................................................... 299 Wind and depth criteria ..................................................................................... 300 Uncertainties and limitations of the method ...................................................... 301 Recreation...................................................................................................................... 302 Area-specific assessments – National interest for mobile recreation (Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code) and national interest claims for recreation (Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code) ........................................... 302 Accessibility ....................................................................................................... 302 Other impacts on recreation .............................................................................. 303 Cumulative and transboundary effects ............................................................. 303 Shipping............................................................................................................. 303 Commercial fishing ............................................................................................ 304 List of Figures ............................................................................................................................... 317 List of tables ................................................................................................................................. 322 - 14 - Introduction Marine spatial planning and objectives of the marine spatial plans The marine spatial plans shall show the most appropriate use of the sea. It is about providing spatial conditions for different types of activities or protection in the sea in marine spatial planning, from a holistic perspective. Marine spatial planning is the process by which marine spatial plans are developed. It organises current and future activities in the sea basins in order to achieve environmental, economic and social objectives. The adopted marine spatial plans guide authorities and municipalities in the planning and examination of claims to use the area. Marine spatial planning is one of several tools for the state to control and influence activities and the environmental status of the sea. In July 2014, the EU adopted a directive on marine spatial planning (2014/89/EU). The Directive requires marine spatial planning to promote the sustainable development of offshore energy, maritime transport, fisheries, aquaculture and the conservation, protection and improvement of the quality of the environment. The ecosystem approach shall be applied in planning so that the pressure of maritime activities on the environment is compatible with good environmental status in accordance with the EU Marine Environment Directive, which is implemented in Sweden through, among other things, the Marine Environment Ordinance. The EU Marine Spatial Planning Directive was incorporated into Swedish national law in September 2014 by a provision in the Environmental Code (Chapter 4, Section 10) on state- owned marine spatial planning in Sweden, and in 2015 by the Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance (2015:400), which regulates the implementation of marine spatial planning. The Environmental Code states that the purpose of marine spatial plans shall be to contribute to long-term sustainable development. The Marine Spatial Planning Regulation clarifies that the design of marine spatial plans shall contribute to good environmental status and that marine resources shall be used sustainably in order to develop marine industries. The co-existence of different activities is an explicit goal. The integration of industrial policy objectives, social objectives and environmental objectives aims to provide a holistic perspective in planning. Based on this aspect, 10 planning objectives have been developed during the previous planning process (see Fel! Hittar inte referenskälla.). The overall objective of marine spatial planning is Good Marine Environment and Sustainable Development, which is then supported by the other nine marine spatial planning objectives. The planning objectives also take into account various international objectives, policy orientations, legislation and environmental objectives. New objectives in the planning process launched in 2022 mainly relate to increased ambition regarding offshore areas of energy extraction. In addition to these, the marine spatial plans have been updated on the basis of new conditions for area protection and other interests. - 15 - Figure 1. The planning objectives and some of the overarching objectives and conditions that have formed the basis for the formulation of the planning objectives (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024b). Strategic environmental assessment of marine spatial plans Formal requirements for strategic environmental assessment of marine spatial plans Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) is a process aimed at integrating environmental aspects into plans or programmes in order to promote sustainable development. The fact that a marine spatial plan is subject to the requirement to carry out a strategic environmental assessment pursuant to Chapter 6, Sections 1–19 of the Environmental Code derives from the Environmental Assessment Ordinance. The work on strategic environmental assessment is documented in an impact assessment in the form of a single document for the three marine spatial plans. The requirements for environmental assessment of marine spatial plans are also based on the portal section of the Environmental Code, according to which the Code shall be applied in such a way that: 1. protection of human health and the environment from damage and nuisance, whether caused by pollution or other influences; 2. valuable natural and cultural environments are protected and nurtured; - 16 - 3. preserving biodiversity; 4. land, water and the physical environment are otherwise used in such a way as to ensure good long-term management from an ecological, social, cultural and socio-economic point of view, and 5. re-use and recycling, as well as other management of materials, raw materials and energy, are promoted in order to achieve a circular economy. This means that social and economic aspects also need to be included in a broad impact assessment. This document has therefore been titled Impact Assessment, while the requirements for Strategic Environmental Assessment have guided the work and drafting of the document. Scope of the impact assessment The impact assessment takes the form of a single document for the three marine spatial plans, the effects of which are presented separately and together. The assessment of the impact of marine spatial plans guidance is at an overall strategic level. The focus is on impacts linked to offshore wind as the main difference from already adopted marine spatial plans in 2022 is new proposed energy areas. Concretely, the analysis and assessment of the plan proposal has been based on an estimate of potential impacts, second-round effects and finally the consequences that a proposed energy area could generate in relation to other aspects and interests. According to the requirements for a strategic environmental assessment, positive, negative, direct, indirect, temporary, long-term and cumulative impacts that could arise from the implementation of marine spatial plans are reasonably accounted for. The effects are described as potential as there are uncertainties surrounding all assessments (see also Chapter 8. Methodology). The uncertainties may be linked to evidence used in the assessment or uncertainty about the actual extent of an effect, as well as possible second-round effects. The description of impacts, if not specifically mentioned, does not take into account conditions and consideration measures that could limit negative impacts when establishing offshore wind energy. International consultation and cooperation According to Chapter 6, Section 10 of the Environmental Code, the authority drawing up or amending a plan must consult on the scope and level of detail of the impact assessment. A delimitation consultation was held with a consultation period from 8 July to 10 October 2022. Both the Espoo Convention and its Protocols and the Strategic Environmental Assessment Directive (2001/42/EC) regulate consultation in case of transboundary significant environmental impacts. These have been transposed into Swedish law through transposition into Chapter 6 of the Environmental Code and the Environmental AssessmentOrdinance (2017:966). The general requirements are to inform the countries concerned of current planning and carry out consultations when planning proposals and environmental impact assessments have been prepared. Since the responsibility for consultation vis-à-vis other countries currently lies with the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has informed the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency that marine spatial planning is considered to give rise to significant transboundary impacts. Neighbouring countries Norway, - 17 - Denmark, Germany, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Finland and Åland have therefore had the opportunity to comment through a consultation process that ran from 28 November 2023 to 20 February 2024. Current situation, zero alternative and assessment scenarios Current situation and zero alternative The impact assessment examines the environmental effects of marine spatial plans with the main focus on the plan proposals' guidance on the use of energy extraction. The consequences of offshore wind power being established in the energy areas according to the marine spatial plans can be seen in relation to the current situation and the zero alternative. The zero alternative shall represent how the environment would evolve into a given year if the current plan or programme is not implemented. There are currently two offshore wind farms located within Sweden's marine spatial plans. The Lillgrund wind farm in Öresund, which has been in operation since 2007, and Kårehamn off the coast of Öland, which has been in operation since 2013. The impact assessment is based on an assessment of the impact of marine spatial plans when fully implemented. This means that the guidance on different uses in marine spatial plans has been applied and put into practice. This can be considered an unreasonable assumption, but at the same time it is relevant for decision-makers to get an overview of the overall impact and consequences of the marine spatial plans. The environmental effects and consequences shall be investigated in relation to a zero alternative in accordance with Chapter 16, Section 4 of the Environmental Code. For marine spatial planning, this applies both in terms of offshore wind power and other parameters. Seven wind power projects within the marine spatial plans have been granted permits: Kriegers Flak (2022) south of Skåne, Kattegatt Syd and Galene (both 2023) in Kattegat and Poseidon (2024) west off Stenungssund in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The Storgrundet and Falkenberg wind farms have older permits that have made changes to the application recently. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has made the assessment that it is a reasonable assumption that both existing and licensed offshore wind farms are included in the zero alternative. Furthermore, the zero alternative is described in Chapter 2 under the heading conditions, current situation and development for each assessment aspect. - 18 - Figure 2. Shows the zero alternative in the impact assessment consisting of energy areas where there are permits to establish offshore wind power, including the already existing wind farm Lillgrund (Ö287). - 19 - The meaning and guidance of the marine spatial plans - Level of exploitation and realisation Within the current planning system for offshore wind power, there are a number of uncertainties regarding which energy areas can be realized in accordance with the plan proposal. The uncertainties are due to several factors, worth mentioning are the secret interests of the defence, the assessment of site-specific needs for nature protection, as well as other issues that are dealt with in future permit applications and whether the state or the contractors should bear the cost of cabling (see also section 6.1 of the proposed marine spatial plan). Responsible authorities concluded early in the planning process that, within the current system, there is a need for ‘overplanning’ to enable energy extraction equivalent to 120 TWh. The plan proposals to the Government include approximately 150 TWh of annual energy production. In the case of energy establishment, some area and hence potential amount of energy would be lost due to safety zones against shipping. Uncertainties also remain in relation to, among other things, defence interests and nature considerations. Full deployment as planned is therefore relatively unlikely. In the impact assessment, it is the full expansion that is assessed as it is in accordance with the guidance of the marine spatial plan and in line with the target of 120 TWh of annual energy production. Assessment scenarios According to the Environmental Code, a strategic environmental assessment must contain reasonable alternatives taking into account; the geographical scope and purpose of the plan. During the various stages of the planning process, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has assessed reasonable alternatives in the planning. Prior to the consultation, the proposals for the marine spatial plan included alternative energy areas. The impact assessment presented the effects of energy areas and alternative energy areas. The aim was to show different possibilities in planning when it comes to choosing energy areas in the different marine spatial plans. At the review stage, most of the consultation's alternative energy areas had become energy areas in the plan. In the impact assessment, alternative plan proposals were developed to show different potential outcomes within the target of 120 TWh based on different aspects. Prior to submission to the Government, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has developed scenarios to discuss potential cumulative consequences that may arise from the application of the marine spatial plan. The scenarios do not correspond to planning choices, but show the energy areas that have the least negative impact on the respective interests. The energy areas that have the greatest negative impact on commercial fishing and shipping have been removed in the scenario “Fishing and Shipping” and the energy areas that have the greatest negative impact on cultural environments, recreation and ecological aspects have been removed in the scenario “Culture and Nature”, and in the scenario “Energy” all energy areas are included. There is no assessment of how likely an individual scenario is, but the function of the scenarios is to illustrate how the marine spatial plans could potentially be applied, with a particular focus on consequences for different interests. The purpose of the scenarios is to be able to reason in the impact assessment about the potential distribution of cumulative effects in relation to different outcomes, and compare with both the baseline option and the marine spatial plan proposal as a - 20 - whole. They also show what an application of the marine spatial plans could have looked like taking into account different interests. The marine spatial plans’ relation to other plans and programmes Under Chapter 6, Section 11 of the Environmental Code, an environmental impact assessment must contain a summary of the main purpose of the plan and its relationship with other relevant plans and programmes. Marine spatial plans shall aim at sustainable development and shall be based on objectives and strategies at local, regional, national and international level. The selection of plans, programmes and other processes presented in this section is mainly based on their relevance for marine spatial planning, with a focus on new areas for offshore energy production. National interests, policy documents and spatial planning 1.4.1.1. National interests National interests are geographical areas that have been identified as nationally significant. The marine spatial plan proposal shall comply with the provisions for the management of land and water areas as set out below: National interest claims under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code (to be reported by national interest authorities) o Includes, among other things, national interest claims for commercial fishing, nature conservation and outdoor activities, cultural environment conservation, facilities for energy production and electricity distribution, facilities for communications, and defence facilities. Authorities that provide information on the respective national interest claims are listed in Section 2 of the Ordinance on Land and Water Management. National interests under Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code (listed directly in the Act) o Applies to larger areas with great natural and cultural values as well as values for recreation that are in their entirety nationally significant. This includes coastal areas and Natura 2000 sites (listed in a specific order). Marine spatial plans shall guide uses of the sea. The guidance is based on an assessment of the most appropriate use taking into account the nature, location and needs of the sites and the overall purpose of the plans. Assessment is made on the basis of national interests, national interest claims and other public interests of substantial importance. 1.4.1.2. Connection to the transmission network Svenska Kraftnät is currently working on developing the process for actors who want to connect offshore wind power to the onshore transmission grid. In these zones, Svenska Kraftnät will prepare one or more connection points, the positioning and capacity of which will then be communicated to all stakeholders via stakeholder pools. An offer of connection is made to the - 21 - operator(s) who first obtains the necessary permits for the construction and operation of a wind farm in the respective zone (Svenska Kraftnät, 2024a). 1.4.1.3. Strategy for sustainable development,maritime strategy and EU strategies According to the Marine Spatial Planning Regulation, proposals for marine spatial plans must be designed in such a way that the plan integrates industrial policy objectives, social objectives and environmental objectives. The National Strategy for Regional Sustainable Development 2021- 2030 sets out a number of strategic areas and priorities in terms of industrial policy objectives, social objectives and environmental objectives. The national strategy guides the direction of regional development strategies and directs state funds for regional development work. The major societal challenges that permeate the national strategy for sustainable regional development are: environmental problems and climate change, demographic change, and widening gaps nationally and within the EU. The strategic area considered most relevant for marine spatial planning is Equal opportunities for housing, work and welfare in the entire country, which includes ‘good spatial planning’. Urban planning shall promote a social structure that contributes to sustainable habitats, reduced climate impact, as well as the preservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services in a changing climate. Another strategic area of relevance for marine spatial planning is Accessibility throughout the country through digital communication and the transport system (Government, 2021b). In 2015, the Government adopted a national maritime strategy for Sweden. The strategy aims to achieve the government’s vision of ‘Competitive, innovative and sustainable maritime industries that can contribute to increased employment, reduced environmental impact and an attractive living environment’. The strategy touches upon a number of policy areas related to the sea, regional development, business and the environment, thereby contributing to the implementation of a Swedish integrated maritime policy. The strategy highlights marine spatial plans as an important instrument for steering development in Swedish waters. For example, by indicating the most appropriate use for different sea basins, marine spatial plans and environmental assessment promote safety at sea in line with the strategy, so as to minimise risks to humans, fauna and flora from accidents. A number of indicators have been developed for follow-up and a number of follow-ups have been carried out (the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023). Work is currently underway to update the maritime strategy. For Sweden, the EU Strategy for the Baltic Sea Region is relevant, which aims to strengthen cooperation to jointly address challenges and opportunities. The three overarching objectives of the strategy are: Save the marine environment, Connect the region, and Increase prosperity. The strategy includes an action plan, which includes the policy areas of spatial and maritime spatial planning (PA Planning), and energy (PA Energy). The Baltic Sea Strategy contributes to the implementation of the 2030 Agenda, but also of the EU's so-called Green Deal. The Green Deal aims at a transition to a modern, resource-efficient and competitive economy, and together with other wills includes an industrial transition for a climate-neutral EU by 2050. According to the Baltic Sea Strategy, alignment with the Green Deal requires integrating climate action and the promotion of sustainable development into all policy areas of the Strategy. Swedish marine spatial planning is closely integrated with neighbouring countries' work in this area and its actions under the action plan. - 22 - In addition, at EU level, there are a number of sectoral policies relevant to marine spatial planning in the policy areas of climate and energy, transport, fisheries, outdoor activities, and security and defence. Both the EU Blue Economy Strategy and the Offshore Renewable Energy Strategy and the European Wind Power Action Plan are working towards the implementation of the EU Green Deal (European Commission, 2021 and 2023; European Parliament, 2022). In addition, there is also the REPowerEU plan, which aims to reduce the use of fossil energy, diversify energy use and produce more fossil-free energy within the EU. The EU has agreed on new additions to the Renewable Energy Directive (EU/2018/2001) that will change the planning conditions for renewable energy. The Swedish Energy Agency has been commissioned to map areas suitable for fossil-free electricity production. The amendment includes systems for the designation of land and sea areas for energy production (including environmental assessment), and that installations for the production of renewable energy shall be considered to be of overriding public interest. The implementation of the proposal could have an impact on both marine spatial planning and environmental assessment processes. Earlier planning will be the basis for a mapping of possible sites for renewable energy, and some sites will also be identified as acceleration zones where the requirements for environmental impact assessment are lowered. According to the directive, the marine spatial plan should serve as a basis for the national mapping. 1.4.1.4. Regional development strategies According to Ordinance (2017:583) on regional development, each region must prepare so-called regional development strategies (RUS). According to the regulation, the national strategy for sustainable regional development throughout the country 2021-2030 (Regeringen, 2021b) should guide regional development work. Regional development strategies shall be well-anchored locally and regionally, and shall be developed in collaboration with the municipalities, regions, county administrative boards and other relevant state authorities. These strategies contain visions, goals and long-term priorities for development in each county, and provide a comprehensive picture of the region's perspective on sustainable development. Taking into account sectoral claims and assets, these strategies are relevant for marine spatial planning. Regional development strategies also guide inter-municipal planning and municipal comprehensive plans. 1.4.1.5. Municipal and regional planning According to the Planning and Building Act (2010:900), each municipality must have an up-to- date master plan covering the entire municipality, including the sea area (inland waters and territorial sea) within the municipality’s boundaries. Through the Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance, municipalities and the state have geographically overlapping planning responsibilities in most of the territorial sea. This means that differences between municipal and state planning interests in the overlapping zone may arise, which is a challenge for state and municipal planning to manage through collaboration and dialogue. Through good collaboration, future conflicts between the planning levels can be minimized. State marine spatial plans can also help to develop and strengthen the planning of coastal zones and territorial seas by municipalities. A municipality can also control the supply, distribution and use of energy. According to the Act (1977:439) on municipal energy planning, each municipality must have an up-to-date plan for the supply, distribution and use of energy in the municipality. In its planning, the municipality shall promote energy management and promote a safe and sufficient supply of energy. - 23 - For the management of cross-municipal issues such as infrastructure, climate and housing supply, spatial planning also takes place at regional level. A regional plan should provide the basic features for the use of land and water areas, and aims to facilitate municipal and other planning. The regional plan is not binding, but must be indicative of comprehensive and detailed plans and area regulations. According to the Planning and Building Act (PBL), regional planning is to be carried out in the counties of Stockholm and Skåne, while in the other counties it is voluntary. The regional plan is relevant to marine spatial planning based on its spatial planning and the link between sea and land, for example in terms of infrastructure and climate. Environmental and climate objectives 1.4.2.1. National environmental objectives Sweden's environmental goals system includes a generational goal, 16 environmental quality goals, and 16 milestones. The generational goal is overarching for Swedish environmental policy, which in turn should guide environmental work at all levels of society. To the generational goal there are a number of so-called indents that clarify the meaning of the goal and what environmental policy should focus on. The indents that are particularly relevant for marine spatial planning are: • Ecosystems have recovered, or are recovering, and their ability to generate long-term ecosystem services is secured. • Biodiversity and the natural and cultural environment are preserved, promoted and used sustainably. • Human health is exposed to minimal negative environmental impacts while the positive impact of the environment on human health is promoted. • The share of renewable energy is increasing and energy use is efficient with minimal impact on the environment. Of the 16 Swedish environmental quality objectives, the following are most central to marine spatial planning: Sea in balance and living coast and archipelago, Limited climate impact, Non- toxic environment, No eutrophication, A rich plant and animal life, and A good built environment. The environmental quality objectives are described in a number of specifications, some of which are particularly relevant for marine spatial planning. This applies, for example, to ecosystem services, favourable conservation status, endangered species, green infrastructure, the protection of recreation and the preservation of cultural and nature values. Clarifications on good environmental status under the Marine Environment Ordinance (2010:1341) and good chemical and ecological status under the Water Management Ordinance (2004:660) are also important for marine spatial planning. 1.4.2.2. Climate policy at national and EU level In 2017, Sweden adopted a climate policy framework consisting of a Climate Act (2017:720), climate objectives and a climate policy council. The Climate Act requires the Government to conduct a policy based on the climate objectives and to report regularly on developments. Sweden has a long-term climate target of zero net emissions of greenhouse gases by 2045, before achieving negative emissions thereafter. The target means that greenhouse gas emissions from Swedish territory will be at least 85 per cent lower by 2045 than emissions in 1990. The - 24 - remaining emissions (down to zero) are achieved through so-called accompanying measures. In order to reach the target, the capture and storage of carbon dioxide of fossil origin may also be counted as a measure where reasonable alternatives are lacking (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024c). The Government has also adopted an action plan containing concrete measures for how Sweden can achieve both national and international climate targets (Government letter, 2023/24:59). Climate adaptation work relates to marine spatial planning through work on increased preparedness and risk and vulnerability analyses in accordance with Ordinance (2018:1428) on authorities' climate adaptation work, but also on the basis of the national climate adaptation strategy (Government Bill 2017/18:163) with the priority biological and ecological effects. The EU’s 2050 climate neutrality objective is in line with international commitments under the Paris Agreement. Through the Regulation on a European Climate Law, the political ambition to achieve the climate targets by 2050 becomes a legal obligation for the EU and through its adoption, Member States commit to reducing net greenhouse gas emissions by 55% by 2030 (European Council, 2021a). The EU strategy to achieve these objectives is the Green Deal (see section 1.3.1.3) and the so-called Fit for 55 package is expected to put this into practice. The package includes a set of proposals for the revision of climate, energy and transport-related legislation and new legislative initiatives to align Union law with the EU’s climate objectives. The EU Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change (European Council, 2021b) and its actions, such as the collection and sharing of data and knowledge, as well as objectives to promote nature- based solutions to strengthen climate resilience and ecosystems are also relevant for marine spatial planning. 1.4.2.3. EU directive for the marine and aquatic environment The EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive (2008/56/EC) aims to achieve good environmental status in the EU's marine areas and is implemented in Swedish legislation through the Marine Environment Ordinance (2010:1341). For Swedish sea areas, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has decided in regulations (HVMFS 2012:18) on what characterises good environmental status and established environmental quality standards with indicators. The Agency has also established an environmental monitoring programme and an action programme. Marine spatial planning supports the implementation of marine environmental management primarily through spatial planning that promotes good environmental status. The work in marine management also takes place through regional agreements such as HELCOM (Helsinki Convention) with an action plan for the Baltic Sea, and its counterpart in the North-East Atlantic, OSPAR (Convention for the Protection of the Marine Environment of the North-East Atlantic). The EU Water Framework Directive (2000/60/EC) also has some links to marine spatial planning based on land-based activities, water resources and potential indirect well-to-sea pressures and uses. The Directive is implemented in Sweden through the Water Management Ordinance (2004:660) and has correspondingly objectives for the environmental status of freshwater and coastal areas. Sweden's five water authorities decide on management plans, environmental quality standards and programmes of measures. 1.4.2.4. Biodiversity work The Swedish work to strengthen biodiversity, combat climate change and promote sustainable use includes a number of tools. Some of these are marine area protection, regional action plans - 25 - for green infrastructure, counteracting physical impacts on the aquatic environment, restoration, measures for endangered species, counteracting invasive alien species, and regulations in fisheries. The national work is mainly based on the implementation of the EU Birds and Habitats Directives (2006/147/EC and 92/43/EEC respectively), the EU Biodiversity Strategy for 2030 and the EU's Common Fisheries and Agricultural Policy. The role of marine spatial planning in this is about spatial guidance and trade-offs regarding, for example, commercial fishing and the protection of nature values. The EU Biodiversity Strategy (European Commission, 2020) includes a long-term plan for the protection and restoration of nature and ecosystems, including a target of protecting at least 30% of the marine area by 2030. Of this 30%, 10 percentage points shall be strictly protected. The strategy also includes measures for invasive alien species and endangered species, as well as requirements for Member States to develop national commitments for protection and restoration. As part of the strategy work, the European Commission presented a proposal for a Nature Restoration Regulation in June 2022, which entails, among other things, the restoration of 20% of the sea by 2030, the European Parliament adopted the Restoration Regulation in February 2024 and it is now up to subsequent instances to take the regulation further. Furthermore, the strategy requires Member States to ensure that at least 30% of all species and habitats that are currently not in favourable status fall into that category or show strong positive trends. The Commission will also request Member States to ensure by 2030 that there is no deterioration in the conservation trends and status of any of the habitats and species protected under the Birds and Habitats Directives (for marine environments also EUNIS). Marine spatial planning supports the implementation of these directives and strategies through the spatial guidance provided by marine spatial plans on the use of the sea. - 26 - Terminology and definitions Use is a term for the types of activities or interests categorised in marine spatial plans: electricity transmission, energy extraction, investigation area energy extraction, recreation, defence, general use, cultural environment, nature, sand extraction, investigation area sand extraction, shipping, investigation area shipping and commercial fishing. Pressure is the change in physical conditions resulting from the implementation of the plan (e.g. use of an area, turbidity or noise). Effect or impact is the change in the environment caused by a pressure on an ecosystem component (habitat or individual flora and fauna). Impacts can be direct or indirect, cumulative, positive or negative, long or short term and give rise to consequences (see below). The ecosystem approach is a strategy for the conservation of nature values, sustainable use and equitable distribution of natural resources. It aims to take into account both environmental, social and economic contexts and a more integrated management methodology. The approach includes a number of guiding principles (the Malawi principles), including the principle of ensuring that the use of ecosystems takes place within their boundaries (Convention on biological diversity, 2007). The implementation of strategic environmental assessment and the integration of environmental considerations into marine spatial planning is part of the application of the ecosystem approach. Ecosystem components in Symphony are habitats, species or groups of animals and plants that constitute a part of marine ecosystems. Ecosystem services are the products and services of nature's ecosystems that contribute to human well-being and welfare. The concept helps to systematize the link between ecology and society and makes it clear that well-functioning ecosystems are important for society, health and welfare. Climate neutrality means that greenhouse gas emissions are net zero. Consistency is the importance of effects from an environmental and social perspective. Environmental aspects are the aspects described in Chapter 6 of the Environmental Code, with regard to which the environmental assessment is made. An environmental impact assessment is the written report that identifies, describes and assesses, among other things, the likely significant environmental effects of implementing the plan, programme or amendment. Strategic environmental assessment of plans and programmes is the process underlying the environmental impact assessment. It contains certain elements that authorities and municipalities must implement when establishing or amending certain plans or programmes whose implementation is likely to have significant environmental effects (Chapter 6 of the Environmental Code). - 27 - Instructions for reading This Impact Assessment is divided into eight chapters. After this introductory chapter, chapter two describes the current situation, conditions and environmental effects, as well as the impact linked to offshore wind power for all assessment criteria and interests. Chapters three, four and five follow with a description of the expected effects of the marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat, respectively. Chapter 6 compiles the assessments for each marine spatial plan in relation to the assessment criteria under the Marine Strategy Framework Directive and the Water Framework Directive. The chapter also contains analyses of the marine spatial plans' contribution to meeting Sweden's environmental quality objectives and targets in other policies, plans and strategies, and finally an analysis of the plan's impact on ecosystem services. Chapter 7 proposes measures to prevent, deter, offset or remedy the significant adverse environmental effects identified in the impact assessment. The last chapter presents the methods used in the impact assessment. - 28 - Conditions and environmental effects Impact on population and health Current situation, conditions and development The sea and coastal areas are an important basis for the well-being and health of many people. The ocean generates a variety of ecosystem services such as climate regulation, food and attractive recreational environments that to varying degrees affect people's quality of life (see Section 6.4. Ecosystem services). The ability of the ocean to deliver ecosystem services that can directly benefit human health is highly dependent on how marine areas are used. Access to recreational areas in the sea, or in coastal environments, can contribute positively to public health and also have positive socio-economic effects. All uses in marine spatial plans can generate effects that can affect human health, both directly and indirectly. Negative health impacts can be linked to uses such as shipping, sand extraction and defence activities that can generate noise and emissions affecting air and water quality. Protected nature areas contribute to positive health effects when the ability of ecosystems to generate ecosystem services is safeguarded. Fishing, both commercial and recreational, can contribute positively to people's access to nutritious food, but there is also a problem of chemical pollution in fish from certain areas. Risks related to the different uses can also pose health risks to humans, such as increased risk of collisions, accidents and incidents at sea. Climate-related health impacts are one of the biggest challenges for human health in the coming decades (Public Health Agency of Sweden, 2024). Through regulating ecosystem services such as climate regulation, water purification, atmospheric purification and biological remediation, the ocean can contribute to improved conditions for tackling climate-related health effects such as increased air pollution, increased heat waves and the spread of microorganisms (Paulsson et al., 2024). The ocean is yet another relatively unexplored resource for health-promoting products, but marine organisms can be an important resource for researching and producing pharmaceuticals and other medical products. Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy Offshore wind energy deployment can affect human health in several ways, both directly and indirectly. Knowledge of the effects of offshore wind power on human health is to some extent limited as large-scale offshore wind power is relatively new. The health effects of onshore wind power have been studied to a greater extent. Some of the conclusions are relevant for offshore wind, although they are not always directly applicable given the differences between land and sea. Onshore wind power risks being built closer to homes and other environments where people live. Vindval’s latest synthesis report on the impact of wind power on human interests includes a review of studies of effects on health (Bolin et al., 2021). The synthesis lifts noise, shadows and warning lights/obstacle lighting as the main possible influence factors. More indirect health effects from offshore wind power could result from changed opportunities for recreation and outdoor activities, as well as an increased risk of accidents. Reduced opportunities to perform activities that are important for both physical and mental health can lead to negative health effects (see also section 2.4.2 Recreation). Examples of activities that may not occur are that people no - 29 - longer feel motivated to visit a coastal area that has been exploited with wind power, or that the offshore wind power prevents people from, for example, practicing recreational fishing, diving or canoeing in the area. Airborne noise and infrasound A wind farm generates several different types of noise, both low-frequency noise and infrasound that arise primarily from the rotation of the rotor blades, but also mechanical noise from the plant itself. Within a wind farm, the noise level can be up to 50 dBA in the air. How the sound spreads in the air from the parks depends, among other things, on the turbine's design and technical specifications, but is also affected by weather conditions and natural conditions. Generally speaking, sound spreads well over the sea, but there are limited studies on the noise impact of large offshore wind turbines. In Sweden, the guideline value for wind power noise is 40 dBA at homes, and 35 dBA in areas where the soundscape is particularly important and natural sounds dominate (Naturvårdsverket, 2020). The Swedish Environmental Protection Agency carried out an analysis of the sound environment in Sweden’s nature areas, which shows that the existing offshore wind turbines are a source of noise, but the sound level decreases within a few kilometres of the parks and does not affect the soundscape on the coast (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024). The infrasound generated by wind turbines is considered to be very low in relation to other sources, and according to Bolin et al. (2021) there is currently no scientific evidence that infrasound from wind farms leads to direct or indirect health problems. However, the offshore wind farms planned today are larger than already existing, both in terms of the number and size of turbines, which means that studies on the spread and impact of noise are an important aspect of future environmental assessments for specific offshore wind projects. Shading and obstacle lighting Shadows from wind turbines can be perceived as disturbing (Bolin et al., 2021). Studies in this area focus mainly on onshore wind power and shading in the vicinity of residential areas, and the phenomenon is less relevant for offshore wind power as people rarely stay in offshore wind farms. When it comes to shading, the National Board of Housing, Building and Planning (2009) states that it is difficult to determine the limit for which distance shadows from wind turbines are perceivable. A study for the UK Department of Energy and Climate mentions a distance of ten rotor diameters as the limit beyond which shading is not perceived as problematic (Parsons and Brinckerhoff, 2011). For modern works with a total height of 350 m and a rotor diameter of 320- 330 metres, this means a boundary distance of 3.2 to 3.3 kilometres. Wind turbines shall be equipped with warning lights, known as obstacle lighting. The purpose of obstacle lighting is to avoid collisions with air and sea traffic. According to Transportstyreslen’s regulations, turbines higher than 150 m must be equipped with a high-intensity white flashing light, and internal or lower wind turbines can be equipped with a medium-intensity red light (Transportstyrelsen, 2020:88). Obstacle lighting can be perceived as disturbing to people. However, research in the field has not yet clarified the relationship between exposure to obstacle lighting and possible health problems, such as sleep disturbances (Bolin et al. 2021). Obstacle lighting can be perceived as more disturbing in sparsely populated areas where other artificial light is rare, or absent altogether. The lights flash and shine relatively brightly (Odell et al., 2022). Wind turbines usually have synchronised lighting, which can amplify the perceived disturbance. Furthermore, the cumulative aspect of wind power installations can be assumed to affect people's experiences. For example, if wind turbines dominate a coastline and several parks are visible at - 30 - the same time, the effect may be more noticeable. In other countries, regulations on obstacle lighting for wind power differ, and the lighting is adapted to avoid disturbing people (Odell et al., 2022). Distribution of health impacts – individual experience and generational aspect Effects of wind power on human health also have a psychological dimension that is influenced by individual differences such as attitude towards wind power, personality and age (Bolin et al.2021; Poulsen et al., 2019). Research has shown that individuals who experience an unfair establishment process of wind power, negative impact on landscapes or other disturbances can experience psychological discomfort from wind power establishments, which in the long term can lead to ill health. This negative effect from wind power is very subjective, and the opposite may also apply, that is, some individuals in the population experience positive health effects linked to the psychological dimension. The parts of the population that experience the effects of wind power installations are, on the one hand, the people who live or stay on the coast, as well as people who for various reasons are at sea, such as fishermen, sailors or recreationists (see section 2.4.2 Outdoor activities). A wind farm can be expected to operate between 25-30 years and an environmental permit can be valid for up to 40 years, therefore there is also a generational aspect to take into account as future generations will experience the consequences and effects of possible decommissioning. Indirect health effects due to changes in emissions As mentioned earlier, climate-related health impacts are one of the biggest challenges for human health in the coming decades (Public Health Agency of Sweden, 2024). In the longer term, wind power can also have positive effects on human health through the production of renewable energy and reduced net greenhouse gas emissions. Similarly, other positive indirect effects may also apply to the reduction of other air pollutants such as the amount of air particles and hydrocarbons in the urban environment, which affects air quality and health in the local and residential environment (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024b). Collisions and accidents Additional aspects related to the impact of offshore wind energy are a potential increased risk of collisions and accidents, which can affect the safety and security of people at sea. Fixed installations at sea mean that there is a risk of collision and allision. Accidents at wind farms with the risk of incremental spillage of fuel, oil and other chemicals can be difficult to manage (see also Section 2.4.4. Defence, and 2.4.5. Shipping). Currents can cause distressed people and ships to drift into the park, including breakdowns by aircraft. Wind turbines affect the ability of rescue resources to operate in and around the park area. The Swedish Transport Agency and the Swedish Maritime Administration have described the importance of carrying out a risk analysis as part of the licensing process to manage possible accident risks (Swedish Maritime Administration and Swedish Transport Agency, 2023). - 31 - Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 1. Shows the type of direct and local impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on population and health, as well as possible consideration measures. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Noise Risk of spreading contaminants in sediments Wind farm location Operation and Visual impact turbines Location of wind turbines maintenance Visual impact obstacle lighting Height of wind turbines Risk of collision Clear safety distances Noise Settlement Noise No specific measure Increased traffic Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity Birds Current situation, conditions and development Swedish sea areas are some of the most important areas for birds in the world. Many seabirds with breeding areas in northern Scandinavia and western Russia including the Arctic and northeast Atlantic have the Baltic Sea and Kattegat as some of the central wintering areas. For many more species, sea areas provide passages for further migration to resting and wintering areas along the coasts of Western Europe and further south to the Mediterranean and Africa. Also many terrestrial birds with large recruitment areas in northwestern Russia and northern Scandinavia follow the same routes. In total, the movements involve several hundred million birds annually and in a few places, so-called bottlenecks, where the distance over the open sea is small, particularly large numbers of birds are concentrated. The most important places with very concentrated routes include the North Kvarken, the Åland Sea, an east-west route that passes Öland and Gotland, Öresund, the northern Jutland-Bohus coast and the Grenå-Anholt-Halland coast. The ranges at these sites differ somewhat in terms of the number of birds, how concentrated the routes are and which species have their main routes there. Different species also have different migration processes and different migration biology where, for example, the time of passage varies, if the birds move during the day or night, if they move in flocks or single on a broad front, if they use thermals or fly actively, if they move at high altitude or low, etc. These different factors also affect how sensitive different species are to wind power. The different sea areas differ with respect to the bird fauna and when in the year the birds stay there. In the Bothnian Bay and the Bothnian Sea there are coastal nesting birds that, to varying degrees, can also use water areas further out to sea, for example within designated energy areas. Characteristic species are common eider, velvet scoter, red-breasted merganser, black - 32 - guillemot, razorbill, common guillemot, european herring gull, lesser black-backed gull, arctic tern, red-throated loon and white-tailed eagle. The Bothnian Bay is normally ice-covered in winter as well as large parts of the Bothnian Sea and therefore it is only in the southern areas that there are some wintering areas of importance, mainly Finngrunden. Migrating birds are believed to move throughout the sea area, but there are some places where higher concentrations occur. One is particularly extensive in the spring and takes place from the Dalälven water system where the birds move out over the southern Bothnian Sea, presumably quite wide in a northeasterly direction towards the mainland coast of Finland and continues further northeast. In relation to the energy areas, it is mainly those around Finngrunden that are supposed to be affected to a large extent by these stretch movements. The other known route follows the coast and is supposed to be extended by the furthest north and pass, among other things, Haparanda archipelago. The proper Baltic Sea, with its very varied environments, is extremely important for both breeding, resting and wintering birds. Many coastal nesting birds can be found in the archipelagos where great cormorants, common eiders, gulls, terns, merguses, white-tailed eagle, and guillemots are distinctive. The shallow embankments are of international importance and for some species such as the long-tailed duck, significant parts of the global populations are found there. Karlsöarna islands are the only areas with rocky cliffs in the Baltic Sea where large parts of the Baltic Sea populations of common guillemot and razorbills breed. Since the guillemots regularly use a zone of 50 km or more around the colonies, this means that large areas between Öland and Gotland and north are sensitive to disturbance of various human activities. Extensive movements are also taking place in connection with the migration of the guillemots to wintering areas mainly in the southern Baltic Sea. The most important migration routes in the Baltic Sea pass through the southern parts of Öland and Gotland and further along the coast of Blekinge and south where virtually the entire coast of Skåne is affected with the highest concentrations across the Sound. At more coastal areas there are many important wintering areas that are mainly used by diving ducks, swimming ducks, great cormorants and seagulls. Skagerrak/Kattegat has rich bird communities linked mainly to archipelagos in the north and islands further south. Diving ducks, swimming ducks, arctic skua, waders, terns and seagulls are typical in these areas. Out in the open sea in areas in and around the embankments Stora and Lilla Middelgrund and Fladen there are some of the most important wintering areas for razorbills in the world, but also of great importance for common guillemots and black-legged kittiwake. Several of the species exploit very large sea areas and originate from nesting stocks in large parts of the northeast Atlantic, including the British Isles and the Norwegian coast. In winter, there are large concentrations of seabirds along the coasts. Variations in bird populations have several causes that are often different in the different habitats of the species. It is therefore generally difficult to identify the factor that is most important for the development of a particular stock. Among the uses that the marine spatial plan guides, it is primarily recreation, fishing, shipping and energy extraction that risk having a negative impact on bird populations. - 33 - Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy Fact-based data on mortality, barrier effects or displacement effects caused by offshore wind power in Swedish waters is limited as only one of the existing wind power plants consists of a larger number of turbines. The large wind farms that are now being planned offshore therefore do not correspond in many respects to the small farms where some knowledge has been built up through multiannual studies. Studies in other countries and regions include both studies based on displacement observations but also modelling studies, many of which are from Skagerrak/Kattegat region. The studies have, among other things, generated knowledge about which species are sensitive to displacement. Empirically based knowledge of collision mortality appears to be lacking at present for offshore wind power and mortality assumptions are based entirely on mathematical modelling. There are many uncertain variables relating to collision mortality, which means that conclusions based on modelling are currently very uncertain. Barrier effects have been studied in isolated cases and in some cases indicate a strong reaction where, for example, birds of prey turn around when they reach the wind farm, but it is unclear whether the birds can pass through in another way. The overall state of knowledge indicates that offshore wind power can have significant negative effects on certain disturbance-sensitive species foraging or resting at sea and for the most sensitive species, the disturbance may cover significantly larger areas than the wind farm itself. For some other species the impact appears to be very low or none at all, and for some other species these may also be attracted by offshore wind farms, such as cormorants and seagulls that can use the foundations as resting places (Leemans & Collier, 2022; Bergström et al., 2021; Rydell et al., 2017). In addition, in order to draw conclusions about the effects of wind power on bird populations, much more knowledge is often required, which also includes other influence factors and how different dynamic effects act in time and space that can compensate or add to the impact of wind power. Uncertainties mean that power assessments are currently difficult to make and that the safest way to avoid negative effects is not to establish wind power in the most important and sensitive areas for birds (Rydell et al., 2017). In other areas where sensitivity is considered to be low or moderate, research suggests that various protective measures may possibly reduce the degree of impact to acceptable levels. Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 2. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on birds, as well as possible consideration measures. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Low risk of impact No specific measure Operation Displacement Avoidance of wind power in high risk areas. Collision Stop control in high-risk situations. Settlement Low risk of impact No specific measure Bats Current situation, conditions and development There are 19 bat species in Sweden, which makes up a quarter of all mammal species in Sweden. Bats are found almost all over the country, but the number of species and density is significantly higher in southern Sweden. According to the IUCN's criteria for redlisting, twelve bat - 34 - species are redlisted in Sweden. Bats can be divided according to whether they are migratory or mainly stationary, which is an important factor in relation to offshore wind power. Bats move and hunt at night, mainly in warm and relatively still weather. Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy Risk of impact on bats linked to offshore wind power can occur primarily during migration but also during their foraging across the sea from the coast. Bats can be killed in collisions and by pressure changes caused by the rotor. Wind turbines can attract bats because insects can gather there. Relocation There are two long-distance species in Sweden: Large brown bats/common noctule (Nyctalus noctula) and nathusius’s pipistrelle (Pipistrellus nathusii), which move south in the autumn and return in the spring. Migratory movements also occur in several other species, and may vary in length, including the part-coloured bat (Vespertilio murinus) and soprano pipistrelle (Pipistrellus pygmaeus) as well as the serotine bat (Eptesicus serotinus) and the lesser noctule (Nyctalus leisleri). Knowledge of bat migration is limited, but some information is available. For example, it is known that, like many migratory birds, bats follow the coasts that form the guiding lines in the landscape, and even when crossing the sea, they choose routes where the distances between the land masses are as short as possible. Individual markings have shown, among other things, that northern populations of nauthusius’s pipistrelle migrate from Finland to Sweden via North Kvarken and further south along the coast. In the central part of the Baltic Sea, data indicate that bats from Finland and the Baltic States either follow the coast south or fly over the open sea via Åland or Gotland to Sweden and then further south. In southern Sweden, bats have been observed stretching south or southwest from Gotland, Öland and Falsterbo. Migration takes place during specific periods in spring and autumn. Search for food Both migratory and more stationary bat species can feed across the ocean. They can hunt insects that are staying over water or that have drifted out of land with the winds. Hunting bats have been found up to about 15 kilometers, in some cases even further, from the coast. Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 3. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on bats, as well as possible consideration measures. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Low risk of impact No action Operation Risk of collision and damage caused Stop regulation* for high activity of bats by pressure changes of the rotor Settlement Low risk of impact No action - 35 - *Methods to reduce the risk of collisions and damage to bats can be achieved by shutting down wind turbines during critical periods when bat activity is high. Stop regulation needs to be adapted to the conditions prevailing in the marine environment and may differ from recommendations in the terrestrial environment. Marine mammals Current situation, conditions and development An assessment of the status of the marine environment is made every six years in the Marine Strategy for Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Baltic Sea, based on the Marine Environment Ordinance. The latest status assessment is from 2024 (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024a). According to the most recent assessment, none of the three seal species, harbour seal, grey seal and ringed seal or their populations reach a good status in their respective assessment areas. As a result, seals as a species group do not achieve good environmental status either. The reason for not achieving good status for seal species is, among other things, that population growth has slowed down. However, all populations, except the harbour seal in Kalmarsund, meet the requirement that the number of individuals must be above the population size that ensures a sufficiently high genetic variation within the population. The distribution of the populations does not reach a good status for any of the seal species. This is mainly due to the fact that accessible or historical sites for reproduction, foraging and resting cannot be used by seals, for example due to reduced ice extent and the disappearance of sandbanks. The health status of the grey seal population, measured as gestation frequency and blubber thickness, also does not reach good status. Grey seals in the Baltic Sea move throughout the Baltic Sea and Öresund and are therefore considered to be a population. Knubbsäl is mainly found along the west coast down to Skåne. Harbour seals are considered to be three distinct populations because only a few individuals are exchanged between them; one population in Skagerrak, one population in Kattegat, Öresund and the Arkona Basin (neither of these two stocks are limited to Swedish waters but also include seals in Danish and Norwegian areas) and a smaller population in Kalmarsund. Ringed seal is found in the Gulf of Bothnia, the northern Baltic Sea, the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga. Swedish waters include an assessment of the population in the Gulf of Bothnia. Ringed seals occurs mainly in the Bothnian Bay with population concentration in the far north of the bay. Sensitive times during the ringed seal's life cycle are February-May when mating, pupping, nursing and fur replacement takes place. Establishment of offshore wind farms during this period should therefore be avoided. There is a lack of knowledge about how areas with offshore wind power can affect the conditions for seals, e.g. by affecting ice formation and the presence of sea ice. The environmental status of harbour porpoises is assessed for three different populations and is based for all populations on an assessment of abundance and trend as well as by-catch. An indicator reflecting distribution is also used for the Baltic Sea population. None of the three harbour porpoise populations reach good status in their respective assessment areas. As a - 36 - result, harbour porpoises do not achieve good environmental status either. The reason for not achieving good status is, among other things, that by-catch exceeds the established thresholds for all populations. For the Belt Sea and Baltic Sea populations, good status of abundance and trends is also not achieved while Skagerrak/Kattegat population shows stable abundance over the period of data availability (1994-2016). Effects and impacts linked to offshore wind power The impact on marine mammals is mainly caused by the propagation of impulsive underwater noise and sediment dispersion in the offshore wind construction phase. It is not entirely clear whether the operating phase gives rise to negative effects, for example through continuous underwater noise. Harbour porpoises are particularly sensitive to impulsive underwater noise. Ringed seals are at risk of being affected by wind farms being able to disrupt the formation of ice, which is a prerequisite for their reproduction. Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 4. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on mammals, as well as possible consideration measures. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Impulsive noise from piling. Noise abatement protection measures at the installation; Sediment dispersion; Other disturbance from construction activities e.g. continuous noise. Operation Continuous noise No specific measures Impact on icing Settlement Continuous and possibly impulsive noise and Noise abatement protection measures sediment dispersion. Benthic habitat Current situation, conditions and development The diversity of species along Sweden's coasts varies greatly, mainly due to the variation in salinity. The number of major plant and animal species ranges from about 1,500 species in the Skagerrak and about 800 species in the Kattegat to about 70 species in the Baltic Sea south of Gotland. Overgrown seabeds and biogenic reefs are among the most productive and species-rich environments. Bottoms with few but rare species can also have a high conservation value. Biodiversity is vital for preserving the ecosystem services on which humans rely and for maintaining the natural population composition. Both the Gulf of Bothnia and the Baltic Sea area have significantly lower biodiversity than Skagerrak/Kattegat and are considered to be more sensitive to changes. In Skagerrak/Kattegat there are sediment-dwelling organisms that can increase the oxygenation of sediments and thus the binding of nitrogen, phosphorus and carbon. This process, which reduces the effects of acidification and eutrophication, is lacking in the Baltic Sea region. According to Artdatabanken's Red List in 2020 (Artdatabanken, u.å.), 237 marine species and 60 brackish water species in Swedish waters are red-listed. In general, few marine species are red-listed, which is considered to be due to a lack of knowledge about the status of the species. This means that several marine species cannot be assessed on the basis of the red- - 37 - listing criteria. The changes that have taken place in the marine environment are therefore considered to affect far more species than the red list reflects (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015a). The knowledge gap is particularly high for invertebrates and algae, and many species in these groups fall under the ‘Knowledge gap’ category of the Red List. Generally speaking, the distribution of anoxic bottoms, large-scale climate change and the effects of fishing are the main threats to marine species. Other important factors are environmental toxins, exploitation of shallow areas, acidification, and predation from marine mammals and birds (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2022b). The Gulf of Bothnia does not contain as many species as the other Swedish marine areas, but most populations are prosperous. In the marine area there are both brackish and freshwater species, where a typical benthic fauna community consists of about 10 species (Havet.nu, 2023b). Future changes in salinity levels can have a major impact on the sensitive species composition. The stable winter ice in the outer lake forms a basis for photosynthesizing algae, and seals need the ice for the pups to survive. As climate change reduces the extent of stable ice, the northern parts of the Gulf of Bothnia become increasingly critical (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2018a). In the Baltic Sea, marine and freshwater species live in the same habitat and are often genetically adapted to the estuarine environment. Compared to many other seas, biodiversity in the Baltic Sea is low. Since only a few key species form the foundation of the food web, the Baltic Sea is particularly sensitive to human influence. Öresund is a shallow area, with flora and fauna that is a mixture between the coastal environments of the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat. Benthic habitats are dominated by marine species where salinity is high, while more brackish water species typical of the Baltic region dominate the shallower surface layer than 10-12 m water depth. Large-scale climate fluctuations in recent decades have affected the Baltic Sea, making it difficult to distinguish between natural and human factors. At the lower trophic levels, the composition of phytoplankton has changed, which in turn has affected populations of zooplankton and copepods, which are the main food for fish. At the same time, many underwater plants have disappeared in exploited and polluted areas, especially in the Southern Baltic Sea. Stocks of invertebrates have decreased both in number and in individual density, while the Baltic Sea ecosystem is considered to have undergone a regime change, in particular regarding fish communities (Eklöf et al., 2020; Yletyinen et al., 2016), which are affecting species dependent on fish. Blue mussel (Mytilus edulis) is one of the most important biotope-forming species in the Baltic Sea, as it is the dominant species on hard bottoms (Marbipp, 2018). Other particularly important biotope-forming species are bladderwrack (Fucus vesiculosus) and eelgrass (Zostera marina). It is of great importance to preserve and try to promote these key species. Blue mussel banks are substrates for other organisms and therefore indicate high biodiversity. These mussel banks also provide a regulatory ecosystem service in the form of filtration of particles in the water, which contributes to lower turbidity in the water column. Today, the largest mussel communities are limited to shallower bottoms and the banks are therefore of high protection value. The range of blue mussels is limited by salinity and therefore does not extend past the Bothnian Sea. The importance of the different key species varies in the different sea areas of the Baltic Sea. On shallower soft bottoms in the Northern Baltic Sea and the South-Eastern Baltic Sea are eelgrass - 38 - and sago pondweed (Stuckenia pectinata) common and important species. In the area south of Öland, large, dense seaweed belts of mainly toothed wrack (Fucus serratus) have been documented. In the Southern Baltic Sea, bladderwrack and toothed wrack dominate hard bottoms and there are also about 100 species of macroalgae, the majority of which are very rare (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015a). Eelgrass dominates the soft bottoms of Öresund. On hard bottoms there are often brown algae such as bladderwrack, which form seaweed belts. Skagerrak/Kattegat, with its almost ocean-like conditions, has greater biodiversity compared to the Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Bothnia. The Skagerrak, which is deepest, has a more stable salinity and good oxygen supply, and almost twice as many major animal and plant species as the Kattegat. Of the macroalgae that occur in Skagerrak/Kattegat, as in the Baltic Sea, a majority are very rare. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, a large supply of anthropogenic nutrients has led to major changes along the coast, with sharp increases in the amount of phytoplankton and organic particles in the water. A larger amount of particles reduces the light supply for plants and an increased nutrient supply generally favors fast-growing algae. Long-term changes in seaweed communities vary along the Swedish coast and in Skagerrak a decline has been going on for a long time. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, it is also important to preserve and promote the key species blue mussel and Lophelia (pertusa), which are two important biotope-building species for the survival of the ecosystems that still exist. Structure-forming species, such as Lophelia, often have a long lifespan and low reproduction, which makes them sensitive to changes. Eelgrass is currently an endangered species. Along the coast of Bohuslän, the area spread has decreased by over 60% since the 1980s as a result of, among other things, eutrophication and overfishing, which corresponds to a loss of about 12 500 ha of eelgrass (Moksnes et al., 2016). Eelgrass grows in shallower areas and is therefore rarely found in the areas of the marine spatial plan. Even soft bottoms that are relatively unaffected by humans can have high protection value as they often house endangered burrowing organisms and various species of sea pens. Sponges are also effective filter feeders that can absorb plankton and other organic matter, spreading mainly on hard substrates. Many invertebrates are soft-bottomed organisms and have therefore been significantly affected by bottom trawling. Trawling is most intensive in Skagerrak and Kattegat, followed by the Southern Baltic Sea area, making the invertebrates in these sea areas the most vulnerable. The long-lived tall sea pen, which were previously found in Skagerrak/Kattegat, are particularly affected by the intensive bottom trawl fishing and are currently under threat (Artdatabanken, u.å.; Shield et al., 2021). Skagerrak/Kattegat has the highest abundance of crustaceans, such as northern prawn, edible crab, european lobster and Norway lobster/langoustine. These species are of great economic importance but are currently suffering from high fishing pressure, mainly from commercial fishing (Sandström et al., 2019). Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy The bottom impact in energy areas depends on a number of factors. The type of installation used e.g. bottom-fixed foundations or floating foundations and also the level of bottom trawling in the area. Bottom-fixed foundations give a direct impact on the bottom covering the surface that the total foundation takes up. With modern wind turbines that can stand up to two kilometres apart, it - 39 - is about 1-2% of the bottom of the park that is affected by physical loss from the plant itself. Floating foundations require anchoring at the bottom and it is these structures and possibly anchoring ropes/chains that can have a negative effect on benthic habitats. It is also these parts of the foundations that are underwater and involve the addition of new hardened surfaces. In cases where wind power replaces bottom trawling as a use in sea areas, the local net effect can be positive through a reduced overall area-related negative disturbance/loss. The assessment per marine spatial plan therefore includes an analysis, supported by the cumulative impact assessment tool Symphony, of the areas in which such a positive effect is most likely to occur. The pressure from offshore wind power on benthic habitats is proportional to the construction area or the size of the energy area. At the same time, the negative effect of the pressure is dependent on the sensitivity of the seabed and existing nature values. In Symphony, an analysis has been made of cumulative bottom effect per area in the energy areas. The results are presented in maps showing where it becomes clear that certain energy areas produce higher bottom pressures per area. In general, it is only when planning wind farms that a detailed location can be carried out that takes into account the presence of sensitive and endangered species and habitat types. Bottom-fixed foundations and also anchorages to floating foundations mean new hardened surfaces on which marine life can grow. Here, so-called reef effects can occur that contribute to biodiversity and a positive effect, but they can also entail some increased risk of spreading unwanted alien species. Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 5. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on benthic habitats, as well as possible consideration measures. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Physical disturbance and loss of Avoidance of impacts on sensitive or protective benthic benthic habitats habitats Operation Possibility of establishment of Adaptation of foundations/structures to provide conditions for artificial reefs. Risk of spread of biodiversity "nature inclusive design" alien invasive species. Settlement Likely loss of established artificial Avoidance of impacts on sensitive or protective benthic reefs. habitats Fish and spawning grounds Current situation, conditions and development The fish fauna in the Gulf of Bothnia consists mainly of cod, herring and european sprat, with freshwater species such as european perch and common roach closer to the coast. Salmon, trout and eel occur, but consist to some extent of implanted individuals. Stocks of lavaret are stable in the Bothnian Bay, but in the Bothnian Sea, among other things, the lack of older individuals and declining catches per effort in commercial fisheries indicate that the stock is outside biologically safe limits. The situation of Baltic herring has received a lot of attention in recent years in connection with several reports of declining supplies of herring along the Swedish coast, - 40 - especially large individuals. The low average weight of herring over the past 15 years is estimated to be the result of, among other things, high fishing pressure, predation of the grey seal and changes in access to food. The low average weight is one of the reasons behind the declining spawning stock biomass. Catches of perch have been stable in exploratory fishing in most of the Gulf of Bothnia, except in North Kvarken, where trends have been negative, also for the number of large individuals. The situation for wild salmon in the Bothnian Bay has improved since a couple of decades, and today shows good status, while stocks further south generally become weaker. Reduced fishing and other measures have led to reduced mortality in recent years, but there are concerns about disease-related mortality in several rivers. The wild sea trout stocks have been negatively affected by a number of pressure factors such as eutrophication, channelling, migration barriers, hydropower utilization and too low water flow in the summer, as well as consequences of a warmer climate. The impact of fisheries on stocks is not known, which justifies a precautionary approach to all fisheries. The vendace, which is economically the most important species in the Bothnian Bay, has relatively stable populations despite annual variations, although knowledge of the stock structure is considered to be limited. Predation of the seal is estimated to be up to five times greater than the yield of the fishery (Fiskbarometern, 2022a). The fish fauna in the Baltic Sea consists of about 50 species of fish. These are mainly saltwater species such as cod, herring and sprat, while the more coastal areas are dominated by freshwater species such as perch and roach, but also by flatfish. Eel occurs along the coastal areas with the largest distribution in the southern sea areas. The stocks of salmon, trout, eel and to some extent also lavaret, are a mixture of natural and planted fish. In the Baltic Sea, fishing pressure has historically had a major impact on several commercially interesting species such as cod, haddock, common sole, european plaice and pollack. The recovery is slow despite the cessation of fishing for certain species, the removal of the trawl limit and the implementation of other conservation measures. The status of cod is of particular concern, with recruitment of young cod at very low levels since 2017 (Fiskbarometern, 2022b). In the Öresund area, the situation is better, where trawl fishing has been prohibited since the 1930s, but here too the proportion of large fish has decreased in recent years (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015a). The composition of the fish fauna in Skagerrak/Kattegat is approximately the same as in the rest of Skagerrak/Kattegat. About 80 marine fish species reproduce in Swedish waters and the number of fish species generally decreases from Skagerrak towards Öresund. Cod, herring, sprat and sandeel predominate, and on sandy and clay bottoms mostly flatfish. Eel occurs along the entire west coast of Sweden, but more generally in the southern parts (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015b). The largest eel stock in Sweden is located in the southern Skagerrak's inland coastal area, but the abundance is high throughout the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat. The fishing community in Skagerrak/Kattegat has since the end of the 19th century changed with a reduction of large, adult predatory fish to an ecosystem where small and young individuals dominate. Examples of species strongly affected by fishing pressure are cod, haddock, common sole, plaice and pollack. Recovery is slow despite various conservation measures, and levels are not satisfactory. The cod stocks are still at such a low level that they are considered to have reduced reproductive capacity. Fishing is the main human impact on fish stocks, but it also results from nutrient inputs and environmental toxins, as well as from exploitation and physical impact on habitats. Regulation of rivers and clearings in both large and small rivers affect fish stocks and fisheries by limiting - 41 - access to suitable spawning grounds for marine fish (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015a). Other physical disturbances in the ecosystem may be due to dredging, facilities, lost fishing gear and noise. One factor of uncertainty is how the fish's habitat and food base are affected by climate change and the increased distribution of oxygen-poor seabeds in the Baltic Sea. More than 20 fish species are included in the Red List for endangered species, including cod, haddock, common ling and atlantic halibut, as well as hake and thorny skate (Swedish Institute for the Marine Environment, 2016). Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy According to the latest synthesis of the effects of offshore wind power on fish, there is much in the overall scientific evidence to suggest that the supply of offshore wind turbines does not pose a threat to fish species or populations (Öhman, 2023). However, the conclusion only applies if certain precautionary measures are introduced to minimise the pressures of offshore wind power, in particular impulsive underwater noise and sediment dispersion. However, like other studies, the synthesis highlights that the effects can differ significantly between different areas and that important knowledge gaps remain (see also Hogan et al., 2023). For these reasons, wind power establishment should be preceded by a local assessment of how fish including fish spawning may be affected. The question of how offshore wind power can affect salmon was raised in the consultation for the marine spatial plans. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management therefore tasked SLU Aqua with compiling the current state of knowledge based on available research on the risk of impacts from offshore wind power on migratory salmon (Koehler et al., 2024). The assessment is based on literature on the biology of salmon and on pressures from offshore wind power. There are currently no wind farms where salmon is present in Swedish seas in order to study actual effects, nor are there any studies from wind farms in other countries. According to the current state of knowledge, the risk that migrating salmon will be adversely affected is assessed if wind farms are built with bottom-fixed foundations with a long distance between the towers and located in the outer lake at a not too shallow water depth (more than about 30 meters). The risk of negative impact on migratory salmon is considered to be low even when using floating foundations, but there the uncertainty is slightly higher. The cables that transport electricity from floating foundations will be in the water mass and would come closer to the salmon than when using bottom-fixed foundations. However, the magnetic field from the cables has a very limited spread, in the order of maximum single meters. Although the risk is considered low, it is important to conduct follow-up studies in and around the wind farms being built, with a focus on clarifying the salmon's behaviour at the plants. If several wind farms are built, coordinated monitoring is important in order to monitor possible cumulative effects. The purpose of the studies would be to clarify the state of knowledge and provide an opportunity to identify the need for adaptations to mitigate any unforeseen negative effects on a larger spatial scale, such as migration patterns. The risks associated with sound at the installation can be reduced by means of protective measures that reduce the intensity of the sound pressure, the area of impact and the likelihood of fish being present in the area. There is reason to use these methods routinely and also monitor their actual effectiveness in practice. Conditions may be included in the permit, such as that works that cause high-intensity noise may not be carried out during certain biologically relevant periods of time. - 42 - Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 6. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to impacts on fish and spawning areas, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative impacts and consequences. Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Noise and turbidity Protection measures against noise; adjustment of planting time by season (avoidance of spawning periods); Choice of foundation type and cable recess method. Operation Noise Possibility of establishing artificial reefs that Avoidance of shallow coastal areas. benefit fish through food availability and protection. Influence on natural magnetic field. Electromagnetic fields. Settlement Loss of established artificial reefs. Adjustment of settlement time by season (avoidance Noise and turbidity of spawning periods); Proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values The plan includes a number of proposals for new areas for particular consideration of high nature values (so-called small n-areas). These have been developed in a process together with coastal county administrative boards and the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. Areas with particular consideration to high nature values can be based on existing known nature values where the designation provides general guidance on particular consideration. They can also complement guidance on energy extraction, highlighting the need for particular consideration in energy realisation, e.g. in the form of protective measures for harbour porpoises or birds. The new proposals for n-areas in this planning round are described in the respective assessment chapters below. Effects on ground, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment Water and air Current situation, conditions and development The chemical and physical properties of the sea are essential for marine life. Both water characteristics and water quality are crucial for marine species. The salinity varies greatly along the Swedish coast, from about 30-33 PSU (practical salinity unit, measured in g/l or g/kg) in Skagerrak to 2-4 psu in the Gulf of Bothnia. The variation in salinity means that each sea area has unique characteristics and sets boundaries for ecosystems by affecting the range of species. With the change in salinity comes a shift from saltwater species in Skagerrak to a dominance of freshwater species in the Gulf of Bothnia. The salinity also varies locally from lower levels at the shoreline, especially at river mouths, to higher levels in the open sea. - 43 - The chemical status of Sweden's marine areas is affected by both historical and contemporary uses, both from emission sources on land as well as emissions and activities in the sea. Environmental monitoring shows that Sweden is still far from the target of a non-toxic environment, although the supply of a number of environmental toxins has constantly decreased in recent decades and the conditions for achieving that target have improved in recent years (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2018b; Swedish Chemicals Agency, 2022). Since the first measurements of environmental toxins in Swedish marine areas, the levels of early environmental toxins, such as the persistent PCBs and DDT, as well as lead, have decreased in marine organisms thanks to success in the action work. This has contributed to the significant recovery of several marine species such as white-tailed eagles and seals. Although the levels of most classical environmental toxins have decreased, the National Food Agency recommends that children, adolescents and women of childbearing age continue to eat fatty fish from the Baltic Sea no more than two to three times a year as a result of dioxins and other environmental toxins in this fish. According to the latest initial assessment under the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive, the concentrations of most hazardous substances remain higher than the thresholds defining good environmental status (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024a). Particularly worrying are the high levels of mercury and brominated diphenyl ethers, which are exceeded in fish in coastal waters throughout Sweden and where the trend points to no or slow improvement. Dioxins and dioxin-like contaminants remain problematic in the Baltic Sea. As the Baltic Sea ecosystem is relatively young and species-poor, it is particularly sensitive to hazardous substances, especially if they affect key species. Despite a downward trend in tin pollution, endocrine disrupting effects on snails continue to occur, particularly in coastal waters of Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Baltic Sea. Cadmium levels in embankment sediments in waters around Gotland are also too high, which can partly be explained by the high levels in the bedrock in the area. A growing problem globally is plastic pollution in the ocean, especially when it breaks down into microscopic particles that can be absorbed by organisms and cause poisoning. Illegal oil spills from ships in the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat, oil leaks from propeller cores and wrecks in Skagerrak/Kattegat contribute to pollution of the Swedish sea (Swedish Marine Environment Institute, 2014). The long tradition of industries in the Gulf of Bothnia has resulted in many contaminated areas with high levels of environmental toxins along the coast. This has led to concrete environmental challenges in meeting future needs for maritime dredging, energy production and transmission. The presence of dumped weapons, wrecks or other types of dumped material can affect water quality locally and regionally. Since water quality, and factors such as oxygenation, salinity and temperature are a prerequisite for life in the sea, this is an essential part of Swedish marine management. As described above, there are many remaining challenges with the chemical status and other climate-related factors linked to water quality in Swedish marine areas. Both water and air quality are affected by climate change, which is expected to intensify in the coming decade (IPCC, 2023). Both warming, acidification of seawater and increased precipitation and runoff are factors that are expected to have a significant negative impact on water quality. More complex climate effects linked to ocean circulation and hydrography are difficult to predict at present. In addition to climate change, it is pressures in the form of emissions from human activities that can be expected to have the greatest effect in the long term. - 44 - Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy Impact on hydrography Studies have shown that the establishment of offshore wind power has some impact on hydrography (Arneborg et al., 2024). SMHI was commissioned by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management to study the hydrographic effects of large-scale deployment of offshore wind power. A modelling study was conducted in 2024 to investigate how offshore wind power deployment in the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat affects hydrographic factors such as temperature, salinity, currents and stratification. The results showed that an extensive expansion of offshore wind power in the Baltic Sea in particular could cause a shallower halocline, as well as increased salinity and temperatures in the deep water due to decreasing winds behind the wind farms leading to reduced vertical mixing (Arneborg et al., 2024). The modelling also showed that the wind power foundations cause a decrease in the salinity of the deep water in the Baltic Sea, probably due to increased friction and mixing in Öresund. All wind turbines were assumed to be bottom-fixed in the modelling, which does not correspond to what a realistic expansion would look like. The results of the study are based on certain assumptions, including how wind affects the sea surface and also the extent of wind power expansion, both internationally and nationally. One of the conclusions of the study is that there is a sensitivity to these variables and more studies are needed to investigate how large the effects would be in terms of actual conditions for the wind wave effect throughout the season, as well as real expansion of offshore wind power in Sweden's neighboring areas. More studies are also needed to investigate possible second-round effects that changes in hydrography may lead to for biochemical variables and ultimately how marine organisms and habitats could be affected. SMHI's researchers also note in the study that changes that could occur from offshore wind power are smaller than expected effects of climate change, for example in terms of temperature. The foundations could also affect waves and the movement of water downstream of the wind farm. This may be important if the wind farm is located in the vicinity of constantly changing sandy areas where waves and currents play a role in the design of the shoreline, which could lead to beach erosion (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2008). Dispersion of sediments and pollutants Sediment dispersion can occur during the construction of the foundations of wind turbines and also during cable laying. The extent of sediment dispersion depends on several factors, including the characteristics of the bottom material, ocean currents and technical choices at the plant (Naturvårdsverket, 2008). In general, sediment suspension becomes more extensive in areas where the bottom and sediment are made up of more fine-grained material, and also in areas with more powerful currents. Sediment dispersal can lead to environmental effects such as turbidity, which can affect lighting conditions, fish spawning and biodiversity, see Table 7 below. Detailed modelling of expected sediment dispersion is done in the permit application for specific wind power projects, and in the planning of construction, maintenance and decommissioning can be taken into account to minimize negative environmental effects. The sensitivity of a species to turbidity varies, depending, among other things, on whether the species is fixed or not and whether it is accustomed to sedimentation (Bergström et al., 2022). Some species may also be more sensitive to impacts during specific phases, such as spawning time and the larval stage. - 45 - Another risk in sediment dispersion is if the sediment contains different types of contaminants, which then risk spreading into the water column and can be absorbed by marine organisms. SGU carries out marine environmental monitoring and mapping of the seabed within the Swedish continental shelf area. Information on bedrock material, different sediment strengths and formation modes, and content of organic matter and environmental toxins (Swedish Geological Survey, 2024). The spread of environmentally hazardous substances can be prevented by sampling and mapping of pollutants in the benthic habitat in connection with design. The presence of environmentally hazardous wrecks, dumping sites or dumped combat materials and ammunition in the vicinity of the site may increase the risk of spreading environmentally harmful substances. Some sediment dispersal also occurs during the operational phase, around foundations. This can be prevented by laying different types of erosion protection around the foundations. Common erosion protection consists of a layer of large-grained gravel, pebbles or other material (Hammar, Andersson, Rosenberg, 2008). Erosion of foundations The spread of particles in the form of materials and chemicals from wind turbine structures both above and below the surface occurs gradually during the operational phase and depends on external influences from, for example, rain and wind (Pryor et al. 2022). Wind turbines consist mostly of iron and other metals, in addition there are electronic components and the rotor blades are made of fiberglass and plastic materials (Energy Agency 2021). It is important that the rotor blades retain the shape for optimal conditions for energy extraction, therefore they are treated with a protective coating. The studies carried out have not been able to demonstrate that wind turbines are a major source spreading environmentally hazardous chemicals, such as PFAS, Bisphenol A or microplastics (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency 2021, Wang et al., 2018). Research is ongoing to investigate this further, including the PREMISE project at the Technical University of Denmark (see, for example: Hasager et al.2022; Pryor and Others 2022). The decommissioning of wind turbines is the responsibility of the companies and this is regulated in permits for each project (Energy Authority, 2021). - 46 - Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 7. Shows potential impacts during different phases of offshore wind on different aspects related to water, both in the short and long term, how these impacts may affect other assessment aspects, as well as possible consideration measures. Phase Effects Indirect effects Long-term Link with Possible consequences other consideration aspects measures Facility Dispersion of Increased Increased levels of Professional Studies of the benthic pollutants and turbidity and local chemicals in fishing, health, habitat and location, sediments on concentration of marine organisms, fish and fish as well as planning of site pollutants impact on marine spawning the plant with regard organisms and to current conditions habitats Operation Impact on Influence Algal blooms Fish and fish Location of wind hydrographic biochemical Altered oxygen spawning, turbines conditions properties, such conditions at the Climate as salinity, bottom, dispersal of halocline, larvae, altered currents species composition Dispersion of Increased local Increased levels of Fish and fish Use of erosion substances concentration of certain substances spawning protection, e.g. during erosion certain sacrificial anodes of construction substances Dispersion of Increased local Impact on marine Health, Safeguards and pollutants and concentration of organisms and Shipping monitoring oil in the event certain impact on of a substances preparedness breakdown or accident Settlement Sediment Increased Impact on marine Professional Studies of the benthic dispersal turbidity and local organisms and fishing, fish habitat and location, concentration of habitats and fish as well as planning of pollutants spawning the plant with regard to current conditions Climate Current situation, conditions and development Climate change is expected to affect marine conditions in several ways and is relevant for all uses in marine spatial plans. Climate-related effects linked to the sea include changes in temperature, salinity, ocean acidification, altered and reduced ice formation, rising sea levels and changing weather patterns (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024d). These climate effects lead to indirect effects such as changes in species composition and ecosystems when marine species react to changes. In turn, climate impacts in the sea can also lead to societal impacts, such as changes in maritime and marine value chains and an increased risk of beach erosion. Figure 3 below illustrates climate effects in the marine environment, for more detailed information on the effects of climate change in the sea, see the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management’s climate adaptation plan and the marine strategy (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2024d, Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2024a). Based on regional conditions, it differs how climate change will affect different sea areas in Sweden. In the Gulf of Bothnia, ice formation is a factor that can play a greater role than in other sea areas, and in the Baltic Sea changes in salinity and circulation can exacerbate problems with oxygen-free bottoms. Sea level rise also has a regional dimension as land rise is greater in northern Sweden (SMHI, 2023). Already today, marine environmental monitoring shows that the - 47 - average temperature in Swedish sea areas has risen and more and more studies confirm that this affects the ranges of marine species (Sweden’s aquatic environment, 2023). Figure 3. Shows an illustration of climate change in the ocean (Own illustration: Veronica Berntson). A changing climate in the future According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the extent of climate problems depends, among other things, on how well society manages to switch to renewable energy production and thus reduce greenhouse gas emissions (IPCC, 2023). In order to be able to work proactively with the climate issue, the IPCC has developed climate scenarios that can give an indication of a possible development of the climate based on different levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The scenarios, also known as RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways), show what a possible future development could look like from a continuation of current emission trends (RCP 8.5), to a Figure 4. Examples of possible CO2 emission trajectories at different RCPs given as billion very large limitation of future emissions (RCP 2.6), see tonnes of carbon (van Vuuren et al., 2011). Figure 4. - 48 - Climate scenarios are also applicable in the sea, models show that all marine areas in Sweden risk facing major changes if emission levels are not reduced. Factors such as increased precipitation and increased temperature will have an impact on the marine environment. Figure 5 and 6 show projections for the oceanographic climate indicators surface temperature and surface salinity in Sweden’s marine areas for RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 in 2040-2070 (SMHI, u.y.). The trend for climate change is that there is an increased risk and likelihood that marine ecosystems will be increasingly negatively affected (IPCC, 2023), and marine spatial planning may need to take more parameters related to climate and climate adaptation into account. Climate change occurs in a context where marine ecosystems are also exposed to other pressures that stress marine organisms and ecosystems. The combined effects of climate change and other pressures such as eutrophication, selective fishing or marine pollution can lead to large-scale changes in marine ecosystems and loss of both habitats and biodiversity (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024a). Modelling studies using the cumulative impact assessment tool Symphony show that in the long term, pressures from climate change will have a greater impact than the combined impact of other pressures (Wåhlström et al., 2022). - 49 - Figure 6. Displays the expected change in surface salt content (PSU) for RCP 4.5 (left) and 8.5 (right). Figure 5. Displays the expected change in sea surface temperature in degrees Celcius for RCP 4.5 (left) and 8.5 (right). - 50 - Environmental impacts linked to climate change Climate change is relevant to marine spatial planning from several perspectives, partly because of its impact on the sea and the interests that depend on the sea’s ability to deliver ecosystem services, and partly because marine spatial plans can contribute to both reduced climate emissions and climate adaptation measures. Several uses and maritime activities also generate greenhouse gas emissions that in themselves contribute to climate change, such as shipping, commercial fishing, outdoor activities and the hospitality industry. The plan can also help strengthen the ocean's capacity to deal with climate change by providing guidance on the consideration and protection of marine environments. Strengthening the resilience of ecosystems through strategic area protection and coordination with marine spatial planning is part of the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management’s climate adaptation plan (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024d). Guidance on nature use or particular consideration for high nature values (small-n) can, when applied, contribute to a positive climate effect as natural ecosystems protected from exploitation act as marine carbon sinks and store carbon dioxide in either biomass, or in sediment (Björk et al. 2021, Baltic Sea Centre 2021). Marine environments protected from pressures can also lead to ecosystems becoming more resilient, withstanding and recover from climate-related impacts, such as heat waves. Potential function as a climate refugia is a selection criterion for areas with particular consideration to high nature values that have been applied in marine spatial planning where data were available (Hammar & Mattsson, 2017). Climate refugias are areas that are considered to be highly likely to host biodiversity even in a changing climate. Impact on climate linked to offshore wind energy Renewable energy production and national climate targets The addition of renewable energy production is a prerequisite for Sweden to achieve national and international climate goals (see paragraph 1.4.2 Environmental and climate objectives). In 2023, Sweden’s emissions of carbon dioxide equivalent amounted to approximately 48 million tonnes (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024c). By 2030, national emissions are to be reduced by 20 million tonnes and down to 10 million tonnes by 2045 (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2023a). It is the industrial and transport sectors that account for the largest emissions in Sweden (see Figure 7 below), and it is in these sectors that there is a great need to replace fossil-based energy sources as the majority of petroleum-based energy carriers are used here (Energy Agency, 2024). Demand for energy is expected to rise until 2050, which means that the supply of fossil-free energy will be particularly important for emissions to be reduced in accordance with climate targets (Energy Agency, 2023a). There are different projections and scenarios for estimating future energy needs, see section 2.4.1 Energy. - 51 - Figure 7. Shows Sweden's emissions of carbon dioxide equivalents broken down by different sectors. Note that the figures in the figure were preliminary, and differ from Statistics Sweden's figures. Image source: Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024c. Climate impact and benefits Offshore wind energy has a positive climate effect as it does not contribute to greenhouse gas emissions. In addition, it is assessed to have low carbon dioxide emissions from a life cycle perspective (Energy Agency, 2023a). The climate benefits of offshore wind power are mainly due to the displacement of fossil fuels. It can be more direct, when electricity from fossil fuels is replaced by that from offshore wind, or more indirect, when electricity produced with low emissions replaces fossil fuels as energy carriers in other sectors. Direct compensation is when fossil fuels for electricity generation is replaced by offshore wind power, and CO2 emissions can be reduced by substituting electricity from offshore wind power for fossil electricity generation. Examples of indirect substitution are when fossil fuels for the transport sector and/or fossil raw materials in industrial processes such as the replacement of coal with hydrogen in steel production. It is difficult to estimate exactly what climate benefit offshore wind power could have in the Swedish energy system, as there are several different factors that affect the outcome. One example for which electricity generation from offshore wind power could be substituted is the residual mix. Residual mix is an environmental value for the electricity that is not produced and sold with guarantees (Energy Market Inspectorate, u.y). It is this electricity that constitutes the electricity available on the market, there is a Nordic mix, and a European mix. In 2023, the Nordic residual mix had a climate impact of 524.10 g CO2eq/kWh or 524 100 tonnes CO2eq/TWh (Energy Markets Inspectorate, 2024). This value is due to a fossil share of 78.82 percent, while the renewable corresponds to 6.51 percent and nuclear 14.68%, see Figure 8 below. For its part, the European residual mix had a climate impact of 599.23 g CO2eq/kWh or 599 230 tCO2eq/TWh (AIB, 2024). This can be compared to a climate impact from offshore wind power that has a median of 11 g CO2e/kWh or 11 000 tonnes of CO2e/TWh (Energy Agency, 2021). With these - 52 - assumptions, each TWh of offshore wind power would thus have a clear potential for reduced climate impact. The environmental and average climate impact from the residual mix varies from year to year depending on energy production, and as fossil-free energy production increases and replaces fossil production, the climate impact from the residual mix will decrease. The environmental value of the residual mix has changed from year to year (Energy Market Inspectorate, 2024). Figure 8. Shows the distribution of energy sources in the Nordic residual mix in 2023. Source Energy Market Inspectorate, 2024 Landscape Current situation, conditions and development The establishment of offshore wind power can mean large-scale changes in the landscape as the turbines have a considerable height and large sweeping area for the rotor blades. The rotation of the rotor blades contributes to landscape impact, as well as at night through the active obstacle lighting. The current situation in Swedish sea areas is characterised by few and, where appropriate, more small-scale existing offshore wind farms. These include Lillgrund (Ö287) in Öresund, Kårehamn east of Öland, and Bockstigen 1 southwest of Gotland. Kårehamn is not an energy area for cartographic reasons and Bockstigen 1 is not included in the marine spatial planning area. In general, this means that there are currently few physical installations in Swedish waters, which means that knowledge of the impact on the landscape is limited. Offshore wind power affects the landscape in all directions from the plant, but primarily the impact on the coast and how the physical structure affects the existing coastal landscape is assessed. The location and design of wind farms can have a major impact on the landscape, where issues such as height, location and design, formation and lighting come into play. In some energy areas, the marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high cultural heritage values, which means that consideration must be taken in the management, planning and licensing of energy areas, which can contribute to certain adaptations that can mitigate the impact on cultural environments, thereby reducing the impact on the landscape. - 53 - The landscape along Sweden's coasts is varied from both a natural and cultural environment perspective. The natural environments include forested and shrub-clad environments, open, stony and rocky coasts as well as finely topography-broken archipelagos and flat stretches of coastline. The cultural environments are characterized by human’s historical use of the landscape in the form of, for example, fishing communities, but also modern occurences such as large-scale ports and urban environments. National interests for, among other things, the cultural environment and recreation capture the landscape's values and contribute to consideration in planning and permit applications. This impact assessment includes assessments of the cultural environment and recreation as its own parts, but where relevant, also described areas of national interest unbroken coastline and high- exploited coastline under Chapter 4, Sections 3-4 of the Environmental Code. Landscape protection is also mentioned in the Nature Conservation Act (1964:822) where it risks being affected by the establishment of offshore wind power. The assessment of the impact on the landscape can be seen as a starting point for visual effects on cultural environment and recreation interests. In an approach to a future outlook, the landscape is expected to be marginally affected along the Swedish coast. However, larger installations of industrial scale can contribute to a major change in the landscape, not least of offshore wind power. Impact linked to offshore wind energy The impact on the landscape depends on several factors. This analysis of landscape effects includes the proximity of the energy areas to land, the angle of view from land and from which points on land the wind turbines are visible. Proximity to land or distance from land is considered to be the most important impact factor because it largely determines the visual presence of the works and thus the degree of impact. Other possible impacts on the landscape that offshore wind power may have are not included in this analysis, such as related onshore infrastructure. Visual impact need not by definition be negative, as the perception of wind turbines is subjective. Although negative perceptions of the visual impact offshore wind power can have, there are also positive perceptions of it (Bolin et al., 2021). To give an idea of the difference in impact on the landscape with different distances from land, photomontages has been developed for a hypothetical example park. The park is twenty kilometers long and ten kilometers wide with the long side towards the coast and the pictures show it 5, 12.5, 25, 35 and 50 kilometers from land. The sample park has 72 wind turbines with a total height of 343 metres, a hub height of 200 metres and a rotor diameter of 286 metres. The distance between the turbines is 6 rotor diameters or about 1.7 kilometers. The size of the sample park has been chosen to give examples of a medium-sized wind farm based on the size of the energy areas in the plan proposal. See Figure 7 for the layout of the sample park. - 54 - Figure 9. The layout of the sample park with 72 wind turbines placed in grids with 1.7 kilometers of distance between the turbines. The red angle shows the point of view from land. Below are photomontages for the different distances from land. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management's website contains these images, images with a marked sweep area and video animations for the sample park at night. With a larger screen, it is recommended to view the images with a height of 18 centimeters and a distance of 40 centimeters from the screen for the most realistic representation possible. In this document, they can be seen at a height of 9 centimeters at a distance of 20 centimeters. Below are the images cropped to fit into the document. - 55 - Figure 11. The example park with a 5 km distance from land to the nearest works. Figure 10. The example park with a 12.5 km distance from land to the nearest works. - 56 - Figure 12. The example park with a 25 km distance from land to the nearest works. Figure 13. The example park with a 35 km distance from land to the nearest works. - 57 - Figure 15. The example park with a 50 km distance from land to the nearest works. For the images showing cumulative impacts from several parks, similar facilities have been added as explained below. For the night animations, all works have been provided with a flashing white light in accordance with the Transport Agency’s instructions. Images and animations are made without weather filters. Figure 14. Example of cumulative effect with the example park 12.5 km from land with a view to the right with another park 25 km from land. - 58 - Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 8. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the landscape, as well as possible consideration measures for planning and planning that can reduce negative effects and consequences. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Visual impact Location and design of wind farm Operation Visual impact Custom obstacle lighting Settlement Visual impact No specific measure Cultural environment Current situation, conditions and development The cultural environment provides a picture of Sweden's history and people's livelihood. Cultural environments have arisen through various historical events, processes and activities, reflecting people's use of the landscape from ancient times to the present. The environments make it possible for present and future generations to take part in the landscape's historical dimension and thereby understand Sweden's development through the ages. Cultural environments can also have significance for people in different ways, where it can be, for example, about identity and context in life or about well-being. Cultural environments are also important for economic development at local and regional level, as well as for recreation, tourism and science. How the environments are used varies from generation to generation. A basic condition, however, is that there must be a sufficient representation of preserved cultural environments to be able to understand how the country has formed and developed over time. The cultural environment in the three marine spatial planning areas includes national interests, world heritage, regional value areas, marine archaeological sites and cultural reserves. The cultural heritage in and by the sea is characterised by the traditional industries of fishing, shipping, agriculture, industry and tourism. Valuable environments, landscapes and buildings are linked to archipelago agriculture, fishing villages, seaside resorts, harbours, fortifications, lighthouse and pilot sites and coastal industry, which in turn arose there because of the connection to the sea. For many of these cultural environments, a nearby coastal and archipelago landscape as well as free lines of sight towards the horizon are important to be able to understand the historical context and function linked to the sea. The intensive activities over the centuries have also resulted in a cultural landscape on the seabed. This includes, for example, shipwrecks, settlements, ship gates, port facilities and anchorages. The National Heritage Board is responsible for identifying national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation under Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code. Today, there are about 300 national interest claims for cultural conservation along the coast, but as yet none in the marine spatial planning areas. However, cultural environments outside the marine spatial planning areas may be indirectly affected by changes in landscape or accessibility within the marine spatial planning areas. In addition to the cultural heritage conservation claims, there are also national interests under Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code. These geographically defined areas of national interest are listed in the Environmental Code and have been decided by the Parliament. They are national interests for unbroken coasts under Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code and high-exploited coasts under Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental - 59 - Code. The areas are of national interest, taking into account natural and cultural values as a whole, and their use must not significantly harm the values of these areas. See Figure 16 below. Furthermore, there is also a planning basis for marine cultural heritage values for the national marine spatial planning, which has been developed by all coastal county administrative boards according to a government letter of appropriation (RB2021:2B4). The purpose of the assignment were to clarify cultural heritage values along Sweden's coast that may be affected by the expansion of offshore wind power. The document presents cultural environments together with the County Administrative Board's recommendations on consideration needs for the designated so-called value areas (County Administrative Boards, 2024). In total, there are 96 value areas along the coast of Sweden. Most of these are located outside the marine spatial plan area, but with several consideration needs that extend within the marine spatial plan area. Several areas of value contain existing areas of national interest, but designations have also been based on other cultural heritage and/or formal protection. This includes cultural sites covered by international conventions such as the Council of Europe's Landscape Convention and UNESCO's World Heritage Convention, listed buildings under ordinance 2013:558 on state-owned listed buildings, cultural reserves (Chapter 7, Section 9 of the Environmental Code) and landscape protection in the Nature Conservation Act (1964:822), for example. World heritage in the vicinity of Sweden's marine spatial planning area are the High Coast, the Hanseatic City of Visby, the Naval City of Karlskrona, Southern Öland's agricultural landscape and Struve's meridian arch (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.å.a.). The marine spatial plan states that particular consideration must be given to high cultural heritage values in the management, planning and permit procedures. Particular consideration for high cultural heritage values refers to the landscape's cultural-historical character and visual impact that changes the cultural-historical content, but also includes consideration for ancient and cultural-historical sites on the seabed. Particular consideration is given to high cultural heritage values for energy areas that are considered to be likely to visually affect cultural heritage areas expressed through national interest claims and value areas. Particular consideration for high cultural environments is given for all energy areas in the marine spatial plan except for four (B159, B160, B161, V360). The guidance is considered to be able to contribute to certain adaptations that can mitigate the impact on cultural environments from the energy areas (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). Measures that limit climate change, including achieving an energy transition, can have a positive impact on the long-term management of all of Sweden's cultural environments. Climate change, such as sea level rise and accompanying shore shift, can lead to damage to cultural environments both on land and in the sea. A rise in sea temperature may also involve the establishment of invasive species that damage wooden structures. Ship sites, older port facilities and cultural-historical industrial environments can in turn pose environmental threats if they contain heavy metals and other environmentally hazardous substances that are released into the sea. - 60 - Figure 16. Map of national interest unbroken coast, high-exploited coast and national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). - 61 - Figure 17. Map of other valuable areas for the cultural environment such as World Heritage Sites, regional value areas, marine archaeological sites, cultural reserves and landscape conservation (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). - 62 - Environmental effects and impacts linked to offshore wind power The establishment of offshore wind power can mainly affect cultural environments in two ways: a direct physical impact and an indirect visual impact. Direct impacts can occur, for example, through the interventions on the seabed that the establishment requires and which can thus affect marine cultural heritage, including marine archaeological sites. The impact area may be larger than the area occupied by foundations or anchorages, as connection also requires cabling and other infrastructure both in the sea and on land. There is generally high uncertainty about marine archaeological sites, and how they are affected by the establishment of offshore wind power. Lack of situational awareness, low information quality and antiquarian assessments risk causing damage to marine cultural environments. However, the risk that the establishment of offshore wind power would damage marine archaeological sites is considered low, as marine archaeological investigations and studies that should be done can contribute to an increased knowledge of marine cultural heritage, where more are often discovered and mapped. The establishment of tall and large facilities can have an indirect, visual impact on a cultural environment and the historical function it is an expression of. In addition to the wind farm's dimensions, the complexity of the impact also lies in how the establishment is perceived and interpreted together with the cultural environment and its values. The conditions for assessing the impact on the cultural environment solely on the basis of proposed areas for wind power establishment are limited, as a complete assessment requires knowledge of the expression of each establishment (height, location, design, formation). In the 2021 appropriation directions, the Government instructed the coastal county administrative boards to develop an appropriate planning basis for cultural environments in the national marine spatial planning (Regeringen, 2021a). In January 2024, the County Administrative Board of Västra Götaland presented the compilation of the appropriation directions assignment (RB2021:3B4, County Administrative Boards, 2024). The documentation clarifies which cultural values along Sweden's coastline may be affected by an expansion of offshore wind power. The document presents a selection of cultural environments along the Swedish coast in the form of so-called marine value areas, together with the county administrative board's recommendations on consideration needs for these. The value areas are based on national interests according to chapters 3 and 4 of the Environmental Code, World Heritage, municipally designated cultural environments, ancient and cultural historical sites on land and under the sea surface, landscape context, lines of sight, cultural and nature reserves, Natura 2000 areas, biosphere reserves and landscape image protection. At the same time, it should be noted that other cultural sites of regional and/or local interest may also need to be taken into account when planning an activity or establishment. Some county administrative boards have also chosen to update and assure the quality of the information on marine archaeological sites in the cultural environment register in connection with the assignment. - 63 - Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 9. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in relation to the cultural environment during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures for planning and planning that can reduce negative effects and consequences. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Physical impact on remnants Location and design of the wind farm, as well as aspects such as height of the wind turbines. Operation Visual impact Custom obstacle lighting Settlement Physical impact on remnants No specific measure Management with water, land and the physical environment in general Energy Government Mission on Revised Marine Spatial Plans and Energy Policy Objectives The starting point for proposals for amended marine spatial plans is Government mandate M2022/276 on expanded areas for electricity production from offshore wind power. Increased electricity production is needed to reach Sweden’s climate and energy targets (see also Section 2.3.2, Climate), as well as to enable a green transition of industry and extensive electrification (Government 2022b). The focus of energy policy means that planning for electricity use will be based on a need of at least 300 terawatt hours in 2045, which means approximately a doubling compared to the current situation. This, together with an energy policy goal that the composition of electricity production should be 100 percent fossil-free by 2040. The overall objective of energy policy is to create the conditions for efficient and sustainable energy use and a cost-effective energy supply with low impact on health, the environment and climate (Government 2024a). Sweden is facing strong electrification, with an expected increase in electricity consumption from around 140 TWh to around 160-210 TWh by 2030 and in the longer term, by 2045 the electricity demand is expected to be in the range of 200-340 TWh. The range of future electricity needs depends on scenarios, high and low, and indicates uncertainties in forecasts for the pace of transition. The increase in electricity consumption is mainly due to the conversion of energy- intensive industries, new industries and electrification of the transport sector (Energy Agency 2023c). The energy transition poses spatial challenges for the expansion of electricity production and grids to meet the increased demand. Offshore wind power also poses a challenge as power production is weather dependent and thus intermittent. The Government has given various authorities a number of government assignments in this regard. One assignment concerns developed regional and local energy planning for electrification, which has been submitted to the County Administrative Board of Västra Götaland and the Swedish Energy Agency (Regeringen, 2023a). In addition, two government assignments regarding intermittent power production were submitted to Svenska Kraftnät, the Swedish Energy Markets Inspectorate and the Swedish - 64 - Energy Agency. The assignments concern incentives for better power contribution, as well as the design and integration of intermittent power production (Government 2024b, Government 2024c). In December 2024, the final report of the inquiry Wind power in the sea - A transition to an auction system was submitted. The inquiry's task was to analyse how the establishment of wind power can be improved and how the permit procedure for wind power in Sweden's economic zone can be more effective and clear. In addition, in a supplementary directive, the inquiry would also assess and take a position on whether Sweden should, in the long term, move to an instruction system for permitting offshore wind power and how it should be designed. The inquiry's conclusion and recommendation is that Sweden should switch to the allocation and auction system, rather than the current system. The inquiry justifies this on the basis that the current regulatory framework is not considered to be appropriate for the exploitation of the sea for offshore wind power (Government Official Reports, 2024). Current electricity use and production The development of the electricity system is central to achieving the green transition. Since the late 1980s, electricity consumption has remained relatively constant at around 140 TWh. Dominant end-uses of electricity in 2022 were residential and service sectors, as well as industry, see Figure 18 below. Figure 18. Electricity consumption by sector, 2022 share of TWh. Source Swedish Energy Agency, 2024. Sectors where electricity use is expected to increase mainly due to the transition are the industrial and transport sectors. In terms of electricity use in industry in 2022, the main sectors were the paper and pulp industry, steel and metal works, followed by the chemical and engineering industries, see Figure 19 below. - 65 - Figure 19. Industrial electricity use by industry, 2022 TWh. Source Swedish Energy Agency 2024. As regards the transport sector and domestic electricity consumption, it remained relatively constant around 3 TWh, but slightly increased in 2022 to almost 4 TWh (Energy Agency, 2024). With targets for the transformation of the transport sector, it is assumed that the share of electricity as a fuel will increase in the future. The government commission on offshore wind power mentions deficits in electricity production in southern Sweden, while electricity use in the area is relatively high. Where electricity is produced and consumed varies regionally. The highest electricity use occurs in the metropolitan regions, Stockholm County, Västra Götaland County, Skåne County, followed by Norrbotten County and Västernorrland County. In Västra Götaland, Norrbotten and Västernorrland counties end-users are mainly industrial and construction activities, in Stockholm and Skåne counties the predominant end-use is electricity use for other services - and single-family houses, see Figure 20 below. Figure 20. End-use electricity (TWh) for the counties of Stockholm, Västra Götaland, Skåne, Norrbotten, Västernorrland, distributed consumer category, 2022. Source SCB 2024. - 66 - The marine spatial plan describes the conditions for energy extraction in Sweden (part 6.1 Prerequisites for energy extraction) including the four bidding zones, from SE1 in the north to SE4 in the south. In northern Sweden there is currently a production surplus, and in southern Sweden a deficit. The bidding zones provide guidance on where more generation and electricity transmission is needed through different pricing. In 2024, a joint review of the zoning of EU bidding zones was ongoing. If the national decision-making body decides on a change, it can be implemented no earlier than 2027 (Svenska Kraftnät, 2024b). Surpluses and deficits depend to some extent on the level of production. A larger share of electricity production takes place within bidding zone 2, followed by bidding zone 3, bidding zone 1 and bidding zone 4 (Energy Agency 2024, Electricity production per bidding zone). Electricityconsumption in each bidding zone is largely explained by consumption levels at regional level. Bidding zone 2 includes the metropolitan regions of Stockholm and Gothenburg. Electricity prices in all bidding zones, but mainly bidding zones 3 and 4, have been unusually high for a period due to, among other things, the geopolitical situation and high prices for fossil fuels, especially natural gas (the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2025). Offshore energy generation and transmission Offshore energy can be produced from wind, waves, currents, tides or a salinity gradient. In Sweden, offshore energy production is still carried out on a small scale and mainly as wind power. In 2022, Swedish wind power produced 33 TWh, of which the offshore turbines accounted for 0.6 TWh (Energy Agency, 2023d). There are currently three offshore wind farms adjacent to the marine spatial plans (Bockstigen (Gotland), Kårehamn (Öland) and Lillgrund), all located within the territorial sea. Kårehamn and Lillgrund are located in the marine spatial planning area. However, due to cartographic reasons, Kårehamn is not marked as an energy area in the plan map. From an energy extraction perspective, there are several advantages of offshore wind power. Winds at sea are often both stronger and smoother than over land, making it possible to build efficient parks with a high production. Offshore wind power can provide electricity production in areas where there are restrictions on the establishment of other types of power such as onshore wind power. In this way, offshore wind power can provide a greater geographical spread of electricity production in Sweden. Higher costs for offshore wind compared to, for example, onshore wind make it difficult to achieve economic viability and may limit the deployment of offshore wind. In the case of other offshore energy generation, the technology is new and largely under development. In Sweden, research, development and demonstration are carried out in wave power, as well as research in marine current power. Several private and public actors are preparing new experiments with ocean energy in Swedish waters (International Energy Agency, 2023). Today, there are several wind power projects that highlight the possibility of producing hydrogen with the electricity generated by wind power, either in the plant itself or on land. On-site production requires additional offshore infrastructure, either for ships to receive and load hydrogen, or gas pipelines to shore. There is currently no hydrogen production in the Swedish marine spatial planning area. With regard to natural gas, there is currently a pipeline between Malmö and Denmark that supplies the western Swedish natural gas network. Two parallel lines run between Russia and Germany through Sweden's economic zone (Nord Stream) and another - 67 - line between Poland and Denmark (Baltic pipe) which may also affect the Swedish exclusive economic zone. Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy Environmental effects from offshore wind power, includes environmental effects in the form of the addition of fossil-free energy for electricity supply, as well as the impact on land and water where the wind farm is established. Land claims for wind power affect the surrounding environment and people. Energy extraction also indirectly affects land and water use in the sea and on land, relating to infrastructure for the construction, maintenance and decommissioning of wind turbines, as well as surfaces for electricity distribution, cables and transmission networks. The actual surface requirement for construction, for example, is difficult to assess as it depends on a number of different factors, such as the size of the project, technology choices, distance to land, use of ports nationally or abroad, and other factors. See section 6.1 on prerequisites for energy extraction in the planning document (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2025). The impact varies between the construction phase, the operational phase and the decommissioning phase. The impact during the construction and decommissioning phase is temporary, and mainly concerns bottom impact and noise. The imprint is also of a different nature depending on the type of foundation. Bottom-fixed foundations are anchored in place either by drilling, piling or suction cup anchors into the seabed, or by gravity foundations. Today, bottom-fixed foundations are used down to about 70 meters depth, but experiments occur in deeper waters. Floating foundations can be used in front of bottom-fixed at depths of at least around 50 meters, and anchored to the bottom with ropes or chains. The floating wind power has a significantly larger footprint in the water column compared to the bottom fixed, since cables and power cables need to be several times longer than the distance between the turbine and the bottom. The different types of foundations have approximately the same impact on the bottom (Energy Agency, 2023a). During the operation phase, some noise occurs, but the effects of this are not clear. Birds and bats are at risk of being affected by collisions, but some species may also suffer habitat loss as they avoid the wind farm and seek food elsewhere. The cable laying entails physical impact on the benthic habitat as well as turbidity and electromagnetic radiation. A potential positive effect of wind power is that the foundations can act as artificial reefs and attract different marine species, such as fish and marine mammals (Bergström et al., 2022). Wind power also affects the conditions for other industries such as commercial fishing, shipping and air traffic. Which environmental effects and impacts actually occur depends on the possibility of coexistence and for adaptations, possible consideration measures of wind farms or activities. For more information see the respective sections in Chapter 2 Conditions and environmental effects. National interests and the marine spatial plan's guidance energy The Swedish Energy Agency decides on national interest claims for installations for energy production and distribution in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 8 of the Environmental Code. The Swedish Energy Agency has been tasked with updating its national interest claims (Regeringen, 2024e). Appropriate areas for energy extraction reported in 2023 are seen as a basis for the designation of new areas of national interest (Energy Agency 2023a). - 68 - The claims for energy production in the marine spatial plan area include wind farms and are based on criteria for annual average wind, depth and area size. National interest claims for energy production were developed in 2013, and technology development in wind power has been rapid since then. Technological development since 2013 means that today there are more areas that have suitable properties for wind power compared to when the national interest claims were decided. The marine spatial plan's guidance of energy areas takes into account uncertainties regarding feasibility in time, economic and spatial conditions and with regard to various interests such as defence, culture and nature values and adaptations to shipping safety zones. The plan proposal does not, for example, provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping routes and the realisation within each energy area thus needs to be spatially and surface-wise adapted to any surrounding shipping routes, as well as to other interests and guidance on particular consideration for defence, cultural environment and nature values. The planning takes into account different conditions regarding the realization of wind power based on depth, technology and economic conditions. In the latter case, economic conditions, it is mainly about the anchorage and foundation of the wind turbines, bottom-fixed and floating. In the short term, bottom-fixed foundations are expected to have greater feasability, in terms of forecasts for technology development and profitability for investment. While floating foundation wind turbines are likely to be realizable only in the slightly longer term. Within the territorial sea, the marine spatial plan coincides with municipal planning. Municipalities point out areas of wind power in their comprehensive planning in accordance with the Planning and Building Act (2010:900). Achievement of objectives, national and municipal interests - energy The assignment to expand the areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans is based on the large electricity demand that the ongoing electrification and industrial transition entails, and that there is currently a shortage of electricity production in southern Sweden. The marine spatial plan's guidance is that it should be possible to use areas for energy production so that it corresponds to a total of 120 TWh of annual electricity production in the three marine spatial plans together. This means that the plan includes a certain margin based on adaptation needs during realisation, for example with regard to the safety distance to shipping to be taken into account. According to the Marine Spatial Planning Regulation, marine spatial plans are to contribute to national environmental, industrial and social objectives, of which energy policy objectives form part. With the plan’s guidance and marine spatial planning objectives of creating the conditions for regional development, as well as creating the conditions for energy transmission and renewable energy extraction in the oceans, the plan’s guidance on energy contributes to the national strategy for sustainable regional development (Government, 2021b). The strategy includes a number of priorities and provides guidance for the implementation of the Ordinance on Regional Development Work (2017:583). Marine spatial planning contributes to the prioritisation of spatial planning, for equal opportunities for housing, work and welfare throughout the country, as well as to the prioritisation of the climate and environmentally sustainable economy, based on the plan’s guidance on offshore energy extraction. Through guidance on nature and particular consideration for high nature values, the marine spatial plan also contributes to the strategy’s priority of reducing climate impact, as well as preserving biodiversity and ecosystem services in a changing climate. The plan’s guidance on energy also contributes to the national strategy’s - 69 - priority on the establishment, production and use of renewable energy. This is significant for households and the transformation of the industrial and transport sectors, important conditions for competitive industries and employment, both directly and indirectly. For more information on marine spatial planning objectives and national strategy for sustainable regional and its priorities, see section 1.1, marine spatial planning and objectives of the marine spatial plans and section 6.3 Assessment to other plans and programmes. Employment linked to offshore wind energy means on the one hand direct jobs during the phases; the development, design and production of turbines and foundations, as well as the design, construction, operation, maintenance and decommissioning of wind turbines, and more indirectly through the supply of skills, as well as contributions to energy supply and other business development, industrial conversion, maintenance and job creation. The contribution of offshore wind to employment is difficult to quantify, but there are many links between offshore wind and other parts of society and industry. The wind power industry is international and employment is distributed internationally between countries, regionally and locally. The number of jobs varies during the different phases, more jobs during the construction phase, lower but higher proportion of regional jobs for operation and maintenance (Energy Agency 2024). Energy supply is also classified by the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) as an important social function. The societal function refers to the ability to meet society's electricity supply needs. The function covers the production, transmission, distribution and trading of electricity and activities to maintain or ensure the important societal function are examples, control and monitoring as well as maintenance and repair of infrastructure. Important activities are significant activities for society’s basic needs and security and constitute an important starting point in the work on accident protection, crisis preparedness and civil defence (MSB, 2021). There may also be a potential increased vulnerability under the current political security situation in the Baltic Sea, regarding the challenges of protecting and guarding infrastructure far out at sea, especially outside the Swedish territorial sea (Energy Agency, 2023a). Recreation Current situation, conditions and development Recreation and tourism in and by the sea include nature, culture and landscape experiences and various outdoor activities. Recreation is dependent on several conditions. It is about having sufficient access to natural and cultural environment areas of good quality where it is possible to exercise recreation. The areas also need to be accessible, both physically and experientially, to the outdoor enthusiast who can be both local or out of town. The starting point for the use of recreation in the marine spatial plan is based on national interest claims for recreation in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code. National interest in mobile recreation, Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code, which extends along the coast of Bohuslän, Halland, the archipelago of Östergötland, Gotland, Södermanland and Stockholm, the High Coast and Norrbotten, shall also be taken into account. In these areas, the interests of tourism and recreation, primarily mobile recreation, shall be particularly taken into account in development. National interest claims for recreation consist of areas that are considered to have particularly good conditions for people to have enriching experiences in the natural environment and areas used by many people. Other areas of national interest also have a bearing on recreation, especially the coastal areas and archipelagos referred to in Chapter 4, Sections 3-4 of - 70 - the Environmental Code, but also areas related to cultural environments include values for recreation. Outdoor activities and recreation occur to some extent in the marine spatial planning area, mainly at embankments, but to a greater extent along the coasts. Popular outdoor activities at sea and in coastal areas include boating, recreational fishing, coastal hiking, swimming, diving and paragliding. The waterborne recreation consists mainly of recreational boats and recreational fishing. Recreational craft are found in a total of 16 per cent of Swedish households and the total number amounts to approximately 865,000 recreational craft nationally (Transportstyrelsen, 2021). Recreational shipping moves mainly inshore or near the coast. Self-adapted routes outside fairways are common. Some pleasure boat traffic also occurs on the open sea, such as sailing routes to and from larger islands or in the waters outside archipelagos, major cities and pleasure boat ports (Sjöfartsverket & Transportstyrelsen, 2023). There are also important routes to Denmark, Åland and Finland. In 2021, recreational fishing was carried out by approximately 1.5 million Swedish citizens between the ages of 16 and 80, of whom approximately 30 per cent of the recreational fishing days took place in marine waters (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management & Statistics Sweden, 2022). The land-based and coastal recreation can offer activities such as swimming, hiking and camping. Areas that are designated as national interest for recreation are areas that can offer qualities such as undisturbedness, low noise and views towards the horizon or interesting and unique landscape views. Interest in recreation gained a boost during the pandemic years and is expected to gain increased importance in the future. The tourism industry is also expected to continue to increase after a downturn during the pandemic, and domestic tourism is an increasing part of tourism in Sweden (Tillväxtverket, 2022). A healthy sea and functioning ecosystem services are a prerequisite for functioning recreation, while recreation and tourism can have a negative impact on the environment. Climate change can affect the conditions as a warmer climate can threaten icing in the Gulf of Bothnia and shorten the tourist season in winter, while a warmer climate can at the same time attract visitors. Either because it gets warmer in Sweden or because Sweden is a cooler alternative to holiday in when other parts of the world get warmer. Changes in sea temperature and salinity affect fish stocks and conditions for recreational fishing, and in Skåne, for example, land subsidence together with sea level rise can contribute to increased beach erosion. Extreme weather and the establishment of invasive species as a result of climate change can also have a negative impact on recreation. Environmental impacts and impacts linked to offshore wind energy Recreation is a use in the marine spatial plan that can generate environmental effects and also be affected by other uses. Outdoor activities need access to a healthy sea, but the activities can also have a negative impact on the environment. Motorised traffic at sea contributes to emissions and underwater noise, as well as various types of antifouling paint can contribute to pollution. The construction of docks and ports affects valuable shallow ecosystems, and coastal recreation causes littering. Further examples are the addition of nitrogen and phosphorus discharges from holiday homes' wastewater that contribute to eutrophication. The effects of pressures vary between both location and time (Moksnes et al., 2019; Törnqvist et al., 2020). Coastal recreation and outdoor activities can be affected by marine spatial planning guidance on uses in various ways, for example directly by restricting access to areas for the benefit of other - 71 - uses, such as shipping, defence or energy extraction, but also indirectly through visual impact and interference. For offshore wind turbines, the public is mainly concerned about the potential negative impact on outdoor activities on the coast, despite the fact that they would rather see offshore wind energy than on land (Prince et al., 2024). The distance between the coastline and wind turbines is of great importance. However, the perception of the visual impact of wind power is subjective and does not by definition have to be negative. Despite some negative perceptions of the visual impact of offshore wind power, there are also positive perceptions of development and contribution to sustainable development and energy independence. Research also suggests that tourists who engage more in outdoor activities tend to have more positive views about wind power (Prince et al., 2024, Bolin et al., 2021). An energy area that overlaps with an recreation area risks restricting or displacing people from staying there. This applies mainly to recreational boating and recreational fishing. An energy area can be a real obstacle and increase the risk of recreational craft that, for example, need to enter land quickly in bad weather conditions or other emergency situations or are forced to take alternative routes. There are different rules for how close different boats may come to an offshore wind farm, and there are also uncertainties linked to insurance issues and rescue at sea that are relevant to consider in terms of consequences for recreational boat traffic. Indirect forms of impact can be that the energy area interferes with the experience itself, either through visual impact or interference from noise and increased traffic, but also linked more to direct impact in the form of navigational interference from light and reflections. The extent of the impact can primarily be influenced by the experiential values and natural conditions that exist in the area. Experiential values that risk being particularly affected by energy establishment are pristineness (absence of interventions in the landscape), stillness and silence, an appealing landscape image with a view of the landscape and water, and whether the landscape is varied or unique. The degree of impact may also vary depending on how exploited the landscape is in general. Most of the coastal nature areas are currently rated to have very good sound environment classes (Noise forecast, 2024). When offshore wind power is established, this classification can potentially be changed to an inferior sound environment classification for coastal natural areas. Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 10. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in relation to recreation during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures for planning and planning that can reduce negative effects and consequences. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Increased traffic Location and design of the wind farm, as well as aspects such as height of the turbines. Noise Clear transit passages and safety distances Operation Visual impact of wind turbines Custom obstacle lighting. Visual impact of obstacle lighting Limited availability for pleasure boats Settlement Increased traffic No specific measures. - 72 - Tourism Current situation, conditions and development The coastal tourism industry is a nationally significant industry and has enjoyed steady growth since the early 2000s. Tourism’s contribution to Sweden’s GDP has been around 2.5 per cent for a long period (Swedish Agency for Economic and Regional Growth, 2022). The pandemic years had a negative impact on the tourism industry, but according to accommodation statistics, they appear to have recovered to levels comparable to those in 2019 (Swedish Agency for Economic and Regional Growth, u.y.). For many municipalities, the tourism industry accounts for an important part of the local economy (Boverket, 2024). Compared to other industries, the tourism industry employs more women, young people, the low-educated, low-income earners and people with a foreign background (Sweco, 2023). Marine tourism consists, for example, of trips by cruise ships or passenger ferries, overnight stays either in coastal hotels or in holiday homes, as well as activities such as recreational fishing, swimming, diving and boating (Söderquist et al., 2012). More than 50 per cent of the number of guest nights in Sweden were spent in the coastal area (the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023c), indicating that marine and coastal tourism is a significant part of the national tourism industry. The tourism industry is the maritime industry that grows the most in relation to other more industrially oriented maritime industries (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023c), and it is also the maritime industry that is the largest in terms of employment (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2018b). The coastal and marine tourism industry is often linked to the natural environment, and is dependent on good environmental status of the marine environment and the production of cultural ecosystem services (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024a). Marine tourism is one of the economic activities affected by a deteriorating marine environment. Good environmental status in the sea is positive for the ocean's ability to deliver ecosystem services, which is a prerequisite for people's experiences at the sea. In the socio-economic impact assessment of the first action programme for the marine environment from 2015, an estimate was made showing potential incremental benefits to the marine tourism sector of SEK 4.9 billion per year for a scenario where good environmental status is achieved in the marine environment (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015c). The attractiveness of a coastal area for both residents and visiting tourists is also dependent on the experiences of individuals, such as the presence of cultural environments and visual aspects of nature and landscape (LTU, 2023). Areas that in their entirety are of national interest are dealt with in Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code (1998:808). Through Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code, large parts of the Swedish coast are of national interest for mobile recreation and tourism, meaning that these interests must be taken into account in particular when assessing the admissibility of development companies or other interventions in the environment. There are points of contact for aspects that are important for recreation and those that are important for the tourism, good accessibility, good water quality and a rich plant and animal life are a couple of examples. Values that form the basis of tourism are in many cases strongly linked to values for recreation but also the landscape and the natural and cultural environment values that exist there, which means that other national interests are also of importance to the tourism industry, such as Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code concerning recreation, nature conservation and cultural environment conservation. National interest claims relating to commercial fishing may also have some - 73 - significance for the tourism industry linked to recreational fishing. Areas that are attractive to visit are important for regional development through the tourism industry. In Sweden, there are recreation policy objectives whose purpose is to support people's opportunities to spend time in nature and exercise recreation. One of the ten objectives is of particular relevance to the tourism sector, Sustainable regional growth and rural development. The goal means that outdoor activities and tourism contribute to strengthening local and regional attractiveness and contribute to strong, sustainable development and regional growth (Naturvårdsverket, 2023b). Clarifications in the case concern, for example, an expanded market for nature and cultural experiences, improved infrastructure and accessibility, and the promotion of sustainable business. The tourism industry is expected to continue to grow and develop. An increased amount of visitors can mean an increased pressure on the environment in the form of physical pressure, disturbance of plant and animal life, littering and emissions to water and air. Digital and technological development can both contribute to the pressure by increasing accessibility to different areas, but also contribute to a lower impact by, for example, offering simulated experiences that reduce the need for physical presence. Climate change may affect the tourism industry. A warmer climate on the continent can increase interest in the relatively cooler climate that Sweden can offer and thus account for increased tourism (Tillväxtverket, 2024). While, for example, sea level rise and coastal erosion can generate a negative impact on the tourism industry (Boverket, 2024). Environmental effects and impacts linked to offshore wind power Tourism can, in different ways and to different degrees, have a negative environmental impact through activities that generate marine litter, physical loss, physical or biological disturbance, nutrient inputs and emissions to air and water. Offshore wind power can affect the hospitality industry and tourism by creating a visual impact. This can be perceived as negative, especially in areas that are considered to be scenic, where free horizons and views towards the open sea are distinctive. Another visual aspect is light pollution, especially during the night. The extent of the visual impact depends to a large extent on the visibility of the wind turbines. According to a research review done by Luleå University of Technology to investigate the effects of offshore wind power on the tourism industry, it is concluded that a distance of 35 kilometers should be enough to minimize predominantly negative experiences from the visual impact of offshore wind power (LTU, 2023). Whether the impact is actually negative or possibly positive depends on the perception of individuals. According to a report from Vindval, which examined the impact of wind power on nature tourism and experience values, wind turbines generally do not deter tourists from visiting a destination (Prince et al., 2024). The results showed the importance of previous opinions about wind power and how it affects attitudes, feelings and behavioral intentions around areas with visible wind turbines. The study further suggests that tourists who engage in a physically demanding outdoor activity are less likely to notice the wind turbines. The results are based on studies on onshore wind power and a research project to better understand how offshore wind power affects tourism has begun and will be presented in early 2027. Previous studies on offshore wind power show that some perceive wind turbines as elegant and as positive for sustainable development (LTU, 2023). Factors such as age, level of education and attitude towards offshore wind power can affect an individual's perception. Furthermore, those - 74 - with previous experience of wind farms tend to be more positive. There are also examples of how wind power establishments have become part of the local tourism industry, with, for example, a tour boat out to the wind farm (Glasson et al. 2021). Studies have also shown that people who engage in recreational fishing have positive experiences of wind farms, the explanation for this is that they are displacing commercial fishing (LTU, 2023). Further studies conducted on offshore wind have shown that visual impacts from nearby wind power do not affect the choice of holiday location for a majority of respondents (Scottish government, 2022; Teisl et al., 2018). However, a few indicated that they would choose not to visit an area built with offshore wind power. Studies have also been able to show that a majority of those who respond that they would refrain from visiting one beach because of visible wind turbines would choose to visit another beach instead (LTU, 2023). From a national perspective, such relocation does not therefore constitute a negative impact on the tourism industry, but on the other hand there is a risk for individual businesses from a local perspective. At the same time, the establishment of offshore wind power is expected to lead to increased local and regional energy production, which is positive for the regional industry as a whole, but also for parts of the tourism industry. The marine spatial plans do not directly guide the use of tourism, but there is guidance for outdoor activities and cultural environments, which also concern areas that are important for the tourism industry. Furthermore, there is a general analysis of the potential impact of the marine spatial plan on the tourism industry in each marine spatial plan area. Through an ecosystem services analysis, it is also made visible how the environmental effects highlighted in the assessment can in turn affect ecosystem services that are also of importance for economic and social interests. The tourism industry is an example of such an interest, in which cultural ecosystem services in particular are important. Defence Defence is activities that are needed to prepare Sweden for war. Defence consists of military activities (military defence) and civilian activities (civil defence). Civil and military defence are mutually reinforcing. Civil defence refers to the civilian activities that authorities, municipalities, regions, individuals, companies, voluntary defence organisations and civil society, among others, take to prepare Sweden for war. Military defence refers to the activities carried out by the Armed Forces with the support of defence authorities, parts of the voluntary defence organisations, as well as parts of the defence industry and other relevant parts of the business sector, in order to act as a deterrent to war and to prepare Sweden for war. State of play and environmental impact – military defence The Swedish Armed Forces is the sectoral authority for the military component of the defence in accordance with ordinance (1998:896) on land management and shall therefore appoint national interest claims for areas needed for the military installations of the defence (according to Chapter 3, Section 9 of the Environmental Code). These areas include shooting and training grounds, airports, marine exercise areas and technical systems and facilities that need to be protected from influences that may restrict the activities of the armed forces. The Swedish Armed Forces' claims also include the activities of the Swedish Defence Radio Establishment, the Swedish Defence Research Agency, the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration and the Swedish Fortifications Agency. There are also national interest claims that are covered by secrecy and are classified and therefore cannot be reported on an open map or in any other way. The Swedish Armed Forces' main task is to defend Sweden and allied states against armed attack on the basis - 75 - of collective defence within NATO (Regulation 2007:1266). Furthermore, the Armed Forces shall promote national security, support civilian defence activities and identify external threats to Sweden. The activities of the military defence can affect areas in the marine spatial plans, but it is also an interest that can be greatly affected by wind power installations. Military exercises conducted in designated areas, both below and above the water surface, cause pollution by the introduction of metals into the marine environment. In addition to physical impact, firing and explosive drills, as well as to some extent aircraft and ship drills, cause underwater noise. The impact on marine life varies; during spawning periods for fish and breeding and incubation periods for birds, the impact on wildlife may be more severe. However, the Swedish Armed Forces have a need to exercise even at these times and have therefore developed a marine biological calendar to be able to plan exercises with regard to marine life. Impact linked to offshore wind energy In terms of the impact of energy expansion, there are both positive and negative potential consequences. For the Armed Forces, security of energy supply is of great importance, and robust energy supply is also one of NATO's basic requirements. Energy supply is thus relevant for the defence, and even the military part of the defence is expected to electrify parts of its operations in the longer term (Nykvist & Mårtensson, 2021). The open national interest claims that are designated for the military part of the defence in marine areas can be, for example, marine shooting areas, blasting areas and marine exercise areas that are used to maintain and develop the capability for armed combat at sea. Marine exercise activities need to be able to be carried out in different sea areas with different hydrological and topographical qualities, such as varying depths, bottom formations, turbidity and salinity which can affect navigation, visibility and other aspects. There needs to be a variation in areas corresponding to different types of conditions in Sweden's territory, which also includes weather conditions and proximity to coast and land. Each designated energy area constitutes a unique restriction on the military defence's ability to use both the situation and the natural conditions, which needs to be assessed by the responsible experts in a holistic perspective. Furthermore, large parts of the marine exercise areas are also used as air exercise areas, which means that freedom from obstacles is a prerequisite. Consequences for the military defence of wind power installations in sea areas also include a challenge regarding the safety of both own operations and civilians staying within or near the exercise area. The national interests that are classified in accordance with Chapter 15, Section 2 of the Public Access to Information and Secrecy Act (SFS 2009:400) may include infrastructure relating to signals intelligence, telecommunications and surveillance of air and sea space. Wind power installations may affect technical systems such as reconnaissance radars, weather radars, radio communications, signal reconnaissance and underwater sensors (Odell et al., 2022). (The term "military part" also includes civilian authorities that support the Armed Forces, such as the Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI), the Swedish Defence Radio Establishment (FRA), the Swedish Fortifications Agency and the Swedish Defence Materiel Administration (FMV)). The consequences for the defence's operations of an individual energy area can vary between very serious damage to the fact that the consequences are so mild that coexistence is possible - 76 - under specific conditions and with certain consideration measures. The Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI) has, on behalf of the Swedish Armed Forces and the Swedish Energy Agency, proposed measures that could lead to increased coexistence between wind power and military defence activities; the measures fall within the categories of strategic planning and geographical location of wind power in areas that do not affect the military component of defence (Odell et al., 2022). The report presents international examples of consideration measures for coexistence that are not applicable in a Swedish context at present. The Armed Forces’ assessment is that a developed planning process is the most appropriate option to support coexistence between the Armed Forces’ interests and offshore wind energy development (Swedish Armed Forces, 2022). Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 11. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in relation to defence during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative effects and consequences. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Increased traffic Adapt to the activities of the defence Operation Limits airspace and Possibility for air traffic controllers to regulate the operation of affects technical wind turbines equipment Development of technical solutions in the Armed Forces' systems, and wind turbines. Settlement Increased traffic Adapt to the activities of the defence Civil defence and the impact of offshore wind power Sweden's civil preparedness is about the ability to prevent and manage disasters, crisis situations, danger of and war. The capacity is created throughout society, by authorities, municipalities, regions, businesses and volunteers in the population. The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) is responsible for identifying claims of national interest. The national interests of the civil defence can complement other national interests where, for example, a port that is not particularly important in terms of, for example, commercial fishing, can have a strategic and important role in the event of war. Offshore wind power can directly or indirectly affect the conditions of civil defence in various ways. Access to energy is a prerequisite for Sweden's preparedness. Offshore wind energy is an important component of the energy transition and has the potential, through its spread, to create a secure energy supply that contributes to a stronger civil defence. The proposed energy expansion could also have an impact on the preparedness of the civil protection sector and on the protection of civilians, in particular at sea. The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency is the sector responsible authority and the preparedness sector also includes the Coast Guard, the Swedish Maritime Administration, the Swedish Police Authority, SMHI, the Swedish Radiation Safety Authority and the county administrative boards. Offshore wind turbines and other fixed installations are physical barriers to shipping, which can increase the risk of accidents as well as possibly complicate rescue operations in the vicinity of the wind farms. At present, it has not been investigated how an individual park could affect the civil defence related to sea rescue operations. The design of the park, the height and distance between wind turbines are factors that affect the possibility of carrying out rescue operations. - 77 - Furthermore, there are uncertainties that large-scale wind farms are a new phenomenon in Swedish waters, knowledge, skills and experience regarding how the parks affect locally, how to navigate around them and where it is safe to anchor when needed. The wind turbines may affect ocean currents (study on the hydrological impact of wind power is ongoing in collaboration with SMHI, delivered in autumn 2024), which in turn could affect how chemicals or oil spread in the event of an accident. Risks linked to offshore wind energy and the security situation The security situation is influenced by several different factors, of which energy is an integral part. The Swedish Armed Forces notes a complex external development and an uncertain threat picture in various domains. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has affected the security situation and made events more unpredictable, including rapid technological developments and the cyber-information environment, which pose new security policy challenges. Energy is an integral part of geopolitics and a shift from fossil to renewable energy provides in some respects more secure energy access, but also creates new dependencies and security risks. Just as fossil energy sources have been used as a tool for political pressure, offshore wind power can also create new dependencies that can affect the security situation and create corresponding geopolitical power struggles as those associated with fossil resources. Sweden's entry into NATO places new demands on capacity expansion and capability development that could be affected by large-scale offshore energy expansion. The Armed Forces are facing the most extensive rehabilitation in 50 years, which means that access to a stable energy supply is essential, but also that security risks and obstacles to development are minimized. Large-scale offshore wind power can pose both obstacles and security risks, and the consequences of proposed energy areas from a security policy perspective need to be analysed and assessed by the Swedish Armed Forces and other relevant authorities. In the construction of offshore wind turbines, exploitation of the seabed takes place, both when anchoring the turbines and when cabling to land. According to the Swedish Armed Forces, the exploitation of the seabed poses increased security risks as there are several types of critical infrastructure (Swedish Armed Forces, 2024). Digitalization has made society very vulnerable to disruptions in electricity and IT networks, sabotage of infrastructure such as power cables, fibre cables and underground pipelines can have serious consequences and also constitute strategic targets for attackers. The Swedish Armed Forces sees risks that a significant part of Swedish energy production, with associated infrastructure and transmission capacity, may in the future take place outside Swedish territory (Swedish Armed Forces, 2024). Fourteen energy areas are listed in whole or in part in the territorial sea and ten areas in Sweden's exclusive economic zone. Areas in the territorial sea and the exclusive economic zone account for 20% and 80% respectively of the total area used for energy extraction in the proposal. The expansion of energy production in the Swedish exclusive economic zone poses challenges and difficulties, as well as for other critical infrastructure, when it comes to protecting and monitoring this infrastructure. - 78 - Shipping Current situation, conditions and development Shipping is an important part of Sweden's transport infrastructure and a significant engine for the country's industry and economy. For domestic freight transport, shipping accounts for about one third of transport measured in tonne-kilometres. The dominance of shipping is even more pronounced in foreign trade, where around 90 per cent of export goods are transported at least partly by ship (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2024). It plays a significant role in Sweden's trade and accounts for about 70 per cent of Sweden's foreign trade (Sjöfartsverket, u.å.). As an example, in 2023 160 million tonnes of cargo were handled over Swedish quays, 87 % of all cargo handling in Swedish ports concerned international cargo (Traffic Analysis 2024). Passenger traffic is also significant. Annually, ships and ferries transport people to and from Swedish ports and in 2023 approximately 22 million passengers travelled from Sweden to a foreign port (Traffic Analysis 2024). Traffic is vital for both international connections and domestic transport between islands and the mainland. Maritime transport has a broader meaning beyond transport, based on aspects such as: • Security of supply; It is critical for the civilian defence’s supply chain needs and constitutes an important societal function in both everyday life and crisis (Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency 2021). • Economic importance; The maritime industry has annual sales of approximately SEK 85 billion and accounts for approximately 1.7 per cent of total net sales in the Swedish business sector. • Regional development and employment: Shipping is concentrated in the metropolitan regions of Gothenburg, Stockholm and Malmö/Helsingborg, where it serves as an important industry and employer. For coastal municipalities, ports and shipping are often a central part of the economy. This includes, among other things, cargo handling and supply chains, such as for raw material-intensive export industries. • Regional development and accessibility. Shipping is also important in terms of accessibility, accommodation and service. For example, freight and passenger ferry services are important for tourism and commuting, within and between municipalities and in some cases also between countries. • Shipping also has the potential to become an important part of a long-term sustainable transport system. Shipping is thus of national interest and national interest claims for shipping are identified by the Swedish Transport Administration. National interest in shipping includes both ports and shipping lanes that are considered to be of national importance. The vessels operate mainly in an extensive network of shipping lanes and routes, as well as in adjacent areas based on suitability, for example, depending on weather conditions and destination. Gulf of Bothnia For the plan area, maritime traffic is slightly less intensive, compared to other plan areas, but still frequent and important traffic to ports and shipping routes takes place within the plan area and between Sweden and Finland. For example,Norrland's industries rely heavily on - 79 - maritime transport to reach consumers in Sweden and abroad, with extensive traffic to both Swedish and Finnish ports. Maritime transport in the plan area, especially in the North Bothnian Sea and the North Kvarken, faces several challenges: Navigation conditions Limited manoeuvrability due to depth conditions and narrow passages. Multiple Traffic Separation Systems (TSS) to manage complex waters. Winter conditions and winter navigation During normal winters, the entire Bothnian Bay and large parts of the Bothnian Sea, including the North Kvarken, freeze. Ice formation does not usually extend to the entire southern part of the Gulf of Bothnia during normal winters. Winter conditions place high demands on the adaptability of shipping and icebreaking operations. Ice formation in the Gulf of Bothnia requires flexibility for shipping, with the need for large areas and alternative shipping routes. Extensive wind farms can pose a particular challenge for winter navigation, as they can limit the necessary flexibility. This is particularly relevant for freight volumes to and from ports in northern Sweden (Ringsberg et al., 2024). There are uncertainties about how offshore wind farms can affect the nature of sea ice and ice formation, and potentially indirectly affect winter navigation and icebreaking. Indirect effects based on the impact on winter navigation, icebreaking and aggravating operations can lead to cost increases. These can affect both the shipping industry and related industries, as well as public activities including costs for maintaining shipping lanes and transport functions (Ringsberg et al., 2024). Baltic Shipping in the Baltic Sea is extensive, with several important ports along the coast but above all several international shipping routes. The ship traffic goes to the mainland coast, Gotland and further north, east and south, to both Swedish and foreign destinations. West of Gotland, traffic with Swedish destinations dominates, while international traffic to and from the Gulf of Finland and the Baltics, but which often does not dock in Sweden, is more prominent south and east of the island. For vessel traffic in and out of the Baltic Sea, there are three alternative sea routes: Öresund, the Kiel Canal and the Great Belt. The busiest maritime route is the Öresund route, which runs through the southern Baltic Sea along the southern coast of Sweden in traffic separation systems. Traffic through Öresund is limited by Flintrännan's minimum depth of about 8 meters at mean water, with a maximum recommended draught of about 7 meters. The fairway is also limited by the height limit under the Öresund Bridge, which is 55 metres above Flintrännan. Larger and deeper vessels therefore mainly use the route through the Great Belt, which has a higher height limit of 65 metres. Skagerrak/Kattegat Maritime traffic in Skagerrak/Kattegat is of great importance for Swedish foreign trade, with two of the country's largest ports: Port of Gothenburg and Port of Brofjorden. The Port of Gothenburg handles almost 30 per cent of Sweden's foreign trade and accounts for half of the country's total - 80 - container traffic (Port of Gothenburg, u.y.). The marine spatial planningarea is traversed by several shipping routes; - From Oslo in the north to Kattegat in the south - In to the coast and out past Skagen towards Skagerrak/Kattegat - Through Kattegat and Öresundto and from the Baltic Sea Kattegat is particularly important for maritime traffic as it is one of only two routes into the Baltic Sea for large vessels. However, this traffic does not go mainly to Swedish ports, but to other countries in the Baltic Sea. There are shipping routes throughout the sea area, both on the Swedish and Danish sides. In the southern part of the area, outside Stora and Lilla Middelgrund, ships must choose between Öresund and Great Belt. Both of these passages limit the height and draught of the ships, with the Great Belt Bridge as a special height limit. To increase safety in the shallow waters of Kattegat, new traffic separation regulations were introduced in 2020 on both sides of the offshore banks, following a decision by the International Maritime Organization in 2018. (International Maritime Organization, 2018). For further information on spatial analyses of shipping, see the Lighthouse report Maritime Interest in Sea Space in the Light of Increased Wind Power Expansion (Hjerpe Olausson, J. et al., 2024). Environmental and other impacts Maritime transport contributes to several environmental pressures affecting both the marine environment and the atmosphere: - Emissions to air and water o Fuel combustion involves both emissions of pollutant gases such as sulphur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, particulate matter, as well as carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. International shipping is a rapidly growing source of emissions, and the need to reduce its climate and environmental impact is today the strongest driving force behind technological development in the sector (Maritime Administrations, u.y.) o Other consequences of the operation of shipping are operational oil spills, chemicals, as well as discharges from kitchens, toilets and cleaning of cargo tanks. o Ships that also use flue gas cleaners (so-called scrubbers) to reduce their emissions of sulphur oxides to air have been linked to water pollution and more and more countries have imposed restrictions on these in recent years (Lunde Hermansson et al., 2023). - Noise o Marine life is affected by the underwater noise caused by ships' engines, propellers and sonar, as it interferes, among other things, with the communication between organisms. - Spread of alien, including invasive species o Furthermore, there is a risk that ships spread alien species via ballast water and hull fouling, species that can establish themselves in Swedish waters and outcompete native species with potentially major consequences for ecosystems. - Bottom impact - 81 - o Shipping also affects the seabed adjacent to shipping lanes and ports, where dredging and dumping of dredged materials is ongoing. Maritime transport is an efficient mode of transport with lower CO2 emissions per unit transported compared to land transport. Despite this, it also poses significant environmental challenges. Transport policy objectives aimed at promoting energy-efficient transport can create conflicting objectives in terms of increased sea-based transport work and impact on the marine environment (Fridell, et al., 2024). To address these challenges, it is important to develop strategies that balance efficiency and sustainability in shipping, which may include investments in cleaner fuels and technologies to reduce the negative environmental impact. Marine spatial plan guidance on shipping The marine spatial plan's guidance for shipping is based on national interests and is largely in line with established shipping lanes and shipping routes. Guidance for other uses, such as energy extraction, can potentially affect and complicate shipping activities. Although the marine spatial plan does not explicitly provide guidelines for safety zones, it stresses the importance of taking these into account on the basis of the specific conditions of each energy area. It is generally considered that shipping and offshore energy production can coexist, provided that the right conditions are created and that the safety of shipping is prioritised. This includes taking into account safety distances to maintain maritime safety as well as complying with both national and international regulations at sea. Maritime safety is key to preventing accidents at sea and minimising the environmental impact on populations, animals and plant life. The need for safety zones and safety distances is specific to each location and depends on several factors, including spatial conditions, the nature of the fairway and its use. Factors such as traffic intensity, type and size of vessels and the direction of the fairway in relation to wind farms affect these needs. Establishing offshore activities, such as wind power, requires a thorough examination and permit decision that includes specifications for consideration and safety distances. This is necessary to enable safe coexistence with shipping. To this end, the Swedish Maritime Administration and the Swedish Transport Agency have developed specific recommendations (Sjöfartsverket & Transportstyrelsen, 2023). For more information on the legal conditions, see the Swedish Energy Agency’s report 2023:12 (Energy Agency, 2023a). National objectives, regional development and maritime transport The maritime spatial plans shall contribute to the achievement of national environmental objectives and integrate industrial policy and social objectives, of which transport policy objectives form part of the whole. By promoting the objective of marine spatial planning to create the conditions for regional development and sustainable shipping, the plans offer guidance for shipping and other uses, such as energy, which supports the National Strategy for Sustainable Regional Development (Government, 2021b). This strategy covers several priorities and is implemented in accordance with the Ordinance on Regional Development Work (2017:583). In particular, the marine spatial planning contributes to the priority of ‘accessibility through sustainable transport systems’, where guidance on shipping and other uses has a direct impact on maritime transport supply. This is of great importance to both people and businesses - 82 - throughout the country. The strategy stresses the importance of coordinating activities and transport infrastructure at local, regional and national level. For further information on marine spatial planning objectives and the national strategy for sustainable regional development and its priorities, see Section 6.3. Maritime transport is also classified by the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB) as an essential activity. These activities are essential to meet society's basic needs and security, which constitute an important basis for the work on accident protection, crisis preparedness and civil defence. Activities that maintain or ensure these vital societal functions include ships, ports, pilotage, icebreaking, ship brokerage, and the operation and planning of fairways (MSB, 2021). Table 12. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind in relation to shipping during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative impacts and impacts. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Increased traffic Clear security measures Operation May affect technical equipment Clear security measures Increased collision risk Development of technical solutions, complementary equipment in wind farm Settlement Increased traffic Clear security measures Commercial fishing Swedish fishing is conducted in the Baltic Sea including the Gulf of Bothnia and Skagerrak/Kattegat, and periodically also in Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Norwegian Sea. In the Gulf of Bothnia, commercial fishing is seasonally characterised by ice-free periods. Both the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat have different physical and ecological conditions that affect the presence of marine animal species such as fish and shellfish, which in turn helps to influence how professional fishing looks in the areas. In the Gulf of Bothnia and the Baltic Sea, the composition of species changes from south to north as a result of decreasing salinity, which means that the proportion of marine species decreases. Several commercially important fish species, such as herring and sprat, are found in all three sea areas, while others, such as Northern prawn and Norway lobster, are only found in the marine spatial planning area of Skagerrak/Kattegat. Fishing also varies over time depending on the species available. While cod was a common catch in the 1980s, stocks in the Baltic Sea and Kattegat are now at a very low level, which has affected the regulation of fisheries. For example, directed fishing for cod in the Baltic Sea has been temporarily closed for several years. Environmental impacts on fish stocks, such as oxygen-free bottoms in the Baltic Sea and climate change, also affect the opportunities for fishing today and in the future. Swedish commercial fishing includes bottom trawling, pelagic trawling and passive fishing with nets and cages. Commercial fishing is varied, with larger vessels mostly fishing with trawls and smaller vessels with cages, traps and nets (see Figure 21). Fishing varies both geographically - 83 - and over time. Small-scale fishing is normally carried out in more limited areas close to the coast, while larger vessels move over large areas in and beyond the Swedish territorial sea and economic zone. The conditions for fishing are affected by the season, but also by the development of fish stocks and fishing regulations. The total landing volumes and removals of fish and shellfish from commercial fisheries are governed by the EU's Common Fisheries Policy, decided fishing quotas and national regulations. National interest claims for commercial fishing include areas considered important for commercial fishing's access to catch areas, areas important for spawning and nursery areas, as well as ports for landing and service. In both the Swedish territorial sea and the exclusive economic zone, there is also extensive fishing from other EU countries' vessels. Figure 21. Professional fisheries 2012-2021: Compilation of annual economic landing values for Swedish fisheries for the period 2012-2021: Passive fishing (top left); Pelagic trawl fisheries (upper right); Demersal/bottom trawl fisheries (bottom trawl) (bottom left). - 84 - Commercial fishing in the Gulf of Bothnia is most concentrated near the coast outside the marine spatial planning area, and in the Southern Bothnian Sea. Fishing is clearly seasonal, as the area is ice-covered for parts of the year. Economically important species are vendace, herring and salmon, where fishing for vendace takes place closer to the coast (outside the marine spatial plan area). Finnish herring fishing is also taking place in the outer embankment areas (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). Fishing in the Baltic Sea's marine spatial plan area accounts for a large proportion of Swedish commercial fishing in terms of both value and quantity of catches. The main species (2018-2022) are sprat and herring, following the decline of the cod stock. The area uses both passive and active gear, with the exception of Öresund, where fishing is conducted exclusively with passive gear (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). In the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat, commercial fishing is varied, with the economically most important species being Northern prawn and Norway lobster. There is also mixed fishing for species such as haddock and saithe (bottom living), mackerel, herring and sprat (pelagic). Environmental Impacts and Surface Claim Fishing affects the size and structure of fish populations, both for the species targeted and those caught unintentionally. Further other species and ecosystems are indirectly affected through interactions in the food chain. Fishing with passive fishing gear can affect birds and marine mammals trapped in nets, even gear lost in the sea creates problems as they continue to catch animals long after they are lost. Work is under way to prevent this, for example with regard to wire material in cages. Bottom trawling affects the marine environment through species harvesting, by-catch, and physical damage to the benthic habitats. Pelagic trawling is associated with the same types of pressure as bottom trawling, with the exception of physical bottom impact. Emissions and underwater noise are also among the effects of fishing. Action to reduce physical disturbance is under way through the development of regulations and technical adaptations that reduce, for example, by-catch and physical disturbance from trawling. The establishment of marine protected areas with fully or partially regulated fisheries are measures that can be expected to lead to increased protection of vulnerable benthic habitats and nursery areas for fish and other marine organisms. Measures to meet environmental quality standards on biodiversity and physical disturbance of the seabed are a driver contributing to enhanced protection of specific species and benthic habitats. The ongoing development of fishing gear and methodology to reduce the environmental impact of fishing is expected to continue, such as the development of selective gear to reduce by-catch, as well as techniques to minimise damage to benthic habitats (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2016c). Climate change is also expected to affect marine environments and commercial fish stocks and their distribution, and by extension fishing, through increased water temperature, altered wave, current and salinity conditions, reduced ice cover and reduced pH in the oceans by 2040 (the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2025). - 85 - Achievement of objectives, national and municipal interests The marine spatial plan's guidance on the use of commercial fishing is largely based on national interest claims. According to the Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance, marine spatial plans are to contribute to national environmental, economic and social objectives, of which objectives related to commercial fishing form part of the marine spatial plan’s guidance and the planning objective of creating the conditions for regional development, as well as sustainable fishing. The plan’s guidance on commercial fishing should also relate to the national strategy for sustainable regional development (Government, 2021b). The strategy includes several priorities and the Ordinance on Regional Development Work (2017:583) contains provisions on regional development work and the involvement of state authorities in that work. The marine spatial plan’s guidance on the use of commercial fishing relates to the priority ‘Innovation and renewal as well as entrepreneurship and entrepreneurship across the country – A competitive, circular and bio-based and climate and environmental sustainable economy’. Guidance on nature use and particular consideration for high nature values can have positive effects on the fish resource, thereby favouring sustainable fishing in the longer term, on the basis that the guidance can contribute to maintaining important ecosystem services on which commercial fishing depends, see Chapter 2.2.6. Proposal for new areas with particular consideration for high nature values. For more information on the national strategy for sustainable regional and its priorities, see Chapter 6.3 Assessment against other plans and programmes. Food security is classified as an important social function by the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB). Fishing is included as a function of primary production and refers to the ability to produce livestock and primary production of feed. Examples of essential activities include activities and facilities that are necessary to maintain the production of food-producing animals and fishing. Important activities are important activities for society's basic needs and security and constitute an important starting point in the work with protection against accidents, crisis preparedness and civil defence (MSB 2021). Port activities are important for maintaining the activity of commercial fishing. Some ports are designated as national interest claims for commercial fishing. Port operations can also be a municipal interest. Commercial fishing is also important for other municipal interests such as employment, the opportunity to live and work in coastal communities, cultural and social values, local identity, tourism, and the preservation of fishing for the future (Waldo S. & Lovén I. 2019). - 86 - Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 13. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind power in relation to commercial fishing during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative impacts and impacts. Type of impact Possible consideration measure Phase Facility Increased traffic Clear security measures Keeping the areas not worked in open for fishing Operation Affects fishing opportunities Location of turbines Development of fishing gear or method depending on the type of fishery concerned Settlement Increased traffic Clear security measures Keeping the areas not worked in open for fishing - 87 - Impact assessment of marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia Impact on population and health The most relevant aspects of the plan to consider when investigating effects on the population and human health are guidance on energy use, sand extraction and guidance on changing mileage for shipping. The new plan proposal has not changes in regards to sand extraction and maritime routes, and the assessment for these uses presented in the sustainability assessment of decided marine spatial plans in 2019 is still up to date (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b). The conclusion of that assessment is that neither the proposed sand extraction in the Bothnian Bay nor the guidance on shipping posed any health risks to humans. When it comes to energy areas, the assessment is that the negative health effects that can arise from visual impact and noise are relatively small, with marginal negative effects on the health of the population. The potential for positive health effects from renewable energy production and thereby reduced emissions is also assessed as relatively small. This is because these effects are indirect and do not have a local effect in the same way as visual effects. Visual impact and noise Regarding guidance on energy production, and offshore wind establishment, there are various aspects that can have an impact on human health. There is only one permit for offshore wind power in the Gulf of Bothnia. The proposed marine spatial plan will guide a relatively large expansion of offshore wind power in the Gulf of Bothnia's marine spatial plan area, and several energy areas are located so close to the coast that they will be visible from land. Visual impact from both the wind turbines and associated obstacle lighting risks disturbing people both during the day and at night. However, it is not established to what extent this can lead to direct health problems, and there is also a subjective aspect where different individuals are disturbed to different degrees (see section 2.1 Impact on population and health). Effects and influences of obstacle lighting may need to be investigated especially in the Gulf of Bothnia in relation to the natural conditions, such as terrain and how light is reflected by ice and snow during the winter months. The effect of shading is not considered problematic due to the distance from land. Offshore wind power generates noise, both audible noise and infrasound. Modelling for noise dispersion in various project applications shows that the overall noise level generally decreases to 35 dBA within 5 kilometres of the outer boundary of wind farms. Noise modelling is often based on a worst-case scenario for sound dispersion, where the calculations assume that there is no natural attenuation of the sound. In the Gulf of Bothnia, there is no proposed energy extraction area closer than 5 kilometres from coastal settlements (see Figure 22 below). People living in coastal areas are therefore not considered to be at risk of experiencing harmful or particularly disturbing noise levels when establishing offshore wind power in proposed energy areas. Just as for obstacle lighting, there is a need to examine in more detail how sound spreads in winter conditions in the Gulf of Bothnia. In the Bay of Gävle there is a cluster of energy areas which means that the risk of cumulative impact increases. Visual influences, and effects such as noise and obstacle lighting, become more noticeable and intense. These effects may be limited to some extent by consideration - 88 - measures. At the same time, it is not likely that all the energy areas in the marine spatial plan will be built on, but rather a number of energy areas and with a certain geographical spread. It would provide a distribution of negative impacts on population and health across the entire marine spatial planning area, see section 3.5 Overall assessment for reasoning on potential distribution of cumulative impacts. Maritime safety and risk The proposed energy areas may lead to reduced safety of navigation due to fixed installations adjacent to fairways. This can lead to an increased risk of shipping accidents, as well as possibly complicate remediation and rescue work that can indirectly pose a risk to human health. Reducing Health Hazardous Emissions There are potential indirect health benefits of offshore wind energy. This is especially true if the produced renewable energy replaces fossil energy use with health-damaging air emissions. As it is uncertain where the energy from proposed energy areas will be used, it is difficult to assess the magnitude of this effect. Effects on air emissions and climate benefits are indirect and long-term effects of marine spatial plans that in the long term are expected to contribute positively to human health. In a shorter time perspective, however, local emissions may increase with civil works and increased traffic, or diversion of ship traffic, this is transitory and the net effect of building wind power is positive in terms of the potential to replace fossil-based energy carriers, thereby leading to reduced emissions of greenhouse gases and other airborne pollutants. - 89 - Figure 22. Shows the distance of energy areas to urban areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Source: Statistics Sweden, 2020. - 90 - Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity Birds In the marine spatial planning area of the Gulf of Bothnia, the greatest risks of impact on birds are linked to the areas around Finngrunden and North Kvarken. In both cases, the risk of impact on migratory birds is greatest. Finngrunden is of great regional importance for resting and wintering seabirds, several of which are known to be very sensitive to disturbance. When it comes to migratory birds, the autumn migration past Finngrunden and the southern Bothnian Sea is particularly extensive, with over 100 species and one million individuals of larger birds. In comparison, studies show that the spring migration includes just under 70 species. Many migratory species are red-listed. In addition to the passage of larger birds, a presumed very large number of small birds migrate. For species such as the bean goose, whooper swan, black-throated loon and red-throated loon, a significant proportion of the populations are estimated to pass through the area from breeding areas in north-eastern Scandinavia and north-western Russia. For the subspecies taiga geese, the central migration route for the entire world population over this area is found. Energy areas B152 and B156 in the Southern Bothnian Sea pose a high risk of impact on migratory birds and a medium risk of impact on wintering birds, mainly long-tailed ducks and red- throated loons. Area B149 is considered to have a medium risk of impact on migratory and wintering birds. Energy areas B164 and B142 are considered to have a medium risk for migratory birds and a low risk for wintering birds. The species red-throated loon and long-tailed duck are typical species of sublittoral sandbanks and reefs within the Natura 2000 site Finngrunden. The species shall be protected and allowed to remain in existing viable populations. The conservation of species within the Natura 2000 network must also be seen in a long-term perspective where the conditions must be in place for the range of different species to change over time. Ongoing climate change caused by human emissions of greenhouse gases will result in sharp shifts in ranges that are very difficult to predict more accurately. Along the coast there are important breeding, resting and wintering areas for seabirds, which risk being negatively affected by wind power expansion in the proposed energy areas B152 and B156. Black guillemot, lesser black-backed gull and Caspian tern, and a high density of white- tailed eagle are some of the known breeding species in the area, where the lesser black-backed gull in particular uses the ground areas at Finngrunden for foraging. Particularly important areas are Lövstabukten and Björns archipelago and the nature reserve Gräsö eastern archipelago. The archipelago area west of B146 has a rich bird fauna and along the coast there are occurrences of seabirds. Several protected bird species breed in the area. The energy areas of North Kvarken are located just north of the very important migratory bird path that stretches northwest-southeast between Umeå-Holmön and the Vaasa region of Österbotten in Finland, where the crossing of the sea is the shortest. The migration route is used by several sensitive species of birds of prey (in particularly high numbers of rough-legged buzzards) as well as common crane, bean goose, - 91 - wader, whooper swan and other fell and taiga species. The energy area B135 is considered to entail a risk of a medium negative effect, while B108 has a small negative effect on migratory birds. On the coast there are to some extent nesting seabirds and birds that stretch along the coast. There is a risk of some negative impact from wind power establishment in the energy area B108, albeit small. With regard to the latter area, the proximity to the Holmöarna islands is also considered to pose some risk to the species that breed there, such as red-throated loons. In the far north of the Gulf of Bothnia, the coastal area bordering the Haparanda Archipelago National Park is very sensitive. Several of the islands are bird protection areas, and the national park has been created partly because the area is relatively unaffected by humans. The area near the coast is very important for migratory, resting and nesting birds, several of which are susceptible to disturbance. The bird stretch is expected to occur on a broad front along the coast and partly over the open sea, and there is some risk that it will be negatively affected by wind power establishment. The risk is greater closer to the coast, which is why the potential negative impact is assessed as medium in energy area B111, and small in energy area B113. Cumulative and transboundary effects The greatest risk of cumulative effects on birds is in the southern Bothnian Sea, where several energy areas are located. This applies primarily to energy areas B152, B156 and B149 in the vicinity of Finngrunden. Several wind farms are planned on the Finnish side of the Bothnian Bay, which increases the risk of cumulative effects in connection with the establishment of wind power on the Swedish side (see section 3.5 Overall assessment). Moderate risk of negative impact on migratory birds if establishments are established in the designated energy area west of Kokkola (southern part). If wind power is established in the Vaasa archipelago and surrounding areas, the risk of impact is considered to be high. In the southern Bothnian Sea, on the Finnish side, there are several energy areas, all of which, if built, carry the risk of a major negative cumulative effect on migratory birds. The establishment of wind power in Åland's archipelagos entails a high risk of negative effects on both migratory, breeding and wintering stocks. Risks of negative cumulative effects should be taken into account in the future assessment of wind power projects on both sides of the border. - 92 - Figure 23. Risks of adverse effects on migratory birds in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 93 - Figure 24. Potential negative effect on bird wintering areas of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 94 - Bats In the Gulf of Bothnia, it is primarily the migratory route at North Kvarken where the southern parts of the energy area B135, but to some extent also B108 can have a negative impact on migratory bats. Otherwise and generally, the risk of negative impact on bats depends on the distance from land where energy areas within 10 km of land are considered to be at higher risk. This provides an overall assessment of the low risk of impact on bats for the marine spatial plan. Cumulative and transboundary effects In the Gulf of Bothnia, the risk of cumulative effects on bats is relatively limited. It is in North Kvarken that there is some risk that B135 and B108, if both are established, may have a cumulative negative effect on bats. In the agreed Finnish marine spatial plan, there is an area for energy use southeast of energy area B135 that is estimated to have a cumulative negative effect together with B135 and to some extent B108. - 95 - Figure 25. Potential negative effect on bats of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 96 - Marine mammals Occuring marine mammals in the Gulf of Bothnia include ringed seals and grey seals. Ringed seal In the Bothnian Bay there is a unique population of ringed seals where the population is stable, but the species has been exposed to environmental toxins and the reproduction rate is weakened. According to the latest status assessment in the Marine Strategy for the North Sea and the Baltic Sea 2024, good environmental status is not achieved for ringed seals or any of the other two seal species. This is partly due to the fact that population growth, one of the parameters included in the indicator ‘Abundance and trend of species’, has slowed down compared to the assessment period 2011-2016 (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024a). In addition, its long-term survival depends on the availability of sea ice whose distribution is threatened by climate change. Based on current knowledge of the ringed seals reproductive area in the area, the energy areas B111 and B113 are in the middle of the most important area in the sea basin. The marine spatial plan is considered to potentially have a major negative effect on seals by affecting the presence of stable sea ice. The wind turbines themselves can affect the ice and maintenance traffic to and from the turbines may require ice-free passage. - 97 - Figure 26. Potential negative impact of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia on ringed seals. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 98 - The energy areas B108 and B135 in North Kvarken are estimated to have little negative effect on ringed seals, as these parts of the Gulf of Bothnia are less important as reproductive areas. Energy areas in the Bothnian Sea are not considered to have any effect on the ringed seal. Grey seal Grey seals are found in the Gulf of Bothnia, mainly in the North Kvarken and in the Southern Bothnian Sea. Like other seal species in Swedish waters, it does not achieve good environmental status. Grey seals are considered to be sensitive to disturbance during February to June and to be more prevalent in coastal areas than out at sea. The more coastal energy area B142 is estimated to have a potential small negative effect on grey seals. However, effects from the construction phase are considered to be minimised to negligible levels if protective measures for underwater noise are taken. Cumulative and transboundary effects It is mainly the energy areas B111 and B113 that, if both are established, would have a cumulative negative effect on the ringed seal. The Finnish marine spatial plan contains a number of energy areas in the northern Bothnian Bay, which together with areas B111 and B113 in the Swedish plan proposal are estimated to have a major negative impact on the population of ringed seals. Benthic habitats The benthic habitats in offshore areas and embankments in the Gulf of Bothnia consist of soft bottoms with clay, but also, especially in the southern Bothnian Sea, a lot of rocks and boulders. In soft-bottomed areas, bottom-fixed foundations will involve the introduction of a new hard substrate. The Symphony results show a small negative bottom effect for the energy areas B107, B139 and B152. For other energy areas, the result is a marginal effect based on knowledge of existing nature values and that about 1-2 per cent of the bottom is affected when wind power is established. If the bottom conditions are taken into account in the design and construction, it is considered that negative permanent effects on existing benthic habitats can be avoided for both bottom-fixed and floating foundations. Assessing the risk of negative effects from cabling is not possible as it is uncertain how cables would be constructed. Bottom trawling is not very common in the Gulf of Bothnia. There are therefore no prerequisites to replace commercial fishing with wind power establishment for a positive local net effect on benthic habitats. - 99 - Cumulative and transboundary effects The risk of cumulative negative effects on the benthic habitats is limited to ensuring that local natural values are avoided during planning. The effects on benthic habitats is considered to be local and temporary. - 100 - Figure 27. Potential negative effect of proposals for energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia on benthic habitats. Energy area B152 is expected to have a small negative effect, while other energy areas in the plan are expected to have a marginal effect on benthic habitats. - 101 - Fish and spawning grounds In terms of effects on fish and fish spawning, the guidance on sand extraction at the shallow of Svalan and Falken in the Bothnian Bay is considered to have a small negative effect locally on fish, in particular spawning herring and vendace. The proposed extraction area partly coincides with shallower spawning grounds out at sea, but not with the species' most important spawning grounds. Since there are several spawning grounds in the Gulf of Bothnia, the most important of which are in the coastal zone, the negative effect is considered to be marginal in relation to the entire marine spatial plan area. It is important to adapt the extraction activities to important reproduction periods for the fish species in the area. There is a risk of marginally increased pressure through underwater noise and operational emissions from shipping in connection with the marine spatial plan's guidance on slightly longer shipping routes after adaptation to proposed energy areas in the South Bothnian Sea. Given that the change in marine traffic is relatively small and that fish move in a very large area, the impact on fish is considered to be marginal. In the Gulf of Bothnia, there is some overlap between energy areas and spawning grounds, mainly for herring. The exact extent of the spawning grounds is not always known, which is why more detailed assessments need to be made for any future wind power establishment. It is mainly the energy areas located near the coast or on shallower areas that are more likely to affect spawning areas for herring. In the Southern Bothnian Sea, the conducted Symphony analysis indicates that energy area B152 has a small risk of impact on spawning areas, while areas B143, B149, B159 and B160 have a marginal effect on spawning areas. In North Kvarken, the coastal area B108 risks affecting spawning grounds, and in the Bothnian Bay the northernmost energy area B111. See Figure 28. As regards the risk of impact from the energy areas on migratory salmon, this is considered to be low and mainly affect the coastal energy areas, e.g. B146, B154 and B108. See also section 2.2.4 Benthic habitats. Cumulative and transboundary effects If wind farms are established in several of the more coastal energy areas, there is a risk of cumulative negative effects on both fish spawning and conditions for salmon migration. The uncertainty surrounding the development of Finnish offshore wind power makes it difficult to assess the risk of cumulative effects, but in general there is a risk of impact mainly in shallower coastal waters. As far as migratory salmon stocks are concerned, marine areas in both Sweden and Finland are important. - 102 - Figure 28. Potential negative effect on fish and spawning grounds of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows more effect and light color shows less effect. White color shows energy area in the zero alternative. - 103 - Impact of proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values The plan includes a number of proposals for new areas for particular consideration of high nature values (so-called small n-areas). These have been developed in a process together with coastal county administrative boards and the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. SwAM is responsible for the final proposals. The Gulf of Bothnia plan area is generally characterised by a lower proportion of protected areas as well as fewer areas for particular consideration of high nature values than both the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat. However, the plan proposal includes a number of proposals for additional areas for particular consideration of high nature values. The energy areas are B152 west of western Finngrunden and B156 south of Finngrunden. Both areas are proposed for particular consideration of migratory and wintering birds. The energy area B149 with the designation small n has been extended to the north, which has expanded the area for particular consideration. Ulvödjupet outside Härnösand and Örnsköldsvik is proposed as a new area for particular consideration of high nature values through areas B123 and B165. Deep soft bottoms and reef environments are characteristic of the area. Furthermore, a larger expansion of the areas for particular consideration of high nature values for the areas has been proposed at and north of North Kvarken. It also confirms the EBSA area over the North Kvarken in the transboundary Swedish-Finnish waters (EBSA = Ecologically or Biologically Significant Marine Areas). Area B118 has also been extended to the southwest. In the northern Gulf of Bothnia, the energy area B111 and the area B112 are proposed for general use as areas for particular consideration of high nature values. In these cases, especially for the ringed seal. The proposals for additional areas for particular consideration of high nature values are considered to contribute to strengthened particular consideration for both areas with proposed use of energy extraction and other uses. Together with areas for particular consideration of high nature values in the adopted marine spatial plan, these are considered to provide a good complement to the area protection, contribute to green infrastructure and ecosystem services and sustainable use in the Gulf of Bothnia. Figure 29 shows the areas with nature use and particular consideration for high nature values within the marine spatial plan area of the Gulf of Bothnia. - 104 - Figure 29. Areas using nature (N) and decided on the respective proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values (n) in the Gulf of Bothnia. - 105 - Effects on land, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment Water and air In terms of effects on air, the assessment refers to changes in emissions of airborne pollutants as a result of the marine spatial plan guidance. The uses relevant in this context are shipping, fishing, sand extraction and offshore wind. Wind power partly based on conversion to fossil-free energy and reduced air pollution related to this. Effects on water as a habitat refer to changes in the physical and chemical conditions of water as a result of the marine spatial plan guidance on the different uses. Turbidity and dispersal of sediments In the Gulf of Bothnia, sand extraction in the proposed quarrying operations at the shallow of Svalan and Falken is expected to have a negative effect on water quality locally, as a result of increased turbidity in the vicinity of the extraction area. The effect is considered to be short-term, and thus insignificant in terms of the marine spatial plan as a whole, in line with the conclusion in the environmental impact assessment of the adopted marine spatial plan (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a). Construction of offshore wind power and associated cabling are also activities that are expected to lead to increased local turbidity and negative local impact on water quality. The turbidity itself can lead to sequential effects on marine life and particular consideration needs to be given to benthic habitats and organisms that are sensitive to impacts (see sections 2.3.1 and 2.2.5). Dispersal of pollutants During the construction phase, it is important that sediments and surroundings are carefully examined to avoid the spread of contaminants. Sediments in the Gulf of Bothnia are characterised by elevated levels of arsenic, which is probably due to high levels in the bedrock within the catchment area and discharges from point sources (Josefsson, 2022). There are also other impurities, such as chlorinated paraffins and PFAS (ibid). Sampling and examinations need to be carried out to avoid stirring up particularly contaminated sediments during constructions works. Close proximity to environmentally hazardous wrecks and dumped warfare agents can also mean an increased risk of environmentally hazardous substances and pollutants spreading. In the Southern Bothnian Sea there are two wrecks that are classified as environmentally hazardous (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management Environmentally hazardous wrecks, retrieved 2024 – 12-20), these need to be taken into account in construction and cabling to avoid the spread of pollution. There are four national monitoring stations in the Gulf of Bothnia, see Figure 30 below. Environmental monitoring has been carried out for 16 years. Offshore wind energy establishment in energy areas B111 and B146 (where permits exist) risks affecting sampling and stations may need to be relocated, or otherwise taken into account during construction, operation and decommissioning phases. - 106 - Hydrographic effects Studies have shown that offshore wind power can affect hydrographic conditions during continuous operation, both at the surface and at the foundations (Arneborg et al., 2024). The effects on surface water occur when the wind behind the wind farms decreases, which in turn can affect currents and stratification in the surface water. The foundations have a small effect in that they slow ocean currents and create turbulence that mixes different water layers. The effects of offshore wind power can spread beyond the boundaries of the park and also lead to sequential and consequences for marine life (see also Section 2.3.1. Water and air). The marine spatial plan guides the large-scale deployment of offshore wind power in the Gulf of Bothnia, and cumulative hydrographic effects need to be further investigated, for example with a focus on how changes in hydrographic conditions can affect algal blooms, oxygen depletion and ice formation. Impacts of energy expansion in neighbouring countries also need to be considered in terms of cumulative and cross-border impacts on hydrography and potential second-round effects. Changes in emissions and air quality In terms of shipping, the Gulf of Bothnia marine spatial plan proposes an approximately five per cent longer shipping route through the Southern Bothnian Sea as a result of energy areas B149 and B164. According to the environmental impact assessment of adopted marine spatial plans (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a), the consequences of the extended route are marginally increased emissions from shipping and thus marginally worsened air quality locally. The establishment of wind power in the proposed energy areas may mean longer distances for fishing vessels as well, and increased service traffic. However, it is difficult to assess the magnitude of potential impacts on local air quality as a result of increased emissions. Sand extraction at the shallow of Svalan and Falken in the Bothnian Bay can also lead to an increase in air emissions from marine transport during sand extraction and between extraction area and port. This is expected to have a marginal negative impact on local air quality. In a longer time perspective, it is possible to reason that offshore wind power has a positive effect on air quality as it has the potential to replace fossil-based energy sources, which in extraction, production and combustion worsen air quality. - 107 - Figure 30. Displays marine sampling stations and proposed energy areas, including the zero alternative in the marine spatial plan area of the Gulf of Bothnia. - 108 - Climate The marine spatial planning guidance on nature protection, particular consideration for high nature values and energy extraction are the most relevant aspects in terms of climate impact. The establishment of offshore wind power in energy use areas has the potential to provide society with renewable and fossil-free energy. The expected negative climate-related impacts of energy establishment are time-limited and small compared to the contribution of the marine spatial plan to renewable energy. With the marine spatial plan's guidance on 13 energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia, the assessment is that there is great potential to contribute to Sweden's climate goals. There are both direct and indirect effects in terms of potential climate benefits. The marine spatial plan’s guidance on nature use and particular consideration for high nature values can indirectly lead to climate benefits if these areas are protected from interventions that negatively affect the marine environment, which in turn affects both ecosystem resilience and the ability to store organic carbon. Climate benefits linked to energy extraction through offshore wind power Fossil-free energy production is central to the climate transition by enabling the electrification of society (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2023b, Government, 2021b). In the long term, there is a great need for energy supply in the Gulf of Bothnia, partly because of large energy establishments located in northern Sweden, and because the supply of renewable electricity is a prerequisite for society to cope with the transition and achieve Sweden's climate goals. Offshore wind power is a renewable energy that has low climate emissions from a life cycle perspective (Energy Agency 2023a). The direct climate benefit is that offshore wind power can replace energy production that has a higher climate impact. Great climate benefits could also be achieved by using energy as an energy carrier to electrify the industrial and transport sectors, which today account for a fair share of Sweden's greenhouse gas emissions (Energy Agency, 2024). Indirectly, climate benefits can also arise from the fact that the electricity produced is exported to other countries, thereby replacing other energy production with higher emissions (see Section 2.4.1. Energy). There are several uncertainties and limitations to make a quantitative estimate and calculation of the climate benefit. Among other things, the final climate benefit depends on how many areas, and how much of individual areas are realized. It also depends on the method used to estimate potential energy production. Compared to what is generally used among wind power projectors, marine spatial planning uses a more conservative calculation of potential energy production. For the Gulf of Bothnia, the plan is estimated to enable approximately 130 TWh of annual energy production (see also section 3.4.1). There are several factors that can determine the actual climate benefit that could result from the plan’s guidance. This may include factors such as how much capacity there is in the electricity grid and infrastructure, how other energy production and associated climate emissions are changing and what the electricity demand will look like in the future. Chapter 2 (Section 2.3.2. Climate) presents a reasoning to estimate potential climate benefits. This reasoning was also the basis for calculations made in the previous sustainability report (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2019b) and is based on comparing climate impact between offshore wind power and residual mix. The climate impact from offshore wind power is approximately 11 000 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per TWh (Energy Authority, 2021) corresponding to 524 100 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per TWh for the residual mix - 109 - in 2023 (Energy Market Inspectorate, 2024). Calculations according to the same methodology for the proposal for a marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia show that the plan's guidance on energy extraction has great potential to contribute to climate benefits. The table also shows a comparison between potential CO2 emission reductions per TWh and Sweden’s total emissions in 2023 (SCB, 2024). As mentioned above, this is only a calculation example and not an actual measure of climate benefit, as there are several limiting factors to achieve this climate benefit in reality. It is reasonable to assume that the climate benefit is initially greater, and decreases with time when the fossil energy sources have been replaced and phased out. The overall assessment of potential climate benefits in the Gulf of Bothnia is that the marine spatial plan's guidance contributes to creating good conditions for climate benefits. Table 14. Shows results of calculation for potential climate benefit as offshore wind power according to the plan proposal, the zero alternative and the current situation in the Gulf of Bothnia would replace the Nordic residual mix. TWh Climate impact Nordic residual Potential Potential Offshore wind energy mix (524 100 CO2- reduction in (11 000 tonnes CO2- tonnes CO2- equivalent relation to equivalent/TWh) equivalent/ TWh) reduction Sweden’s emissions in 2023 Existing offshore wind power in the Gulf of Bothnia 0 0 0 0 0% Zero alternatives (permitted projects) 3,8 44 000 2 096 400 2 052 400 4% Proposal for a marine spatial plan 127 1 397 000 66 560 700 65 163 700 135 % In a longer time perspective, and a larger geographical perspective, the establishment and expansion of offshore wind power also leads to positive effects for the marine environment in terms of reduced emissions and reduced climate impact. Changes in emissions The proposal for a marine spatial plan with energy areas may have an impact on other uses with a potential impact on greenhouse gas emissions. This applies, for example, to possible changes in the mileage of shipping and commercial fishing. For the Southern Bothnian Sea, the guidance on energy use in area B164 changes the fairway for shipping. The cluster of energy areas close to shipping lanes also means potentially extended mileage for shipping. However, the impact on greenhouse gas emissions is difficult to estimate, but it is estimated that a limited number of passages are affected. Extended itinerary has been estimated to a maximum of approximately 15 km based on the plan map and AIS data, which is considered to be of minor importance (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b). The stretching of the fairway in the current marine spatial plan is no different from the decided marine spatial plan, where the fairway is moved and runs north-east of the proposed energy areas. - 110 - Installation and servicing of offshore wind power can also involve emissions that affect the climate, but in relation to the input of renewable energy, these emissions are considered to be insignificant. Guidance on nature conservation and particular consideration - carbon sequestration The marine spatial planning provides guidance on both nature use (N) and particular consideration for high nature values (n). Marine areas that are protected against disturbances and impacts can generally be assumed to have better conditions both to deal with climate change by conserving biodiversity, and better conditions to store carbon as they are to some extent protected from physical disturbances. There are no data or figures that describe the potential and ability for carbon sequestration in different benthic habitats and sediments in a Swedish national context. Norwegian researchers have mapped carbon sequestration in Norwegian marine areas, and concluded that benthic habitats of different nature have different abilities and conditions to contribute to carbon sequestration, both in shorter and longer time perspectives. An important conclusion of the study is that benthic habitats that are left undisturbed have greater potential to act as natural carbon sinks (Diesing et al., 2024). In the Gulf of Bothnia there are several different types of benthic habitats, and the marine spatial plan guides the use of nature, and particular consideration is given to high nature values on a total area of approximately 38,500 square kilometres, which corresponds to just over 28 per cent of the Gulf of Bothnia's marine spatial plan area. The largest proportion is made up of areas with particular consideration to high nature values, and only 6% are protected areas. The proposal for the area of high nature value has also been extended in relation to adopted marine spatial plans (see section 3.2.6. Proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values). Marine spatial planning as such is only a small part of, and has no decisive role in, the ocean management processes that decide on guidelines for human activities in protected areas. However, the guidance on particular consideration is considered to be able to contribute positively to the protection of marine environments to a greater extent than if the guidance had not been provided. As mentioned earlier, there is no nationwide data or an established method to calculate or quantify the extent and rate of carbon storage in the Gulf of Bothnia, to investigate this further can lead to a better understanding of the climate benefits of conserving and protecting marine ecosystems. Adaptation to climate change The guidance for particular consideration for high nature values has taken into account data for climate refugias for particularly important species such as ringed seals, mussels, eelgrass, herring and cod (Hammar & Mattsson, 2017). This is to avoid negative pressures on areas that may be of particular importance in a future climate. In the Gulf of Bothnia, there are climate refugias for ringed seals, but they are coastal in the Gulf of Bothnia and not within the marine spatial planning area. For the Gulf of Bothnia, ice formation is a particularly important condition for many life forms, such as the ringed seal. Climate projections for the Gulf of Bothnia show that temperature rises and salinity changes, but also that ice formation and ice thickness will change (see Figure 29 below, which shows the expected change in the proportion of winters with ice cover and expected thickness of ice for RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). - 111 - Figure 31. The two upper maps show the expected winter ice extent for RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 respectively. The two lower ones show the expected ice thickness according to RCP 4.8 and RCP 8.5. - 112 - Landscape In the Gulf of Bothnia, impact on landscape is concentrated to certain areas. It is mainly about the southwestern part of the Southern Bothnian Sea and the southwestern part of the Bothnian Bay, but also the northern Bothnian Bay. In the marine spatial plan area, there are three energy areas that are considered to entail a risk of major negative impact on landscapes: B108 in North Kvarken and B152 and B156 east of Gävle. Furthermore, three additional energy areas are expected to have a medium negative effect on landscapes: B111, B135 and B142. These areas are wholly or partly within the territorial boundary and are therefore relatively close to the coast. In an energy area, the risk of negative effects on landscapes is assessed as low: B164. B113, B149 and B159 are considered to have marginal negative effects on landscapes and B160 and B161 are not considered to have any negative effect on landscapes. Figure 32below shows the estimated negative impact for each energy area in the Gulf of Bothnia. - 113 - Figure 32. Potential negative effect on landscapes of proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. In the energy areas, dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. Accumulated visibility from land is shown over the sea and visibility of energy areas is shown over land. - 114 - Area-specific assessments Gulf of Bothnia Energy area B111 can primarily have a visual impact on areas in the Haparanda Archipelago, including within the Haparanda Archipelago National Park and the island of Malören. From Sandskär in the national park it is about 10 kilometers to B111, while from Haparanda's mainland coast it is about 35 kilometers to the energy area. Energy area B108 is located closest to about 7 kilometers from the coast and is expected to primarily have a visual impact on local coastal areas at Bygdeå, as well as the Holmöarna islands, not least towards the island of Stora Fjäderägg. The energy area B135 can also affect the Holmöarna islands, but more limited as it is about 22 kilometers away. Southern Bothnian Sea In the Southern Bothnian Sea, B142 is estimated to have the greatest impact on landscapes in the areas in the southern part of Hornslandet, as well as Agön. Despite its generally medium negative effect on landscapes, the energy area can have greater negative effects locally, not least on the mentioned areas around Hornslandet and Agön. From B142 to Hornslandet it is about 8 kilometers. The energy area B152 has a landscape impact on the coast outside Gävle. Areas that are mainly affected are those around Fågelsundet and Björn, Billudden, as well as the islands Eggegrund- Gråsjälsbådan, Lövgrund, Vitgrund, Eskön and Iggön. The energy area B156 has its greatest landscape impact in the areas of Fågelsundet and Björn, as well as Norrboda and Örskär on northern Gräsö. From the energy area to Örskär and Fågelsundet it is about 18 kilometers, while Gävle's coastal parts are about 25 kilometers away. Other impacts on landscapes In the Southern Bothnian Sea there is the landscape protection area Öregrund and Östhammar, which has a direct overlap with the south-eastern part of energy area B156. The same part of B156 is overlapped by the Coastal Area from Arkösund to Forsmark, which is a national interest for high-exploited coasts (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code). Along the Uppland coast there are also landscape protection areas Björns skärgård, Bondskäret, Klubben and Ledskärsängna which are relatively close to B152 and B156, which may negatively affect these protections. Cumulative and transboundary effects In the Gulf of Bothnia, Finnish areas can be affected by energy areas. In the Gulf of Bothnia, the B111 can have some negative landscape impact mainly on the islands of Karlö, Ulkokrunni and Maakrunni. The B135 energy area is estimated to have some negative landscape impact on Finnish areas in North Kvarken, from the islands west of Kokkola to Björkö northwest of Vaasa about 35 kilometers away. The marine spatial plan of Åland contains energy areas that may affect the landscape protection area at Öregrund and Östhammar, which is about 19 kilometres away. - 115 - Neighbouring energy areas will have a synergetic cumulative effect on the landscape of the coast of the south-west Bothnian Sea. From many outlook points along the coast, several wind farms can be visible in good weather. Based on the number of energy areas, their size, relatively coastal location and its location along the coast with relatively even distances, the cumulative impact in the Southern Bothnian Sea is estimated to be large. In the Gulf of Bothnia, the energy area B108 together with B135 together can produce cumulative effects. The cumulative effects from the northernmost energy areas are estimated to be small. Cultural environment Indirect influence – National interest claims in cultural heritage conservation, Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code In the Gulf of Bothnia's marine spatial plan area, there are five energy areas that are considered to entail a risk of large negative impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation: B108 outside Bygdeå, B111 outside Haparanda archipelago, B142 outside Hudiksvall, and B152 and B156 outside Gävle. These areas are wholly or partly within the territorial sea boundary and are therefore relatively close to the coast. In another energy area, the risk of negative effects on cultural heritage management is considered to be medium: B135. Finally, there is an energy area that is considered to give rise to a risk of a small negative effect on cultural heritage conservation (B164), three energy areas with marginal negative effect (B113, B149, B159), and two energy areas with no effect (B160, B161). In addition to B159, B160 and B161, the marine spatial plan specifies other energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values (small-k). The guidance on particular consideration for high cultural heritage values is considered to entail adaptations of the location and design of wind farms regarding, for example, the location and height of wind turbines in order to reduce the impact on the specific cultural heritage sites concerned. Fel! Hittar inte referenskälla.below shows the estimated negative impact of the respective energy area. - 116 - Figure 33. Potential indirect negative effect of energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 117 - Gulf of Bothnia In the Bothnian Bay, B111 is considered to be able to cause a risk of negative impact primarily on Malören and Sandskär, which are covered by values such as fishing villages, seasonal fishing villages, communication environments and archaeological environments. Expressions of national interest claims include fishing villages, beacon grounds, labyrinths, wrecks, lighthouses, chapels, jetties and pilot station. In addition to the national interest claims being within the bounds of dominance/competition (see Chapter 8. Method) from B111, the energy area risks affecting communication environments where free views are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. Energy area B108 is considered to be able to cause a risk of negative impact primarily on Ratan, Stora Fjäderägg and Holmöns village. These are covered by values such as a composite coastal and archipelago environment, seasonal fishing villages, ancient and medieval coastal environment, archipelago village and agricultural landscape. Expressions of national interest include, among other things, buildings linked to port operations, remnants of war, labyrinths, plots of land, lighthouses, and an unobstructed view of the sea out from Rataskär. In addition to the national interest claims being within the bounds of dominance/competition to B108, the energy area may affect communication environments where free outlooks are an essential expression. It may also affect the fishing village and coastal and archipelago environment where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. B135 is considered to be able to cause a risk of negative impact primarily on Stora Fjäderägg. The cultural environment includes seasonal fishing villages as well as ancient and medieval coastal environment. Expressions of national interest are covered by plots of land, a lighthouse, labyrinths and buildings linked to fishing activities. In addition to the national interest claims being within the bounds of dominance/competition to B135, the energy area may affect communication environments where free outlooks are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages and coastal and archipelago environments where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. Southern Bothnian Sea In the Southern Bothnian Sea, B142 is considered to be able to cause a risk of negative impact primarily on the cultural environments Agö, Drakö, Kråkö and Innerstön, Kuggörens, Bålsö and Prästgrundets fishing village. The environments are covered by the coastal and archipelago environment, which through land uplift has different port locations from several centuries as well as representative 17th, 18th and 19th century fishing harbor. Expressions of national interest include medieval archaeological environment, harbours, fishing communities, settlements, cemeteries and chapels. It also includes the maze in Bålsö, Prästgrundets, Kuggörens fishing village, as well as burial fields with cairns and stone settings in the latter two. In addition to the fact that these environments are within the bounds of dominance/competition to B142, the energy field may affect the archaeological environment where free views are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages and coastal and archipelago environments where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. B152 is considered to be capable of causing a risk of negative impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation in Norrlandet, Bönan and Utvalsnäs and Hållen and - 118 - Fågelsundet. The national interest claims are described as recreational environments with parkland and large summer villas from the late 19th century, archaeological environment, fishing harbours, farmland and village environments with a cluster character. Expressions of national interest lie, among other things, in the fishing harbours, villas, viking burial fields, cultivation sites, as well as medieval sites. In addition to these environments being within the boundary of dominance/competition to B152, the energy area may affect the communication environment and recreation environment where free views are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages and coastal and archipelago environments where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. B156 is considered to be capable of causing a risk of negative impact primarily on the national interest claim for cultural heritage conservation Hållen and Fågelsundet. The national interest claim environment is described as a farmed landscape, village environment with cluster character, fishing harbour and archaeological environment. Expressions of national interest are linked viking age burial fields, cultivation and medieval sites. In addition to the national interest being within the bounds of dominance/competition to B156, the energy area may affect the communication environment and recreational environment where free views are an essential expression. It may also affect the fishing village and coastal and archipelago environment where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. Direct impact The marine spatial plan area of the Gulf of Bothnia contains a number of registered marine archaeological sites in both the proposed energy areas and those included in the zero alternative. Figure 34 shows recorded marine archaeological sites within and outside energy areas. - 119 - Figure 34. Risk of impact on marine archaeological sites. - 120 - Energy area B159 has the most registered marine archaeological sites in the area with five. B160 and B164 have four, B161 has three, B152 and B156 have two and B108, B142 and B149 have one each. B111, B113 and B135 have no recorded marine archaeological sites in the area. Table 15 provides an overview of the number of marine archaeological sites for individual proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Note that the compilation only refers to the sites that are registered in the Swedish National Heritage Board's Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.y.). Since knowledge of the existence of marine archaeological sites in Swedish waters is not complete, the establishment of offshore wind power should be preceded by marine archaeological investigations where there may be marine archaeological sites (County Administrative Boards, 2024). Table 15. Number of recorded marine archaeological sites per energy area in the Gulf of Bothnia. Source: The Swedish National Heritage Board's Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.y.). Energy area Number of marine archaeological sites B108 1 B111 0 B113 0 B135 0 B142 1 B149 1 B152 2 B156 2 B159 5 B160 4 B161 3 B164 4 Indirect and direct impact – Regional value areas In the Gulf of Bothnia's marine spatial plan area, there are two energy areas that are expected to have a large negative effect on marine regional value areas: B108 and B142. These areas are wholly or partly within the territorial sea boundary and are therefore relatively close to the coast. Three energy areas are considered to have a medium negative impact on value areas: B111, B152 and B156. Two energy areas are considered to have little negative impact on value areas: B135 and B164, while three energy areas are estimated to have marginal negative effects on value areas: B113, B149 and B159. B160 and B161 are not considered to have any negative effect on value areas. Figure 35 below shows the estimated negative impact of each energy area on marine cultural heritage values based on the County Administrative Board’s identification of regional value areas. - 121 - Figure 35. Indirect and direct negative impact on regional cultural heritage value areas. - 122 - Gulf of Bothnia B111 is considered to be able to cause a risk of negative impact on the value areas Malören, Sandskär, Haparanda archipelago and Likskär and Renskär. All areas are sensitive to the establishment of tall facilities and other visually dominant features. Wreck sites that are sensitive to possible cabling are registered in close proximity to all value areas. Several value areas have expressed consideration needs that overlap with the energy area in the form of free lines of sight and outlooks (County Administrative Boards, 2024). B108 is considered to pose a risk of impact on cultural environments within the Ratan value area. In the value area, the view from Rataskär's lighthouse, beacon and pilotage house towards the open sea is particularly sensitive to tall and large facilities. In the area there are a few registered wreck sites that require consideration when cabling. Furthermore, the expansion of wind power within B108 is expected to entail a risk of impact on the value areas Holmön-Stora Fjäderägg and Ängesön. Free views towards the open sea are important for the understanding of cultural environments in both areas of value. Registered wreck sites can be found in areas around both Stora Fjäderägg and Ängesön (Länsstyrelserna, 2024). Southern Bothnian Sea In the Southern Bothnian Sea there are a number of value areas that, to varying degrees, risk being affected by the establishment of wind power in areas B142, B152 and B156. B142 risks having a negative effect on cultural environments in the value areas Agö-Kråköarkipelagen, Bålsö-Kuggörarna and Skärså-Prästgrundet. For the value area Bålsö-Kuggörarna there are visual connections to the open sea. Wreckage sites are registered in and close to both value areas, which are at risk of being affected by cabling. Furthermore, B142 risks having a negative impact on the Skärså-Prästgrundet value area. The area is sensitive to the establishment of facilities that interfere with the experience of the fishing village. A few marine archaeological sites are registered in the waters off Prästgrundet (Länsstyrelserna, 2024). B152 together with B156 has the risk of having a negative effect on cultural environments in the value areas Fågelsundet and Björns lighthouse, Kniven and Sikhjälma. Fågelsundet and Björn's lighthouse risk being visually affected, especially northeast from Fågelsundet and from Björn's lighthouse towards the open horizon. Kniven and Sikhjälma include both historical fishing villages, where the connection between the fishing village and the open sea is of great importance. Since relatively few marine archaeological sites are registered in these areas, they are not considered to be sensitive to cabling. B152 also risks affecting the Iggö-Iggöhällan shipwreck area. The shipwreck area has a dense presence of wrecks that make it sensitive to cabling and other installations on the seabed. Iggöhällen is sensitive to tall facilities to the east. The value area also includes the cultural environment type farmed landscape, which is unique within the marine spatial planning area. B152 also risks having a negative impact on cultural environments in the value area Norrlandet-Utvalsnäs-Lövgrund-Limön. The value area includes two types of cultural environment that are rare in the marine spatial planning area, namely summer entertainment environment and holiday home environment that may to some extent be sensitive to wind power exploitation. Finally, the B152 is also close to Skutskär, which has industrial environments and port facilities. However, the area is considered to be less sensitive to the establishment of taller objects due to its industrial character. In the value area, there are relatively few known shipwrecks and thus not sensitive to cabling (County Administrative Boards, 2024). - 123 - In addition to the impact on the former value areas in the previous paragraph, the B156 also risks visually affecting Örskär's lighthouse site to the north. The area has links to shipping as well as an open and barren archipelago landscape that allows for long lines of sight towards the horizon, making the area sensitive to facilities that interfere with that experience. Consideration is given to maintaining clear lines of sight northwards. Relatively few marine archaeological sites around Örskär and cabling is considered possible. Finally, B156 is close to the value area Norrboda- Söderboda. The area includes fishing villages and archipelago farming, where sight lines northeast from Gräsö's eastern side are to be protected. In the archipelago there are marine archaeological sites, which makes the area unsuitable for laying cables without careful mapping of the marine archaeological conditions (County Administrative Boards, 2024). Other impacts on cultural environment Energy areas in the Southern Bothnian Sea can cause negative effects on landscape protection areas off the northern coast of Uppland, see previous chapter 3.3.3. The Haparanda Archipelago National Park is located about 10 kilometres from energy area B111. The national park includes cultural-historical values to be protected, not least the buildings within the park. Cumulative and transboundary effects In the Gulf of Bothnia, Sweden's and Finland's offshore energy areas can influence each other's cultural environments. Despite the fact that all projects in Finland's exclusive economic zone have been rejected pending new legislation (Ministry of Economic Affairs and Employment, 2024), there may in the future be an offshore wind power area outside Ijo-Simo in the Gulf of Bothnia along Finland's marine spatial plan 2030 (Finnish marine spatial plan, 2021), which may have an indirect impact on the value area Haparanda archipelago (20 kilometres away) and the value area and the national interest Sandskär (26 kilometres away). Further south in the North Kvarken there is Kvarken's northern offshore wind power area which can have a negative effect mainly on the national interest claim Stora Fjäderägg and the value areas Holmön-Stora Fjäderägg (28 kilometers away) and Ängesön (23 kilometers away). For the impact of Swedish energy areas on the Finnish cultural environment, B111 may risk indirectly affecting cultural environments in Finland, in particular the Bothnian Bay National Park and cultural environments in Kemi (25 kilometres away). The B135 risks having a visual impact on the UNESCO World Heritage site Kvarken Archipelago in Finland (22 kilometres away). The cumulative effects of energy areas on the cultural environment of the Gulf of Bothnia vary, but are mainly concentrated in the Southern Bothnian Sea. However, the B111 in the Bothnian Bay can provide indirect cumulative effects for twelve national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation to a varied extent at a distance of up to 70 kilometers. It is also expected to have negative cumulative effects on 12 marine value areas. Further south, the cumulative effects from B108 are expected to affect up to six national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and five marine value areas. In the Southern Bothnian Sea, the cumulative effects are expected to be large from B142, as it can have an indirect negative impact on up to 15 national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and twelve marine value areas. The large cumulative impact is expected due to B142's number of affected cultural environments and its relative proximity. Furthermore, indirect cumulative impacts from B152 and B156 are expected to be large. B152 and B156 may have indirect effects for up to 14 and 15 national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and up to 15 and 16 marine value areas respectively. - 124 - For cumulative effects on specific cultural environments, Ratan, Stora Fjäderägg and Holmöarna are expected to have greater negative cumulative consequences when establishing wind power in B108 and B135, based on its proximity. The cumulative effects, based on how many energy areas can have an indirect impact on cultural environments in the Bothnian Bay, are not expected to be as large when establishing wind power in B111 and B113. Many cultural environments along the Gulf of Gävle are expected to have greater cumulative effects when establishing most energy areas. B142 combined with B164 can be perceived as a larger contiguous area that covers a long stretch of coastline, which can have a negative indirect impact on cultural environments at Hornslandet, Agö and Skärså-Prästgrundet. B152 and B156 together give rise to indirect cumulative effects for a large number of cultural environments along the coasts of Gävle and Uppland, especially at Fågelsundet, Örskär and Norrlandet. Below is table 16 showing the total sum of cumulative impacts from each energy area in the Gulf of Bothnia. The highest cumulative impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation is B142 and B152 has the highest cumulative impact on marine value areas. Table 16. Shows cumulative effects in the Gulf of Bothnia from energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment conservation and marine value areas, based on the number of cultural environments affected, as well as its proximity. The higher the cumulative impact. The method is described in Chapter 8. Cumulative impact on national interest Cumulative impact on marine value areas Energy area claims for cultural heritage conservation B108 50,5 30 B111 76 71 B113 24,5 27 B135 32,5 27,5 B142 128,5 45 B149 10 19 B152 67,5 75,5 B156 60,5 63 B159 8 7,5 B160 0 1 B161 0 3 B164 47,5 27 - 125 - Effects on the management of water, soil and the physical environment in general Energy extraction Offshore wind power has relatively good conditions in the marine spatial planning area of the Gulf of Bothnia. Wind conditions in the area are generally good, although slightly lower than the other plan areas. The plan area has an elongated coastline with relatively shallow water areas, and relatively lower levels of interest conflicts, compared to other marine spatial plan areas. However, conflicts of interest also exist to varying degrees within the planning area, such as defence and nature values. A wind power project in the Southern Bothnian Sea (part of B146) has been granted a permit, but no installations have yet been built. Characteristic of the plan area is the ice formation in winter. Maritime authorities have raised the risk that offshore wind power can affect ice formation, which can make it more difficult for both shipping and icebreaking. During normal winters, the entire Bothnian Bay and large parts of the Bothnian Sea, including the Northern Quark, freeze. A particular challenge for the plan area is thus uncertainties regarding coexistence for energy production and winter navigation, based on the spatial flexibility considered necessary for accessibility and icebreaking (Ringsberg et al., 2024), see section 2.4.5 prerequisites and assessment Maritime transport. The plan's guidance on energy extraction is based on the adopted marine spatial plan, national interest claims for wind power, planning documents Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial plans (Energy Agency 2023a), which is handled as a public interest of substantial importance. The adopted marine spatial plan, national interest claims for wind power and municipal comprehensive plans have also been taken into account. The draft marine spatial plan includes 13 areas for energy extraction. Areas for energy production cover a total area of approximately 6,600 km2, approximately 17 per cent of the plan area and are estimated to generate an annual electricity production of approximately 130 TWh, based on assumptions of 5 MW/ km2 and 4000 full load hours per year, see plan document part 6.1 for further description (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). The target for all marine spatial plans corresponds to a total of 120 TWh in annual production, which means that not all identified energy areas are assumed to be fully realized in the plan area. Figure 36 below shows all energy areas in the marine spatial plan, as well as areas in the initial planning document, Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas, presented in 2023 (Energy Agency 2023a). The map in the figure also shows a grading of the conditions for energy extraction for each energy area based on wind and depth conditions. Note that the classification does not include other factors such as distance to the connection point or other conditions. - 126 - Figure 36. Map of energy areas in the plan proposal, zero alternatives, and initially identified suitable energy areas for energy extraction (Energimyndigheten.2023a), as well as conditions for energy extraction based on wind and depth conditions. - 127 - Area-specific assessments, nature and conditions for energy extraction All energy areas in the marine spatial plan The Gulf of Bothnia are included in the documentation on suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial plans presented in 2023 (Energy Agency, 2023a). The assessment of the respective energy areas and their conditions for energy extraction has been limited to the assessment of their nature in terms of wind and depth conditions. In a weight-of-evidence assessment, values for wind and depth are added to a total value on a four- point assessment scale. For more information see Chapter 8. Method. Table 17. Grouping, for wind speed and depth indicators. Group/points Wind speed, medium Depth, medium 1 Less than 8,5 m/s Depths exceeding -70 m 2 Between 8,5 and 9 m/s Between -40 and -70 m 3 Greater than 9 m/s Founder than -40 m The marine spatial plan consists of three sea basins and the assessment of energy areas is presented from north to south, see also Table 18 below. Gulf of Bothnia The plan provides guidance on four areas for energy extraction. - In the far north are the two medium-sized areas B111 and B113, with wind conditions between 8.5 and 9 m/s and where B111 is estimated to have a depth between 40 and 70 meters, respectively B113 deeper than 70 meters. - The energy area B111 is located partly in the territorial sea of the municipality of Kalix, partly in the exclusive economic zone. Establishment of wind power is assumed to consist of a mix of bottom-fixed and floating foundations. For the area, special needs for space and flexibility for winter navigation, icebreaking and ship traffic to Swedish and Finnish ports have been noted (Ringsberg et al., 2024). Area B113 is located in the outer sea area, partly in the territorial sea but mostly in the exclusive economic zone. For the area, wind farm with floating foundations is assumed. - To the south of the sea area is the area B108, which is located in the territorial sea and Robertsfors municipality. Areas have been expanded compared to the adopted marine spatial plan (Government, 2022a), but are smaller than the area identified as a public interest of substantial importance (Energy Agency 2023a). The area is located relatively shallow and is assumed to consist of a wind farm with bottom-fixed foundations. - At the level of B108, further out at sea and into the economic zone, is area B135 located. The area is considered to have good wind conditions and depth conditions with depths from 40 to 70 meters. Establishment of wind power is assumed to consist of a mix of bottom-fixed and floating foundations. Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken In the sea area North Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken, the energy area B161 is located in an exclusive economic zone. Wind conditions are considered to be very good and the depth rangefrom 40 to 70 meters. Wind farms are assumed to consist of a mix of foundation types. Area B161 is located next to energy areas B160 and B159 in the South Bothnian Sea. - 128 - Southern Bothnian Sea The plan provides guidance on eight energy extraction areas. The areas are relatively concentrated. They are considered to have relatively favourable conditions regarding wind and depth conditions. The relative coastal areas are estimated to have slightly lower wind conditions, compared to areas further out from the coast. All areas are estimated to be at depths between 40 to 70 meters. - In the central Bothnian Sea, areas B159, B160 are adjacent to the EEZ, and adjacent to area B161. Wind farms are assumed to consist of a mix of foundation types. - The relative coastal areas (B142, B152, B156) are wholly or partly located within the territorial sea and municipal plan areas. The municipalities concerned are Hudiksvall, Söderhamn, Gävle, Älvkarleby, Tierp and Östhammar. - For the area Storgrundet B146 there is a licensed project for the establishment of wind power and national interest claims for wind power. The area is also listed as an energy extraction area in the previously adopted marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia 2022 (Regeringen, 2022a). The area is also specified in the plan as an investigation area regarding coexistence with shipping. - In the marine area, two major energy areas are located, B159 and B164, corresponding to approximately 1,000 and 1,500 square kilometres, respectively. The concentration of areas in the Southern Bothnian Sea may entail the possibility of synergies in terms of infrastructure and maintenance, but also the risk of an overall large cumulative impact in terms of other interests in the area, wind farms among themselves, and capacity for connection point to the transmission network. With regard to conflicts of interest, see the overall assessment, as well as the respective assessment aspects and the need for adjustments when establishing a wind farm. In the Southern Bothnian Sea there are three investigation areas for energy extraction (B149, B152, B156). The distribution areas relate to the investigation of uncertainties regarding the potential impact of the areas on migratory birds. The plan also includes particular consideration for the interests of defence in all areas, as well as particular consideration for high nature and/or cultural environmental values for a number of areas. In the Southern Bothnian Sea, the plan specifies the use of electricity transmission, which applies to transmission grid cables between Sweden and Finland. - 129 - Table 18. Plan proposal Gulf of Bothnia. Overview of guidance on energy extraction, location and conditions. Of which Gulf of Area km2 in Estimated Bothnia territorial electricity Adoption; wind, Depth Permits/ Sea area; Design Km2 sea ~22 Municipality production, Typ Group Group Zero- North to ation km (12 TWh* Option South NM) Gulf of Kalix Bottom- B111 570 280 11,4 2 2 Bothnia Efkn fixed Gulf of B113 Efk 480 3 Luleå 9,6 Mix 2 1 Bothnia Gulf of Robertsfors Bottom- 3 B108 150 150 3,0 1 Bothnia Efkn fixed Gulf of B135 Efk 290 9 Umeå 5,7 Mix 2 2 Bothnia Northern Bothnian Sea B161 EF 440 0 8,8 Mix and North 3 2 Kvarken Southern Bottom- 3 2 B159 1040 0 20,7 Bothnian Sea EF fixed Southern B160 690 0 13,8 Mix Bothnian Sea EF 3 2 Southern B164 1480 0 29,7 Mix Bothnian Sea Efk 2 2 Southern Hudiksvall Bottom- B142 165 165 3,3 1 2 Bothnian Sea Efkn fixed Southern E(utr) Bottom- B149 550 0 11,0 3 2 Bothnian Sea fn fixed Southern B146 Gävle, Bottom- - - 190 190 3,8 Bothnian Sea (Permits) Efkn Söderhamn fixed Southern E(utr) Gävle, Bottom- 1 2 B152 180 185 3,7 Bothnian Sea fkn Älvkarlaby fixed Tierp, 2 2 Southern Älvkarleby Bottom- B156 E(utr)f 360 190 Östhammar 7,3 Bothnian Sea fixed kn Total, 130 approximatel 6 600 1 170 y * Assumption according to marine spatial plan, 5MW/km2, 4000 full load hours. Overall description The marine spatial plan generally has medium-quality conditions for energy extraction and wind power establishment. Conditions regarding wind are medium, but the areas are located in relatively shallow areas. A number of areas further out from the coast are considered to have very good conditions with regard to wind conditions. The coastal areas generally have slightly lower wind conditions. However, coastal areas are considered to be favourable in terms of distance to the connection point and transmission network. The areas of size also have an impact on suitability and investment conditions. The energy areas vary in size, from around 150 km2 to 1 500 km2, with an average size of around 500 km2, which is larger compared to other plan areas. The areas, B159 and B164, each cover an area of more than 1 000 km2. - 130 - Depth conditions are important for the feasibility of wind power projects in terms of investment costs and technology choices. At depths down to about 70 meters, construction is assumed primarily with bottom-fixed foundations. At greater depths, mainly floating foundationsare assumed. Bottom-fixed foundations can also be assumed to be relatively more likely to be realised in the near future, compared to floating foundations, based on the degree of establishment of the technology and the cost of establishment (Energy Authority, 2023a). The variety of areas and a relatively high proportion of areas with average depths between 40 and 70 metres mean that the plan can be assessed as relatively favourable for energy establishment from both a short and a long perspective. Figure 37 below shows the surface distribution of the areas in terms of depth and foundation depth. Depths vary within and between energy areas but about 90 percent are located at an average depth of 40 to 70 meters. Half of these surfaces are assumed to be built with a mix of foundations, suggesting that depth varies within these areas. A smaller proportion, about 5 percent are located at the average depth shallower than 40 meters, remaining just over 5 percent are located at depths greater than 70 meters. Approximately half of the plan’s energy extraction areas, approximately 3 200 km2, are assumed to be suitable for wind farms with bottom-fixed foundations. The remaining areas are expected to have a mix of bottom- fixed and floating foundations. Figure 37. Distribution of areas for energy extraction (km2), average depth and foundation type. The distance of the areas to the connection point for electricity distribution is also important in terms of investment costs. Where actual connection points may actually take place depends on a number of factors and involves relatively large uncertainties. The distance to the connection point depends, for example, on the location of the available connection point to the transmission network, the depth conditions, as well as on the choice of technology and on the design and possible location of storage and energy carriers, see also method section. Assessment of distance is not included in the criteria assessment but is shown to some extent taking into - 131 - account whether the energy area is located within the territorial sea or not. If areas are located in the territorial sea is also relevant due to overlap with municipal planning, which can affect decision-making and permit processes. In the area of the territorial sea where national, regional and municipal plans overlap, all plans apply. More than 80 per cent of the area of energy areas is located in an economic zone, see Figure 38 below. Figure 38. Distribution of energy extraction areas (km2), territorial sea and exclusive economic zone. Marine spatial plan, zero alternatives and guidance on energy extraction Potential electricity production is estimated on the basis of surfaces for energy extraction to be approximately 6,600 km2 corresponding to approximately 130 TWh, based on assumptions of 5 MW/km2 and 4,000 full load hours. The corresponding area for energy extraction in the baseline scenario (permitted) is approximately 190 km2. A number of areas of national interest and public interest of substantial importance for wind farms have been considered incompatible with other uses. The original planning documents of substantial public interest identified 18 areas suitable for offshore wind power in the Gulf of Bothnia, with a total area of approximately 9,100 km2. During the planning process, these areas have been adjusted and some have been excluded taking into account other interests such as commercial fishing, defence, recreation, cultural environment and shipping. Total areas for energy extraction in the draft marine spatial plan, zero alternatives, public interest of substantial importance, national interest claims, and adopted marine spatial plan, see Table 19 below. - 132 - Table 19. Estimated area for energy extraction in plan proposals, zero alternatives, public interest of substantial importance, national interest claims and adopted marine spatial plan (Government, 2022). Gulf of Bothnia, approximate area Indicative basis for energy extraction (km2) Plan proposal 6580 Zero alternatives (Permitted parks) 190 Public interest of substantial importance, Swedish Energy Agency 9 080 (2023b) - Of which surface in planes; 6 030 National interest claims 1 340 - Of which surface in level, approx. km2 510 Plan adopted 1 520 The plan’s guidance on energy extraction, including consideration guidance, is considered to contribute to the achievement of objectives for offshore wind energy. The plan is also expected to contribute positively to increased predictability for the activities concerned, as well as as a knowledge base for permit processes, regional and municipal planning. The areas that were initially identified as suitable for energy extraction (the Swedish Energy Agency, 2023a) and which during the planning process were assessed as not being the most suitable use, mean that the total area for energy extraction has decreased, which can be assumed to potentially affect activities in offshore wind power and affect other sectors in plan areas negatively. Realisation, projects and bidding zones A prerequisite for realising the marine spatial plan's energy areas is investment interest in the construction and operation of wind farms. In principle, all energy areas in the plan area are undergoing permit processes for the establishment of wind power. Assumptions about potential electricity production and distribution between Sweden's bidding zones can be made based on projectors applications and specified connection areas. According to project information and investment data from the County Administrative Boards' interactive map service Vindbrukskollen (Länsstyrelserna u.y.), approximately 80 percent of the potential electricity production in the plan area is expected to be connected to bidding zone 2, see Figure 39 below. For more detailed information on electricity consumption and related to bidding zones and users, see Section 2.4.1. Energy. - 133 - Figure 39. Assumptions on connection bidding zones. Indirect impact - energy Guidance on energy extraction in the marine spatial plan may involve indirect land claims for cabling and other electricity transmission infrastructure and/or various forms of energy storage, such as hydrogen. In turn, this may entail additional land and water claims and also potential indirect environmental impacts and additional risk management on shore and land, see section 2.4.1. Energy. The extent of land claims on coast and land, and where these land claims will take place, depends, among other things, on the type of technology and wind turbines, as well as connection points or storage forms for each wind farm. Achievement of objectives, national and municipal interests - energy The plan proposal for the Gulf of Bothnia contributes to the achievement of the objectives of the Government's current assignment to amend marine spatial plans for offshore wind power and national energy policy objectives, as well as national targets on climate and fossil-free electricity supply. It is also expected to contribute to the transformation of the industrial and transport sectors and to strengthening the conditions for employment at local and regional level, see Section 2.4.1. Energy. With regard to essential functions and activities, according to national classification (MSB, 2021), the plan proposal is expected to contribute to the conditions for ensuring electricity supply in the country. However, there are some questions regarding the relatively large proportion of energy areas located outside the territorial boundary, in the Swedish exclusive economic zone, regarding potential risk and impact on the essential functions such as maintaining or ensuring, for example, control and monitoring, and maintenance and fault repair of infrastructure. - 134 - For territorial sea areas, the national marine spatial plan overlaps with regional and municipal plans. The plan's guidance on energy areas overlaps with municipal plans for the municipalities of Kalix, Robertsfors, Hudiksvall, Söderhamn, Gävle, Älvkarleby, Tierp and Östhammar. Cumulative and transboundary effects Cumulative effects on areas for energy extraction can mean impacts between the areas, both positive and negative. When establishing several areas nearby, there may be synergies in terms of infrastructure and maintenance. Negative cumulative impacts can occur based on limitations and scope of nearby wind farms, limitations in connection capacity, increased levels of conflicts of interest and possible impact on wind conditions between the farms. This may be relevant both nationally and in relation to the establishment of wind farms in neighbouring countries. The plan’s guidance on energy extraction may also have an impact and have an impact on neighbouring countries, similar to those identified at national level, mainly in Finland. This applies cumulatively as individual impacts, such as impacts on shipping, especially with regard to winter navigation, as well as nature values such as migratory birds and migratory routes between countries. See the respective assessment for more information. Recreation The Gulf of Bothnia has a varied coastal landscape with high outdoor and nature values and great potential for the development of the tourism industry in both summer and winter. The Bothnian Bay archipelago with tour boat traffic and ice roads, the Haparanda Archipelago National Park and the High Coast World Heritage Site are significant attractions. Hornslandet and Gräsö archipelago are also popular areas for recreation. In the Gulf of Bothnia's marine spatial plan area, there are two energy areas that are considered to entail a risk of large negative effects on recreation: B108 and B142. These areas are completely within the territorial boundary and are therefore relatively close to the coast. In additional energy areas, the risk of negative effects on recreationis considered to be medium: B111 and B156. Two energy areas are considered to give rise to a risk of a small negative effect: B113 and B164. Two energy areas are considered to entail a risk of marginal effects on recreation: B135 and B152. Four areas are not considered to have any effect on recreation values: B149, B159, B160 and B161. In area B146, there are permits, and the area is included in the zero alternative, therefore it is not subject to an impact assessment. Figure 40 below shows the estimated negative impact of the respective energy area. - 135 - Figure 40. Potential negative effect on recreation of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 136 - Area-specific assessments Gulf of Bothnia In the Gulf of Bothnia, B111 is considered to have a potential negative effect on national interest claims for recreation and national interest for mobile recreation. Norrbotten's coast and archipelago together with Haparanda Archipelago National Park north of the energy area have great values for recreation and outdoor activities in the area include nature and cultural experiences, swimming, canoeing, paragliding, recreational fishing and dog sledding. Values for the experiences include low noise levels and attractive landscapes and further out in the coastline there are values of stillness, silence and untouchedness. The B111 is located about 9.5 kilometres from the Haparanda Archipelago National Park and Malören, which are particularly designated as important areas for recreation in the outer archipelago. The distribution of B111 means that parts of the area of national interest and the values of untouchedness, stillness and landscape can be negatively affected. Cumulative impact on the experience values from wind power installations should be taken into account. The national interest claims for recreation Holmöarna islandsand Lövånger Coast include activities such as boating, recreational fishing, bird watching, canoeing, skiing, ice skating and hiking. Both areas have experience values such as stillness, silence, low noise and attractive landscapes that may be affected by the establishment of wind power. B108 is located about 10.5 kilometers south and 9.5 kilometers north of the Lövånger coast and Holmöarna islands, respectively. The energy area is considered to have a potential negative effect on national interest claims for outdoor activities, as the proposed energy area is near the coast. For this area together with B135 cumulative impacts need to be considered. In addition to the removal of B107 and B139 as energy areas in marine spatial plans proposal, B108 has been adjusted in southern and northern parts of its extent. Southern Bothnian Sea In the Southern Bothnian Sea, B142 is expected to have a negative effect on national interest claims for recreation Hudiksvall coast with Hornslandet located about 5.5 kilometers from B142. In the area of national interest there are opportunities for various activities on land, including snowshoeing, bird watching and cave visits, where the area of national interest also includes the archipelago. Values that can be affected by the establishment of wind power are untouchedness, stillness, silence, low noise and attractive landscape. The value description shows that the Hudiksvall coast with Hornslandet is considered one of the most beautiful coastal sections in Gävleborg County and at the same time one of the most valuable areas for outdoor activities and recreation. The report Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial plans (Energy Agency, 2023a) also notes that the area is relatively untouched and unexploited and has a varied range of outdoor activities in a culturally, geologically and biologically interesting environment. Exploitation and various types of installations (e.g. industrial installations) and noise-generating activities (e.g. wind turbines) risk damaging these values. The area of national interest is part of a preparatory phase for the establishment of a new national park. Further south west of B156 there are national interest claims for recreation Nedre Dalälven and Billudden with activities such as hiking, recreational fishing and running. The value description states that the landscape is important and in the northern sub-area the view of the sea is important. When exploiting or otherwise interfering with the environment, tourism and recreation, in particular the interests of mobile recreation, shall be taken into account. The southern part of - 137 - the B156 overlaps with the landscape protection area Öregrund and Östhammar. South of the energy area there are national interest claims Öregrund-Gräsö archipelago with activities such as ice skating, recreational fishing and boating. According to previous assessments, developments within or in the immediate area in the form of infrastructure facilities and facilities could lead primarily to the archipelago being exposed to sound or light pollution, changed landscapes or other effects that could have negatively affected the perception of the national interest claim and thereby damage its values. Öregrund-Gräsö archipelago is covered by the values of untouchedness, stillness, silence, low noise and attractive landscape image. Accessibility Despite no direct overlap with energy areas and national interests for recreation in the Gulf of Bothnia, the activities and experiences described as parts of the values can be affected, especially the more sea-based, such as boating, recreational fishing and canoeing. In summary, it is the more coastal energy areas that can affect accessibility and perceived accessibility, especially B108 and B142. Recreational shipping in the Gulf of Bothnia occurs mainly along the coastline, with most activity in the North Bothnian Sea and the North Kvarken and the Southern Bothnian Sea. Based on historical data on recreational boating activity, it is energy areas B152 and B156 that can affect recreational shipping in the Gulf of Bothnia (Emodnet, 2022). B152 has tendencies towards north- westerly – south-easterly routes that may affect accessibility and perceived accessibility in the maritime area. The activity of recreational shipping can be viewed in a general way using information from automatic identification systems (AIS data). Not all recreational craft use AIS, which means that the actual prevalence of recreational craft is more extensive. See Figure 41 and Fel! Hittar inte referenskälla. for recreational boating in the Gulf of Bothnia. - 138 - Figure 41. Prevalence of recreational boating activity in proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022 (Emodnet, 2022). - 139 - Table 20. Prevalence of recreational boating activity in proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022. The data is based on activity from at least one leisure boat in the energy field (Emodnet, 2022). Energy area Recreational boat activity average hours/month 2017 - 2022 B108 0,2 B111 0,1 B113 0,1 B135 0,2 B142 0,6 B149 0,5 B152 2,2 B156 1,1 B159 0,9 B160 0,4 B161 0,3 B164 1,7 Other impacts on recreation In the Gulf of Bothnia is the national park Haparanda archipelago with great values for recreation. The entire Norrbotten archipelago offers recreation unique experiences. Sandskär's nature and culture offer an attractive character, as well as good harbour and bathing places. Experiences within the national park may be affected by energy area B111, not least visually in view of its proximity of 10 kilometers. In the Southern Bothnian Sea there is a national interest for high- exploited coastline (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code) with direct overlap with the south-eastern part of energy area B156. The national interest Arkösund to Forsmark includes natural and cultural heritage values along the coastline and includes restrictions on industrial plants that are subject to the government's permit assessment under Chapter 17 of the Environmental Code. Within the area, the interests of recreation, primarily mobile recreation, must be taken into account when assessing the admissibility of development companies or other interventions in the environment. Cumulative and transboundary effects The cumulative effects of energy areas on recreation in the Gulf of Bothnia vary and are generally considered to be small. The effects are mainly visual and concentrate on certain areas. In the Bothnian Bay, the Norrbotten archipelago is expected to be affected cumulatively by B111 and B113, where the effects are expected to be greater at the construction of both areas. In North Kvarken, both B108 and B135 are expected to have cumulative effects on both the national interest claims Lövångerkusten and Holmöarna, where B108 has a greater impact based on its proximity to recreation areas. The Hudiksvall coastline with Hornslandet risks being affected cumulatively by the establishment of B142 and B164. For Nedre Dalälven and Billudden, together with the mobile recreation within Nedre Dalälven, it can be affected cumulatively by B152 together with B146, which is included in the zero alternative. B156 is expected to have cumulative - 140 - effects primarily on the risk interest claim for recreation Öregrunds-Gräsö archipelago and Nedre Dalälven and Billudden. For cumulative effects on specific national interests for recreationin the Gulf of Bothnia, the areas of Norrbotten coast and archipelago, Lövånger coast, Holmöarna islands and Hornslandet that could possibly have been affected by the establishment of energy areas are highlighted. To some extent, the national interest claims Nedre Dalälven and Billudden and Öregrund-Gräsö archipelago can also be affected by the establishment of wind power in B152 and B156. Although all Finnish projects in Finland’s exclusive economic zone have been rejected pending new legislation (Ministry of Economic Affairs and Employment, 2024), Finnish energy areas could potentially have some impact on recreation in Sweden, following their marine spatial plan 2030 (Marine spatial plan of Finland, 2021). The energy area outside Ijo-Simo in the northern Bothnian Bay can have visual effects on the Haparanda Archipelago National Park, as well as national interests in the Norrbotten Archipelago. Kvarken's northern offshore wind power area in North Kvarken is located 22.5 kilometers from the national interest claim Holmöarna Islands, which can have indirect effects on its values and experiences. Energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia are expected to have a primarily visual impact on recreation in Finland, not least the Bothnian Bay National Park and the Sea Lapland tourism and recreation area, which is about 24 kilometres from the B111. The B108 is located about 22 kilometers from the tourism and recreation area of the Kvarken Archipelago on the Finnish side, which can give some visual effects. Crossings for pleasure boats to and from Finland are generally assessed to be small throughout the marine spatial planning area, but with the highest concentration in North Kvarken to and from Finland. The energy areas on both sides are not expected to have any major consequences for recreational shipping to and from the countries. Tourism According to the coastal municipalities in the Gulf of Bothnia comprehensive plans, tourism is an industry that the municipalities invest in. The coast, the archipelago, the untouched nature and the open sea are seen as assets for the continued development of the tourism industry. Tourism is also seen as a potential way to attract more people to settle in the area (Region Västerbotten, u.y.). The conditions for the tourism industry are closely linked to qualities in the landscape, conditions for recreation and cultural environments with the indirect consequence that where there is a high risk of impact on these factors, there is also a risk of impact on the tourism industry. However, according to research, there are uncertainties about what the impact on the tourism industry might look like. One of the reasons is that people perceive wind power in different ways (LTU, 2023). Studies suggest that the majority do not allow elements of wind farms to influence the choice of destination. Some are attracted by wind turbines while others are discouraged, see Section 2.4.2 Recreation. Most of those who choose to refrain a destination because of visible wind turbines instead choose to visit a nearby destination. Furthermore, there is disagreement in research as to whether or not wind turbines have a negative impact on property prices (Bolin et al., 2021). There are studies that have been able to show reductions in prices of up to 15 percent. There are also studies that have not been able to find a statistically significant relationship between wind power establishment and property prices. A Danish study showed an impact linked to onshore wind power but not from offshore wind power (Jensen et al., 2018). - 141 - Southern Bothnian Sea The tourism industry is a growing industry according to the comprehensive plans for the area's coastal municipalities. In the Gulf of Bothnia there are 13 energy areas, eight of which are located in the Southern Bothnian Sea. About half of them are relatively coastal, while the other areas, which are larger in area, are further out to sea. In one area (B146) there is a licensed wind farm. The area is located about 14 kilometer from the coast, to the island of Storjungfrun it is about 3 kilometer. Areas B142, B152, B156 are located between 8 and 25 kilometer from the coast. The impact on the tourism industry could consist of a redistributive effect where visitors opt out of locations with visible wind turbines such as in the area around the southern parts of the Southern Bothnian Sea and instead choose to locate their stay in another part of the Gulf of Bothnia or the Baltic Sea. Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken In the area around the High Coast, the tourism industry is important for the municipalities concerned (Översiktsplan Kramfors kommun, 2013; Översiktsplan Örnsköldsvik Municipality, 2012). The area is covered by Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code, which means that the interests of tourism and recreation must be taken into account in particular when assessing the admissibility of development companies or other interventions in the environment. See section 3.4.2 Recreation, for assessment outdoor activities. An energy area, B161 is located in the North Bothnian Sea. The area is located at a great distance from the coast and is not considered to have any impact on the landscape, recreation, cultural environment or shipping and should therefore not have any impact on the tourism industry. Gulf of Bothnia The tourism industry is an industry that the regions in the area see as important to strengthen (Swedish Lapland Visitors Board, 2024; Region Västerbotten Tourism, 2023). Activities linked to the tourism industry create jobs, especially for young people, women and people with a foreign background, groups that people are keen to choose to move to and stay in the region. In the Gulf of Bothnia there are four energy areas. Two of them are located in the southern parts, one of which, B108, is coastal and is located about 7 kilometers from the coast. There is a risk that there may be a redistribution effect at local level if visitors choose to spend their stay elsewhere because of the location of the wind turbines. The other two energy areas are higher up in the northern part of the Bothnian Bay. B111 is located about 10 kilometers from Sandskär and 35 kilometers from Haparanda. B113 is located about 30 kilometers from the coast. Where there is a negative impact on the landscape, recreation and cultural environment, there is also a risk of negative impact on the tourism industry. The area is home to the Norrbotten archipelago, which is covered by Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code. See section 3.4.2 for recreation assessment. Defence No assessment is made at marine spatial plan level for the interests of defence. See chapter 2.4.4 for general effects. Shipping Maritime traffic in the plan area is less intensive compared to other plan areas, but it is still frequent and of great importance. The traffic includes both routes to and from ports within the - 142 - plan area and between Sweden and Finland. Norrland's industries rely heavily on maritime transport to reach consumers both within Sweden and internationally. This results in extensive traffic to both Swedish and Finnish ports. Maritime transport plays a crucial role for regional industry. It strengthens its accessibility and competitiveness and enables it to reach consumers in Sweden and abroad on whom it depends. Maritime transport in the plan area, especially in the North Bothnian Sea and the North Kvarken, faces several challenges: • Navigation conditions - The level area has some limited manoeuvrability due to depth conditions and narrow passages within the level area. Through North Kvarken, shipping is conducted for safety reasons in a traffic separation system (TSS) because the passage is narrow and shallow. • Winter conditions - In the Bothnian Bay there are special conditions in winter with thick and extensive sea ice. This affects the conditions for shipping, which needs large areas and access to alternative shipping routes to ensure accessibility in the event of icing. • Icebreaking - For the Gulf of Bothnia plan area, there are particular challenges and uncertainties regarding winter navigation and icebreaking. Climate change is expected to bring milder winters, but may still mean more complex ice formation with severe ice conditions for icebreaking, for example through increased occurrence of ice embankments. Proposal for a marine spatial plan, energy extraction and shipping The plan proposal for the Gulf of Bothnia will provide guidance on 13 areas for energy production, corresponding to an area of approximately 6,600 km2, approximately 17 percent of the marine spatial plan area. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but these will be required for all areas using energy extraction. Safety distances shall be adapted to local conditions according to risk assessment (Swedish Maritime Administration, Swedish Transport Agency, 2023). In the northern part of the plan area, the Bothnian Bay, two energy areas are guided, B111 and B113. These areas are potentially likely to affect winter navigation, limiting the flexibility and need for alternative routes needed by winter navigation and icebreaking. In a study conducted by Chalmers, the risk of impact on winter navigation has been analyzed. The result shows that the energy area B111 has a risk of relatively large impact while B113 has a risk of more limited impact. During ice winters, icebreaking is carried out and often other areas are used than the established fairways used during summer time, such as B111, B113, B135 (Ringsberg et al., 2024). Over North Kvarken, between Umeå and Vaasa in Finland, European route 12 runs via ferry line and has shipping use in the plan. Umeå municipality's comprehensive plan points out a reserve for the future fixed connection between Umeå and Vaasa. The Finnish marine spatial plan identifies this route and Finland intends to investigate a functional connection. Slightly further south, the energy areas B108 and B135 are located. All energy areas in the northern plan area are located between ship routes and with maritime traffic to and from ports in Finland, Haparanda and Luleå, Skellefteå, Umeå. A larger spatial share of the marine spatial plan's proposed energy areas, approximately 4,660 km2, is distributed over eight energy areas in the Southern Bothnian Sea. There are several fairways in the area, which means that all energy areas are adjacent to a fairway of varying extent. A number of areas are located in clusters, which can have a multidimensional impact on - 143 - maritime routes, i.e. wind farms on more sides of the fairway, this applies to areas B159, B160 and B164. In the Southern Bothnian Sea, guidance is given on energy areas B149, B164 where the current fairway is located and classified as a national interest. The fairway runs for northbound traffic from South Kvarken, around eastern Finngrunden and up to Sundsvall harbour. The plan's guidance remains from the decided plan and means that shipping must instead take the turn at eastern Finngrunden and follow a northbound route and then turn off towards Sundsvall's port in the northwest. The effect on shipping will be a longer mileage. The extended itinerary is estimated to be around 15 kilometers. Traffic intensity in the fairway is estimated to be less extensive, but may nevertheless affect shipping in the area and activities at local level. The main maritime traffic is freight vessels, tankers and fishing vessels (EMODnet, 2022). Guidance on energy areas B164 and B149 and extended distance can affect accessibility and also mean indirect environmental impact and increased emissions. Figure 42 below shows the potential effect of each energy sector on shipping in the Gulf of Bothnia. - 144 - Figure 42. Relative potential negative effect of energy areas on shipping in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 145 - Indirect impact A potential indirect impact may be an increased risk of allision, i.e. collision between ships and wind turbines. Allision can have environmental effects such as oil spills, etc. Other potential indirect impacts from guidance in areas of energy concern general accessibility for rescue and remediation work in maritime accidents at sea. For more information, see section 2.4.4 Defence and the Swedish Maritime Administration’s and the Swedish Transport Agency’s knowledge base on offshore wind power (Ahlström 2023, and the Swedish Maritime Administration and the Swedish Transport Agency 2023). Further information on spatial analyses of shipping in the area can be found in the Lighthouse report Maritime interest in sea space in light of an increased expansion of wind power (Hjerpe Olausson, J. et al.,2024). Assessment Marine Spatial Plan The plan's guidance on energy areas is considered to constitute a potential impact on shipping, primarily with regard to energy areas B149 and B164, which are located in existing national interest claims for shipping. The plan's guidance with several energy areas in the southern Bothnian Sea also risks having a potential cumulative effect on shipping. If several nearby energy areas are realized, this may mean that areas adjoin fairways sideways in several directions, such as the B159 and B160. Possible indirect effects and environmental effects are increased accident risk, taking into account the increased number of fixed installations at sea, the risk of collision during crowding, and the risk of impact on the availability and aggravation of rescue operations. The challenge for shipping in the entire plan area is also uncertainties regarding the impact on winter navigation. This may be particularly relevant for the northern plan areas and energy areas B111, B113 and B135, which risks limiting shipping and the flexibility of icebreaking activities for alternative shipping routes and icebreaking. In the marine spatial planning area there is uncertainty regarding the impact of wind power expansion on ice formation, which has consequences for both energy expansion and shipping. The use of shipping in the marine spatial plan is based on national interest claims for shipping that coincide in large parts with established shipping lanes and shipping routes, except in the South Bothnian Sea. It is estimated that the potential impact on shipping is medium. Assessment is made partly on the basis of the impact on national interest claims, energy areas B149 and B164, and taking into account uncertainties and potential impact of winter navigation especially areas in the northern planning area (B111, B113 and B135). Cumulative and transboundary effects Potential impact on Swedish and international shipping is assumed to be limited on the basis that the recommendation and permit for the establishment of wind farms take into account the required safety distances. However, uncertainties remain regarding winter navigation and further knowledge is needed to facilitate coexistence in the plan area. The same assessment also applies to shipping to and from neighbouring countries, mainly to and from Finland. - 146 - Commercial fishing Swedish commercial fishing in the Gulf of Bothnia is sparse in the open sea, but more frequent in the coastal waters. The economically most important species are vendace, salmon and herring, where fishing for vendace and salmon takes place outside the marine spatial plan area closer to the coast. At times, pelagic fishing takes place in the Southern Bothnian Sea, mainly around the offshore banks and in the south-eastern parts of the sea area. There is also bottom trawling. Fishing is clearly seasonal, as the area is ice-covered for parts of the year. In addition to Swedish fishing for Baltic herring, there is also extensive Finnish Baltic herring fishing in the area (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). Impact on commercial fisheries In the southern Bothnian Sea there are three areas of national interest for commercial fishing in the marine spatial plan area, see Figure 41. At Finngrunden there is a spawning and nursery area for fish. The area is partly covered by a Natura 2000 site and the entire area B157 is listed as use nature in the marine spatial plan. The other two areas of national interest are catch areas and are located west and east of Finngrunden. The marine spatial plan indicates the use of commercial fishing for these areas. With this national interest, the marine spatial plan meets the demand for commercial fishing. The plan’s guidance on other uses, such as energy, affects the conduct of commercial fisheries outside identified risk interest claims. This is particularly true in the Southern Bothnian Sea, where several energy areas in the plan proposal are located. The actual impact depends on opportunities for coexistence and adaptations such as the design of wind farms or of commercial fishing, spatially or regarding fishing methods. The total landing value for Swedish trawl fisheries for pelagic species in Sweden’s territorial waters and exclusive economic zone was annually on average approximately SEK 36 million over the period 2013-2023 (Waldo S. & Blomquist J., 2024b). In all energy areas of the Southern Bothnian Sea, pelagic fishing has taken place in the period 2013-2023, but to a very different extent. Based on the assumption that each trawl line passing through the proposed energy areas is affected by an establishment, the impacted landing value represents approximately 12 percent of the landing value from Sweden's territorial sea and exclusive economic zone in the Gulf of Bothnia. If Swedish fishing in the Finnish zone is included, the proportion decreases. This proportion should also be seen in the light of the fact that vessels fish pelagically both in the Gulf of Bothnia and in the Baltic Sea. Fishing in the Baltic Sea is not affected by the proposed marine spatial plan, as no new areas for energy extraction are proposed in the Baltic Sea. The total average annual landing value of catches from pelagic pelagic pelagic trawls in the Baltic Sea was about five times higher than in the Gulf of Bothnia during the period. The actual impact will depend on opportunities to continue fishing in the area and to move operations to other locations (Waldo S. & Blomquist J. 2024a). The energy areas that could have the greatest impact on fisheries based on landing values in 2013-2023 are energy area B164, and area B149, where fishing with trawls for pelagic species is conducted. It is difficult to fish with pelagic pelagic trawls in a wind farm. The establishment of wind power is likely to exclude trawl fisheries for pelagic species in these energy areas (Waldo S. & Blomquist J. 2024a). - 147 - Table 21. Landing value from Swedish fisheries affected by energy areas in millions of SEK (mkr) and percentage (%) of total landing value, for the Gulf of Bothnia. Annual averages 2013-2023. Share of landing Landing value Share of landing value from including part of value incl. share of Landing value Swedish fishing in other fishing in other from Swedish territorial waters countries' countries' Landing value territorial waters and exclusive territorial sea and territorial sea and affected by and exclusive economic zone exclusive economic zone Type of energy areas economic zone affected by economic zone affected by energy fishing (SEK million) (SEK million) energy areas total (SEK million) areas Trawl fishing pelagic species (floating trawl and bottom trawl) in the Gulf of Bothnia 4,5 36 12% 45 10% Source: Waldo, S. & Blomquist, J., 2024b How is Swedish fishing affected by offshore wind power? Supplementary material (AgriFood Report, no. 2024:2). AgriFood Economics Centre. The impact assessment is based on the landing value generated by the trawl lines that partially or fully pass through the energy area. The areas are not classified as national interests, but fishing with both pelagic trawls and bottom trawls for pelagic species is carried out in the areas. The plan proposal includes an expansion of areas in the Gulf of Bothnia with particular consideration to high nature values with regard to migratory birds, soft bottom and reef environment. Areas with special nature considerations can in the long term, depending on the nature value the consideration refers to, benefit commercial fishing based on potentially enhanced ecosystem services. - 148 - Figure 43. The map shows proposed energy areas, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in the Gulf of Bothnia. The figure also shows the impact as a percentage of the total annual landing value (pelagic floating or bottom trawl) per energy area. - 149 - Indirect environmental impact of land and water use The guidance provided by the marine spatial plan and the potential impact on commercial fisheries may also have indirect environmental effects. Changes in the spatial and intensity of commercial fishing may involve a shift in fishing activity to other areas, possibly with longer driving distances and increased air emissions, such as greenhouse gases. It may affect the conditions for commercial fishing if operating costs increase due to longer distance and driving time and/or income decreases due to reduced catch. Actual outcomes and indirect environmental impact regarding the impact on mileage and air emissions are considered uncertain and also due to the development and conversion of the fleet to more energy efficient and fossil-free fuels. The area is mainly fishing with pelagic trawls, but also some fishing with bottom trawls. Potentially, this may mean that the impact on benthic habitats is expected to decrease in the energy areas where bottom trawling no longer takes place. However, the gross effect is mainly local and the overall net effect of reduced impact on benthic habitats depends on whether and to which other areas a possible relocation of bottom trawling takes place. National, regional, municipal interests The plan's guidance on the use of commercial fishing confirms national interest claims for commercial fishing. However, guidance on the use of energy may to some extent affect the conduct of commercial fishing in the plan area. The impact on commercial fishing can also affect activities and value chains dependent on marine resources, as well as other activities and facilities for landing and processing fishery resources. This includes, for example, port activities of local and regional interest in the plan area, as well as essential functions related to food security and primary production (see section 2.4.6. Commercial fishing). For the marine spatial planning area, it is primarily Gävle municipality and the landing port Norrsundet whose landings come from fishing that has been carried out in any of the proposed energy areas that are affected. This may indirectly affect other operations that depend on certain landing volumes. In Norrsundet, 17.9 percent of the landed value comes from fishing that has been conducted in energy areas (Waldo S. & Blomquist J., 2024a) The actual impact on landings depends on the ability of the fishery to conduct fishing in places other than the energy areas. Cumulative and transboundary effects In addition to Swedish fishing, extensive Finnish fishing is taking place throughout the Gulf of Bothnia. Fishing takes place mainly in the southern Bothnian Sea and is believed to be affected by guidance on energy extraction in the area. The extent of the impact is difficult to assess, but is assumed to be mainly affected by energy areas located in the exclusive economic zone, such as area B156 which is located in both the economic and territorial sea and area B161 in the exclusive economic zone. The total potential impact on commercial fishing is therefore significantly higher than if one only looks at Swedish commercial fishing in the plan area. Limited Swedish commercial fishing is carried out in two energy areas in the Finnish marine spatial plan, Archipelago Sea and the Southern Bothnian Sea (Finnish Marine spatial plan, 2021). The impact on commercial fishing of all energy areas in the marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia is assessed to have some impact on the conduct of commercial fishing in the plan area, mainly in the case of Swedish pelagic fishing for herring, - 150 - However, not all areas of energy in the marine spatial plan are assumed to be realised, and the actual impact and aggravation on the conduct of commercial fishing depend on which areas of energy are actually realised, as well as on opportunities for coexistence. Examples of different types of adaptation are: the design of the wind farm, adaptations in fisheries, e.g. fishing methods, as well as possibilities for relocation of fisheries to other areas. The total potential impact on landing values and related activities for all fisheries may be significantly higher due to the existence of extensive Finnish fisheries. Potential impact on commercial fishing, is also considered to entail indirect effects in terms of fishing value chains, processing industry, affected landing ports and municipal interests. See chapter 2.4.6. about national and municipal interests. In terms of effects on the profitability of fishing enterprises, these depend on the extent to which fishing can move, how landings are affected and whether the costs of fishing operations change. The impact on individual companies depends on how their fishing patterns may need to be changed. Reindeer husbandry In the Gulf of Bothnia, it is relevant to highlight potential consequences for reindeer husbandry because there are designated national interest claims under Chapter 3, Section 5, and large- scale establishment of offshore wind power can affect reindeer husbandry. The impact can be visual, both from the turbines and the obstacle lighting as well as noise from construction and maintenance. Increased expansion of infrastructure linked to energy transfer on land such as cables, wires, transformers, together with other exploitation can contribute to deteriorating conditions for reindeer husbandry. Reindeer tend to avoid areas with wind power exploitation on land (Naturvårdsverket 2018, Skarin A. 2018), and the same may apply if the exploitation in the sea affects areas where reindeer graze on the coast and in the archipelago. Coastal pastures and archipelago islands are particularly important winter pastures as the milder coastal climate offers better conditions than inland lands that may be covered by thick snow cover and ice that makes it difficult for reindeer to graze the ground lichen (Sametinget, 2024, personal communication). The energy areas B111 and B113 in the Bothnian Bay are within 10 kilometers, respectively 50 kilometers distance to the coast and national interest for reindeer husbandry. Area B111 can have visual effects, and risks disturbing reindeer. Effects that could arise are displacement from important pastures and, in the long term, a change in the Sami cultural landscape and cultural heritage. B113 could be perceived, but the visual impact is estimated to be relatively small. Of the remaining energy areas in the North and South of the Gulf of Bothnia, the B107, B139 and B108 are located between 12 kilometres and 20 kilometres from the coast, but they have no direct visual impact as the landscape and terrain between the coast and areas of national interest are hilly. The southernmost energy areas of the Gulf of Bothnia are so far away from reindeer herding areas that they should not be affected. Infrastructure building in connection with these energy areas will probably also end up south of Sundsvall, and is therefore not expected to have any impact. The consequences of establishing offshore wind farms in areas that affect reindeer husbandry mean that it may be more difficult to conduct reindeer husbandry. Reindeer herding is linked to several different values in society, both intangible such as cultural heritage, identity, landscape - 151 - and also material such as employment and food production. There are several factors that affect reindeer husbandry, where climate change is a factor that leads to more uncertain conditions in the longer term. Reindeer herding has a strong connection to the natural landscape and risks being affected to a large extent by climate-related effects. Consequences of exploitation resulting from energy extraction should be seen in a holistic perspective, where cumulative consequences of exploitation need to be investigated. Impact during construction, operation and decommissioning Table 22. Impact on reindeer husbandry in different phases, as well as possible consideration measures. Phase Type of impact Possible consideration measure Facility Increased traffic Time adjustment after reindeer husbandry Noise Operation Visual impact of wind turbines Location of wind turbines Visual impact obstacle lighting Wind farm design Impact on ice conditions Settlement Increased traffic Time adjustment after reindeer husbandry Noise - 152 - Overall assessment Gulf of Bothnia Nature and ecological aspects The biodiversity and species composition of the Gulf of Bothnia is unique in view of the specific conditions prevailing in terms of, for example, salinity and contact with a large number of freshwater bodies. Fish stocks are generally relatively weak, and migratory salmon need to be taken into account. In the Bothnian Bay there is a unique population of ringed seals where the population is stable, but the species has been exposed to environmental toxins and the reproduction rate is weakened. Ringed seals depend on a stable ice sheet for breeding and rearing young. There are several important areas for both migratory and wintering birds. In the proposed marine spatial plan, the area for areas with particular consideration to high nature values has been increased with a focus on birds, ringed seals, and bottom habitats at Ulvödjupet. Together with other consideration areas and areas with the use nature in the adopted marine spatial plan, these are considered to signal the need for special protection and consideration when planning and regulating human activities. The new proposed areas can be seen as a complement to area protection, contributing to green infrastructure and ecosystem services and sustainable use in the Gulf of Bothnia. The marine spatial plan provides guidance for extensive energy expansion in the Gulf of Bothnia, and this may entail the risk of major negative effects for birds, especially in the southern part. Western and Eastern Finngrunden are important for both wintering and migratory bird populations. Wind power expansion in connection with Finngrunden risks displacing birds living in the area. There is also a risk of collision with migratory birds as the proposed areas are adjacent to a migratory route towards Finland. Large-scale energy expansion is also negative for the ringed seal, as there is a risk that wind farms in the Bothnian Bay will affect the sea ice on which it depends for its reproduction. For benthic habitats, larger surface claims generally mean greater negative impact, but overall, the assessment is that the plan proposal has a small negative effect on the benthic habitat and that local adaptation can be made when planning. Similarly, it is considered that the risk of negative impact on fish spawning can be minimised by adapting the construction time to the spawning period for herring and vendace for wind power projects in energy areas close to the coast. Recreation, cultural environment and landscape Norrbotten is home to the Haparanda Archipelago, an area with high values for recreation and the cultural environment, including the Haparanda Archipelago National Park. At the same level as Umeå, there is Lövångerkusten and the Holmöarna islands, which are national interests for recreation. Further south is the High Coast World Heritage Site, which possesses unique qualities that are essential for the national recreation, the regional tourism industry, where the area is also an important cultural environment. The southern Bothnian Sea is home to Hornslandet, which is in the process of becoming a new national park thanks to its high natural and cultural heritage values. In the proposed plan for the Gulf of Bothnia, a number of proposed energy areas are located within 25 kilometers of the coast: one at Haparanda archipelago, one at Holmöarna islands and several in the southern Bothnian Sea. Energy areas that are well within sight of the coast have a risk of having a major impact on cultural environments and recreation values. Landscape impact - 153 - is also considered to be greatest in the southern Bothnian Sea. This risk is particularly high if several energy areas are established. There is a small risk of impact on recreational boat traffic in the areas of North Kvarken and along the Gävle and northern Uppland coasts, as some energy areas are located near the coast and near routes for recreational boats. Energy extraction, shipping and commercial fishing The marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia will provide guidance on 13 areas for energy production, which corresponds to approximately 17 percent of the marine spatial plan area. Energy areas in the territorial sea are located in the municipalities of Kalix, Robertsfors, Hudiksvall, Söderhamn, Gävle, Älvkarleby, Tierp and Östhammar. In general, the energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia have good conditions for energy extraction, however, relatively lower than other marine areas in terms of wind conditions, but a relatively large area in shallow areas and in the southern Bothnian Sea relatively close to the coast. In some areas suitable for energy, other uses have been given priority, which may negatively affect the industry, affected companies in wind power planning in the planning area. In the Gulf of Bothnia, there is uncertainty regarding the impact of wind power expansion on ice formation, which can have consequences for both energy expansion and shipping. The use of shipping in the marine spatial plan is based on national interest claims for shipping that largely coincide with established shipping lanes and shipping routes. In two energy areas in the Southern Bothnian Sea, however, guidance on the use of energy is given priority over the national interest claim for shipping, which means a changed route for the shipping concerned. The overall assessment of the potential impact on shipping in the plan area is difficult to make based on uncertainties regarding the impact on winter navigation. In addition to this uncertainty, potential impacts are considered to be medium, both for Swedish and international shipping, based on uncertain cumulative impacts on shipping and uncertain conditions for winter navigation. The plan indicates that safety distances must be decided when designing and licensing the wind farms. It is not expected that there will be any negative impact on Swedish commercial fishing in the Bothnian Bay or the North Bothnian Sea. In the Southern Bothnian Sea, however, the impact on commercial fishing is estimated to be medium for pelagic trawl fisheries and Finnish fisheries conducted in the area. Potential impact on commercial fishing is also considered to have indirect effects on fishing and its value chains, the processing industry, affected landing ports and municipal interests. Aggregated assessment of energy areas In the impact assessment, negative and positive impacts have been assessed on a scale from 0 to 4. The purpose is to show the risk of impact on the assessment aspect, such as bird or cultural environment. It is a complex task to make an overall assessment for an energy area in terms of the cumulative impact an energy area has on different assessment aspects and interests. This is due to several factors, including the degree of detail and quality of the knowledge base differing between different assessments, as well as the challenge of comparing widely different types of effects and consequences. At the same time, it is essential that the impact assessment provides an overall picture. Table 23 below shows all assessments by energy area in the marine spatial plan area of the Gulf of Bothnia. The table aims to give an overview and an indication that some energy areas have a greater risk of negative effects than others. - 154 - Table 23. The table shows, in colour scale, assessments for all assessment aspects that have potential adverse effects. The table also shows a column where the values have been summarised, both in total and by nature and ecological aspects, maritime transport and commercial fisheries. Recreation, Cultural Ecology Sectors environment and Landscape Fish and Professio Cultural Benthic fish Migratory Bird, over- Marine nal Recrea environ Area habitats spawning Bats bird wintering mammals Shipping fishing tion ment Landscape B108 B111 B113 B135 B142 B146 (permit) B149 B152 B156 B159 B160 B161 B164 Assessment scenarios show potential distribution of cumulative effects As it is unclear which energy areas are ultimately being built, it is difficult to draw conclusions on the actual distribution of impacts. Two different assessment scenarios have been developed showing potential deployment taking into account different interests (see section 1.3.3. Assessment scenarios). The ‘Nature and Culture’ scenario shows an expansion that has taken into account the values of nature and cultural environments. The expected energy production would be approximately 107 TWh, which is a large amount of potential energy production. At the same time, the most negative effects on, for example, the ringed seal in the north, migratory bird routes in the Southern Bothnian Sea and the impact on coastal cultural environments in the Haparanda Archipelago, the North Kvarken and the Gulf of Gävle are avoided. In the central parts of the Bothnian Sea is remains an extensive cluster of energy areas that are located far from the coast and have the potential to contrubute to the transition to more sustainable energy production. The ‘Maritime and Commercial Fishing’ scenario shows an expansion that would generate about 102 TWh, i.e. a large amount of energy, while avoiding areas that are particularly important for commercial fishing. Expansion under the scenario "Shipping and Commercial fishing" would also mean that negative consequences for shipping are avoided as energy areas that could lead to increased mileage disappear. However, the risk of potential and uncertain impact on winter navigation remains with expansion in the northern parts. - 155 - Figure 44. Demonstrates what an offshore wind development could look like in the Gulf of Bothnia if greater consideration were taken to avoid negative impacts on nature and culture values based on the impact assessment. - 156 - Figure 45. The map shows what an expansion of offshore wind power could look like in the Gulf of Bothnia if greater consideration were taken to avoid negative impacts on values for shipping and commercial fishing based on the impact assessment. - 157 - Cross-border cumulative effects Cumulative effects in the Gulf of Bothnia can mainly occur in relation to the impact on birds, ringed seals, fish, landscapes, cultural environments, recreation, water (hydrography), commercial fishing and shipping. The planned energy establishment of neighbouring countries can mainly contribute to cumulative impacts on birds, bats, ringed seals, fish, commercial fisheries, energy and shipping. Continued co-operation and dialouge with neighbouring countries is necessary to assess cumulative impacts from a sea basin perspective. - 158 - Figure 46. Map of proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia and energy expansion plans of neighbouring countries. Source: EMODnet, 2022, Flanders Marine Institute, 2023. - 159 - Impact assessment of marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea Impact on population and health The uses that can have an impact on population and human health are guidance on energy use, sand extraction and guidance on changing mileage for shipping. The guidance on sand extraction and shipping lanes has not changed since the previous marine spatial plan, and the assessment presented in the sustainability assessment of decided marine spatial plans in 2019 is still up to date (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b). The previous sustainability report assesses the risk of health effects from the guidance on shipping as insignificant taking into account negligible changes in emissions of airborne pollutants (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b). Sand extraction activities at Utklippan, Sandhammar Bank and Sandflyttan according to the marine spatial plan’s guidance on sand extraction are assessed to have a marginal negative impact on air quality locally (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b), but this is a transitory effect and without a closer estimate of air emissions it is not possible to assess any risks to human health. The Baltic Sea is the only marine spatial planning area in Sweden that has offshore wind power in operation, outside the city of Malmö and off the coast of Öland. The zero alternative also includes the energy area where the Kriegers Flak project has a permit to construct offshore wind power, see Figure 47 below. In the draft marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea, only energy areas where there are permits for the establishment of offshore wind power remain. The background to the Government's decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the sea area is the overall assessment that there are currently no conditions for using energy extraction in addition to existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of defence (Ministry of Climate and Industry 2024; Government 2024d). The already adopted marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea from 2022 included the energy area Södra Midsjöbanken, which in the current proposal is removed. It is not possible to derive any direct or indirect effects on population and health from this change in the marine spatial plan in the Baltic Sea. - 160 - Figure 47. Map showing distances from energy areas to agglomerations in the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area. Source: Statistics Sweden, 2020. - 161 - Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity Birds Through large parts of the southern and central Baltic Sea, broad migratory bird paths run in a southwest-northeast direction from south of Skåne, through southern Hanö Bay, past Öland and Gotland, and further towards the Gulf of Finland and South Kvarken. The route covers several million individuals annually in both spring and autumn. In addition to this broad route, narrow passages over the sea, so-called bottlenecks, are particularly important migratory routes for terrestrial birds and bats that largely avoid flying over the open sea. Known bottlenecks in the Baltic Sea are Öresund, Kalmarsund-Öland-Gotland and Södra Kvarken. The establishment of offshore wind power in the proposed energy areas located within the broad strip and the known bottlenecks is therefore intended to entail a risk of high or medium impact on birds. The potential positive environmental effects of moving the shipping currently operating through Hoburg Shoal and Midsjöbankarna to a deep water route south and east of the banks were reported in the environmental impact assessment of the adopted marine spatial plans (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a). Based on conclusions from previous studies and results from Symphony, it was concluded that the transfer of shipping from the banks was the most favorable option for the protection of endangered species of birds and marine mammals and for reducing the cumulative environmental impact of shipping. As the guidance on the investigation area for shipping remains unchanged, the conclusions are considered to apply to the present proposal for a marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea. The long-tailed duck is one of the species with wintering areas of global importance in the Baltic Sea. The species is classified as highly endangered in its wintering areas. The Natura 2000 site Hoburg Shoal and Midsjöbankarna are one of the most important wintering areas for algae in the world (Larsson, 2018) with about 25 percent of the entire northern European and western Siberian population wintering at Hoburg’s Shoal (Skov et al., 2011). Long-tailed ducks migrates from its breeding areas to the embankments in the autumn and remains there until spring. There are also other wintering seabirds in the area, including black guillemot, common scoter, velvet scoter, common guillemot and razorbill. Cumulative and transboundary effects Since no wind power is proposed in the Swedish part of the marine spatial plan area, the neighbouring countries' planning for wind power constitutes the cumulative risk of impact. South of Skåne, there are established wind power on both the Danish and German sides as well as plans for further establishment. The cumulative effect on birds is expected to be smaller when no potential negative impact can occur on the Swedish side according to the plan proposal. There is still a risk of cumulative impact due to the fact that many other wind farms are currently being established and many energy areas are identified that concern the same migratory route, including Estonia, Denmark and Germany, but the birds are also affected much further south as many that pass are long-distance species. - 162 - A large energy area west of Saaremaa, Estonia, may to some extent affect the route that crosses the Baltic Sea towards Gotland. There are many designated energy areas in the southern Baltic Sea (Arkona Basin) that can pose a high risk of negative impact if all of them are built. Bats In the Baltic Sea, the risk of impact on bats is greatest south of Skåne and between Öland and Gotland. As no energy areas are included in the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan, bats are not expected to be negatively affected by offshore wind power from the Swedish side. Marine mammals Grey seals, harbour seals and Belt Sea and Baltic Sea harbour porpoises are found in the Baltic Sea. Common seal In Kalmarsund there is also a small isolated population with harbour seals that are red-listed in the vulnerable category. According to published studies (Stanley et al., 1996; Goodman, 1998) the Kalmar Strait stock is the genetically most deviant among European harbour seals. The stock has probably been isolated from other harbour seal populations for at least 6 000 years. Grey seal Grey seals are common in the Baltic Sea. It can be disturbed and intimidated by underwater noise but is not as noise sensitive as the harbour porpoise. Harbour porpoise According to the results of the SAMBAH project, harbour porpoises from the Baltic Sea population accumulate during the summer in the area on and between the banks of the central Baltic Sea (Hoburg’s Shoal, North Midsjöbank and South Midsjöbank). Summer is the time when the harbour porpoise is most susceptible to disturbance because it calves in June-July and mates in August. The porpoise suckles its calf for up to ten months and for at least the first six months from birth the calf is assumed to be so dependent on the female that any separation may be critical. For these reasons, the area is a very important area for the Baltic Sea's critically endangered harbour porpoise population. Cumulative and transboundary effects Negative cumulative effects on harbour porpoises may occur at the South Midsjöbank, where Poland has a larger number of energy areas in its marine spatial plan. The areas of the Slupsk embankment are not as significant during the summer reproduction period of the harbour porpoise. Risk of negative cumulative effects on harbour porpoises from wind power in Danish and German waters. Most importantly, establishment does not take place at the same time because the construction phase has the greatest negative impact. - 163 - Benthic habitats Some deeper parts of the Baltic Sea have for a long period been negatively affected by oxygen deficiency and are therefore considered to lack nature values. Natural bottom substrates in the Baltic Sea consist largely of soft bottoms with clay as well as sand, gravel and stone. Fish and spawning grounds In the current proposal for an amended marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea, guidance on sand extraction is considered to entail a risk of impact on fish. The guidance is the same as in the adopted marine spatial plan, which is why the conclusions in the respective environmental impact assessment are considered to apply (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a). When sand is extracted at Utklippan, it is considered that increased turbidity can occur locally. The effect is considered to be short-lived as the sediment consists mainly of coarse-grained sand and gravel (Swedish Geological Survey, 2017). Even if the area is outside the cod spawning area, cod larvae can drift into the area (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Aquatic Resources, 2018). The larvae are sensitive to suspended sediment at higher concentrations, which is why extraction should preferably be paused during those times of the year when there are cod larvae in the water. The area is also part of an important growing area for cod, and the bottom is probably used by flatfish. Based on the uncertainty about the design of the activity and its specific effects on fish and fish habitats, and taking into account the precautionary principle, it is considered that the effect of proposed sand extraction activities in Utklippan could lead to moderately negative effects on fish. The effects are considered to be most local and reversible in the short term based on the geographical scope of the activity in relation to the marine spatial planning area and alternative spawning grounds for the affected species. Specific effects on fish and in particular fish spawning should be further investigated in the licensing process. However, the proposed sand extraction at Sandhammar embankment, south of Ystad, is not expected to have any specific effects on fish. According to previous assessments, the area does not host any particularly valuable habitat types, but it is considered to be a foraging area for flatfish (Swedish Geological Survey, 2017). The area is characterised by high sediment mobility and sand extraction is estimated to be compensated by the accumulation of sand from the upper part of the bank. High substrate dynamics and large temporal variation in the bottom fauna make it difficult to assess the specific effects of quarrying on biodiversity. Locally large negative environmental effects are expected to occur in connection with the proposed sand extraction at Sandflyttan southwest of Falsterbo. Disturbance to sensitive habitats for affected fish species such as cod and flatfish should be minimised by avoiding periods of sensitive life stages for the species, as well as by distributing sand extraction so that the risk of oxygen-poor pits does not arise (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Aquatic Resources, 2018). In view of the high nature values in the local area, sand extraction activities are considered to have moderate to large negative effects on fish, but specific effects need to be investigated within the framework of Natura 2000 permit assessment. Increased turbidity is expected to occur locally during sand extraction, but is not expected to be long-lasting given the grain size of the sediment, so the effect is considered to be local and small in relation to the marine spatial plan area as a whole. - 164 - Guidance on particular consideration for high nature values in the application of the plan may contribute to a small positive effect on the fish resource. Adaptations relate, for example, to reduced by-catch or reduced impact on the seabed during bottom trawling. However, whether and, if so, how such provisions could be introduced is impossible to predict at the current juncture, and thus also the potential positive effects on fish. Impact of proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values For the Baltic Sea, the plan proposal includes a number of additional areas for particular consideration of high nature values (small n areas). The energy area Ö283 south of Skåne is proposed as an area for particular consideration for high nature values in order to strengthen particular consideration for migratory birds and meet up with the migratory bird path Rügen – Skåne, which is marked in the German marine spatial plan. The areas for general use, shipping and commercial fishing (Ö258 and Ö259) between Hanöbukten and Midsjöbankarna have mainly been proposed as areas for particular consideration of high nature values with regard to the Baltic Sea population of harbour porpoises. Södra Midsjöbanken (Ö248) is an area for particular consideration of high nature values in the adopted marine spatial plan, but is also proposed as a Natura 2000 area under the Birds Directive designated for seabirds, long-tailed ducks and black guillemot. Several areas around Gotland are included in proposals for new Natura 2000 areas under the Birds Directive. West of Gotland, this applies to parts of areas Ö291 and Ö500 around Stora Karlsö. East of Gotland it applies to the areas Ö500 and Ö296 along the east coast. Northwest of Gotska Sandön, an area with use defence (Ö505) and one with general use (Ö506) has been supplemented as areas for particular consideration for high nature values with a focus on birds, and east of Muskö, an area with general use (Ö507) is proposed as an area for particular consideration for high nature values. Application of particular consideration for high nature values is considered relevant for the new areas with the designation small n in the Baltic Sea as guidance for uses such as commercial fishing and shipping. In practice, it can contribute to better conditions for biodiversity conservation and green infrastructure as a basis for developed ecosystem services. Figure 48 shows the areas with nature use and particular consideration for high nature values within the marine spatial plan area of the Baltic Sea. - 165 - Figure 48. Areas using nature (N) and decided on the respective proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values (n) in the Baltic Sea (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2024c). - 166 - Effects on land, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment Water and air In the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area, it is the marine spatial plan's guidance on energy extraction, sand extraction and investigation area for shipping that is considered to have effects on water and air. The guidance in these areas does not differ from the marine spatial plan already adopted, except that an energy area in the Southern Baltic Sea has been removed. The proposed marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea provides guidance on sand extraction activities in three areas: Utklippan within Ö508, Sandhammar embankment within Ö280 and Ö281, and the Sandflyttan investigation area within Ö284. Previous extraction operations at Sandhammar have ceased. According to the Geological Survey of Sweden, all three areas have geological, economic and environmental conditions for sand extraction (Swedish Geological Survey, 2017). Sand extraction is expected to lead to increased turbidity and reduced water quality locally. However, the effect is considered to be short-term, so no lasting effects on water quality are considered to occur (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a). Impact on hydrography Studies have shown that offshore wind power can affect hydrographic conditions also during continuous operation, both at the surface and at the foundations (Arneborg et al., 2024). The effects on surface water occur when the wind behind the wind farms decreases, which in turn can affect currents and stratification in the surface water. The foundations have a small impact in that they slow sea currents and create turbulence that mixes different water layers. The effects of an offshore wind farm can spread beyond its boundaries and also lead to second-round effects and impacts on marine life (see also section 2.3.1). The marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on any additional area for offshore wind energy in the Baltic Sea. However, expected expansion in Skagerrak/Kattegat and Gulf of Bothnia may also be relevant in terms of impact on hydrographic conditions, as the effects may spread beyond the wind farm's boundaries. The Baltic Sea is a particularly vulnerable sea area in terms of the expansion of oxygen-free seabeds. Possible consequences and large-scale effects of energy development in other marine spatial planning areas also need to be investigated in terms of potential effects in the Baltic Sea. Changes in emissions and air quality Increased maritime transport in connection with sand extraction and transport between extraction sites is expected to lead to increased air emissions and a marginal deterioration of air quality locally. The proposal for a marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea provides guidance on several investigation areas for shipping through the central Baltic Sea. These include the transfer of maritime traffic that today passes through Hoburgs bank and Norra Midsjöbanken to a deep water fairway south and east of the bank. The shift entails an approximately five percent longer journey distance and an approximately 2.6 percent higher fuel consumption at unchanged average speed, which means a small negative effect on air quality throughout the marine spatial planning area (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b). In addition to investiongation areas for shipping, the marine spatial plan guidance does not entail any further changes for shipping. - 167 - Climate In the Baltic Sea, only guidance on nature and particular consideration for nature protection is relevant from a climate perspective, as the marine spatial plan does not guide any increased energy extraction in relation to the zero alternative. Climate benefits linked to energy extraction through offshore wind power The potential climate benefit in the Baltic Sea is presented in a similar table as for other marine spatial planning areas, the existing offshore wind farm Lillgrund has an effect of 0.1 TWh, and Krieger's Flak, which is licensed, is estimated to have an effect of 1.5 TWh. Table 24. Shows results of calculation for potential climate benefit when offshore wind power replaces the Nordic residual mix according to plan proposals, zero alternatives and the current situation in the Baltic Sea. TWh Climate impact Nordic residual mix Potential CO2- Potential Offshore wind energy (524 100 tonnes equivalent reduction in (11 000 tonnes CO2- CO2-equivalent/ reduction relation to equivalent/TWh) TWh) Sweden’s emissions in 2023 Existing 0,1 1 100 52 410 51 310 0.1% offshore wind energy in the Baltic Sea Zero 1,5 16 500 786 150 769 650 1,6 % alternatives (permitted projects) Proposal for a 0 0 0 0 0% marine spatial plan Guidance on nature protection and particular consideration Carbon sequestration and adaptation to climate change The marine spatial planning guides on both nature protection (N) and consideration of high values for nature protection (n), marine areas protected against disturbances and impacts can generally be assumed to have better conditions both to deal with climate change by conserving biodiversity, and better conditions to store carbon when they are to some extent protected from disturbances. There are no data or figures that describe the potential and ability for carbon sequestration in different benthic habitats and sediments in a Swedish national context. Norwegian researchers have mapped carbon sequestration in Norwegian marine areas, and concluded that benthic habitats of different character have different abilities and conditions to contribute to carbon sequestration, both in shorter and longer time perspectives. An important conclusion of the study is that benthic habitats that are left undisturbed have greater potential to act as natural carbon sinks (Diesing et al., 2024). In the Baltic Sea, the total area for guidance on nature and particular consideration for high nature value amounts to 74,850 square kilometres, which makes up approximately 43% of the Baltic Sea's marine spatial plan area. It is evenly divided between guidance on nature (20.5%) and particular consideration for high nature values (22.5 %). - 168 - In the Baltic Sea, climate refugias for blue mussels, bladderwrack, herring and cod have been part of the basis for the guidance, which is positive in terms of the chances of ecosystems and particular species to survive in a changed climate (Hammar & Mattsson, 2017). The marine spatial plan guidance on nature and particular consideration for high nature values is assessed to promote and enhance important ecosystem services significant for adaptation to a changing climate. In southern Sweden, coastal erosion is expected to become more common as a result of climate change and sea level rise (Malmberg et al. 2016). The marine spatial plan guides sand extraction in three areas of the Baltic Sea, which means that sand from the seabed can be used for beach nourishment and climate adaptation measures. Landscape In the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area there are two energy areas (Ö285, Ö287). As the energy areas are built or licensed, they are included in the zero alternative and are therefore not subject to an impact assessment. Figure 49 below shows the energy areas and landscape impact in the Baltic Sea. - 169 - Figure 49. Potential negative effect on landscapes of proposed energy areas in the Baltic Sea. In the energy areas, dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. Accumulated visibility from land is shown over the sea and visibility of energy areas is shown over land. - 170 - Other impacts on landscapes As energy areas in the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area are built or have permits, no other impact on landscapes is assessed. Cumulative and transboundary effects Although no impact assessment is carried out for energy areas in the Baltic Sea, those energy areas in the zero alternative may have negative effects on landscapes in Denmark around Öresund, as well as the northern part of Rügen in Germany. The cumulative impact of energy areas is mainly linked to areas around Skanör-Falsterbo in southwestern Skåne, where existing energy area Ö287 and permit-granted Ö285 can cause cumulative impact on landscapes. This impact may increase with energy areas in neighbouring countries. Cultural environment Indirect influence – National interest in cultural heritage conservation, Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code In the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area there are two energy areas (Ö285, Ö287). As the energy areas are built or permit-granted, they are included in the zero alternative and are therefore not subject to an impact assessment. All energy areas in the Baltic Sea are listed with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values (small-k). The guidance on particular consideration for high cultural heritage values is considered to entail adaptations of the location and design of wind farms regarding, for example, the location and height of wind turbines in order to reduce the impact on the specific cultural heritage sites concerned. Figure 50 below shows the energy areas in the Baltic Sea. - 171 - Figure 50. Potential indirect negative effect of energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment in the Baltic Sea. - 172 - Direct impact In the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area, there are no energy areas that are impact assessed for the cultural environment, hence no marine archaeological sites within the proposed energy areas are assessed. However, there are a number of registered marine archaeological sites in energy areas in the zero alternative. Figure 51 presents marine archaeological sites outside energy areas and within energy areas included in the zero alternative. - 173 - Figure 51. Risk of impact on marine archaeological sites. - 174 - Note that the compilation only refers to the sites that are registered in the Swedish National Heritage Board's Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.y.). Since knowledge of the existence of marine archaeological sites in Swedish waters is not complete, the establishment of offshore wind power should be preceded by marine archaeological investigations where there may be marine archaeological sites (County Administrative Boards, 2024). Indirect and direct impact – Regional value areas In the Baltic Sea's marine spatial plan area there are only two energy areas, Ö285 with a permit for the establishment of offshore wind power, and Ö287 which is built. There is therefore no impact assessment of energy areas on marine cultural heritage values in the Baltic Sea. Fel! Hittar inte referenskälla. shows energy areas and marine cultural heritage values in the Baltic Sea. - 175 - Figure 52. Indirect and direct negative impact on regional cultural heritage value areas. - 176 - Other impacts on cultural environment The coastline of the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area is entirely of national interest for unbroken coastline (Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code) or high-exploited coastline (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code). As energy area Ö287 is already built, and there are permits in Ö285 it is included in the baseline option and is not subject to an impact assessment. Cumulative and transboundary effects Denmark's marine spatial plan (Denmark's marine spatial plan, 2024) contains energy areas that can affect cultural environments in Sweden. West of Bornholm there are two energy areas in the marine spatial plan that can affect the value area Kåseberga-Sandhammaren (16.5 kilometers away) and the national interest Sandhammaren (28 kilometers away). Furthermore, there are four Danish energy areas in Öresund that may indirectly affect cultural environments such as the value areas Falsterbo Peninsula and Landskrona-Pilhaken-Ven, as well as the national interest claims Skanörs ljung, Skanör and Falsterbo, Foteviken-Glostorp, Malmö, Alnarp, Barsebäck- Hofterup, Landskrona and Ven. The entire coast of Skåne is covered by the national interest of high-exploited coast (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code). As only energy areas in the Baltic Sea are included in the zero alternative, the cumulative impact is not assessed. However, the energy areas in the Baltic Sea together with energy areas in neighbouring countries can give rise to indirectly negative cumulative effects on cultural environments in Sweden, especially along the coast of Skåne. - 177 - Effects on the management of water, soil and the physical environment in general Energy extraction The planning area has very good conditions for offshore wind power in terms of wind and depth conditions. However, the proposed marine spatial plan does not guide use for energy extraction in addition to existing wind farms, Kårehamn (not visible for cartographic reasons), Lillgrund, and the Krieger’s Flak area, where a licensed project is located, see Figure 53 below. - 178 - Figure 53. Map of energy areas in plan proposals, zero alternatives, and initial planning basis The Swedish Energy Agency 2023. - 179 - Area-specific assessments, nature and conditions for energy extraction The proposed marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on additional areas for energy extraction other than the existing wind farm, Ö287 Lillgrund, and the area Ö285 Krieger’s Flak, where a licensed project is located. Guidance on additional areas for energy extraction in addition to these two is not available in the plan with reference to government decisions and rejection of a number of project applications in plan areas with reference to defence interests. For more information see the marine spatial plan section 2.4.1. The two energy areas that remain in the plan proposal since the review proposal are included in the impact assessment zero alternative and, in addition, no further areas are assessed. Potential for energy extraction and electricity production is estimated based on surfaces for energy extraction, for plan proposals corresponding to this approximately 1.6 TWh. The conditions for energy extraction based on the nature of wind and depth are considered to be very good, with relatively good wind conditions and located in relatively shallow areas. The zero alternative for assessment is the existing wind farm, as well as a licensed project Krieger's Flak Ö265. Taken together, these two areas correspond to an area of approximately 80 km2, see Table 25 below. Table 25.Guidance energy extraction, plan proposal Baltic Sea, total area, as well as area within territorial sea and foundations. Areas of energy; About Of which km2 in Estimated Municipal Foundations Area Km2 territorial sea ~22km TWh planning area Krieger's Ö285 - Flak 70 0,0 1,4* Bottom-fixed Ö287 Lillgrund 8 7,3 0,33 ** Malmö Bottom-fixed Total, approximately About 1.6 * Assumption according to marine spatial plan, 5MW/Km2, 4000 full load hours ** according to project authorisation Marine spatial plan, zero alternatives and guidance on energy extraction The original planning documents of public interest of substantial importance identified 24 areas suitable for offshore wind power in the Baltic Sea, with a total area of approximately 9,640 km2. During the initial planning process, areas have been adjusted and some have been excluded with regard to other interests such as defence, recreation, cultural environment and shipping. Based on the Government’s decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the sea area, the overall assessment is that there are currently no conditions for using energy extraction in addition to existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of defence (Ministry of Climate and Industry 2024; Government 2024d). Total areas for energy extraction in the draft marine spatial plan, zero alternatives, public interest of substantial importance, national interest claims, and adopted marine spatial plan, see Table 26 below. - 180 - Table 26. Guidance on energy extraction, estimation of production potential, based on marine spatial plans, zero alternatives, national interest claims and public interest of substantial importance. Indicative basis for energy extraction Baltic Sea approximate area (km2) Plan proposal 80 Zero alternative 80 General Interest of Significant Importance, Planning Basis Step1, EM 9 640 - Of which surface in planes; 70 National interest claims 2 020 - Of which surface area in level, approx. km2 60 Plan adopted 560 Realisation, projects and bidding zones In the plan areas there is an existing wind farm, as well as a permit-granted one. Potential additional electricity production in the plan area is assumed to be connected to bidding zone 4. For more detailed information on electricity consumption and related bidding zones and users, please refer to chapter 2.4.1, Energy regarding electricity consumption and industry, the transport sector and households. The plan's guidance on energy coincides with the plan areas for the existing wind farm, the City of Malmö. Indirect impact - energy Based on the fact that the plan does not guide on additional areas for energy extraction other than already existing and permit-granted, the indirect impact on land use and the impact of the proposed marine spatial plan is considered to be minor within the marine spatial plan area. However, exempted areas may possibly indirectly affect other plan areas in terms of establishing offshore wind power. Achievement of objectives, national and municipal interests - energy Plan proposal for the Baltic Sea contributes a limited part to the achievement of objectives regarding assignments for offshore wind power and national energy policy goals, climate goals and goals for fossil-free electricity supply. The objective of the assignment for all marine spatial plans corresponds to a total of 120TWh, which means that the relatively large marine spatial plan areas that are exempt may make it difficult to realise the objective and generate electricity. The Baltic Sea is the largest marine spatial plan area and represents approximately 60 percent of the total area of the marine spatial plans. In the proposed marine spatial plan, the total area for energy extraction is approximately 80 square kilometres, corresponding to approximately 1.6 TWh, including the existing Lillgrund wind - 181 - farm. Compared with previously decided marine spatial plan and initial planning basis for guidance on energy extraction, the space in the plan area has decreased significantly. In the adopted marine spatial plan (Regeringen, 2022a) for the Baltic Sea, the corresponding total area for guidance on energy extraction is approximately 570 km2. The total area for energy extraction in the initial planning basis (Energy Agency 2023) is equivalent to approximately 9,600 km2, where the national interest has also been taken into account. The proposal for a marine spatial plan for the Baltic Sea thus entails a marked reduction in the indicative use of energy in the plan area. This could also potentially affect electricity generation in bidding zones 3 and 4 and affected regions. Cumulative and transboundary effects The marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on areas for energy extraction other than those that have been granted a permit and those that already exist, which means that cumulative impacts, as well as impacts on neighbouring countries, are not considered within the marine spatial plan area. However, the exclusion of energy areas in the plan area in question may indirectly affect and entail an increased risk of cumulative effects in the other two plan areas and neighbouring countries, based on increased concentration and the need for realisation of areas for energy extraction in these two areas in order to achieve the target of 120TWh. Recreation The Baltic Sea includes high nature values, where coastal and archipelago landscapes offer good conditions for recreation. A large part of the coast is designated as an area of national interest for recreation under Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code. Stockholm's outer archipelagos, which together with the Åland Archipelago and the west coast of Finland form a unique stretch of shallow archipelagos, in the Gotska Sandön National Park with its unique isolated location, the islands of Öland and Gotland and the coast of Skåne are some areas that attract many visitors. Recreational boat traffic is also an important part of recreation in the Baltic Sea, not least in the Stockholm archipelago and to and from Gotland. In the proposal for a marine spatial plan area, the Baltic Sea has two energy areas: Ö285 and Ö287. As the energy areas are built or permit-granted, they are included in the zero alternative and are therefore not subject to an impact assessment. Thus, no negative impact on recreation from these energy areas is assessed. Figure 53 below shows the energy areas in the Baltic Sea. - 182 - Figure 54. Potential negative effect on recreation of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 183 - Accessibility As the two energy areas Ö285 and Ö287 in the Baltic Sea marine spatial planning area are built or licensed and are included in the zero alternative, they are not subject to an impact assessment. Regardless, recreation along the coast and inside the marine spatial planning area is widespread with several different activities and experiences that may affect accessibility when establishing offshore wind power. Leisure boating in the Baltic Sea occurs mainly along the coastline with the greatest activity in the Stockholm archipelago, around and to and from Gotland and Öland, as well as along the coasts of Småland, Skåne and Blekinge. There are major tendencies towards recreational shipping routes within the marine spatial planning area, but also within the marine spatial planning area, such as to and from Gotland and in the Hanö Bay, as well as to our neighbouring countries. The activity of recreational shipping can be viewed in a general way using information from automatic identification systems (AIS data). Not all recreational craft use AIS, which means that the actual prevalence of recreational craft is more extensive. See Figure 55 for recreational boating in the Baltic Sea. - 184 - Figure 55. Prevalence of recreational boating activity within proposed energy areas in the Baltic Sea based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022 (EMODnet, 2022). - 185 - Other impacts on recreation The coastline of the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area is entirely of national interest for unbroken coastline (Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code) or high-exploited coastline (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code). As energy areas Ö285 and Ö287 are licensed and built, they are included in the zero alternative and are not subject to an impact assessment. However, the coastal zone in Skåne is of great importance for recreation along the beaches, not least around Skanör-Falsterbo. Cumulative and transboundary effects Denmark's marine spatial plan (2024) contains energy areas that can affect recreation in Sweden. Energy areas west of Bornholm that may affect the national interest claim The coast stretch Trelleborg-Abbekås-Sandhammaren-Mälarhusen-Simrishamn indirectly, which also German energy areas south of Skåne can potentially do. The Skanör-Falsterbo peninsula with the coastline Höllviken-Trelleborg can also be affected by German energy areas. Furthermore, there are primarily two Danish energy areas in Öresund that may indirectly affect recreation around Skanör-Falsterbo, which are located about 12.5 kilometers and 16 kilometers from the national interest claim. The Danish energy area Nordre Flint outside Malmö may have some indirect impact on recreation in the national interest claims Höje å from Genarp to Lomma, Kävlingeån from Vombsjön to Bjärred and Ven. The national interest claims include values of natural and cultural environment and have appealing landscape images, but the impact is considered to be marginal given the degree of exploitation in Öresund. Due to the fact that the two energy areas in the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area are built or licensed, its possible effects on recreation in neighbouring countries are not assessed. Crossings for pleasure boats to and from neighbouring countries are generally considered to be large throughout the marine spatial plan area, with the greatest concentration in South Kvarken and Åland, to and from the Danish islands Zealand, Mön, Falster and Bornholm, and northern parts of Germany, where energy areas in Sweden and its neighbouring countries can entail barrier effects. As the energy areas Ö285 and Ö287 are included in the zero alternative for the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area, the cumulative impact is also not assessed. However, the energy areas included in the zero alternative, together with energy areas in neighbouring countries, may constitute indirect effects that negatively affect recreation areas in Sweden. The coast of Skåne can potentially be most affected, especially the national interest for recreation Skanör-Falsterbo peninsula with the coastline Höllviken-Trelleborg and the coastline Trelleborg-Abbekås- Sandhammaren-Mälarhusen-Simrishamn. Tourism In the Baltic Sea there is a developed tourism industry, important for several of the coastal municipalities located in the area (Region Sörmland, 2024: County of Regio Kalmar, u.y.; Region Gotland, 2024) In the marine spatial planning area there are two energy areas, one built on and one with a permit. Since no new energy areas are involved, the assessment is that there is no risk of negative impact on the tourism industry in the area from offshore wind power. - 186 - Defence No assessment is made at marine spatial planning level for the interests of defence. See chapter 2.4.4 for general effects. Shipping The Baltic marine spatial plan area is the plan area with the relatively highest maritime intensity. In the planning area, there is extensive maritime traffic, both national and international, to and from ports, with shipping routes to and from Sweden and the countries around the Baltic Sea and passages for transport to different parts of the world. Maritime transport includes freight vessels, tankers and also relatively high proportion of passenger vessels (EMODnet, 2022). The plan area also includes fairway and shipping lanes that are part of international IMO (International Maritime Organization) routing systems, including the Baltic Sea deep water route south of Gotland. The routing system is a vessel traffic control measure aimed at reducing the risk of accidents. However, the proposed marine spatial plan does not guide use for energy extraction other than the existing wind farm, Lillgrund (Ö287), and the Kriegers flak area (Ö285), where a licensed project is located, see Figure 56. Based on the Government’s decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the area, the overall assessment is that there are currently no conditions for using energy extraction in addition to existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of defence (Ministry of Climate and Industry 2024; Government 2024d). The draft marine spatial plan does not therefore provide guidance on additional areas for use for energy production other than the existing wind farm, Lillgrund, and the Krieger’s Flak area, where a licensed project is located. For this reason, there is no further assessment of the impact on shipping for the current planning document related to energy extraction. The marine spatial plan's guidance on the use of shipping is based on national interest claims for shipping and thus largely coincides with established shipping lanes and shipping routes. However, the marine spatial plan provides guidance on maritime investigation areas at Hoburg’s Shoal, Midsjöbankarna and Salvorev. Investigation areas are included in the adopted plan and mean that the plan proposes redirection of shipping, but more investigation is required to establish in the plan. The investigation option is described in the adopted marine spatial plan with environmental impact assessment and sustainability report, and includes diversion of shipping away from sensitive natural areas to protect birds and critically endangered marine mammals. However, changed extended mileage is assumed to lead to increased fuel consumption and increased emissions of airborne pollutants and greenhouse gases (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a; 2019b). The long-term impact depends on the development of ships, energy efficiency and fuels in shipping, as well as other external factors. Re-routing is also likely to increase the intensity of shipping in the deep water route of the Baltic Sea, a route with very high traffic intensity, and with possible other indirect sequential effects. - 187 - Figure 56. Relative potential negative effect of energy areas on shipping in the Baltic Sea. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 188 - As the plan does not guide on additional energy areas in the plan area, the assessment is that the potential impact on shipping of plan proposals is considered to be marginal, both for Swedish and international shipping, provided that recommendations and permits for the establishment of a licensed wind farm take into account existing recommendations (the Swedish Maritime Administration and the Swedish Transport Agency, 2023) regarding, among other things, requirements for safety distances. Safety distances and other adaptations of a wind farm are decided during the permit assessment of the park. Cumulative and transboundary effects The same assessment also applies to shipping to and from neighbouring countries and international traffic in the plan area. Commercial fishing Fishing in the Baltic Sea's marine spatial plan area accounts for a large proportion of Swedish commercial fishing in terms of both value and quantity of catches. The main species (period 2018-2022) are sprat and herring, following the decline of the cod stock. The area uses both passive and active gear, with the exception of Öresund, where fishing is conducted exclusively with passive gear. (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). Commercial fishing in the Baltic Sea is geographically widespread and the marine spatial plan states the use of commercial fishing in large parts of the plan area. Most fishing in the Baltic marine spatial plan area is pelagic fishing for herring and sprat, which is mainly carried out in the Baltic Sea area, based on nationally allocated quotas. Some fishing with passive gear takes place in front of the coast. Directed fishing for cod in the Baltic Sea has been temporarily closed for several years, but has historically mainly been conducted in the southwestern parts of the sea area, with trawlingin the outer sea and passive fishing closer to the coast. In the plan area, fishing is also carried out from fleets from other EU countries that have quotas in the area. In the proposal, area Ö248 (E(utr)fn) in the agreed marine spatial plan 2022 has been removed. In and around the area, only limited Swedish fishing has been carried out. The removal of the area is not expected to affect commercial fishing. Otherwise, the proposed marine spatial plan does not guide the use of energy extraction except for areas with existing permits for the establishment of wind power. There are proposals for expansion of areas with particular consideration to high nature values in the Baltic Sea with regard to migratory birds, harbour porpoises and reef habitats. Areas with special nature considerations can in the long term, depending on the nature value the consideration refers to, benefit commercial fishing from potentially strengthening ecosystem services. National, regional, municipal interests The plan's guidance on the use of commercial fishing in the Baltic Sea confirms the national interest in commercial fishing. Several municipalities have landing ports for fish (which also represent national interests), including the ports of Simrishamn, Nogersund in Sölvesborg municipality, Byxelkrok in Borgholm municipality, Ronehamn in Gotland and Västervik. See Figure 57 below. - 189 - Figure 57. Map showing proposed areas for energy extraction, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in the Baltic Sea. - 190 - Overall assessment of the Baltic Sea Nature and ecological aspects The Baltic Sea, with its very varied natural environments, is of great importance for both breeding, resting and wintering birds. The most important migration routes in the Baltic Sea pass through the southern parts of Öland and Gotland and further along the coast of Blekinge and south where virtually the entire coast of Skåne is affected with the highest concentrations across Öresund. These passages are also considered important for migratory bats. The Baltic Sea is also home to the main distribution area of the critically endangered Baltic harbour porpoise at and around Midsjöbankarna and Hoburg’s Shoal. Endangered cod have important spawning grounds in the Baltic Sea south of Skåne and east of Bornholm. The Öresund, which is characterised by several marine saltwater species, intensive shipping and a trawling ban, completes the marine spatial plan area of the Baltic Sea towards Skagerrak/Kattegat. New areas for particular consideration of high nature values have been added to the plan. South of Skåne, a larger area has been designated small n with regard to the bird migration route Rügen-Skåne. Between Öland and southern Midsjöbanken, areas have been added with particular consideration to high nature values for the Baltic Sea harbour porpoise. Several areas around Gotland are included in proposals for new Natura 2000 areas under the Birds Directive and have therefore been given the designation "small n" pending a decision. An area with particular consideration to birds has also been added west of Gotska Sandön. The marine spatial planning guidance on sand extraction risks leading to temporary negative effects in the form of turbidity. Recreation, cultural environment, landscape and tourism In the northern parts of the Baltic Sea there is the Stockholm archipelago, of national importance for tourism. Along the mainland coast there are several national interests and national interest claims for recreation as well as national interests, national interest claims and value areas for the cultural environment. On Gotska Sandön there are both values for the cultural environment and recreation, where the national park offers privacy, tranquility and a view of the open horizon. Around Gotland and Öland there are several cultural environments both on land and below the surface. The Hanseatic city of Visby, the agricultural landscape of Southern Öland and the naval city of Karlskrona are world heritage sites with high cultural heritage values. National interest in the mobile recreation in the Baltic Sea is widespread, mainly around Öland, Gotland and along the counties of Stockholm, Östergötland and Småland. The coast along Skåne and Blekinge also has high values for recreation and cultural environment, including Ale Stenar, Hanöbukten and Falsterbohalvön. Energy extraction, shipping and commercial fishing In the Baltic Sea, only energy areas where there are permits for the establishment of offshore wind power remain. The background to the Government's decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the sea area is the overall assessment that there are currently no conditions for using energy extraction in addition to existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of defence (Ministry of Climate and Industry 2024; Government 2024d). The conditions for energy extraction in the Baltic Sea are good in terms of wind conditions and depth, and there is also a great need for increased energy production to secure the electricity supply in southern and central Sweden. - 191 - The use of shipping in the marine spatial plan is based on national interest claims for shipping that largely coincide with established shipping lanes and shipping routes. The plan proposal also guides the investigation of shipping, re-routing of maritime transport in order to reduce the pressure on the marine environment. Investigation proposals are assumed to contribute to reduced environmental impact, but also involve an extended mileage, with potentially increased emissions. Long-term effects are dependent on the development of fuels in shipping. Re-routing would probably also mean an increased intensity of shipping in the deep water route of the Baltic Sea, a route with very high traffic intensity already today and with possible other indirect sequential effects. The plan specifies the use of commercial fishing in large parts of the Baltic Sea, based on national interest claims for commercial fishing. Cross-border cumulative effects The low presence of energy areas in the Baltic Sea means that contributions to cumulative effects are very limited on the Swedish side. The cumulative effects are those from existing wind farms and licensed Krieger’s Flak together with energy areas in neighbouring countries. The risk of negative impact is estimated to be greatest in the area around the southern Midsjöbanken from energy areas in Polish waters. - 192 - Figure 58. Shows proposed areas for energy expansion as well as already established wind farms in the Baltic Sea for neighbouring countries. - 193 - Impact assessment of marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat Impact on population and health The marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat does not provide guidance on either sand extraction or changing shipping routes. The guidance for energy extraction is therefore what differs from the already adopted marine spatial plan, and is particularly relevant to assess in relation to population and human health. There is currently no established offshore wind power in Skagerrak/Kattegat, but there are a total of four permits for projects. Energy areas with licensed projects are included in the zero alternative in the impact assessment against which the plan proposals are compared. Visual impact and noise In Kattegat there is a cluster of energy areas, three of which are included in the zero alternative. The energy areas are located between 7 to 25 kilometers from the coast and will be visible from land. Visual influences from both the turbines and obstacle lighting can disturb people living in coastal areas (see Figure 59 below). However, it is individual and there is uncertainty about how visual disturbance can directly or indirectly affect human health (see section 2.1. Population and health). These energy areas are also in close proximity to areas of national interest for recreation, and there is a risk that some individuals feel less motivated to visit nature areas that are exploited. However, it is difficult to draw any direct conclusion regarding the effects of proposed energy expansion on public health. Offshore wind generates noise, both audible and infrasound (see section 2.1 Population and health). Modelling for noise dispersion in various project applications shows that the overall noise level generally decreases to 35 dBA within 5 kilometres of the outer boundary of wind farms. Noise modelling is often based on a worst-case scenario for sound dispersion, where the calculations assume that there is no natural attenuation of the sound. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, proposed energy areas are located with sufficient distance from land to avoid health-damaging effects from noise. The energy areas in Skagerrak are located at a longer distance from the coast, which reduces the visual impact, and the risk that people on the coast are disturbed by obstacle lighting and noise. Maritime safety and risk A number of proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat are considered to pose an increased navigation safety risk due to proximity to shipping lanes and routes. Skagerrak/Kattegat is one of Sweden's busiest sea areas, both in terms of freight traffic and recreational boat traffic (see sections 5.4.2 and 5.4.5). Similar to the assessment of the marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia, there is a higher risk of marine accidents that indirectly entail a higher risk of adverse effects on human health. - 194 - Reducing Health Hazardous Emissions There are also indirect health benefits from offshore wind power. The deployment of offshore wind energy in proposed energy areas can lead to a reduction in emissions, and be a mitigation measure to reduce the effects of climate change that threaten the welfare and security of that society (see Section 2.3.2). Effects on air emissions and climate benefits are indirect and long- term effects of marine spatial plans that in the long term are expected to contribute positively to human health. In a shorter time perspective, local emissions may increase due to construction works and increased traffic, or diversion of ship traffic. However, this is transitory and the net effect of building wind power is positive in terms of the potential to replace fossil-based energy carriers, thereby leading to reduced emissions of greenhouse gases and other airborne pollutants. - 195 - Figure 59. Map showing distances between energy areas and urban areas in the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat. Source: Statistics Sweden, 2020. - 196 - Effects on protected animal or plant species and biodiversity Birds There are two main migratory bird paths over the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat: in Skagerrak/Kattegat runs a route in a southwest-northeast direction between Skagen in Denmark to the archipelago area in Bohuslän between Tjörn in the south and Smögen in the north. In Kattegat, another southwest-northeast migration route extends from the Grenå area over Anholt in Danish waters to the Falkenberg-Varberg area. The proposed energy areas within these two migratory routes – V359 in the north and V317 and V364 in the south – are considered to entail a risk of large or medium impact on migrating birds. V359 risks affecting a migratory bird corridor used by birds of prey during the spring migration, many of which are red-listed. The Swedish Environmental Protection Agency considers that the risk of collisions and barrier effects is high as the area is located in the middle of a relatively narrow migration corridor (Energy Agency, 2023a). V359 may also pose a risk to bird species moving in a north-south direction between Skagerrak and Kattegat. The migratory corridor in the south is also important for birds of prey. It is estimated that three to four thousand birds of prey follow this route during the spring route. Parts of V305 and V317 are at risk of negatively affecting the bird path. The more coastal energy zones V317 and V364 carry a certain risk of negative impacts on coastal species and coastal breeding species foraging in the sea. For these species, the establishment of wind power in the above-mentioned energy areas constitutes a possible barrier to the foraging areas further out to sea. V364 is bordered to the south by the Natura 2000 area Northwest Skåne Sea Area, which is designated, among other things, for the protection of wintering ducks and other seabirds. Cumulative and transboundary effects The energy area V357 is included in the baseline option and, together with area V359, would pose a cumulative risk of impact on birds. The area in Kattegat bounded by Fladen in the north and Stora Middelgrund in the south as well as towards the coast is of international importance for several seabirds, including guillemot, razorbill and three-toed gulls. These species show varying degrees of sensitivity to offshore wind (Leemans & Collier, 2022). Although each proposed energy extraction area affects only a small part of the entire area used by the birds, there is a high risk that the habitats of the different species will be fragmented or parts of them will become inaccessible if all energy areas were to develop. In Kattegat, energy areas V303, V305 and V361 are included in the zero alternative. Of these, special area V361 is considered to have a high risk of negative impact on birds. The cumulative picture for Kattegat is that establishing all energy areas in the plan together with those in the zero alternative would create a risk of major negative impact on birds. On the Danish side, there are plans for the establishment of wind power in both Skagerrak and Kattegat which are considered to further contribute to the risk of negative impact on migratory birds. Norway currently has no plans to establish offshore wind power in eastern Skagerrak. - 197 - Figure 60. Potential negative effect on migratory birds of proposals for energy extraction areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 198 - Figure 61. Potential negative effect on wintering areas for birds of proposals for energy extraction areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 199 - Bats In Skagerrak/Kattegat, the knowledge base on the presence and risk of impact on bats is particularly weak. There is a great need for additional analyses of migration routes and foraging areas. There is a migration route in the spring from Skagen's cape in Denmark eastwards towards the Swedish coast. Otherwise, it is the coastal energy areas in Halland that can have a negative effect on foraging bats and a potential migration route via Anholt and over to the Halland coast. An overall assessment gives a medium risk of impact on bats in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Cumulative and transboundary effects It is especially the energy area V303 within the zero alternative that is considered to be able to contribute to cumulative effects on bats in the potential migration route from Denmark via Anholt. Several energy areas in the Danish marine spatial plan are considered to have a risk of contributing to cumulative negative impacts on bats, but the state of knowledge is too uncertain for more precise assessments of the risk of impacts. - 200 - Figure 62. Potential negative effect on bats of proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 201 - Marine mammals There are harbour seals, harbour porpoises and, to a limited extent, grey seals in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Harbour seal The harbour seal is close to the coast and rests on islets and skerries. The harbour seal, like other seals in Swedish waters, does not achieve good environmental status according to the latest assessment (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024a). The harbour seal is not as sensitive to impulsive underwater noise as the harbour porpoise. Effects from the construction phase are considered to be minimised to negligible levels if mitigation measures are taken in the construction phase. Harbour porpoise In Skagerrak/Kattegat, the Skagerrak/Kattegat population of harbour porpoises has one large and several small (but important) reproduction areas, mainly in Skagerrak (Wijkmark, 2015). Particularly worthy of protection for this population is the area at the northern tip of Jutland, which is part of a large reproduction area. In Kattegat, Fladen and Lilla och Stora Middelgrund are the most important areas for the harbour porpoise. These are mainly used by the Belt Sea population. Neither the population in the Skagerrak nor the Belt Sea population is currently endangered, but is classified as of least concern in the Swedish Species List (Artdatabanken, u.y.), but in the latest status assessment under the Marine Environment Ordinance, the Belt Sea population is not considered to be in good status in any part of the Swedish assessment area. The energy areas V303 and V361 near Fladen and Lilla Middelgrund as well as V317, V305 and V364 adjacent to Morup's embankment are estimated to have a potential medium negative effect on harbour porpoises. If account is taken of when in the season construction works are carried out to avoid damage and mitigation measures are used, the effects on harbour porpoises are not considered to have a negative impact on populations in Skagerrak/Kattegat. There is a lack of knowledge about the long-term effects of continuous noise from wind farms on harbour porpoises. Further research and follow-up of actual impact is therefore important and that the conditions for decided parks include that the operator uses the best possible technology to minimize avoidance behaviour of harbour porpoises and ensured that during normal operation there are no noise levels that lead to harmful levels for harbour porpoises. See Figure 63 for a map of impact assessment for harbour porpoises in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Grey seal A small number of grey seals are also found along the Swedish west coast. The consideration that will be taken to minimise disturbance of harbour porpoises in the construction of energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat will also indirectly exclude negative effects on grey seals. - 202 - Cumulative and transboundary effects The energy area V357 included in the zero alternative is assessed to have a potential medium negative impact on harbour porpoises in the construction phase as the area overlaps with a harbour porpoise denser area extending into the Danish sea area. In Danish waters there are several energy areas in Kattegat. Together with the proposed energy areas in the plan proposal, they are considered to have a medium negative cumulative impact on both Skagerrak/Kattegat and Belt Sea populations of harbour porpoises. - 203 - Figure 63. Potential negative effect of proposed energy areas on harbour porpoises in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 204 - Benthic habitats The generally greater biodiversity in Skagerrak/Kattegat compared to the Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Bothnia entails a greater risk of negative bottom impact from offshore wind power in this marine spatial planning area. An analysis of potential bottom impact made with Symphony gives a large negative effect on benthic habitats for the coastal energy area V305 and medium impact for V364, both in southern Kattegat. For both areas, the negative effect is primarily on the photic soft bottom, that is, sunlight-exposed soft bottom. In general, wind power installations should avoid disturbing or causing the loss of benthic habitats worthy of protection. One example of such is the so-called bubble reefs that occur in Kattegat. Known occurrences of bubble reefs do not exist within proposed energy areas in the marine spatial plan, but consideration should nevertheless be given to design to avoid damage to potential biotopes worthy of protection. Other energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat have a small negative effect on benthic habitats in the analysis. See Figure 64 below. - 205 - Figure 64. Potential negative effect of proposed energy areas on the benthic habitat in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark blue color shows medium effect and light green blue color shows little effect. - 206 - In Skagerrak/Kattegat, bottom trawling is conducted, which has negative effects on the benthic habitats. Bottom trawling is different in intensity in different areas. In the assessment of good environmental status made for Skagerrak/Kattegat, the limit value for physical disturbance and physical loss is considered to have been exceeded. This means that activities with physical impact must decrease in extent if there is to be room for new activities with physical impact. Since bottom trawling is one of the main pressures on the benthic habitat in Skagerrak/Kattegat and a dynamic one, it is relevant to see in which areas it contributes the most disturbance. In such areas, a wind power installation with about 1-2% bottom impact could have been an improvement from a bottom pressure perspective compared to bottom trawling that impacts a significantly larger part of the seabed. This can be seen as a positive net local impact. In Symphony, this has been analysed with assumptions that trawling is not possible in energy areas with floating foundations and assumptions of a 50% reduction in trawling in energy areas with solid foundations. No assumptions have been made about the displacement of the fishing effort. Movement is likely because the fishing quota is likely to govern the effort, i.e. fishing is likely to take place elsewhere to fill the fishing quota. This would mean a concentration of the fishing pressure compared to the current situation. There are uncertainties in these assumptions and how bottom trawling will adapt. According to the Symphony analysis, a medium positive local net effect from a bottom pressure perspective can be obtained for energy area V352, V359 and V361. A small positive local net effect can be obtained for V317 and V364 in the southern Kattegat and in area V360 in the Natura 2000 site Bratten. See Figure 63 below. These results naturally coincide with the areas that are important for commercial fishing. A balance must therefore be struck between energy use and commercial fishing. Two interests sharing a limited bottom pressure space. - 207 - Figure 65. Potential positive local net effect of energy areas on the benthic habitat in Skagerrak/Kattegat if energy use replaces bottom trawling. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 208 - Cumulative and transboundary effects The effects on benthic habitats are considered to be primarily local and temporary, in addition to the establishment of a new hard bottom substrate at a plant in the soft bottom. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, such substrates can act as artificial reefs and attract biodiversity, but they also risk being stepping stones for invasive alien species. Therefore, the assessment does not give any positive or negative effect to new hard bottom substrates. In energy area V303 there are several known occurrences of bubble reefs that need to be taken into account in particular. The risk of cumulative bottom effects in relation to wind farms planned in Danish waters is considered to be mainly linked to potential reef effects and the risk of spreading alien species. Fish and spawning grounds The main parts of Skagerrak/Kattegat have the potential for fish spawning, but several species' primary spawning grounds are outside Skagerrak/Kattegat. This applies, for example, to saithe, whiting and mackerel spawning in the northern or central North Sea. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, the conducted Symphony analysis results in that the energy areas V352 and V360 in the north may have a medium negative effect and the energy areas V317 and V364 in the south a small negative effect on spawning areas. More detailed assessments need to be made prior to the possible establishment of wind power in these areas. Conditions differ between different areas, which requires area-specific surveys and adaptations (Öhman, 2023). In Kattegat, the proposed energy area V317 overlaps with an area that is designated as a national interest due to its importance for cod play and upbringing. The area is therefore considered to have been able to have a major negative effect on spawning and nursery areas. The establishment of offshore wind power in accordance with the plan proposal entails a risk of impact, which requires consideration and adaptation, in particular during the construction phase. - 209 - Figure 66. Potential negative effects on fish and fish spawning in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 210 - A reduction in fishing activities may occur as a result of the establishment of offshore wind power according to the plan proposal. The reduction could lead to reduced fishing pressure on the fish resource and benefit the recovery of the resource. However, how fishing will be affected and adapted to possible wind power establishment cannot be predicted at present. It is therefore also not possible to assess how large such a positive effect could be. Similarly, the environmental impact assessment of the adopted marine spatial plan highlights that the marine spatial plan’s guidance on particular consideration for high nature values can contribute to the introduction of provisions for more low-impact fishing, which is considered to have a small positive effect on the fish resource (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a). Regulations may relate, for example, to adaptations for reduced by-catch or reduced impact on the seabed during bottom trawling. However, whether and, if so, how such adaptations could be introduced is not foreseeable at present, and thus also the potential positive effects on fish. The overall assessment is that the plan proposal has a small negative effect on fish and fish spawning. Cumulative and transboundary effects The extent of energy establishment in Skagerrak/Kattegat affects the risk of negative effects on fish and fish spawning. The energy area V317 is considered to have the greatest negative effect and should therefore preferably be avoided. Energy areas in Danish waters has similar conditions to negatively affect fish and fish spawning. Here too, spawning periods should be taken into account in order to minimise the risk of adverse effects. Impact of proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values In Skagerrak/Kattegat, there are proposals for additional areas for particular consideration of high nature values in an area for general use (V308). The area is proposed by the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency as a new Natura 2000 area under the Birds Directive. It also has valuable occurrences of bubble reefs. A supplement to areas for particular consideration of high nature values can be found in the proposed energy area (V357) as a bird area because it is located in a migratory bird path from Skagen to the Swedish west coast. There are also proposals to supplement areas for particular consideration of high nature values in the northern Skagerrak within the marine protected area Bratten. The proposals are less extensive than those received from the County Administrative Board of Västra Götaland. SwAM has seen a value in prioritizing among areas. Examples of areas not included are those north and south of Bratten. The defence area V319 is proposed for particular consideration of high nature values. The areas for particular consideration for high nature values in Skagerrak/Kattegat complement the existing relatively extensive network of protected areas. The proposed new areas with the designation "small n" are considered to be able to provide guidance on particular consideration - 211 - for sustainable use when establishing wind power and other uses such as commercial fishing. Together with agreed areas for particular consideration of high nature values, the proposals are considered to contribute to a preventive consideration that can contribute to green infrastructure and ecosystem services and to the achievement of conservation objectives for biodiversity. Figure 67 shows the areas with nature use and particular consideration for high nature values within the marine spatial planning area Skagerrak/Kattegat. - 212 - Figure 67. Areas using nature (N) and decided on the respective proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values (n) in Skagerrak/Kattegat (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2024c). . - 213 - Effects on land, soil, water, air, climate, landscape, settlement and cultural environment Water and air In Skagerrak/Kattegat, it is the marine spatial plan’s guidance on energy extraction that is assessed to affect air and water. For effects on air, the assessment refers to changes in emissions of airborne pollutants as a result of the marine spatial plan guidance. Effects on water as a habitat refer to changes in the physical and chemical conditions of water as a result of the marine spatial plan guidance on the different uses. Turbidity and dispersal of sediments Offshore wind power construction and associated cabling are activities that are expected to lead to increased local turbidity and negative local impact on water quality. The turbidity itself can lead to sequential effects on marine life and particular attention needs to be paid to benthic habitats and organisms that are sensitive to impacts (see also section 2.3.1). Turbidity can also occur during maintenance and decommissioning. The effects are generally considered to be transient and local, and thus insignificant in terms of the marine spatial planning area as a whole and the estimated lifespan of the wind farms. Dispersal of pollutants During the construction phase, it is important that sediments and benthic habitats are carefully examined to avoid the spread of contaminants. In Skagerrak/Kattegat plan area, there are a number of environmentally hazardous wrecks (the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, Miljöfarliga Wrecks web map, u.y.) that, when affected, can spread pollution. There is also some increased risk of dumped ammunitions and mines in some areas (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). In Skagerrak/Kattegat there are three national environmental monitoring stations where the Swedish Geological Survey collects data to monitor the state and trends of environmental toxic pressures in marine sediments. The installation of offshore wind power in several energy areas may affect sampling and stations in the vicinity of energy areas may need to be moved, see Figure 68 below. Other marine environmental monitoring may also be affected by expansion in energy areas. Hydrographic effects Studies have shown that offshore wind power can affect hydrographic conditions during continuous operation, both at the surface and at the foundations (Arneborg et al., 2024). The effects in the surface water occur when the wind behind the wind farms decreases, which in turn can affect currents and stratification in the surface water. The foundations affect by slowing sea currents and creating turbulence that mixes different water layers. The effects of offshore wind energy can spread beyond the boundaries of the park and also lead to sequential effects and consequences for marine life (see section 2.2.1). Skagerrak/Kattegat with the Skagerrak in the north has a good water turnover through the direct connection with Skagerrak/Kattegat. Kattegat is a transitional zone to the Baltic Sea where water masses and - 214 - streams with different salinity mix (Havet.nu, 2023a). The plan proposal indicate an extensive energy area expansion especially in combination with the zero alternative. It is therefore important to investigate the effects of changes in hydrographic conditions. Hydrographic changes in Kattegat may also have effects in the Baltic Sea. Consideration also needs to be given to the effects of energy expansion in neighbouring countries in terms of cumulative impacts on hydrography and potential sequential effects. Changes in emissions and air quality The establishment of offshore wind power can lead to increased maritime transport for the construction and servicing of the wind farms. This in turn can lead to higher air emissions to a limited extent. Shipping and commercial fishing may also need to adapt routes to avoid offshore wind power, which could potentially lead to shifts in mileage and changes in air emissions. However, these effects can be seen as marginal in relation to the total emissions of these sectors. The expansion of offshore wind energy can also make a positive contribution to air quality by replacing other energy production that generates greenhouse gas emissions. This depends on the energy source being replaced, and the effects are regional and long-term. The overall assessment is that guidance on energy extraction has a positive effect on air quality. - 215 - Figure 68. Displays sampling stations for marine environmental monitoring as well as proposed energy areas including the zero alternative. - 216 - Climate The marine spatial plan's guidance on nature conservation, particular consideration for high nature values and energy extraction are the aspects that are most relevant in terms of climate impact in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The marine spatial plan provides guidance on five additional energy areas, in addition to the zero alternative, which in Skagerrak/Kattegat consists of the four energy areas where various projects have been granted permits for offshore wind power. The establishment of offshore wind power in energy use areas has the potential to provide society with renewable and fossil-free energy. The expected negative climate-related impacts of energy establishment are time-limited and small compared to the marine spatial plan’s contribution to renewable energy in the longer term. The marine spatial plan's guidance on energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat means that there is great potential to contribute to Sweden's climate goals. There are both direct and indirect effects in terms of potential climate benefits. Guidance on protected natural areas can indirectly lead to climate benefits as these areas are protected from interventions that negatively affect the marine environment, which in turn affects both ecosystem resilience and the ability to store organic carbon. Climate benefits linked to energy extraction through offshore wind power Fossil-free energy production is central to the climate transition by enabling the electrification of society (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2023a, Government, 2021b). Southern Sweden generally has a large energy demand, and the metropolitan region in Västra Götaland County has the second highest electricity consumption in a comparison between counties (see section 2.4.1). Offshore wind power is a renewable energy that has low climate emissions from a life cycle perspective (Energy Authority 2021), and the direct climate benefit consists of the fact that offshore wind power can replace energy production that has a higher climate impact. Climate benefit could also be achieved by using energy as an energy carrier to electrify the industry and transport sector, which currently accounts for a fair share of Sweden's greenhouse gas emissions (Energy Authority, 2024). Indirectly, climate benefits can also arise from the fact that the electricity produced is exported to other countries, thereby replacing other energy production with higher emissions (see section 2.3.2). There are several uncertainties and limitations to make a quantitative estimate and calculation of the climate benefit. Among other things, the final climate benefit depends on how many energy areas, and how much of individual areas are realized. It also depends on the method used to estimate potential energy production. The marine spatial planning uses a more conservative calculation for potential energy production, some designs indicate a higher power density, a reasonable range would be to assess that the areas in the proposed marine spatial plan allow between 21-30 TWh in Skagerrak/Kattegat (see also section 3.4.1). Furthermore, there are other factors that can determine the actual climate benefit. This may include factors such as how much capacity there is in the electricity grid and infrastructure, how other energy production and associated climate emissions are changing and what the electricity demand will look like in the future. Chapter 2 (section 2.3.2) presents a reasoning to estimate potential climate benefits, this reasoning was also the basis for calculations made in the previous sustainability report (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b) and is based on comparing the climate impact between offshore wind power and residual mix. The climate impact from offshore wind power is approximately 11 000 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per TWh (Energy Authority, - 217 - 2021) corresponding to 524 100 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent for the residual mix in 2024 (Energy Market Inspectorate, 2024). Calculations according to the same method for the proposal for a marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat show that the plan's guidance on energy extraction has great potential to contribute to climate benefits. Table 27 below also shows a comparison between potential CO2 emission reductions per TWh and Sweden’s total emissions in 2023 (SCB, 2024). As mentioned above, it is not possible to interpret the result as realistic, as several variables in the calculations are not definitive, but it gives an indication that there is a great potential for the supply of renewable and fossil-free energy production according to the marine spatial plan's guidance. In general, it is reasonable to assume that the climate benefit is initially greater, and decreases over time when the inferior energy sources are replaced. Table 27. Shows results of calculation for potential climate benefit when offshore wind power replaces fossil in the Nordic residual mix according to plan proposals, zero alternatives and current situation in Skagerrak/Kattegat. TWh Climate impact Nordic residual mix Potential Potential Offshore wind (524 100 tonnes CO2- reduction in energy (11 000 CO2-equivalent/ equivalent relation to tonnes CO2- TWh) reduction Sweden’s equivalent/TWh) emissions in 2023 Existing offshore wind 0 0 0 0 0% power in Skagerrak/Kattegat Zero alternatives 7 77 000 3 668 700 3 591 700 7% (permitted projects) Proposal for a marine 21 157 300 7 494 630 7 337 330 15% spatial plan Changes in greenhouse gas emissions Proposals for marine spatial plans with energy areas may have an impact on other uses with a potential impact on greenhouse gas emissions. This applies, for example, to possible changes in the mileage of shipping and commercial fishing. Skagerrak/Kattegat is one of Sweden's most well-trafficed seas, both in terms of freight traffic and pleasure boat traffic. Fixed installations at sea may be an obstacle to vessels, requiring certain routes to be changed. The assessment is that estimated second-round effects on the climate as a result of increased mileage and emissions are insignificant. Installation and servicing of offshore wind power can also involve emissions that affect the climate, but in relation to the input of renewable energy, these emissions are considered to be insignificant. Guidance on nature conservation and particular consideration - carbon sequestration The marine spatial plan provides guidance on both nature conservation (N) and particular consideration for high nature values (n). Marine areas that are protected against disturbances and impacts can generally be assumed to have better conditions both to deal with climate change by conserving biodiversity, and better conditions to store carbon as they are to some extent protected from physical disturbances. There are no data or figures that describe the potential and ability for carbon sequestration in different benthic habitats and sediments. Norwegian researchers have mapped carbon sequestration in Norwegian marine areas, and concluded that benthic habitats of different character have different abilities and conditions to contribute to carbon sequestration, both in shorter and longer time perspectives, an important conclusion of - 218 - the study is that benthic habitats that are left undisturbed have greater potential to act as natural carbon sinks (Diesing et al., 2024). In Skagerrak/Kattegat there are unique benthic habitats, with great variation in biodiversity and also deep sea channels in the north. The marine spatial plan guides the use of nature, and particular consideration for high nature values on a total area of approximately 5 386 square kilometres, which corresponds to just over 56 percent of the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat. The largest proportion, 33 percent, consists of large N, and 23 percent is particular consideration for high nature values (small-n). The proposal for the high nature value area has been extended by two areas compared to adopted marine spatial plans (see section 5.2.6). Marine spatial planning as such is only a small part of, and has no decisive role in, the ocean management processes that decide on guidelines for human activities in protected areas. However, the guidance on particular consideration is considered to be able to contribute positively to the conservation of marine environments to a greater extent than if the guidance had not been provided. As mentioned in previos assessments, there is neither data nor an established method to calculate or quantify the extent and rate of carbon storage in Skagerrak/Kattegat, to investigate this further can lead to a better understanding of the climate benefits of conserving and protecting marine ecosystems. Adaptation to climate change In the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat, data for climate refugias have not been available as a basis for selection in areas with particular consideration to high nature values, which means that this perspective is lacking. More measures of the ability of ecosystems and marine species to adapt to climate change may also need to be taken into account in marine spatial planning, such as connectivity and genetic variation (Havenhand & Dahlgren, 2017). Landscape In Skagerrak/Kattegat, the greatest impact is on the landscape in southern Halland, but there are also effects in the northern Skagerrak/Kattegat, where several areas provide a cumulative effect. Energy area V364 west of Halmstad is expected to have a potential large negative effect on landscapes. The nearby energy area V317 is estimated to have a medium negative effect on the landscape. These areas are almost entirely within the territorial boundary and are therefore relatively close to the coast. For V352 and V359 the risk of negative effect is considered to be small and for V360 marginal as the area is far from land. Figure 69 below shows the estimated negative effect of the respective energy area in Skagerrak/Kattegat. - 219 - Figure 69. Potential negative effect on the landscape of proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. In the energy areas, dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. Accumulated visibility from land is shown over the sea and visibility of energy areas is shown over land. - 220 - Area-specific assessments Skagerrak In the northern part of Skagerrak/Kattegat, it is especially the energy areas V352 and V359 that are considered to cause some effect on the landscape. V352 tends to have the greatest negative effect on the northern Bohus coast, where the Kosteröarna islandsand its national park stand out along with the area west of Havstenssund, Grebbestad, Fjällbacka, and Väderöarna. The energy area is about 25 kilometer from the Kosteröarna islands and about 32 kilometer from Grebbestad. Following the landscape analysis, V359 tends to have the greatest negative effect on landscapes around the areas around western Tjörn, Marstrand, Pater-Noster, and Gothenburg's northern archipelago, including the islands Rörö, Hälsö, Öckerö and Björkö. The distance from V359 to Gothenburg's northern archipelago is about 18 kilometer and to Marstrand about 20 kilometer. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, the plan's energy areas are relatively far from land, but its size contributes to a relatively greater negative effect on the landscape. The report ‘Storskalig vindkraft I Västerhavet – Landskapsbild 2023-11-30’ (Ramböll, 2023) analyses the impact on the landscape in more detail, in particular the potential for reducing effects by dividing areas into smaller parts with open views between them. Kattegat In Kattegat, V317 is estimated to have the greatest landscape impact on the coastal areas around Morups tånge and Falkenberg down towards Steninge. The energy area is located about 10 kilometer from Falkenberg. Worth mentioning is that V317 is located in the shadow of sight from V305 (zero alternative) to the Halland coast, but when established together with V305 can be perceived as a larger contiguous area if the landscape is viewed southwards from the north of the energy areas, for example from Träslövsläge or Morups tånge. For V364, the energy area is considered to have the greatest impact on the landscape in the areas around a larger part of the coast of Halland, as well as the Bjäre peninsula. This impact extends mainly from Falkenberg, along Halmstad and down towards Laholmsbukten. The northern and western parts of Bjärehalvön together with Hallands Väderö are affected. V364 is located about 16 kilometer from Tyludden and 13 kilometer from Hallands Väderö. V317 (and V305) have a distance of 6 kilometer to V364, which may contribute to them not being perceived as a coherent energy area. Other impacts on landscapes Energy area V352 is located about 27 kilometers from Fjällbacka archipelago landscape protection area that may be negatively affected by the establishment of offshore wind power. The entire coastline of Skagerrak/Kattegat is also covered by areas for unbroken coast or high- exploited coast (Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code). V352 is located about 12.5 kilometers from the coastal area and archipelago in Bohuslän. Values in this so-called national landscape include, among other things, the originality of the entire area, connected beautiful and original landscape sections and lookout points, and other values linked to the landscape image. The area includes values with areas of some originality and other environments linked to the landscape (Länsstyrelsen, 2000) that may be affected by the energy area. In the northern part of - 221 - Skagerrak/Kattegat there is also Kosterhavet National Park about 11.5 kilometers from energy area V352. In addition to high marine nature values, the national park also has a rich cultural and natural landscape. In Kattegat, the coast of Halland is covered by high-exploited coast of national interest. V317 is located less than a kilometre from the area and V364 about 5 kilometres from the area and Skåne's northern part of the national interest high-exploited coast. The landscape protection area Vesslunda about 16 kilometer from both energy areas and Strandområdet Påarp- Fylleån estuary about 27 kilometers from V364 is considered to be visually affected by the establishment of wind power. Cumulative and transboundary effects In Skagerrak/Kattegat, areas in Norway and Denmark can be affected by energy areas in the marine spatial planning area. For example, V352 in Skagerrak may have negative landscape effects on areas within the Norwegian national park Ytre Hvaler, as well as the coastal areas south of Sandefjord and Larvik. Further south, the V359 can have a negative landscape effect on Danish Skagen about 30 kilometer away, as well as marginal effects on the northern parts of Læsø over 40 kilometer away. In Kattegat, it is primarily the Danish island of Anholt that can be affected by energy areas in the plan area. Anholt is located approximately 34 kilometers and 36 kilometers from V317 and V364 respectively. Neighbouring energy areas will have a synergetic cumulative effect on the landscape on the coast of Skagerrak/Kattegat, despite some gaps between energy areas. From many viewpoints along the coast, several wind farms can be visible in good weather conditions. Based on the number of energy areas, their size, relatively coastal location and its location along the coast with relatively even distances, the cumulative impact in Kattegat is estimated to be large. In Skagerrak, V359 together with the authorised V357 can entail cumulative effects alternating its specific assessed effects. The cumulative effects from the northernmost energy areas are estimated to be smaller as the V360 is located almost 50 kilometers from the mainland. Cultural environment Indirect influence – National interest in cultural heritage conservation, Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code In the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat, there are three energy areas that are considered to entail a risk of large negative impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation: V359 outside Öckerö, V317 outside Falkenberg and V364 outside Halmstad. These areas lie wholly or partly within the territorial sea boundary and are therefore relatively close to the coast. Another area is considered to have a risk of medium negative effect on cultural heritage conservation: V352 outside Koster. Finally, energy area V360 is considered to be able to give rise to a risk of marginal negative effect on cultural heritage management. The energy areas V303, V305, V357 and V361 are not subject to an impact assessment as there are permitted projects in the area and are therefore included in our zero alternative. In addition to V360, other energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat are listed with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values (little-k). The guidance on particular consideration for high cultural heritage values is considered to entail adaptations of the location and design of wind farms regarding, for example, the location and height of wind turbines in order to reduce the impact on the specific - 222 - cultural heritage sites concerned. Figure 70 below shows the estimated negative impact of the respective energy area by colour code. Figure 70. Potential indirect negative effect of energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 223 - Skagerrak V352 is considered to be likely to have a negative effect primarily on the national interest claim Koster. The cultural environment includes archipelago, agricultural and fishing villages with older cultural landscapes. Expressions of national interest are described to lie primarily in the environment linked to the structure of the landscape, agriculture, coastal settlements related to fishing, and beach resort life. In addition to the national interest being within the bounds of spatial dominance/competition to V352, the energy area may affect the communication and recreation environment where unobstructed views are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages, urban environments, coastal and archipelago environments, coastal and shippers' communities where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. V359 is expected to give rise to a risk of negative impact mainly on several national interest claims, mainly Pater Noster, Marstrand, Burösund (Hällsö – Burö et al. islands), Styrsö parish, Åstol and Tumlehed. The national interest claims are covered by communication environment, small town environment, seaside resort, coastal and archipelago environment, ancient site environment, institutional environment, cognitive environment, fishing village and coastal communities. Expressions of national interest are described mainly in lighthouses and pilot sites, defence installations and the silhouette of Carlsten Fortress, churches, town halls and homes from the 17th century onwards, seaside resorts, port environments, plots, ancient sites in the form of communities from the Stone and Bronze Age, agricultural settlements, fishing activities, quarantine facility and rock paintings. In addition to the national interest claims being within the bounds of spatial dominance/competition to V359, the energy area may affect the archaeological environment, communication environment, recreation environment and defence environment where free views are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages, urban environments and coastal and shipping communities where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. Kattegat V317 is considered to be likely to have a negative impact primarily on the national interest claims Vastaddalen and Träslövsläge. The national interest claims are covered by, among other things, agricultural landscapes with plains, ancient relics, church environment, mill environment, coastal environment and fishing village. Expressions of national interest are described to lie primarily in prehistoric sites, agricultural buildings from the 19th century, coastal cottages, fishing village with protected natural harbor, and unique mill facility at Berte. In addition to the national interest claims being within the bounds of spatial dominance/competition to V317, the energy area may affect the archaeological, communication, recreation and defense environment where unobstructed views are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages, the urban environment and the coastal and shipping community, where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. V364 is considered to be likely to have a negative impact primarily on the national interest claims Vastaddalen, Gröthögarna, Segelstorp, Dagshög, Tyludden – Tylöns lighthouse site and Båstad – Norrviken gardens. The national interest claims include small-scale cultural environments and agricultural landscapes with plains, ancient relics, church environment, mill environment, coastal landscape, village environment, ancient and medieval coastal environment, seaside resort, recreational environment, and garden. The claims of national interest express prehistoric sites, - 224 - farm buildings from the 19th century, coastal cottages, medieval buildings, unique mill plant at Berte, burial cairns, line of sights along the beach and out to sea, 19th century farms, farmland, port, shipping and shipbuilding, the Bronze Age mound Dagshög, fishing villages, seaside resorts, and Båstad with its location and port. These cultural environments are sensitive to large- scale wind farms that can break historically functional links and complicate the understanding of the history that the cultural environments represent. In addition to these national interest claims being within the bounds of spatial dominance/competition to V364, the energy area may affect communication, archaeological, recreational and defence environments where unobstructed views are an essential expression. It may also affect fishing villages, urban environments, coastal and shipping communities where adjacent coastal and marine landscapes are an essential physical expression. Direct impact In the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat there are a number of registered marine archaeological sites in both the proposed energy areas and the energy areas included in the zero alternative. Figure 71 shows marine archaeological sites within and outside energy areas. - 225 - Figure 71. Risk of impact on marine archaeological sites. - 226 - V359 has the most registered marine archaeological sites in the area with 15. V364 has six registered sites. V317, V352 and V360 have no recorded marine archaeological sites in its area. Table 28 provides an overview of the number of marine archaeological sites for individual proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Note that the compilation only refers to the sites that are registered in the Swedish National Heritage Board's Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.y.). Since knowledge of the existence of marine archaeological sites in Swedish waters is not complete, the establishment of offshore wind power should be preceded by marine archaeological investigations where there may be marine archaeological sites (County Administrative Boards, 2024). Table 28. Number of recorded marine archaeological sites per energy area in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Source: The Swedish National Heritage Board's Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.y.). Energy area Number of marine archaeological sites V317 0 V352 0 V359 15 V360 0 V364 6 Indirect and direct impact – Regional value areas In the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat there are five energy areas that are subject to an impact assessment, the remaining areas have been granted a permit. Two areas are considered to have a risk of large negative impact on marine cultural heritage: V359 and V364. These areas are partly within the territorial sea boundary and are therefore relatively close to the coast. An energy area is considered to have a medium negative effect: V352. For V317 the risk of negative effects on the cultural environment is considered to be small and for V360 marginal. V303, V305, V357 and V361 are permitted and therefore not subject to impact assessment. In Figure 72 below, using a colour code, the estimated negative impact of each energy area on marine cultural heritage values is shown. - 227 - Figure 72. Indirect and direct negative impact on regional cultural heritage value areas. - 228 - Skagerrak In the far north, energy area V352 is expected to have a negative effect on the marine cultural heritage values Koster and Väderöarna. The impact in this case is primarily visual, as visibility towards the free horizon from a number of viewpoints in the value areas is important for the understanding of their cultural environments. In Kosterhavet there are particularly important line of sights between Ursholmen and Väderöarna, Lindön, and Koster archipelago. In the Väderöarna islands value area, the view of the lighthouse environment at Väderöbod, between Storön and the Northern Väderöarna islands archipelago, as well as between Väderöarna and Fjällbacka archipelago is particularly sensitive to visual influences. Both Kosterhavet and Väderöarna include the marine spatial plan area rare cultural environment type communication environment, and are part of national interest unbroken coast. V359 directly overlaps with the North Kattegat , a value area below the surface with a large number of shipwrecks. Norra Kattegatt refers to values below the water surface, which is why the risk of negative impact primarily refers to physical impact in the construction and decommissioning of foundations, cables or other infrastructure. The value area includes a large number of sites from mine blasted and sunk ships from the two world wars and is considered an important educational testimony of the 20th century world wars. The North Kattegat also includes the sinking of the Swedish submarine Ulven. V359 has a direct overlap with about 28 percent of the value area. For energy area V359 there is a risk of direct impact on cultural heritage values through the cable laying or other infrastructure outside the energy area, both on the seabed and on land. However, this risk is difficult to estimate without information on the exact location of such infrastructure. Furthermore, V359 risks having an indirect impact on cultural environments in the value areas Marstrand-Pater Noster and Känsö. Visual connections between cultural heritage buildings and a view towards the horizon are essential for the understanding of these cultural environments, which should be taken into account when developing wind power in the area (County Administrative Boards, 2024). Kattegat V317 is expected to have a negative effect on the value areas Morups tånge and Träslövsläge- Gamla Köpstad-Galtabäck. For Morups tånge, the line of sight towards the horizon from the lighthouse site in the direction of Anholt is particularly important and the area around Korshamn, both on land and on the seabed, is considered sensitive to cabling regarding ancient relics. Within Träslövsläge-Gamla Köpstad-Galtabäck, the free lines of sight towards the horizon from the ports in Träslövsläge and Gamla Köpstad are particularly significant. The area around the bay of Lerjan is rich in marine archaeological sites, which are sensitive to interventions both on land and on the seabed (County Administrative Boards, 2024). V364 is considered to entail a risk of indirect impact on the value areas Tyludden-Tylön, Bjärehalvön and Kullahalvön. All areas are sensitive to visual effects from the establishment of tall and area large facilities, but assessment of consideration distances needs to be based on site-specific conditions. Tyludden-Tylön, Bjärehalvön and Kullahalvön include all areas with high potential for marine archaeological sites that should be investigated before any cable laying. Like V317, V364 is considered to be likely to have a negative effect on Morups tånge (County Administrative Boards, 2024). - 229 - Other impacts on cultural environment In Skagerrak/Kattegat, V352 is considered to have a negative effect on the national interest for unbroken coast (Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code) of Northern Bohuslän. Within the national interest, no tall objects may occur, which means that higher objects within V352 about 12.5 kilometers away means that the visual effects are considered to be large. The area has, among other things, high-quality archaeological sites, older buildings and scientific cultural values that may be affected visually. The pristine nature and view of the untouched horizon are important experiences for the northern Bohuslän coast that risk being lost. The landscape protection area Fjällbacka archipelago is located about 27.5 kilometres from V352, which is considered to have indirect negative effects on the protection area. Kosterhavet National Park is located about 11.5 kilometers from energy area V352 and includes high cultural heritage values that may be affected by energy area V352. V359 is located about 7.5 kilometers from the national interest for high-exploited coast Södra Bohuslän (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code). However, the national interest is considered to have greater resilience for offshore wind power in V359 compared to V352. According to Västra Götaland County Administrative Board, the impact is not greater than allowed. However, cultural environments such as high-quality archaeological sites, older settlements and scientific cultural values (Länsstyrelsen, 2000) may be indirectly affected. In Kattegat there is a national interest for high-exploited coast along the entire coast of Halland and Skåne. Both V317 and V364 are expected to have indirect visual effects on national interests, but no large effects. Cumulative and transboundary effects In Kattegat, there is a risk that cultural environments are indirectly affected by Danish energy areas. The Kullahalvön peninsula value area is located 19.5 kilometres from an energy area in the Danish marine spatial plan. In Skagerrak there is a larger energy area east of Skagen located 25 kilometers from the value area Känsö and the national interest Styrsö parish. The Swedish energy areas V303, V357 and V359 are close to the Danish zone and can affect cultural environments in Denmark, not least at Anholt and in Skagen. In Skagerrak/Kattegat there are several cultural environments that may be affected cumulatively by the establishment of wind power in energy areas. However, the cumulative effects tend to concentrate in Kattegat, given the energy areas already included in the zero alternative. V352 is expected to give indirect negative cumulative effects for up to 13 national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and four marine value areas to a varied extent at a distance of up to 70 kilometers. V359 is the energy area that is expected to affect the most national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation, up to 31. V359 is also expected to affect seven marine value areas indirectly, as well as the North Kattegat directly given its direct overlap with the value area. In Kattegat, V317 can entail indirect cumulative effects for up to 16 national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and eleven marine value areas. V364 is reported to have indirect cumulative effects on 15 national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and ten marine value areas. For cumulative effects on specific cultural environments, it is expected that there will be less indirect cumulative effects in Skagerrak, given that the energy areas are further out into the sea compared to those in Kattegat. However, some cumulative effects may occur when establishing V352 and V360, mainly in the value area Väderöarna and Ramsvikslandet. When establishing the - 230 - licensed V357 together with V359, the cumulative effects may be greater. Here, the greatest cumulative impact on cultural environments will be on Pater Noster, Marstrand and the western part of Orust. The combined direct and indirect effects of V359 on the North Kattegat value area and the previous mentioned areas are expected to entail relatively large cumulative effects. In Kattegat, V317 and V364, combined with energy areas in the zero alternative and its relative proximity, can have indirect cumulative effects on cultural environments along the coast of Halland and northwestern Skåne. Morups tånge, Träslövsläge and Vastaddalen are the cultural environments that are cumulatively primarily affected by the establishment of V317 in combination with energy areas in the zero alternative. V364 in combination with surrounding energy areas can give indirect cumulative effects mainly on Tyludden-Tylön. Table 29 below shows the total sum of cumulative impacts from each energy area in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The highest cumulative impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and marine value areas is V364. Table 29. Cumulative effects in Skagerrak/Kattegat from energy areas on national interest claims for cultural conservation and marine value areas, based on the number of cultural environments affected, as well as its proximity. The higher the value, the higher the cumulative impact. The method is described in the method section Chapter 8. Cumulative impact on national interest Cumulative impact on marine value Energy area claims for cultural heritage areas conservation V317 64,5 47 V352 60,5 21 V359 95 43 V360 16,5 7 V364 104,5 49,5 - 231 - Effects on the management of water, soil and the physical environment in general Energy extraction In the planning area Skagerrak/Kattegat there are good conditions for wind power with high wind speeds. In the northern part it is deep, which requires wind farms with floating foundations. From north of Gothenburg and south, it is shallower and possible with bottom-fixed foundations. The transmission network on land is well developed since the Ringhals nuclear power plant is located on the coast of Halland. Despite good conditions, there are several challenges. The plan area is relatively small and with limited space. It is also relatively crowded with a lot of ongoing activities in the sea areas and along the coast with potential conflicts of interest. Coastal areas are also relatively densely populated. Extensive national interest claims exist in both coastal and marine areas including: recreation, cultural environment, nature values, shipping and ports, and commercial fishing. The plan's guidance on energy extraction is based on a adopted marine spatial plan, a national interest in wind power, planning documents and Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas in the marine spatial plan (Energy Agency 2023a), which is handled as a public interest of substantial importance. The adopted marine spatial plan, national interest claims for wind power and municipal comprehensive plans have also been taken into account. The draft marine spatial plan includes nine areas for energy extraction. Areas cover a total area of approximately 1,060 km2, corresponding to approximately 11 percent of the plan area and are estimated to generate an annual electricity production of approximately 20 TWh, based on assumptions of 5 MW/km2 and 4000 full load hours, see plan document part 6.1 for further description (the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). There are four permitted parks within the marine spatial plan area (V303, V361, V305, V357). The map below, Figure 73, shows all energy areas in the marine spatial plan, zero alternatives (permitted) and areas in the initial planning documentation, Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas in the marine spatial plan presented in 2023 (Energy Agency 2023a). The map also shows a grading of the conditions for energy extraction in each energy area, based on wind and depth conditions. Note that the classification is limited to these factors. Areas with a lower classification may have other advantages, such as proximity to connectivity or storage facilities, or may have conflicts of interest. Higher rated areas may in turn have disadvantages such as distance or limitations in connection or storage capacity or more or more severe conflicts of interest. With regard to conflicts of interest, see the overall assessment, as well as the respective assessment aspects and the need for adjustments when establishing a wind farm. - 232 - Figure 73. Map of energy areas in plan proposals, zero alternatives, initial planning basis, and conditions for energy extraction based on wind and depth conditions. - 233 - Area-specific assessments, nature and conditions for energy extraction All energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat are included in the documentation on suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial plans presented in 2023 (Energy Agency 2023a). The assessment of each energy area and its conditions for energy extraction has here been limited to assessment of the nature of wind and depth conditions and is made on the basis of a three-point scale as shown in Table 30 below. For more information see Section 8. Method. Table 30. Grouping, for the wind speed and depth indicators. Group/points Wind speed, medium Depth, medium 1 Less than 8,5 m/s Depths exceeding -70 m 2 Between 8,5 and 9 m/s Between -40 and -70 m 3 Greater than 9 m/s Founder than -40 m The marine spatial plan consists of two sea basins and the assessment of energy areas is presented from north to south below, see Table 31. Skagerrak The plan includes four areas using energy extraction V352, V357, V359, V360, of which one (V357) has a licensed project. Almost all energy areas are considered to have very good wind conditions. - Most of the areas are assessed to be located in areas with average depths of more than 70 metres, where area V360 is located in a particularly deep area. - Area V359 is estimated to be located on some shallower area, with an average depth of between 40 and 70 meters. - The areas are assumed to be designed for wind farms with floating foundations, except for area V359, which has been assessed as sufficiently shallow for bottom-fixed foundations. - All areas are fully or partially located in the exclusive economic zone. Area V359 is also partly located in the territorial sea, within the planned areas of Kungälv and Öckerö municipality. Kattegat The marine spatial plan guides on five areas using energy extraction, which also includes three areas with permit-granted parks. All energy areas are considered to have very good wind conditions, and are located in relatively shallower areas than in the northern plan area. In addition to the energy areas V303, V305, V361 with licensed wind farms, the plan provides guidance on additional areas for energy extraction in V317 and V364. - Areas V317 is located alongside V305, where permits are available for the establishment of a wind farm. The average depth is estimated to be between 40 and 70 meters with the assumption of establishing a wind farm with bottom-fixed foundations. Both areas are located within the territorial sea and municipal plan area for Falkenberg municipality. - Area V364 is shallower than 40 meters, mostly within the territorial sea and within Halmstad municipality's plan area. Wind farm is assumed to consist of bottom-fixed foundations. - 234 - The plan also guides on the use of electricity transmission. This includes the two parallel transmission network cables Konti-Skan 1 and Konti-Skan 2 which run between Lindome in Sweden and Vester Hassing in Jutland, Denmark. Two cable connections between Kristinelund in Sweden and Skibstrupgård in Denmark, the so-called Öresund cables, are located in the boundary between the marine spatial plan area Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Baltic Sea. Table 31. Plan proposal Skagerrak/Kattegat. Overview of guidance on energy extraction, location and conditions. Skagerrak/Ka Area Design Km2 Of which Municipality Estimated Adoption; wind, Depth ttegat ation Approx. km2 in electricity Typ Group Group Sea area; (Permissio territorial production, North to n=zero sea ~22 TWh* South alternative km (12 ) NM) Skagerrak V352 E(utr)f 180 70 Tanum 3,6 Liquid 2 1 V357 _ _ Skagerrak 160 O 3,2 Liquid (Permit) EFN Kungälv, Bottom- 3 2 Skagerrak V359 100 65 2,0 E(utr)f Öckerö fixed E(utr) 3 1 Skagerrak V360 190 3,8 Liquid Nf V303 Bottom- _ _ Kattegat 120 2,4 (Permit) EF fixed V305 Falkenberg _ _ Bottom- Kattegat (Permissio 25 25 0,5 fixed n) EF Falkenberg Bottom- 3 2 Kattegat V317 65 65 1,3 EF fixed V361 Bottom- _ _ Kattegat 35 0 0,7 (Permit) Efk fixed Halmstad Bottom- 3 3 Kattegat V364 180 170 3,6 Efkn fixed Total, 20 approximat 1 060 395 ely * Assumption according to marine spatial plan, 5MW/km2, 4000 full load hours. General description For the marine spatial plan, there are good conditions for energy extraction in terms of wind and depth conditions. Wind conditions are very good, however, with a relatively large proportion of the area with the energy areas located in relatively deep areas. The size of the energy areas is also important for suitability and investment conditions. The energy areas in the marine spatial plan vary in size, from around 25 to 180 km2, with an average size of around 120 km2, which is smaller compared to the energy areas in the other plan areas. Depth conditions are important for the feasibility of wind power projects in terms of investment costs and technology choices. At depths down to about 70 meters, construction is assumed primarily with bottom-fixed foundations, at greater depths, mainly floating foundations are assumed. Areas with conditions for bottom-fixed foundations are likely to be realised earlier than floating foundations due to their lower construction costs and more established technology (Energy Agency, 2023a). This allows the plan’s guidance on energy extraction to be assessed as beneficial from both a short and a long-term perspective. The three northernmost energy areas - 235 - are in relatively deep areas with average depths of less than 70 metres, where the wind farms are assumed to consist of floating foundations. Surface distribution of the areas by depth and foundation type, see Figure 74 below. Depths vary within and between energy areas, but in terms of surface distribution, half of the areas have an average depth deeper than 70 meters, about 30 percent of the surface of the average depth shallower than 40 meters, the remaining area has an average depth of between 40 and 70 meters. Approximately half of the plan’s energy areas, approximately 530 km2, are assumed to be suitable for wind farms with bottom-fixed foundations. The remaining areas are expected to consist of floating foundations. Figure 74. Distribution of areas for energy extraction (km2), average depth and foundation type. The distance of the areas to the connection point for electricity distribution or storage is also important in terms of profitability and investment cost. Where actual access points actually end up depends on a number of factors and involves relatively large uncertainties. The distance to the connection point depends, for example, on the appropriate and possible connection point to the transmission network, depth conditions, as well as on the choice of technology and on the design and possible location of storage and energy carriers, see also method section. Assessment of distance is not included in the criteria assessment but is shown to some extent with regard to whether the energy area is located within the territorial sea or not. If areas are located in the territorial sea is also relevant because of overlaps with municipal planning, which, among other things, also affects the decision-making and permit process. A slightly larger proportion of the plan's surfaces for energy extraction, just over 60 percent, are located outside the territorial sea, about 22 kilometres from the baseline, see Figure 75 below. This can have a significant factor in connection costs and maintenance, as well as being relevant to the current permit process. - 236 - Figure 75. Distribution of energy extraction areas (km2), territorial sea and exclusive economic zone. Marine spatial plan, zero alternatives and guidance on energy extraction The potential for energy extraction and electricity production is estimated on the basis of the surfaces for energy extraction in the plan proposal to be approximately 20 TWh, calculated on the basis of approximately 1060 km2 and assumptions of 5 MW/ km2 and 4000 full load hours. The corresponding area for energy extraction in the baseline scenario (permitted) is approximately 345 km2, see Table 32 below. Table 32. Energy extraction guidance, baseline/permitted. Skagerrak/Kattegat Areas of energy; Of which km2 in Municipal Adoption; North to South Area Km2, territorial sea planning Typ Approx. ~22km area V357 Southwest Sea Exercise Area Floating 160 0 Skagen - V303 North Red Bank 120 0 Bottom- - fixed V305 Southeast Morup Bank Bottom- 25 25 Falkenberg fixed V361 35 Bottom- 0 fixed North Little Middelgrund - Total 346 24 - approximately - Certain areas of national interest and public interest of substantial importance for wind farms have been considered incompatible with other uses. The original planning documents of public interest of substantial importance identified 11 areas suitable for offshore wind power in Skagerrak/Kattegat, with a total area of approximately 1,900 km2. During the planning process, these areas have been adjusted and some have been excluded taking into account other interests such as recreation, defence, shipping and commercial fishing. Total areas for energy extraction in the draft marine spatial plan, zero alternatives, public interest of substantial importance, national interest claims, and adopted marine spatial plan, see table below. - 237 - Table 33. Estimated area for energy extraction in plan proposals, zero alternatives, public interest of substantial importance, national interest claims and adopted marine spatial plan (Government, 2022). Skagerrak/Kattegat, approximate Indicative basis for energy extraction area (km2) Plan proposal 1060 Zero alternative 345 Public interest of substantial importance, Swedish Energy Agency 1875 (2023b) - Of which surface in planes 995 National interest claims 320 - Of which surface in level, approx. km2 15 Plan adopted 155 The plan’s guidance on energy extraction, including consideration guidance, is considered to contribute to the achievement of objectives for offshore wind energy. The plan is also expected to contribute positively to increased predictability for the activities concerned, as well as as a knowledge base for permit processes, regional and municipal planning. The areas that were initially identified as suitable for energy extraction (Energy Agency, 2023b) and that during the planning process were assessed as not being most suitable for use, mean that the total area for energy extraction has decreased, which can be assumed to affect offshore wind power activities and concerned sectors within the plan area. Realisation, projects and bidding zones Based on the target of a total of 120 TWh in annual electricity production for all plans, it is assumed that a large proportion of the energy areas in the proposal for amended marine spatial plans need to be realised. A prerequisite for realising the marine spatial plan's energy areas is investment interest in the construction and operation of wind farms. In principle, all energy areas in the plan area are undergoing permit processes for the establishment of wind power. Assumptions about potential electricity generation and allocation between bidding zones can be made based on designers’ applications and specified connection areas. According to project information and investment data from the County Administrative Boards' interactive map service Vindbrukskollen (County Administrative Boards u.y.), it can be assumed that approximately 75 percent of the potential electricity production in the plan area is connected to bidding zone 3, the remaining to bidding zone 4, see Figure 76 below. For more detailed information on electricity consumption and related bidding zones and users, please refer to chapter 2.4.1 Energy regarding electricity consumption and industry, transport sector and households. - 238 - Figure 76. Assumptions on connection bidding zones. Indirect impact - energy Guidance on energy extraction in the marine spatial plan may involve indirect land claims for cabling and other electricity transmission infrastructure and/or various forms of energy storage, such as hydrogen. This in turn may imply additional land and water claims as well as potential indirect environmental impacts and additional coastal and terrestrial risk management (see section 2.4.1.). The extent of land claims on coast and land, and where these land claims will take place, depends, among other things, on the type of technology and wind turbines, as well as the connection point for each wind farm. Achievement of objectives, national and municipal interests - energy The plan proposal for Skagerrak/Kattegat contributes to the achievement of objectives regarding offshore wind power assignments and national energy policy objectives, as well as national targets on climate and fossil-free electricity supply, significant for the transformation of the industry and transport sector and employment at local and regional level, see section 2.4.1. With regard to essential functions and activities, according to national classification (MSB, 2021), the plan proposal is expected to contribute to the conditions for ensuring electricity supply in the country. However, there are some questions regarding the relatively large proportion of energy areas located outside the territorial boundary, in the Swedish exclusive economic zone, regarding potential risk and impact on the essential functions such as maintaining or ensuring, for example, control and monitoring, and maintenance and fault repair of infrastructure. For territorial sea areas, national marine spatial plans overlap with regional and municipal plans. The plan’s guidance on energy areas overlaps with municipal plans for the municipalities of Kungälv, Öckerö, Falkenberg and Halmstad (Table 31). - 239 - Cumulative and transboundary effects Cumulative effects on areas for energy extraction can mean impacts between the areas, both positive and negative. When establishing several areas nearby, there may be some synergies in terms of infrastructure and maintenance. Negative cumulative impacts can occur based on limitations and scope of nearby wind farms, limitations in connection capacity, increased levels of conflicts of interest and possible impact on wind conditions between the farms. This may be relevant both nationally and in relation to the establishment of wind farms in neighbouring countries. The marine spatial plan’s guidance on energy extraction can also have an impact on and have an impact on neighbouring countries, similar to those identified at national level. This applies, for example, to the impact on and possible coexistence with shipping, nature values such as bird paths, as well as recreation and cultural environments. There is extensive international maritime activity in the plan area, including passage to and from the Baltic Sea and out to Skagerrak/Kattegat. The impact on neighbouring countries may also include the impact on migratory routes for migratory birds to Denmark and other surrounding areas, as well as the impact on outdoor recreation and recreational boating activities that occur frequently between neighbouring countries Denmark and Norway. See the respective assessment for more information. Recreation Skagerrak/Kattegat has large areas of high nature value in the marine spatial planning area and many of them are nature reserves and Natura 2000 areas. In addition, there is the marine national park Kosterhavet National Park in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Recreation is extensive throughout the marine spatial planning area with significant tourism. Recreational fishing and boating are an important part of outdoor life in Skagerrak/Kattegat. In principle, the entire coastline of Skagerrak/Kattegat is covered by national interest claims for recreation or national interest for mobile recreation. Wind power installations can have a large impact on experience values and the effects will be greater if the areas are used by many people. In the proposal for a marine spatial plan, Skagerrak/Kattegat has a total of nine proposed energy areas, four of which are included in the zero alternative. There are two energy areas in the marine spatial planning area of Skagerrak/Kattegat that are considered to entail a risk of large negative effects on recreation: V317 and V352. These areas are located within or partly within the territorial boundary and are all considered to be relatively coastal. For two additional energy areas, the risk of negative effects on recreation is considered to be medium: V359 and V364. One energy area, V360, is considered to entail a risk of marginal effects on outdoor activities. V303, V305, V357 and V361 are authorised and included in the zero alternative and are therefore not subject to an impact assessment. Figure 77 below shows the estimated negative effect of the respective energy area by colour code. - 240 - Figure 77. Potential negative effect on recreation of proposals for energy extraction areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 241 - Area-specific assessments Skagerrak Four proposed energy areas (V352, V357, V359, V360) are located in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Energy area V352 is located approximately 30 kilometres from the mainland coast and approximately 11 kilometres from Kosterhavet National Park. V352 may affect the national interest in mobile recreation Norra Bohuslän, with conditions for bathing places, fishing places and opportunities for boating. The energy area may also affect national interest claims for recreation Northern Bohuslän coast – outer coastal zone, as well as Kosterhavet National Park, east of the area. In the national interest there are activities such as hiking, rock climbing and kiting/paragliding. Values shown in the value description are pristineness in the outermost coastline, appealing landscape with sensitivity to wind power exploitation. Visual impact from wind power on sensitive recreation values is considered to exist throughout the area (Energy Agency, 2023b), with a significant risk of negative impact to the east, which gradually decreases to the west. V352 has been adapted by removing the northern part of the area. Cumulative impacts need to be considered. V359 is expected to have a negative effect on national interest claims for recreation Southern Bohuslän coast and Gothenburg archipelago, which is about 12.5 kilometers away, and the area Göta älv – subarea Nordre älvs estuarium about 20 kilometers away. The distance is considered to have a visual impact from V359 on the areas. Current activities according to the values of the recreation areas are cultural experiences, kiting/paragliding, diving, horseback riding and surfing. Eligibility criteria based on value descriptions are attractive landscapes. Energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat are considered to entail a risk of cumulative impact on experience values, as a result of exploitation in the landscape and disturbing obstacle lighting. Kattegat Five proposed energy areas (V303, V305, V317, V361, V364) are located in Kattegat. V317 is located near the mainland coast around 7 kilometers. The energy area is considered to have a potential negative impact on recreation. The national interest Skrea strand-Tylösand is close to the area with activities such as beach life, swimming and boating and the values of the view to the sea. Morups and Röde bank are also close to the energy area with values of untouchedness, stillness, silence, low noise level and attractive landscape that may be negatively affected by the establishment of wind power in V317. Finally, there is a national interest in mobile recreation in the Halland coast just under a kilometre from the V317, which can have a direct impact. Energy area V364 is expected to have a potential negative effect on the mobile recreation on the coast of Halland, Kullaberg and Hallandsåsen with adjacent coastal areas. An indirect negative effect on national interest claims for recreation mainly in the areas of Bjärekusten-Skälderviken, Skrea strand-Tylösand and Laholmsbukten can also be given. The areas include activities such as boating, swimming and diving, with values such as view out over the sea. The nearby areas of Röde Bank and Stora Middelgrund in the sea area can also be affected by V364 as the areas include values of untouchedness, stillness, silence, low noise and attractive landscapes in the form of views of the sea. The establishment of wind power was considered in the Swedish Energy Agency's report (2023b) to have less visual impact on national interest claims. The cumulative effects in Skagerrak/Kattegat clusters are important to take into account, despite smaller values of stillness in this region that are more linked to activities such as beach life, but also the national - 242 - areas of interest at sea that have activities such as recreational fishing and harbour porpoise safari. Accessibility Barrier effects are estimated to be greatest in Skagerrak/Kattegat compared to the other two marine spatial planning areas. Negative effects on the activities and experiences within the designated national interests for recreation can occur when establishing wind power. Despite no direct overlap, apart from permit-granted energy areas, of national interests for recreation in Skagerrak/Kattegat, activities and experiences can be affected, especially the more sea-based ones. Skagerrak/Kattegat has an extensive coastal recreation in the form of boating, recreational fishing, swimming, kiting/paragliding and diving. Recreational fishing and boating are considered to be most affected related to accessibility in Skagerrak/Kattegat, especially in the energy areas V352 and V359. Kattegat is unique with its sea-based national interest along the coast of Halland, situated on banks and foundations. The establishment of offshore wind power can create major barrier effects for these national interest claims. Apart from the energy areas included in the zero alternative, V317 and V364 are expected to create these effects on nearby national interests, including the mobile recreation along the coast of Halland a few kilometres from V317, as well as recreation, primarily at Morups and Röde bank, and Stora Middelgrund. The national interest claims are covered by activities such as recreational fishing, diving and harbour porpoise safaris that are considered to be affected. Recreational fishing has, however, been restricted by regulation. Recreational boating in Skagerrak/Kattegat occurs mainly along the coastline, where the Bohuslän coast has the greatest activity of recreational boats. Also out at sea there is great activity and some major stretches of recreational boating. Apart from areas included in the zero alternative, V359 and V364 have the highest activity of recreational boating within the energy areas and are considered to have negative effects on recreation, along recreational boating activity and trends towards recreational boating routes (Emodnet, 2022). See Figure 78 and Fel! Hittar inte referenskälla. below. Sections of recreational boating to and from Öresund and between the coast of Halland and the Bjäre Peninsula have greater activity, where V317 and V364 are considered to be physical barriers to recreational boating. Many routes to and from Bohuslän and Denmark also pass through V359, which can have negative effects on recreational boating there. - 243 - Figure 78. Prevalence of recreational boating activity within proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022 (Emodnet, 2022). - 244 - Table 34. Prevalence of recreational boating activity in proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022. The data is based on activity from at least one leisure boat in the energy field (Emodnet, 2022). Energy area Recreational boat activity average hours/month 2017 - 2022 V317 8,9 V352 4,1 V359 10,6 V360 1,8 V364 23,2 Other impacts on recreation In Skagerrak/Kattegat, V352 is considered to have a negative effect on the national interest for unbroken coast (Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code) Northern Bohuslän. Within the national interest, no high objects may occur, which means that higher objects within V352 about 12.5 kilometers away means that the visual effects are considered to be large. The national interest includes values such as pristine coasts, conditions for recreation and tourism, as well as high values for nature, geology and culture (County Administrative Board, 2000), whereupon these may be indirectly affected by V352. V352 is also located about 11.5 kilometers from Kosterhavet National Park. The national park has high recreation values and is a popular tourist destination. Various activities and recreational boating are extensive in the area. The proximity of the V352 to the park can cause negative effects on recreation and its experiences, not least visually. V359 is located about 7.5 kilometers from the national interest for high-exploited coast Södra Bohuslän (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code). However, the national interest is considered to have greater resilience for offshore wind power in V359 compared to V352, despite the fact that it includes conditions for recreation with values of, among other things, silence. The national interest includes conditions for mobile recreation, recreational environments, accessible and attractive bathing, beach and archipelago areas, as well as other environments and values linked to recreation (Länsstyrelsen, 2000). These may be affected by energy area V359, mainly linked to the visual impact. In Kattegat there is a national interest for high-exploited coast along the entire coast of Halland and Skåne. Both V317 and V364 are expected to have indirect visual effects on national interests, but no major effects. Cumulative and transboundary effects In Skagerrak/Kattegat, some indirect effects can be given by Danish energy areas, especially one east of Skagen and three east of Grenå in Denmark. The Gothenburg archipelago is located about 25 kilometres from a Danish energy area, which together with the establishment of wind power in V359 can provide the experience of a large contiguous area and constitute greater cumulative effects on the values within the national interest claim. Röde Bank and Stora and Lilla Middelgrund's national interest claims for recreation can also be indirectly affected by the three Danish energy areas east of Grenå. Together with the establishment of wind power in Swedish energy areas off the coast of Halland, they can cause greater cumulative effects for values such as untouchedness, stillness, silence, low noise and attractive landscapes. In the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat, there are energy areas that can indirectly affect recreation values in Denmark and Norway. Areas V359 are particularly important due to its - 245 - relative proximity to Skagen in Denmark about 24.5 kilometer away. The current impact on crossings for recreational boats to and from neighbouring countries is considered to be large for Skagerrak/Kattegat. Several routes to and from Denmark, but also to and from Norway, are in Skagerrak/Kattegat. V359 is expected to have the greatest impact on crossings of recreational boats, mainly linked to Danish Skagen. The cumulative effects on recreation are estimated to be greater in Skagerrak/Kattegat than in other marine spatial planning areas. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, some cumulative impact is expected due to designated energy areas. The designated national interests for recreation are few, but large in area and cover the entire marine area's coastline. V352 is expected to give visual cumulative effects on the national interest for recreation Northern Bohuslän, as well as the national interest claims for recreation Northern Bohuslän's inner and outer coast. V359 is expected to indirectly give marginal cumulative impact on the mobile recreation in Northern Bohuslän and the Halland coast, but greater for the national interest claims for recreation. Nine areas may be indirectly affected, mainly the coast of Södra Bohuslän, the Gothenburg archipelago and the Göta älv – Nordre älvs estuarium sub-area. In Kattegat, V317 can provide indirect cumulative effects for the national interest for recreation on the coast of Halland, as well as Kullaberg and Hallandsåsen with adjacent coastal areas. Energy areas may also indirectly give rise to cumulative effects for twelve national interest claims for recreation, primarily for Morups and Röde bank, as well as Skrea strand-Tylösand. V364 can potentially provide indirect cumulative effects for the same national interests for mobile recreation as V317. V364 can potentially also give rise to indirect cumulative effects on eleven national interest claims for recreation, primarily on the nearby Röde bank, Stora Middelgrund, Skrea strand-Tylösand and Bjärekusten-Skälderviken. For cumulative effects on specific national interests for recreation in Skagerrak/Kattegat, certain areas are identified that tend to be affected more cumulatively when establishing the energy areas. In Skagerrak, the mobile recreation in Northern Bohuslän can be affected cumulatively when establishing wind power in areas V352 and V360, which can be seen as a larger coherent area from within the national interest. Even the energy area V357, which is included in the zero alternative, can have some impact on the national interest. For national interest claims for recreation, it is primarily Northern Bohuslän's outer coast where visual cumulative impact from V352 and V360 is greatest. Further south, the V359 together with the V357 in the zero alternative may indirectly affect the coast of Södra Bohuslän, the Gothenburg archipelago and the Göta älv – Nordre älvs estuarium sub-area. In Kattegat, the national interest in mobile recreation on the Halland coast is expected to be affected by the establishment of most energy areas, especially considering the areas within the zero alternative. National interest claims for recreation at sea on embankments and shallows can be affected cumulatively when establishing in most energy areas and create barrier effects for those areas in addition to the indirect impact. Otherwise, it is primarily Skrea strand - Tylösand that is affected cumulatively. Tourism In Skagerrak/Kattegat, seven out of eight coastal municipalities write in their comprehensive plans that the tourism industry is an important industry (Båstad municipality, 2020; Municipality of Sotenäs, 2024). The accessibility to the sea and what it has to offer in the form of activities such as swimming, diving, surfing, boating and recreational fishing is important for the tourism conducted in the area. Furthermore, the open sea with beautiful views and a free horizon are - 246 - factors that attract visitors. The conditions for the tourism industry are closely linked to qualities in landscapes, conditions for recreation and cultural environments with the indirect consequence that where there is a high risk of impact on these values, there is also a risk of impact on the tourism industry. However, according to research, there are uncertainties about what the impact on the tourism industry might look like. One of the reasons is that people perceive wind power in different ways (LTU, 2023). Studies suggest that the majority do not allow elements of wind farms to influence the choice of destination. There are also some that are attracted by wind turbines while others are discouraged, see Section 2.4.3. Recreation. Most of those who choose to forgo a destination because of visible wind turbines instead choose to visit a nearby destination. Kattegat According to the municipalities in the area's comprehensive plans, the tourism industry is an important part of the business sector. During the summer months of 2022, the population of Halland increased by about 60 000 inhabitants, which means that the region had the third largest increase in Sweden (Region Halland, 2024). The tourism industry makes a relatively large contribution to the gross regional product. Furthermore, there is value in the creation of employment. There are nine energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat, five of which are located in Kattegat off the coast of Halland. The areas are relatively coastal. In three areas there are licensed wind farms (V305, V361, V303) located at a distance between 8 and 24 kilometers from the coast. Energy area V317 is located about 11 kilometer from Falkenberg. V364 is located about 17 kilometer from Halmstad, about 14 kilometer from Haverdal and about 29 kilometer from Båstad and about 19 kilometer from Torekov. The impact on the tourism industry could possibly lead to a redistribution effect where visitors choose not to have places with visible wind turbines such as along the coast of Halland and instead choose to spend their stay, for example, in the southernmost parts of Kattegat or in Skagerrak. The entire Kattegat is covered by Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code, which means that the interests of tourism and recreation must be taken into account in particular when assessing the admissibility of development companies or other interventions in the environment. See Section 5.4.2 Recreation. Skagerrak In the Skagerrak there are four energy areas that, in an overall comparison with those in Kattegat, are located farther from the coast but are larger in area. In one area (V357) there is a licensed wind farm, located about 29 kilometer from the coast. Energy area V359 is most coastal and is located about 19 kilometer from Öckerö and about 20 kilometer from Marstrand. V352 is located about 25 kilometer from the Kosteröarna islands and about 32 kilometer from Grebbestad. V360 is located about 47 kilometer from Smögen. In Skagerrak, the tourism industry is important for several coastal municipalities (Blå översiktsplan för norra Bohuslän, 2018). In large parts of Bohuslän, the population more than doubles during the summer months (Statistics Sweden, 2023). In several places, it is the income from tourism during these months that allows a trader to keep the business going for the rest of the year (Gothenburg Region, 2019). At local level, therefore, a redistribution effect due to visitors opting out of locations with visible wind turbines could be noticeable. The upper part of Skagerrak is also covered by Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code. See Section 5.4.2 Recration. - 247 - Defence No assessment is made at marine spatial planning level for the interests of defence. See chapter 2.4.4 for general effects. Shipping The planning area Skagerrak/Kattegat is considered to have relatively high maritime intensity, with extensive national and international maritime traffic to and from ports. Ship routes to and from Sweden and between neighbouring countries occur, such as Norway and Denmark, as well as maritime transport to Europe and other parts of the world. The plan area also has significant port operations, with about 20 percent of all Swedish foreign trade going through the Port of Gothenburg. Maritime transport includes freight vessels, as well as tankers and fishing vessels (EMODnet, 2022). In the planning area there are also shipping lanes that are part of the IMO's international routing system. The routing system is a vessel traffic control measure aimed at reducing the risk of accidents. Proposal for a marine spatial plan, energy extraction and shipping In the plan area there are four energy areas where there are permits for offshore wind power, V357 in the northern plan area and V303, V305 and V361 in the southern plan area. Table 35. Energy areas with authorised wind farms. Skagerrak/Kattegat Adoption; Energy Areas, Permitted Typ North to South Area Km2 Approximately Liquid V357 Southwest Sea Exercise Area Skagen 160 V303 North Red Bank 120 Bottom-fixed Bottom-fixed V305 Southeast Morup Bank 25 Bottom-fixed V361 North Little Middelgrund 35 Total, approximately - 345 - The use of shipping in the marine spatial plan is based on national interest claims for shipping that coincide in large parts with established shipping lanes and shipping routes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas using energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions according to risk assessment (Swedish Maritime Administration, Swedish Transport Agency, 2023). In the proposal for a marine spatial plan, Skagerrak/Kattegat has nine proposed energy areas, of which four permit-granted are included in the zero alternative. All energy areas in the plan area, except V360 in the northern plan area, are adjacent to fairways with national interest for shipping and shipping routes. The energy areas V357 (permitted/zero alternative) and V359 are adjacent to two national interest fairways, which include the main fairway from northern Skagen to Gothenburg, and north. With regard to the energy areas located on either side of the fairway, there is a risk of cumulative effects that need to be taken into account in further permit assessment, construction and - 248 - operation. This also applies to the southern planning area, in particular the energy areas V303 (permitted/zero alternative) and the plan’s energy area V317. To the south is guided with energy areas V303, V305, V317, V361, V364 and all adjoining fairways with national interest, as well as IMO-classified routes. There are permits for wind farms for V303, V305 and V361 and safety distances from shipping are specified in the respective permits. - 249 - Figure 79. Relative potential negative effect of energy areas on shipping in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. - 250 - Indirect impact A potential indirect impact may be an increased risk of allision, i.e. collision between ships and wind turbines. Allision can have environmental effects such as oil spills, etc. Other potential indirect impacts from guidance in areas of energy concern general accessibility for rescue and remediation work in maritime accidents at sea. For more information, see the Swedish Maritime Administration’s and the Swedish Transport Agency’s knowledge base on offshore wind power (Ahlström 2023, the Swedish Maritime Administration and the Swedish Transport Agency 2023). Further information regarding spatial analyses of shipping in the area can be found in the Lighthouse report Maritime interest in sea space in light of an increased expansion of wind power (Hjerpe Olausson, J. et al., 2024). Assessment Marine Spatial Plan Indicative use of shipping in the marine spatial plan is based on national interest claims for shipping that largely coincide with national interest claims, established shipping lanes and shipping routes. For the planning alterantive and including areas with licensed parks, all are located adjacent to one or more national interest-classified fairways, where some energy areas are also adjacent to the IMO route. In addition to direct impact on shipping and navigation, the impact may thus include indirect sequential effects, with regard to increased collision risk and with fixed installations, as well as the risk of impact on accessibility in case of need for rescue operations. In terms of zero alternatives and proposed marine spatial plans, the assessment is that the potential impact on shipping is relatively small, both for Swedish and international shipping, provided that permits for the establishment of wind farms take into account existing recommendations (the Swedish Maritime Administration and the Swedish Transport Agency, 2023) and the need for safety distances. Safety distances and other adaptations are handled and decided upon in the permit assessment for the wind farm. Cumulative and transboundary effects Nearby energy areas can have a cumulative impact through multidimensional effects on maritime routes, i.e. wind farms on several sides of the fairway. This also applies to areas with currently licensed wind farms, such as V317 and licensed parks in area V303. The same assessment also applies to shipping to and from neighbouring countries and international traffic in the plan area. In the planning area, there is extensive international traffic, both to and from Sweden, as well as maritime traffic to and from the Baltic Sea. Kattegat is particularly important for maritime traffic as it is one of only two routes into the Baltic Sea for large vessels. Commercial fishing Skagerrak/Kattegat stretches from north of Helsingborg in the south up to Strömstad in the north. Commercial fishing is widespread in the area and includes both fish and shellfish. Commercial fishing is geographically extensive and the surface area for commercial fishing is relatively large in the marine spatial plan. Trawl fisheries for Norway lobster and pelagic fisheries are carried out - 251 - in large parts of the marine area. Trawl fishing for Northern prawn is carried out extensively in the northern part of the area. Even demersal fish are caught as by-catch, and a few vessels also conduct a directed fishery for demersal fish. Some creel fishing also takes place to a lesser extent in order to fish for Norway lobster and lobster closer to the coast. Fishing with other passive gear occurs to varying degrees throughout the area. Shellfish have relatively low geographical mobility, which means that fishing grounds are more stationary than for other fisheries. As in other offshore areas, foreign fleets are also being fished in the Skagerrak/Kattegat planning area, mainly by Danish and Norwegian vessels. Impact on commercial fisheries The marine spatial plan indicates the use of commercial fishing in large parts of both Skagerrak and Kattegat. There are extensive national interest claims for commercial fishing, catch area in the plan area. Commercial fishing is given priority over energy extraction in areas of national interest for commercial fishing in V348, V351, V356, V358 and V365. Area V366 also gives preference to commercial fishing, but on the basis of a general interest of vital importance for commercial fishing. In areas V303, V359, V361, the guidance means coexistence between commercial fishing (which corresponds to national interest claims) and energy extraction. In an area of national interest for commercial fishing in part of the area, V357, energy extraction is given priority over commercial fishing. National interest claims for commercial fishing, cod spawning grounds and valuable fish habitat overlap with energy extraction in V317. In addition to this, the conduct of commercial fishing outside identified risk claims and public interests is also significantly affected. The conditions for coexistence with commercial fishing and thus the impact on commercial fishing depend on the design, adaptation of the wind farm, the type of foundation of the wind turbines, as well as on the type of fishing carried out and the adaptations that are possible of the fishing (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management and Swedish Energy Agency, 2023). For energy areas V352, V357 and V360 in Skagerrak, energy areas are assumed to consist of parks with floating foundations. In these areas, bottom trawl fisheries are conducted primarily for shrimp, but also for Norway lobster, which is not considered to be compatible with this type of wind farm. Norway lobster and shrimp have relatively low geographical mobility, which is assumed to limit the possibility of trawl fisheries targeting these species to other areas. The plan's guidance on the use of energy thus means that priority is given to energy extraction over national interest claims and the interests of commercial fishing in these three areas. For area V359 bottom-fixed foundations are assumed to be relevant. The area is mainly bottom trawling for Norway lobster and fish, this fishery is considered to be able to coexist with an established energy area. The energy areas V303, V305, V317, V361, V364 in Kattegat are assumed to consist of wind farms with bottom-fixed foundations. These areas are mainly bottom trawling for Norway lobster and fish. Trawl fishing for Norway lobster in combination with wind farms with fixed foundations is considered, after adaptation of the wind farm, to be able to coexist to some extent. - 252 - The annual average landing value during the period 2013-2023 for the pelagic trawl fishery, the trawl fishery for demersal species such as shrimp and Norway lobster and the creel fishery for Norway lobster was in Skagerrak/Kattegat SEK 490 million in total. Based on the assumption that each trawl line passing through proposed energy areas is affected by the establishment of an energy area, approximately 10 percent of the landing value is estimated to be affected if all energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat are built. In particular, commercial fishing using trawls for Norway lobster and trawls for shrimp is affected (Waldo S. & Blomquist J., 2024a). The actual impact on the landing value depends on the possibility of coexistence or relocation of fisheries to other areas. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, there are already four energy areas that have been granted permits. It corresponds to areas V357, V305, V303 and V361. For V361, the Natura 2000 permit has not become final. Already licensed wind farms for the energy areas mean that the indicative use and impact of the marine spatial plan can be assessed to be lower in reality. All nine areas for energy extraction in the proposal for a marine spatial plan in Skagerrak/Kattegat are considered to have a potential large impact on the commercial fishing. Based on landing values and share in the fisheries in question, the impact is considered to be relatively large, regarding trawl fishing for crayfish and fish, and shrimp fishing. Figures 80 and 81 below show the impact as a percentage of the total annual landing value per energy area. For areas with permits for the establishment of wind power, the share is not shown as they are included in the zero alternative of the impact assessment. The establishment of wind power in the licensed areas, together with the proposed areas, contributes to a potential cumulative impact. Table 36 below shows landing values for all areas. Please note that the reporting refers to averages for the whole period 2013-2023. In some cases, shifts between areas have occurred over time that do not show the average values. Among other things, such a shift has taken place from the V360 to the V352. Table 36. Landing value from Swedish fisheries affected by energy areas in SEK million (SEK million) and percentage (%) of total landing value, for Skagerrak/Kattegat. Average per year 2013-2023. Rounding has taken place to the nearest integer. Share of Landing landing value value including including part of share of fishing in fishing in Share of other other landing value countries' countries' Landing value from Swedish territorial territorial from Swedish territorial sea and sea and territorial waters and exclusive economic Landing value waters and exclusive economic zone affected by exclusive economic zone zone total affected by energy areas economic zone affected by (SEK energy Type of fishing (SEK million) (SEK million) energy areas million) zones Trawl fisheries Northern prawn (bottom trawl) in Skagerrak/Kattegat 12 103 12% 148 8% Trawl fisheries Norway lobster and fish (bottom trawl) in Skagerrak/Kattegat 37 163 23% 204 18% - 253 - Source: Waldo, S. & Blomquist, J., 2024b How is Swedish fishing affected by offshore wind power? Supplementary material (AgriFood Report, no. 2024:2). AgriFood Economics Centre. The plan proposal includes an expansion of areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat with particular consideration to high nature values with regard to birds and reef environments. Areas with special nature considerations can in the long term, depending on the nature value the consideration refers to, benefit commercial fishing from potentially strengthening ecosystem services. - 254 - Figure 80. The map shows proposed energy areas, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The figure also shows the impact as a percentage of the total annual landing value (Northern shrimp) per energy area. - 255 - Figure 81. The map shows proposed energy areas, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The figure also shows the impact as a percentage of the total annual landing value (Norway lobster and fish) per energy area. - 256 - Indirect environmental impact of land and water use The marine spatial plan's guidance and potential impact on commercial fishing can also have indirect environmental effects. Changes in the activity of commercial fishing, spatially and in intensity, may involve the movement of fishing activity to other areas, possibly with longer driving distances, which may lead to increased air emissions, such as greenhouse gases. It may affect the conditions for commercial fishing if operating costs rise due to longer distance and driving time and/or revenues fall due to reduced catch or catch of lesser quality. However, the actual outcome and indirect environmental impact regarding mileage impact is considered to be highly uncertain and in the long term also due to the development and conversion of the fleet to more energy-efficient, better and fossil-free fuels. The area is used for bottom trawling and pelagic fishing. Potentially, this may mean that the impact on benthic habitats can be reduced in the energy areas where bottom trawling no longer takes place. However, the gross effect is mainly local, the total net effect on reduced impact of benthic habitats depends on, if and to which other areas a possible movement of bottom trawling takes place. National, regional, municipal interests The plan's guidance on the use of commercial fishing confirms, with one exception, national interest claims for commercial fishing. However, guidance on the use of energy extraction can to some extent affect the conduct of commercial fishing in the plan area's offshore areas. The impact on commercial fishing can also affect activities and value chains dependent on marine resources, as well as other activities and facilities for landing and processing fishery resources. This includes, for example, port operations of local and regional interest in the plan area, as well as essential functions related to food security and primary production, see section 2.4.6 on national and municipal interests. Most ports in Halland and Västra Götaland have between 2019-2023 had landings from catches coming from one of the marine spatial plan's energy areas. In Träslövsläge harbour in Varberg municipality and Glommen harbour in Falkenberg municipality, a large proportion of catches caught in an energy area are landed. Should all energy areas be built on, 47 percent of the landing value in Träslövsläge and 49 percent of the landing value in Glommen would be affected based on an annual average landing value 2019-2023. As some trawl fisheries targeting Norway lobster and fish are considered to be able to coexist with wind farms, the actual impact depends on the extent to which coexistence can be achieved and on which energy areas are ultimately built. Cumulative and transboundary effects As in other offshore areas, in addition to Swedish fishing, extensive foreign fishing is taking place in Swedish waters in Skagerrak/Kattegat, mainly by Danish and Norwegian vessels. The total potential impact on landing values for all fleets can therefore be significantly higher, as foreign vessels are assumed to fish to a large extent in the same areas as Swedish vessels. Denmark's marine spatial plan includes four energy extraction areas in Kattegat. Swedish fishing is mainly conducted in an energy area off Jutland's northernmost east coast, about 25 kilometers from Gothenburg's outer archipelago (Vinga) (Swedish Maritime Administration, 2025). - 257 - The impact on commercial fishing of all the energy areas in the marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat is considered to have a potentially large impact on the operation of commercial fishing in the plan area, primarily in the case of shrimp fishing, as well as bottom trawling for crayfish and fish. This also includes areas with licensed wind farms (V303, V305, V357, V361), which are relatively significant for crayfish fishing, and are not considered to be directly affected on the basis of the draft marine spatial plan. However, not all areas of energy in the marine spatial plan are assumed to be realised, and the actual impact and aggravation on the conduct of commercial fishing depend on which areas of energy are actually realised, as well as on opportunities for coexistence. Examples of different types of adaptation are: the design of the wind farm, adaptations in fisheries, e.g. fishing methods, as well as possibilities for relocation of fisheries to other areas. However, the possibility of fishing movements is assumed to depend on current target species, where some e.g. Norway lobster is more linked to specific locations/habitats. The plan area also includes fishing from vessels registered in other countries, mainly Danish and Norwegian fishing vessels. The total potential impact on landing values and related activities for all fisheries can therefore be significantly higher. Coastal fishing and creel fishing for Norway lobster, which are mainly conducted closer to the coast, are not considered to be directly affected by the plan's guidance of energy areas. Opportunities for commercial fishing are also affected by fishing regulations as certain areas are limited for commercial fishing. This is partly about the Natura 2000 site Bratten (V366). An area completely and partially closed to both commercial and recreational fishing is located in the southern part of the area (large parts of V307). Fishing-free areas or areas limited to fishing thus affect the possibilities for movement of fishing. Potential impact on commercial fishing, is also considered to entail indirect effects in terms of fishing value chains, processing industry, affected landing ports and municipal interests see 2.4.6 about national and municipal interests. In terms of effects on the profitability of fishing enterprises, these depend on the extent to which fishing can move, how landings are affected and whether the costs of fishing operations change. The impact on individual companies depends on how their fishing patterns may need to be changed. - 258 - Overall assessment Skagerrak/Kattegat Nature and ecological aspects Skagerrak/Kattegat, with its almost ocean-like conditions, has greater biodiversity compared to the Baltic Sea and the Gulf of Bothnia. There are rich bird communities linked mainly to archipelagos in the north and islands further south. Offshore areas in and around the embankments Stora and Lilla Middelgrund and Fladen there are important wintering areas for birds, as well as important migratory routes north Jutland-Bohus coast and Grenå-Anholt-Halland coast. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, both the Belt Sea population and Skagerrak/Kattegat population of harbour porpoises occur. Establishing energy areas in accordance with the proposed marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat would entail a high risk of negative impact on important migratory routes for birds and a risk of impact on bats. In particular, the four permitted energy areas and included in the zero alternative contribute to this risk of impact on birds. The additional five energy areas included in the plan increase the cumulative pressure on birds. Underwater noise from the construction and operation of offshore wind power can lead to disturbance of marine mammals, the extent of the disturbance depends on adaptations and consideration measures during both construction and operation. In this area, there is a need to investigate potential effects and technologies for both construction, operation and decommissioning in order to minimize the risk of negative impact in particular on the harbour porpoise. In Skagerrak/Kattegat there are important biotope-building species such as blue mussel and Lophelia corals in hard benthic habitats and important burrowing organisms and protected sea pens in soft bottoms. Trawling is the main pressure on the benthic habitats of Skagerrak/Kattegat. Here, fish spawning occurs in large parts of the sea area. Specific conditions need to be carefully investigated during the design process to avoid damaging or negatively affecting habitats rich in species and worthy of protection. A potential positive net local impact on benthic habitats may arise if energy use replaces bottom trawling especially in Skagerrak. Fishing is likely to be partly relocated to adjacent accessible areas, which would result in the pressure on the benthic habitat being shifted and concentrated. Recreation, cultural environment and landscape In Skagerrak the Bohuslän coastline stretches, which in the north is of national interest for unbroken coastl There is also a marine national park - Kosterhavet. The entire coastline of Skagerrak/Kattegat is covered by national interest claims for recreation, and the northern parts also mobile recreation. In this region there is extensive recreational boat traffic, mainly in coastal areas, but also recreational boat routes offshore between southern Bohuslän and Skagen. Södra Bohuslän is of national interest for high-exploited coast with several cultural environments, such as lighthouses and fishing villages with strong links to the marine environment and qualities such as unobstructed horizon. Marine cultural heritage sites are mainly found along the coast, but also further out in southern Bohuslän with a particularly designated value area below the surface. Along the coast of Halland there are values for the moving recreation. Claims of national interest for recreation are also found in the marine spatial planning area at embankments that offer good opportunities for activities such as recreational fishing and nature experiences. There are wrecks, - 259 - marine archaeological sites and two value areas below the surface with the likely presence of sunken settlements and islands. The coast of Halland is also of national interest for high-exploited coast The marine spatial plan's guidance on energy extraction may entail a risk of negative impact on cultural heritage, recreation and landscapes, with possible sequential effects on the tourism industry. In the northern marine spatial planning area, it is mainly about visual impact. Energy area V359 overlaps with a marine value area for cultural environment and is also close to the cultural environments on Marstrand with Pater Noster. Energy areas overlap with recreational boat routes in both Halland and Bohuslän. Offshore wind power can affect the availability and maritime safety of recreational craft in, for example, energy areas V364 in southern Kattegat and energy area V359 as well as area V357 that has a permit for a project. The cluster of energy areas in the southern parts of Skagerrak/Kattegat affects areas of national interest for recreation. The energy areas that are close to the coast also have a visual impact from land, where people spend time on beaches, for example. Landscape effects in Skagerrak/Kattegat tend to have medium-sized effects from energy areas. The coastal areas in Halland are also the areas that have the greatest impact on recreational boat routes. Energy extraction, shipping and commercial fishing The plan proposal for Skagerrak/Kattegat will provide guidance on 9 areas for energy production, corresponding to an area of approximately 1 060 km2 and approximately 11 percent of the marine spatial planning area. Energy production is estimated to be approximately 20 TWh per year. For the marine spatial plan, there are good conditions for energy extraction in terms of wind and depth conditions. A relatively large proportion of the area consists of energy areas located in relatively deep areas. Compared to other marine spatial plans, a relatively large proportion of the energy areas are located within the territorial sea, about 40 percent. The plan's guidance on energy is available in the municipalities of Tanum, Öckerö, Falkenberg and Halmstad. In some areas suitable for energy, other uses have been given priority, which may affect energy supply, affected companies in wind power planning in the plan area negatively. According to the assignment, Skagerrak/Kattegat is a priority area for marine spatial planning for increased offshore wind power. The potential impact on shipping in Skagerrak/Kattegat is assessed to be relatively small, both for Swedish and international shipping, provided that permits for the establishment of wind farms take into account existing recommendations and the need for safety distances. The same assessment also applies to shipping to and from neighbouring countries and international traffic in the plan area. The design of energy areas in the plan proposal has to some extent been adapted to take account of the national interest in commercial fishing and the fishing activity after the consultation. Overall, the impact on commercial fishing for Skagerrak/Kattegat is considered to have a potential major impact on the conduct of commercial fishing in the plan area, primarily in the case of shrimp fishing, as well as bottom trawling for crayfish and fish. There is a high risk of cumulative effects if all energy areas are established. Several energy areas with licensed projects have a potentially large negative effect on commercial fishing. These include, for example, V357 for shrimp fishing and V303, V361 and - 260 - V305 for crayfish fishing. There is considerable uncertainty regarding the impact and possible loss of landing values. The conditions for the movement of fisheries depend on the type of fishery and the target species concerned. Where fishing can be relocated, the effect is mainly an increase in the cost of fishing effort. Norway lobster is an example of a target species linked to specific sites and habitats, with limited possibilities for the movement of fisheries. Adapted park layout, buried cables and other solutions for coexistence between commercial fishing and offshore wind power can affect the conditions for continuing fishing in energy areas and adjacent areas. Vessels from other countries, mainly Danish and Norwegian, also fish in the plan area, which may also be affected by the establishment of offshore wind power. Coastal fishing and creel fishing for Norway lobster, which are mainly conducted closer to the coast, are not considered to be directly affected by the plan's guidance on energy areas. Potential impact on commercial fishing is considered to have indirect effects on fishing value chains, the processing industry, affected landing ports and municipal interests. Aggregated assessment of energy areas In the impact assessment above, negative and positive impacts have been assessed on a scale from 0 to 4. The purpose is to show the risk of impact on the assessment aspect, e.g. birds or cultural environment. It is a complex task to make an overall assessment for an energy area in terms of the cumulative impact an energy area has on different assessment aspects and interests. This is due to several factors, including the degree of detail and quality of the knowledge base differing between different assessments, as well as the challenge of comparing widely different types of effects and consequences. At the same time, it is essential that the impact assessment provides an overall picture. The table below shows all assessments by energy area in the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat. The table aims to give an overview and a feeling that some energy areas have a greater risk of negative effects than others. - 261 - Table 37. Shows all assessments for energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat, and how these can be aggregated and show the total negative effects of an energy area. Recreation, Cultural environment Ecology Sectors and Landscape Cultural Benthic Fish and fish Migratory Marine Commercial Outdoor environ Area habitats spawning Bats bird Bird, wintering mammals Shipping fishing activities ment Landscape V303 V305 V317 V352 V357 V359 V360 V361 V364 Ö285 Ö287 * Zero alternatives/Authorised. Assessment scenarios show potential distribution of cumulative effects In Skagerrak/Kattegat, there are permits to build offshore wind power in four energy areas, some permits are older, such as V305, and the rest have been awarded in recent times. The marine spatial plan for Skagerrak/Kattegat provides guidance on four additional energy areas. As mentioned earlier, there are several uncertainties linked to how the actual expansion will look like in Skagerrak/Kattegat. To illustrate what an expansion of energy areas could look like, two scenarios are used, showing potential expansion taking into account different interests. The ‘Nature and culture’ scenario shows a selection of the energy areas identified by the impact assessment as having the least overall negative impact on natural and cultural heritage values. The expected energy production would be around: 16 TWh. In the ‘Nature and Culture’ scenario, only one energy area sites in Skagerrak/Kattegat, V360, which overlaps with the Natura 2000 Bratten site. All energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat generally have a major impact on both ecological aspects and cultural environments, and V360 is the area that archaeological sites in a weighted assessment of these aspects, despite overlapping with nature conservation. Natura 2000 requires specific permits to establish offshore wind energy, and it shall be possible to ensure that important nature values are not harmed. As the zero alternative in Skagerrak/Kattegat entails a relatively large area claim for energy extraction, the assessment is that further expansion beyond the zero alternative risks affecting bird migration routes between Denmark and Sweden. Along the Bohuslän and Halland coasts, there are plenty of national interest claims for both the cultural environment and recreation that risk being negatively affected by expansion in the more coastal energy areas, see Figure 82 below. - 262 - In the ‘Shipping and commercial fishing’ scenario, the energy areas with the greatest combined negative impact on fishing and shipping are removed, V359 which directly overlaps with national interest for commercial fishing and V317 which is in the same area as national interest for commercial fishing and spawning area. Consequences for shipping in Skagerrak/Kattegat are primarily about safety and navigation. Skagerrak/Kattegat is a well-trafficed area, and energy areas included in the zero alternative risk having a negative impact on shipping, see Figure 83 below. - 263 - Figure 82. Displaying the "Nature and Culture" assessment scenario, in this case the energy areas identified by the impact assessment as having the greatest overall negative impact have been removed. The overall negative impact on the values of nature and culture will be low. - 264 - Figure 83. If the assessment scenario "Shipping and commercial fishing" is shown, in this case the energy areas identified by the impact assessment as having the greatest overall negative impact have been removed. The overall negative impact on values for shipping and fishing will be low. - 265 - Cross-border cumulative effects Cumulative effects in Skagerrak/Kattegat could mainly occur in relation to the impact on birds, harbour porpoises, landscapes, cultural environments, recreation, water (hydrography), commercial fishing and shipping. The planned energy establishment of neighbouring countries can mainly contribute to particularly cumulative impacts on birds, harbour porpoises, commercial fisheries, energy and shipping. Continued dialogue with neighbouring countries is necessary to assess cumulative impacts from a sea basin perspective. - 266 - Figure 84. Map of proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat and plans for energy expansion in neighbouring countries. Source: EMODnet, 2022, Flanders Marine Institute, 2023. - 267 - Results and conclusions This chapter compiles the assessment of the expected environmental effects of the marine spatial plans for the three marine spatial planning areas of the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat based on the results reported in the previous chapters. The analyses in this part are carried out at national level and cover all three marine spatial plans. Section 6.1 describes the contribution of marine spatial plans to achieving good environmental status in Swedish waters under the Marine Strategy Framework Directive and the criteria in the Water Framework Directive that are related to the marine environment. Section 6.2 includes an analysis of how the marine spatial plans jointly contribute to achieving Sweden's environmental quality objectives. The third section presents the implications of marine spatial plans for other relevant plans, policies and programmes. Apart from the use of energy extraction and the guidance on particular consideration for high nature values in a number of areas, the guidance in this proposal for revised marine spatial plans does not differ from agreed marine spatial plans. Assessment against the Marine Strategy Framework Directive and the Water Framework Directive Plankton communities and pelagic environments Current environmental status According to the latest assessment of the status of the marine environment (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023c), good status of pelagic habitats is not achieved in any of the assessment areas. The indicators for phytoplankton and zooplankton (D1C6, D4C1) meet their threshold values in individual marine areas, but the eutrophication problem has a negative impact on the status of plankton communities in the Baltic Sea. Phyto- and zooplankton have also shown a downward trend in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Effects of marine spatial plans In total, marine spatial plans are not considered to have a significant impact on plankton communities or on pelagic habitats. The overall assessment against relevant MSFD and WFD descriptors is shown in the table below. - 268 - Table 38. Overall assessment for plankton communities and pelagic habitats. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. Plankton communities and pelagic Gulf of Baltic Sea Skagerrak/Kattegat habitats Bothnia D1C6 HMD No effect No effect No effect State of pelagic habitats D4C1 HMD Impact on the diversity of the trophic No effect No effect No effect group Phytoplankton in coastal and RDV No effect No effect No effect transitional waters Increased turbidity is expected to occur as a result of sand extraction activities and in connection with the construction of offshore wind power in the areas where the marine spatial plans guide sand extraction and energy extraction. Although the pressure may be significant locally, it is generally short-term and geographically limited, and the impact on water quality and marine life is not significant. In areas where fish spawning occurs, it is important to adapt activities causing sediment dispersal after spawning periods, in order to minimise the risk of negative impacts on the pelagic life stages of fish. The establishment of offshore wind power may impose restrictions on fishing, in particular fishing with active gear. Limiting bottom trawling can have a local positive effect in terms of reduced turbidity, especially in areas with bottoms of fine sediments. Similar effects may arise as a result of guidance from marine spatial plans on particular consideration for high nature values if this would lead to the introduction of management measures targeting bottom-contact fisheries. The actual extent of these two effects cannot be ascertained at present. Model studies show that wind farms can cause changes in currents, stratification and mixing in the surface of the sea, (Arneborg et al. 2024) see also Section 2.2.1 Water and air. These are effects that can affect hydrography, biogeochemistry and pelagic ecosystems far beyond the boundaries of wind farms. One possible consequence of this could be the impact of wind farms on cyanobacterial blooms in the Baltic Sea. These blooms are an annual phenomenon, especially in the Baltic Proper, but also in the Bothnian Sea. The blooms are expected to be stronger if the water temperature rises and the water is stratified. Since these effects of wind farms in terms of reduced mixing, more stratification and changes in temperature and salinity are unknown, it is also not possible to fully estimate the effects on phytoplankton, zooplankton and cyanobacteria. Fish Current environmental status Overall, fish descriptors do not reach good environmental status (D1C2, D3C1, D3C2, D4C1) according to the most recent assessment (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023c), although individual species perform well. Fishing pressure is the dominant pressure for all species groups, in addition, the state of fish in Skagerrak/Kattegat is affected by lost ghost fishing gear, while eutrophication has a negative impact on fish in the Baltic Sea. As regards hazardous - 269 - substances in food (D9C1), good environmental status is achieved in Skagerrak/Kattegat but not in the Baltic Sea. This is due to elevated levels of dioxins and PCBs in fish in the Baltic Sea. Effects of marine spatial plans In total, the marine spatial plans are not considered to have a significant negative effect on fish within the marine spatial plans areas. However, the effects may vary slightly between different areas. The overall assessment against relevant MSFD and WFD descriptors is shown in the table below. Table 39. Overall assessment for fish. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. (*) Associated indicator refers to carp and predatory fish in coastal waters. Fish Gulf of Baltic Sea Skagerrak/Kattegat Bothnia D1C2 Marginal Marginal negative HMD Abundance of species of birds, negative No effect effect mammals and fish effect D3C1 HMD Fishing mortality of commercially No effect No effect No effect exploited species D3C2 Marginal Small negative HMD Spawning stock biomass of negative No effect impact commercially exploited species effect D4C1 HMD Impact on the diversity of trophic No effect No effect No effect groups D4C2 HMD Impact on the balance of abundance No effect No effect No effect between trophic groups D9C1 HMD No effect No effect No effect Hazardous substances in marine food Hiking fish species Small RDV negative No effect No effect impact Bottom fauna in coastal and transitional RDV No effect No effect No effect waters The establishment of offshore wind power can have an impact on fish through turbidity in spawning grounds and underwater noise. Based on the latest knowledge synthesis (Bergström et al., 2022), the risk of such negative effects is considered to be avoidable by taking into account spawning times. However, it is important that the risk of impact is examined in each area, taking into account the sensitivity of the fish species and other local conditions. Increased turbidity in connection with sand extraction and the construction and decommissioning of offshore wind power may have a negative impact on fish spawning, but the risk of such impact - 270 - is considered to be minimised to acceptable levels by taking into account measures for each activity, including adjusting the construction time if necessary to avoid spawning periods. The greatest overlap is found between energy area V317 in the national interest area professional fishing for spawning and nursery areas. The risk of impact on migratory salmon is estimated to be greater in coastal shallower sea areas. Energy areas B108, B111, B142, B149 and B152 are considered to have little risk of negatively affecting the conditions for migratory salmon in the Gulf of Bothnia and energy area V303, V364 in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The marine spatial plans’ guidance on particular consideration for high nature values may lead to the introduction of adaptation measures for various human activities in order to reduce pressure on marine life. There is thus potential that the guidance indirectly contributes to increased protection of fish species. Similarly, the establishment of offshore wind power may impose restrictions on fishing activities, which may benefit fish stocks over time. The greatest prerequisites for such positive effects are found in Skagerrak/Kattegat, but the extent is not possible to estimate based on current knowledge. The marginally longer mileage for shipping through the Southern Bothnian Sea as a result of the marine spatial plans’ guidance on energy extraction is expected to lead to marginally increased underwater noise and marginally higher levels of pollutants from operational emissions. These pressures are considered to have a marginal negative effect on pelagic fish species. Adaptation of fisheries and also shipping to energy areas elsewhere may have similar effects, but these cannot be predicted at present. On the other hand, re-routing of shipping in the two investigation areas Salvorev and Hoburg Bank in the northern and south-eastern Baltic Seas is considered to have little positive impact on marine life, including fish. Seabirds Current environmental status The environmental status of nesting and wintering seabirds varies between both species groups and sea areas (D1C2, D4C1). For example, good environmental status is achieved for breeding birds in the species groups surface foraging and pelagic foraging, but not for benthic foraging. For the species group wintering birds, good environmental status is reached for benthic foraging in Skagerrak/Kattegat and for pelagic foraging in the Baltic Sea. The pressures affecting seabirds vary between species groups, but by-catch in fisheries, direct disturbance by human pressure, and hazardous substances are the pressures considered to have the greatest impact (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023c). Effects of marine spatial plans The plan proposal is considered to entail a medium risk of negative effects on birds. The overall assessment against the relevant MSFD descriptors is shown in the table below. - 271 - Table 40. Overall assessment for birds. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. Bird Gulf of Baltic Sea Skagerrak/Kattegat Bothnia Medium D1C2 Medium negative HMD negative No effect Impact on population impact impact D4C1 Medium Medium negative HMD Impact on the diversity of the trophic negative No effect impact group impact No No RDV No relevant basis of assessment No assessment assessment assessment Several energy areas are located in the vicinity of migratory corridors used by large numbers of individuals of different bird species. Several of these bird migration routes are of global importance. Energy areas in so-called bottlenecks pose particularly high risks, not only for seabirds, but also for land birds and bats seeking the shortest possible passage across the sea. The marine spatial plan also provides guidance on energy extraction in or adjacent to wintering areas for bird species worthy of protection, as is the case for the offshore embankments of the Southern Bothnian Sea and southern Kattegat. In addition to these, a few energy areas close to the coast are proposed, posing a particular risk to birds breeding, feeding or stretching along the coast. In a number of other energy areas, the risk of impact on birds is considered to be low. Usually these are areas at greater depths further out to sea and at greater distances from migratory routes. In some areas, it is considered that the risk of adverse effects on birds can be minimised by adapting the operation of wind farms to the wind and weather conditions or the presence of birds. Special risk of cumulative adverse effects on birds exists for areas B149, B152, B156, they have therefore been designated as investigation areas. The risk of impacts from offshore wind should be seen in the context of the downward trend of several seabird populations, as well as in the context of the surge of offshore wind energy in many areas and also many other countries that concern the same bird population. Marine mammals Current environmental status None of the three harbour porpoise populations achieves good status according to the latest assessment (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023c). The main pressure on harbour porpoises is by-catch by fishing, mainly fishing with nets but also pelagic trawling. For the Belt Sea population, the annual by-catch exceeded the threshold for the indicator (D1C1) ten times and for Skagerrak/Kattegat population four times over the assessment period. As the Baltic Sea population is classified as endangered according to the Swedish Red List, the threshold for by-catch has been set at zero individuals, which has also been exceeded during the assessment - 272 - period. Skagerrak/Kattegat population meets the population size threshold (D1C2), but neither the Baltic Sea population nor the Belt Sea population. None of the three seal species or their populations achieve good status in their respective assessment areas. This is partly due to the fact that population growth, a parameter included in indicator D1C2, has slowed compared to the previous assessment period. Gestation frequency and thickness of blubber (included in indicator D1C3) are only assessed for grey seals, but do not meet their threshold values. In terms of distribution (D1C4), none of the seal species or populations achieve good status. The pressures that have the greatest direct impact on the condition of seals are the by-catch and hunting of fisheries. Effects of marine spatial plans In total, marine spatial plans are assessed to have mixed effects on marine mammals. Some negative effects mainly concern harbour porpoises in Skagerrak/Kattegat and seals in the Gulf of Bothnia. Guidance on particular consideration for high nature values can have a small positive effect. The impact on seals is not considered significant. The overall assessment against the relevant MSFD descriptors is shown in the table below. Table 41. Overall assessment for marine mammals. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. (*) Associated indicator concerns by-catch of harbour porpoises; (**) Related indicators relate to the gestation rate and the blubber thickness of grey seals; (***) Related indicators relate to the distribution of grey seals, harbour seals and ringed seals; (****) Associated indicators refer to abundance and trends of grey, harbour and ringed seals). Marine mammals Gulf of Baltic Sea Skagerrak/Kattegat Bothnia D1C1* HMD No effect No effect No effect Mortality due to by-catch Medium D1C2 Medium negative HMD negative No effect Impact on population impact impact D1C3** HMD Demographic characteristics of the No effect No effect No effect population D1C4*** HMD No effect No effect No effect Species distribution D4C1**** HMD Impact on the diversity of the trophic No effect No effect No effect group No No RDV No relevant basis of assessment No assessment assessment assessment The positive effects related to descriptor D1C1 are due to reduced mortality in by-catch or physical disturbance from fishing and defence activities in areas where the marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high nature values. The effect is assumed to be slightly greater for harbour porpoises than for seals. Assumptions made for these areas concern the application - 273 - of by-catch minimisation methods and gear in trawl and gillnet fisheries, as well as greater adaptation of defence exercises during biologically sensitive periods for mammals. Consideration can also be given to establishing offshore wind power so that the risk of negative impact on most marine mammal populations can be kept within acceptable levels. Furthermore, the guidance provided by the marine spatial plans is not considered to make any difference for factors affecting the abundance or distribution of seals. Benthic habitats Current environmental status The integrity of the seabed in Swedish marine areas is not considered to achieve good environmental status in a number of assessment areas. The results vary between different habitat types, but generally it can be said that the status is better in the sea areas that are part of the Gulf of Bothnia (Åland Sea, Bothnian Sea, North Kvarken, Bothnian Bay), compared to the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat. The main contributing factor to physical disturbance in the lake is bottom trawling, but oxygen deficiency due to eutrophication also affects the status of benthic habitats (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024a). Effects of marine spatial plans The overall impact on benthic habitats is assessed as small positive. The overall assessment against the relevant MSFD descriptors is shown in the table below. Table 42. Overall assessment for benthic habitats. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. (*) Relevant indicators include bottom fauna in coastal waters (5.8A) and bottom fauna in offshore waters (5.8B). Benthic habitats Gulf of Baltic Sea Skagerrak/Kattegat Bothnia Potential for both D6C3 Marginal negative and HMD Extent of physical disturbance in negative No effect positive local benthic habitats effect impacts D6C5* Marginal Potential for both HMD Extent of adverse effects of human negative No effect negative and pressures effect positive local impact Morphological status of coastal and RDV No effect No effect No effect transitional waters Macroalgae and angiosperms in coastal RDV No effect No effect No effect waters The establishment of wind power has a permanent local impact on the seabed. Wind energy foundations and erosion protection can at the same time contribute to new habitats for certain bottom-dwelling organisms. The seabed area covered by foundations and erosion protection generally amounts to less than one percent of the total area of a wind farm. In cases where - 274 - energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat replace bottom trawling as a use, positive net local effects may arise from a bottom pressure perspective. The effect is positive if fishing is concentrated in areas outside the energy areas as the total bottom-pressured area is likely to decrease. Moving the marine routes to deeper waters in the Southern Bothnian Sea and in connection with the distribution areas in the Baltic Sea may also lead to a slightly reduced impact on shallower benthic habitats according to the modelling in the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management (2019a). Locally significant negative effects are expected to occur in the proposed sand extraction areas in the Bothnian Bay, as well as in the southwestern and southern Baltic Seas. The areas are located below the photic zone, and the extraction activity is not considered to have any negative effects on bottom-dwelling plants. The effects on benthic fauna, on the other hand, are considered to be very negative due to the withdrawal of large amounts of sediment and the re-sedimentation of stirred sediment in the immediate area. Despite large local negative effects on benthic habitats, the effects of sand extraction activities are geographically limited, and very small in relation to the area of sandbanks in the marine spatial planning areas. However, there is a risk of permanent physical disturbance, which could contravene EQS D.1 and D.3. The risk needs to be further investigated within the framework of permit procedures. The impact on protected bottom types needs to be further investigated in the context of permit assessment processes in order to avoid harm. Hydrographic conditions Current environmental status At present, there are no nationally agreed indicators with threshold values for assessing hydrographic conditions. However, a qualitative assessment indicates that current large-scale infrastructure does not result in any significant impact in Swedish offshore waters (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023). Effects of marine spatial plans In total, the marine spatial plans are expected to lead to an increased risk of some negative effect on hydrographic conditions within the plan area. The magnitude of the effect is uncertain. The overall assessment against the relevant MSFD descriptors is shown in the table below. Table 43. Overall assessment for hydrographic conditions. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. Hydrographic conditions Gulf of Baltic Sea Skagerrak/Kattegat Bothnia D7 Risk of some Risk of some HMD Persistent changes in hydrographic negative No effect negative impact conditions impact Hydromorphological quality elements in Risk of some Risk of some RDV coastal and transitional waters negative No effect negative impact • Connectivity impact - 275 - • Hydrographic conditions Physicochemical quality elements in coastal and transitional waters • Depth of vision Risk of some Risk of some RDV • Nutrients negative No effect negative impact • Oxygen balance impact • Particularly polluting substances The establishment of offshore wind energy according to the marine spatial plans’ guidance on energy extraction could entail the risk of regional changes in hydrographic conditions in all three marine spatial plans. Preliminary results of modelling studies in Swedish waters indicate possible changes in wind and current conditions, with consequences for stratification, temperature and salinity in the sea and coastal zone. The magnitude of this effect and consequential effects for physicochemical conditions are currently unclear. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has commissioned SMHI to study hydrographic effects linked to offshore wind power. The results show that large-scale expansion of offshore wind power can lead to sequential effects in the marine environment due to reduced winds behind the wind turbines, which in turn leads to reduced vertical mixing of the water. In the Baltic Sea, this could lead to a shallower halocline, as well as increased salinity and temperatures in the deep water (Arneborg et al., 2024). See Section 2.3.1. Underwater noise Current environmental status Good environmental status is reached for impulsive underwater sounds in Skagerrak, Kattegat, the Bothnian Sea, North Kvarken and the Bothnian Bay. Impulsive sound sources include, for example, underwater explosions, construction works, sonars and sonars used by the military, as well as acoustic scares for seals used in commercial fishing. For continuous underwater noise, good environmental status is reached only in the Bothnian Sea, North Kvarken and Bothnian Bay. In these three sea basins, shipping is less intense than in other sea basins, which is the dominant source of continuous noise in Swedish sea areas (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2023c). Effects of marine spatial plans In total, marine spatial plans are estimated to have a marginal negative effect on underwater noise within marine spatial plans. The overall assessment against the relevant MSFD descriptors is shown in the table below. Table 44. Overall assessment for underwater noise. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. Underwater noise D11 Gulf of Baltic Skagerrak/Kattegat Bothnia Small Small negative HMD Impulsive underwater noise D11C1 negative No effect impact impact - 276 - Small Small negative Continuous underwater noise D11C2 negative No effect impact impact No No RDV No relevant basis of assessment No assessment assessment assessment Assumptions of reduced impact from fishing and defence activities in areas where marine spatial plans provide guidance on particular consideration for high nature values are considered to lead to reduced underwater noise in these areas. The possible transfer of the shipping route south of Gotland to deeper waters is also expected to reduce the noise level from shipping locally. Wind power expansion is expected to increase underwater noise in a number of areas. Wind turbines generate both impulsive noise during the construction phase and continuous noise during the operation phase. There are currently uncertainties in estimating the impact of both impulsive noise and continuous noise, as there are no plants in operation in the size planned for. The basis that exists consists of sound modelling. Research projects are ongoing to investigate the noise impact of large offshore wind farms (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024). The effects of impulsive underwater noise are serious because high noise levels can damage marine organisms and lead to behavioural change, hearing damage and death as a result of excessive exposure. However, impulsive noise is transient and affects the marine environment for a limited time. The effects of continuous noise during the operational phase are less severe, although there are some uncertainties linked to cumulative pressures. With noise abatement measures and other local consideration measures, it is possible to limit the input of impulsive noise during construction and decommissioning of wind farms. There are still uncertainties regarding direct applicability. Precise consideration measures and conditions need to be specified for each area within the framework of the permit assessment. The extensive deployment of offshore wind power according to the guidance provided by the marine spatial plans is considered to lead to a change in soundscape in several areas even during the operational phase, with an average higher noise level. Knowledge of long-term biological and ecological effects of an elevated noise level for marine ecosystems and organisms is currently inadequate, there are also no studies for cumulative noise effects from several wind farms. Alien species The environmental status of non-indigenous species is based on the number of registered new non-indigenous species, good environmental status is achieved neither in Skagerrak/Kattegat nor in the Baltic Sea as new species have been introduced in both sea basins during the 2016-2021 assessment period. Sources of dispersal of non-indigenous species are vessel traffic, either from ballast water or fouling on ship hulls, as well as through aquaculture and regional stock movements (Sea and Water Authority, 2023). Offshore wind energy has the potential to contribute to the spread of alien species by acting as ‘stepping stones’ (Bergström et al., 2022). This means that the hard substrates offer suitable habitats for alien organisms that can establish themselves more quickly with the help of the habitats. - 277 - Table 45. Overall assessment for non-indigenous species. Alien species D2 Gulf of Bothnia Baltic Skagerrak/Kattegat Risk of some HMD Introduction of alien species D2C1 No assessment No effect negative impact Other effects The marine spatial plans are not considered to have significant effects on MSFD descriptors, D5 – eutrophication, D8 – concentration and effects of hazardous substances and D10 – marine litter. Fulfilment of Sweden's environmental quality objectives This section presents the analysis of how the proposed revised marine spatial plans can contribute to the achievement of Sweden’s environmental objectives. The results are summarised in the table below and described in text below for the five objectives to which the marine spatial plans are considered to contribute. Table 46. Summary of the contribution of marine spatial plans to the achievement of Sweden's environmental objectives. Environmental objectives The possibility for the marine spatial plan to have an impact By guiding on suitable areas for the extraction of fossil-free Limited climate impact energy. By guiding on suitable areas for renewable energy extraction. Fresh air By guiding on the spatial distribution of boat and ship traffic and associated air emissions in relation to communities and nature. Only natural acidification No impact. By guiding on the spatial distribution of activities that affect the Non-toxic environment sea, for example when civil works risk releasing environmental toxins. Protective ozone layer No impact. Safe radiation environment No impact. No eutrophication No impact. Live lakes and streams No impact. Good quality groundwater No impact. By guiding on the precedence and spatial distribution of activities Sea in balance and living coast affecting fish and shellfish stocks, and the general ecological and archipelago status of coastal waters. Flooding wetlands No impact. Living forest No impact. A rich agricultural landscape No impact. - 278 - Environmental objectives The possibility for the marine spatial plan to have an impact Magnificent mountain No impact. environment Because the landscape can be affected by wind power Good built environment installations. By guiding on the primacy and spatial distribution of areas for nature conservation, and of activities that affect the conservation Rich plant and animal life status of different habitat types and species, and the accessibility of man-made natural and cultural environments. With regard to the ‘Limited climate impact’ objective, the contributions of marine spatial plans relate primarily to climate-impacting emissions. The marine spatial plans are expected to have a positive effect by creating better conditions for a significantly increased establishment of offshore wind power in the Swedish territorial sea and Swedish exclusive economic zone. The guidance on energy extraction is considered to be able to facilitate permit-granting processes and thereby increase the rate of offshore renewable energy extraction. To the extent that electricity production from offshore wind power replaces fossil-based energy sources, the marine spatial plans are considered to be able to contribute to reducing Sweden’s greenhouse gas emissions. By guiding on suitable areas for renewable energy extraction, marine spatial plans are assessed to contribute to fossil-free energy for the industrial and transport transition and the reduction of air pollution from these sectors. Marine spatial plans have a small or marginally negative contribution to the objective of ‘Fresh air’, mainly with regard to levels of harmful air pollutants. The marine spatial plans do not affect which fuels are used in maritime transport, which is the maritime industry that emits the most air pollutants. The guidance on sand extraction as the most appropriate use is considered to contribute to marginally increased emissions in the coastal areas concerned. A corresponding assessment is made of the effects of increased emissions from ship traffic in connection with the construction, operation and decommissioning of offshore wind power. The marine spatial plan is not expected to have a net effect on emissions from fishing boats, despite the fact that the establishment of wind power may lead to changes in fishing operations. At the same time, the establishment of wind power can contribute to less air emissions by replacing fossil-free energy with fossil-based energy, which makes a positive contribution to the target. The environmental quality objective Non-toxic environment is affected by the fact that the marine spatial plans' guidance on the development of sand extraction activities can contribute to an increased risk that environmental toxins are released from the sediment and absorbed by marine organisms, the same applies to piling and construction work for offshore wind power. However, there is currently no evidence that the areas in question have elevated levels of environmental toxins, which is why the risk is considered marginal. Increased small and service boat traffic in connection with guidance on priority use recreation, energy extraction and sand extraction entails a higher risk of operational emissions that affect the environment locally. However, the extent of this effect is difficult to estimate. The marine spatial plans’ contribution to the objective ‘Sea in balance and living coasts and archipelagos’ concerns the conservation of natural and cultural heritage values, the promotion of - 279 - sustainable use and the protection of valuable areas. The proposed energy areas entail an increased risk of disturbance of valuable and in some cases endangered species and habitats in several areas. At the same time, through guidance on particular consideration for high nature values, the marine spatial plan opens up the possibility of increased protection of habitats and species in significantly more and larger areas. Restrictions on fishing within wind farms, for example, may in some cases also cause less disturbance to marine species. It is also positive that nature use confirms all existing and planned protected areas, national interest claims for nature conservation and fish spawning areas. Guidance on particular consideration for high nature values draws attention to the importance of specific areas for biodiversity, ecosystem integrity and climate change adaptation, which may be the basis for future protection of habitats or species. Some guidance in marine spatial plans may have an impact on the environmental quality objective ‘Good built environment’. Marine spatial plans provide guidance on the protection of valuable cultural and recreational environments at sea, promoting access to nature and culture. The proposal for a marine spatial plan is considered to entail a risk of negative effects in several coastal landscapes, areas for recreation and cultural environments. Finally, the contribution of marine spatial plans to the environmental quality objective A rich flora and fauna refers to the conservation and use of biodiversity, the conservation of habitats and ecosystems, viable populations, and access to nature and cultural environments. The marine spatial plans guide the deployment of offshore wind energy and sand extraction activities, which pose both biodiversity risks of importance from the local to the international level. At the same time, the plans provide guidance on the protection of specific valuable areas as well as on adaptation needs for maritime activities aimed at preserving biodiversity and ecosystem integrity. Such adaptations may be important for the conservation and recovery of stocks of commercial fish and shellfish species, as well as species affected by by-catch or other disturbance. Assessment against other plans, policies and programmes According to the Marine Spatial Planning Regulation, proposals for marine spatial plans must be designed in such a way that the plan integrates industrial policy, social and environmental objectives. Within the framework of marine spatial planning, ten planning objectives have been developed to support this integration of policy areas. Overall objectives are good marine environment and sustainable development, as well as a number of thematic and sectoral sub- objectives. All targets relate differently to national policies and strategies. The starting point for the assessment of the plan proposal is therefore based on the planning objectives, set in relation to the national strategy for sustainable regional development throughout the country 2021 - 2030 (Government, 2021b). Regional development policy is part of Sweden's implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals Agenda 2030. The 2030 Agenda’s goals and targets are integrated and indivisible and cover all three dimensions of sustainable development: economic, social and environmental. The goal of regional development policy is developmental power with strengthened local and regional competitiveness for sustainable development in all parts of the country. The strategy for regional development states that the policy should promote a better environment, reduce climate impact - 280 - and promote energy transition. In addition, the policy will promote sustainable structural change and the development of the business sector. Regional development policy shall promote the conditions for conducting long-term sustainable development work and contribute to ensuring that Sweden has no net emissions of greenhouse gases by 2045. All policy areas are relevant for achieving the objectives set out in the strategy (Government, 2021b). The table below shows how the marine spatial plans are considered to contribute to priorities in the national strategy for regional development. The table also analyses in an overall way how this relates to national interests and the impact of marine spatial plans on national interests and various types of policy documents. National interests are geographical areas that have been identified as nationally significant. Proposals for marine spatial plans shall be compatible with provisions for the management of land and water areas and national interests under Chapters 3 and 4 of the Environmental Code. The marine spatial plan's guidance is based on planning data and various national interests and trade-offs between them. When balancing interests, coexistence shall be sought and in the event of conflicting interests, it shall be planned and ensured that national interests are not significantly impaired or harmed. Table 47. The impact of marine spatial plans on national strategy priorities for regional development, related to marine spatial planning objectives and governance documents. The possibility for the National strategy Marine spatial plans’ marine spatial plan to for regional Marine spatial National interests and guidance in relation influence and development – planning objectives policy documents to national interest contribute to the priority claims strategy Equal Create the conditions By guiding on areas of National interests under The marine spatial opportunities for for: use nature, recreation Chapter 3 of the plans' guidance on the housing, work • Regional and cultural Environmental Code: use of recreation and and welfare development, environment, as well as • Outdoor activities cultural environment throughout the outdoor activities consideration and • Conservation of and particular country and preservation adaptation for natural cultural heritage consideration for high - High quality of of cultural values and cultural landscapes, • Nature conservation cultural values life with good • Marine green the marine spatial plan promotes recreation and attractive infrastructure and affects the strategy's Examples related policy and cultural habitats promotion of priority related to documents environmental values ecosystem promoting natural and Cultural policy objectives along the coast, but services cultural landscapes, - Recreational also within the marine living in nature, the right objectives spatial plan areas. of public access and - Public health policy Values can be recreation. objectives affected by marine - Species and Habitats uses, in particular According to the Directive energy extraction, to strategy, green and blue - Marine strategy varying degrees surfaces also contribute (Follow-up, indicator depending on location to improved public 8, 9) and design. The health and quality of life. impact and need for adaptation to promote coexistence need to be assessed from a regional and local perspective. Equal Create the conditions Through the plan’s National interests under The marine spatial opportunities for for: guidance on energy Chapter 3 of the plans provide housing, work • Regional areas, as well as the use Environmental Code: guidance on energy and welfare development, of nature and particular • Installations for the extraction for more throughout the outdoor activities consideration for high production and extensive areas than country and preservation nature values, the distribution of today's national - Good urban of cultural values marine spatial plan electricity interest in energy planning • Energy affects the strategy’s • Nature conservation production. The transmission and priority of promoting a Examples of related guidance on nature renewable energy social structure that policy documents: use and particular extraction in the contributes to - Energy policy consideration for high oceans sustainable habitats, objectives nature values is more - 281 - The possibility for the National strategy Marine spatial plans’ marine spatial plan to for regional Marine spatial National interests and guidance in relation influence and development – planning objectives policy documents to national interest contribute to the priority claims strategy • Marine green reduced climate impact, - Biodiversity Strategy extensive than areas infrastructure and as well as the - EU renewable energy of national interest for promotion of conservation of strategy nature conservation. ecosystem biodiversity and - EU Blue Economy services ecosystem services in a Strategy The impact between changing climate. - EU Strategy for the these uses is Baltic Sea Region described in the - Maritime strategy previous section and (Follow-up, indicator environmental 3, 8, 9, 16) description. Equal Create the conditions Affects prioritization by National interests under Open national interest opportunities for for: ensuring that the Chapter 3 of the claims for defence are housing, work • Regional interests of defence are Environmental Code: specified as use and welfare development, taken into account. • Defence defence in marine throughout the outdoor activities Examples related policy spatial plans. country and preservation documents Particular - Good urban of cultural values - Security policy consideration shall be planning • Defence and objectives given to the interests security of defence in certain areas of energy production. Further adjustments have also been made based on the interests of the defence. Innovation and Create the conditions The plan's guidance on National interests in The marine spatial renewal as well for: energy contributes to the accordance with plans provide as • Regional strategy's priority on the Chapter 3, Section 4 of guidance on energy entrepreneurshi development, deployment, production the Environmental Code: extraction for more p and outdoor activities and use of renewable • Installations for the extensive areas than entrepreneurshi and preservation energy, which is production and today's national p across the of cultural values important for regional distribution of interest in energy country • Energy energy supply and electricity production. However, – A competitive, transmission and sustainable regional Related policy several areas circular and bio- renewable energy development. documents: considered to be based, climate extraction in the - Energy policy public interests of and oceans It is unclear how the objectives substantial importance environmental Prepare for: plan’s guidance on sand - EU renewable energy for energy extraction sustainable • Mining and extraction affects the strategy are listed as any other economy storage of carbon strategy’s priorities. - EU Blue Economy use on the basis of dioxide Strategy incompatible interests. - EU Strategy for the Baltic Sea Region - Maritime strategy (Follow-up, indicator 16) Innovation and Create the conditions Through the plan’s National interests in The marine spatial renewal as well for: guidance on the use of accordance with plans’ guidance on as • Regional commercial fisheries, Chapter 3, Section 4 of energy extraction has entrepreneurshi development, including consideration the Environmental Code: a negative impact on p and outdoor activities guidance, the plan also • Commercial fishing commercial fishing by entrepreneurshi and preservation impacts prioritisation on Related policy limiting fishing p across the of cultural values a competitive, circular documents: opportunities, country • Sustainable and bio-based, climate- - Fisheries of the future including in areas of – A competitive, commercial sustainable economy. - EU Common national interest. circular and bio- fishing In the case of Fisheries Policy Guidance on nature based, climate aquaculture, the plan - EU Blue Economy use and particular and Prepare for: does not yet provide Strategy consideration for high environmental • Future guidance on this. - EU Strategy for the nature values, sustainable establishment of Baltic Sea Region possibly including economy sustainable - Maritime strategy energy areas, can aquaculture (Follow-up, indicator have positive effects 3, 17, 18) on the fish resource, thereby favouring sustainable fishing in the longer term. Accessibility Create the conditions The plan's guidance on National interests under The marine spatial throughout the for: shipping affects the Chapter 3 of the plans provide country through prioritisation based on Environmental Code: guidance on the use of - 282 - The possibility for the National strategy Marine spatial plans’ marine spatial plan to for regional Marine spatial National interests and guidance in relation influence and development – planning objectives policy documents to national interest contribute to the priority claims strategy digital • Sustainable maritime transport • Shipping shipping for most communication shipping supply, significant for areas of national and the • Create conditions people and business Related strategies: interest for shipping, transport system for good across the country. - Transport policy or that the function of – Accessibility accessibility Prioritisation also objectives the claim can be met through highlights the - Regional plans in the immediate area. sustainable importance of - EU Strategy for the Areas with energy transport coordination between Baltic Sea Region extraction have a systems activities and transport - Maritime strategy potential impact of infrastructure at local, (Follow-up, indicator varying degrees on regional and national 10, 14, 15) shipping. The need for level. site-specific adaptations to promote coexistence with shipping is assessed for each energy area in the permit process. Assessment of the impact of the marine spatial plan on ecosystem services Ecosystem services are the functions and processes in nature that benefit human interests. These services are divided into supportive, regulatory, supportive and cultural. The following is based on data produced by WSP (Paulsson et al., 2024) on behalf of the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management. Assessment of the impact on ecosystem services is only done for the Gulf of Bothnia and Skagerrak/Kattegat, as the differences in the Baltic Sea are small compared to the already adopted marine spatial plan from 2022. Supportive ecosystem services Supportive ecosystem services are about the basic conditions for other ecosystem services to function and thus have an indirect function. Increased expansion of energy production can have both positive and negative impacts on supporting ecosystem services related to habitats, biodiversity and population regulation. Which ecosystem services are affected and to what extent depends on whether the wind turbines are built, operated or decommissioned, and whether protective measures are taken. Impacts can take the form of noise, turbidity, bottom impact and the creation of artificial reefs. Marine spatial planning areas have different conditions through which the impact level shifts. For example, the Gulf of Bothnia is more sensitive to changes as the area has a lower biodiversity than Skagerrak/Kattegat. The higher degree of biodiversity in Skagerrak/Kattegat entails a greater risk of negative bottom impact and where a higher degree of bottom trawling already constitutes an impact. Provided that fishing is not moved to new areas, the energy areas could thus have a positive effect on benthic habitats. The plan is indicative and areas where consideration is to be given to natural and cultural environments do not provide formal protection but can be assumed to have positive but small effects on habitats and diversity. Regulating ecosystem services Regulating ecosystem services regulate and maintain the functions of ecosystems. Offshore wind power can generate negative as well as positive effects. The impact occurs through the physical structure of the wind turbines and by contributing with renewable electricity production, where the - 283 - size of the effect depends on which energy sources are replaced. Energy extraction has a positive effect by contributing to fossil-free electricity production and thereby reducing the pressure on the climate-regulating ecosystem services that absorb carbon dioxide through carbon sequestration. Furthermore, the physical structure of wind turbines can attract marine species that contribute to carbon sequestration. As there is a risk that these species may be invasive, it could also have a negative effect on the regulation of biological conditions. Negative impact could also come from the increased emissions that can be expected from the transport that construction and maintenance of the wind farms generate. However, this depends on how the development of fuel in this type of transport will look like. Areas where nature is to be taken into account are expected to have small but positive effects on regulatory ecosystem services. Supplying ecosystem services Sufficient ecosystem services provide human beings with food and materials. In Skagerrak/Kattegat, it is reasonable to assume that ecosystem services relevant for commercial and recreational fishing are adversely affected to a greater extent than in the Gulf of Bothnia. This is due to the fact that the fishing carried out in the area is more extensive and more difficult to coexist with the wind farms. Cultural ecosystem services Cultural ecosystem services are services that enable well-being. The ecosystem service can be different qualities in the environment that generate experience values, for example in the form of recreation, spirituality or knowledge building. When it comes to the effects of wind power on cultural ecosystem services, it is primarily the visual impression that affects. However, since the experience is subjective, it is difficult to assess whether it is a positive or negative effect because different people have different perceptions. The plan is indicative and areas where consideration is to be given to natural and cultural environments do not provide formal protection but can be assumed to have positive effects on cultural ecosystem services. - 284 - Gulf of Bothnia Table 48. Shows an overview of how the guidance in the marine spatial plan affects ecosystem services. Ecosystem service Impact on ecosystem The benefits of the Other uses/ Interests services through the ecosystem service particular Affected by use of Energy for human interests consideration that Changing may affect the Ecosystem ecosystem service Services Supporting Small positive A prerequisite for the Positive Recreation Restricted fishing leads functioning of other Nature Provision of habitats, species to stronger stocks in ecosystem services n-areas Commercial diversity and genetic the long term Cultural environment fishing diversity K Areas New habitats; Regulation of populations by Negative predators or predators Small negative Sand extraction Bottom impact, turbidity Commercial fishing and noise Impact on marine mammals, birds and bats Regulatory Medium positive Reducing the impact of Positive Recreation Reduced load on climate change. Nature Carbon sequestration carbon sequestration n-areas Commercial Balanced ecosystems fishing Regulation of Pests and Pest Small positive Negative Plants New habitats Contribution to Sand extraction providing ecosystem Commercial fishing Maintenance of nurseries Medium negative services and nursery environments Bottom impact, turbidity and noise Filtering of microorganisms, algae, plants and animals Small negative Risk of favouring invasive species Sufficient Small negative Food for sale or Positive Recreation Possibility of fishing household needs Recreation Food from wild animals restricted Commercial fishing Commercial fishing Wild animals for direct use or Negative processing Recreation Commercial fishing Cultural Small positive Well-being Positive Recreation Recreational fishing Nature provision of endangered Knowledge building n-areas species, habitats and Wind turbines can be Cultural environment ecosystem processes; viewed positively. K Areas attractive recreational environments; areas with Artificial reefs that varied wildlife and interesting create learning vegetation; areas of scientific environments interest and learning Medium negative Visual impact. Small negative Opportunities for recreation - 285 - Skagerrak/Kattegat Table 49. Shows an overview of how the guidance in the marine spatial plan affects ecosystem services. Ecosystem service Impact on ecosystem The benefits of the Other uses/ Interests services through the ecosystem service particular Affected by use of Energy for human interests consideration that Changing may affect the Ecosystem ecosystem service Services Supporting Medium positive A prerequisite for Positive Recreation New habitats; other EST function Nature Provision of habitats, species n-areas Commercial diversity and genetic diversity Small positive K Areas fishing Restricted fishing leads Regulation of populations by to stronger stocks in predators or predators the long term Medium negative Impact on marine mammals, birds and bats Bottom impact, turbidity and noise Regulatory Small positive Reducing the impact Positive Recreation Reduced pressure on of climate change Nature Carbon sequestration carbon sequestration n-areas Commercial Balanced ecosystems fishing Regulation of New habitats Negative pests Contribution to Commercial fishing and harmful plants Medium negative providing ecosystem Bottom impact, turbidity services Maintenance of nurseries and and noise nursery environments Small negative Filtration of micro-organisms; Risk of favouring algae, plants and animals invasive species Sufficient Medium negative Food for sale or Positive Recreation Possibility of fishing household needs Recreation Food from wild animals restricted Commercial fishing Commercial fishing Wild animals for direct use or Negative processing Recreation Commercial fishing Cultural Small positive Well-being Positive Recreation Recreational fishing Nature provision of endangered Knowledge building n-areas species, habitats and Wind turbines can be K Areas ecosystem processes; viewed positively. attractive recreational environments; areas with Artificial reefs that varied wildlife and interesting create learning vegetation; areas of scientific environments interest and learning Medium negative Visual impact. Opportunities for recreation - 286 - Measures, follow-up and monitoring Under Chapter 6, Section 11 (5 and 7) of the Environmental Code, an environmental impact assessment must contain information on the measures planned to prevent, deter, counteract or remedy significant adverse environmental effects, as well as an account of the measures planned to follow-up and monitor the significant environmental effects that the implementation of the plan or programme entails. This section presents proposals for both impact minimisation measures and follow-up and monitoring measures. Consideration proposals are also presented in chapter two linked to specific assessment criteria. Within the framework of the environmental impact assessment of the adopted marine spatial plan, measures for the significant environmental effects that the marine spatial plan proposal was considered to give rise to were analysed and described in detail (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a). The analysis was then synchronised with the development of a new programme of measures under the Marine Strategy Framework Directive and the implementation of the Marine Strategy Framework Regulation. As the guidance in the current proposal for amended marine spatial plans on most uses does not differ from the guidance in the agreed plans, that analysis and the description of measures made in 2019 are still valid today. These measures are reproduced in Annex A. During 2023 - 2024, work is underway at the Agency to update the action programme for the marine environment, and there is a need to continue to have more interaction between the marine spatial planning process and the results of the assessment of the marine environment and related action work. The new proposal for amended marine spatial plans has a particular focus on the deployment of offshore wind energy. Thus, the main objective of the present review procedure is to identify the energy areas which, from an overall perspective, are most suitable to proceed to the final marine spatial plan. Against this background, it is appropriate in the present impact assessment to look more closely at measures that specifically address the effects of offshore wind energy on the environment and other human activities. The impact assessment is at a horizontal, strategic level and is therefore not suitable for identifying specific consideration measures for individual areas or projects. The analysis is therefore based on five main types of measures and draws on the results of the assessments in the previous chapter to illustrate which effects these types of measures are suitable for. Types of actions are 1. Location, 2. The boundaries of the energy sector, 3. Wind farm design, 4. Technology choices for construction, operation and decommissioning, and 5. improvement measures; As a rule, planning concerns only the first two types of measures, while types 1 to 4 are often subject to authorisation. Improving measures have so far been mostly developed by wind energy companies on a voluntary basis, but requirements for the introduction of such measures have started to be imposed by some countries. Location The choice of location is a first and in many cases crucial step in assessing the suitability of an energy area, both for its economic viability and for its environmental impact. Localisation is also a fundamental assessment factor in the admissibility assessment of water operations under the Environmental Code. Where assessment results show that a water operation poses too high a risk of unacceptable damage to parts of the marine environment or other human interests, the - 287 - operation may be denied at the proposed location. Such assessment is currently very difficult to make at a strategic, overall level due to insufficiently detailed knowledge of environmental and socio-economic conditions in all proposed energy areas. Applications for offshore wind power establishment are currently made in accordance with the so-called box model, which means that the final location within a given area is determined later than at the time of the actual permit granting (Energy Authority, 2020). In the current system of indicative marine spatial plans and an “open door” offshore wind establishment system. It is currently not possible to decide on permissibility in a given area solely on the basis of the results of a strategic assessment. Despite these limitations, the results of the impact assessment are considered to provide a valuable indication of locations that are more or less problematic for a given use for further planning. The fact that strategic assessments take into account cumulative effects in a way that individual project assessments rarely do is particularly valuable. On the basis of the results of the present impact assessment, it may, for example, be necessary to exclude areas that are particularly riskful for birds or that threaten other marine life, or entail particularly high losses or risks for other human activities or interests in future planning. Borders of energy areas There may be cases where the location of an energy area is generally acceptable, but where some adjustments to its boundaries need to be made to minimise the risk of unacceptable impact on other interests. The location sites unchanged in its main features, but the size of the energy area is adjusted. Within the framework of the ongoing marine spatial planning, such adjustments were made to the energy areas included in the Swedish Energy Agency’s (2023a) stage 1 mandate. However, taking into account the findings of this impact assessment, adaptation of the boundaries of certain energy areas may be justified, inter alia, by the introduction of safety zones around fairways; avoidance of fish spawning areas or disturbance of valuable bottom habitats; reduced visual or physical disturbance of cultural and recreational environments; avoidance of particularly valuable areas for other marine industries, such as fishing. Wind farm design This type of measure concerns the internal design of a wind farm. For example, distance between wind turbines, arrangement of wind turbines or introduction of transit corridors. On a more detailed level, the location of each individual wind turbine, so-called “micrositing”, is also included in this type of measure. Micrositing is a permanent part of the wind farm design carried out by the designer and used for environmental protection purposes, among other things, to avoid damage to habitats worthy of protection. Measures of this kind generally aim to promote coexistence with both nature values and other interests. Transit corridors may be introduced, or be part of conditions to facilitate access by fishing vessels to fishing areas beyond the wind farm, or to create more space for staging birds. Disposition and distance between wind turbines play a role, among other things, for the ability to conduct fishing within a wind farm (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management & Swedish Energy Agency, 2023) and for the degree of visual impact from different points on the coast. - 288 - Technological choices for construction, operation and decommissioning This type of measure includes many of the consideration measures provided for in permits for the construction of offshore wind energy. The measures are very varied and generally adapted to the specific conditions in the project area and the specific effects that the wind power project is expected to give rise to. The identification of measures of this type thus requires detailed impact assessments. Table 50 below summarises some of the most frequent technical measures regarding environmental impacts used during the different stages of a wind farm (based on the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management & Swedish Energy Agency, 2023). Corresponding technical measures may be required to reduce the risk of harm to other human interests. In most cases, the introduction of such measures is made a condition for reducing the impact on the environment and other human interests to acceptable levels in areas that would not otherwise be suitable for wind power. It is common for conditions to be imposed with regard to marine and aviation safety. The aim may also be to enable coexistence. In the case of fishing, for example, the cabling, adaptation of construction work to fishing operations, power plant foundations without protruding to avoid fishing gear can catch examples of other technology choices that can be made. Examples are the cable laying, adaptation of construction work to fishing operations, power plant foundations without protruding parts to avoid that fishing gear can get stuck (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management & Swedish Energy Agency, 2023). Coexistence with defence interests is another area where technical adaptation may be relevant. Table 50. Consideration measures applied in the establishment of offshore wind energy. Based on a compilation prepared for the OSPAR group on offshore renewable energy development, ICG-ORED. Damage mitigation comprises the following four types of actions accordi Phase Type of Description and objectives measure Research Location Location and burial of cables in a way to avoid impact on sensitive and project benthic habitats or species. design Research Design Selection of materials and equipment with the least possible impact on and project the environment, such as foundations that do not require piling or design drilling or works with greater clearance between rotor blades and the water surface. Research Scheduling Conducting surveys outside sensitive periods for species worthy of and project protection, such as reproduction, foraging and migration periods; design Construction Scheduling Carrying out construction and maintenance work outside sensitive and periods for species worthy of protection, such as reproduction, foraging maintenance and migration periods; Construction Operational Emission controls to prevent or reduce various emissions or pressures and management during civil engineering or maintenance work, such as noise-reducing maintenance and control protective measures when piling foundations. Construction Restoration Restoration of benthic habitats after completed construction and and maintenance work, such as the burial of cables. maintenance - 289 - Phase Type of Description and objectives measure Construction Operational Regulation of obstacle lighting or other lighting in areas where and operation management photosensitive species are present; However, there are limitations here and control in a Swedish context. Construction Operational The use of acoustic intimidation techniques in connection with work and operation management that causes noise at a level that may be harmful to species worthy of and control protection; Construction Operational Control of emissions of pollutants to water and air which may be and operation management harmful to the environment. and control Construction Operational Regulation of boat traffic in connection with construction, servicing and and operation management maintenance in order to reduce the impact on species that are and control sensitive to noise or other human influences. Operation Operational Modifications to wind turbines or other parts of the wind farm in order to management reduce the risk of collision for birds and bats, such as rotor blade and control colouring and stop regulation; Operation Operational Downtime in the event of unforeseen high environmental impacts in and management order to implement mitigation or environmental restoration measures; decommissio and control ning Settlement Scheduling Adaptation of the time of decommission or repowering to sensitive periods for protected species present in the area, such as reproduction, foraging or migration periods Settlement Restoration Restoration of benthic habitats during decommission. Improving and nature-based measures This last type of measures includes measures developed so far mainly by wind energy operators with a view to achieving certain environmental improvements related to the construction of an offshore wind farm. The introduction of environmental improvement measures has mainly taken place on a voluntary basis by wind power operators, but in recent years countries such as the UK and the Netherlands have started to develop conditions for net positive environmental impact, so- called “marine net gain”, and the introduction of nature-inclusive design in offshore wind projects, respectively. Corresponding principles have been developed to create better conditions for other human activities to be carried out within wind farms, such as recreational fishing and other recreation or marine aquaculture. Improvement measures have so far been developed mainly in the framework of pilot projects, but their application is likely to become the standard in the future. As regards the environmental impacts identified in the context of this impact assessment, improvement measures may be appropriate to increase the diversity of demersal habitats and benefit demersal species. Finally, it is appropriate to mention some areas where the need for new knowledge is intended to be great in order to achieve sustainable use of the marine spatial plans in line with the objectives of the marine spatial plans and Swedish marine governance. The environmental impact assessment of adopted marine spatial plans described five proposals for investigation and - 290 - coordination areas (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a): 1. cumulative impacts of offshore wind energy on seabirds; 2. bats and the impact of wind power; 3. area- specific measures in areas with particular consideration to high nature values; 4. diversion of shipping in the South Bothnian Sea; and 5. further development of spatial data on ecosystem services. In the following paragraphs, three further areas in need of special investigation are discussed: 1. winter navigation and offshore wind power in the Gulf of Bothnia; 2. the impact of offshore wind power on outdoor activities, recreation and the tourism industry; and (3) an offshore wind monitoring programme. Winter navigation and offshore wind power The problems surrounding the impact of offshore wind power on winter navigation have been described by the Swedish Marine Administration in a memorandum in connection with the task of developing proposals for suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial planning (Energy Agency, 2023a, Annex 5). In order to be able to assess the impact of marine spatial plans’ guidance on energy extraction and for marine spatial planning to be able to guide future use of areas that are ice-covered parts of the year, the state of knowledge on the impact of wind power needs to be improved. There is currently no experience from other countries regarding the establishment of wind power and shipping in areas with similar conditions, which is why it is particularly important to clarify the issue in the Gulf of Bothnia. The large number of energy areas in the marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia is an important argument behind the investigation. The impact of offshore wind power on outdoor activities, recreation and the tourism industry Visual impact from offshore wind power is a common argument against wind power establishment. Visual impact can affect the experience of both natural and built environments, and affect the value of outdoor, recreational and cultural environments. However, knowledge of the actual extent of this effect is lacking, both from abroad and in particular from Sweden. At the beginning of 2024, the County Administrative Boards delivered a document identifying coastal cultural environments that are at risk of being affected by offshore wind power. There is currently no similar basis for recreation and outdoor activities. The importance of such an investigation is great given the extensive expansion of offshore wind power along Sweden's coasts that the marine spatial plans guide. Given the lack of knowledge about the actual effects on these two aspects and about sequential effects on the tourism industry, it is currently not possible to make a robust assessment of the effects of wind power establishment in different coastal areas. Within the programme Offshore wind power in coexistence with human environment, research projects are ongoing to investigate the effects of offshore wind power on tourism experiences (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024a). Offshore wind monitoring programme The extensive expansion of offshore wind power guided by the marine spatial plans constitutes a significant intervention in the Swedish marine environment. Although offshore wind farms have been in operation for over two decades, knowledge of biological and ecological impacts is still very limited. Within the same research programme mentioned above, a study is ongoing that - 291 - focuses on the far-reaching effects of the Lillgrund offshore wind farm that has been in operation since 2007, with a particular focus on fisheries and nature conservation (Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024). In the current state of knowledge, there is a particular lack of results on the effects in the long term and across larger geographical areas. Given the large-scale expansion not only in Sweden but also in neighbouring countries, it is precisely these large-scale effects that need to be investigated. Sweden's marine monitoring programme is insufficient to follow up the various environmental effects of wind power in all areas where offshore wind power may be established. Already today, there are shortcomings in monitoring some of the marine species and habitats that are considered to be most affected by offshore wind power, such as the Baltic Sea harbour porpoise and most migrating bird species. Sweden is not alone in this deficiency, which means that there is relatively little knowledge of long-term, cumulative effects to be drawn from other countries. In addition, the conditions in Sweden's territorial sea and economic zone differ significantly from those in Skagerrak/Kattegat countries, where most of the knowledge about the effects of wind power has so far been produced. Wind power designers today collect very large amounts of data about the marine environment. As a rule, this information sites private and only the part of the permit documents becomes public. When wind farms are built, the wind power operator is obliged to follow up the environmental effects in accordance with a control programme established by the State. Wind farms are fixed at the same point, and also have direct access to electricity, which means that they would be good measuring stations as a complement to buoys and other marine environmental monitoring. Against this background, the possibilities for cooperation between the State, private wind energy operators and other organisations, including the academia, should be analysed in the context of the design of a future national monitoring programme. - 292 - Methodology The emphasis of the impact assessment is on estimating the differences in environmental, social and economic impacts between the plan options and the zero alternative (see section 7.1). The impact assessment has applied a mainly semi-quantitative approach, as described below. A quantitative approach is not considered applicable in terms of the overall level of marine spatial plans and the impossibility of setting numerical values for all the different aspects that the plans affect and the effects they entail. The impact of the marine spatial plans is described in relative terms from a change perspective in relation to the zero alternative. In particular, the impact assessment highlights the relative effects that the different energy areas in marine spatial plans can have. The selection of assessment aspects included in the impact assessment was made on the basis of the requirements in Chapter 6, Section 2 of the Environmental Code for the environmental aspects. The selection of social and economic aspects was made on the basis of the criteria in the sustainability assessment of agreed marine spatial plans (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019b) taking into account the most likely impacts of offshore wind power. In the selection of assessment aspects, comments received by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management during the delimitation consultation of the impact assessment were also taken into account. The table below shows the assessment aspects used in the impact assessment. Table 51. Assessment aspects used in the impact assessment. Assessment aspect Population and human health Protected animal and plant species and biodiversity: Birds, bats, marine mammals, bottom habitats, fish and spawning areas and high nature values Water and air Climate Landscape Cultural environment Management with land, water and the physical environment, as well as with materials, raw materials and energy Energy extraction – prerequisite, wind and depth conditions Outdoor activities and recreation Tourism industry Defence Maritime transport – accessibility and safety Commercial fishing – landing value - 293 - Population and health The assessment of impacts on human health is based on aspects identified as relevant in relation to proposed uses in the marine spatial plan, with a focus on impacts and impacts related to offshore wind deployment. - Noise disturbance – airborne noise emitted by offshore wind turbines. - Visual disturbance – obstacle lighting, shading and the wind turbines themselves. - Risk of accidents or accidents with an indirect effect on human health. - Indirect effects on human health through changes in emissions, both positive and negative. The Sustainability Impact Assessment carried out in 2019, a socio-economic impact assessment from WSP (Paulsson et al. 2024) as well as communication with experts have been the basis for the assessments. Protected animal and plant species and biodiversity, bottom habitats Assessment of the aspects Protected animal and plant species and biodiversity and Benthic habitats is based on the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management’s Symphony method for assessing cumulative effects (for a detailed description of the Symphony method and its use in an impact assessment, see Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2019a; for Symphony metadata, see Annex 1 of the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2018c. Analyses of the effects of changes in use, in this case energy use, have been made for all energy areas. The results of effects on ecosystem components marine mammals, wintering birds, coastal bird spawning areas and bottom habitats have then been used to show the potential effect of different areas on a scale from zero to four, with four indicating large negative effect. The overall Symphony results have formed the basis for an expert assessment of the risk of impact in each marine spatial plan area. The method for assessing effects on birds is based on evidence from the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency and the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, as well as expert assessment from Lund University and the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. The method for assessing effects on bats is based on a risk assessment dialogue between SwAM, SLU and the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. Water and air, and other elements of the environment The assessment of effects on air refers to changes in emissions of airborne pollutants as a result of the marine spatial plan guidance. The uses relevant in this context are shipping, fishing, sand extraction and offshore wind. Wind power partly based on conversion to fossil-free energy and reduced air pollution related to this. Effects on water as a habitat refer to changes in the physical and chemical conditions of water as a result of the marine spatial plan guidance on the different uses. For the assessment aspects of water and air, it has not been relevant to assess the impact of individual energy areas, this is because effects are not local or permanent, but rather affect quality factors throughout the marine spatial planning area. - 294 - Climate The climate aspect describes how the marine spatial plan guidance can contribute positively or negatively to greenhouse gas emissions. Potential climate benefits are illustrated by a calculation example. Nature conservation, as well as particular consideration for high nature values, is considered to be an indication of how marine spatial planning can contribute to increased resilience and climate adaptation by protecting ecosystems from disturbances. Landscape The method for assessing the effects of energy areas on landscapes has been divided into visualisations that are presented as a separate part in Chapter 2.3.3, as well as a visibility analysis that constitutes the assessment itself. Visualizations The general photo montages showing landscape effects at different distances from land have been produced by Ramboll at the request of the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management. Photo montage or visualizations tend to mitigate the experience compared to a real offshore wind farm. The visual influence is subjective in the viewer. Detailed visualisations for individual energy areas were not possible within the scope of the assignment, but the visualised sample parks are seen as a medium-sized offshore wind farm. Visibility analysis The method for assessing landscape impact is based on a so-called viewshed analysis in order to assess the effects from the energy areas. These are presented in the site-specific assessments. The visibility analysis has been done by a final summary of the impact that the individual energy areas give rise to following this analysis. The method is calculated based on views for approximately 50 000 land observation points and takes into account the topography of the landscape and altitude-blocked views, but not any vegetation. The Geological Survey of Sweden has conducted the viewshed analysis in ArcGIS Pro according to the method description below. The analysis is based on elevation data from a so-called Digital Elevation Model (DEM) from Copernicus. The raster data has a resolution of 30 meters and is produced by the Copernicus programme of the European Space Agency (ESA). The vision analysis is then calculated according to the following detailed steps: • Elevation data from Copernicus about 30 meters resolution is converted to a 1 kilometer resolution. • The visibility analysis is in turn based on a data set called offshore visibility dataset. • The vertical extent is based on an observation height of 1.7 metres on land and a maximum height of 300 metres from sea level. • Observers are located at intervals of one kilometre in areas within 70 kilometres of Sweden's sea border. A maximum visibility distance of 70 kilometres has been adopted, representing an ideal and precautionary scenario to ensure that no potential visibility is overlooked. This relatively conservative approach takes into account the maximum extent of a theoretical viewing distance, even under optimal visibility conditions linked to atmosphere and light. - 295 - • The tool ArcGIS Viewshed2 was used to calculate visibility based on observer placement, altitude data and turbine heights. The final visibility dataset is in 1 kilometre resolution. Visibility values represent a theoretical line of sight from the observer points to the wind turbines, taking into account the terrain. • The visual impact is in turn designed to show the visual impact of offshore wind turbines. The analysis includes buffering of energy areas, selection of observer points, calculation of line of sight and quantification of visual impact based on angle and distance. • Energy areas were buffered with a 70 kilometer radius to define the area of potential visual impact, where all observer points within this 70 kilometer buffer were selected. This resulted in approximately 50 000 points that were used in the analysis. For each point, the same observer altitude of 1.7 metres was assumed, as well as 300 metres maximum altitude and 70 kilometer maximum visibility. • The intersection between each sieve analysis and the energy area was calculated to define the visual impact. • The visual impact for each observation point and energy area was calculated based on the angle at which the observer's view meets the energy area and the distance from the point to the energy area. The visual impact was measured with a combination of the visibility analysis and a customized effect evaluation based on the angle and distance overlap. Distance impact decreases linearly from 100 at 0 kilometers and 0 at 70 kilometers, reflecting the reduced visual impact at increased distance. The angular influence was based on the calculation of the apparent angular width from each energy area from the observation point, on a scale of 0 to 100. The minimum distance to the visible part of each energy area was used. • The total impact was calculated by multiplying the distance impact by the angle impact, ensuring that both factors contributed proportionally to the overall visual impact level. This approach allows for a more nuanced assessment of visual impact, taking into account both the proximity and the extent of visibility from different angles. • To make assessments for each energy area's impact on landscapes, a final analysis was made that summarizes the total potential visual impact for each energy area by aggregating individual impact values from land-based observation points. Consideration is given to the effect that nearby areas can hide the view from the underlying energy areas. The summary gives an overview of what the visual impact can be for each energy area and is presented on a scale from large to no effect. Other impacts on landscapes An account of the potential effects of energy areas on other areas related to landscape impact, such as landscape protection areas in the Nature Conservation Act (1964:822), areas of national interest (Chapter 4, Sections 3 - 4 of the Environmental Code) and national parks is also included in the assessment of the impact on landscapes. Cumulative and transboundary effects Potential cumulative and transboundary effects are presented qualitatively along the viewshed analysis and the other effects on landscapes, in terms of number, size, distance and design of energy areas. The cross-border effects are partly due to the potential impact of Swedish energy areas on the landscape in neighbouring countries. Also existing and planned energy areas in - 296 - neighbouring countries that may have cumulative effects on landscapes in Sweden, not least cross-border cumulatively. Cultural environment The method for assessing the effects of energy areas on the cultural environment has been divided into different sections, which are presented in chapters 3.3.4, 4.3.4 and 5.3.4. The assessment of the effects on the cultural environment has been based on national interest claims for conservation of the cultural environment (Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code). In addition, the County Administrative Boards' planning basis for marine cultural heritage (regional value areas) in the national marine spatial planning (County Administrative Boards, 2024) has been used in its own part. Direct effects have then been reported for marine archaeological sites, as well as assessment of other effects on the cultural environment and cumulative and transboundary effects. The results are shown in figures in chapters 3, 4 and 5. The Swedish Energy Agency (2023a), Annex 6, has been used for descriptions of the impact on cultural environment interests. These descriptions assess the extent to which the proposed energy areas risk affecting different known cultural environment types, creating dominance and/or competition against the cultural environments or affecting specifically designated cultural environment values as World Heritage Sites. These three aspects relate primarily to the visual (indirect) impact caused by the wind farms, which in turn can affect the experience of the different cultural heritage values. Indirect impact – National interest in cultural heritage conservation (Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code) Indirect impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation has been assessed on the basis of a geographical overlap analysis of national interest claims. Buffer zones of 12.5, 25, 35, 50 and 70 kilometres have been created around national interest claims. Different types of overlap have been given different weights in the assessment, with a closer overlap weighted higher than an overlap further away, and a 70 kilometer buffer weighted lowest. This is done to capture the impact of the energy areas on the cultural environment in terms of its proximity and the assessment is expected to capture the distance of the energy areas and the length parallel to the coast. Unlike the method for landscape impact, the assessment for the cultural environment does not take into account terrain, or vegetation on the coast. This can have a major impact on the visual impact from different areas on land. In addition to the quantitative analysis, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, together with the Swedish National Heritage Board, has anchored methods and assessments and the results have been reviewed and adjusted qualitatively if necessary. This is because there are shortcomings in a quantitative overlap analysis to assess the impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation, where not all aspects can be captured. Impact refers to conditions for national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and potential impact based on current value descriptions. Area-specific assessments have been limited to areas with high and medium impact, as well as national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation located within 25 kilometers of the energy areas that are considered to pose a risk of high or medium impact on cultural heritage conservation. The aim is to highlight areas where dominance and/or competition with cultural heritage values can occur, as well as the type of impact that is relevant based on the sensitivity of each cultural heritage. This is in line with the Swedish National Heritage Board's upcoming report, which outlines their development work on general consideration distance for dominance/competition - 297 - regarding offshore wind power and cultural environments. The report on these development efforts in connection with the government assignment will be published in 2025. Direct impact As a complement to the assessment of the impact on the cultural environment, a geographical analysis of direct impact has been produced, which is mainly linked to marine archaeological sites such as wrecks. The result is reported by the number of registered marine archaeological sites from the Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetet, u.y.). The number of marine archaeological sites per energy area has been compiled in a table to show the potential direct impact on the cultural environment. Indirect and direct impact – Regional value areas Assessment for impact on the county administrative boards' developed regional value areas (County Administrative Boards, 2024) has a similar method as for assessment of impact on national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation, but has been divided to clarify the assessments. The assessment is based on a similar geographical overlap analysis of indirect impacts, but where there is direct overlap of regional value areas with energy areas, they have been weighted higher and then in decreasing longer weight along buffered distances. This is due to the fact that value ranges are above and/or below the surface. For the assessment, the County Administrative Boards' value descriptions and consideration recommendations for designated regional value areas have been used qualitatively. It should be noted that the descriptions are not exhaustive, but are based on the selection of cultural heritage values described in the planning documents. In addition, even energy areas with a lower impact assessment can create dominance and/or competition for cultural heritage values, especially for cultural heritage within 35 kilometres, a limit that has been used as a general distance of consideration for the regional value areas (County Administrative Boards, 2024), which marine spatial planning has taken as its starting point in connection with areas with high cultural heritage values (small-k). This limit differs from the limit of dominance/competition that the Swedish National Heritage Board invokes in their development work. Other impacts on cultural environment The potential effects of energy areas on other areas related to the impact on cultural environments, such as landscape protection areas in the Nature Conservation Act (1964:822), areas of national interest (Chapter 4, Sections 3 - 4 of the Environmental Code) and World Heritage sites, are then reported. Their values are described in a separate section where it is relevant for the assessments of the impact of energy areas on the cultural environment. Cumulative and transboundary effects Finally, it also describes the transboundary impact on the cultural environment, partly the potential impact of Swedish energy areas on cultural environments in neighbouring countries, but also the potential impact of neighbouring countries' planned energy areas on cultural environments in Sweden. A method for cumulative impact has also been developed. National interest claims for cultural heritage conservation and regional value areas have been dealt with separately, where overlaps from these areas with energy areas have been calculated in direct, 12.5, 25, 35, 50 and 70 kilometer buffering. The overlap has then been added together, based on - 298 - the number of cultural environments affected, but also along its distance. A higher weighting has been made if a cultural environment area is close compared to further away. It is only the closest overlap that counts for each cultural heritage site. The weighted values have then been summed up to a total value that constitutes the cumulative assessment. See examples below. Table 52. Example of the method for assessing cumulative effects of energy areas on cultural environments. Energy area Direct 12.5km 25km 35km (1*5) 50km (1*2.5) 70km (1*1) Total overlap (1*10) (1*7.5) (1*15) X123 0 10 15 10 7,5 2 44,5 X456 15 0 7,5 5 5 4 36,5 X789 0 0 0 5 2,5 1 8,5 Management with land, water and the physical environment, as well as with materials, raw materials and energy The assessment of the management of land, water and the physical environment, as well as of materials, raw materials and energy, is made on the basis of the Ordinance on Land and Water Management (SFS 1998:896) and the relevant national interest claims (the National Board of Housing, Building and Planning) and uses within the marine spatial plan areas, both as individual assessments (recreation, cultural environment, nature, shipping, commercial fishing), and gathered in the overall impact assessment in Chapter 6. Energy extraction The starting point for the method and assessment of the marine spatial plans' energy areas is the Swedish Energy Agency's interim report of the government assignment, Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial plans (Energy Agency 2023a). The Swedish Energy Agency is the national interest authority for national energy claims and existing national interest claims were also taken into account in the agency's interim reporting. All energy areas in the marine spatial plan consist of reported energy extraction areas and have initially been assessed as suitable by the Swedish Energy Agency. Energy impact assessment consists of a descriptive overall analysis at marine spatial plan level including area, wind and depth ratio, distribution of foundation type and location, as well as a criteria assessment for each energy area. For criteria assessment, a grading of the energy areas is carried out based on character and conditions. The approach is similar to that used by the Swedish Energy Agency (2023e), with some modification. The Swedish Energy Agency's method is based on a model with criteria wind speed, water depth and distance to land. Current assessment of energy areas includes assessment of wind and depth conditions, but excludes criteria for distance to land. The criterion for wind conditions is based on the area's bearing capacity based on the potential for electricity produced, based on wind resource (wind strength), where the area size of the wind farm (area) is also relevant. In addition, assessment of depth conditions is included, based on the importance of investment costs for construction and - 299 - choice of technology, bottom-fixed or floating foundations. The characteristics of the areas in terms of wind and depth ratio are spatial conditions, which are considered to be relatively constant and include a lower degree of uncertainty in order to assess the natural geographical conditions for construction and realisation. With regard to distance to land and connection and maintenance costs depend on infrastructure conditions, such as distance to the appropriate connection point to the transmission point, possible storage solutions (e.g. hydrogen) and port operations for maintenance. Connection costs for electricity distribution and maintenance are essential, but involve relatively greater uncertainty as to where and in what form this will actually take place. Based on the assessment's time perspective to 2040 and uncertainties regarding future expansion of connection points and distribution networks, as well as storage forms, distance to land is therefore not included as a criterion for each energy area. Criteria assessment for each energy area is limited to only spatial terrestrial conditions regarding wind and depth conditions. Prerequisites such as distance to land are, however, to some extent included in the descriptive analysis, in the aspect of whether the energy area is located within the territorial sea, 12 nautical miles (about 22 kilometers) from the baseline or not. Wind and depth criteria Method and starting point for criteria analysis are geographical analyses regarding wind and depth conditions, based on an average of the respective criteria for each energy area. Analyses are based on modelled breaks of depth data and wind data from the Baltic sea hydrographic commission (u.y.), respectively the New European wind atlas (u.y.). Both wind and depth conditions can vary within the energy area and the character of the areas refers to wind, and depth and is grouped into three different groups, with 1 - 3 points, as below. Justification for the choice of grouping is based on documentation from the Swedish Energy Agency (2023e) Table 53. Grouping for wind speed and depth criteria. Group/points Wind speed at 150 m hub height, medium Depth, medium 1 Less than 8,5 m/s Depths exceeding -70 m 2 Between 8,5 and 9 m/s Between -40 and -70 m 3 Greater than 9 m/s Founder than -40 m Based on, wind and depth ratio, points are summed per criterion for each energy area. Energy area are then grouped based on min and max values on a scale of 1-4, where measured min value 3 corresponds to 1 and max value 6 corresponds to 4, see example below. Grouping and summation is a simplified and rough estimate for comparison and visualization of the nature and natural conditions of the areas, and overall per marine spatial plan. For the method, no weighting of the parameters beyond the score scale is used, but wind and depth conditions are considered equivalent. - 300 - Table 54. Examples of criteria assessment, summation and grouping. Energy area Wind speed Depth, Total Relative at 150 m hub medium scale 1 - 4 height, medium X123 3 3 6 4 X456 2 2 4 2 X789 2 1 3 1 Conditions are also assessed overall at the marine spatial plan level, based on averages per energy area, relative to the size of the energy area, as shown below. • FH = Total: (Pev*ey /YH) + (Ped * ey /YH), where; FH = Conditions, nature of wind and depth, mean seaplane Pev = energy area grouping wind, points Ped = energy area grouping depth, points ey = area (km2) energy area; YH = total area (km2) in marine spatial plan with guidance on energy extraction The criteria method with regard to wind and depth conditions can be seen as a simplified version of the Swedish Energy Agency's initial for the selection of suitable energy areas. Analyses and methods regarding conditions for offshore wind power can also be found in the appendix to the report Wind power in the sea (Government's public investigations, 2024). Uncertainties and limitations of the method The analysis is thus based on modelled breaks of depth data and wind data from the Baltic sea hydrographic commission (u.y.) and the New European wind atlas (u.y.) respectively. The depth data is not comprehensive, and several data points are therefore interpolated. For those places where depth data is less reliable, the result is also less reliable. The method has nevertheless been considered reasonable as the greatest uncertainties are at greater depth and given that the ranges of depth used in the analysis are so large, the outcome is nevertheless considered reasonable. However, the result should not be read in too high resolution, but is intended to be used at a strategic level. Since the energy areas are not homogeneous in terms of depth and wind speed, but in several cases include depth and/or wind from at least two categories, this means that some areas get a lower average in the analysis than more homogeneously cropped areas after depth curves would get. Nevertheless, the report at energy area level gives an indication of how the conditions for the areas can be assessed. The methodology also does not take into account where appropriate connection points to the terrestrial transmission network would be, or potential storage possibilities (e.g. hydrogen), which limits the assessment of the economic conditions for investment and maintenance. In addition, the methodology does not include potential price developments for electricity prices, revenues or price developments for inputs for construction and maintenance, cost side, which - 301 - constitutes a significant part for the actual realisation of the plan’s guidance on areas for energy extraction and wind farm construction. More information on this can be found in the appendix to the report Wind power in the sea (Government Official Reports, 2024). Recreation Methods for assessing the impact of energy areas on recreation are based on national interest for mobile recreation (Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code), national interest claims for recreation (Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code), and the Swedish Energy Agency (2023a), Annex 6. The results are presented in chapters 3.4.2, 4.4.2 and 5.4.2 with descriptions and figures. There is also an assessment linked to the impact on accessibility, primarily for recreational boating, as well as an assessment of other impacts on recreation and cumulative and cross-border effects. Area-specific assessments – National interest for mobile recreation (Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code) and national interest claims for recreation (Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code) Similar to the method for assessing the impact on the cultural environment, a geographical overlap analysis has been made based on areas of national interest and areas of national interest. However, the analysis was only used as a quantitative complement to roughly see potential impact linked to distance and proximity, but not all aspects. Together with the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, a qualitative assessment of the impact on recreation from energy areas has been made based on the national interest for mobile recreation and national interest claims for recreation. The Swedish Energy Agency’s (2023a) Annex 6 includes value descriptions and descriptions of the impact on orecreation that have also been used. The assessments are based on the marine spatial plans' energy areas and include potential indirect (visual) impact on coastal-based national interests and national interest claims. Impact refers to conditions for recreation and potential impact based on current value descriptions, such as visual impact, experience values and accessibility. The results are presented as area-specific assessments and are presented in figures together with descriptions. Accessibility The assessment of accessibility is linked to a more direct impact on recreation. This mainly relates to recreational boating in the marine spatial planning area, where barrier effects can occur for example recreational boating routes, but also linked to accessibility in areas of the sea linked to activities such as recreational fishing. This is particularly evident for the offshore national interest claims for recreation outside Halland. As a complement to the assessment, an overall geographical analysis has been made of recreational boating within the marine spatial planning area as part of the accessibility assessment. The basis for the assessment was the Automatic Identification System (AIS) data from EMODnet (2022). It used data on vessel density for pleasure craft and sailboats for the years 2017 to 2022. The data was merged into a layer calculated along the energy areas of the marine spatial plans, where a mean value within the energy area was summed up. The result was compiled in a table and shows a monthly average of the number of timber there is recreational boating activity in each energy area between the years 2017 – 2022. The base also shows figures. It should be mentioned that most recreational boats do not use AIS, as recreational shipping usually consists of smaller boats that move within - 302 - the archipelago and not out in the marine spatial planning areas. This analysis therefore covers only a part of recreational boating. Other impacts on recreation The potential effects of energy areas on other areas related to the impact on recreation are then reported. The national interests of unbroken coasts (Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code) and high-exploited coasts (Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code), as well as national parks, have been dealt with separately as a complement to the assessment. Their values are described in a separate paragraph where it is relevant for the assessments of the impact of energy areas on recreation. Cumulative and transboundary effects Finally, an assessment is made of cumulative and transboundary impacts on recreation. The cumulative effects are accounted for in terms of the potential impact of energy areas on the number of areas linked to recreation, as well as linked to its proximity. The cumulative effects are also assessed on the basis of whether most wind farms would be realised. The cross-border effects describe the potential impact of Swedish energy areas on recreation areas in neighbouring countries, as well as the potential impact of neighbouring countries' planned energy areas on recreation areas in Sweden. This is mainly linked to indirect (visual) effects, but can also be direct, such as barrier effects or effects linked to accessibility. Shipping Assessment of the impact on shipping is based on national interest claims for communications under Chapter 3, Section 8 of the Environmental Code. The assessment of the effects on accessibility and safety in shipping is based on a relative comparison between energy areas regarding how shipping may be affected and what conditions exist for coexistence. The need for adaptation and safety distances are described in planning documents, as well as planning documents Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial plans The Swedish Energy Agency (2023a), Section 4, Annexes 5 and 6. Annex 6 describes the adaptations to shipping that are relevant for each energy area. For the assessment of each energy area, a number of criteria are used, which are then weighed together. Assessment is initially based on geographical overlap analysis based on the national interest including safety distances, area and share of safety zone relative to the respective energy areas. Thereafter, an estimate is made of the need for a changed fairway, as well as visual analysis of the area within the marine spatial plan area relevant for winter navigation (icebreaking), if the energy area is adjacent to more than one fairway, if it is adjacent to a fairway in a neighbouring country and/or an IMO-classified route, and if special remark regarding unsuitability or safety zone is reported in the Swedish Energy Agency (2023a). For comparison between energy area, the following summation and indexation are used: Impact on shipping = AZn + AAn + JF + VSn + FL + AN + GL AZn = Area, potential area within safety zone, normalised AAn = Percentage of energy area total area related to safety zone, normalized - 303 - JF = Adjusted fairway, increased mileage, percentage in decimal form. VSn = Winter navigation, energy area as a proportion of plan area, normalised FL = Multidimensional influence. Adjoining fairway, No, (0), adjoining 1- 2 fairways (0.5), Adjacent to more than two fairways or ‘‘crammed’ (1) AN - Report Note (No (0) /Yes, Not Acceptable (1), Yes, Note Safety Distance Requirement (0.5)) GL = Borders with neighbouring fairway, and IMO-classified fairway (No (0) /Neighbouring country (0,5), IMO (1) Total impact on shipping, indexed, normalized to 0-1, and then distributed based on the highest value. The assessment is based on interim report The Swedish Energy Agency (2023a) and provides an overview of the conditions for coexistence with shipping. Further investigations regarding the conditions for winter navigation and area-specific adaptation for coexistence with shipping and wind power are required in permit decisions on wind power establishment. Commercial fishing The economic analysis is based on the report How is Swedish commercial fishing of offshore wind power affected? with complementary materials (Waldo S. & Blomquist J., 2024a and 2024b). The report contains a more detailed methodological description than the summary presented here. The exposure of commercial fisheries to wind energy establishment in the proposed energy areas is measured using landing values over the period 2013-2023. The landing value is calculated by multiplying the reported catches (from the vessels’ logbooks) by a price by species (from the catch value statistics). By calculating landing values from catches inside and outside energy areas, a picture is obtained of how commercial fishing is affected by energy areas. A fishing activity is defined as affected by the energy area if all or part of the fishing activity has taken place within the area. For a trawl line, this means that it is sufficient that a small part has been inside the area for it to be defined as an affected fishing activity. This means that the values reported cannot be interpreted strictly as ‘catches within the energy zones’, as part of the catch may have taken place outside the zone. The definition corresponds to a situation where it is difficult or too costly to carry out parts of the trawl tow if it is not possible to trawl through the energy area. The economic analysis also assumes that commercial fishing will be completely excluded from energy areas, although trawl fishing for Norway lobster in combination with wind farms with fixed foundations is considered, however, after adaptation of the wind farm, to be able to coexist to some extent. The analysis is based on logbook data and satellite-based monitoring through ‘Vessel Monitoring System’ (VMS) between 2013 and 2023, as well as the value of fished-in statistics reported by the HaV to EU economic statistics (European Commission, 2021). All prices are adjusted by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the 2023 value (established annual values according to Statistics Sweden). To calculate the landing value per fishing activity, the landing weights in the logbook are multiplied by a price by species. The price used is based on the value fished reported and corresponds to the average landing price per vessel, species, catch area and year. - 304 - The fish included in the analysis reported for Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Gulf of Bothnia: • Gulf of Bothnia: o Bottom trawl fisheries for cod and demersal species o Pelagic trawl fisheries for cod o Bottom trawl fisheries for vendace o Bottom trawl fisheries targeting pelagic species, mainly herring, sprat and mackerel o Pelagic trawl fisheries, mainly herring, sprat and mackerel o Purse seine fisheries targeting pelagic species mainly herring and sprat • Skagerrak/Kattegat: o Bottom trawl fisheries with shrimp trawls o Bottom trawl fisheries mainly targeting Norway lobster o Bottom trawl fisheries (including Danish seines) targeting mainly demersal fish o Bottom trawl fisheries targeting pelagic species, mainly herring, sprat and mackerel o Pelagic trawl fisheries, mainly herring, sprat and mackerel o Purse seine fisheries targeting pelagic species mainly herring and sprat The relative impact on total landing values per energy area is shown in one map for the Gulf of Bothnia (pelagic trawling and bottom trawling) and two maps for Skagerrak/Kattegat (shrimp fishing and Norway lobster and fish fishing). ‘Total landing value’ means the average total landing value for Swedish fisheries over the period 2013-2023 for the specific fishery (e.g. Northern prawn) in Sweden’s territorial waters and exclusive economic zone. 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Regime shifts in marine communities: a complex systems perspective on food web dynamics. Proceeding of the Royal Society B. doi:https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2015.2569 Öhman, M. (2023). Effekter av havsbaserad vindkraft på fisk. Rapport 7115. Vindval. Stockholm: Naturvårdsverket. Östersjöcentrum. (2021). Policy Brief: Ostörda kustekosystem avgörande för att motverka klimatförändringar. Stockholm: Östersjöcentrum. Laws, regulations TSFS 2020:88. The Swedish Transport Agency’s regulations and general advice on marking objects that may pose a danger to aviation and on notification of flight obstacles . SFS 1964:822 Nature Conservation Act SFS 1977:439 Act on Municipal Energy Planning SFS 1998:808. Environmental Code SFS 1998:896 Ordinance on the management of land and water areas SFS 2004:660 Water Management Ordinance SFS 2007:845 Species Protection Ordinance SFS 2007:1266. Ordinance with instructions for the Swedish Armed Forces SFS 2009:400 Public Access to Information and Secrecy Act SFS 2010:900 Planning and Building Act SFS 2010:1341 Marine Environment Ordinance SFS 2015:400 Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance SFS 2017:583. Ordinance on regional development work - 315 - SFS 2017:720 Climate Act SFS 2017:966 Environmental Assessment Ordinance SFS 2018:1428 Ordinance on authorities' climate adaptation work - 316 - List of Figures Figure 1. The planning objectives and some of the overarching objectives and conditions that have formed the basis for the formulation of the planning objectives (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2024b). .................................................................................................. 16 Figure 2. Shows the zero alternative in the impact assessment consisting of energy areas where there are permits to establish offshore wind power, including the already existing wind farm Lillgrund (Ö287). ............................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 3. Shows an illustration of climate change in the ocean (Own illustration: Veronica Berntson). ....................................................................................................................................... 48 Figure 4. Examples of possible CO2 emission trajectories at different RCPs given as billion tonnes of carbon (van Vuuren et al., 2011).................................................................................... 48 Figure 6. Displays the expected change in surface salt content (PSU) for RCP 4.5 (left) and 8.5 (right). ............................................................................................................................................. 50 Figure 5. Displays the expected change in sea surface temperature in degrees Celcius for RCP 4.5 (left) and 8.5 (right). .................................................................................................................. 50 Figure 7. Shows Sweden's emissions of carbon dioxide equivalents broken down by different sectors. Note that the figures in the figure were preliminary, and differ from Statistics Sweden's figures. Image source: Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, 2024c. ................................. 52 Figure 8. Shows the distribution of energy sources in the Nordic residual mix in 2023. Source Energy Market Inspectorate, 2024 ................................................................................................. 53 Figure 9. The layout of the sample park with 72 wind turbines placed in grids with 1.7 kilometers of distance between the turbines. The red angle shows the point of view from land. ................... 55 Figure 10. The example park with a 12.5 km distance from land to the nearest works. ............... 56 Figure 11. The example park with a 5 km distance from land to the nearest works. .................... 56 Figure 12. The example park with a 25 km distance from land to the nearest works. .................. 57 Figure 13. The example park with a 35 km distance from land to the nearest works. .................. 57 Figure 14. Example of cumulative effect with the example park 12.5 km from land with a view to the right with another park 25 km from land................................................................................... 58 Figure 15. The example park with a 50 km distance from land to the nearest works. .................. 58 Figure 16. Map of national interest unbroken coast, high-exploited coast and national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025)............................................................................................................................................... 61 Figure 17. Map of other valuable areas for the cultural environment such as World Heritage Sites, regional value areas, marine archaeological sites, cultural reserves and landscape conservation (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2025). ...................................................... 62 Figure 18. Electricity consumption by sector, 2022 share of TWh. Source Swedish Energy Agency, 2024.................................................................................................................................. 65 - 317 - Figure 19. Industrial electricity use by industry, 2022 TWh. Source Swedish Energy Agency 2024. ........................................................................................................................................................ 66 Figure 20. End-use electricity (TWh) for the counties of Stockholm, Västra Götaland, Skåne, Norrbotten, Västernorrland, distributed consumer category, 2022. Source SCB 2024................. 66 Figure 21. Professional fisheries 2012-2021: Compilation of annual economic landing values for Swedish fisheries for the period 2012-2021: Passive fishing (top left); Pelagic trawl fisheries (upper right); Demersal/bottom trawl fisheries (bottom trawl) (bottom left). .................................. 84 Figure 22. Shows the distance of energy areas to urban areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Source: Statistics Sweden, 2020. ................................................................................................................ 90 Figure 23. Risks of adverse effects on migratory birds in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................................................................................ 93 Figure 24. Potential negative effect on bird wintering areas of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................... 94 Figure 25. Potential negative effect on bats of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ..................................... 96 Figure 26. Potential negative impact of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia on ringed seals. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ........................ 98 Figure 27. Potential negative effect of proposals for energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia on benthic habitats. Energy area B152 is expected to have a small negative effect, while other energy areas in the plan are expected to have a marginal effect on benthic habitats. ............... 101 Figure 28. Potential negative effect on fish and spawning grounds of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows more effect and light color shows less effect. White color shows energy area in the zero alternative. ......................................................................... 103 Figure 29. Areas using nature (N) and decided on the respective proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values (n) in the Gulf of Bothnia. .................................... 105 Figure 30. Displays marine sampling stations and proposed energy areas, including the zero alternative in the marine spatial plan area of the Gulf of Bothnia. ............................................... 108 Figure 31. The two upper maps show the expected winter ice extent for RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 respectively. The two lower ones show the expected ice thickness according to RCP 4.8 and RCP 8.5. ....................................................................................................................................... 112 Figure 32. Potential negative effect on landscapes of proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. In the energy areas, dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. Accumulated visibility from land is shown over the sea and visibility of energy areas is shown over land. .............................................................................................................................................. 114 Figure 33. Potential indirect negative effect of energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ............................................................................................................................................ 117 Figure 34. Risk of impact on marine archaeological sites. .......................................................... 120 Figure 35. Indirect and direct negative impact on regional cultural heritage value areas. .......... 122 - 318 - Figure 36. Map of energy areas in the plan proposal, zero alternatives, and initially identified suitable energy areas for energy extraction (Energimyndigheten.2023a), as well as conditions for energy extraction based on wind and depth conditions. .............................................................. 127 Figure 37. Distribution of areas for energy extraction (km2), average depth and foundation type. ...................................................................................................................................................... 131 Figure 38. Distribution of energy extraction areas (km2), territorial sea and exclusive economic zone. ............................................................................................................................................. 132 Figure 39. Assumptions on connection bidding zones. ............................................................... 134 Figure 40. Potential negative effect on recreation of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ............................... 136 Figure 41. Prevalence of recreational boating activity in proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022 (Emodnet, 2022). 139 Figure 42. Relative potential negative effect of energy areas on shipping in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................................................. 145 Figure 43. The map shows proposed energy areas, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in the Gulf of Bothnia. The figure also shows the impact as a percentage of the total annual landing value (pelagic floating or bottom trawl) per energy area. ...................................................................................................................................................... 149 Figure 44. Demonstrates what an offshore wind development could look like in the Gulf of Bothnia if greater consideration were taken to avoid negative impacts on nature and culture values based on the impact assessment............................................................................................................ 156 Figure 45. The map shows what an expansion of offshore wind power could look like in the Gulf of Bothnia if greater consideration were taken to avoid negative impacts on values for shipping and commercial fishing based on the impact assessment. ......................................................... 157 Figure 46. Map of proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia and energy expansion plans of neighbouring countries. Source: EMODnet, 2022, Flanders Marine Institute, 2023. .................. 159 Figure 47. Map showing distances from energy areas to agglomerations in the Baltic Sea marine spatial plan area. Source: Statistics Sweden, 2020. .................................................................... 161 Figure 48. Areas using nature (N) and decided on the respective proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values (n) in the Baltic Sea (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2024c)................................................................................................... 166 Figure 49. Potential negative effect on landscapes of proposed energy areas in the Baltic Sea. In the energy areas, dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. Accumulated visibility from land is shown over the sea and visibility of energy areas is shown over land. ...... 170 Figure 50. Potential indirect negative effect of energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment in the Baltic Sea. ..................................................................................................... 172 Figure 51. Risk of impact on marine archaeological sites. .......................................................... 174 Figure 52. Indirect and direct negative impact on regional cultural heritage value areas. .......... 176 Figure 53. Map of energy areas in plan proposals, zero alternatives, and initial planning basis The Swedish Energy Agency 2023. .................................................................................................... 179 - 319 - Figure 54. Potential negative effect on recreation of proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ............................... 183 Figure 55. Prevalence of recreational boating activity within proposed energy areas in the Baltic Sea based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022 (EMODnet, 2022). ..... 185 Figure 56. Relative potential negative effect of energy areas on shipping in the Baltic Sea. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. .......................................................... 188 Figure 57. Map showing proposed areas for energy extraction, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in the Baltic Sea. ................................................ 190 Figure 58. Shows proposed areas for energy expansion as well as already established wind farms in the Baltic Sea for neighbouring countries. ..................................................................... 193 Figure 59. Map showing distances between energy areas and urban areas in the marine spatial plan area of Skagerrak/Kattegat. Source: Statistics Sweden, 2020. ........................................... 196 Figure 60. Potential negative effect on migratory birds of proposals for energy extraction areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................ 198 Figure 61. Potential negative effect on wintering areas for birds of proposals for energy extraction areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. .. 199 Figure 62. Potential negative effect on bats of proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................................................. 201 Figure 63. Potential negative effect of proposed energy areas on harbour porpoises in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................ 204 Figure 64. Potential negative effect of proposed energy areas on the benthic habitat in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark blue color shows medium effect and light green blue color shows little effect. ............................................................................................................................................ 206 Figure 65. Potential positive local net effect of energy areas on the benthic habitat in Skagerrak/Kattegat if energy use replaces bottom trawling. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect.......................................................................................................... 208 Figure 66. Potential negative effects on fish and fish spawning in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................................................................... 210 Figure 67. Areas using nature (N) and decided on the respective proposals for new areas with particular consideration to high nature values (n) in Skagerrak/Kattegat (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management 2024c)....................................................................................... 213 Figure 68. Displays sampling stations for marine environmental monitoring as well as proposed energy areas including the zero alternative. ................................................................................ 216 Figure 69. Potential negative effect on the landscape of proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. In the energy areas, dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. Accumulated visibility from land is shown over the sea and visibility of energy areas is shown over land. .......................................................................................................................... 220 Figure 70. Potential indirect negative effect of energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ............................................................................................................................................ 223 - 320 - Figure 71. Risk of impact on marine archaeological sites. .......................................................... 226 Figure 72. Indirect and direct negative impact on regional cultural heritage value areas. .......... 228 Figure 73. Map of energy areas in plan proposals, zero alternatives, initial planning basis, and conditions for energy extraction based on wind and depth conditions. ....................................... 233 Figure 74. Distribution of areas for energy extraction (km2), average depth and foundation type. ...................................................................................................................................................... 236 Figure 75. Distribution of energy extraction areas (km2), territorial sea and exclusive economic zone. ............................................................................................................................................. 237 Figure 76. Assumptions on connection bidding zones. ............................................................... 239 Figure 77. Potential negative effect on recreation of proposals for energy extraction areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................ 241 Figure 78. Prevalence of recreational boating activity within proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022 (Emodnet, 2022)............................................................................................................................................. 244 Figure 79. Relative potential negative effect of energy areas on shipping in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dark color shows great effect and light color shows little effect. ................................................. 250 Figure 80. The map shows proposed energy areas, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The figure also shows the impact as a percentage of the total annual landing value (Northern shrimp) per energy area. ................... 255 Figure 81. The map shows proposed energy areas, use of commercial fishing and national interest claims for commercial fishing in Skagerrak/Kattegat. The figure also shows the impact as a percentage of the total annual landing value (Norway lobster and fish) per energy area. ....... 256 Figure 82. Displaying the "Nature and Culture" assessment scenario, in this case the energy areas identified by the impact assessment as having the greatest overall negative impact have been removed. The overall negative impact on the values of nature and culture will be low. .... 264 Figure 83. If the assessment scenario "Shipping and commercial fishing" is shown, in this case the energy areas identified by the impact assessment as having the greatest overall negative impact have been removed. The overall negative impact on values for shipping and fishing will be low. ............................................................................................................................................... 265 Figure 84. Map of proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat and plans for energy expansion in neighbouring countries. Source: EMODnet, 2022, Flanders Marine Institute, 2023. .............. 267 - 321 - List of tables Table 1. Shows the type of direct and local impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on population and health, as well as possible consideration measures. .... 32 Table 2. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on birds, as well as possible consideration measures. ...................................................... 34 Table 3. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on bats, as well as possible consideration measures. ....................................................... 35 Table 4. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on mammals, as well as possible consideration measures. .............................................. 37 Table 5. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the impact on benthic habitats, as well as possible consideration measures. .................................... 40 Table 6. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to impacts on fish and spawning areas, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative impacts and consequences. ............................................................................................ 43 Table 7. Shows potential impacts during different phases of offshore wind on different aspects related to water, both in the short and long term, how these impacts may affect other assessment aspects, as well as possible consideration measures. .................................................................. 47 Table 8. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in different phases in relation to the landscape, as well as possible consideration measures for planning and planning that can reduce negative effects and consequences. .............................................................................................. 59 Table 9. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in relation to the cultural environment during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures for planning and planning that can reduce negative effects and consequences. ..................................................... 64 Table 10. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in relation to recreation during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures for planning and planning that can reduce negative effects and consequences................................................................................... 72 Table 11. Shows the type of impact from offshore wind power in relation to defence during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative effects and consequences. ........................................................................................................................ 77 Table 12. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind in relation to shipping during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative impacts and impacts. .......................................................................................................................................... 83 Table 13. Shows the type of impacts from offshore wind power in relation to commercial fishing during different phases, as well as possible consideration measures that can reduce negative impacts and impacts....................................................................................................................... 87 Table 14. Shows results of calculation for potential climate benefit as offshore wind power according to the plan proposal, the zero alternative and the current situation in the Gulf of Bothnia would replace the Nordic residual mix. ........................................................................................ 110 - 322 - Table 15. Number of recorded marine archaeological sites per energy area in the Gulf of Bothnia. Source: The Swedish National Heritage Board's Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.y.). .................................................................................................... 121 Table 16. Shows cumulative effects in the Gulf of Bothnia from energy areas on national interest claims for cultural environment conservation and marine value areas, based on the number of cultural environments affected, as well as its proximity. The higher the cumulative impact. The method is described in Chapter 8. ............................................................................................... 125 Table 17. Grouping, for wind speed and depth indicators. .......................................................... 128 Table 18. Plan proposal Gulf of Bothnia. Overview of guidance on energy extraction, location and conditions...................................................................................................................................... 130 Table 19. Estimated area for energy extraction in plan proposals, zero alternatives, public interest of substantial importance, national interest claims and adopted marine spatial plan (Government, 2022)............................................................................................................................................. 133 Table 20. Prevalence of recreational boating activity in proposed energy areas in the Gulf of Bothnia based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022. The data is based on activity from at least one leisure boat in the energy field (Emodnet, 2022). ................................ 140 Table 21. Landing value from Swedish fisheries affected by energy areas in millions of SEK (mkr) and percentage (%) of total landing value, for the Gulf of Bothnia. Annual averages 2013-2023. ...................................................................................................................................................... 148 Table 22. Impact on reindeer husbandry in different phases, as well as possible consideration measures. ..................................................................................................................................... 152 Table 23. The table shows, in colour scale, assessments for all assessment aspects that have potential adverse effects. The table also shows a column where the values have been summarised, both in total and by nature and ecological aspects, maritime transport and commercial fisheries. .................................................................................................................... 155 Table 24. Shows results of calculation for potential climate benefit when offshore wind power replaces the Nordic residual mix according to plan proposals, zero alternatives and the current situation in the Baltic Sea. ............................................................................................................ 168 Table 25.Guidance energy extraction, plan proposal Baltic Sea, total area, as well as area within territorial sea and foundations. ..................................................................................................... 180 Table 26. Guidance on energy extraction, estimation of production potential, based on marine spatial plans, zero alternatives, national interest claims and public interest of substantial importance. ................................................................................................................................... 181 Table 27. Shows results of calculation for potential climate benefit when offshore wind power replaces fossil in the Nordic residual mix according to plan proposals, zero alternatives and current situation in Skagerrak/Kattegat. ....................................................................................... 218 Table 28. Number of recorded marine archaeological sites per energy area in Skagerrak/Kattegat. Source: The Swedish National Heritage Board's Cultural Environment Register (Riksantikvarieämbetetet, u.y.). ..................................................................................... 227 Table 29. Cumulative effects in Skagerrak/Kattegat from energy areas on national interest claims for cultural conservation and marine value areas, based on the number of cultural environments - 323 - affected, as well as its proximity. The higher the value, the higher the cumulative impact. The method is described in the method section Chapter 8................................................................. 231 Table 30. Grouping, for the wind speed and depth indicators. .................................................... 234 Table 31. Plan proposal Skagerrak/Kattegat. Overview of guidance on energy extraction, location and conditions. ............................................................................................................................. 235 Table 32. Energy extraction guidance, baseline/permitted. ......................................................... 237 Table 33. Estimated area for energy extraction in plan proposals, zero alternatives, public interest of substantial importance, national interest claims and adopted marine spatial plan (Government, 2022)............................................................................................................................................. 238 Table 34. Prevalence of recreational boating activity in proposed energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat based on an average of hours per month in the years 2017 – 2022. The data is based on activity from at least one leisure boat in the energy field (Emodnet, 2022). ............ 245 Table 35. Energy areas with authorised wind farms. ................................................................... 248 Table 36. Landing value from Swedish fisheries affected by energy areas in SEK million (SEK million) and percentage (%) of total landing value, for Skagerrak/Kattegat. Average per year 2013-2023. Rounding has taken place to the nearest integer. .................................................... 253 Table 37. Shows all assessments for energy areas in Skagerrak/Kattegat, and how these can be aggregated and show the total negative effects of an energy area. ............................................ 262 Table 38. Overall assessment for plankton communities and pelagic habitats. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. ......................................................... 269 Table 39. Overall assessment for fish. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. (*) Associated indicator refers to carp and predatory fish in coastal waters. ...................................................................................................................................................... 270 Table 40. Overall assessment for birds. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. ................................................................................................................... 272 Table 41. Overall assessment for marine mammals. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. (*) Associated indicator concerns by-catch of harbour porpoises; (**) Related indicators relate to the gestation rate and the blubber thickness of grey seals; (***) Related indicators relate to the distribution of grey seals, harbour seals and ringed seals; (****) Associated indicators refer to abundance and trends of grey, harbour and ringed seals). ......... 273 Table 42. Overall assessment for benthic habitats. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. (*) Relevant indicators include bottom fauna in coastal waters (5.8A) and bottom fauna in offshore waters (5.8B). ................................................................................ 274 Table 43. Overall assessment for hydrographic conditions. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. ............................................................................................... 275 Table 44. Overall assessment for underwater noise. HMD: Marine Environment Directive, RDV: Water Framework Directive. ......................................................................................................... 276 Table 45. Overall assessment for non-indigenous species. ........................................................ 278 Table 46. Summary of the contribution of marine spatial plans to the achievement of Sweden's environmental objectives. ............................................................................................................. 278 - 324 - Table 47. The impact of marine spatial plans on national strategy priorities for regional development, related to marine spatial planning objectives and governance documents. ......... 281 Table 48. Shows an overview of how the guidance in the marine spatial plan affects ecosystem services......................................................................................................................................... 285 Table 49. Shows an overview of how the guidance in the marine spatial plan affects ecosystem services......................................................................................................................................... 286 Table 50. Consideration measures applied in the establishment of offshore wind energy. Based on a compilation prepared for the OSPAR group on offshore renewable energy development, ICG-ORED. Damage mitigation comprises the following four types of actions accordi .............. 289 Table 51. Assessment aspects used in the impact assessment. ................................................ 293 Table 52. Example of the method for assessing cumulative effects of energy areas on cultural environments. ............................................................................................................................... 299 Table 53. Grouping for wind speed and depth criteria. ................................................................ 300 Table 54. Examples of criteria assessment, summation and grouping. ...................................... 301 - 325 - Annex A Summary of measures in the environmental impact assessment of the adopted marine spatial plan Habitat loss to marine mammals and seabirds due to disturbance in the Environmental construction and operation of offshore wind energy, respectively, and impact operation of sand extraction activities Descriptor D1 – Biodiversity Biodiversity is preserved. The quality and abundance of habitats and the distribution and abundance of species are consistent with prevailing geomorphological, geographical and climatic conditions. Criterion D1C2 - Abundance of species of birds, mammals and fish Indicator 1.2A — Seabird Breeding Abundance Criteria and Indicator 1.2B — Abundance of wintering seabirds indicators Indicator 1.2C – Grey seal abundance and trends concerned Indicator 1.2D — Harbour seal abundance and trends Indicator 1.2E – Ringed seal abundance and trends Criterion D1C4 — Species distribution Indicator 1.4A — Grey seal distribution Indicator 1.4B — Harbour seal distribution Indicator 1.4C — Prevalence of ringed seals Lack of relevant indicators for harbour porpoises Relevant measures are primarily administrative instruments linked to the regulatory framework for the licensing of water operations under Chapters 9 and 11 of the Environmental Code. In connection with this, conditions for the reduction of disturbance to different species can be established. There is currently no guidance on how offshore wind and sand extraction should be designed to minimise the risk of disturbance, and how different solutions should be tested. Among other things, there are no limit values for what constitutes reasonable disturbance for different species or groups of species, both during construction, as well as during operation and felling. There is also disagreement about the ability of protective measures to Measures to minimise pressures to reasonable levels. prevent, deter, Knowledge-building measures under, inter alia, the Vindval Programme and Action counteract or 25 under the Marine Environment Action Programme are relevant in this context. remedy adverse Other relevant existing measures include: environmental - The Species Protection Ordinance (2007:845), which implements Council effects Directive 92/43/EEC of 21 May 1992 on the conservation of natural habitats and of wild fauna and flora, and Directive 2009/147/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 November 2009 on the conservation of wild birds. - Programme of Action for Endangered Species. There are currently no specific programmes for endangered seabird species. There is an action programme for harbour porpoises from 2013, which focuses on minimising by-catch, inventories and mapping of populations, the underwater noise problem and area protection. The program is under update. - 326 - Habitat loss to marine mammals and seabirds due to disturbance in the Environmental construction and operation of offshore wind energy, respectively, and impact operation of sand extraction activities In the framework of the present environmental assessment, a measure was tested to minimise the risk of wind power establishment at Södra Midsjöbanken for benthic foraging seabirds, with a particular focus on alder birds. The measure involves the relocation of the wind farm to nearby areas deeper than 30m. Modelling in Symphony shows a significant reduction in the impact on seabirds. At the same time, the measure means that the wind farm is located within the boundaries of the Natura 2000 site. Seabird monitoring programme Monitoring of breeding and wintering birds along the coast and offshoreaims to monitor stock trends over time, which can be affected by changing conditions in the food web but also by direct impacts arising from a variety of human activities. The data collected includes: Wintering seabirds (coastal and offshore) - Number of wintering seabirds within counting units along the coast or along air transects in the lake (see methods) - Geographical distribution can be partly assessed on the basis of population size Breeding seabirds - Abundance and distribution of different seabird species along the Swedish coast - Number and size of mainly Eider cubs (indirect measure of young age) Details of the programme can be found at https://www.havochvatten.se/sea/coordination-- facts/miljoovervakning/remissversion-for-overvakning-i-marin-miljo/marin- Monitoring miljoovervakning/sjofaglar.html and surveillance Seal monitoring programme The purpose of seal monitoring is to study long-term trends in the marine environment resulting from anthropogenic pressures by documenting the evolution of seal populations. The following data are collected via sample measurements: - population growth rate (%) - population size (number of seals) - distribution of grey seals during the fur change period in May - propagation of harbour seals during the fur change period in August - the spread of ringed seals during ice-laying in the Gulf of Bothnia in April. Details of the programme can be found at https://www.havochvatten.se/hav/coordination-- facts/miljoovervakning/remissversion-for-overvakning-i-marin-miljo/marin- miljoovervakning/sal.html. Monitoring programme for harbour porpoises The purpose of the monitoring is to monitor trends in abundance and population growth of harbour porpoises in Swedish waters. Threats to harbour porpoises include, in particular, increased mortality through by-catches in fisheries, - 327 - Habitat loss to marine mammals and seabirds due to disturbance in the Environmental construction and operation of offshore wind energy, respectively, and impact operation of sand extraction activities environmental toxins, reduced food availability due to overfishing, and habitat loss, mainly due to noise disturbance. The survey measures: - Relative density and distribution of harbour porpoises in the surveyed area - Population growth rate (%) - Population size (number of harbour porpoises per square kilometre) - Health and disease surveillance Details of the programme can be found at https://www.havochvatten.se/sea/coordination-- facts/miljoovervakning/remissversion-for-overvakning-i-marin-miljo/marin- miljoovervakning/tumlare.html Environmental Physical damage to marine mammals caused by impulsive underwater noise impact Environmental quality standard E.2 Human activities shall not cause harmful impulsive noise in the ranges of marine mammals during periods where animals are susceptible to disturbance. Descriptor D1 – Biodiversity Criteria and Biodiversity is preserved. The quality and abundance of habitats and the indicators distribution and abundance of species are consistent with prevailing concerned geomorphological, geographical and climatic conditions. Criterion D1C4 — Species distribution Indicator 1.4A — Grey seal distribution Indicator 1.4B — Harbour seal distribution Indicator 1.4C — Prevalence of ringed seals Lack of relevant indicators for harbour porpoises The environmental impact is strongly associated with the risk of habitat loss for marine mammals described above. The effect is particularly significant for harbour porpoises due to their sensitivity to underwater noise and dependence on echolocation for survival. The effect is to some extent also relevant for seals. Activities in Swedish waters that primarily cause potentially harmful impulsive noise include: Measures to - piling and blasting in offshore wind energy construction prevent, deter, - piling for transport infrastructure counteract or - explosives in connection with military operations remedy - laying of electricity and communication lines adverse - seabed seismological surveys environmental effects Water operations that risk adversely affecting people or the environment require a permit under the Environmental Code and are subject to review by the Land and Environment Court. The main impact minimisation measures are set out in the authorisation procedure in the form of operational conditions, which usually include provisions on when and where activities may be carried out, and the application of protective measures. In this way, the risk of injury is minimized by scaring the animals away from the area, reducing the noise level or avoiding periods where the - 328 - Environmental Physical damage to marine mammals caused by impulsive underwater noise impact animals are particularly sensitive to disturbance, e.g. the calving period. Examples of risk mitigation measures include: (Nordzell et al., 2019): - choice of season for installation - gradual increase in piling strength - use of harbour porpoises and seal frights - the use of noise abatement methods, namely bubble curtains, various forms of protective jackets, caisson techniques or screens of gas-filled balloons. The effects of the application of noise minimisation measures in the construction of wind farms in Germany have recently been published and constitute an important basis for installations in Swedish waters, where similar studies do not exist (Brandt et al., 2018; Rose et al., 2019). Within the framework of the Vindval programme, documentation and guidance were produced on the regulation of underwater noise during piling (Andersson et al., 2016), which among other things indicates proposals for noise levels that can cause hearing damage in harbour porpoises. At the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, work is underway to develop uniform guidance for underwater noise that covers activities other than wind power alone. Relevant policy actions include the work of thematic expert groups at EU level, or under OSPAR and HELCOM for Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Baltic Sea respectively1. In Sweden, a national reference group for underwater noise was initiated in 2015 with the task of developing national limit values for the impact of human-induced underwater noise. The aim is for these limit values to be used in permit applications and impact assessments. Impulsive underwater noise monitoring programme The purpose of the program is to map the extent of noisy activities in time and space to get a picture of the accumulated sound environment in the sea and be able to prevent too many high impulsive sounds from occurring simultaneously in one area. Information reported within the programme includes: - Type of activity - Position (coordinates orICES statistical subrectangles) - Proxy for source strength (noise level) Monitoring - Start and end dates and - Existence of noise abatement measure surveillance Details of the programme can be found at https://www.havochvatten.se/sea/coordination-- facts/miljoovervakning/remissversion-for-surveillance-in-marine-miljo/marine- miljoovervakning/impulsive-underwater noise.html. Seal monitoring programme See above Monitoring programme for harbour porpoises 1 MSFD Common Implementation Strategy Technical Group on Underwater Noise (TG-NOISE); OSPAR Intersessional Correspondence Group on Underwater Noise (ICG Noise); HELCOM Expert Network on Underwater Noise (EN-Noise). - 329 - Environmental Physical damage to marine mammals caused by impulsive underwater noise impact See above Environmental Habitat loss and reduced reproductive capacity of fish due to physical impact disturbance in the operation of sand extraction activities Environmental quality standard D.3 Permanent changes in hydrographical conditions due to large-scale activities, individual or cooperative, shall not adversely affect biodiversity and ecosystems. Descriptor D6 - Seabed integrity The integrity of the seabed is maintained at a level that ensures that the structure and functions of ecosystems are safeguarded and that benthic ecosystems in particular are not adversely affected. Criterion D6C3 – Extent of physical disturbance of benthic habitats Indicator 6.3A – Extent of physical disturbance in benthic habitats Criterion D6C5 — Extent of adverse effects of human pressures Indicator 5.8B – Bottom fauna in effluent waters Descriptor D7 - Permanent changes in hydrographic conditions The descriptor currently lacks specific criteria and indicators. Criteria and indicators Environmental quality standard C.3 concerned Populations of all naturally occurring fish species and shellfish affected by fishing have an age and size structure as well as stock size that ensures their long-term sustainability. Descriptor D1 – Biodiversity Biodiversity is preserved. The quality and abundance of habitats and the distribution and abundance of species are consistent with prevailing geomorphological, geographical and climatic conditions. Criterion D1C2 — Abundance of species of birds, mammals and fish Indicator 1.2H — Spawning biomass of pelagic and demersal fish species Descriptor D3 – Commercially exploited fish and shellfish Populations of all commercially exploited fish and shellfish are within safe biological limits and show an age and size distribution that indicates a healthy stock. Criterion D3C2 — Spawning stock biomass of commercially exploited species Indicator 3.2A — Spawning stock biomass for commercially exploited populations The environmental impact is mainly caused by increased sediment dispersion and Measures to changes in bottom conditions within and in the vicinity of the areas where marine prevent, deter, spatial plans indicate the use of sand extraction. Hydrographic conditions that are counteract or assumed to change are turbidity and depth conditions, as well as possible currents remedy in the immediate area. The risk of such changes may be high during sand adverse extraction, depending on the sediment type and dynamics, as well as on the extent environmental and duration of the activity. These aspects determine whether the changes will be effects permanent or not. In the case of offshore wind energy, the risk of significant and - 330 - Environmental Habitat loss and reduced reproductive capacity of fish due to physical impact disturbance in the operation of sand extraction activities long-term impacts on biodiversity and ecosystems is usually assessed as negligible. However, the risk and possible harm minimisation measures still need to be investigated and tested. Changes that occur only during the construction or harvesting phases are usually not counted as permanent, which is however the case for the changes caused by the wind turbine foundations themselves during the operation phase. The risk of loss of fish habitats is similar to that of other marine species, namely harbour porpoises and seals, as described above. Changes in bottom structure and dynamics can make habitats unsuitable for certain species, while greater human presence can scare away animals. Sediment extraction can be directly detrimental to species laying eggs on bottom substrates, while increased sediment dispersion can interfere with reproductive capacity of species with pelagic egg and larval stages. Measures to maintain good environmental status with regard to hydrographic conditions fall mainly within the scope of the permit assessment. These are administrative instruments linked to various laws and the Ordinance, namely the Environmental Code. It is important that the basis for decisions is available for the assessment of activities and measures. There is usually a requirement for an environmental impact assessment, which should account for the activity's impact on hydrographic conditions. Environmental impact assessment in permit assessment under Chapter 9 and Chapter 11 of the Environmental Code is considered to be the main instrument for ensuring that infrastructure or other activities offshore do not deteriorate the status of environmental quality standard D.3 (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015c). Under the Marine Environment Action Programme 2016-2021, a measure (ÅPH 13) was proposed to develop guidance to strengthen descriptions of hydrographical changes and how these affect marine ecosystems. Within the same programme of measures, there are a number of other measures to develop guidance or policies on various aspects related to the integrity and restoration of benthic habitats that are relevant for compliance with EQS D.3. Measures against adverse effects on fish in terms of habitat loss caused by physical disturbance are largely of the same nature as for habitat loss for marine mammals and birds, as described above. It is primarily about administrative instruments that are determined within the framework of the permit assessment process. Most existing measures related specifically to fish are targeted at fisheries, which are considered to be the main cause of changes in fish stocks and communities, despite several other pressures in the marine environment (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015c). Such measures fall within the scope of the EU Common Fisheries Policy and national fisheries regulations, respectively, and are not directly relevant to disturbance caused by new constructions or activities. In comparison, measures related to conditions for construction in the water or planning and operation of water operations are generally considered to have significantly lower potential impact to achieve good environmental status (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015c). However, in the - 331 - Environmental Habitat loss and reduced reproductive capacity of fish due to physical impact disturbance in the operation of sand extraction activities context of specific projects, such measures can be instrumental in minimising the risk of harm, by, for example, avoiding disruption during biologically sensitive periods. Monitoring of hydrographic conditions Monitoring of hydrographic conditions is part of five different monitoring programmes, two of which measure hydrographic characteristics (physical characteristics such as temperature and salt, and hydrological characteristics such as currents, waves and water levels), and three monitor human pressures and their effects, namely: - effects of cooling water; - physical impact - benthic habitats. The latter two programmes are relevant to the effects described above, which are expected to result from the application of the marine spatial plans. These two programmes are currently under development. Data from both programs need to be combined to assess the possible impact of physical disturbance on habitats. It is anticipated that the following data will need to be collected under these two programmes: Physical impact: - bottom trawling data - data from environmental impact assessments; - aerial imagery and satellite data Monitoring For each activity or design, the following data are collected: and - timing surveillance - geographical location - area/length - relative impact in terms of hydrological quality elements - general wave regime around the phenomenon and how it is affected - bottom substrates affected and affecting the surrounding area - depth effect - zoning of intensity - intensity of pressure Details of the programme can be found at https://www.havochvatten.se/sea/coordination--facts/miljoovervakning/marin- miljoovervakning/physical-paverkan.html. Benthic environments Geographical distribution of habitat types and habitats and areas of occurrence: - Distribution area and area covered by habitat types and habitats - Structures (of habitat types and habitats) that can be defined spatially Quality of habitat types and habitats: - biotic and abiotic structures (e.g. presence of vegetation) - ecological functions (e.g. typical species composition, species size and/or age structure, etc.) - 332 - Environmental Habitat loss and reduced reproductive capacity of fish due to physical impact disturbance in the operation of sand extraction activities Details of the programme can be found athttps://www.havochvatten.se/sea/coordination--facts/miljoovervakning/marin- miljoovervakning/bentiska-livsmiljoer.html Monitoring programme for inshore and offshore fish The main purpose of these two programmes is to follow up changes in the number and size structure of the most common species commercially exploited. The programmes thus have a significant focus on fisheries and their impact on stocks. Data collected within the programmes is also used to assess the status of the ecosystem. Data from the offshore fish monitoring are coordinated between different countries and are used in the work to produce data for fishing quotas. The programmes have no particular focus on how fish stocks, fish reproductive capacity or spawning stocks are affected by physical disturbance. Nevertheless, monitoring data form the basis for permit assessments, including spawning stock assessments, which in turn are necessary to estimate and compare the effects of new constructions or activities. Where a certain water activity is considered to have negative effects on fish, spawning habitats and reproductive capacity, a control programme shall be developed to monitor these aspects. Environmental Loss of benthic habitats in the construction and operation of offshore wind impact energy, as well as operation of sand extraction activities Environmental quality standard D.1 The area of the seabed unaffected by human activity must be large enough to maintain the structure and function of the seabed for each habitat type. Environmental quality standard D.2 The area of biogenic substrates shall be maintained or increased. Criteria and indicators Descriptor D6 - Seabed integrity concerned The integrity of the seabed is maintained at a level that ensures that the structure and functions of ecosystems are safeguarded and that benthic ecosystems in particular are not adversely affected. Criterion D6C3 – Extent of physical disturbance of benthic habitats Indicator 6.3A – Extent of physical disturbance in benthic habitats Criterion D6C5 — Extent of adverse effects of human pressures Indicator 5.8B – Bottom fauna in effluent waters Most existing seabed integrity measures address the impact of bottom trawling on Measures to benthic habitats. Despite numerous other pressures affecting the seabed, bottom prevent, deter, trawling for fish is considered to be the predominant activity in the seabed causing counteract or negative physical impacts on the seabed. This is particularly true in remedy Skagerrak/Kattegat, while in the Baltic the impact of trawl fishing on the integrity of adverse the seabed is less extensive (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, environmental 2015c). Existing measures include area-specific regulations to reduce the impact effects of trawl fishing within existing protected areas, the relocation of the trawl border on the west coast, fishing regulations to protect the integrity of the seabed under the - 333 - Environmental Loss of benthic habitats in the construction and operation of offshore wind impact energy, as well as operation of sand extraction activities Fisheries Act and Fisheries Ordinance, and the establishment of protected areas, including biotope protection areas. The establishment of protected areas may also be relevant as a preventive measure for protection against other pressures likely to affect the seabed, including wind energy installation and material extraction. In this context, the measure can be used to prohibit or limit anthropogenic pressures in order to preserve the seabed, and opens up the possibility of requiring restoration and compensation measures within protection plans for certain types of protected areas. For specific water operations such as offshore wind power and material extraction, the conditions determined in the framework of permit procedures under the Environmental Code are most important in order to minimise the risk of negative impacts on the integrity of the seabed (see above). An important aspect is the threshold for what is considered to be acceptable disturbance or damage to the integrity of the seabed, which is currently undetermined. This relates to knowledge about the distribution of the different habitat types and what different degrees and types of human influence mean for the structure and function of benthic ecosystems. Such knowledge is also necessary to be able to assess the form and extent of possible future restoration and compensation in the event of loss of natural bottom habitat. Such measures are currently not applied in the sea. Within the action programme for the marine environment 2016-2020, action ÅPH 25 was developed, aimed at, among other things, building up knowledge about mussel banks in the Baltic Sea, physical impact on deep soft bottoms, reef environments and shallow gravel bottoms in Skagerrak/Kattegat (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, 2015c). Physical impact monitoring programme See above, under Monitoring programme for hydrographic conditions. Today, different types of data are collected that could be used for estimating the physical impact of different human activities. However, there is a lack of an overall strategy for the use of data in assessments. Methods for both monitoring and assessment are under development. In the case of individual projects, such methods are usually developed within the framework of the project's control programme. Monitoring Monitoring programme for benthic habitats and The monitoring is part of the following six different monitoring programmes, the first surveillance two of which are relevant to the environmental impact in question, while they are currently under development. - benthic habitats - physical impact (see above) - larger animals on the seabed - sediment-dwelling macrofauna - vegetation-covered bottoms - chemical properties of water (oxygen and pH) For benthic habitats see above under Monitoring programme for hydrographic conditions. - 334 - Environmental Loss of benthic habitats in the construction and operation of offshore wind impact energy, as well as operation of sand extraction activities Large-scale national marine mappings of Sweden's marine areas have been carried out since 2016, with the aim of improving knowledge of benthic marine habitats. Monitoring is also being developed to monitor the condition of benthic habitats on an ongoing basis, as well as the extent of human activities and their adverse effects on habitats. Innovative monitoring methods are now being developed, where shallow ground environments will be monitored by satellite and validated with adapted monitoring locally. However, reliable comprehensive monitoring of benthic habitats in deeper areas continues to require a comprehensive mapping effort, in particular to generate sufficiently accurate data on depth and substrates. In parallel, there is also the development of physical impact monitoring, using aerial image interpretation and impact models. - 335 - We work for living seas and water The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management (SwAM) is a state administrative authority in the environmental field. We work on behalf of the Government for the conservation, restoration and sustainable use of lakes, watercourses, seas and fish resources. Proposal for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat Proposal (ref. no. 00764–2022) 2025-01-20 Proposal for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and Skagerrak/Kattegat Proposal (ref. 00764-2022) ii Proposals for amended marine spatial plans Marine spatial planning is one of our most important tools for achieving the long-term sustainable development of our seas. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has drawn up proposals for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat, together with an impact assessment, through broad dialogue and collaboration with many different stakeholders. Two formal consultations have been carried out, consultations in autumn 2023 and a review in spring-summer 2024. Consultations on transboundary environmental impacts have also been carried out. A large number of comments have been received which have formed the basis for the development of the proposal. The proposal includes a consultation report in which all comments received from the review are answered. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has drawn up the proposal within the scope of a government assignment on new or amended areas for energy extraction in marine spatial plans. The objective is to enable an additional 90 terawatt hours of annual electricity production at sea in addition to the planning in the current marine spatial plans (M2022/00276). The total target is 120 terawatt hours. The guidance on the use energy extraction in the marine spatial plans refers to offshore wind energy. The starting point for planning for offshore wind energy has primarily been the report Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas in the marine spatial plans . (Energimyndigheten 2023) While the objective of enabling offshore wind energy has been an important starting point for the revised marine spatial plans, the planning encompasses many different values and interests with the overall aim of contributing to long-term sustainable development. The marine spatial plans shall contribute to achieving and maintaining good environmental status in the marine environment while using marine resources sustainably in order to develop marine industries. Environmental, economic and social impacts are summarised in the plan proposal and presented in more detail in the document Impact assessment of proposals for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat. Dnr 0764-2022. Gothenburg, January 2025 Anna Ledin Director-General iii Summary The Government decides on three marine spatial plans – one for the Gulf of Bothnia, one for the Baltic Sea and one for the Skagerrak/Kattegat. The marine spatial plans provide guidance on the most suitable use of the sea. The marine spatial plans guide authorities, regions and municipalities in future decisions, planning and permit applications. Traders are also expected to be guided by the plans. The marine spatial plans shall contribute to long-term sustainable development. They shall reconcile industrial policy objectives, social objectives and environmental objectives. The marine spatial plans shall contribute to achieving and maintaining good environmental status in the marine environment while using marine resources sustainably in order to develop marine industries. The marine spatial plans provide guidance on the most suitable use. The use(s) specified in an area takes priority over other uses. In large parts of the sea, different uses can coexist if they adapt to each other. The marine spatial plans provide guidance on which use(s) take priority and which adaptation is needed. The marine spatial plans include ten uses: • electricity transmission • energy extraction • recreation • defence • general use • cultural environment • nature • sand extraction • shipping • commercial fishing; The marine spatial plans also include investigation areas and areas where particular consideration should be given to the interests of total defence, to high cultural heritage values or to high nature values. All sea uses are based on a suitability assessment based on location, characteristics of the location and needs. National and other public interests are taken into account in the assessment. The consequences of marine spatial plans assessed from ecological, economic and social perspectives are summarised in the plan proposal, but presented in more detail in the document Impact assessment of proposals for amended marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat ref.no. 0764-2022. iv Marine spatial planning is based on laws, regulations and societal goals, and is based on evidence-based knowledge and the dialogue conducted with relevant stakeholders in the various stages of the planning process. Marine spatial planning also identifies the need for developed knowledge bases. v Reading instructions You can read the plans as a document, but there is also a web map tool available including some of the information. The web maps are clickable and searchable, and can be zoomed in. The maps also include planning evidence. www.havochvatten.se. How the document is structured The document is divided into seven parts and an annex. Part 1 is a background description on MSP. Part 2 is common to all three marine spatial plans and provides overall guidance and considerations. The same applies to part 6 on implications and consequences and part 7 with references and lists. Parts 3, 4 and 5 contain guidance and considerations for each marine spatial plan, i.e., for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat. The annex contains planning conditions for all marine spatial plans. The annex is available in Swedish. vi Content Proposals for amended marine spatial plans ................................................................................... iii Summary .......................................................................................................................................... iv 1. About marine spatial plans and the marine spatial planning process ...................................... 1 1.1. Preparing proposals for marine spatial plans ........................................................................... 1 1.2. Marine spatial plans and their application ................................................................................ 1 1.3. Marine spatial planning process ............................................................................................... 7 1.4. Vision and goals ...................................................................................................................... 11 2. Overall guidance on use and coexistence .............................................................................. 17 2.1. Principles for the assessment of the most suitable use and particular consideration ............ 17 2.2. Plan maps presentation .......................................................................................................... 19 2.3. Guidance on the most suitable use and particular consideration........................................... 22 2.4. Guidance on coexistence........................................................................................................ 39 3. Gulf of Bothnia: Guidance and considerations ....................................................................... 47 3.1. Bothnian bay ........................................................................................................................... 51 3.2. Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken ............................................................................ 60 3.3. Southern Bothnian Sea ........................................................................................................... 66 4. Baltic Sea: Guidance and considerations ............................................................................... 77 4.1. Northern Baltic and South Kvarken ........................................................................................ 81 4.2. Central Baltic Sea ................................................................................................................... 89 4.3. South-Eastern Baltic Sea ........................................................................................................ 97 4.4. Southern Baltic Sea .............................................................................................................. 105 4.5. South-West Baltic Sea and Öresund .................................................................................... 111 5. Skagerrak and Kattegat: Guidance and considerations ....................................................... 120 5.1. Skagerrak .............................................................................................................................. 124 5.2. Kattegat ................................................................................................................................. 133 6. Implication and consequences.............................................................................................. 143 6.1. Implication ............................................................................................................................. 143 6.2. Consequences ...................................................................................................................... 149 7. References and lists.............................................................................................................. 154 vii 1. About marine spatial plans and the marine spatial planning process 1.1. Preparing proposals for marine spatial plans On 10 February 2022, the Government adopted Sweden’s first marine spatial plans for the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat. In connection with the decision on the marine spatial plans, the Government also decided on a new assignment. The mission aims to develop new areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans to enable energy extraction at sea with an additional 90 terawatt hours of annual electricity production, in addition to the areas included in the adopted marine spatial plans (M2022/00276). A first part of the assignment relating to documentation for new or changed areas for offshore energy extraction was delivered on 31 March 2023 by the Swedish Energy Agency (Energimyndigheten 2023). The development of the data was coordinated by the Swedish Energy Agency and was produced together with the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, Svenska kraftnät, the Swedish Armed Forces, the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, the Swedish National Heritage Board, the Swedish Maritime Administration, the Swedish Board of Agriculture and the Geological Survey of Sweden. The report is available on the Swedish Energy Agency's website. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management and the Swedish Energy Agency have in parallel had a related government assignment that produced a knowledge compilation on the possibilities and conditions for coexistence between offshore wind energy, commercial fishing, aquaculture and nature conservation. The assignment was reported on 28 February 2023 (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2023). 1.2. Marine spatial plans and their application The purpose of marine spatial plans is to contribute to long-term sustainable development. The marine spatial plans provide guidance for the areas covered by a marine spatial plan to be used for the purpose or purposes for which they are most suitable. National marine spatial planning is regulated in Chapter 4, Section 10 of the Environmental Code (1988:808) and the Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance (2015:400). Through this legislation, Sweden has also transposed the EU Marine Spatial Planning Directive (2014/89). Overall The national marine spatial plan includes three marine spatial plans – one for the Gulf of Bothnia, one for the Baltic Sea and one for the Skagerrak/Kattegat. The marine spatial plans cover Sweden’s exclusive economic zone and public waters in the Swedish territorial sea from a 1 nautical mile beyond the baseline referred to in the Act (2017:1272) on Swedish Maritime Territory and Maritime Zones. Figure 1.2-1 The three marine spatial plans The marine spatial plans adopted by the Government provide guidance to authorities, regions and municipalities when planning and examining claims for the use of areas in the sea. The Government may issue regulations on such prohibitions or restrictions on activities and measures within a marine spatial plan area as are necessary to achieve the purpose of the plan. A marine spatial plan provides guidance on the use of the areas covered by the marine spatial plan, for the purpose or purposes for which the areas are most suitable in view of their nature, location and the needs of society. The purpose of marine spatial plans is to contribute to long-term sustainable development. The marine spatial plans combine economic, social and environmental objectives and contribute to: • good environmental status of the marine environment is achieved and maintained • the sustainable use of marine resources for the development of marine industries • coexistence is promoted between different activities and uses In the process of developing marine spatial plans, an ecosystem approach shall be applied. 2 According to the Marine spatial planning ordinance (2015:400), the Agency for Marine and Water Management must keep up to date with developments in the areas concerned and, if necessary, or at least every eight years, prepare revised proposals for marine spatial plans. Marine spatial plans provide guidance at a strategic level The marine spatial plan expresses the state's overall view of how marine areas should be managed. In accordance with the Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance, the marine spatial plan sets out the direction for the use of the marine area and sets out and describes national interest claims under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code and other public interests of substantial significance The marine spatial plan also sets out how coexistence should work and how issues of incompatible uses should be resolved. Unlike the sectoral authorities' documentation and claims, such as national interest claims under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code, the marine spatial plan is intended to express the state's view of how marine areas should be managed through a comprehensive and deliberate state view. The Government's decision on a marine spatial plan entails positions on how various public interests, including claims of national interest under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code, are to be reported in the marine spatial plan. The Government's decision may therefore deviate from the claims and documentation presented by the various sectoral authorities (Prop. 2013/14:186 p.19). The guidance in the marine spatial plan does not mean that a national interest is finally decided, but provides an overall assessment for such a decision and the Government's view. What is of national interest is determined only when applying Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code, for example when assessing permits. Claims from the national interest authorities remain until the sectoral authority updates its national interest claims, even after the marine spatial plan has been decided. The statutory provision on marine spatial planning is placed in Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code to be brought together with the other provisions on management of land and water resources, since marine spatial planning concerns the management of sustainable development regulated in Chapters 3 and 4 of the Environmental Code. The placement of marine spatial planning in Chapter 4 also makes it clear that marine spatial plans are such a planning basis that is needed to shed light on issues of water management and they are to form the basis for deciding cases and matters under the Environmental Code (Prop. 2013/14:186 p.17). The considerations of the marine spatial plans are strategic and long-term. This means that marine spatial plans set out the direction for the use of the sea. In the marine spatial planning process, the suitability for different uses is assessed overall and on the basis of the planning data available or produced within the Marine spatial planning process. Based on this assessment, the marine spatial plan guides on the priorities for uses. In the event of a subsequent permit assessment, a more detailed project- and site-specific assessment of the use in an area is carried out. For example, it is reviewed whether an exploitation entails a risk of accidents, a risk to human health and safety, a risk of impact on the cultural environment, a risk of erosion, a risk of significant damage to a national interest, or a risk that environmental quality standards cannot be complied with. In some cases, the achievement of the plan's objective of long-term sustainable development requires the development of marine management and associated regulations, or the Government to issue regulations prohibiting or restricting certain activities or measures. This may, for example, 3 involve regulation or other measures that facilitate the coexistence of different interests. In the case of measures relating to commercial fishing or shipping, agreements or decisions are in many cases required within the EU or the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Marine spatial plans in permit assessment and planning The marine spatial plans shall be guiding both permit applications and other matters under the Environmental Code. Each authority or municipality that applies the Environmental Code shall ensure that marine spatial plans are available in the case or matter when examining an activity or measure within the marine spatial plan area. In matters concerning new or changed use of a marine area, the Environmental Code shall apply. In interpreting what is the most suitable use under these provisions, marine spatial plans are indicative. The marine spatial plans are also an indicative basis for certain permit applications under other laws where the Environmental Code’s management provisions apply, such as the Act (1992:1140) on Sweden’s exclusive economic zone, the continental shelf (1966:314) and the Act (1983:293) on the establishment, extension and demarcation of the public waterway and port. This is because the provisions of, inter alia, Chapters 3 and 4 of the Environmental Code shall also apply to the examination of cases and matters under the above-mentioned laws. The county administrative board has an important role as it is responsible for the initiatives needed to ensure that planning and decision-making processes take account of Chapters 3 and 4 of the Environmental Code. When Chapters 3 and 4 of the Environmental Code are to be applied in the examination of a case or matter, the county administrative board shall, in particular, work to ensure that the national interests are met. In areas covered by an adopted marine spatial plan, the work of the county administrative board shall be based on the marine spatial plan in accordance with Section 3 of the Ordinance (1998:896) on the management of land and water areas. Thus, the adopted marine spatial plan is the starting point for the part of permitting or planning processes where national interest claims and good management come into play. For new or changed use of a marine area, such as the establishment of wind energy or sand extraction activities, a number of different permits from several licensing authorities may be needed. In the annex on planning conditions, you can read briefly about the legal conditions under each interest. The role of marine spatial plans in municipal and regional planning In accordance with the Planning and Building Act (2010:900), municipalities are obliged to produce a comprehensive plan that sets out the direction for the long-term development of the physical environment for the entire municipality. Some regions are obliged to produce a regional plan that, among other things, sets out the basic features for the use of land and water areas that are important for the county. The Planning and Building Act, as well as the area of the municipality and the region, covers the territorial sea. The marine spatial plan guides municipal and regional planning. According to the Planning and Building Act, the comprehensive plan must state how the municipality intends to take into account and coordinate the comprehensive plan with relevant national and regional objectives, plans and 4 programmes of importance for sustainable development within the municipality. The marine spatial plan is also indicative of how national interests are to be met in the planning, see earlier reference to Section 3 of the Ordinance (1998:896) on land and water management. The same applies in relation to regional plans. In the area of the territorial sea where the national, regional and municipal plans overlap, all plans apply, in the Swedish exclusive economic zone only the marine spatial plan applies and in the coastal area the municipal comprehensive plan and regional plan apply where it exists. Figure 1.2-2 Concepts, boundaries and planning responsibilities. In the territorial sea, the state shares planning responsibilities with municipalities. In the economic zone, the state has sole planning responsibility The interaction between marine spatial plans, regional plans and comprehensive plans is important for the good functioning of the link between sea and land. Regional and comprehensive plans are important for demonstrating regional and local considerations and claims that may be relevant to marine spatial planning. Where a municipality has stated clear intentions regarding the future use of the marine areas covered by both a comprehensive plan and a marine spatial plan, they are weighed in on the decision on the marine spatial plan. In municipal reviews and in-depth reviews of comprehensive plans, marine spatial plans provide a comprehensive source of information on the state's view of future land and water use in the area. If the position of the marine spatial plan is outdated, for example if new knowledge has emerged since the plan was adopted, there may be reason for the municipality to deviate from the marine spatial plan in the comprehensive plan. The same applies in relation to regional plans. The County Administrative Board has two formal tools in which it must pay particular attention to the municipalities in the comprehensive plan work if the municipality's view does not correspond to the view presented in the marine spatial plan. • During the review period of a new or amended comprehensive plan, the county administrative board submits an audit opinion in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 16 of the Planning and Building Act. It shall state, inter alia, whether the municipality's proposal does not meet a national interest under Chapter 3 or 4 of the Environmental Code, whether 5 the proposal can contribute to non-compliance with an environmental quality standard under Chapter 5 of the Environmental Code, whether inter-municipal issues are not coordinated in an suitable manner, or whether a construction work is unsuitable with regard to health and safety. When assessing whether the plan proposal meets a national interest under Chapters 3 or 4 of the Environmental Code, the county administrative board for areas covered by a decided marine spatial plan shall be guided by the marine spatial plan (see reference above to Section 3 of the Ordinance on economic management). • The County Administrative Board shall also report to the municipality on the national and inter-municipal interests that may have an impact on the topicality of the comprehensive plan pursuant to Chapter 3, Section 26 of the Planning and Building Act. The report shall be made during the second half of the period between two ordinary elections to the municipal council. The document states how these interests relate to the comprehensive plan and whether the county administrative board’s audit opinion in some respects no longer applies. The same applies to regional plans. The County Administrative Board monitors the national interests and must issue an opinion on the municipality's proposal for a detailed development plan when the municipality develops one, in accordance with the provisions of the Planning and Building Act. Even when a municipality draws up a detailed development plan, situations could arise where the detailed development plan does not correspond to the view of the future use of the water area presented in the marine spatial plan. Possibility of examining new claims in marine spatial plans New demands and needs are expected to continuously arise in the marine spatial plan areas. Such claims are dealt with in follow-ups and new proposals for marine spatial plans. Until new marine spatial plans are adopted, guidance shall be included in existing marine spatial plans to the extent relevant. If there is no direct guidance in the marine spatial plans, planning and decision-making can be based on the intentions of the marine spatial plans or on the best available knowledge. Possibility to propose regulations The Government may issue regulations prohibiting or restricting activities or measures within a marine spatial plan area, if this is necessary to achieve the purpose of the plan. Regulations or restrictions on the use of the planned area shall be those that are not covered by existing restrictions and prohibitions (according to Government Bill 2013/14:186, p. 21). Prohibitions and restrictions on certain uses may provide opportunities for other uses of the area. So far, no proposals for such regulations have been made. The authority considers that existing management is mainly able to capture what the marine spatial plans guide. Possibilities to provide for prohibitions or restrictions on activities or measures within a marine spatial plan area may in some cases be limited by international regulations such as the EU's Common Fisheries Policy. 6 1.3. Marine spatial planning process Marine spatial planning is a broad process involving many actors in several stages. After the Government have adopted the marine spatial plans, they are applied and followed up in a recurring cyclical process. Marine spatial plans are developed in collaboration Marine spatial planning is an open process that provides opportunities for participation for those concerned at municipal, regional, national and international level. Industry and interest organisations, as well as research institutions, are also given the opportunity to participate and contribute with insight and knowledge. At national level, cooperation takes place with central authorities and county administrative boards on strategic planning issues, the planning process and sectoral issues. At regional and municipal level, the county administrative boards have an important role in coordinating national and municipal planning. Sweden's 14 coastal county administrative boards participate in the work for municipal participation and in other supportive work towards the municipalities. The county administrative boards of the counties of Kalmar, Västernorrland and Västra Götaland coordinate the work of the coastal county administrative boards concerned. The coastal county administrative boards also produce additional regional planning documentation, for example from municipalities and development actors, or internally from the county administrative board in matters within the county administrative board's areas of responsibility. The municipalities contribute to the planning with documentation, comments and suggestions for improvement during the planning process. This is done not least through municipal spatial planning in both coastal areas and the part of the territorial sea that overlaps with national marine spatial planning. It helps to strengthen the link between sea and land and improves coordination between national and municipal planning. Regional development strategies and regional plans form the basis of the planning work. Regions are involved in the marine spatial planning process. Two-stage consultations The process of developing marine spatial plans has several steps. Two formal consultation stages, consultation and a subsequent review consultation, take place before the Government decides on marine spatial plans in accordance with the Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance. This means that the draft marine spatial plans are made available so that those who wish can express their views. The comments received are assessed and form the basis for revised plan proposals. The formal dialogue stages contribute to broad participation and a democratic process. The Agency for Marine and Water Management also carries out consultations with Sweden’s neighbouring countries in accordance with the Espoo Convention. The Espoo Convention concerns transboundary environmental effects. 7 To a large extent, the Marine spatial planning process also involves continuous dialogue and collaboration. This means, for example, reconciliations and dialogue with central authorities and county administrative boards on thematic and process-related issues. A description of the consultation and opinion procedure can be found in the separate document Presentation of the dialogue in the work on proposals for amended marine spatial plans. The consultation and review report contains a summary of the comments received from the consultation and review, including the Agency for Marine and Water Management’s comments on them. Planning based on the ecosystem approach According to the Marine spatial planning ordinance, an ecosystem-based approach is to be applied in the preparation of marine spatial plans. The ecosystem approach is a strategy for the conservation of nature values, sustainable use and equitable distribution of nature resources. This with the aim of ensuring that the use of ecosystems takes place within their boundaries(Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2012). The UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) is one of the most important international foundations for the ecosystem approach. The Ecosystem Approach is based on the 12 Malawi Principles. The ecosystem approach is applied in marine spatial planning in a number of ways based on the Malawi principles (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2012). Some examples: • Marine spatial planning is based on the social objectives set out in the overall interests of society. Collaboration and dialogue in the course of work makes it possible to capture perspectives from many different actors. Mainly related to Malawi Principle 1 - The interests of society determine the objectives of management and 10 - The ecosystem approach should integrate the conservation of biodiversity and its sustainable use. • Marine spatial planning provides guidance at horizontal and strategic level with scope for planning at local and regional level. Municipalities and regions are given the opportunity to participate in national marine spatial planning, so that local and regional needs can be taken into account. Mainly related to Malawi Principle 2 - Governance should be decentralized to the lowest applicable level and involve all in order to balance local and public interests. • Marine spatial planning is carried out in an open planning process with collaboration and dialogue based on municipal, regional, national and international perspectives. The process allows both collaboration in the day-to-day work and formal opportunities to gather views. Mainly related to Malawi Principle 2 - Governance should be decentralized to the lowest applicable level and involve all in order to balance local and public interests; 11 - The ecosystem approach should take into account all types of relevant information, including scientific and traditional and local knowledge, innovations and methods; and Principle 12 - The ecosystem approach should involve all relevant sectors of society; and scientific disciplines. 8 Assessment of impacts Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) is a process aimed at integrating environmental aspects into plans or programmes in order to promote sustainable development. The fact that a marine spatial plan is subject to the requirement to carry out a strategic environmental assessment pursuant to Chapter 6, Sections 1–19 of the Environmental Code is apparent from the Environmental Assessment Ordinance. The work on strategic environmental assessment is documented in an impact assessment in the form of a single document for the three marine spatial plans. The strategic environmental assessment of marine spatial plans is also based on the portal section of the Environmental Code. The Environmental Code shall be applied in such a way that: • protection of human health and the environment from damage and nuisance, whether caused by pollution or other influences; • valuable nature and cultural environments are protected and nurtured; • preserving biodiversity; • land, water and the physical environment are otherwise used in such a way as to ensure good long-term management from an ecological, social, cultural and socio-economic point of view, and • re-use and recycling, as well as other management of materials, raw materials and energy, are promoted in order to achieve a circular economy. The requirements mean that social and economic aspects also need to be included in a broad assessment of impacts. The impact assessment therefore includes social and economic effects, in addition to the environmental ones required under Chapter 6 of the Environmental Code. A national delimitation consultation for the environmental assessment was held between 8 July and 10 October 2022. Sweden’s neighbouring countries have been notified under the Espoo Convention (1 December 2022 to 28 February 2023). Consultations on the draft plan and the environmental impact assessment were held with neighbouring countries under the same Convention from 28 November 2023 to 20 February 2024. The impact assessment is part of the application of the ecosystem approach. It shall clarify environmental and other effects and guide planning to contribute to long-term sustainable development. According to the Marine spatial planning ordinance, proposals for marine spatial plans must clearly state the implications and consequences of the use of the marine area in accordance with the plan. Planning in cycles and follow-up of the plan Marine spatial planning can be described as a recurring process that takes place in cycles over several years. Marine spatial planning takes several steps from gathering information and analysing the current situation to planning where marine spatial plans are the result of the 9 planning process. After that, the plans are applied and follow-up is carried out on an ongoing basis. Figure 1.3-1 The overall marine spatial planning process in which marine spatial plans are developed for subsequent implementation and follow-up. If necessary, or at least every eight years, new plan proposals are drawn up. (Source: Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management) According to Section 21 of the Marine Spatial Planning Ordinance, the Agency for Marine and Water shall follow up the plans adopted and draw up new proposals for marine spatial plans if needed or at least every eight years. Preparedness is required to continuously take in, evaluate and use new knowledge in future marine spatial plans. According to Chapter 6, Sections 16 and 19 of the Environmental Code, the Agency for Marine and Water Management shall monitor and evaluate the environmental impact of the plans in practice. The intention is to gain early knowledge of significant environmental impacts that have not been identified before, so that these impacts are stopped or reduced. The follow-up also aims to monitor the environmental impact that is expected and that has been described in the plan's environmental impact assessment. A description of measures for monitoring and monitoring the significant environmental effects of implementing marine spatial plans can be found in the environmental impact assessment. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management is preparing a proposal for a framework for monitoring marine spatial plans in collaboration with, among others, county administrative boards and universities. The purpose of the framework is to guide the follow-up of marine spatial plans in order to facilitate and prepare the next planning round and to provide support to the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management to meet the legal requirements for follow-up. The framework includes ongoing follow-up related to business intelligence and updating of planning conditions, such as changing claims or uses. Secondly, the framework includes in-depth follow-up where the focus is on application, goal achievement, consequences and analysis of the plan's timeliness. 10 During this planning round, ongoing follow-up is carried out within the framework of the planning process with the development of new plan proposals. The in-depth follow-up focuses on: • analysing the timeliness of the plan based on new or changed claims, conditions and uses • answering questions on how the marine spatial plan is applied and how the guidance works • assessing the impact of the plan and the achievement of its objectives; • developing knowledge of the significant environmental impact of the plan. 1.4. Vision and goals Vision – the sea in 2050 A marine spatial plan is future-oriented and will help shape the future we want to achieve. The target year of the marine spatial plans is 2040. At the same time, 2050 is used as a vision year to stimulate discussion and thoughts on the long-term perspectives of planning. The marine spatial plans look ahead to 2050 and are based on a vision of how the sea is used, provided that the planning objectives are met. The vision represents the state that marine spatial plan will help to realize. By 2050, we will use the sea through competitive, innovative and sustainable maritime industries. The sea has good environmental status and a rich biodiversity. We preserve and develop nature and cultural environments in the sea and make use of its ecosystem services. The management of the sea has contributed to slowing down climate change and we have adapted to changing circumstances. There are plenty of experience values and opportunities for recreation. Business and management of the sea work together and marine spatial plans contribute with a holistic view, foresight and predictability. By 2050, we will be living in peace and freedom in the Baltic Sea and North Sea regions. Planning objectives The marine spatial plans shall integrate economic policy objectives, social objectives and environmental objectives. To support the implementation of the marine spatial planning process, there are ten planning objectives. The planning objectives are based on societal objectives, legislation, national strategies and other relevant evidence (Figure 1.4-1 The planning objectives and some of the overall objectives and conditions that have been the starting points for the formulation of the planning objectives). Targets and strategies from the global to the national level are included, including the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and EU strategies related to marine and maritime issues, environment, climate and energy. At national level, for example, strategies and objectives relating to marine environmental issues and various marine-related activities have been taken into account, as well as Sweden's environmental objectives. The planning objectives were developed during the first planning round, but have been updated to some extent in this second planning round. The planning objectives consist of an overall 11 objective supported by the other nine objectives. These nine are divided into two groups with the headings ‘create conditions for’ and ‘create preparedness for’. Claims that are clear and extensive in the near term are grouped under conditions, while issues that, primarily in a longer perspective, are deemed to have extensive claims in the sea are grouped under preparedness. The objectives related to preparedness signal that marine spatial planning will take into account future needs and activities. Overall objective: • Contribute to a good marine environment and sustainable development. Create the conditions for: • Regional development, recreation and preservation of cultural values • Marine green infrastructure and promotion of ecosystem services • Sustainable shipping • Good accessibility • Energy transmission and renewable electricity generation in the sea • Sustainable commercial fishing • Defence and security. Prepare for: • Future mineral extraction and carbon storage • Future establishment of sustainable aquaculture. Overall objective: Contribute to good marine environment and sustainable development The marine spatial plans shall provide overall spatial conditions to meet development needs and objectives of sustainable development, while contributing to the achievement and maintenance of a good marine environment. Good marine environment is described above all in the national environmental quality objective A Balanced Marine Environment Flourishing Coastal Areas and Archipelagos and its specifications. Other environmental quality objectives are also relevant, such as A Rich Diversity of Plant and Animal Life, Zero Eutrophication and A Non-toxic environment that also captures how environmental problems from land and air have an impact on the sea. Good environmental status in accordance with the Marine Environment Regulation is one of the clarifications. Sustainable development relates, among other things, to Sweden's marine strategy and to the EU's Green Deal, which includes, for example, the development of a sustainable blue economy. Development is sustainable when we can meet our needs economically, environmentally and socially today, while at the same time providing the conditions for future generations to meet their needs. An important starting point for marine spatial planning is that sustainable development requires well-functioning ecosystems. In accordance with the ecosystem approach's holistic 12 perspective, the functions of the ecosystem are therefore considered from several time perspectives as well as direct, indirect and cumulative effects of claims in the sea. An important starting point for marine spatial planning is to create the conditions for a limited climate impact in line with the environmental quality objective "Reduced climate impact" and to contribute to the climate transition. Objective: Create conditions for regional development, recreation and preservation of cultural values The marine spatial plans shall provide spatial conditions for sustainable development, good quality of life, equality and attractive environments regionally and locally. Different places and areas have different conditions for and perspectives on regional development. Marine spatial planning should therefore seek good conditions for local and regional development along the entire coastline. The marine spatial plans shall contribute to the consideration of the landscape and create the conditions for the development of maritime industries and recreation. Outdoor life is of great importance for people's quality of life and health. The marine spatial plans will also contribute to the preservation of cultural environments so that people continue to have access to and understand the country's historical development. Preserved cultural environments provide opportunities to experience the landscape, contribute to social sustainability and create attractive environments to live, visit and conduct activities in. Recreation, nature values and cultural environments on the coast and in the sea are often a prerequisite for tourism and quality of life in coastal communities, for the further development of commercial fishing through by-products and for other marine-related activities that in turn contribute to sustainable blue economy and employment. Objective: Creating conditions for marine green infrastructure and promoting ecosystem services The marine spatial plans shall contribute to healthy ecosystems and the development of ecosystem services. They shall support the establishment of new marine protected areas in accordance with national and international objectives and create the conditions for strengthening and maintaining representativeness, functionality and ecological links. Furthermore, the marine spatial plans shall contribute to maintaining the species and habitats protected at a favourable conservation status. Favourable conservation status is a term used to describe the conditions needed for a nature type, habitat or specific species to remain in place in the long term. The term is used for habitat types and species identified as being of particular value in the context of the European Natura 2000 network. The marine spatial plans shall contribute to ensuring marine green infrastructure. By green infrastructure we mean an ecologically functional network of habitats and structures, nature areas and landscaped elements that are designed, used and managed in such a way that biodiversity is preserved and ecosystem services that are important to society are promoted throughout the landscape. whereas green infrastructure is an important prerequisite for the promotion of 13 ecosystem services; The plans will also contribute to securing pathways and migration routes in and between habitats in the marine environment, as well as migratory routes for birds. The marine spatial plans shall provide the basis for scientific studies and long-term monitoring of the marine environment. Objective: Creating conditions for sustainable shipping The marine spatial plans shall provide the conditions for ecologically, socially and economically sustainable shipping. This applies to both short-distance shipping and long-distance sea shipping. Marine transport is given sufficient space to grow, while marine spatial plans contribute to increased maritime safety with fewer accidents and reduced risks of oil or other discharges, as well as other disturbances. The marine spatial plans shall provide the conditions for efficient transport routes with low fuel consumption as well as the least possible environmental impact of shipping, especially in ecologically sensitive areas. Account shall be taken of the designation of the Baltic Sea as a Particularly Sensitive Marine area (PSSA) by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Objective: Create conditions for good accessibility The marine spatial plans shall create the conditions for the development of maritime transport and other infrastructure and make the sea accessible to a broad public. Good accessibility in the maritime transport system provides good conditions for keeping the transport infrastructure as a whole together, so that, for example, the transfer of goods from road and rail to shipping is facilitated. Preparedness shall be created for the development of physical infrastructure, such as future tunnels or bridges. There shall continue to be good conditions for fishing vessels to reach and use the sea and ports necessary for fishing activities. Spatial conditions shall be provided for the use of the sea for electronic communication infrastructure in the form of submarine cables and radio systems. Conditions must also be created to give people access to the sea for recreation. It can contribute to both public health and development in the hospitality industry. Objective: Creating conditions for energy transmission and renewable energy production in the sea The marine spatial plans will support work on integration and connection to the European electricity grid and provide the conditions for existing, planned and potential submarine cables for energy transmission within Sweden and between Sweden and other countries. This also applies to gas pipelines and cables for energy transmission from offshore energy production. The marine spatial plans will contribute to creating the conditions for Sweden's future need for fossil-free energy extraction. In this, the planning will support Sweden's energy targets by creating the conditions for the expansion of offshore wind energy. 14 Preparedness shall be provided for other offshore energy production from other types of sources and marine spatial plans shall provide the conditions for testing new technologies in the area. Objective: Creating the conditions for sustainable commercial fishing Marine spatial plans shall contribute to environmentally sustainable, resource-efficient, innovative, competitive and knowledge-based fisheries within an ecosystem-based management that includes consideration of important habitats for both fish and other species. Well-managed fish stocks and fish habitats are a prerequisite for sustainable and competitive commercial fishing. Particularly important is integration with coastal zone planning, where there are important fish habitats, namely spawning and nursery areas. Objective: Creating the conditions for defence and security The marine spatial plans will create the conditions for the defence of Sweden and Swedish interests in both the short and long term. Actors in both military and civil defence are given the opportunity to conduct their activities. Among other things, to conduct exercises under various conditions and other activities of importance to the military defense, such as signals intelligence. The marine spatial plans will also provide the conditions to meet the need for strategic supply of Sweden in peace, crisis and war. Objective: Prepare for possible future extraction of minerals and for carbondioxide storage Consideration should be given to the possibility of increased extraction of finite resources such as sand, gravel and other minerals, as well as carbon storage to counteract climate change. Extraction of oil and gas in Sweden's maritime territory or economic zone is not relevant. Objective: Prepare for the future establishment of sustainable aquaculture Marine spatial plans shall have spatial preparedness for the development of aquaculture and the potential for space-efficient use of the sea for sustainable production. In terms of the development potential of aquaculture and increased research in this area, aquaculture outside the coastal zone may become relevant in a future that fits within the marine spatial planning framework 2040 and vision year 2050. Marine spatial planning should therefore take account of the fact that aquaculture may be relevant in marine spatial plans in the future. 15 Figure 1.4-1 The planning objectives and some of the overall objectives and conditions that have been the starting points for the formulation of the planning objectives 16 2. Overall guidance on use and coexistence The plan description and associated plan maps provide guidance on the use of the sea. The plan maps show the geographical areas for different uses and particular consideration. This part describes how the plan maps should be read as well as the meaning of uses and particular consideration. The section also provides guidance on how coexistence between different uses can work. 2.1. Principles for the assessment of the most suitable use and particular consideration Holistic assessment The considerations of the marine spatial plans are strategic and long-term. This means that the marine spatial plans guide the direction of the use of the sea and that the suitability for different uses is assessed overall, as described in section 1.2. The assessment is based on the planning data available and produced within the marine spatial process, including the assessment of uncertainties. There are continuing knowledge gaps and the need for developed data. According to the Marine spatial planning ordinance, marine spatial plans must specify the use for the sea. The uses specified in the different geographical areas of the marine spatial plans are judged to be the most suitable, taking into account the nature and location of the areas and the needs that exist, and on the basis that they collectively contribute to the overall objectives of the plans as long-term sustainable development. This means that assessments for individual areas must at the same time relate to assessments on a regional scale as well as for the entire marine spatial plan area and the three marine spatial plans taken together. To the extent possible, the assessments also relate to conditions prevailing on land, in neighbouring countries and abroad. Use The geographical delimitation of uses in marine spatial plans is based on one of the following three types of public interest: • National interests under Chapter 4, Section 8 of the Environmental Code, i.e. Natura 2000 sites. • National interest claims under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code. • Other public interests of substantial significance. Areas of national interest under Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code Areas of national interest are regulated in the geographically related management provisions in Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code. Areas with particularly high values in terms of nature and 17 cultural conservation, tourism and outdoor recreation are listed directly in Chapter 4. These areas are in their entirety of national interest under the Environmental Code and thus decided by the Swedish Parliament. Areas with particularly high values for tourism and outdoor recreation are listed in Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code. Coastal and archipelago areas which have high conservation values and which are to be protected against the establishment of environmentally damaging installations are listed in Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code (unbroken coast). Other coastal and archipelago areas that have high conservation values and where the establishment of environmentally damaging facilities may take place in places where similar activities already exist are listed in Chapter 4, Section 4 of the Environmental Code (Highly Developed Coasts). Several of our coastlines are covered by one or more overlapping national interests as described above. Since the values are primarily based on coastal areas and that in most cases its delimitation and description are not clearly defined for the marine spatial plan area, the uses of the marine spatial plan are not based on these values. However, the marine spatial plan is designed with these national interests in mind and uses within the marine spatial plan may need to be adapted based on the national interests' needs. Natura 2000 sites are also of national interest under Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code. Activities or measures that may significantly affect such a nature area require a special permit assessment. The nature of the use of the marine spatial plan is based, inter alia, on Natura 2000 sites. Areas covered by national interest claims under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code Areas covered by national interest claims are designated by authorities and are regulated in the operational management provisions in Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code. The areas concern both different conservation interests and areas that have been deemed important for development for a certain purpose, according to the authority responsible for the national interest claim in question. An area covered by a national interest claim shall, when deciding on a change of use or permit assessment under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code, be protected against measures that may significantly damage the value of the area, significantly complicate the operation of a business or significantly complicate the creation or use of a facility, depending on the national interest claim. In order for the concept of ‘significant harm’ or ‘significant aggravation’ to be met, the measure must either have a lasting negative impact on the interest in question or, temporarily, have a very significant negative impact on it. Marine spatial planning does not assess whether the impact is significant enough to cause significant damage or significant aggravation. Public interests of substantial significance In general, public interests in spatial planning are land and water interests that contribute to the achievement of social objectives for economically, socially and environmentally sustainable development. What are public interests of substantial significance and which, according to the Marine spatial planning ordinance, must be accounted for in marine spatial plans, are considered at national level in the marine spatial planning process. One of the following shall be met for the interest in a geographical area in order to be considered as a public interest of substantial significance in marine spatial planning: • It is of great national importance. 18 • Needed for important societal functions now or in the future. • Needed to achieve great societal benefit. • Necessary to fulfil Sweden's international obligations. • Necessary to implement or maintain nationally or internationally important structures. Overlapping public interests In large parts of the sea, several public interests overlap. The marine spatial plan addresses overlapping public interests by providing guidance on coexistence between different uses where they are deemed compatible and suitable or by giving priority to the use(s) deemed most suitable where uses are deemed incompatible. The marine spatial plan can thus give priority to a use based on a national interest claim under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code, even though there is another national interest claim in the same area. The marine spatial plan may thus also give priority to a use based on a public interest of substantial significance, despite the fact that there is a national interest claim under Chapter 3 of the Environmental Code in the same area (see Section 1.2). This may include, for example, national interest claims that are considered to be outdated or assessments to achieve the objectives of the plan. The assessment of the marine spatial plan then provides guidance for subsequent planning and when the Environmental Code is applied, for example in permit applications. All existing national interest claims remain regardless of the marine spatial plan's guidance until the respective sectoral authority makes new decisions on its national interest claims. What can be affected is how existing national interest claims are taken into account in planning and licensing. Particular considerations The marine spatial plans specify areas where ishould be given to the interests of total defence, high cultural and nature values. Consideration refers to values that are important to preserve or strengthen in order for the sea to be used sustainably and is based on the same types of public interest as the uses. The need to specify specific considerations has been identified in the Marine spatial planning process as a complement to specifying uses for the purpose of coexistence. Comprehensive guidance on coexistence can be found in Section 2.4. The marine spatial plans do not specify what measures may need to be taken to meet specific considerations in a specific area. Suitable measures can be specified, if necessary, in permit assessment, planning or other management. 2.2. Plan maps presentation The uses shown in the plan map have been deemed to be the most suitable and these take priority over other uses. Other uses in the area must be adapted to the conditions and needs of the specified uses in management, planning and permit assessment. In many cases, multiple uses at the same location are indicated as the most suitable. These then have the same degree of priority over other uses. Where more than one use is indicated, coexistence is deemed possible. The uses that are deemed to coexist may need to adapt to each 19 other. Where the area of investigation is indicated, this entails that further investigation is needed to assess whether the specified use is the most suitable and whether coexistence is possible with other specified uses. The marine spatial plan comprises all spaces within the plan area – the sea, the space above the sea level, the seabed and the subsoil. Please note that the demarcation between private water and public water is not fully investigated. Therefore, the delimitation of the plan areas to the coast may in reality differ from the delimitation shown in the maps of the marine spatial plan. According to Chapter 4, Section 10 of the Environmental Code, marine spatial plans shall cover Sweden’s exclusive economic zone and the areas not included in real estate in the Swedish territorial sea outside the specific delimitation lines, one nautical mile from the baselines, as set out in the Act (2017:1272) on Sweden’s territorial waters and maritime zones. The plan maps shall be interpreted on the approximate scale between 1:700 000 and 1:1 000 000. The boundaries and markings for planning in the map are based on the strategic level of the marine spatial plans. The plan area maps (maps 1, 5 and 11) are on a scale of 1:2 300 000 in full A4, while the marine area maps (maps 2-4, 6-10 and 12-13) are on a scale of 1:1 000 000 in full A4. In order to present the planning more clearly, each marine spatial plan area is divided into marine areas. The three marine spatial plans consist of ten marine areas. The division into marine areas has no legal significance. 20 FACT BOX: Priority guidance The guidance on the most suitable use indicates the priority for uses. In addition, specific needs are identified in some areas. The guidelines in the marine spatial plans do not contain any prohibitions or binding restrictions. Examples include the right of vessels to make their way regardless of what the marine spatial plans indicate, as long as there are no restrictions in the shipping regulations, the possibility to apply for permits for energy extraction in areas other than those specified in the marine spatial plans, consideration of nature and cultural values even where they are not specified in the marine spatial plans, and the fact that commercial fishing is carried out within larger areas than the use of the marine spatial plans and is regulated by the EU. Figure 2.2-1 The marine spatial plans are divided into different types of areas. Uses are reported in different ways in the plan map: • The uses of energy extraction, investigation area for energy extraction, defence, general use, cultural environment and nature are presented with one letter and delimited by lines that form areas. Each area has a number, such as Ö200. • The uses of electricity transmission, outdoor recreation, sand extraction, investigation area sand extraction, shipping, investigation area shipping and commercial fishing are delimited by their own geographical markings. These geographical markings usually extend over several of the numbered areas. The uses and the approaches that are important for the uses in management, planning and licensing are described below. 21 2.3. Guidance on the most suitable use and particular consideration Electricity transmission Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Electricity transmission Conditions for electricity distribution and transmission infrastructure shall be maintained. There must be good opportunities to maintain and maintain the infrastructure. Needs A prerequisite for achieving the national and European goals for energy and climate policy is that there are opportunities to better connect the electricity systems in Sweden and othervcountries in Europe. By linking the electricity grids between the countries around the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat, conditions are created for a socio-economically efficient expansion of offshore wind farms. Areas with national interest claims Installations for energy distribution can be designated by the Swedish Energy Agency as being of national interest under Chapter 3, Section 8 of the Environmental Code. There are no national interest claims for energy distribution in the marine spatial plan areas. The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency has designated all cables and stations in the electricity transmission network and the cables in the electricity distribution network between the mainland and Gotland and associated stations as areas of national interest because they are needed for total defence facilities, in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 9 of the Environmental Code, Civilian Section. Areas with the use electricity transmission in the marine spatial plans Areas indicated as using electricity transmission are based on Sweden's existing transmission network, which constitutes a public interest of substantial significance in the marine spatial plan areas. When areas are specified for the use of electricity transmission, this means guidance that the interest takes priority in planning and licensing in those areas. For troubleshooting and repairing submarine cables, there must be plenty of space for ships and equipment to carry out these operations. For this, a distance of at least 3 times the water depth or 300 meters is required. 22 Energy extraction Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Energy extraction Area of energy extraction. Conditions for energy extraction shall be maintained. Infrastructure for distributing and transmitting electricity, stability on and under the seabed for possible foundation, as well as good accessibility for ships during construction, operation and maintenance shall be taken into account. Investigation area for energy extraction Area with good conditions for energy extraction where the area is subject to major uncertainties about the impact on other values or interests. Further investigation is required to determine whether the use of energy extraction is the most suitable. In the marine spatial plan,, investigate areas indicates the need for investigation of cumulative effects on bird migration routes and Natura 2000 sites. Needs According to the Energy Bill in 2024 (Regeringen 2024a), planning for electricity use in Sweden (Regeringen 2024a) should be based on a future need of at least 300 terawatt hours annually in 2045, approximately a doubling compared to electricity use at present. This will be implemented within an energy target that is 100 percent fossil-free. The agreement does not set a specific target for the expansion of wind energy in general or offshore wind energy specifically, but describes it as an important part of Sweden’s energy mix. The government assignment that forms the basis for the amended proposals for marine spatial plans states that the objective is for the marine spatial plans to enable an additional 90 terawatt hours in annual production (M2022/00276). Together with previous planning, this means that the target is 120 terawatt hours. Areas of national interest claims The Swedish Energy Agency identifies areas of national interest for energy production, in this case wind energy, in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 8 of the Environmental Code. The Swedish Energy Agency has been commissioned (Regeringen 2024c) to review national interest claims for fossil-free energy production and distribution. The assignment must be reported to the Government Offices (Ministry of Climate and Business) no later than 25 October 2025. Areas of public interest of substantial significance In addition to the national interest claims, additional areas for energy extraction have been developed in an assignment where the Swedish Energy Agency coordinated nine other authorities(Energimyndigheten 2023). These areas are considered to be public interests of 23 substantial significance for the national production of renewable electricity. They contribute to the achievement of energy targets. The areas have been identified on the basis of an overall assessment that takes into account whether the area has suitable conditions. These conditions refer to wind speed, sea depth and distance to baseline. As technology is changing at a rapid pace, areas were also identified that are not relevant in the near future, but that are deemed to be possible in the future. The areas have also been identified on the basis of the possibility of coexistence with other values and interests, as far as deemed reasonable. Areas with the use energy extraction in the marine spatial plans Areas with the use energy extraction refer to wind energy. They are based on areas of national interest and areas of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy that have been identified in the marine spatial planning process. For several areas where there are national interest claims or of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy, the marine spatial plans indicate a different use. This is because the uses are deemed incompatible and priority is given to the other use, according to the marine spatial plans’ guidance on the most suitable use. When areas are specified for the use of energy extraction, this means guidance that the interest takes priority in planning and permit assessment in those areas. All areas specified for use energy extraction in marine spatial plans also include guidance on specific consideration. This may include particular consideration to the interests of total defence, high cultural heritage values or high nature values. In more detailed planning or licensing of energy extraction in these areas, these values and interests need to be taken into account in particular. Enabling offshore wind energy means that there needs to be areas with different characteristics. The marine spatial plans therefore report both areas closer and further from the coast, as well as areas suitable for bottom-fixed foundations, and areas suitable for floating foundations. Such dispersal allows areas to be built on at different times and with different levels of economic risk. Energy areas can be used for offshore wind energy in part or in full and for the period specified in a permit. In the permit assessment, more detailed studies are carried out, based on defined projects, to test suitability and assess the environmental impact. Conditions can be used to regulate how coexistence and environmental impacts are managed in order for the activity to be assessed as suitable. Investigation areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans Areas listed as investigation areas are areas where further investigation in planning or permit examination is required to determine whether the use of energy extraction is the most suitable. This means that more detailed analyses are needed to assess whether the use is compatible with any other interest or that Natura 2000 permits under Chapter 7, Section 28a, of the Environmental Code are required. Several energy extraction areas are indicated for investigation due to the need for a better understanding of how offshore wind energy in one area or in several 24 adjacent areas affects bird migration routes. The investigation areas are described under the respective marine areas in Parts 3 and 5. Recreation Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Recreation Area for recreation. Conditions for recreation shall be maintained by having nature and cultural environment areas of good quality that are accessible to the public and that contribute to experiences. Needs The overarching goal of the outdoor recreation policy is to support people's opportunities to spend time outdoors and exercise outdoor life on the basis of the right of public access. All people should have the opportunity to experience nature, well-being, social community and increased knowledge of nature and the environment. The development of recreation-related business activities can make recreation accessible to more people. Areas with national interest claims The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management and the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency identify areas of national interest for outdoor recreation, in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code, within their respective areas of responsibility. Only a few areas are designated within the marine spatial plans. These are mainly found in connection with the coasts and at certain offshore banks, i.e. shallow areas in the open sea. Along the coasts, within the baselines, there are many areas that are designated as national interests but are outside the marine spatial plan areas. The need to take account of these national interests may extend within the marine spatial plan areas. Areas of national interest Along the coast and in the marine area there are national interests for outdoor recreation in accordance with Chapter 4, Section 2 of the Environmental Code. At some coastal strips, they are demarcated so that they can be found within the marine spatial plan area. The need to take account of these areas of national interest may extend within the marine spatial plans. Areas of public interest of substantial significance This planning round does not identify areas of public interest of public significance for recreation. Additional data that improves the state of knowledge about outdoor recreation values within and in connection with marine spatial plans may form the basis for public interests of substantial significance in future planning. 25 Areas with the use recreation in the marine spatial plans The areas with the use recreation are based on national interest claims for outdoor recreation in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code. Areas designated for the use recreation entails guidance that the interest takes priority in planning and licensing in those areas. Defence Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Defence Area of defence activities covering maritime training areas as well as impact areas for installations outside the marine spatial plan areas. Prerequisites for defence activities shall be maintained. Particular consideration to the interests of total defence In this area, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of the total defence in the management, planning and licensing procedures. The risk of cumulative impacts of energy extraction on defence interests shall be taken into account. Needs Sweden's national defence consists of military defence and civil defence. The Swedish Armed Forces need training areas in the sea and in the coastal zone, without interference from physical or technical obstacles. For signals intelligence, there is a need for protection to counteract interference from other activities. Civil defence is in need of a functioning supply of goods and services. Fairways to strategic ports need to be kept free and conditions for offshore cables for electricity supply and communication need to be maintained. Areas with national interest claims For military defence, national interests are defined in and adjacent to the sea. The Swedish Armed Forces identify military areas of national interest claims in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 9 of the Environmental Code. Within marine spatial plans, they refer to maritime training areas. Within the marine spatial plan areas, there are also national interest claims for the military part of the total defence that are covered by secrecy and for these are not reported geographical delimitation or function. The Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency has decided that all lines and stations in the electricity transmission network and the lines in the electricity distribution network between the mainland and Gotland and their stations shall constitute areas of national interest claims on the grounds 26 that they are needed for total defence installations, civilian parts, in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 9 of the Environmental Code. Areas of public interest of substantial significance Areas of influence within the marine spatial plans for defence facilities (national interest claims for total defence) outside marine spatial plans are considered to constitute public interests of substantial significance as they are needed for the functions of the defence facilities. Areas with the use defence in the marine spatial plans Areas indicated as use defence are based on national interest claims within the marine spatial plan areas (sea training areas) and on influence areas for national interest claims located outside the marine spatial plan areas. When areas are specified for defence use, this means guidance that the interest takes priority in planning and licensing in those areas. Areas with guidance on particular consideration to the interest of national defence In areas where particular consideration is given to the interests of national defence, activities involving fixed installations need to consult with the Armed Forces on how facilities can be designed so that defence interests are not adversely affected. Particular consideration to the interests of total defence may mean, among other things, that the location and design of a wind farm need to be adapted to defence interests. This also applies to other types of fixed installations and other uses. Particular consideration to the interests of the total defence may also mean that adaptation needs to take place when several energy areas combined can have an impact on the total defence. The risk of cumulative effects on defence interests must therefore be taken into account. This means that expansion within one energy area can affect the possibility of using another area specified in the plan with the use of energy extraction or investigation area energy extraction. When particular consideration is given to the interests of total defence in areas of nature or general use, the consideration refers to restrictions on tall objects due to flight operations. General use Recommendation indicating the most suitable use General use Area where no particular use has priority. However, the uses of electricity transmission, recreation, sand extraction, investigation area sand extraction, shipping, investigation area shipping and commercial fishing that are delimited by their own geographical markings have priority where they are indicated. 27 Areas with the general use in the marine spatial plans In areas designated as general use, there is a varying degree of overlap between other uses that are delimited by their own markings, such as electricity transmission, recreation, sand extraction, shipping or commercial fishing. These uses have priority where indicated. Cultural environment Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Cultural environment Area with a cultural or nature history environment. Cultural and nature history values must be preserved. k Particular consideration to high cultural heritage values Within the area, particular consideration shall be given to high cultural heritage values in the management, planning and permit assessment. Particular consideration to high cultural heritage values refers to the landscape's cultural-historical character and visual impact that changes the cultural-historical content but also includes consideration for ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed. Areas of impact may be larger than designated areas in marine spatial plans. The impact needs to be assessed on the basis of local conditions. Values identified in the marine spatial planning process are listed by marine are in Parts 3, 4 and 5 of this document. Needs Together, the cultural environments will make it possible for present and future generations to take part of the landscape's historical dimension and thereby understand Sweden's development through the ages. According to the national cultural environment objectives, cultural environment work shall, among other things, promote a sustainable society with a diversity of cultural environments that are preserved, used and developed, and promote a holistic approach to the management of the landscape that means that the cultural environment is taken into account in the development of society. Areas of national interest claims The Swedish National Heritage Board identifies areas of national interest claims for the conservation of the cultural environment in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code. At present, no national interest claims have been identified in the marine spatial plan areas. On the other hand, there are national interest claims for cultural conservation in connection with or near the marine spatial plan areas that may be affected by activities at sea and therefore need to be examined under the Environmental Code. The need to take national interests into account may extend into the marine spatial plan areas. 28 Areas of national interest National interests under Chapter 4 of the Environmental Code are geographically defined areas of national interest specified in the Environmental Code and thus decided by the Riksdag (parliament). These are national interests for unbroken coasts under Section 3 and high-exploited coasts under Section 4. In view of their nature and cultural values, the areas as a whole are of national interest and activities must not significantly damage the nature and cultural values of the areas. Areas of public interest of substantial significance In the marine spatial planning process, national interest claims alone are not considered sufficient to achieve the cultural environment objectives. Therefore, additional valuable cultural sites have been recognised or identified in the Marine spatial planning process as being of significant public interest. World heritage sites are considered so valuable from a cultural or nature environmental point of view that they are of concern to all humanity. They are designated under the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) World Heritage Convention. The High Coast World Heritage Site, the Hanseatic City of Visby, the Meridian Arch of Struve, the agricultural landscape of Southern Öland and the Naval City of Karlskrona are adjacent to the marine spatial plan areas. The High Coast World Heritage Site is partly located within the marine spatial plan area of the Gulf of Bothnia. Activities at sea may affect the World Heritage Site's unique values of global interest and therefore an Impact Assessment in a World Heritage context may be required as part of an impact assessment. Under Chapter 7, Section 9 of the Environmental Code, a county administrative board or a municipality may decide that an area is to be protected and managed as a cultural reserve. The intention is to enable the care and preservation of valuable cultural landscapes. At present, there are no cultural reserves within the marine spatial plan areas. Landscape protection is protection introduced on the basis of Section 19 of the Nature Conservation Act in the version prior to 1 January 1975. The purpose of the protection is to protect large areas from major impact or change. The provisions in landscape protection areas apply until they are replaced by other forms of protection. Within the marine spatial plan areas there is landscape protection for an area at Öregrund and Östhammar and around Haparanda Archipelago. Within a government assignment the coastal county administrative boards (Länsstyrelserna 2024) have identified areas of value for marine cultural heritage. The purpose of the planning evidence is to clarify which cultural values along Sweden's coastline that may be affected by the expansion of large-scale, offshore wind energy. The data thus handles a selection of valuable cultural environments. Most value areas are outside the area covered by the marine spatial plans, but have consideration needs that extend into the marine spatial plan area. Most of the value areas include one or more areas of national interest claim for the conservation of the cultural environment. Other documents that may be included as a basis for the designation of value areas include, for example, national interest under Chapter 4, Sections 3 and 4 of the Environmental 29 Code, World Heritage Sites, cultural reserves, ancient and cultural heritage sites and/or municipally designated cultural environments(Länsstyrelserna 2024). In the marine spatial planning process, the areas described above are considered to be public interests of substantial significance for the cultural environment. Developed data and analyses that improve the state of knowledge about high cultural heritage values within and in connection with marine spatial plans may form the basis for public interests of substantial significance in future planning. Areas with the use cultural environment in the marine spatial plan The areas with guidance on the use cultural environment are based on areas with World Heritage Sites. At present, only one area of the High Coast World Heritage Site overlaps with the marine spatial plan area and is reported using the cultural environment, but several other World Heritage Sites along the coast of Sweden need consideration that extends into the marine spatial plan areas. That areas are designated for the use cultural environment entails guidance that the interest has priority in planning and licensing in those areas. Areas with guidance on particular consideration to the high culture values In areas with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values, there may be special needs for measures in management, planning and permit examination. This may mean that measures are taken to minimise direct, indirect and cumulative damage to the cultural environment and may consist of specific requirements for the location and design of wind farms or through specific requirements during the construction phase of a wind farm. Areas of consideration may be larger than designated areas in marine spatial plans. In particular, cultural environments whose values are strongly linked to the need for a clear horizon may need to be considered over longer distances. The impact needs to be assessed on the basis of local conditions in future planning and permit processes. The conditions for an establishment can only be fully assessed when it is clear how an intended establishment will manifest itself (height, location, design, design). Therefore, in the early planning phase of a national marine spatial plan, it is not possible to fully define the conditions for an establishment in the vicinity of a cultural environment, but this is something that is further clarified in subsequent processes at a regional and local level. Particular consideration to high cultural heritage values is given in areas with the use energy extraction and investigation area energy extraction where these have a distance of 35 kilometres or less from national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation under Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code or identified value areas for marine cultural heritage values in the coastal county administrative boards' documentation(Länsstyrelserna 2024). At this distance, offshore wind turbines are considered to be at risk of visually affecting (indirectly affecting) cultural environments on land. In cases where coastal counties have integrated consideration distances in designated value areas, particular consideration has mainly been given where direct overlaps exist between the value areas and proposed energy areas. Particular consideration to 30 high cultural heritage values is given in this planning round in relation to the use of energy extraction because offshore wind energy is considered to have a greater need for guidance based on the impact it can have on cultural heritage values that are often found in coastal and archipelago areas outside the marine spatial plan area. The distance of 35 kilometres has been a starting point in the work to relate the indirect impact of wind energy areas on valuable cultural environments in marine spatial planning and is used as a general consideration distance. The distance is based on an assumed height of 350 metres to the highest point of the wind turbines. The distance has also been a starting point for assessing the coexistence of wind energy and the cultural environment within the framework of the work on the Swedish Energy Agency's joint government assignment on Proposals for suitable energy extraction areas for marine spatial plans . (Energimyndigheten 2023) Actual distances of consideration need to be assessed from a local perspective. Nature Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Nature Nature area. The area has nature values to be preserved and developed in order to ensure biodiversity and promote ecosystem services. Particular consideration to high nature values Within the area, particular consideration shall be given to high nature values in management, planning and permit assessment. Values identified in the marine spatial planning process are listed by marine area in Parts 3, 4 and 5 of this document. Needs Biodiversity must be preserved. When the sea and its resources are being used, it must be done in a sustainable way, for present and future generations. Certain marine environments need special protection in relation to other activities. These needs may justify protection or other management and permit-granting measures to ensure reduced environmental impacts on marine ecosystem services such as fish production. Viable marine environments enhance and secure access to ecosystem services. Coherent, representative and ecologically functional structures are important prerequisites for this. There is also a need for sustainable management of areas that are particularly important for marine ecosystems as the climate changes, so-called climate refugia. A climate refuge is an area that may need special protection to preserve important plants and animals as the climate changes and their distribution decreases. Areas are often the more stable parts of a species' wider range that are expected to remain as salinity and temperature change. A climate refuge is considered important for the species to continue to exist in the marine area. 31 Read more in the report Basis for climate refugia in marine spatial planning 2017(Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2017c). Areas of national interest claims and of national interest Three different national interests concern nature values in the sea: • National interests under Chapter 4, Section 8 of the Environmental Code, i.e. Natura 2000 sites, are proposed by the county administrative board. The Swedish Environmental Protection Agency then reviews the selection and proposes areas to the Government. It is then the Government that decides to propose to the European Commission that these areas be included in the Natura 2000 network. Natura 2000 sites are part of marine site protection. • National interest claims for nature conservation under Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code are identified by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management. • National interest claims for commercial fishing relating to spawning and nursery areas under Chapter 3, Section 5 of the Environmental Code are identified by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management. Areas of public interest of substantial significance In the marine spatial planning process, national interests and national interests alone are not considered sufficient to achieve good environmental status, preserve biodiversity, strengthen ecosystem services and protect important areas and species as the climate changes. Therefore, additional areas of high nature value have been recognised or identified in the marine spatial process and have been identified as essential public interests. The areas consist partly of already protected areas under Chapter 7 of the Environmental Code and partly of areas identified within the framework of the marine spatial planning process. The areas of public interest of substantial significance for high nature values that have been identified in the marine spatial planning are based on a large amount of supporting information collected or produced by the Agency for Marine and Water Management (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2019). An update of the documentation was carried out by the coastal county administrative boards in autumn 2022. The data shows habitat types and species that are prevalent and representative for each marine spatial plan area. The assessment is based on the following criteria: • The area constitutes the Marine Protected Area (MPA) under the regional marine environmental conventions HELCOM (Convention for the Protection of the Environment of the Baltic Marine area) and OSPAR (Convention for the Protection of the Marine Environment of the North-East Atlantic), but is not protected by Swedish legislation. • The area has confirmed nature values or needs for consideration according to multiple bases. It concerns documentation relating to nature value mapping and environmental impact. It also includes data on areas important for species and ecosystems in a future changing climate, so-called climate refugia. 32 • The area has confirmed nature values or needs for consideration based on individual documentation. The evidence on which the assessment is based shows low uncertainty. • The area has confirmed nature values of high originality. Originality is defined as areas with relatively low environmental impact while ecological values are high. • The area is in a planning process to become a marine protected area such as Natura 2000 area, nature reserve or national park. Marine nature reserves and national parks are considered to be of public interest of substantial significance. These areas are included in marine site protection along with Natura 2000 sites. Planned marine site protection of the Natura 2000 and marine nature reserves types is also of substantial public interest. Some areas of public interest of substantial significance are currently not covered by existing site protection. Marine spatial plans help to draw attention to and strengthen potential ecological links between areas under marine protection and areas of public interest of substantial significance by identifying the latter. Planning thus strengthens the conditions for a coherent green infrastructure, through areas that are important for preserving ecosystem services. Areas with the use nature in the marine spatial plans The areas designated with the most suitable use nature are based on national interests under Chapter 4, Section 8 of the Environmental Code, i.e., Natura 2000 areas, national interest claims for nature conservation under Chapter 3, Section 6 of the Environmental Code, national interest claims for commercial fishing regarding spawning and nursery areas under Chapter 3, Section 5 of the Environmental Code, and national parks and nature reserves under Chapter 7, the Environmental Code. That areas are designated for the use nature, entails guidance that the interest takes priority in planning and licensing in those areas. Nature values that need to be protected can also be found in other areas. This applies, for example, to species and habitats protected under the Habitats Directive or Birds Directive (92/43/EEC, 2009/147/EC). Environmental monitoring stations or other installations are located at specific locations in the sea. Due to the scale of the marine spatial plans, the specific locations in the plan maps are not reported. However, the stations should be taken into account in planning, management and licensing. Areas with guidance on particular consideration to the high nature values Areas designated with particular consideration to high nature values are based on identified public interests of substantial significance as described above. In areas with particular consideration to high nature values, there may be special needs for future measures in management, planning and permitting to ensure ecosystem services linked to the values, structures and conditions of the areas. Particular consideration of high nature values can mean, among other things, that activities are adapted to locations and time periods that minimize direct, indirect or cumulative damage to nature values. This may include, for example: 33 • that the Swedish Armed Forces, when planning their activities, consult with municipalities and county administrative boards on local conditions and adapt exercises and activities to locations and time periods so that high nature values are not damaged • adaptation in design and technology of energy extraction facilities or adaptation of civil works and operations to specific periods of time • introduction or extension of marine area protection • fishing regulations relating to areas, gears or time for catching • adaptation of speed, maximum draught or time of maritime traffic. Nature values to consider can also be found in other areas. This applies, for example, to species and habitats protected under the Habitats Directive or birdss Directive. Sand extraction Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Sand extraction Sand extraction area; Conditions for sand extraction and good availability for vessels during extraction shall be maintained. Investigation area sand extraction Area with good conditions for sand extraction where further investigation is required to determine whether the use of sand extraction is the most suitable use. Needs Removal of nature gravel on land shall be reduced as part of securing Sweden’s groundwater and meeting the environmental quality objective ‘Good quality groundwater’. Nature gravel builds up many groundwater and drinking water reservoirs and often has high nature and cultural values. Crushed rock is the main replacement material for nature gravel in the effort to reduce the extraction of nature gravel. There are some applications, such as to the fine fraction in concrete, where it is currently costly or requires a lot of energy to produce replacement material from crushed rock and generates residues. In these applications, marine sand and gravel can replace nature gravel from land. Marine sand and gravel can also be used to counteract the coastal erosion that occurs along some coastal sections in southern Sweden. The fact that the sand is extracted close to where it is to be used is beneficial in view of the costs and environmental effects of long journeys. Areas of national interest claims Findings containing valuable substances or materials can be identified as a national interest claim under Chapter 3, Section 7 of the Environmental Code. It is the Geological Survey of Sweden, 34 SGU, that can point out the claims of national interest. There are no national interest claims for sand in the marine spatial plan areas. Areas of public interest of substantial significance Based on a government assignment, the Geological Survey of Sweden has identified areas where there are opportunities for environmentally sustainable extraction of marine sand and gravel of the right quality. Environmental sustainability is assessed on several aspects: (Sveriges geologiska undersökning 2017) • The area must not be too close to the coastline as this risks changes in sediment dynamics, which can cause increased coastal erosion. • Sunlight exposed shallow biologically productive and sensitive areas shall be avoided. • Biodiversity shall be preserved and ecosystems in and around the quarry shall not be affected to such an extent that the ability to deliver ecosystem services is lost or irreversibly reduced. The identified areas are considered in the marine spatial planning process to be public interests of substantial significance as sand extraction in the sea is considered important in the work on climate adaptation, in order to achieve environmental quality objectives and for the supply of materials. Areas for the use sand extraction in the marine spatial plans The areas designated for the use sand extraction are based on areas of public interest of substantial significance identified in the marine spatial plan process. The areas designated as suitable for sand extraction in the marine spatial plans need to be further investigated in which parts of the areas such as sustainable extraction can be made possible, on the basis of the data produced by the Geological Survey of Sweden and the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management. When areas are designated for use sand extraction, this means guidance that interest takes priority in planning and licensing in those areas. Areas need to be carefully evaluated, including physical, cultural and biological aspects, before a quarrying operation can take place. Continuous evaluation using suitable control programmes is also necessary. Most of the area designated as areas for sand extraction in marine spatial plans is located in southern Sweden, where the consumption of nature gravel is high while the availability of nature gravel on land is limited. Southern Sweden is expected to continue to have expansionary construction. The marine conditions, relatively low transport costs to consumable areas and high costs for other substitute materials justify sand extraction as a use in parts of the marine areas. Another motive is the need for sand to counteract coastal erosion in southern Sweden. Areas of the Marine spatial plans with an investigation area for sand extraction In areas where sand extraction is expected to require a so-called Natura 2000 permit under Chapter 7, Section 28a of the Environmental Code, the area is designated as an investigation area for sand extraction. 35 Shipping Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Shipping Area of particular importance for maritime transport. Conditions for shipping operations shall be maintained and road safety with sufficient room for manoeuvre shall be taken into account. Investigation area for shipping Area for further investigation to determine whether the use of shipping is the most suitable use Needs The overall transport policy objective is to ensure a socio-economically efficient and long-term sustainable transport supply for citizens and businesses throughout the country. Efficient, sustainable and high-capacity freight transport is a priority for the Government. Some of the objectives of the National Transport System Plan 2022-2033 are to promote the shift of freight from road to rail and maritime transport, to reduce the environmental impact of the transport sector and to create the conditions for the development of tomorrow’s transport system. Shipping is of great importance for a functioning supply of goods and services to Sweden, which is also relevant for total defence. Areas of national interest claims The Swedish Transport Administration identifies areas of national interest claims for maritime transport in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 8 of the Environmental Code. Areas of public interest of substantial significance Routes that constitute particularly important links between Sweden and neighbouring countries are considered to be important public interests. Areas with the use shipping in the marine spatial plans The areas designated for the use shipping are based on national interest claims for transport and in the marine spatial planning process identified areas of public interest of substantial significance for shipping. Shipping is carried out in all marine areas. However, due to various factors, large parts of international traffic, in particular, with larger vessels, take place on certain demarcated routes. These lines are merely recommendations. Vessel traffic of very great importance to Sweden can occur and thus also occurs outside the routes indicated as use shipping in marine spatial plans. That areas are designated for the use shipping entails guidance that the interest takes priority in planning and licensing in those areas. These areas represent the routes that are most important 36 for the maintenance and development of efficient, safe and accessible maritime transport, but do not limit shipping to these routes. Shipping as a whole has a much larger surface language than the route of the plan map in order to function well. The fact that shipping has access to and uses other areas is a prerequisite for the routes identified in the marine spatial plans to have such a limited geographical area. Vessels have the right of innocent passage through the territorial sea under the law of the sea. International shipping is regulated in particular by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Several wind farms in the same marine area may pose a risk of cumulative impacts on the mobility and safety of shipping when the available space is limited. That risk shall be taken into account. In the Gulf of Bothnia there are special conditions in winter with thick and extensive sea ice. This affects the conditions for shipping, which needs large areas to ensure accessibility. This should be taken into account when establishing wind energy and other fixed installations at sea. There is a lack of comprehensive knowledge about how offshore wind energy affects ice formation, conditions for icebreaking and winter navigation. There shall be a safety distance between a wind farm and a shipping lane or fairway. The size of the safety distance depends on the traffic on the route, but also on the geographical conditions(Sjöfartsverket and Transportstyrelsen 2023). When designing the energy areas, planning the safety distance is generally included in the surface of the energy area. The safety distance is therefore not reported in the plan map. The location of the wind farm and the distance needed in an individual project are determined in the permit process for the wind farm. The marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on specific safety distances. Areas with the use investigation area for shipping Where there are areas with the use investigation area for shipping, it needs to be further investigated whether shipping is the most suitable use. It is indicated where more than one use has claims in the same area and more investigation of the needs of the uses in question on the spot is required before a decision on the most suitable use can be made. The national interest claim for shipping remains even if the national interest claim corresponds to the investigation area of shipping T he use investigation area for shipping is also indicated where there is insufficient evidence to delimit the closer route of use. Commercial fishing Recommendation indicating the most suitable use Commercial fishing Commercial fishing area. Conditions for engaging in commercial fishing shall be maintained. Good availability of commercial fishing vessels to ports and fishing areas suitable to seasonal and annual variations shall be taken into account. 37 Needs Commercial fishing is a maritime industry with importance for food security and food production. Commercial fishing also creates land-based jobs in port operations and the processing industry, contributing to viable archipelago communities that maintain identity and cultural environment. Maintaining sustainable food production with food of high nutritional value is important for society. Fish from our local area makes a significant contribution to our food security. The needs require that good environmental status in the sea is achieved and maintained and that the ecosystem services on which fishing depends are ensured. Commercial fishing requires relatively large areas because different fishing methods and target species mean different fishing areas that change between different seasons, from year to year and over a longer period of time. Areas of national interest claims The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management identifies areas of national interest claims for commercial fishing in terms of catch areas and landing ports in accordance with Chapter 3, Section 5 of the Environmental Code. In 2024, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management is working on a review and updating of ports with a national interest in commercial fishing. Areas of marine spatial plans used for commercial fishing The use of commercial fishing is mainly based on national interest claims regarding fishing areas. A small part of an area in the Skagerrak is based on public interest of substantial significance for commercial fishing. National interest claims for commercial fishing regarding spawning and nursery areas are included in the use nature in the marine spatial plans. Potentially important areas for fish habitats outside areas of national interest claims are included in areas with guidance on particular consideration to high nature values. The way in which commercial fishing is conducted and the gear used may change in the future, for example due to stock changes or technical development of gear. It may also be changed by the introduction of restrictions relating to a specific fishery or fishing method. That areas are designated for the use commercial fishing entails means guidance that the interest takes priority in planning and licensing in those areas. Commercial fishing is also carried out in other areas and when assessing permits, it is therefore important to seek up-to-date information about fishing in the area in question. Data and telecommunication cables The laying of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall be enabled where suitable. The operation and maintenance of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall always be possible. This applies to the entire planning area. There are no areas specified for data and telecommunication cables in the marine spatial plans. 38 There is a lack of overall sector planning for data and telecommunications cables. Sites for the closure of such cables should be reconciled early in the design of cable laying to reduce conflicts with other claims. Geological storage of carbon dioxide It is estimated that there is significant carbon dioxide storage capacity in Sweden and within the Swedish exclusive economic zone (Sveriges geologiska undersökning 2016). However, more data and knowledge are needed before any areas for storage can be proposed in marine spatial plans. Aquaculture At present, there is no comprehensive national mapping of possible geographical development areas for aquaculture in the plan area. In the Swedish Board of Agriculture’s and the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management’s action plan for the development of Swedish aquaculture 2021-2026, a measure aims to facilitate the identification and planning of suitable areas for various forms of sustainable aquaculture(Jordbruksverket 2021). New planning data together with developed cultivation technology can in the long term contribute to better planning conditions for aquaculture in the plan area. At this stage, marine spatial plans create preparedness for aquaculture, but do not designate specifically demarcated areas dedicated to aquaculture. 2.4. Guidance on coexistence Marine spatial plans shall promote coexistence between different activities and uses. The inclusion of coexistence in marine spatial plans creates flexibility and encourages activities for mutual adaptation and development. Coexistence can also lead to synergies. The considerations below aim to guide how coexistence can work and explain how marine spatial plans relate to coexistence between the different uses listed. They are grouped under two headings depending on the degree of alignment usually deemed necessary for coexistence – some alignment and more alignment. For example, in order for coexistence to work, certain activities may need to be regulated further or specific conditions imposed by licensing authorities. It may also involve special regulations that may be needed to achieve the purpose of the marine spatial plans and which the Government decides on pursuant to Chapter 4, Section 10, second paragraph, of the Environmental Code. Coexistence between uses can be deemed to be possible in one place while in another it is not deemed to work. Similarly, coexistence can be assessed as possible from an overall perspective but not within the time horizon of planning or in a specific location (co-location). When applications are deemed not to be able to co-exist within a geographical area, an interest is given priority. 39 Figure 2.4-1 Example of how coexistence can look like in the plan map. The plan map shows coexistence by overlapping uses. In the Ö222 area, the uses defence (F), nature (N), recreation (lines) and shipping (darker blue fields) coexist. Where coexistence may require some adaptation Defence and shipping Marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of defence and shipping. Shipping can often be carried out without restriction within a maritime training area. During defence exercises, a naval training area may need to be temporarily intercepted. Defence and commercial fishing Marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of defence and commercial fishing. Commercial fishing can often be carried out without restriction in a defence area. During defence exercises, a naval training area may need to be temporarily intercepted. However, defence exercises can affect the resources of commercial fishing through fishing mortality and impact on spawning and nursery areas. Cultural environment and nature The marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of the cultural environment and nature. Cultural environments are often well integrated into nature. Conservation efforts, such as the management of marine litter and the removal of lost fishing gear, can damage ancient remains if carried out with careless methods. Wrecks can in some cases constitute a cultural value while at the same time having a negative impact on the environment. Cultural environment and recreation The marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of the cultural environment and recreation. Cultural environments are often part of the values that form the basis of outdoor life or make an area attractive to visitors. This contributes to synergies, but a high intensity of visits can also have a negative impact on the cultural environment. There is great value in making cultural heritage available underwater, including for divers. However, diving and other outdorr activity such as sport fishing and boating, can pose a risk of damaging the cultural environment underwater. 40 Nature and recreation The marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of nature and recreation. Nature is often part of the values that form the basis of outdoor life or make an area attractive to visitors. This contributes to synergies, but a high intensity of visits can also have an impact on nature values. Exploitation of scenic sites for tourism activities, as well as recreational fishing and noise from recreational boats, personal watercraft and other activities, may conflict with nature conservation interests. Recreation and sand extraction Sand extraction can have a negative impact on nature values, which in turn can change the conditions for outdoor recreation. At the same time, increased traffic when removing the sand can negatively affect the conditions for recreation. However, sand extraction, and therefore transport, usually takes place during limited periods. Recreation and commercial fishing The marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of recreation and commercial fishing. Commercial fishing forms the basis for coastal fishing communities that are attractive for recreation. Conflicts of interest may exist between recreational fishing and commercial fishing if one wants to fish in the same place with gear that does not work together or through competition of the fishing resource. Sand extraction and shipping The marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of sand extraction and shipping. Sand extraction can generate some traffic and create obstacles to the accessibility of shipping. However, sand extraction takes place during limited periods, which means that the impact is limited. Maritime transport and commercial fishing Marine spatial plans usually indicate the coexistence of shipping and commercial fishing. Commercial fishing with mobile gear often works with some adaptation in marine areas, but can sometimes be made more difficult by intensive vessel traffic or traffic separation. Where coexistence may require more adaptation Energy extraction and defence Energy extraction and defence interests are difficult to combine in many areas, as wind farms can have a major impact on the Swedish Armed Forces' facilities and operations. Wind energy installations can affect the Swedish Armed Forces' fixed and airborne systems as well as underwater sensors by causing acoustic disturbances and blockages and reflections of the electromagnetic signals used by radar systems and radio links. The high altitudes and obstacle lighting of wind turbines can also have a negative impact on aviation. 41 In neighbouring countries, it has been possible to combine defence interests with energy extraction by other means, either by banning energy extraction in limited areas, by technological solutions or by combining interests(Odell et al. 2022). For all energy areas, the marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to the interests of total defence. Energy extraction and cultural environment Offshore energy installations can have a negative impact on cultural heritage and landscapes. The effect can also occur at night in the dark due to obstacle lighting. Large-scale wind farms near the coast may dominate a site and thereby affect the values that show important historical events and that previously gave the site its character. Installations such as foundations or cables on the seabed can have a negative impact on ancient monuments if the bottom is not examined carefully and adaptations are made. In the construction phase, the impact area on the seabed can be significantly larger than the actual exploitation area. Permits from the county administrative board may be required for activities that risk affecting ancient monuments. Archaeological investigation and examination may be required. These can contribute to an increased knowledge of marine cultural heritage values. Localisation and adaptation measures such as height and obstacle lighting in the design of energy facilities can limit negative impacts. In areas of national interest under Chapter 4, Section 3 of the Environmental Code, wind energy subject to a permit is not permitted, with the exception of Öland. In such areas, marine spatial plans do not specify energy extraction. Energy extraction and nature The assessment of the possibility of coexistence is made from a holistic perspective that also takes into account the cumulative effects of energy areas or other planned activities in the vicinity from a long-term perspective. When granting a permit for an activity that may have a significant impact on a Natura 2000 site, an assessment shall be made as to whether the activity complies with the provisions of Chapter 7, Sections 28b-29 of the Environmental Code. Permit assessment takes place at a more detailed level than MSP's comprehensive assessments. Energy extraction in the form of offshore wind farms can have a negative impact on birds and bats, mammals and the sea floor environment. During the construction phase, underwater noise usually arises from piling and traffic that can negatively affect wildlife. During the operational phase, noises occur that may affect wildlife. The plant itself may be an obstacle to birds or bats. During the decommissioning phase, underwater noise usually arises from work and traffic, which can have a negative impact on wildlife. Cables and anchoring along the bottom can damage valuable nature environments, and electrical cables that generate electromagnetic fields can affect marine organisms to varying degrees. At the same time, wind turbines can be artificial reefs that create protected feeding grounds for fish. More knowledge is needed if wind energy installations can affect hydrography. According to model studies, offshore wind energy can affect the vertical mixing of the water in the Baltic Sea(Arneborg et al. 2024). Offshore wind energy can use various protective measures to reduce 42 the impact on nature values. Examples include demand-based obstruction lighting, location and design adaptations, noise-reducing measures for civil works and seasonal adaptations for construction, operation and decommissioning. Such measures may lead to the possibility of coexistence. Energy extraction and recreation Energy establishments can affect the experience values that exist in the landscape. This may involve the influence of sound, light and shadows from wind turbines and visual impact on the landscape in the form of, for example, an unobstructed view of the horizon being broken. Energy areas can reduce the availability of marine areas that are attractive from the point of view of outdoor life. Energy areas can at the same time be landmarks and tourist destinations. Recreational fishing can be negatively affected by reduced availability of fishing areas while wind turbines can constitute artificial reefs that create good conditions for fish. Localisation and adaptation measures such as height and obstacle lighting in the design of energy facilities can limit negative impacts. Energy extraction and sand extraction Energy extraction with wind turbines may need a stable foundation for foundations. In sand extraction, sand is sucked or dug up from the bottom, the stability of which then changes. Sand extraction is also dependent on transport accessibility. In the marine spatial plans, energy extraction and sand extraction areas are not overlapping. Energy extraction and shipping In essence, in the marine spatial plans, energy extraction and shipping lanes are not overlapping. The interest given priority depends on which of the uses is judged to be most suitable in the specific location and whether the needs are judged to be met elsewhere. In several places, the accessibility of shipping is considered to be ensured in nearby areas, provided that sufficient safety distances are available. In several cases, it is possible to adapt the design of the wind farms in such a way that the accessibility and safety of shipping is not adversely affected. However, shipping cannot usually pass through an area with fixed installations such as a wind farm if the area is small or the turbines are dense. Sea cables can affect the possibilities for emergency anchorage and therefore come into conflict with shipping, especially in busy shipping lanes. There is also a special need for improved knowledge regarding the impact of offshore wind energy on ice formation and conditions for icebreaking and winter navigation in the Gulf of Bothnia. Energy extraction and commercial fishing Offshore wind energy makes navigation and commercial fishing in the area more difficult. Floating wind energy is not expected to coexist with commercial fishing. Installation of bottom-fixed foundations makes it difficult to use both active and passive tools to different degrees. Pelagic commercial fishing is not considered to be able to coexist with bottom-fixed foundations. Adaptation of the wind farm design or fishing gear may affect the possibilities for coexistence. International examples have shown a reduction in fishing even in adapted wind farms. 43 Developments in both legal and technical matters are needed to promote coexistence (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2023). Defence and cultural environment Marine spatial plans usually indicate the coexistence of defence and cultural environments. In the sea, defence activities can entail the risk of negative impact on cultural relics and cultural landscapes on the seabed. Defence facilities can at the same time form part of the cultural- historical heritage of the coast. Defence and nature Marine spatial plans usually indicate the coexistence of defence and nature. In cases where coexistence is deemed unsuitable, an interest is given priority. If the site is a Natura 2000 site, the Environmental Code’s rules on activities in Natura 2000 sites apply. Defence activities can involve traffic, noise, blasting and other activities that risk having a negative impact on nature values. Military naval activities may need to be adapted so that damage to nature values is minimised. Defence and outdoor life The marine spatial plans mainly indicate the coexistence of defence and recreation. Defence activities can involve noise, traffic, blasting, detonation and other activities that risk having a negative impact on outdoor life. Activities can sometimes be aligned to reduce negative impacts. Defence and sand extraction In essence, the marine spatial plans do not specify the coexistence of defence and sand extraction. Defence activities involving, for example, ammunition residues may render the sand unfit for extraction. Cultural environment and sand extraction Ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed can be adversely affected by sand extraction, which involves changing the seabed. Permits from the county administrative board may be required for activities that risk affecting ancient monuments. Archaeological investigation and examination may be required. Cultural environment and shipping The marine spatial plans indicate the coexistence of the cultural environment and shipping. Maritime transport has given rise to several of the cultural environments that we have today, as well as ancient remains in the form of wrecks. Vessel routes and shipping lanes that are heavily trafficked can mean emissions, changed landscapes and dredging that negatively affect cultural values. Shipping can lead to erosion that exposes, grinds and transports away exposed parts of a remnant. Shipping can also cause shallow remains to be damaged by anchors or ship hulls. Increased knowledge and information about remnants can reduce the risk of such damage. 44 Cultural environment and commercial fishing Commercial fishing is in many cases an industry that has contributed to valuable cultural environments, such as fishing communities that are part of the cultural heritage. Fishing with active gears such as trawling can negatively affect cultural remains on the seabed. Increased knowledge and information about remnants can reduce the risk of such damage. Nature and sand extraction Marine spatial plans usually indicate the coexistence of nature and sand extraction where it is assessed that such coexistence may be possible. When granting a permit for an activity that may have a significant impact on a Natura 2000 site, an assessment will be made of whether the activity is compatible with the provisions of Chapter 7, Sections 28b-29 of the Environmental Code. Permit assessment takes place at a more detailed level than MSP's comprehensive assessments. Sand extraction can affect the nature values found in an area, especially if they are concentrated in the bottom environment. The fact that extraction is local, takes place within short periods of time and is carried out with relatively gentle technology can limit the impact. Nature and shipping Marine spatial plans usually indicate the coexistence of nature and shipping. Shipping can put pressure on nature in the form of underwater noise, dredging, erosion, emissions and oil spills. At the same time, maritime transport, if optimised, can represent a climate-efficient means of transport compared to other means of transport. Maritime routes may need to be adapted to reduce the impact on nature values and maritime safety needs to be ensured to avoid accidents. Nature and commercial fishing Marine spatial plans usually indicate the coexistence of nature and commercial fishing. Fishing can have a major impact on marine ecosystems, primarily on the species intended to be caught, but also on other species and habitats that may need to be protected. Commercial fishing carried out with active gears such as bottom trawls or involving by-catch of protected and threatened species can have a negative impact on nature values. In some cases, commercial fishing does not have an impact, and there are often opportunities to adapt fishing methods so that the impact on nature values is limited. Adaptation of fishing methods is a common measure in fisheries management's regulatory work, but there are also many other ways of adapting commercial fishing to the needs of nature conservation. In some cases, fishing is not allowed. Recreation and shipping The marine spatial plans mainly indicate the coexistence of recreation and shipping. Shipping is in many cases an industry that has contributed to environments that are attractive to visit. Shipping can also contribute to good accessibility. However, ship routes that are heavily trafficked can cause disturbances such as noise and emissions or constitute barriers to, for example, recreational fishing and pleasure boating. 45 Sand extraction and commercial fishing Marine spatial plans usually indicate the coexistence of sand extraction and commercial fishing. Sand extraction affects the bottom environment, which in turn can affect fish habitats and thus the fish stocks used by commercial fishing. However, the impact is usually local and limited in time, which in some cases may allow for adaptation, for example by avoiding periods when the area is important for the fish, such as during spawning. 46 3. Gulf of Bothnia: Guidance and considerations General information about the marine spatial plan area Here is a summary of the main features of the planning for the marine spatial plan area. The direction of use and considerations for the marine areas of the marine spatial plan area are also reported. The plan map shall be interpreted on the approximate scale between 1:700 000 and 1:1 000 000. The boundaries and markings in the map reflect the strategic level of the marine spatial plans. The laying of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall be enabled where suitable. The operation and maintenance of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall always be possible. This applies to the entire planning area. There are three marine areas in the Gulf of Bothnia: • Gulf of Bothnia • Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken • South Bothnian Sea. Renewable electricity production The marine spatial plans will contribute to achieving the society's goal of 100 per cent fossil-free electricity production by 2040. The conditions for energy production in the form of wind farms in the Gulf of Bothnia differ to some extent from other marine spatial plan areas. Conflicts of interest with nature and commercial fishing are generally lower and shipping is also less intense in these marine areas. The Bothnian Bay receives ice winters every year and even in so-called mild ice winters, sea ice is formed in principle throughout the marine area. This affects the conditions for shipping, which needs large areas and access to alternative shipping routes to ensure accessibility. Fixed installations such as wind farms therefore pose a particular challenge for winter navigation, as they risk limiting the flexibility considered necessary for accessibility. This shall be taken into account when establishing wind energy and other fixed installations at sea. Wind conditions are slightly worse in the Gulf of Bothnia compared to the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat, but still generally good. In some areas of the Gulf of Bothnia, however, there is such strong competition between wind farms and other uses, such as various nature values or defence interests, that coexistence is not deemed achievable. The starting point for the planning has been updated data for new or changed areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans (Energimyndigheten 2023). The planning of energy extraction areas is based on an overall assessment of how the marine spatial plan can best contribute to achieving the energy targets. Areas with energy extraction are proposed both in the lake and in more coastal areas. A total of 13 energy extraction areas or investigation areas for energy extraction areas are listed in the Gulf of Bothnia. Some proposed areas are affected by Natura 2000 legislation, which means that wind farms can only be allowed there if they do not risk - 47 - damaging or disturbing the habitats that the site is intended to protect or cause disturbance to the species to be protected that could significantly hamper the conservation of the species in the site. Three of the proposed energy extraction areas in the Gulf of Bothnia are designated as research areas. This is due to uncertainties about the impact of wind energy on bird migration routes. Close to the coast beyond the boundaries of the marine spatial plan, offshore wind energy at a limited extent may be suitable. Smaller, coastal establishments need to be assessed from a local perspective. Due to the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, energy extraction is not assessed for very small areas. When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. Proposed areas with the use energy extraction in the Gulf of Bothnia entail the risk of cumulative effects on the interests of total defence. This risk shall be taken into account, which may limit the extent of the development, collectively or in individual areas. In all proposed areas of energy use, particular consideration is therefore given to the interests of total defence. With the exception of four energy areas, particular consideration is given to high cultural heritage values in all energy areas. The values are based on places on land and ancient and cultural remains on the seabed that can be affected by installations at sea. In some of the areas, particular consideration is also given to high nature values. This means that there is a special need for future measures in management, planning and licensing to ensure ecosystem services linked to the values, structures and conditions of the areas. Good conditions for different activities The Gulf of Bothnia is the marine spatial plan area that is the least affected by human impact, while the environmental status still needs to be improved in order to achieve good environmental status. There are large areas with high outdoor and nature values and good conditions for various activities. Many large and important industries are located and developed in northern Sweden, which use the sea route for their transport. In large parts of the Gulf of Bothnia, there are areas with good conditions for fossil-free energy extraction in the form of offshore wind energy. There is an area in the northern Gulf of Bothnia that may be suitable for the extraction of sand. Sweden's total defence has interests in the marine spatial plan area, including a naval training area in the northern Bothnian Sea and impact areas in the Bothnian Bay for activities on land. Many activities in the Gulf of Bothnia are considered to work well together, i.e. they can coexist. Sometimes, however, coexistence has to be regulated in order to work. For example, areas may be intercepted during defence exercises or rules on how vessels, such as fishing vessels, may operate in fairways that are part of traffic separation systems. Such regulations do not take place through the marine spatial plan, but can be found in other legislation. Adaptations and coexistence solutions between winter navigation and large-scale offshore energy production need to be developed. World Heritage Sites, small-Scale fisheries and valuable Nature The High Coast World Heritage Site is a nature world heritage site with mainly geological values where the land uplift and ice age characterized the landscape. Together with the Kvarken Archipelago on the Finnish side, they form a geological whole and a cross-border World Heritage Site. The high coast is well visited by tourists all year round, but mainly in the summer, when tour 48 boats and pleasure boats come to the ports in the area. In early autumn, the fermented Baltic herring (surströmming in Swedish) premiere takes place, which attracts many visitors. Commercial fishing in the Gulf of Bothnia is sparse in the outer sea but more frequent in the coastal waters. There are areas with use commercial fishing in the Southern Bothnian Sea, where the largest concentration of Swedish commercial fishing in the marine spatial plan area is found. Fishing may be affected by proposed energy areas. Commercial fishing in the plan is based solely on fishing from Swedish vessels, but also extensive Finnish fishing is conducted. Swedish and Finnish fisheries often coincide geographically. In the areas affected by national interest claims for commercial fishing in the Gulf of Bothnia's marine spatial plan area, no overlapping energy areas are proposed. There are large areas with high nature values and several of them are nature reserves, Natura 2000 area or national interest claims for commercial fishing related to spawning and nursery area for fish. These are designated as nature use in the marine spatial plan. In addition to these, there are areas of high nature value that need particular consideration in order to continue to contribute to valuable ecosystem services. Other operations need to pay particular consideration to the high nature values. There are bord routes across the marine spatial plan area. The plan area It houses shallow areas for foraging seabirds. In the Bothnian Bay there is a unique population of seals where the population is stable, but the species has been exposed to environmental toxins and the reproduction rate is weakened. Reindeer herding is carried out along the coast and in the archipelago outside the boundaries of the marine plan area of the Gulf of Bothnia, and there are several areas of national interest claims for reindeer husbandry. On the coast there are reindeer pastures that can be affected by land and water claims outside the marine spatial plan area linked to uses in the marine spatial plan, but also indirectly through the influence of light and sound. 49 Plan map for the Gulf of Bothnia Map 1 Plan map for the Gulf of Bothnia 50 3.1. Bothnian bay Energy extraction In the Bothnian Bay, there are good conditions for energy extraction, while the need for electricity is high, partly due to major industrial investments. There are four energy extraction areas in the Bothnian Bay In the northernmost part of the Gulf of Bothnia there is an area with energy use, Southeast Malören (B111) which is partly located in the territorial sea within the municipality of Kalix and partly in the exclusive economic zone. Bottom-fixed foundations are possible considering the depth, During ice winters, the area is used for icebreaking and ship traffic to Swedish and Finnish ports (Ringsberg et al. 2024) and the impact on winter navigation needs to be taken into account. The area is designated with particular consideration to the interests of the total defence and particular consideration to high nature values regarding both fish spawning and seals occurring in the area. The area is also designated with particular consideration to to high cultural heritage values. The coastal and archipelago area includes the cultural environments Malören, Sandskär and Haparanda archipelago with well-preserved fishing villages as well as lighthouse and pilot sites (Länsstyrelserna 2024). The Haparanda Archipelago is also a national park and is covered by landscape protection. Several areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. Cultural and historical remains on the seabed can be directly affected and need to be taken into account. In the area, measurement activities need to be taken into account in the national pelagic environmental monitoring. In the open sea outside Piteå, Southeast Svalan and Falkens Grund (B113) there is an area with use of energy extraction. The area has been adapted in the northern part with reference primarily to the potential impact on winter navigation. In the area, mainly floating foundations are suitable with regard to depth, but bottom-fixed foundations may be relevant in the area in the future. During ice winters, the area is used for icebreaking and ship traffic to Swedish and Finnish ports (Ringsberg et al. 2024) and the impact on winter navigation needs to be taken into account. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. At Rödkallen located in the archipelago, the cultural environment includes a well-preserved fishing village as well as lighthouse and pilot site (Länsstyrelserna 2024) which is also a national interest claim for the cultural environment conservation. In area B112 there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Energy extraction is not indicated as use taking into account an overall impact on the cultural environment, outdoor life, winter navigation and nature values linked to the presence of ringed seals. In the area there are national interest claims for shipping and public interest of substantial significance for nature. In the coastal and archipelago there is a national interest in moving outdoor life, a national interest in outdoor life and conservation of the cultural environment, as well as a general interest of substantial significance for the cultural environment. Outdoor recreation interests extend into the area. Outside Piteå and Luleå there are both national interest claims and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy (B104, B105). An area of influence for the defence extends into the 51 marine area and there are national interest claims for shipping and public interest of substantial significance for sand extraction and nature. In the coastal and archipelago area, there is national interest in outdoor recreation and national interest claims for outdoor life as well as national interest claims and public interest of substantial significance for cultural heritage conservation. Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is deemed not to be compatible with the other uses in the marine area and with an overall consideration of coastal and nature values linked to the presence of seals. Is a In the southern part of the Bothnian Bay marine area, there an area with the use energy extraction in coastal region (B108) and in the open sea (B135). Rata Storgrund is a coastal area located in Robertsfors municipality. The area is considered to have good conditions for the establishment of offshore wind. In the area, bottom-fixed foundations are judged suitable to the depth. Part of area B108 consists of an area (with the same number B108) for energy extraction in the previously adopted marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia in 2022(Regeringen 2022a). The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also defined with particular consideration to high nature values, which includes fish spawning area and reef environment, as well as bat and bird area. Rata Storgrund (B135) is a larger area located in the exclusive economic zone outside Robertsfors and Umeå municipalities. The area is considered to have good conditions for the establishment of energy extraction. In most of the area, it is considered suitable to have bottom-fixed foundations taking into account the depth. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. During ice winters, the area is used for icebreaking and ship traffic to Swedish and Finnish ports (Ringsberg et al. 2024) and the impact on winter navigation needs to be taken into account. Areas B108 and B135 are both subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. In the coastal and archipelago area are Holmögadd, Holmön-Stora Fjäderägg, Ängesön and Ratan with communication environments, coastal and archipelago environments and ancient relic environments(Länsstyrelserna 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. Cultural and historical remains on the seabed can be directly affected and need to be taken into account. Within B106 there are several national interest claims and areas of substantial significance for wind energy. Energy extraction is not indicated as use in view of the overall impact on the cultural environment, outdoor life, shipping and nature values. Within the marine spatial plan there are national interest claims for shipping. In the coastal and archipelago there are national interest claims and public interest of substantial significance for the cultural environment as well as national interest claims for outdoor life. There are also important bird migration routes nearby. Recreation In the northern part of the marine area, the entire coast is covered by national interest for outdoor recreation and national interest claims for recreation. The national interest and the national interest claim extend into the marine spatial plan area. The marine spatial plan specifies the use of recreation (B102-B105, B112). The coast of Lövånger is also covered by national interest claims for outdoor life. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Any wind energy installation will have a visual impact on the area. 52 Defence The marine spatial plan indicates the use of defence at the Tåme firing range in Skellefteå municipality, as it has an impact area that extends into the marine spatial plan area (B105). Particular consideration to the interests of the total defence is given at the air training area at Kallax (B102–B103), where a smaller part of a stop area for high objects extends into the marine spatial plan area. When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. Particular consideration to the interests of total defence is therefore given for all areas with the us energy extraction (B108, B111, B113, B135). Cultural environment Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coast and in the archipelago outside the boundary of the marine spatial plan area. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative boards and can be found both in the archipelago landscape in the northern part of the Bothnian Bay and along the coasts further south. The cultural environments include fishing villages, ancient sites, communication environments and coastal and archipelago environments. (Länsstyrelserna 2024) In the northern part of the marine area there are, among other things, Haparanda Archipelago and Malören with well-preserved fishing villages and many ancient remains associated with fishing and seal hunting. The Haparanda Archipelago is also covered by landscape protection. Further south there are coastal and archipelago environments with fishing villages such as Småskären and Brändöskär and Uddskär. There are also lighthouse and pilot sites such as Rödkallen, Pite- Rönnskär, Bjuröklubb and Ratan. There are wrecks and ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed in large parts of the marine area, which requires consideration in the event of any impact on the seabed. The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high cultural heritage values in all four energy areas (B108, B111, B113, B135). Consideration distances to value areas, relevant national interest claims and World Heritage sites need to be assessed from a local perspective, such as indirect impact on cultural heritage values of energy extraction in coastal areas. This may mean that measures are taken to minimise direct, indirect and cumulative impacts on the cultural environment and may consist of specific requirements for the location and design of wind farms or through specific requirements during the construction phase of a wind farm. Nature The marine spatial plan indicates the use nature for the area Marakallen outside Luleå (B103), which is protected by Natura 2000. Particular consideration to high nature values is given in the far north (B111, B112) where the consideration refers to fish spawning and ringed seals, and in parts of Luleå and Piteå municipalities (B102, B104) where the consideration refers to birds, fish spawning and seals. Particular consideration to high nature values is also given along the coast from Rata Storgrund up to Bjuröklubb (B106, B108) where the consideration refers to bird and bat areas, reef environments and fish play areas. Almost the entire national interest claim for nature conservation at Kinnbäcksfjärden is located outside the marine spatial plane area. A smaller part of the national interest goes into the marine spatial plan area B105. The national interest is met, but depending on the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, it does not constitute use in the marine spatial plan. The is stable winter ice in the Bothnian Bay. The ice forms the basis for 53 photosynthesizing algae and ringed seals need the ice for the cuts to survive. As climate change reduces the spread of compact drift ice, the northern parts of the Gulf of Bothnia are becoming increasingly critical. Climate refugia for seals have been identified in close proximity to the marine spatial plan area along parts of the northern coast (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2017c). Sand extraction The marine spatial plan specifies the use of sand extraction along the outskirts of Luleå municipality's outskirts on the foundations of Svalan and Falken (B104). From a risk point of view, sand extraction is not considered suitable in the adjacent area that extends into the impact area of the Tåme firing range (B105). Sand extraction needs to take special account of high cultural heritage values such as wrecks and ancient and cultural remains on the seabed. Shipping The marine spatial plan specifies the use of shipping in the open sea and into ports within the marine area (B102-B106, B112-B113, B136). Several important ports, including Skellefteå and Luleå, are located along the coast of the Bothnian Bay and maritime traffic is important for industry in northern Sweden. The inlets to the ports are often long and run through the shallow archipelago. Account must be taken of continuous land uplift. In the Gulf of Bothnia there are special conditions in winter with thick and extensive sea ice. This affects the conditions for shipping, which needs large areas and access to alternative shipping routes to ensure accessibility. During ice winters, icebreaking is carried out and often other areas than summertime are used for vessel traffic, such as B111, B113, B135 (Ringsberg et al. 2024). Claims for large sea surfaces for fixed installations such as wind farms therefore pose a particular challenge for winter navigation, as they risk limiting the flexibility considered necessary for accessibility. This shall be taken into account when establishing wind energy and other fixed installations at sea. There is a lack of comprehensive knowledge on how offshore wind energy affects ice formation, conditions for icebreaking and winter navigation (Swedish Maritime Administration, 2022). The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's entire need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions following risk assessment (Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023). Several wind farms in the same marine area may pose a risk of cumulative impacts on the mobility and safety of shipping when the available space is limited. That risk shall be taken into account. Commercial fishing Commercial fishing is sparse in the open sea of the Bothnian Bay. Most of the fishing is carried out with passive gear and close to the coast. Autumn fishing for vendace for roe is economically significant. This fishing takes place near the coast with active gear and mainly outside the marine 54 spatial plan area. In energy area B111, measuring activities within the national pelagic environmental monitoring needs to be taken into account. 55 Plan map marine area Bothnian Bay Map 2 Plan map for the Bothnian Bay marine area 56 Area table Gulf of Bothnia Table 1 Area table Bothnian Bay Area Applications Particular Priority or special considerations adaptation for coexistence B102 Recreation The interests of total defence General use High nature values: Ringed Shipping seal. Fish spawning. Birds. B103 Recreation The interests of total defence Nature Shipping B104 Recreation High nature values: Ringed Energy extraction is not General use seal. Fish spawning. Birds. indicated as use. Sand extraction Reef environment. Shipping The marine spatial plan does not specify the use of energy extraction because it is not considered to be able to co- exist with defence, sand extraction and shipping here. Claims of national interest and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy overlap with claims of national interest for shipping and areas of influence for total defence. Public interest of substantial significance for wind energy overlaps with an area of influence for total defence and public interest of substantial significance for sand extraction. B105 Recreation Defence and shipping are Defence given priority over energy Shipping extraction and sand extraction. The marine spatial plan gives priority to the use of defence and shipping over energy and sand extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. Public interest of substantial significance for sand extraction overlaps with national interest claims for shipping and the area of influence for the total defence. National interest claims for wind energy overlap with national interest claims for shipping and the area of influence for total defence. 57 Area Applications Particular Priority or special considerations adaptation for coexistence B106 General use High nature values: Fish Energy extraction is not Shipping spawning. Bats. Birds. Reef indicated as use. environment Energy extraction is not indicated as use taking into account the overall impact on outdoor life, cultural environment, nature values and shipping. Several national interest claims and areas of substantial significancefor wind energy as well as national interest claims for shipping are in the area. In the coastal and archipelago there are national interest claims and public interest of substantial significance for the cultural environment as well as national interest claims for outdoor life. There are important bird migration routes nearby. B108 Energy extraction The interests of total defence The coexistence of shipping High cultural heritage values: and energy extraction may Fishing village. require adaptations. Communication environment. Coastal and archipelago Conditions for winter environment. navigation need to be taken High nature values: Fish into account. spawning. Bats. Birds. Reef environment; B111 Energy extraction The interests of total defence The coexistence of shipping High cultural heritage values: and energy extraction may Village or church environment. require adaptations. Fishing village. Prehistoric environment. Communication Conditions for winter environment. Coastal and navigation need to be taken archipelago environment. into account. High nature values: Ringed seal. Fish spawning. B112 Recreation High nature values: Fish Energy extraction is not General use spawning. Ringed seal. indicated as use. Shipping Energy extraction is not indicated as use taking into account the overall impact on recreational and cultural heritage values on the coast, winter navigation and nature values linked to the presence of seals. National interest claims for shipping and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy and nature exist in the area. In the coastal and archipelago there is a national interest for outdoor recreation, a national interest 58 Area Applications Particular Priority or special considerations adaptation for coexistence claims for recreation and conservation of the cultural environment, as well as a general interest of substantial significance for the cultural environment. Outdoor life interests extend into the area. B113 Energy extraction The interests of total defence The coexistence of shipping Shipping High cultural heritage values: and energy extraction may Village or church environment. require adaptations. Fishing village. Prehistoric environment. Communication Conditions for winter environment. navigation need to be taken into account. B135 Energy extraction The interests of total defence The coexistence of shipping High cultural heritage values: and energy extraction may Fishing village. require adaptations. Communication environment. Coastal and archipelago Conditions for winter environment. navigation need to be taken into account. B136 General use Energy extraction is adapted Shipping to shipping. Energy extraction is not indicated as use taking into account winter navigation conditions. Claims of national interest for shipping and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. 59 3.2. Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken Energy extraction In the North Bothnian Sea and the Northern Kvarken there are good conditions for energy extraction, especially in the southern parts of the marine area. The North-East Eystrasalt Bank (B161) is an area with the use energy extraction that is located in the exclusive economic zone outside Sundsvall municipality and is part of a larger area (B160) that extends into the marine area of the Southern Bothnian Sea. The area is considered to have good conditions for the establishment of offshore wind. In the western part of the area, floating foundations are suitable with due to depth and in the eastern part it is possible with bottom-fixed foundations. The area is considered to be a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy and is generally considered to have a relatively low degree of conflict with other interests. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. Outside Sundsvall, in area B162 there is public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Energy extraction is not indicated as use with regard to an overall assessment of energy extraction potential and the impact on cultural environment and outdoor recreation values on the coast. Recreation At the High Coast there is a national interest for outdoor recreation adjacent to the marine spatial plane area. Within the planning area south and east of the Holm Islands (B120) there are national interest claims for recreation. Any wind energy establishment north of the Holm Islands gives a visual impact in the area (See Energy extraction for marine area Bothnian Bay). Possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances need to be assessed from a local perspective Defence The marine spatial plan specifies the use of defence for the naval training area Härnön, which extends from the coast through the territorial sea into the Swedish exclusive economic zone, and for the impact area for Skärsviken firing range (B123, B127–B129, B132). When developing wind energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of the total defence. Particular consideration to the interests of total defence is therefore given for all areas with the use energy extraction (B161). Cultural environment The High Coast's World Heritage Site with unique cultural and nature environments extends into the sea. Along the shoreline of the High Coast there is a concentration of stranded remnants from continuous human activity for 7000 years. (Riksantikvarieämbetet 2017) For these areas, the marine spatial plan indicates the use of the cultural environment (B130-B132). On the Finnish side is the Kvarken Archipelago World Heritage Site. The high coast is also covered by national interest unbroken coast. 60 Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coast outside the boundary of the marine spatial plan area. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board and are located in the northern part of the marine area around the Holm Islands and along the coasts outside Örnsköldsvik, Härnösand and Sundsvall further south. The dominant cultural environments are ancient sites, communication environments and fishing villages, but there are also production environments. (Länsstyrelserna 2024) In the northern part of the marine area there are, among other things, the value areas Holmön and Stora Fjäderägg, Ängesön and Holmögadd, which include both remote areas with known wrecks as well as lighthouses and communication environments. Holmön and Stora Fjäderägg also include national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. In addition to the High Coast area, there are also value areas in the southern part of the coastal area outside Härnösand and Sundsvall that include ancient sites with coastal cairns as well as wreck areas and fishing villages. There are wrecks and ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed, which requires consideration in the event of impact on the seabed. Consideration distances to value areas, relevant national interest claims and World Heritage sites need to be assessed from a local perspective, such as indirect impact on cultural heritage values of energy extraction in coastal areas. This may entail that measures are taken to minimise direct, indirect and cumulative effects on the cultural environment and may consist of specific requirements for the location and design of wind farms or through specific requirements during the construction phase of a wind farm. Nature The marine spatial plan indicates the use of nature in several areas from the Farmer and the Southeast quarries in the north to the Wait a Little Foundation in the south. Sydostbrotten (B122) is covered by both the Natura 2000 area and the nature reserve Örefjärden-Snöanskärgården. On the High Coast there are national interest claims for nature conservation (B126–B127, B131– B132). Wait a minute basis (B129) covered by Natura 2000. The foundation has been classified as one of the most valuable offshore banks in the Gulf (Naturvårdsverket 2006) of Bothnia . Particular consideration to high nature values is given outside Holmön (B120) and Vallinsgrundet (B118), which have reef environments, fish play areas and the presence of birds and mammals. The area at Holmön (B120) also serves as a migration route for birds of prey. (Hansson 2019) Particular consideration to high nature values is also given for Ulvödjupet (B123, B165). The deep and relatively untouched bottoms of Ulvödjupet are a unique deep area that has a vibrant bottom fauna community characterized by ice sea relics. As a whole, the marine area is characterised by low use and the environmental impact is therefore relatively low with high originality (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2018b). The Natura 2000 site Holmöarna and overlapping nature reserves and national interest claims for nature conservation are mainly located in the coastal zone, but a smaller part extends into the marine spatial plan area's boundary with Holmöarna and the coast (B120). The national interest claim is accommodated, but due to the scale of the marine spatial plan, the use nature is not indicated in the plan map. 61 Shipping The marine spatial plan specifies the use shipping for several shipping routes to and from Northern and South Kvarken (B120, B123, B126-B132, B162, B165). Several important ports are located along the coast of the North Bothnian Sea. Maritime traffic is important both to the coast and south via the South Kvarken to the Baltic Sea and north via the Northern Kvarken to both Swedish and Finnish ports in the Bothnian Bay. Because the winter ice is weather dependent and moves in an unpredictable way, shipping needs large areas and alternative routes within the Gulf of Bothnia. This shall be taken into account when establishing wind energy and other fixed installations at sea. There is a lack of comprehensive knowledge on how offshore wind energy affects ice formation, conditions for icebreaking and winter navigation (Swedish Maritime Administration, 2022). The Northern Quark, which connects the Bothnian Bay with the Bothnian Sea, is very important for the industry in the north. Through North Kvarken, shipping is conducted for safety reasons in a traffic separation system (TSS) because the passage is narrow and shallow, which gives shipping limited room for manoeuvre. Across Kvarken, between Umeå and Vaasa in Finland, European route 12 runs via ferry line and has maritime use in the plan. Umeå municipality's comprehensive plan points out a reserve for the future fixed connection between Umeå and Vaasa. The Finnish marine spatial plan identifies this route and Finland intends to investigate a functional connection. There is currently no national traffic planning for such a connection on the Swedish side. The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's entire need for space. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance shall be adapted to local conditions according to risk assessment (Swedish Maritime Administration, Swedish Transport Agency, 2023). Several wind farms in the same area may pose a risk of cumulative impacts on the mobility and safety of shipping when the available space is limited. That risk shall be taken into account. Commercial fishing Fishing is limited, with passive gear close to the coast. Some pelagic fishing takes place in the south. 62 Plan map marine area Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken Map 3 Plan map for the Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken marine area 63 Area table Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken Table 2 Area table Northern Bothnian Sea and Northern Kvarken Area Applications Particular Priority or special adaptation for considerations coexistence B118 General use High nature values: Mammals. Fish spawning. Birds. Reef environment; B120 Recreation High nature values: General use Mammals. Fish Shipping spawning. Birds. Reef environment; B122 Nature B123 Defence High nature values: Shipping Deep soft bottom. reef environment. B126 Nature Shipping B127 Defence Nature Shipping B128 Defence Shipping B129 Defence Nature Shipping B130 Cultural environment Shipping B131 Cultural environment Nature Shipping B132 Defence Cultural environment Nature Shipping B161 Energy extraction The interests of total The coexistence of shipping and energy defence extraction may require adaptations. Conditions for winter navigation need to be taken into account. B162 General use Energy extraction is not indicated as use. Shipping Energy extraction is not indicated as use based on an assessment of the energy extraction potential and taking into account outdoor recreation and cultural environment values on the coast. There is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy in the area. In the coastal area there are national interest claims and public interest of substantial significance 64 Area Applications Particular Priority or special adaptation for considerations coexistence for the cultural environment as well as national interest claims for recreation. B165 General use High nature values: Shipping Deep soft bottom. reef environment. 65 3.3. Southern Bothnian Sea Electricity transmission Electricity transmission consists of two transmission grid cables (FennoScan) that run from the area at Forsmark in Sweden to Finland. (B150, B154) Energy extraction In the Southern Bothnian Sea there are several shallow areas and good wind conditions, which means that there are good conditions for energy extraction in the area as a whole. In the Southern Bothnian Sea there are five areas with the use energy extraction and where three investigation areas for energy extraction. The East Eystra Salt Bank (B160) is located in the exclusive economic zone and is part of a larger area that extends into the marine area of the North Bothnian Sea and the Northern Kvarken. The area is considered to be of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. In most of the area, bottom-fixed foundations are suitable due to depth, with the exception of the southern part. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is considered to have a relatively low degree of conflict with nature, recreation, cultural environment and fishing. The open sea area Eystrasaltbanken (B159) is located in the exclusive economic zone outside Nordanstig and Hudiksvall municipalities. The area is considered to be a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy and is specified with particular consideration to the interests of the total defence. Area B159 has been adapted to the west to take account of commercial fishing. In the area, bottom-fixed foundations are suitable due to the depth. The area is considered to have a relatively low degree of conflict with nature, recreation and cultural environment. The open sea area north Sylen (B164) is located in an exclusive economic zone and is considered to be a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. The south-eastern part of the area is indicated as an energy extraction area in the previously adopted marine spatial plan 2022 for the Gulf of Bothnia (Regeringen 2022a). Within the area there are also national interest claims for shipping (see heading shipping). In most of the area, bottom-fixed foundations are suitable due to depth. The area has been adapted to the west with regard to the accessibility of shipping and recreational and cultural values on the coast. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also specified with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values, which primarily relate to the western parts towards land. Cultural environments on the coast include the Agö-Kråkö Archipelago and Bålsö- Kuggörarna with coastal and archipelago environments, fishing villages and ancient sites (Länsstyrelserna, 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. There are also underwater environments along the coast that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. Gretas Klackar (B142) is a more coastal area outside Hudiksvall municipality. The area is listed as an energy extraction area in the previously adopted marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia in 2022 (Regeringen 2022a) and is covered by a national interest claim for wind energy. In the 66 area, bottom-fixed foundations are suitable due to the depth. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. Cultural environments on the coast include Agö- Kråköarkipelagen, Bålsö-Kuggörarna and Skärså – Prästgrundet with coastal and archipelago environments, fishing villages and archaeological sites (Länsstyrelsen 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. There are also underwater environments along the coast that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. The area is also listed with particular consideration to high nature values, which includes mammal area, fish spawning area, bird area and reef environments. At Storgrundet (B146) there is a licensed project for the establishment of wind energy and national interest claims for wind energy. The area is listed as an energy extraction area in the previously adopted marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia 2022 (Regeringen 2022a). In the field of energy, there is also an investigation area for shipping, which requires further investigation for coexistence (See the heading Investigation area for shipping). In the area, it is possible with bottom-fixed foundations taking into account the depth. The area is designated with particular consideration to the interests of total defence and particular consideration to high nature values relating to mammal area, fish spawning area and reef environment. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. Cultural environments on the coast include fishing villages, fairway environments and sawmill communities (Länsstyrelserna 2024). There are underwater environments along the coast that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. Within Västra Bank and Finngrundet (B157) there are several national interest claims. The western, northern and eastern parts of Finngrunden are covered by national interest claims for wind energy. There is an important shipping route through the area covered by national maritime interest claims. At Finngrunden there is a spawning and nursery area for fish, which is a national interest claim for commercial fishing. Natura 2000 sites have been established on banks to protect valuable habitats. In the area Västra Bank and Finngrundet (B157), energy extraction is not indicated as a use because it is not considered to be compatible with nature and shipping. The investigation area for energy extraction at Västra Finngrundet in the previously decided marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia (Regeringen 2022a) has been deleted. This is because changing conditions mean that several other areas of energy extraction are deemed to be more suitable from a holistic perspective. At Campsgrund in the south, there are uses that are not deemed compatible (B150). Within the marine spatial plan area, there are parts of national interest claims for wind energy in Tierps and Älvkarleby municipalities and national interest claims for shipping and defence interests. Energy extraction is not indicated as use. Investigation areas for energy extraction In the Southern Bothnian Sea, three areas are listed as the investigation area for energy extraction (B149, B152, B156). The fact that they are designated as investigation areas is due to the fact that there are considerable uncertainties regarding the potential cumulative effects of the areas on bird migration routes in the event of an offshore wind energy expansion. 67 Norr Finngrundet (B149) is partly covered by national interest claims for wind energy. In other parts, the area is considered to be of significant public interest for wind energy. Parts of the area are listed as energy extraction areas in the previously adopted marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia 2022 (Regeringen 2022a). Within the area there are national interest claims for shipping. Energy extraction and shipping are not deemed to be compatible here and energy extraction is indicated as the most suitable use (see heading Maritime). The area has been adapted to take account of commercial fishing. In the area, bottom-fixed foundations are suitable taking into account the depth. The area is designated with particular consideration to the interests of the total defence and particular consideration to high nature values relating to the fish spawning area, reef environment and bird area for resting and wintering seabirds. Utknallen (B152) is a more coastal area outside Gävle. The area is covered by a national interest claim for wind energy and is listed as an energy extraction area in the previously adopted marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia 2022(Regeringen 2022a). The area is designated with particular consideration to the interests of total defence and particular consideration to high nature values relating to bird areas for resting and wintering seabirds. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. Cultural environments on the coast include fishing villages, fairway environments and industrial environments (Länsstyrelserna 2024). There are underwater environments along the coast that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. Syd Finngrunden (B156) is part of Älvkarleby, Tierp and Östhammar municipalities. Parts of the area are in the exclusive economic zone. The area is considered to be of the public interest of substantial significance for wind energy The area has been adapted to take account of commercial fishing. The area is designated with particular consideration to the interests of total defence and particular consideration to high nature values relating to bird areas for resting and wintering seabirds. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. Cultural environments on the coast include fishing villages, fairway environments and industrial environments(Länsstyrelserna 2024). Underwater environments along the coast can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. Recreation In the coastal area there are shallow archipelagos with genuine fishing villages. Within the municipalities of Hudiksvall and Östhammar, among others, there are national interest claims for recreation in the vicinity of the marine spatial plan area. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Any wind energy installation will have a visual impact on the area. Defence Within Östhammar municipality, the use of defence is indicated due to an area of influence with a special need for freedom from obstacles (B153). When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. The many energy extraction areas in the Southern Bothnian Sea entail the risk of cumulative effects on the interests of total defence. This risk shall be taken into account, which may limit the extent of the development, collectively or in individual areas. Particular consideration to the 68 interests of total defence is therefore given for all energy areas in the Southern Bothnian Sea (B142, B146, B149, B152, B156, B159 - B160, B164). Cultural environment The coast in the south, at Gräsö towards South Kvarken, is covered by a highly developed coastline of national interest. Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coast outside the boundary of the marine spatial plan area. One area at Öregrund and Östhammar is a landscape conservation area. Along the coast there is also a historic sailing route, Sankt Olav, which stretches from Åland to Trondheim. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative boards and can be found along the entire coast of Gävleborg and Uppsala counties. The predominant cultural environments in the area are fishing villages, archaeological sites and communication environments (Länsstyrelserna 2024). There are also elements of industry environments and sawmill communities. Along the coast there is a large proportion of cultural environments below the surface in sinking areas with concentrations of wrecks classified as ancient remains and protected under the Cultural Environment Act (1988:950). These require consideration in the event of impact on the seabed. In the Southern Bothnian Sea, several energy areas are listed with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values (B142, B146, B152, B156, B164). Consideration distances to value areas, relevant national interest claims and World Heritage sites need to be assessed from a local perspective, such as indirect impact on cultural heritage values of energy extraction in coastal areas. This may mean that measures are taken to minimise direct, indirect and cumulative effects on the cultural environment and may consist of specific requirements for the location and design of wind farms or through specific requirements during the construction phase of a wind farm. Nature The marine spatial plan includes areas with the use nature on Finngrunden's three banks (B157) where there are Natura 2000 areas. At Finngrunden there are wintering areas for seabirds. The banks are the northernmost outpost of wintering long-tailed duck, which is a threatened species in Sweden. There is also a national interest claim for commercial fishing that relates to spawning and nursery area for fish that extends over Finngrunden. In the area Västra Bank and Finngrundet (B157), energy extraction is not deemed to be able to coexist with nature and shipping, which are listed as uses (see heading Energy extraction). On the coast of Nordanstig there is a national interest claim for nature conservation. Part of the national interest overlaps with the seal protection area Lillgrund. A smaller part of the national interest and the seal protection area extends into the marine spatial plan area (B150). The national interest claim is met, but depending on the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, it is not marked as use nature in the plan map. The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high nature values on other offshore banks in the marine area, such as Greta's heels (B142) and Storgrundet (B146) where there are reef environments, fish spawning and mammal areas. Also, Östra Finngrunden (B149) where 69 high nature values consist of reef environment, fish spawning and bird area. In the areas Utknallen (B152), Argos Grundkallegrund (B154) and Syd Finngrunden (B156) particular consideration is given to high nature values because they lie within an important bird range. Birds range also affects Östra Finngrunden (B149). The areas for energy extraction around Finngrunden (B149, B152, B156) are listed as investigation areas because there are considerable uncertainties about the potential cumulative effects of the areas on bird migration routes in the event of an offshore wind energy expansion. Shipping Shipping is indicated for several shipping routes to and from Södra Kvarken (B150, B153, B154, B157). Several important ports are located along the coast of the South Bothnian Sea. Maritime traffic in the marine area is crucial for many industries with destinations both along their own coast and in the rest of Sweden and Finland. Shipping needs large areas and alternative routes because the winter ice is weather dependent and moves in an unpredictable way within the Gulf of Bothnia. This shall be taken into account when establishing wind energy and other fixed installations at sea. There is a lack of knowledge about how offshore wind energy affects ice formation, conditions for icebreaking and winter navigation (Swedish Maritime Administration, 2022). The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's total need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance shall be adapted to local conditions according to risk assessment (Swedish Maritime Administration, Swedish Transport Agency, 2023). In the area Västra Bank and Finngrundet (B157), energy extraction is not deemed to be able to coexist with nature and shipping, which are listed as uses (see heading Energy extraction). A shipping route covered by a national interest claim for shipping passes through one of the areas with the use energy extraction (B164) and one of the investigation areas for energy extraction (B149). Energy extraction is indicated as use and shipping is adapted in accordance with the assessment in the previously decided marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia 2022 (Regeringen 2022a). The assessment is that access to the ports of the southern Norrland coast remains, although traffic may need to go more eastwards than before. The plan thus caters for both wind energy and shipping interests. Several wind farms in the same marine area may pose a risk of cumulative impacts on the mobility and safety of shipping when the available space is limited. That risk shall be taken into account. Investigation area for shipping The marine spatial plan specifies the maritime investigation area at the inlets to Ljusne and Vallvik at Storgrundet (B146, B150). In order to achieve coexistence with the field of energy production (B146), shipping needs to be investigated. Adaptation may then need to take place for both shipping and energy extraction. 70 Commercial fishing There is coastal fishing that characterizes many of the smaller coastal communities and is mostly conducted with passive gear inside and outside the coastal band. At times, intensive pelagic fishing takes place mainly around the offshore banks and in the south-eastern parts of the marine area. The Southern Bothnian Sea has three areas of national interest for commercial fishing. Finngrunden has a spawning and nursery area for fish. This area is partly covered by Natura 2000 and the entire area is listed as use nature in the marine spatial plan. West and east of Finngrunden there are two fishing areas that represent a national interest for commercial fishing. These are covered by the use of commercial fishing (B150). In the eastern area there is also a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Energy extraction is not considered to be able to coexist with commercial fishing here and is not indicated as use. In addition to Swedish fishing, extensive Finnish fishing is also carried out in the area (Rantanen, Helminen, och Nature Resources Institute Finland 2023). 71 Plan map for the Southern Bothnian Sea marine area Map 4 Plan map for the South Bothnian Sea marine area 72 Area table Southern Bothnian Sea Table 3 Area table Southern Bothnian Sea Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence B142 Energy extraction The interests of total defence High cultural heritage values: Village or church environment. Fishing village. Prehistoric environment. Communication environment. Coastal and archipelago environment. production environment; Recreational environment. High nature values: Mammals. Fish spawning. Reef environment; Birds. B146 Energy extraction The interests of total defence The coexistence of Investigation area for High cultural heritage values: Fishing shipping and energy shipping village. Prehistoric environment. extraction may require Communication environment. Coastal adaptations. and archipelago environment. Cultivation landscape. production Conditions for winter environment; Recreational navigation need to be environment. taken into account. High nature values: Mammals. Fish spawning. Reef environment; B149 Investigation area for The interests of total defence Energy production takes energy extraction High nature values: Fish spawning. priority over shipping. The Birds. Reef environment; Particularly coexistence of shipping low environmental impact. and energy extraction may require adaptations. Shipping is indicated as use in the nearby area instead (B150) because it is not deemed to be able to coexist with energy extraction here. Shipping adapted in accordance with the assessment in the previously decided marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia (Government 2022). In the area there are national interest claims for wind energy and shipping. Conditions for winter navigation need to be taken into account. B150 Electricity transmission Energy extraction is not General use indicated as use. The Shipping coexistence of shipping Investigation area for and energy extraction may shipping require adaptations. Commercial fishing At west Eystrasaltbanken the area with the use energy extraction (B159) has been adjusted with regard to commercial fishing. Public interest of 73 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence substantial significance for commercial fishing and wind farms overlaps. At Camp's bank, energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not deemed to be able to coexist with shipping and the interests of the total defence presently. In the area there are national interest claims for shipping and wind energy. At Sydost Finngrundet, the marine spatial plan to give priority to the use of commercial fishing over energy extraction, as the uses are not deemed to be able to coexist here. National interest claims for commercial fishing and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy overlap. At west of Utsjöområde north Sylen the area with the use energy extraction (B164) has been adjusted with regard to recreation and cultural environment values on the coast as well as accessibility for shipping. In the area there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. In the immediate area there are national interest claims for shipping and in the coastal and archipelago area there are national interest claims for outdoor life as well as national interest claims and public interest of substantial significance for cultural heritage conservation. Conditions for winter navigation need to be taken into account. B152 Investigation area for The interests of total defence The coexistence of energy extraction High cultural heritage values: Fishing shipping and energy village. Prehistoric environment. extraction may require Communication environment. Coastal adaptations. and archipelago environment. Cultivation landscape. production environment; Recreational 74 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence environment. Conditions for winter High nature values: Birds. navigation need to be taken into account. B153 Defence Shipping B154 Electricity transmission High nature values: Mammals. Fish General use spawning. Birds. Reef environment. Shipping B156 Investigation area for The interests of total defence The coexistence of energy extraction High cultural heritage values: Fishing shipping and energy village. Communication environment. extraction may require Coastal and archipelago environment. adaptations. High nature values: Birds. Conditions for winter navigation need to be taken into account. B157 Nature Nature and shipping are Shipping given priority over energy extraction. The marine spatial plan gives priority to the uses of nature and shipping over energy production. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. Natura 2000 and national interest claims for shipping and wind farms overlap. B159 Energy extraction The interests of total defence The coexistence of shipping and energy extraction may require adaptations. Conditions for winter navigation need to be taken into account. B160 Energy extraction The interests of total defence The coexistence of shipping and energy extraction may require adaptations. Conditions for winter navigation need to be taken into account 75 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence B164 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Energy production takes High cultural heritage values: Village priority over shipping. The or church environment. Fishing coexistence of shipping village. Prehistoric environment. and energy extraction may Communication environment. Coastal require adaptations. and archipelago environment. Shipping is indicated as use in the nearby area instead (B150) because it is not deemed to be able to coexist with energy extraction here. Shipping adapted in accordance with the assessment in the previously decided Marine spatial plan for the Gulf of Bothnia (Government 2022). National interest claims for shipping and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy overlap. Conditions for winter navigation need to be taken into account. 76 4. Baltic Sea: Guidance and considerations General information about the marine spatial plan area Here is a summary of the main features of the planning for the marine spatial plan area. The direction of use and considerations for the marine areas of the marine spatial plan area are also reported. The plan map shall be interpreted on the approximate scale between 1:700 000 and 1:1 000 000. The boundaries and markings in the map are reflect the strategic level of the marine spatial plans. The laying of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall be enabled where suitable. The operation and maintenance of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall always be possible. This applies to the entire planning area. There are five marine areas in the Baltic Sea: • Northern Baltic and South Kvarken • Central Baltic • South-Eastern Baltic Sea • Southern Baltic Sea • South-West Baltic Sea and Øresund. Renewable electricity production The marine spatial plans will contribute to achieving the society's goal of 100 per cent fossil-free electricity production by 2040. The conditions for wind energy in the Baltic Sea differ between different marine areas. Common to all areas is that the technical possibilities for offshore wind energy are good, in terms of wind speed and depth. Shipping is intensive throughout the Baltic Sea. The military component of total defence takes up large areas, both on the basis of open and non-open interests. Near land there are many valuable cultural environments and areas for outdoor recreation. The southwestern, southern, south-eastern and central Baltic Seas have great nature values, including birds, mammals and valuable bottom habitats. The Swedish Armed Forces have indicated that the possibilities for coexistence are lower in the Baltic Sea than in the other marine spatial plan areas (Energimyndigheten 2023). In order to increase opportunities for coexistence, efforts are needed both from the Swedish Armed Forces and other actors, both in terms of technological development but also in the process of planning and licensing offshore wind energy(Odell et al. 2022). The starting point for the planning has been updated data for new or changed areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans(Energimyndigheten 2023). Based on the assessment made by the Government regarding the impact of offshore wind energy on the Swedish Armed Forces’ ability to cope with the changed security situation, no additional areas with the use energy extraction are currently 77 (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b) specified in the draft marine spatial plan than those in the adopted plan (Regeringen 2022a). The marine spatial plan provides guidance on three areas for energy extraction in the Baltic Sea, two of which are reported in the plan map. In the third area, the interest of energy extraction is accommodated, but this is not reported in the plan map due to scale. Of the three sites, two activities are in place and the third one has a permit. The two active areas are coastal, and the licensed area is located in the open sea. When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. In all areas of energy production, particular consideration is therefore given to the interests of total defence. Two out of three areas in the Baltic Sea give particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. The values are based on places on land and ancient and cultural remains on the seabed that can be affected by installations at sea. In one area, particular consideration is also given to high nature values. This means that there is a special need for future measures in management, planning and licensing to ensure ecosystem services linked to the values, structures and conditions of the areas. Competition between uses There are high nature values in the marine spatial plan area, which affects the future establishment of wind energy and sand extraction. The activities are assessed as possible, but in several cases, there are requirements for assessment under Natura 2000 legislation. Operational oil spills from shipping south of Gotland have a negative impact on the population of algae. Sea traffic can also affect harbour porpoises through noise. One way to reduce the impact may be to redirect traffic, but there may also be other solutions. Making changes to any part of the transport system is complex and can have consequences in other parts of the transport system. The impact of shipping on the nature environment and the measures that may be suitable to reduce the negative impact of shipping need to be further investigated, and therefore the marine spatial plan specifies an investigation area for shipping both south and north and east of Gotland. Algae and harbour porpoises can also be negatively affected by wind energy. Nature and people The Baltic Sea's marine spatial plan area has high nature values and attractive habitats for people. Coastal and archipelago landscapes are widely used for recreation and there are high cultural values both in the coastal strip and in the sea. There are large areas of high nature value in the marine spatial plan area and several of them are nature reserves or Natura 2000 areas that use nature in the marine spatial plan. In addition to these, there are areas where activities need to take particular consideration to high nature values. While there are good conditions for various activities, the environment in the Baltic Sea needs to be improved in order to achieve good environmental status. For example, there are large areas of dead sea bottoms due to lack of oxygen. In the Baltic Sea there are marine mammals such as harbour porpoises and seals, as well as spawning and nursery areas for several fish species. For harbour porpoises, the population size is critically low in the Baltic Sea and the situation for fish is strained and severe. There are important bird routes across the Baltic Sea. The offshore banks 78 are valuable with sea bottom habitats and are of great importance as wintering areas for seabirds. In the case of breeding and wintering birds, some groups of these birds do not achieve good environmental status. Industry and shipping that ties together the region The Baltic Sea is of great importance for international trade and is therefore also one of the most intensively trafficked areas in the world. The many shipping routes link the countries together and contribute to the goal of linking the Baltic Sea region through the transport of people and goods. With this starting point, shipping routes extending from Sweden's neighbouring countries into the Swedish exclusive economic zone have been identified as public interests of substantial significance and listed as maritime use. In the marine spatial plan area there are areas that may be possible for extraction of sand and there are good technical conditions for offshore energy extraction. Commercial fishing takes place on very large areas and fishing areas also change between different years and over a longer period of time. Therefore, the area for the use of commercial fishing is widespread in the marine spatial plan. The development of the stock situation is crucial for fishing opportunities. The situation is difficult for, among other things, the cod stock in the Baltic Sea. 79 Plan map Marine spatial plan area Baltic Sea Map 5 Plan map for the Baltic Sea 80 4.1. Northern Baltic and South Kvarken Energy extraction The northern Baltic Sea has good wind conditions for offshore wind energy, while electricity demand is high due to consumption in the Mälardalen region. In the area there are five national interest claims for wind energy. During the marine spatial process, five areas deemed to be public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. The marine spatial plan does not specify any areas with the use energy extraction in the Northern Baltic Sea and the South Kvarken. One national interest claim is outside the Swedish Highlands, (Ö203, Ö214) and one outside Nämdö (Ö507). In several areas along the coast from Norrtälje to Oxelösund there are national interest claims for wind energy (Ö208, Ö210 – Ö211, Ö504). The Marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on energy extraction in any of these areas because it is deemed not to be compatible with defence interests. Within the naval training area Nåttarö (Ö504) and Landsortsdjupet (Ö210) there is an open national interest claim for the total defence. The marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on energy extraction in these areas. National interest claims for energy extraction in the marine area are not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence and are not indicated as use. In the sea area east of Stockholm (Ö204), there are four public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. Sydost Svenska Högarna is an area suitable for bottom-fixed foundations. Northeast Gotska Sandön and east Nynäshamn and east of Almagrundet it is suitable with floating foundations due to depth. The Government has rejected the projects that overlapped with the public interests of substantial significance for wind energy due to conflict with the interests of total defence (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024). The marine spatial plan does not guide any of these areas as the use energy extraction, as energy extraction is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Proper at present (Regeringen 2024b) There is a public interest of substantial significance for for wind energy at Gustaf Dalén and southeast of Gustaf Dalén (Ö208, Ö211). The marine spatial plan does not guide energy extraction in the area because it is not considered to be compatible with defence interests and nature conservation. The area is close to the coast and is of great importance for breeding, wintering and resting seabirds that are considered to be of general interest of substantial significance for nature conservation. Based on the Government’s decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the marine area, the overall assessment is that there are currently no conditions for the use energy extraction apart from existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of total defence (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). Recreation The marine spatial plan specifies the use recreation outside parts of the Östergötland archipelago (Ö208, Ö211). The guidance on the use recreation is based on national interest claims for recreation. 81 In the Stockholm archipelago there are high cultural, outdoor and nature values. Across the South Kvarken, it forms, together with the Åland archipelago and the west coast of Finland, a unique stretch of shallow archipelagos. The Stockholm archipelago is one of Sweden's most visited with many nature harbours and marinas. Outdoor life and recreational shipping are extensive. Recreational boat traffic often travels both to and from the Gulf of Bothnia in the north, the archipelagos of Gryts and Sankt Anna in the south, to Gotland and across the Åland Sea. At the entire coastline from Östhammar and south in the marine area and around Gotland, there are national interest claims for outdoor life outside the marine spatial plane area and national interest outdoor recreationt hat goes into the marine spatial plane area. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Defence The marine spatial plan specifies the use of defence along large parts of the coastline in the marine area due to national interest claims for total defence and areas of influence. Väddö shooting range is located in Norrtälje municipality at South Kvarken, with associated impact area out over the sea (Ö201). The marine spatial plan also specifies the use of defence for impact areas at Söderarm and Korsö firing ranges in the municipalities of Norrtälje and Värmdö (Ö202, Ö206 to Ö207). In Stockholm's southern archipelago, the Utö shooting range and sea training area Nåttarö extends from the coast through the territorial sea into the Swedish exclusive economic zone outside the municipalities of Värmdö, Haninge and Nynäshamn (Ö210, Ö504- Ö505). In the event of an energy expansion, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of the total defence. The Government has rejected 13 projects in the Baltic Proper due to conflict with the interests of total defence(Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024). Cultural environment The entire stretch of coastline in the marine area is covered by highly developed coastline of national interest. Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coast towards land, outside the marine spatial plan area. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the County Administrative Board and can be found along the coast and in the archipelago area outside the counties of Stockholm and Södermanland. These include communication environments and coastal and archipelago environments, but there are also lighthouse environments such as Söderarm, Svenska Högarna and Hävringe (Länsstyrelserna 2024). There are also wrecks and ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed in the immediate area, which requires consideration in the event of any impact on the seabed. The need for consideration distances to the value areas, relevant national interest claims and World Heritage Sites needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Nature The marine spatial plan indicates the use of nature in three areas around the Stockholm archipelago, where there are national interest claims for nature conservation (Ö203, Ö206, 82 Ö210). The area at Norrtälje municipality also includes a planned marine nature reserve (Ö203). Just outside the marine spatial plan area (Ö504), a marine national park is planned in the archipelago. The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high nature values in several areas. The Åland Sea (Ö200-Ö201) is a foraging area for birds. It is also a migratory route for birds of prey. (Hansson 2019) In the Åland Sea there are also unique oxygenated deep areas, migratory salmon and viable cod stocks. North and southeast of the Swedish Highlands there are four areas with potential climate refugia for blue mussels. These are four of the eight identified areas in the Baltic Sea (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2017c). Climate refuge is safeguarded through particular consideration to high nature values (Ö200, Ö202, Ö207, Ö214). In the area Öst Svenska Högarna (Ö214) there are also high nature values in the form of mammal and bird area and reef environments. Along the southwest of the marine area, particular consideration is given to high nature values as there is a reef environment and a spawning and mammal area (Ö211). There are high nature values in the form of reef environments west of Stockholm's southern archipelago (Ö207, Ö507). North of the Copper Stones there is a bird area (Ö505). Some national interest claims for nature conservation that are mainly located in the coastal zone extend into the marine spatial plan area. Due to the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, they are not marked as use nature in the marine spatial plan. This applies, among other things, at Simpnäsklubb (Ö200-Ö202) and west of Hävringe in Nyköping municipality (Ö211). Shipping The marine spatial plan specifies the use of shipping in routes both in the lake and towards ports on the coast (Ö200-Ö204, Ö206-Ö208, Ö210-Ö211, Ö214, Ö504-Ö505). The shipping routes are also part of the Baltic Sea's larger traffic system with connections to the Gulf of Finland, Åland and the Baltic States. In order to connect shipping routes from Stockholm to Latvia, the use shipping to the east of the easternmost (deepest) fairway in the Swedish exclusive economic zone (Ö204) is included. The narrow water area of South Kvarken is the passage between the North Baltic Sea and the Bothnian Sea. In order to make the waters safe, there is a system of traffic separation that is located both in Sweden and in Finland. The passages to Lake Mälaren via the Södertälje Canal into Stockholm, the road into the Port of Oxelösund and the Port of Stockholm Norvik are other important routes for maritime use in the marine area. The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's total need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. Distance adapted to local conditions following risk assessment (Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023) Investigation area for shipping Horsstensleden is a possible future fairway through the Stockholm archipelago into the port of Stockholm. The intended route is not located in the marine spatial plan area, but connects through two national interest claims for shipping to the traffic system in the marine spatial plan area (Ö206-Ö207 and Ö203-Ö204, Ö206). Horsstensleden is not included in the National Transport Infrastructure Planning 2022-2033 (Regeringen 2021). It is outside the legal mandate of the national marine spatial planning to consider whether the intended fairway outside the 83 marine spatial plan area is suitable. However, the marine spatial plan should take height for it because in the future it may be suitable to have a new fairway towards Stockholm. For this reason, the connections are marked as an investigation area for shipping. From Nynäshamn there is a route towards Gdansk in Poland. This route corresponds to an investigation area for shipping (Ö208, Ö210, Ö504). Also, around Gotland, in the marine areas of the Central Baltic Sea and the South-Eastern Baltic Sea, the marine spatial plan indicates an investigation area for shipping. See more under the heading ‘Investigation area for shipping” in the section on the Central Baltic Sea and the South-Eastern Baltic Sea t marine areas. Commercial fishing In the entire Northern Baltic Sea from Värmdö municipality and south, as well as in a smaller area in the South Kvarken, pelagic fishing is conducted, which concerns fishing for herring and sprat in the open sea. The use commercial fishing is indicated in the southern part of the marine area (Ö208, Ö211, Ö504). 84 Plan map marine area Northern Baltic Sea and South Kvarken Map 6 Plan map for the North Baltic Sea and South Kvarken marine area 85 Area table Northern Baltic Sea and South Kvarken Table 4 Area table Northern Baltic Sea and South Kvarken Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence Ö200 General use High nature values: Mammals. Shipping Birds. High originality. Climate refuge for blue mussels. Reef environment. Ö201 Defence High nature values: Birds. Shipping Ö202 Defence High nature values: Mammals. Shipping Birds. High originality. Climate refuge for blue mussels. Reef environment, Ö203 Nature Energy extraction is Shipping not indicated as use. Investigation area for shipping Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there is a national interest claim for wind energy. Ö204 General use Energy extraction is Shipping not indicated as use. Investigation area for shipping Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there are several public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö206 Defence Nature Shipping Investigation area for shipping Ö207 Defence High nature values: Mammals. High Shipping originality. Climate refuge for blue Investigation area for mussels. Reef environment; shipping 86 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence Ö208 Recreation Energy extraction is General use not indicated as use. Shipping Investigation area for Energy extraction is shipping not indicated as use Commercial fishing because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there are national interest claims and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö210 Defence Defence takes priority Nature over energy Shipping extraction. Investigation area for shipping The marine spatial plan gives guidance on the priority for use defence over energy extraction, as the uses are not deemed to be able to coexist here. In the area there are national interest claims for total defence and wind energy. Ö211 Recreation High nature values: Mammals. Energy extraction is General use Birds. Reef environment. not indicated as use. Shipping Commercial fishing Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with nature and the interests of total defence at present. In the area there are national interest claims for wind energy as well as public interest of substantial significance for wind energy and nature. Ö214 General use High nature values: Mammals. Energy extraction is Shipping Birds. Climate refuge for blue not indicated as use. mussels. Reef environment. Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not 87 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. There is a national interest in wind energy in the area. Ö504 Defence Defence takes priority Shipping over energy Investigation area for extraction. shipping Commercial fishing The marine spatial plan gives guidance on the priority for use defence over energy extraction, as the uses are not deemed to be able to coexist here. In the area there are national interest claims for wind energy and total defence. O505 Defence High nature values: Birds. Shipping Ö507 General use High nature values: Reef Energy extraction is environment. not indicated as use. Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. There are national interest claims for wind energy in the area. 88 4.2. Central Baltic Sea Energy extraction The Central Baltic has good wind conditions for offshore wind energy. In the area there is a part of a national interest claim for wind energy. During the marine spatial planning process, seven areas deemed to be public interests of substantial significance for wind energy have been identified. The marine spatial plan does not specify any areas that use energy extraction in the Central Baltic Sea. In Östergötland's archipelago there is part of a national interest claim for wind energy (Ö220), however energy extraction is not deemed to be able to co-exist with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Proper at present (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). In the area northwest of Gotland (Ö226) there are two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy Both areas are suitable for floating foundations. The coastal area northwest of Gotland is considered to have a relatively low degree of conflict with recreation, cultural environment and nature. In southern Nielsengrund, measurement activities are carried out within the national pelagic environmental monitoring. The area can also have a visual impact on nearby cultural environments in case of offshore wind installations. No areas with the use energy extraction are included, as wind energy installations is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Proper at present (Regeringen 2024b). A project which did not overlap with a national interest claim or a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy in the area has been rejected (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). Northeast of Gotska Sandön there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy (Ö270). The area is located within an area of national interest for outdoor recreation and in the vicinity of an area with a national interest claim for recreation In order to preserve the area's values of undisturbedness and untouchedness, the marine spatial plan does include an area with the use energy extraction. Also, the marine spatial plan does not include any area with the use energy extraction, except already permitted areas, as energy extraction is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Proper at present (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). In the Eastern Baltic – Stockholm to East Gotland (Ö270) there are four additional public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. Two of these, Klint's bank and southeast Fårösund are suitable for bottom-fixed foundations. The two areas South Klint Bank and Northeast Sea Training area Sankt Olof are suitable for floating foundations. Three of the areas overlap with national interest claims for commercial fishing. Since commercial fishing on the site is mainly pelagic, it is not considered that energy extraction can coexist with commercial fishing. Three of the areas are coastal and may have a potential impact on cultural heritage values. One of the areas overlaps Klints Bank, a climate refuge for blue mussels (Ö233). As energy extraction is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Proper at present (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b, he marine spatial plan for the Baltoc Sea does not include any area with the use energy extraction, except already permitted areas, 89 Considering the Government’s decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the Baltic Sea proper including this marine area, the overall assessment is that there are currently no preconditions for including areas with use using energy extraction in addition to existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of total defence (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). Recreation The marine spatial plan specifies the use of recreation outside parts of the Östergötland archipelago (Ö220-Ö222). The guidance on the use recreation is based on national interest claims for recreation. Outdoor life and recreational boating are extensive, and valuable areas can be found along the entire coast at Gryt's and Sankt Anna's archipelagos to Northern Öland and around Gotland. The coast from Västervik municipality and south as well as the coast around Gotland, outside the marine spatial plane area, is covered by national interest outdoor recreation. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective wind energy. The area is within the area of national interest outdoor recreation and close to the area with national interest claims for recreation. Gotska Sandön is unique in Sweden with its isolated, solitary location that offers views of the unbroken horizon and without noise and light disturbances. In order to preserve the area's values of undisturbedness and untouchedness, and because of defence interests in the Baltic Proper, energy extraction is excluded from area Ö270. Defence There are several areas in the Central Baltic designated with the use defence. Along the mainland coast are the marine military training areas Sandsänkan (Ö221) and Urban, which extend through the territorial sea into the Swedish exclusive economic zone outside the municipalities of Valdemarsvik, Västervik and Oskarshamn (Ö222–Ö224). South of Visby out into the territorial sea, defence is indicated as the area is an impact area for Tofta firing range (Ö228). A little further north is the marine military training area Fårö (Ö230). Sankt Olof (Ö239) is located east of Gotland and Fårö. The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to the total defence interests of parts of the west coast of Gotland due to the stop area for high objects for Visby Airport (Ö229, Ö278, Ö289). In the event of any offshore wind installation, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of the total defence. Cultural environment Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coasts on the mainland and on Gotland outside the boundaries of the marine spatial plan area and on Gotska Sandön. Outside the marine spatial plan area there is national interest for unbroken coastline that covers both the east and west sides of Öland and runs along the coast from Västervik to Arkösund in the north. Coasts around Gotland outside the marine spatial plan area are of national interest for 90 high-exploited coasts. The Hanseatic city of Visby is located outside the boundary of the marine spatial plane area. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board and are found around large parts of the coast and marine area of Gotland, at the coastal areas of Östergötland and Kalmar counties and Öland's northern cape and surrounding marine area (Länsstyrelserna 2024). The cultural environments are mainly archaeological sites, communication environments and coastal and archipelago environments. There are wrecks and ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed, which requires consideration in the event of impact on the seabed. The need for consideration distances to the value areas, relevant national interest claims and World Heritage Sites needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Nature The marine spatial plan indicates the use nature in several areas, mainly along the mainland coast and north of Gotland. Areas along the coasts of Östergötland and Kalmar counties are covered by national interest claims for nature conservation (Ö220, Ö222, Ö224–Ö225, Ö234). The area at Gotska Sandön and Salvorev is covered by Natura 2000 and several other nature protections such as nature reserves and HELCOM MPA (Marine Protected Area) (Ö231). There are national interest claims for nature conservation that are mainly located in the adjacent coastal zone, but that extends just into the marine spatial plan area, including in Västervik municipality (Ö223). National interest claims are accommodated, but due to the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, they are not marked as use nature in the marine spatial plan. At the marine military training area Sandsänkan in the Östergötland archipelago (Ö221) there are national interest claims for total defence and in the western part of the area there is a small part of national interest claims for nature conservation. The area where national interests overlap is small in scale compared to the geographical scale of the plan map and is therefore not marked in the plan map using the UN. Defence activities should be conducted in such a way as to avoid negative impacts on the nature values that form the basis of national interest claims for nature conservation. Several areas in the Central Baltic Sea are listed with particular consideration to high nature values. The areas of Southern Gotland (Ö500), Eastern Gotland (Ö296) and Copper Stones (Ö506) are given particular consideration to high nature values due to birds. Klint's bank (Ö233) is a potential climate refuge for blue mussels and has high nature values due to the fish play area and bird area. Also west of Gotland, around Stora Karlsö (Ö289, Ö291), the marine spatial plan indicates particular consideration to high nature values as the area is important for birds such as common guillemots and razor bill. A migratory bird path runs through the area and constitutes the main migration route for a large number of species native to the northern parts of western Russia and north-eastern Scandinavia. Shipping The marine spatial plan specifies the use shipping on several shipping routes within the Central Baltic Sea (Ö220-Ö226, Ö228-Ö229, Ö231, Ö233-Ö235, Ö239, Ö270, Ö278, Ö289, Ö291, Ö506). Several important ports are located along the coast. Maritime traffic is important with traffic both to the mainland coast, to Gotland and further north or south, as well as to Swedish 91 and foreign ports around the Baltic Sea. A shipping route that extends from the Gulf of Riga and connects to the deep waterway east of Gotland in the Swedish exclusive economic zone is a public interest of substantial significance. The route is marked as maritime use (Ö270). The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's total need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions following risk assessment(Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023). Investigation area for shipping There are two passages for sea traffic crossing Salvorev, between Fårö and Gotska sandön, (Ö226, Ö229-Ö231, Ö233, Ö239, Ö270). The area has very high nature values: Among other things, there is the red-listed species long tailed duck here. An investigation by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management (2017b) shows that seabirds are adversely affected by operational oil spills from ships. The need to investigate the impact of shipping in the area around Salvorev and what measures may be suitable to reduce the negative impact of shipping is closely linked to the need for investigation in the more heavily trafficked area around Hoburgs bank south of Gotland. In addition to the long-tailed duck, the impact of shipping on harbour porpoises also needs to be investigated. The harbour porpoise is a strictly protected species under the Habitats Directive and is adversely affected by noise from maritime traffic. The Baltic Sea harbour porpoise population is classified as endangered. The overall effect of this needs to be further investigated and for the ship routes across Salvorev the plan therefore indicates the use investigation area for shipping. Also, a shipping route east of Gotland and the fairway into Slite (Ö270, Ö296), as well as two routes from Nynäshamn towards the Gulf of Riga and Poland (Ö226, Ö291), are part of the maritime investigation area that may affect shipping in the Central Baltic Sea. Read more about this in the section on shipping in the South-Eastern Baltic Sea. Commercial fishing The plan indicates the use commercial fishing adjacent to the maritime boundary towards the coast (Ö221, Ö223, Ö226, Ö235) and east of Gotland (Ö231, Ö233, Ö239, Ö270, Ö296). The use corresponds to national interest claims for commercial fishing. Commercial fishing is widespread in the Central Baltic Sea. Most fishing in the Central Baltic Sea is pelagic fishing involving herring and sprat, and is carried out throughout the lake. Some fishing with passive gear takes place towards the coast. National interest claims for commercial fishing overlap with public interest of substantial significance for wind energy in two areas of energy (Ö233, Ö271). Pelagic fishing and wind farms are not considered to be able to coexist in the same place. 92 Plan map marine area Central Baltic Sea Map 7 Plan man for the Central Baltic Sea marine area 93 Area table Central Baltic Sea Table 5 Area table Central Baltic Sea Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence Ö220 Recreation Energy extraction is not Nature indicated as use. Shipping Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there are national interest claims for wind energy. Ö221 Recreation Defence Shipping Commercial fishing Ö222 Recreation Defence Nature Shipping Ö223 Defence Shipping Commercial fishing Ö224 Defence Nature Shipping Ö225 Nature Shipping Ö226 General use Energy extraction is not Shipping indicated as use. Investigation area for shipping Energy extraction is not Commercial fishing indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there are two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö228 Defence Shipping Ö229 General use The interests of total defence Shipping Investigation area for shipping Ö230 Defence Investigation area for shipping Ö231 Nature Shipping 94 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence Investigation area for shipping Commercial fishing Ö233 General use High nature values: Fish spawning. Energy extraction is not Shipping Birds. Climate refuge for blue indicated as use. Investigation area for mussels. shipping Energy extraction is not Commercial fishing indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö234 Defence Nature Shipping Ö235 General use Shipping Commercial fishing Ö239 Defence Defence takes priority over Shipping energy extraction. Investigation area for shipping The marine spatial plan gives Commercial fishing guidance on the priority for use defence over energy extraction, as the uses are not deemed to be able to coexist here. In the area there are national interest claims for total defence as well as a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö270 General use Energy extraction is not Shipping indicated as use. Investigation area for shipping At Nordost Gotska Sandön, Commercial fishing energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not deemed to be able to coexist with outdoor life. In the area there is a national interest for outdoor recreation and several public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. Ö278 General use The interests of total defence Shipping 95 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence Ö289 General use The interests of total defence Shipping High nature values: Birds. Ö291 General use High nature values: Birds. Shipping Investigation area for shipping Ö296 General use High nature values: Birds. Energy extraction is not Investigation area for indicated as use. shipping Commercial fishing Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there is public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö506 General use High nature values: Birds. Shipping 96 4.3. South-Eastern Baltic Sea Electricity transmission The use electricity transmission is corresponding on the transmission cable NordBalt that passes through the marine area (Ö248, Ö254, Ö258, Ö263). It connects to Nybro in Sweden and to Klaipeda in Lithuania. Energy extraction The South-Eastern Baltic Sea has good wind conditions for offshore wind energy and there is a great need and demand for electricity. The many offshore banks have both good wind conditions and suitable depths for offshore wind turbines. At the same time, there are very high nature values. In the area there are four national interest claims for wind energy. During the Marine spatial planning process, seven areas deemed to be of significant public interest for wind energy have been identified. The marine spatial plan does not specify any areas of energy use in the South-Eastern Baltic Sea. The outermost eastern and western parts of Norra Midsjöbanken and part of Södra Midsjöbanken are covered by national interest claims for wind energy. There are also public interests of substantial significance for wind energy in two areas at Norra Midsjöbanken. Both banks, in addition to a part of Södra Midsjöbanken, are covered by a Natura 2000 area and site protection under HELCOM (MPA). The marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on energy extraction in the areas of Hoburgs bank and Midsjöbankarna (Ö248, Ö254). The overall nature interest has been given priority over the public interest of substantial significance for wind energy, mainly with reference to the high risk of impact on harbour porpoises. In the area, the county administrative board has rejected a Natura 2000 application, but the decision has not yet become final, as it has been appealed. The Government has rejected the permit application adjacent to Södra Midsjöbanken due to conflict with the interests of the total defence (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024). The marine spatial plan does not include areas with the use of energy extraction, as energy extraction presently is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence (Regeringen 2024b). At Kårehamn (Ö240, Ö503) there are national interest claims for both wind energy and total defence. In some parts of the area there is an existing wind farm. The installation is limited in extent and due to the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, energy extraction is not indicated on the plan map, but the interest is accommodated. National interest claims for wind energy also exist outside the current wind farm. Conditions for a future generational change in the area need to be assessed in a permit process. In an overall assessment based on a basis from the Government Offices, the Government states that no energy areas are deemed to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Sea(Regeringen 2024b). In the marine area southeast of Gotland (Ö263) there are two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. In the area south-east of the Hoburg bank, the depth is suitable only for floating wind turbines. The East Hoburg Bank area is suitable for bottom-fixed foundations. The area overlaps with national interest claims for commercial fishing. Offshore wind energy and pelagic fishing are deemed no to be able to coexist. 97 The marine spatial plan does not include areas with the use of energy extraction, as energy extraction presently is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence (Regeringen 2024b). In the areas southwest Gotland and south Gotland (Ö274, Ö500) there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. The area is an important migratory route for birds between Öland and Gotland and further east. The area is also close to the coast and can affect cultural environments on land and under water. The marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on energy extraction in the ar ea. In the area south-west of Hoburg, one project has been rejected by the government (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024). The marine spatial plan does not include any of areas with the use of energy extraction, as energy extraction presently is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence (Regeringen 2024b). Based on the Government’s decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the marine area, the overall assessment is that there are currently no conditions for using energy extraction in addition to existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of total defence (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). Recreation Recreation including pleasure boating is extensive in parts of the South-Eastern Baltic Sea. There are several areas that are covered by national interest claims for recreation outside the marine spatial plan area in the coastal areas around Gotland and Öland. The coast around Gotland is of national interest for outdoor recreation. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Defence Use defence is specified for the marine military training area Hanö and Martin located outside Öland (Ö234, Ö240, Ö250, Ö252, Ö502-Ö503). The Martin training area extends from the coast through the territorial sea into the Swedish exclusive economic zone outside Borgholm and Mörbylånga municipalities. The northernmost part of the Hanö maritime training area lies within the territorial sea south of Öland. In the event of an energy expansion, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of the total defence. Cultural environment Along the coast of Öland there is a national interest for unbroken coast and at the coast of Gotland there is national interest for highly exploited coast. Southern Öland's agricultural landscape has been designated a World Heritage Site by UNESCO due to its cultural history and geology. Southern Öland is also covered to a large extent by landscape appearance protection. There are several areas that are covered by national interest claims for cultural conservation outside the boundaries of the marine spatial plan area in the coastal areas around Gotland and Öland. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board. Within the Southeast Baltic Sea are the value areas Hoburgsrev-Heligholmen-Faludden in the southern 98 part of Gotland including parts of the marine area, Källa-Persnäs coastal areas on northern Öland including parts of the marine area and Two outposts (Utklippan and Öland southern cape) along the coast and the marine area on Öland's eastern coast down towards Utklippan lighthouse in the south. The value areas Öland's northern cape and Fröjel-Eksta-Karlsöarna also extend into the marine area (Länsstyrelserna 2024). The predominant cultural environments are coastal and archipelago environments, agricultural landscapes, archaeological sites and communication environments. There are also wrecks and ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed in large parts of the marine area, which requires consideration in the event of any impact on the seabed. The need for consideration distances to the value areas, relevant national interest claims and World Heritage Sites needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Nature The marine spatial plan describes the use of nature in a large area that extends from the southern tip of Gotland at Hoburgen via Hoburgs bank to Norra Midsjöbanken and Södra Midsjöbanken (Ö254) and a smaller adjacent area (Ö250). They are covered by Natura 2000 sites and have very valuable nature. In large parts, the environmental impact is low and the marine environment can be considered relatively original (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2018b). The nature values consist valuable sea bottom habitats, reproduction area of the endangered Baltic harbour porpoise and the most important wintering areas for the long-tailed duck. Both species are red-listed according to the Swedish Species Information Center’s assessment. In addition, the harbour porpoise is subject to strict species protection under the Habitats Directive. For the Baltic Sea population, only about 500 individuals remain, which is why it is seen as critically endangered. There are also feeding areas for alder and other birds, as well as a spawning area for fish in the area. The banks in the marine are indicated as potential climate refugia for several species, which indicates that the ecological importance of the area may be very high in the future (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2017b). Kalmar County Administrative Board has proposed that the Natura 2000 site be expanded to include Ö248. The marine spatial plan indicates the use of nature at the southern tip of Öland (Ö252–Ö253) where there is a marine nature reserve. The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high nature values in several areas along the coasts and in connection with areas with nature protection where there are also important nature values (Ö240, Ö248, Ö258, Ö500-Ö502). A migratory bird path runs through the area and constitutes the migration route for a large number of species native to the northern parts of western Russia and north-eastern Scandinavia. Shipping Use of shipping is specified for several shipping routes within the marine area (Ö240, Ö248, Ö250, Ö254, Ö258, Ö263, Ö274, Ö500, Ö502-Ö503). In the South-Eastern Baltic Sea, maritime traffic is important, with extensive traffic to both foreign and Swedish ports. West of Gotland, traffic is mainly with Swedish destinations, while international traffic to and from the Gulf of Finland and the Baltics dominates south and east of Gotland(Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2017a). Two shipping routes, which extend from ports in the Baltic States (Ventspils and 99 Klaipeda, respectively) and connect to the deep waterway southeast of Gotland in the Swedish economic zone, constitute public interests of substantial significance. The routes are indicated as use shipping (Ö254, Ö263). The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's entire need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions following risk assessment(Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023). Investigation area for shipping The plan specifies the maritime investigation area for a route from Gdansk in Poland to Nynäshamn (Ö254, Ö263, Ö274, Ö500). The marine spatial plan also specifies the marine area between Norra Midsjöbanken and Hoburgs bank (Ö254, Ö274, Ö500). The area has very high nature values for the red-listed species harbour porpoise and long-tailed duck, which is also covered by Natura 2000. Investigations show that the long-tailed duck population is negatively affected by operational oil spills from ships and that harbour porpoises are disturbed by noise from ship routes(Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2016, 2018a). From a nature conservation point of view, there is reason to investigate the impact of shipping on the nature environment and what measures may be suitable to reduce the negative impact of shipping. Several areas in the South-Eastern and Central Baltic Seas are directly or indirectly affected by the problems described above. Possible measures could affect traffic flows through the deep water route located south of the Hoburgs bank - Northern Midsjöbanken route and north of the South Midsjöbanken route, as well as the routes west and east of Gotland and routes in our neighbouring countries. Before a final decision is taken on the shipping routes, the problem needs to be investigated. An investigation needs to include, among other things, analysis of the environmental impact of maritime traffic and various types of measures, as well as socio-economic consequences for transport and the shipping industry nationally and internationally, as well as other consequences resulting from measures. Most changes in shipping require decisions to be made internationally, such as route changes, and thus need international support and be compatible with international law, including the law of the sea. Commercial fishing The use commercial fishing is reported in several larger areas (Ö254, Ö258, Ö263, Ö274, Ö500, Ö502-Ö503). Commercial fishing is widespread in the South-Eastern Baltic Sea, but is nowadays rarely conducted on the offshore banks. Cod fishing has mostly been carried out in the south- western parts of the marine area with trawl fishing in the open sea and passive fishing closer to the coast. Pelagic fishing for herring and sprat is carried out in large parts of the lake, but not on the banks. Certain fishing with passive gear is carried out off the coast of Öland. 100 Plan map marine area South-Eastern Baltic Sea Map 8 Plan map for the Southeast Baltic Sea marine area 101 Area table South-Eastern Baltic Sea Table 6 Area table South-Eastern Baltic Sea Area Applications Particular Priority or special considerations adaptation for coexistence Ö240 Defence High nature values: Mammals. Defence takes priority over Shipping Birds. Reef environment. increased energy production. Particularly low environmental impact. The marine spatial plan guides the priority for use of defence over extended energy extraction, as it is not considered to be able to co- exist here. Defense co-exists with existing wind energy plant. National interest claims for total defence and wind farms overlap. Ö248 Electricity transmission High nature values: Mammals. Energy extraction is not General use Birds. Climate refuge for blue indicated as use. Shipping mussels. Planned area protection. Reef environment. Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with nature here due to a high risk of impact on porpoises or with the interests of the total defence at present. Public interest of substantial significance for nature conservation and national interest claims for wind energy are in the area. Ö250 Defence Nature Shipping Ö252 Nature Ö254 Electricity transmission Energy extraction is not Nature indicated as use. Shipping Investigation area for shipping Energy extraction is not Commercial fishing indicated as use because it is not considered to be able to coexist with nature here due to a high risk of impact on porpoises or with the interests of the total defence at present. Natura 2000, claims of national interest and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy are located in the area. Ö258 Electricity transmission High nature values: Mammals. Energy extraction is not General use Fish spawning. indicated as use. Shipping Commercial fishing 102 Area Applications Particular Priority or special considerations adaptation for coexistence Energy extraction is not indicated as use as it is not deemed to be able to coexist with nature here with reference to a high risk of impact on porpoises or with the interests of the total defence at present. Natura 2000, claims of national interest and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy are located in the area. Ö263 Electricity transmission Energy extraction is not General use indicated as use. Shipping Investigation area for shipping Energy use is not indicated as Commercial fishing use as it is not deemed to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there are national interest claims for commercial fishing and public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö274 General use Energy extraction is not Shipping indicated as use. Investigation area for shipping Commercial fishing Energy use is not indicated as use as it is not deemed to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. In the area there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö500 General use High nature values: Birds. Energy extraction is not Shipping indicated as use. Investigation area for shipping Energy extraction is not Commercial fishing indicated as use because it is not deemed to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present or with nature. There is a general interest of substantial significance for nature conservation and for wind energy in the area. Ö502 Defence High nature values: Birds. Shipping Commercial fishing 103 Area Applications Particular Priority or special considerations adaptation for coexistence Ö503 Defence Defence takes priority over Shipping increased energy production. Commercial fishing The marine spatial plan guides the priority for use of defence over extended energy extraction, as it is not considered to be able to co- exist here. Defense co-exists with existing wind energy plant. National interest claims for total defence and wind farms overlap. 104 4.4. Southern Baltic Sea Electricity transmission The use of electricity transmission corresponds to two transmission cables connecting Sweden to Lithuania and Poland. The NordBalt cable runs between Sweden and Lithuania. It connects to Nybro in Sweden and to Klaipeda in Lithuania (Ö247, Ö259). SwePolLink is the second transmission cable in the marine area and it connects Karlshamn with Slupsk in Poland (Ö259, Ö508). Energy extraction In the southern Baltic Sea, there are good wind conditions for offshore wind energy and the need is great due to the high demand for electricity in southern Sweden. Offshore banks and coasts have both good wind conditions and suitable depths for offshore wind turbines. There are two national interest claims for wind energy near the coast in the municipalities of Kristianstad, Sölvesborg and Karlshamn. During the Marine spatial planning process, two areas deemed to be of substantial public interest for wind energy have been identified. The marine spatial plan does not specify any areas that use energy extraction in the Southern Baltic Sea. In the area Norra Hanöbukten (Ö508) a permit for a previous wind energy project has expired. In the area there are also national interest claims for total defence. The Marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on energy extraction in the area. Energy extraction is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence. In area Ö508 in the municipalities of Sölvesborg and Karlshamn, there is part of another national interest claim for wind energy. In the area there are also national interest claims for total defence. The Government has rejected an application for wind energy in the area on the grounds that national interest claims for total defence take priority over national interest claims for wind energy pursuant to the Government Decision of 2016. The marine spatial plan does not provide guidance on energy extraction in the area. The use is deemed incompatible with the interests of total defence (Ö508). In the area of Syd Utklippan and Öland there are two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy (Ö259). One of the areas overlaps with the use commercial fishing. The uses are deemed to be able to co-exist as fishing has been conducted with bottom trawls. The more northern area overlaps with a submarine cable for the transmission grid, which requires that consultations with Svenska kraftnät be initiated in good time. The area can also affect high cultural heritage values. The area is also close to the World Heritage Sites Karlskrona and Södra Öland, which are designated as World Heritage Sites by UNESCO. In the area there are also vulnerable mammals and fish spawning. The marine spatial plan does not guide any of these areas as the use of energy extraction, as energy extraction is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Proper at present (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). The planning that overlaps with the offshore area south Utklippan has had its permit application rejected by the Government in an overall assessment based on conflict with the interests of the Armed Forces(Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024). 105 Based on the Government’s decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the marine area, the overall assessment is that there are currently no conditions for the use energy extraction in addition to existing permits in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of total defence (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). Recreation There is an area with the use recreation off the city of Karlskrona (Ö260). The area corresponds national interest claims for recreation. Recreation including pleasure boating, are important in the Southern Baltic Sea. Along the coast, outside the marine spatial plan area, there are several areas that are covered by national interest claims for recreation. The coast in the western parts of Hanö Bay, Simrishamn and Sölvesborg are of national interest for recreation. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Defence Defence is assigned as a use in large parts of the marine area (Ö247, Ö253, Ö260, Ö264, Ö508). Karlskrona Naval Port is one of Sweden's largest and most important naval bases. The Ravlunda and Rinkaby artillery ranges have impact areas in the sea off the municipalities of Simrishamn, Kristianstad and Sölvesborg. Sea training area Hanö is located in the territorial sea and Swedish exclusive economic zone in Hanö Bay and south of Öland. At Utklippan (Ö260) the coexistence is indicated between defence, nature, recreation and shipping. In the northern part of the area there are national interest claims for total defence. Within the area there are also national interest claims for nature conservation and a marine nature reserve. The defence activities should be conducted so that negative impacts is avoided on the nature values that form the basis of the marine nature reserve. Cultural environment The entire coastline is covered by a national interest of a high-exploited coastline. Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coast outside the boundaries of the marine spatial plan area, including in Karlshamn and Karlskrona city. The naval city of Karlskrona is also designated a World Heritage Site by UNESCO as it is one of the best preserved navy bases in Europe. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board. Within the Southern Baltic Sea is the value area Two outposts (Utklippan and Öland's southern cape) along the coast and the marine area on Öland's eastern coast down towards Utklippan lighthouse in the south that is characterized by the development of shipping for at least the last 1000 years. There is also the value area Haväng, which is located on the coast north of Stenshuvud National Park and where there are, among other things, prehistoric submarine landscapes. The value area Ystad-Kåseberga-Sandhammaren also extends into the marine area in the southwest. The predominant cultural environments in the identified value areas are coastal and archipelago environments, archaeological sites and communication environments. There are wrecks and 106 ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed, which requires consideration in the event of impact on the seabed. For example, within the plan area in Hanöbukten and at additional locations off the coast of Skåne and Blekinge, there are preserved stone age landscapes on the seabed. The need for consideration distances to the value areas, relevant national interest claims and World Heritage Sites needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Nature The marine spatial plan indicates the use nature in several places in the Southern Baltic Sea. Utklippan (Ö260) is covered by a marine nature reserve, a national interest claim for nature conservation and an existing HELCOM MPA area. Kiviksbredan off Kristianstad (Ö508) has been proposed by the County Administrative Board of Skåne County via the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency as an area to be included in the marine Baltic region of the Natura 2000 network. The area is proposed with reference to the species harbour porpoise, grey seal and harbour seal, as well as the sandbanks and reef habitat types. The matter is currently being prepared by the Government Office. South of Simrishamn municipality (Ö268) runs a coastal strip of high nature values covered by national interest claims for nature conservation. The marine spatial plan indicates the use of nature at the southern tip of Öland (Ö252–Ö253) where there is a marine nature reserve. Therefore, in order to promote and ensure ecosystem services, particular consideration is given to high nature values for several areas. Outside Karlskrona (Ö247) particular consideration must be shown to reef environments and mammal areas, and further out i to fish spawning and mammal areas with particularly high environmental impact (Ö259). In Hanöbukten there are, among other things, red-listed harbour porpoises of the endangered Baltic Sea population, which are also found in the Swedish Armed Forces' marine training area (Ö508). In the same area, the plan gives particular consideration to high nature values for spawning grounds, mammals and birds, as well as climate refuge for the three species mussel, bladderwrack and herring. In the north-western corner of Hanö Bay, there are additional areas identified as climate refugia for these three species (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2017c). Sand extraction The marine spatial plan indicates the use sand extraction off Utklippan (Ö508). The area is located in a regional environment with expansive built development and municipal interests in coastal restoration and climate adaptation measures. There are also high nature values that must be taken into account, which places high demands on coexistence. The area is an important habitat for cod and future extraction needs to show consideration to the cod spawning periods in order not to risk negative impacts. Sand extraction needs to take special account of high cultural heritage values such as wrecks and ancient and cultural remains on the seabed. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the County Administrative Board(Länsstyrelserna 2024). The value area Two outposts (Utklippan and Öland's southern cape) includes, among other things, ancient sites. 107 Shipping The use shipping is assigned to shipping routes through the area (Ö247, Ö253, Ö259-Ö260, Ö264, Ö267, Ö508). The busiest shipping route in the Baltic Sea passes through the Southern Baltic Sea in a system of traffic separation along the southern coast of Sweden from the Sound or from Gedser between Denmark and Germany, via the Bornholmsgatt to southern Öland. A deep shipping lane also begins here for certain vessels upon passing eastwards through the Baltic Sea. Maritime traffic goes partly in to the coast, but mainly further towards both Swedish and foreign ports. The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's tentire need for space. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions following risk assessment(Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023). Commercial fishing Commercial fishing is assigned to most areas because commercial fishing is widespread in the Southern Baltic Sea (Ö259, Ö264, Ö267-Ö268, Ö508). The use corresponds to national interest claims for commercial fishing. Commercial fishing for cod has mostly been conducted with trawls in the outer sea, but also with passive gear closer to the coast. Commercial pelagic fishing for herring and sprat takes place in the open sea. Other fishing with passive gear is carried out to different extents along the coast and in Hanöbukten. In the area, fishing is also carried out by fishers from other EU countries. 108 Plan map marine area South Baltic Sea Map 9 Plan map for the South Baltic Sea marine area 109 Area table Southern Baltic Sea Table 7 Area table Southern Baltic Sea Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence Ö247 Electricity transmission High nature values: Mammals. Defence Reef environment. Shipping Ö253 Defence Nature Shipping Ö259 Electricity transmission High nature values: Mammals. Energy extraction is not indicated General use Particularly high environmental as use. Shipping impact. Commercial fishing Energy use is not indicated as use as it is not deemed to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present. There are two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy in the area. Ö260 Recreation Defence Nature Shipping Ö264 Defence Shipping Commercial fishing Ö267 General use Shipping Commercial fishing Ö268 Nature Commercial fishing Ö508 Electricity transmission High nature values: Mammals. Defence takes priority over energy Defence Fish spawning. Birds. Climate extraction. Sand extraction refuge for blue mussels. Shipping Climate refuge for The marine spatial plan guides the Commercial fishing bladderwrack. Climate refuge priority for use defence over energy for herring. extraction because the uses are not deemed to be able to coexist here. In the area there are national interest claims for total defence and wind energy. 110 4.5. South-West Baltic Sea and Öresund Electricity transmission Electricity transmission is available in the northern Øresund (Ö294). The use corresponds to the Öresund cables, two 400 kV cable connections between Kristinelund in Sweden and Skibstrupgård in Denmark. Energy extraction In the southwestern Baltic Sea and Öresund there are good wind conditions for offshore wind energy and the need is great due to the high demand for electricity in southern Sweden. Coastal and offshore banks have good wind conditions and good depth conditions for bottom-based wind turbines. There are two national interest claims for wind energy in the marine area. Four areas of substantial public interest for wind energy have been identified During the marine spatial planning process four areas of substantial significance for wind energy have been identifies. Lillgrund (Ö287) is Sweden's largest existing offshore wind farm. In the event of a change to the wind turbines at Lillgrund, the approach area to Copenhagen Airport Kastrup needs to be taken into account. The area is subject to particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values that should be taken into account in the event of a change in the area. The area relates to the value areas Falsterbo peninsula and Landskrona-Pilhaken-Ven where the cultural environments include communication environments, fishing villages and ancient monuments (Länsstyrelserna 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. The cultural environments concerned also include underwater environments along the coast. The marine area between Sweden and Denmark is an important migratory route for birds. The marine spatial plan sets out the coexistence between the usesf energy extraction and nature. Conditions for generational renewal of the existing windfarm need to be assessed in a future permit process. Further energy extraction is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence in the Baltic Proper at present (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). At Krieger's Flak (Ö285) there are good conditions for offshore wind energy. In the area there is a permit-granted wind energy project where most of the project area is covered by a national interest claim for wind energy. A smaller part of the authorised area overlaps with a Natura 2000 site. The area is subject to particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. This mainly concerns the value area Falsterbo peninsula where the cultural environments include fishing village, coastal and archipelago environment and ancient sites(Länsstyrelserna 2024). The area is also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. The cultural environments also include underwater environments along the coast that need to be taken into account in any establishment. Syd Sandhammaren till Kullagrund (Ö283) contains a national interest claim as well as three areas of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy, one of which overlaps with the national interest claim. All areas can be built with bottom-fixed foundations. The conditions for wind energy are favourable and the cumulative environmental impact is assessed to be low in the 111 areas furthest from land. The area southwest of Ystad and the area southeast of Ystad are both located in the Swedish exclusive economic zone. Both areas can be built with bottom-fixed foundations. The conditions for wind energy are favourable and the cumulative environmental impact is assessed to be low. The coastal area can be built on bottom-fixed foundations. All areas can have an impact on high cultural heritage values onshore, as well as migration routes for birds. Establishment in the neighbouring country can thus affect the potential of the Swedish energy area and needs to be taken into account when using the area. The Government has rejected permit applications that overlap with public interests of substantial significance to the south, such as Skåne, due to conflict with the interests of the total defence. (Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024) The marine spatial plan does not guide any of these areas as the use of energy extraction, as energy extraction is not considered to be compatible with the interests of total defence at present (Regeringen 2024b) Within Öresund (Ö299) there is an area of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy within Malmö and Kävlinge municipality. In the area, a planned marine protection area has been given priority over public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Based on the Government’s decision to reject all applications for offshore wind farms in the marine area, the overall assessment is that there are currently no conditions for further use of energy extraction in the Baltic Proper due to the interests of total defence(Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b). If offshore wind energy farms are established, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence in all areas. Recreation The marine spatial plan assigns the use recreation to the area around Ven (Ö292, Ö299) where there are national interest claims for outdoor recreation. Valuable coastal landscapes stretch along western and southern Skåne. In the Øresund there is extensive recreational fishing and tour boat fishing. Recreation and pleasure boating are important in the entire marine area. Several areas of national interest for outdoor recreation are located outside the marine spatial plan area, especially along the southern and western coasts of Skåne. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Defence The marine spatial plan assigns the use defence to the impact area in the sea at the Kabusa firing range in Ystad municipality (Ö281). A small part of an impact area for the total defence at Falsterbonäset is included in the area covered by the marine spatial plan (Ö284). Due to the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, defence interests are not reported on the plan map. The national interest claim for total defence is accommodated because the defence interest and the uses indicated by the marine spatial plan are deemed to coexist. When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. Particular consideration to the interests of total defence is given for all areas with the use energy extraction (Ö285, Ö287). 112 Cultural environment The entire coastline is covered by national interest of high-exploited coastline. Several areas of national interest for cultural conservation exist along the entire coast outside the marine spatial plan area. A small part of the national interest claim for cultural heritage conservation at Falsterbonäset extends into the area covered by the marine spatial plan (Ö284). Due to the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, interest is not reported on the plan map. The national interest in cultural heritage conservation is accommodated, as the interest and uses stated in the marine spatial plan are deemed to coexist.). Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board. Two major value areas are identified within and adjacent to the marine area, the Falsterbo peninsula and Ystad-Kåseberga-Sandhammaren. These value areas include several different cultural environments such as fishing villages, coastal and archipelago environments and ancient sites. Here you will find, among other things, the well-known stone ship (ship setting) Ale Stenar and the characteristic Falsterbonäset. There are also wrecks and ancient and cultural-historical remains on the seabed in large parts of the marine area, which requires consideration in the event of any impact on the seabed. Particular consideration to high cultural heritage values is given for both energy extraction areas in the South-West Baltic Sea and the Sound (Ö285, Ö287). Consideration distances to the value areas and relevant national interest needs to be assessed from a local perspective, such as indirect impact on cultural heritage values of energy extraction in coastal areas. This may mean that measures are taken to minimise direct, indirect and cumulative impacts on the cultural environment and may consist of specific requirements for the location and design of wind farms or through specific requirements during the construction phase of a wind farm. Nature The entire coastline is covered by national interest of high-exploited coastline. The marine spatial plan indicates the use nature in several areas. For the area that stretches from the open sea at eastern parts of Trelleborg municipality through Falsterbonäset to the southernmost part of Öresund, the use relates two Natura 2000 sites and national interest claim for nature (Ö284). The eastern part of the area is covered by the Natura 2000 site Sydvästskånes utsjövatten, which was established in 2016 for the protection of harbour porpoises. The north-western parts of the area are covered by national interest claims for nature and a large part of the Natura 2000 site Falsterbo Peninsula/Falsterbo-Foteviken, which is protected under both birdss Directive and the Habitats Directive. A marine nature reserve, Måkläppen – Limhamnströskeln, is also located in the area, which together hosts large and unique bird values and has a geology that gives rise to an unparalleled sand migration area in Sweden. The existing wind farm Lillgrund (Ö287) is within the national interest for nature and where the marine spatial plan indicates coexistence between the use of energy extraction and nature. The area north of Ven in Öresund (Ö292) includes a Natura 2000 area for harbour porpoises and important eelgrass beds, the municipal nature reserve Knähaken and national interest claims for commercial fishing, which refers to spawning area. Lundåkrabukten (Ö290) includes national interest claims for commercial fishing relating to a spawning area for fish, as well as the nature 113 reserve Lundåkrabukten. Off Helsingborg there is the marine nature reserve Grollegrund (Ö294). There is also an important migratory route for birds of prey. (Hansson 2019) The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high nature values in the Sound (Ö299) where there are associated high values of importance for conservation and developed ecosystem services. These are enhanced by the presence of mammals, birds, valuable bottom habitats and fish spawning grounds. At the same time as the nature values are high, the impact of human activities is great. The new marine nature reserve Flädierev is located in the coastal area outside Bjärred and overlaps with the marine spatial plan area (Ö299). The overlapping part of the nature reserve is too small to be illustrated in the plan map, but affects a smaller area at the inner level border. South of Skåne, particular consideration is given to high nature values in Syd Sandhammaren to Kullagrund and Kabusa firing range (Ö281, Ö283). There is a large bird migration across the area and the place is considered valuable for cod spawning. Particular consideration to high nature values in the area also harmonizes with the German marine spatial plan which includes a particularly important bird corridor from Rügen to Skåne. East of Ystad there are valuable reefs for fish play as well as an important bird and mammal area. Sand extraction South of Ystad (Ö281, Ö283) there is a public interest of substantial significance for sand extraction. It corresponds to an area with the use of sand extraction. Previously, there were permits for sand extraction until 2021. The sand was used for beach replenishment and extraction has taken place in the years 2011, 2014, 2017 and 2020 (Ystads kommun 2023). Monitoring shows that oversedimentation of previous traces from extraction takes place through the geological processes in the area(Sveriges geologiska undersökning 2018). Sand extraction needs to take particular consideration of high cultural heritage values such as wrecks and ancient and cultural remains on the seabed. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board (Länsstyrelserna 2024). The value area Ystad-Kåseberga- Sandhammaren includes ancient sites and other values. Investigation area for sand extraction Off Falsterbo (Ö284) there is an investigation area for sand extraction in the exclusive economic zone. Suitability for sand extraction has been assessed for parts of an investigation area and is reported in the report Conditions for extraction of marine sand and gravel in Sweden (Sveriges geologiska undersökning 2017). The proposed sand extraction area at Falsterbo coincides with the westernmost parts of the Natura 2000 site Sydvästskånes utsjövatten. The Natura 2000 site has been established to strengthen the protection of the Belt Sea population and the Baltic Sea harbour porpoise population respectively. The high geographical mobility of the harbour porpoise has resulted in a relatively large Natura 2000 site. The overall assessment in the marine spatial plan is that coexistence with sand extraction may be possible based on extraction being proposed on the outskirts of the Natura 2000 area The seasonal variations of the harbour porpoise, together with the fact that the environmental impact of sand extraction is expected to arise in a limited area for a limited period of time, strengthen the possibility of coexistence between the uses of nature and sand extraction. Sand extraction needs to be adapted to Natura 2000 protection. An activity or measure that may significantly affect a site protected under Chapter 4, 114 Section 8 of the Environmental Code, i.e., Natura 2000, always requires a special permit assessment. To the east of this area is the Natura 2000 site Falsterbo Peninsula-Foteviken, which is also a marine nature reserve and part of the national interest for nature conservation. In this area located in the territorial sea and outside the sand extraction investigation area, sand extraction is identified as an activity posing )a risk of harm (Länsstyrelsen i Skåne län 2005 . In the report Prerequisites for the extraction of marine sand and gravel in Sweden(Sveriges geologiska undersökning 2017), it is assessed that sand extraction may be possible in an exclusive economic zone outside the Natura 2000 site Falstebohalvön-Foteviken. In the exclusive economic zone there are ecologically valuable sites where ground vegetation and mussel banks occur as well as where it is found in postglacial sand and gravel. The assessment is that sand extraction may be possible west and southwest of these sites. The sand extraction area at Falsterbo is located within an area with designated traffic separation for shipping. Interests can coexist. The traffic estimated to result from sand extraction is considered low(Sveriges geologiska undersökning 2017, 2018). Existing levels of maritime traffic mean that sand extraction represents a negligible addition to the noise impact. For the two sand extraction areas, there is a potential impact on commercial fishing, which at Falsterbo is also amplified by cumulative environmental effects from Danish extraction in the Sound. The impact is considered to be limited if low-impact extraction methods are used and if extraction is carried out at times when fish are not spawning (Swedish Geological Survey, 2017). In case of sand extraction, particular consideration should be taken to high cultural heritage values such as wrecks and ancient and cultural remains on the seabed. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board (Länsstyrelserna 2024). The value area Falsterbo Peninsula includes, among other things, ancient sites. Shipping The use shipping is assigned to shipping routes through the marine area (Ö281, Ö283-Ö284, Ö292, Ö294, Ö299). The busiest shipping route in the Baltic Sea runs through the South-West Baltic Sea in a system of traffic separations along the south coast of Sweden from Öresund via Falsterbo in Vellinge municipality or from Gedser, between Denmark and Germany, to Bornholmsgattet. Maritime traffic continues towards both Swedish and foreign ports. Öresund is one of the few routes to the Baltic Sea for large vessels. The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's entire need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions following risk assessment(Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023). Commercial fishing Commercial fishing is widespread and therefore the marine spatial plan indicates the use commercial fishing in a large part of the marine area (Ö281, Ö283-Ö284, Ö290, Ö294, Ö299). The use corresponds to national interest claims for commercial fishing. Commercial fishing for 115 cod has been conducted mainly with trawl in the open sea, but also with passive gear in the Öresund. Pelagic commercial fishing for herring and sprat is carried out throughout the open sea. Other fishing with passive gear is carried out to varying degrees along the coast. In the Öresund bottom trawling is not allowed, and there is only a fishing with passive gear. 116 Plan map marine area Southwest Baltic Sea and Öresund Map 10 Plan map for the the Southwest Baltic Sea and Öresund marine area 117 Area table South-West Baltic Sea and Öresund Table 8 Area table South-West Baltic Sea and Öresund Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence Ö281 Defence High nature values: Birds. Reef Sand extraction environment. Shipping Commercial fishing Ö283 General use High nature values: Fish Energy extraction is not Sand extraction spawning. Birds. indicated as use. Shipping Commercial fishing Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not deemed to be able to coexist with the interests of total defence at present or with shipping. In the area there are national interest claims for shipping and wind farms as well as public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. Ö284 Nature Sand extraction is adapted to Investigation area for nature. sand extraction Shipping Public interest of substantial Commercial fishing significance for sand extraction overlaps with Natura 2000 site. Sand extraction should be adapted to nature values, for example in terms of time period and location of abstraction. See further text under Sand Mining, South-West Baltic Sea above. Ö285 Energy extraction The interests of total defence High cultural heritage values: Fishing village. Prehistoric environment. Trading venue. Coastal and archipelago environment. Coastal/shipping society. High nature values: Mammals. Birds. Reef environment. Ö287 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Energy production takes Nature High cultural heritage values: priority over commercial Fishing village. Prehistoric fishing. environment. the defence environment; Trading venue. The marine spatial plan Communication environment. indicates that the use of energy Coastal and archipelago extraction is given priority over environment. Coastal/shipping commercial fishing because the society. urban environment; uses are not deemed to be able to co-exist here. There is a wind farm in the area. The needs of commercial fishing are met in the surrounding area. General interest of substantial significance for wind energy. 118 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence overlaps with national interest claims for commercial fishing. Ö290 Nature Commercial fishing Ö292 Recreation Nature Shipping Ö294 Electricity transmission Recreation Nature Shipping Commercial fishing Ö299 Recreation High nature values: Birds. Nature takes priority over General use energy production. Shipping Commercial fishing Energy extraction is not indicated as use because it is not deemed to be able to co- exist with nature values in the area. There is a general interest of substantial significance for nature conservation and wind farms in the area. Area protection is planned. 119 5. Skagerrak and Kattegat: Guidance and considerations General information about the marine spatial plan area Here is a summary of the main features of the planning for the marine spatial plan area. The direction of use and considerations for the marine areas of the marine spatial plan area are also reported. The plan map shall be interpreted on the approximate scale between 1:700 000 and 1:1 000 000. The boundaries and markings in the map are clear based on the strategic level of the marine spatial plans. The laying of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall be enabled where suitable. The operation and maintenance of data and telecommunications cables, power cables, pipelines and gas pipelines shall always be possible. This applies to the entire planning area. There are two marine areas in the Skagerrak/Kattegat: • Northern Skagerrak/Kattegat • Southern Skagerrak/Kattegat Renewable electricity production The marine spatial plans will contribute to achieving the society's goal of 100 per cent fossil-free electricity production by 2040. The conditions for offshore wind energy are good in the Skagerrak/Kattegat. However, there is great competition for space in the Skagerrak/Kattegat, including commercial fishing and shipping. The starting point for the planning has been updated data for new or changed areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans (Energimyndigheten 2023). The planning of energy extraction areas is based on an overall assessment of how the marine spatial plan can best contribute to achieving the energy targets in terms of the needs of wind energy and other interests. Areas for energy extraction are proposed both in the territorial sea and in the exclusive economic zone. A total of nine areas with the use energy extraction or investigation area for energy extraction are listed. Some proposed sites are affected by Natura 2000 legislation, which entails that wind farms can only be allowed there if they do not risk damaging or disturbing the habitats that the site is intended to protect or cause disturbance to the species to be protected that could significantly hamper the conservation of the species in the site. Two energy extraction areas in the Skagerrak/Kattegat are designated as investigation areas, E(utr). The reasons are uncertainties about the impact of wind energy on migratory birds or that the establishment of wind energy requires what is known as a Natura 2000 permit. There are four offshore wind permits that have not yet been realised. 120 When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. Proposed areas with the use energy extraction in the Skagerrak/Kattegat entail the risk of cumulative effects on the interests of the total defence. This risk shall be taken into account, which may limit the extent of the development, collectively or in individual areas. In all areas where energy is used, particular consideration is therefore given to the interests of total defence. With the exception of one energy area, particular consideration is given to high cultural heritage values in all energy areas. The values are based on places on land and ancient and cultural remains on the seabed that can be affected by installations at sea. In three areas, particular consideration is also given to high nature values. This means that there is a special need for future measures in management, planning and licensing to ensure ecosystem services linked to the values, structures and conditions of the areas. Close to the coast beyond the boundaries of the marine spatial plan, offshore wind energy may be suitable at a limited extent. Due to the overall scale of the marine spatial plan, energy extraction is not assessed below a certain size. Smaller, coastal establishments need to be assessed from a local perspective. High nature and cultural heritage values and a national park under the surface There are large areas of high nature value in the marine spatial plan area and several of them are nature reserves and Natura 2000 sites. The Skagerrak/Kattegat is also home to Kosterhavet National Park, where nature conservation is primarily related to underwater environments. In the Skagerrak/Kattegat there are marine mammals such as harbour porpoises and seals as well as spawning and nursery areas for several fish species. There are two very important routes for spring migrating birds of prey and other species crossing the area. It also houses shallow areas of international importance for wintering seabirds. The area is also an important link and passage for birds moving north-south between marine areas. Along the coasts adjacent to the marine spatial plan area and in the archipelago, there are also several areas with high cultural heritage values. Value areas in the coast are characterized by the development of fishing and shipping over the years and that these have long been the main industries for the population along the Skagerrak/Kattegat. Several cultural environments also include stories about the development of coastal agriculture and archipelago settlements over time. The marine area also includes cultural-historical landscapes below the surface characterized by sunken bays and settlements as well as historical marine battlefields. Many activities There are attractive areas for people in many places within the marine spatial plan area of the Skagerrak/Kattegat. Along the entire coast, recreation and tourism are important. Pleasure boating is extensive with important routes along the coasts and to Denmark. Maritime traffic is extensive throughout the plan area, even near the coast. A significant part of the traffic to and from the Baltic Sea passes through the Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Sound and there are several ports on the west coast with great importance for Swedish foreign trade. There is extensive regulation with traffic separation for shipping in the Skagerrak/Kattegat. The marine 121 spatial plan follows designated national interest claims. The claims are supplemented by a shipping route that constitutes a public interest of substantial significancein the northern Skagerrak. Sweden's total defence has interests in the marine spatial plan area, including marine training areas. There is extensive commercial fishing in the Skagerrak/Kattegat for both fish and shellfish caught with different types of gear. Commercial fishing is extensive in terms of value and geography, and to some extent varies from year to year and over a longer period of time. Therefore, the area for the use of commercial fishing is large in the marine spatial plan. The planning of energy extraction areas has taken into account the potential cumulative impact on commercial fisheries. In one case, energy extraction is indicated as the most suitable use as commercial fishing is deemed not to be able to coexist with energy extraction. While there are good conditions for various activities, the environmental situation in the Skagerrak/Kattegat needs to be improved in order to achieve good environmental status. Many activities work well together in the planning area. Coexistence is often regulated. This may, for example, involve areas being intercepted during defence exercises or rules on how ships may operate in shipping lanes that are part of traffic separation systems. 122 Marine spatial plan map Marine spatial plan area Skagerrak/Kattegatt Map 11 Plan map for the Skagerrak/Kattegat 123 5.1. Skagerrak Energy extraction In the Skagerrak/Kattegat there are good conditions for wind energy with high wind speeds. It is deep which requires floating foundations. From north of Gothenburg and south, it is shallower and possible with bottom-fixed foundations. The area North Bratten and the North Koster Sea (V352) in the exclusive exclusive economic zone and the territorial sea to the west of the Koster Sea National Park are designated as an energy extraction areas. The area is considered to be of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. The western part of the public interest of substantial significance for wind energy is not included in area V352 in view of the overall impact on commercial fisheries. The part not included is part of area V351. Area V352 is indicated with particular consideration to the interests of the total defence. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. At Koster, Väderöarna (islands) and Ramsvikslandet there are coastal and archipelago environments, fairway environments and communication environments (County Administrative Board 2024). The Koster value area also includes several national interest claims for cultural conservation and a marine national park. Underwater environments along the coast can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. The area V357 along westwards from Tjörn in the EEZ is indicated with the use energy extraction. The area includes a project with permit for the establishment of wind energy in accordance with the Act on Swedish Exclusive Economic Zone. In area V357 there is both public interest of substantial significance for wind energy and national interest claims for commercial fishing. The area is suitable for floating wind turbines. Therefore, it is not considered possible to conduct fishing with active gear in the area if offshore wind energy is established. In view of the need for fossil-free electricity production and an assessment of the overall impact on fishing for Northern prawn and Norway lobster in the Skagerrak/Kattegat, energy extraction is indicated as the most suitable use. If several areas nearby are realised, there is a risk of cumulative effects on bird migration routes. Particular consideration to high nature values is also given due to birds. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. In the coastal and archipelago area there is Västra Orust and Marstrand - Pater Noster with fairway environments, fortress and scan environment and ancient monument environments(Länsstyrelserna 2024). Underwater environments along the coast can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in an establishment. The area is also specified with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. In and around area V356 and V348 there is extensive commercial fishing for northern shrimp There is also a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy that overlaps with national interest claims for commercial fishing. The area is suitable for floating wind turbines. Therefore, it is not considered possible to conduct fishing with active gear in the area if offshore wind energy is established. In view of the importance of the area for northern shrimp fishing, commercial fishing is indicated as the most suitable use. In area V320 there is both a national interest claim for defence and a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. The uses are not deemed to co-exist and defence is indicated as the 124 most suitable use. In area V358 there are two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy and part of a national interest claim for commercial fishing. In view of the cumulative impact on commercial fisheries, the use of energy is not indicated. Investigation areas for energy extraction The area Northwest Bratten (V360) is designated as the investigation area for energy extraction. In the area there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy and shipping. The area has been adapted to the commercial fishing carried out in the area. Vessel traffic is expected to be able to travel in a north-south direction east of the area. Wind farms are therefore given priority over shipping. The site is designated as an investigation area because it is located within the Bratten Natura 2000 site. This entails that a special permit assessment is required in accordance with Chapter 7, Section 28a of the Environmental Code, a so-called Natura 2000 assessment. The area is also specified with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area Northwest Öckerö (V359) is designated as an investigation area for energy extraction with particular consideration to total defence interests and high nature values. Uncertainties in the impact on bird migration routes lead to the area being designated as an investigation area. In area V359 there is part of a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy as well as national interest claims for commercial fishing throughout the part located in the territorial sea and a small part in the exclusive economic zone. Coexistence requires adaptation. The eastern part of the public interest of substantial significance for wind energy is not included in area V359 in view of the overall impact on commercial fisheries. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. The area largely overlaps with the North Kattegat value area, which includes a large number of ship remnants from the two world wars that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. Particular attention to high cultural heritage values also includes the value areas Känsö, Västra Orust and Marstrand - Pater Noster where the cultural environments include, among other things, fairway environments, fortress environments and ancient relic environments (Länsstyrelserna 2024). Recreation Recreation and pleasure boating are extensive throughout the marine area, often to and from Norway and Denmark. The Bohuslän archipelago is an area with extensive tourism and there are many nature harbours and marinas. The coast outside the marine spatial plan area in the northern part of the Skagerrak/Kattegat, to the north of Lysekil, is of national interest for outdoor recreation. The entire coastline outside the marine spatial plan area is covered by national interest claims for outdoor recreation. Any wind energy installation can have a visual impact in the area. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. Defence The marine spatial plan assigns the use defence to the Skagen military training area, which extends from Sotenäs in the north to Tjörn in the south, across the entire territorial sea and in the exclusive economic zone (V320-V322, V336, V339, V347). Further south, almost entirely within 125 the municipality of Gothenburg, the military training area Känsö is located, partly within the area V319 (indicated with the use defence) In area V320 there is both a national interest claim for defence and a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. The uses are not deemed to co-exist and defence is indicated as the most suitable use. When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. Particular consideration to the interests of total defence is therefore indicated for all areas with energy extraction. Cultural environment The coast along the southern part of the northern part of Skagerrak/Kattegat is covered by a highly developed coastline of national interest. The northern stretch of coastline is covered by national interest unbroken coastline. Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coast outside the marine spatial plane area, including lighthouse environments and a larger area around Gothenburg's southern archipelago. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative board and are found along the entire coastline and in one case also mostly within the marine area (value area Norra Kattegatt). The predominant cultural environments are fairway environments, coastal and archipelago environments and archaeological sites. There are also defence environments and coastal/shipping communities. (Länsstyrelserna 2024) The value area North Kattegat is characterized by ship remains from the two world wars. This requires consideration in the event of an impact on the seabed. The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high cultural heritage values in three energy extraction areas (V352, V357, V359). Consideration distances to the value areas and relevant national interest needs to be assessed from a local perspective, such as indirect impact on cultural heritage values of energy extraction in coastal areas. This may mean that measures are taken to minimise direct, indirect and cumulative effects on the cultural environment and may consist of specific requirements for the location and design of wind farms or through specific requirements during the construction phase of a wind farm. Nature The marine spatial plan indicates the use of nature in many parts of the marine area. In the west is the Natura 2000 site Bratten (V336, V360, V366). In parts of Bratten's Natura 2000 site, there are fishing-free zones where it is prohibited to engage in commercial fishing activities to protect vulnerable bottom habitats. Around the Koster Islands, use of nature at Strömstad (V344) and Tanum (V349) is specified in areas with national parks, nature reserves and Natura 2000. In several areas, particular consideration shall be given to high nature values (V319, V321, V324, V339, V347, V348, V350, V357). In some cases, this refers to areas where site protection is planned in all or part of the areas. Around the Väderöarna (islands) and Svabergsgrunden, preliminary studies for the establishment of marine nature reserves have been initiated due to 126 high values of rare sea bottom environments. An important migratory route for birds of prey stretches from Skagen towards the Bohus coast. Shipping The marine spatial plan specifies the use of shipping in large parts of the marine area (V319- V324, V339, V344, V347-V351, V353, V356, V358, V366), with several shipping routes from Oslo to the Southern North Sea and towards the coast and out past Skagen towards the Skagerrak/Kattegat. In areas V360 there is public interest of substantial significance for both wind farms and shipping. The uses are not considered to be able to co-exist. North-South shipping is expected to move eastwards. Therefore, the use shipping in a north-south route through areas V348, V351, V356 and V366 is reported. Routes from the Baltic Sea extend through the Öresund, Kattegat and Skagerrak, and further into the world's oceans. Sweden also has routes to Denmark and Norway. Gothenburg and Lysekil are home to two of Sweden's largest ports. In Northern Bohuslän, a joint comprehensive plan specifies an area for activities between two sea routes (V350) in the municipalities of Tanum and Sotenäs. The area is specified in the marine spatial plan as general use with particular consideration to high nature values. When establishing any operations, consideration of maritime safety issues is important. The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's total need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions following risk assessment (Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023). Several wind farms in the same marine area may pose a risk of cumulative impacts on the mobility and safety of shipping when the available space is limited. That risk shall be taken into account. Commercial fishing Commercial fishing is extensive in the Skagerrak/Kattegat and is a use in a large part of the marine area (V318-V321, V323-V324, V336, V339, V344, V347-V349, V350-V351, V353-V354, V356, V358, V366). Northern shrimp fishing is carried out extensively in the northern part of the area. Fishing for Norway lobster is conducted throughout the marine area except along the west. Fishing areas are more stable than in other fisheries. Closer to the coast, there is creel fishing for Norway lobsters. Fishing with passive gear takes place to different extents throughout the area, slightly more intense in the south. Pelagic fishing is conducted from Sotenäs and south. Within and around V356 there is extensive commercial fishing for Northern prawn. There is also a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy that overlaps with national interest claims for commercial fishing. The area is suitable for floating wind turbines. Therefore, it is not considered possible to conduct fishing with active gear in the area if offshore wind energy is established. In view of the importance of the area for shrimp fishing, commercial fishing is indicated as the most suitable use. 127 An area of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy overlaps with a public interest of substantial significance for commercial fisheries in area V351. Commercial fishing is defined as use taking into account the cumulative impact on commercial fishing. In area V358 there is part of a national interest claim for commercial fishing and two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. In view of the cumulative impact on commercial fisheries, the use of energy is not indicated. West (23-38 nautical miles) of the island of Måseskär there is a dumping area with 28 vessels containing chemical warfare agents to an unknown extent. The guidance of the marine spatial plan is that commercial fishing is not a suitable use in this dumping area. Environmentally hazardous substances have leaked into the marine environment and at the same time there is active trawl fishing in the vicinity of the wrecks. Trawls and otters in contact with the seabed tear up sediments and spread the substances over a wider geographical area. Data from studies show that degradation products from chemical warfare agents are found in food fish and crustaceans in the area. All in all, this means that commercial fishing should not be carried out in the immediate area. The area is geographically small in relation to the geographical scale of the plan map and is therefore not marked in the plan map. 128 Plan map marine area Skagerrak Map 12 Plan for the Skagerrak marine area 129 Area table Northern North Sea Table 9 Area table Northern North Sea Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence V319 Electricity High nature values: Soft bottom transmission with sea pens. Reef environment. Defence Shipping Commercial fishing V320 Defence Defence takes priority over energy Shipping extraction. Commercial fishing The marine spatial plan guides the priority for use of defence over energy extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. In the area there are national interest claims for total defence and public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. V321 Defence High nature values: Soft bottom Shipping with sea pens. Planned area Commercial fishing protection. Reef environment. V322 Defence Shipping Commercial fishing V323 General use Shipping Commercial fishing V324 General use High nature values: Mammals. Shipping Fish spawning. Reef Commercial fishing environment. V336 Defence Nature Commercial fishing V339 Defence High nature values: Soft bottom Shipping with sea pens. Planned area Commercial fishing protection. Reef environment. V344 Natur Shipping Commercial fishing V347 Defence High nature values: Mammals. Shipping Fish spawning. High originality. Commercial fishing Reef environment. V348 General use High nature values: Mammals. Commercial fishing takes priority Shipping Fish spawning. Particularly high over energy production. Commercial fishing environmental impact. The MSP provides guidance on the priority for commercial fishing over energy extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. In the area there are national interest claims for commercial fishing and general interest of substantial significance for wind energy. 130 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence V349 Nature Shipping Commercial fishing V350 General use High nature values: Soft bottom Shipping with sea pens. Planned area Commercial fishing protection. Reef environment. V351 General use Commercial fishing takes priority Shipping over energy production. Commercial fishing The MSP provides guidance on the priority for commercial fishing over energy extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. In the area there are national interest claims for commercial fishing and general interest of substantial significance for wind energy and commercial fishing. V352 Energy extraction The interests of total defence High cultural heritage values: Prehistoric environment. Communication environment. Coastal and archipelago environment. Cultivation landscape. V353 General use Shipping Commercial fishing V356 General use Commercial fishing takes priority Shipping over energy production. Commercial fishing The MSP provides guidance on the priority for commercial fishing over energy extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. In the area there are national interest claims for commercial fishing and general interest of substantial significance for wind energy. V357 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Energy production takes priority High cultural heritage values: over commercial fishing. Fishing village. Prehistoric environment. the defence The marine spatial plan provides environment; Communication guidance on the priority for the use environment. Coastal and of energy extraction over archipelago environment. commercial fishing. The uses are Coastal/shipping society. not expected to co-exist here. production environment; urban environment; In the area there are national High nature values: Birds. interest claims for commercial fishing and general interest of substantial significance for wind energy. 131 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence V358 General use Commercial fishing takes priority Shipping over energy production. Commercial fishing The MSP provides guidance on the priority for commercial fishing over energy extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. In the area there are national interest claims for commercial fishing and two public interests of substantial significance for wind energy. V359 Field of inquiry energy The interests of total defence Coexistence between commercial extraction High cultural heritage values: fishing and energy production Commercial fishing Fishing village. Prehistoric requires adaptation. environment. the defence environment; Coastal and In the area there are national archipelago environment. interest claims for commercial Coastal/shipping society. fishing and general interest of production environment; urban substantial significance for wind environment; energy V360 Field of inquiry energy The interests of total defence Energy production is adapted to extraction nature. Nature An activity or measure that may significantly affect a Natura 2000 site always requires a special permit assessment in accordance with Chapter 7, Section 28a of the Environmental Code. V366 Nature Commercial fishing takes priority Shipping over energy production. Commercial fishing The MSP provides guidance on the priority for commercial fishing over energy extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. In the area there is a public interest of substantial significance for commercial fishing and wind energy. 132 5.2. Kattegat Electricity transmission Electricity transmission corresponds to the two parallel transmission grid cables Konti-Skan 1 and Konti-Skan 2 that run between Lindome in Sweden and Vester Hassing in Jutland, Denmark. Two cable connections for 400 kV between Kristinelund in Sweden and Skibstrupgård in Denmark, the so-called Öresund cables are located at the border between the marine spatial plan area Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Baltic Sea. They are listed in area Ö294 in the marine area Öresund in the Baltic Sea Marine spatial plan. Energy extraction In the marine area there are good conditions for wind energy with high wind speeds. The depth allows for bottom-fixed foundations. The transmission network on land is well developed since the Ringhals nuclear power plant is located on the coast of Halland. In the Southern North Sea, five areas are specified using energy extraction (V303, V305, V317, V361, V364). Area North Lilla Middelgrund (V361) is located west of the city of Varberg and includes a project that has been granted a permit under the Act on Swedish Exclusive Economic Zone. The area is considered to be of general interest of substantial significance for wind energy and overlaps with national interest claims for commercial fishing. An establishment of wind energy is considered to be able to coexist with commercial fishing if the activities are adapted to each other. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high nature and cultural heritage values. The nature values refer to birds, including razorbill. In terms of cultural environment, a number of value areas are located along the coast of Halland where the cultural environments include, among other things, fairway environments, recreational environments, fishing villages, coastal and archipelago environments, and fortress and scanning environments(Länsstyrelserna 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. There are also underwater environments that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. East of area V361 there is a public interest of substantial significance and national interest for commercial fishing. In order to reduce the cumulative impact on commercial fisheries, energy extraction is not specified in the area located in area V365. The area Norr Rödebanke (V303) located west of Falkenberg and includes a project with a permit for the establishment of wind energy according to the Act on Swedish Exclusive Economic Zone. The area is considered to be of general interest of substantial significance for wind energy and overlaps with national interest claims for commercial fishing. An establishment of wind energy is considered to be able to coexist with the national interest in commercial fishing if the activities are adapted to each other. The area is defined with particular consideration to the interests of total defence. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high nature and cultural heritage values. The nature values refer to seabirds and migratory birds of prey. In terms of cultural environment, a number of value areas are located along the coast of Halland where the cultural environments include, among other things, fairway environments, recreational environments, fishing villages, coastal and archipelago environments, and fortress environments - 133 - (Länsstyrelserna 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. In the territorial sea in the area Southeast Morup Bank (V305) located outside Falkenberg, there is a project with a permit for the establishment of wind energy. In the part of area V305 that is not covered by the licensed project, there is instead a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy and a small part of a larger national interest claim for commercial fishing. A future establishment of wind energy is expected to coexist with the national interest in commercial fishing if the activities are adapted to each other. The area is also subject to particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. This includes several value areas along the coast of Halland, including fairway environments, recreational environments, fishing villages, coastal and archipelago environments, and fortress and scanning environments (Länsstyrelserna 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. The cultural environments concerned also include underwater environments that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. The area Syd Morups bank (V317) is located west of the area of the project with permit for the establishment of wind energy outside Falkenberg in V305. Area V317 is indicated with the use nature and energy extraction and is included in the previously decided marine spatial plan for the Skagerrak/Kattegat in 2022 (Regeringen 2022a). The area is considered to be a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy that overlaps with a national interest claim for commercial fishing related to spawning grounds. Provided that the establishment of wind energy does not harm the spawning area for fish, coexistence is considered possible in area V317. The area is also designated with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. This includes a number of value areas along the coast of the county Halland where the cultural environments include fairway environments, recreational environments, fishing villages, coastal and archipelago environments, and fortress and scanning environments (Länsstyrelserna 2024). These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. There are also underwater environments that can be directly affected and need to be taken into account in any establishment. On Stora Middelgrund, which is located in the north-western part of area V307, there is a national interest claim for wind energy, in Sweden's exclusive economic zone. In the southern part of the bank there is a national interest claim for outdoor recreation. The area is located in a Natura 2000 site, which places special demands on energy extraction if coexistence is to be possible. The conservation values consist of valuable bottom habitats as well as porpoises and seabirds. The Government has rejected an application for the establishment of a wind farm at the bank. The County Administrative Board has rejected the application for a Natura 2000 permit under Chapter 7, Section 28a of the Environmental Code. There is some overlap with the fairway in the eastern part of the area. For these reasons, energy extraction is not indicated as a use. In area West Halmstad (V364) in the municipality of Halmstad there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. The area is indicated with the use energy extraction. National interest claims for commercial fishing overlap to a small extent with V364. Commercial fishing is carried out in the area as a whole. The area is also designated with particular consideration to high cultural heritage values. This includes several value areas along the coast of Halland and the coast of the northwest Scania with fairway environments, recreational environments, fishing villages and coastal and archipelago environments (Länsstyrelserna 2024). 134 These areas are also covered by national interest claims for cultural heritage conservation. The area is coastal and adaptation of the area may be determined on the basis of local and regional needs. There is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy in area V367about 4-6 km from Skrea beach. On the coast near the wind farm area is an area of national interest for outdoor life and area of national interest for outdoor recreation. Energy extraction is not indicated as use due to outdoor recreation and cultural environment values on the coast. A small part of the public interest of substantial significance for wind energy is located in area V304. Energy extraction is not listed in area V304 due to outdoor recreation and cultural heritage values on the coast. In area V367 south of area V317 there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. In order to reduce the cumulative impact on commercial fishing and cultural and recreational values in the coastal environment, the use of energy extraction in the area is not specified. When developing energy in the Southern North Sea, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence in all energy areas. Several wind farms entail the risk of cumulative effects on the interests of total defence. This cumulative risk shall be taken into account, which may limit the extent of the development, collectively or in individual areas. Recreation The marine spatial plan assigns the use recreation to some of the valuable offshore banks (V307- V309, V313, V365, V367) and an area from Kullen and south towards Öresund (V307) that is covered by national interest claims for outdoor recreation. The offshore banks are also covered by Natura 2000, and recreational fishing has been restricted by regulation. For example, on parts of the offshore banks Fladen (V313), Lilla Middelgrund (V309) and Stora Middelgrund (V307) and in the southern Kattegat (V307), recreational fishing is prohibited for conservation reasons. Recreation and recreational fishing are otherwise extensive, both along the coast and on the offshore banks. Important passages for pleasure boat traffic run between Sweden and Denmark, including to Læsø (island). Large parts of the coast, outside the marine spatial plan area, are also of national interest for outdoor recreation. The possibility of coexistence with other uses and consideration distances needs to be assessed from a local perspective. There is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy about 4-6 km from Skrea beach (V367). On the coast there is an area of national interest claim for recreation, Skrea strand- Tylösand based on criteria such as tranquility and untouchedness. On the coast there is also an area of national interest for outdoor recreation. The establishment of wind energy has a major visual impact on experience values in an area that is used by many people. Energy extraction is not indicated as use taking into account high outdoor and cultural heritage values on the coast. Defence Outside Halmstad, the marine spatial plan assigns the use defence to the impact area of the Ringenäs firing range (V304). 135 When developing energy, particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence. Particular consideration to the interests of total defence is given for all areas where energy is used. Cultural environment The entire coastline is covered by national interest of high-exploited coastline. Areas of national interest for cultural conservation are located along the coast outside the marine spatial plan area, such as Kullaberg-Krapperup south of Ängelholm, Träslövsläge south of Varberg and lighthouse environments such as Nidingen and Tylön lighthouses. Marine cultural heritage values have been identified by the county administrative boards and are located both along the coastline and within the marine spatial plan area. The dominant cultural environments are coastal and archipelago environments, archaeological sites, fairway environments and recreational environments. There are also castles and military environments. (Länsstyrelserna 2024) The value area Stora Middelgrund, which is located within the marine area as a whole, is characterized by the fact that the cultural environment values in this area are below the surface in the form of sunken bays and settlements. The value area Laholmsbukten towards the coast is also characterised by the fact that the cultural heritage values are mainly below the surface. This requires consideration in the event of an impact on the seabed. At the far southeast, the value areas Bjärehalvön and Kullahalvön extend into the marine spatial plane area. The value areas refer to coastal communities including fishing villages, ancient relics, recreational environment and fairway environment. The lighthouse here is a dominant feature of the landscape. The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high cultural heritage values in all five energy areas in the Southern North Sea (V303, V305, V317, V361, V364). Consideration distances to the value areas and relevant national interest needs to be assessed from a local perspective, such as indirect impact on cultural heritage values of energy extraction in coastal areas. This may mean that measures are taken to minimise direct, indirect and cumulative effects on the cultural environment and may consist of specific requirements for the location and design of wind farms or through specific requirements during the construction phase of a wind farm. Nature The marine spatial plan indicates the use nature for a large area in the Southern Kattegat (V307) covered by Natura 2000, the nature reserve Skånska Kattegatt and national interest claims for nature conservation on the lake bank Rödebanke and Stora Middelgrund in the north and at Hallands Väderö east. Nature use is also indicated for Morup's bank (V306), Lilla Middelgrund (V309) and Fladen (V313), which have high nature values and constitute Natura 2000 areas in parts of the areas. Lilla Middelgrund (V309) and Fladen (V313) are also covered by national interest claims for nature conservation and the area around Morup's bank constitutes a national interest claim for a spawning area for fish (V306, V317). Balgö outside Varberg (V314) is a Natura 2000 site. On the offshore banks there are high values for mainly birds and harbour porpoises, important spawning areas for fish and valuable bottom environments. The Swedish Environmental 136 Protection Agency has identified the offshore banks Fladen and Lilla Middelgrund as particularly valuable (Naturvårdsverket 2006). The marine spatial plan gives particular consideration to high nature values in five areas in the Southern North Sea (V303, V308, V315–V316, V361). High nature values are also found outside the Swedish territorial sea and economic zone. An important migratory route for birds stretches from Denmark towards the coast of Halland. Shipping The marine spatial plan indicates s the use of shipping in large parts of the Southern North Sea (V304-V309, V313, V315-V316, V365, V367) in routes from north to south and into the ports along the coasts, both on the Swedish and Danish sides. The use shipping includes areas of national interest for shipping which include areas with traffic separation systems required for safe shipping. Maritime traffic is important and extensive because the route through the Kattegat is one of the few routes into the Baltic Sea for large vessels. In the south, outside Stora and Lilla Middelgrund, there is the choice of Öresund or Stora Belt, both of which limit the height and depth of the vessels. The Great Belt Bridge limits the height. The other route into the Baltic Sea is the Kiel Canal, which imposes restrictions on the width, length and depth of the vessels. In order to ensure safe navigation through the shallow waters of the Southern North Sea, there is a traffic separation system for traffic north of Skagen and a shipping route closer to the Swedish coast for traffic between Skagen and Öresund. The plan map shows the most important shipping routes, not the shipping's entire need for surfaces. There must be a safety distance adjacent to the shipping lanes. Marine spatial plans do not provide guidance on specific safety distances to shipping, but distances will be required for all areas with the use energy extraction. The distance is adapted to local conditions following risk assessment(Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen 2023). Several wind farms in the same marine area may pose a risk of cumulative impacts on the mobility and safety of shipping when the available space is limited. That risk shall be taken into account. Commercial fishing The marine spatial plan indicates the use of commercial fishing in large parts of the Southern North Sea (V303, V305, V307-V308, V313, V315-V316, V361, V364, V365, V367). The use corresponds to the delimitation of national interest claims for commercial fishing catch areas Important spawning grounds for cod in the central and southern parts of the Southern North Sea are covered by areas where the marine spatial plan indicates use nature. Commercial fishing is widespread in the southern Skagerrak/Kattegat but also highly regulated, including fully and partially closed to both commercial and recreational fishing. For example, fishing is prohibited on parts of the offshore banks Fladen (V313), Lilla Middelgrund (V309) and Stora Middelgrund (V307) and in the southern Kattegat (V307) for conservation reasons. In the marine area, fishing is mainly conducted for Norway lobster and pelagic fish. Cages are used to a lesser extent to fish for Norway lobster and lobster closer to the coast. Fishing with passive gear takes place to different extents throughout the area. 137 In area V365 there is a public interest of substantial significance and national interest for commercial fishing. In order to reduce the cumulative impact on commercial fisheries, energy extraction in the area is not specified. 138 Plan map marine area Kattegat Map 13 Plan map for the Kattegat marine area 139 Area table Kattegat Table 10 Area table Kattegat Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence V303 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Coexistence between commercial Commercial High cultural heritage values: Village fishing and energy production fishing or church environment. Fishing requires adaptation. village. Prehistoric environment. the defence environment; Communication In the area there is a public interest environment. Coastal and archipelago of substantial significance for wind environment. production environment; energy and national interest claims Recreational environment. urban for commercial fishing. environment; High nature values: Birds. V304 Defence Defence takes priority over energy Shipping extraction. The marine spatial plan guides the priority for use of defence over energy extraction. The uses are not expected to co-exist here. Energy extraction is not specified with regard to recreational and cultural heritage values on the coast. There is a part of a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy in the area. In the coastal area there is a national interest in outdoor recreation and a national interest in outdoor recreation and conservation of the cultural environment. V305 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Energy production takes priority Shipping High cultural heritage values: Village over shipping. Commercial or church environment. Fishing fishing village. Prehistoric environment. the The marine spatial plan provides defence environment; Communication guidance on the priority for the use environment. Coastal and archipelago of energy extraction over shipping. environment. production environment; The applications are not considered Recreational environment. urban to be able to co-exist here (in the environment; case of a wind energy installation). National interest claims for wind energy overlap to a small extent with national interest claims for shipping. V306 Nature Shipping V307 Electricity Nature and shipping are given transmission priority over energy extraction. Recreation Nature The marine spatial plan guides the Shipping priority for nature use and shipping Commercial over energy extraction. The uses fishing are not expected to co-exist here. National interest claims for wind 140 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence energy overlap with national interest claims for shipping, nature conservation and Natura 2000 area. V308 Recreation High nature values: Birds. Planned Energy extraction is adapted to the General use area protection. Reef environment. given state. Shipping Commercial After adaptation of energy fishing extraction in zone V303, energy extraction is not specified in zone V308. In the area there is a public interest of substantial significance for wind energy. V309 Recreation Nature Shipping V313 Recreation Nature Shipping Commercial fishing V314 Nature V315 Electricity High nature values: Mammals. Fish transmission spawning. Reef environment. General use Particularly high environmental Shipping impact. Commercial fishing V316 General use High nature values: Mammals. Fish Shipping spawning. Commercial fishing V317 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Energy production is adapted to Nature High cultural heritage values: Village nature. or church environment. Fishing village. Prehistoric environment. the Coexistence is considered possible defence environment; Communication if wind farms are adapted to the environment. Coastal and archipelago spawning area for fish. See text environment. production environment; belonging to the heading Marine Recreational environment. urban area Kattegat, Energy extraction environment; section. General interest of substantial significance for wind energy overlaps with national interest claims for commercial fishing spawning grounds. V361 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Coexistence between commercial Commercial High cultural heritage values: Village fishing and energy production fishing or church environment. Fishing requires adaptation. village. Prehistoric environment. the defence environment; Manor or castle In the area there is a public interest environment. Communication of substantial significance for wind environment. Coastal and archipelago energy and national interest claims environment. production environment; for commercial fishing. Recreational environment. urban environment; 141 Area Applications Particular considerations Priority or special adaptation for coexistence V364 Energy extraction The interests of total defence Commercial High cultural heritage values: Fishing fishing village. Prehistoric environment. the defence environment; Communication environment. Coastal and archipelago environment. Coastal/shipping society. production environment; Recreational environment. urban environment; V365 Electricity Commercial fishing takes priority transmission over energy production. Recreation General use The MSP guides the priority for the Shipping use of commercial fishing over Commercial energy extraction as the use of fishing commercial fishing is deemed to be more suitable. National interest claims for commercial fishing overlap with public interest of substantial significance for wind energy west of Varberg. V367 General use Energy extraction not indicated as Recreation use Shipping Commercial The MSP guides the priority for the fishing use of commercial fishing over energy extraction as the use of commercial fishing is deemed to be more suitable. Energy extraction is not indicated as use taking into account outdoor recreation and cultural heritage values on the coast. There are national interest claims for commercial fishing and two areas of public interest of substantial significance for wind energy north and northwest of Halmstad. In the coastal area, there is a national interest in outdoor recreation, a national interest in outdoor recreation and conservation of the cultural environment, and a general interest of substantial significance for conservation of the cultural environment. National interest in outdoor recreation extends into the marine area. 142 6. Implication and consequences 6.1. Implication National overall planning Spatial planning means that society's various goals shall be integrated into a sustainable whole, where the spatial context is made visible and decided in a planning document. A plan shall provide stability in the form of predictability of future use, while at the same time allowing flexibility for managing changing external factors, developed knowledge bases and the development of new technologies. National marine spatial planning is a relatively new form of spatial planning in Sweden, where the holistic perspective has to relate to ongoing sector planning and management. The marine spatial plan shall also integrate economic objectives, social objectives and environmental objectives. Conflicting objectives that concern the use of the sea are clarified when different societal objectives are given a spatial expression. Marine spatial planning differs in some aspects from land use planning, in terms of flow and dynamics of use, as well as in relation to claims and different levels of planning, from the local perspective to the international. In national marine spatial planning, planning and presentation have been developed in such a way as to provide guidance to marine spatial plans at the appropriate level. The description of designations for use and consideration in marine spatial plans is an expression of this. The marine spatial plans provide guidance on which functions and values need to be preserved and developed, so that guidance to authorities, municipalities and operators provides flexibility in relation to changing conditions in the future. At the same time as marine spatial plans provide guidance on which uses and which functions should take priority in a particular area, management and measures can be adapted in the future. Different levels of planning National marine spatial planning is comprehensive and at an overall level; in municipal spatial planning, more detailed planning is carried out close to land and along the coast. Many activities take place in the coastal zone, which is part of municipal and regional planning, but not in national marine spatial planning. Cities and regions have extensive possibilities in planning local and regional development. There is also potential for joint further development of planning between municipal, regional and national levels to strengthen the land-sea perspective. In national marine spatial planning, Sweden also cooperates with neighbouring countries. International cooperation includes method development, joint planning documents and monitoring of marine spatial plans. Sweden also strives for a functional coherence with the marine spatial plans of neighbouring countries. By functional we mean that the planning does not counteract the planning of neighbouring countries. Coexistence In many respects, marine spatial plans give the priority for uses already underway in the sea. The coexistence of different activities in the same place may be regulated and already established, but a developed management is needed for more operations to be accommodated and for the - 143 - values that should be preserved to be maintained and developed. For the expansion of offshore wind energy to be possible there must be new solutions for coexistence with other operations. The conditions for coexistence between offshore wind energy, commercial fishing, aquaculture and nature conservation vary between the different activities and how the activities are carried out in different locations. Opportunities for coexistence can be increased through active dialogue between different actors and operators, stronger guidance and guidance on how coexistence should work, increased knowledge of, for example, the impact on nature and maritime safety, and the development of technical and site-specific solutions (Havs- och vattenmyndigheten 2023). The conditions for coexistence between defence and energy production have proved challenging in the marine spatial planning process and permit procedures for offshore wind energy. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management shares the view expressed in FOI’s report that efforts are needed from several actors, both in terms of technological development but also in the process of planning and permitting offshore wind energy, in order to increase opportunities for coexistence(Odell et al. 2022). Use of the sea Renewable energy Energy extraction is a relatively new use of the sea that requires marine spatial planning. There are good technical conditions for offshore wind energy in Sweden's marine areas. There is also great interest in investing in permit applications and studies. Between Sweden and neighbouring countries there are several connections for electricity transmission. The transmission network is the base for the use electricity transmission in the marine spatial plan. The Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management has drawn up this proposal within the framework of a government assignment on amended areas for energy extraction in marine spatial plans. The assignment’s objective is to enable an additional 90 terawatt hours of annual electricity production at sea in addition to the planned production contained in the previously adopted marine spatial plans (Regeringen 2022b). The total target is 120 terawatt hours. The use energy extraction refers to offshore wind energy. According to the assignment, the Skagerrak/Kattegat marine spatial plan area, as well as the northern, central and south-eastern Baltic Seas marine areas should be prioritized geographically (Regeringen 2022b). The starting point for planning for offshore wind energy has primarily been the basis for new or changed areas for energy extraction in the marine spatial plans (Energimyndigheten 2023). The Swedish Armed Forces have indicated that it would better as for coexistence with military defence interests if the areas for offshore wind energy are located in the Skagerrak/Kattegat and the Gulf of Bothnia rather than in Baltic Sea (Energimyndigheten 2023). Based on the assessment made by the Government regarding the impact of offshore wind energy on the Swedish Armed Forces' ability to cope with the changed security situation( Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet 2024; Regeringen 2024b), no additional areas with the use energy extraction are listed in the draft marine spatial plan, than those already included the adopted in plan for the Baltic Sea. An area in the adopted plan for the Baltic Sea has also been removed. 144 At the same time as the planning process is ongoing, planning for offshore wind energy takes place in and outside the Swedish marine spatial plan areas. The interest in planning within the Swedish marine spatial plan areas is significantly greater than the objective of the assignment, and thus also takes place outside the areas proposed in the marine spatial plan. Proposals and objectives The draft marine spatial plans identify 24 areas for the use of energy extraction. Of these, five are areas of investigation. 10 of the areas are listed in Sweden’s exclusive economic zone and 14 of the areas are wholly or partly located in the territorial sea. Areas in the territorial sea and the exclusive economic zone account for 20 per cent and 80 per cent respectively of the total area with the use energy extraction in the proposal. The total area of the areas amounts to about 7700 km2 of which 1100 km2 are located in the Skagerrak/Kattegat, about 6,600 km2 in the Gulf of Bothnia and about 80 km2 in the Baltic Sea. As a percentage, energy areas make up about 11 per cent of the Skagerrak/Kattegat, 17 per cent of the Gulf of Bothnia and 0.1 per cent of the Baltic Sea's plan areas. Altogether, the areas make up about 6 per cent of the area of the marine spatial plans. In order to assess the potential for electricity production, assumptions are made about: • a power density of 5 MW/km2 • 4000 full load hours per year Power density is a term for the installed power on a surface. Assuming that each turbine has a power of 20 MW, the power density of 5 MW/ km2 means that the turbines are two kilometers apart. Full load hours are a measure of efficiency and are calculated as annual production divided by installed power, which then indicates how many hours of production at full power are required to reach the annual production. These two values together give a value with estimated production per area. The marine spatial plans use the same assumptions as in the Swedish Energy Agency’s planning documents (Energimyndigheten 2023). An analysis of the projects that have applied for permits at the time of publication of the proposal shows that the applications have spread in terms of power density and full load hours, which largely assume higher values. This implies that projects during the permit process may present a different production than what the marine spatial plan does. Theoretically, the proposed energy areas and investigation areas for energy extraction in the draft marine spatial plan to provide about 150 TWh of annual production if fully utilised. However, the assessment is that permits for energy extraction will not be applied for or given in all or all parts of the areas specified for energy extraction due to several uncertainties. Uncertainties about which areas, and to what extent the areas can be utilised relate to the total defence military interests, nature protection and overall, cumulative impact on nature values, adaptation to commercial fishing and winter navigation, and municipal endorsement in the territorial sea. Other aspects are consideration of the cultural environment, recreation and landscape values. Willingness to invest and profitability are also crucial for wind energy to be realised in the end, as well as the possibility to connect to the transmission grid as well as the development of coexistence solutions. 145 The need for safety distances between wind farms and ship routes will affect the extent of the expandable areas. An overall assessment is that around 15-20% of the planned area energy extraction areas will be needed to accommodate safety distances. Based on the goal of enabling a total of 120 TWh of annual electricity production, the entire surface area needs to be realised, which cannot be seen as realistic. For the areas that are investigation areas, the impact on other interests such as bird migration routes and conservation values in Natura 2000 areas needs to be specifically investigated in the further planning or application processes. As marine spatial plans are indicative and based on broad considerations, this entails that not all areas for energy extraction in marine spatial plans should be utilised or utilised in their entirety. The fact that the marine spatial plans provide guidance on priority paves the way for future decisions. In permit processes, energy projects are tested against the functions and values to be preserved, including values in Natura 2000 sites. Requirements for adaptation are then set in relation to, among other things, local conditions and planned activities. In all energy extraction areas particular consideration shall be given to the interests of total defence and in several areas particular consideration shall be given to high nature or cultural environmental values. Shipping, commercial fishing and defence The marine spatial plans provide good conditions for the future development and increase of international trade and increasing transport of goods and people by sea both between countries around the Baltic Sea and to and from ports beyond the Baltic Sea. The marine spatial plans thus contribute to the Baltic Sea Strategy's goal of increasing prosperity and connecting Baltic Sea region, but also to transport policy goals that transport should be shifted from road to sea and rail. The use of shipping has, with a few exceptions, also been adapted to the planning of shipping in Sweden's neighbouring countries. The Baltic Sea marine spatial plan’s guidance imply that maritime traffic and shipping routes around Gotland be investigated on the basis that the environmental impact of shipping needs to be reduced, especially negative impact on birds and harbour porpoises, while at the same time we need to have an efficient, climate-smart and safe traffic system. Safety distances are defined within the wind energy permitting process; the marine spatial plan does not contain site-specific guidance on safety distances. In the Gulf of Bothnia marine spatial plan, there are special conditions when there are thick and extensive ice coverage, especially in the northern parts. This affects the conditions for shipping, which needs large areas and access to alternative shipping routes to ensure accessibility. Fixed installations such as wind farms therefore pose a particular challenge for winter navigation, as they risk limiting the flexibility considered necessary for accessibility. This shall be taken into account when establishing wind energy and other fixed installations at sea. The marine spatial plans reflect the social objectives of continuing and developing commercial fishing by providing guidance on the priority for commercial fishing in important fishing areas. Through areas with nature use and particular consideration to high nature values, marine spatial plans contribute to the conditions for sustainable fish stocks that provide future development of commercial fishing. Commercial fishing generally coexists well with other activities such as shipping and military training activities. Commercial fishing is affected by the establishment of wind energy. Adaptation of both fishing activities and wind energy may be necessary. Based on 146 current knowledge, fishing with active gear is considered to be very difficult or impossible to conduct in areas with floating wind turbines. The ambition has been to reduce the future negative impact on commercial fishing from the establishment of offshore wind energy. In view of the Swedish Energy Agency's proposal for areas for energy extraction (Energimyndigheten 2023), several areas have been deleted or reduced in size due to the need for accessibility for commercial fishing. In an area in the Skagerrak/Kattegat, the guidance implies that wind farms are given priority over commercial fishing. Commercial fishing and floating foundations for wind turbines are not expected to coexist. There are also areas with the use commercial fishing where there is an overlap with the use energy extraction in the marine spatial plans. The assessment is that coexistence may be possible because the depth allows bottom-fixed foundations, but coexistence is managed in the permit process and in subsequent design. Adaptation can have an impact on fishing, but also on the establishment of wind energy. Both shipping and commercial fishing are mobile activities that need large areas. For shipping, the plan maps show the routes that are of particular importance for maintaining the transport function. Maritime traffic can use all areas that do not have direct restrictions, which is also a prerequisite for the designated routes to have such a limited geographical area. Vessel traffic of very great importance to Sweden can occur and thus also occurs outside the routes marked for shipping in the marine spatial plan maps. For commercial fishing, the plan maps show important catch areas. However, fishing can to take place in other areas, in accordance with current fishing regulations. For future claims from other businesses, precise location and site use needs to be analyzed in a more detailed planning. Balancing needs to be done on the basis of the aspect that the functions of fishing and shipping should be maintained. Prerequisites for defence and security are expressed in marine spatial plans through the use of defence that includes maritime training areas and the impact areas needed for facilities on land. Security is a prerequisite for the development of society, both for the environment and business as well as social welfare. Sweden's military geographical situation and the deteriorating security situation in the immediate area also means that the defence interest is expressed in marine spatial plans by allowing energy extraction to stand back in the Baltic Proper (see under the heading Renewable energy above). During the marine spatial planning process, the Swedish Armed Forces analysed about 40 energy areas from the consultation proposal, with the conclusion that a certain expansion can take place without causing damage to the Armed Forces' functions, provided that it takes place in the right place and under the right conditions. In the current marine spatial planning process, it has not been possible to use this data to assess the most suitable use in marine spatial plans, as it risks disclosing information that could cause significant harm to total defence or otherwise to national security. The Swedish Armed Forces' claims are thus not fully known in the marine spatial planning process. Sand extraction The marine spatial plan indicates the use sand extraction in four areas, three of which have not previously been sand extraction. The extraction of marine sand contributes to meeting society's need for sand for shore feeding as part of climate adaptation and for construction. Material supply from Swedish marine areas is an alternative to imports from other countries. The areas that have 147 been identified are those that are deemed to be the most suitable in terms of nature values, biological and geological factors, technical characteristics and sediment dynamics. The detailed distribution of the areas reported in the plan map should be determined only in a permit assessment. The planning documents describe the precautions that are required to enable quarrying operations to take place with a minimised negative impact. Cultural heritage and recreation Cultural heritage that is taken into account in marine spatial planning consists partly of cultural- historical remains in the sea and partly cultural environments along the coast. The marine spatial plans draw attention to the risk of both direct, indirect and cumulative impacts on cultural heritage values. The marine spatial plans state that particular consideration shall be given to high cultural heritage values in areas designated for energy extraction that are deemed to have an impact on cultural heritage that is mainly located in the coastal zone. The location and delimitation of energy extraction areas has in some cases been adapted based on an assessment of several factors including valuable cultural environments. Mainly however, the marine spatial plan's guidance on the cultural environment is a guidance on which energy extraction areas that need to be investigated in relation to the culture environment, what the values consist of where further information can be found and that these values need to be taken into account in further planning and permit assessment. Coastal county administrative boards have developed planning evidence (Länsstyrelserna 2024) for the marine cultural environment that has been used to strengthen guidance in marine spatial plans. There is a continued need for a comprehensive planning evidence on recreational values, relating to how the use of the sea interacts with local, regional and national outdoor values and what significance these have for marine spatial planning. In addition to this, there is a need to highlight the social values that the cultural environment and recreation in the coastal and marine area provide in terms of health and well-being. Strengthening ecosystem services A marine spatial plan is one of several instruments in the marine and water environment management that will help us achieve the environmental quality objectives and good environmental status of the sea. Generally, it is about balancing interests to ensure that we provide the conditions for the ecosystem services from the sea that we humans need. To a large extent, employment and development in various industries depend on the ocean's ecosystem services, such as food, experiences and oxygen. The marine spatial plans provide guidance on areas with the use nature based on existing area protection, national interest claims for nature conservation and national interest claims for commercial fishing related to spawning and nursery areas. The marine spatial plans’ guidance also includes a new way of steering towards the development of valuable ecosystem services, in addition to established forms of nature protection, to the benefit of many interests. Guidance on particular consideration to high nature values draws attention to the nature values that all ocean management and activities need to take into account, not least in view of the need for resilience, i.e. resilience in the context of ongoing climate change. In this way, good environmental status of the sea is also achieved and maintained. 148 The marine spatial plan also provides guidance on particular consideration to high cultural heritage values, which is a way of considering cultural environments that are mainly outside, but that can be affected by activities within, the marine spatial plans. The guidance on particular consideration concerns planning and licensing, but is also addressed to the work on the development of marine management. The areas listed are the basis for management with the aim that the relevant authorities, together with the sectors concerned, work further on the designated areas, to see if specific measures need to be taken so that particular consideration is taken of the high nature and cultural values. The intention is also to guide actors to plan activities and activities, in time and space and with the possibility of adapting to changing conditions, so that they, within their own resources, contribute to the ocean's ecosystem services. 6.2. Consequences Summary The impact assessment describes the impact of the proposed marine spatial plan on environmental, social and economic aspects linked to the state of the sea, maritime industries and maritime interests. The assessments are carried out at an overall level in accordance with the Environmental Code’s rules on strategic environmental assessment. The focus is on assessing direct and indirect effects and impacts in the short and long term linked to the plan’s guidance on the most suitable use and particular consideration. Assessments are made for each marine spatial plan, the Gulf of Bothnia, the Baltic Sea and the Skagerrak/Kattegat. An overall assessment is also carried out jointly for the three marine spatial planning areas and an assessment of the significance of the plan in relation to relevant plans, programmes and strategies. In the impact assessment, there is a strong focus on assessing the impact from the proposed energy areas. New proposals for energy areas are the main difference from the agreed marine spatial plans. It is also the focus of the government assignment from 2022 to expand the area for offshore energy production in order to achieve an objective of enabling an annual electricity production of 120 TWh in the territorial sea and exclusive economic zone. Overall assessment of the impact of offshore wind energy Transboundary and cumulative impacts In the territorial seas and exclusive economic zones of Sweden and neighbouring countries, human activity is continuously increasing. Planned offshore wind energy is expected to account for a sharp increase in the short and medium term, in Sweden and in neighbouring countries. Therefore, consideration needs to be given to the risk of cumulative effects of mainly offshore wind energy, but also other activities. The energy areas in the plan proposals can contribute to cumulative effects in the Gulf of Bothnia and the Skagerrak/Kattegat. No new energy areas are proposed in the Baltic Sea, and therefore no new contributions to cumulative effects in the marine spatial plan area are follows. The risk of cumulative effects is particularly high in areas with a high concentration of energy areas where there are high nature values and ecological links of international importance, such 149 as migratory birds and harbour porpoises. The impact on the cultural environment and landscape is also important in cases where energy expansion is visible from neighbouring countries' coastlines. Cumulative effects may also occur in relation to shipping where energy establishment can increase the risk of incidents and reduce maritime safety. When it comes to fishing, there is extensive foreign fishing in all Swedish marine areas and offshore wind energy can affect the conditions for several fleets. Offshore wind energy in Swedish marine areas can also affect other countries' defence-related activities and vice versa. Cross-border interactions on cumulative effects are necessary to assess cumulative impacts from a sea basin perspective. Gulf of Bothnia The marine spatial plan’s guidance in the Gulf of Bothnia has implications for the marine environment and biodiversity. Ecological aspects that risk being negatively affected by proposed energy areas include the ringed seal, which is dependent on ice in order to reproduce and rear its pups. There are uncertainties regarding the effect of offshore wind energy on the conditions for ice formation. The risk of impact on migrating salmon is considered to be limited if energy establishment in shallow coastal areas is avoided. The impact on the bottom environment is expected to be small, as well as the impact on fish and spawning grounds. For migratory birds in particular, the plan proposal entails potentially major negative effects in connection with proposed energy areas at Finngrunden. Even wintering birds can be negatively affected in this area. The area areas with particular consideration to high nature values has been expanded in the plan proposal, with a special focus on birds, seals and bottom habitats. This is expected to have positive effects on the protection of biodiversity and contribute to a network of green infrastructure. For impacts related to climate, water and air, the assessment is that the marine spatial plan guidance has a major positive effect in that it guides increased opportunities for renewable energy production that can replace energy types that generate greenhouse gas emissions. However, the expansion of energy areas may mean changes in the steaming distances for shipping and commercial fishing. The effect of increased mileage is difficult to assess on the basis of available information. Both offshore wind energy construction and sand extraction can lead to local impacts in the form of clouding and dispersal of sediments, but the assessment is that this does not affect the marine environment in the long term. In terms of impact on landscapes, cultural environments and recreation, several energy areas risk visually affecting national interests, world heritage sites and coastal areas with landscape protection, such as Haparanda Archipelago, the High Coast and Hornslandet. Energy areas within a distance of 35 kilometres from cultural sites have been designated ‘k’ for particular consideration of high cultural heritage values, which indicates that particular consideration should be given to visual impact when establishing energy in these areas. The plan proposal for the Gulf of Bothnia has the potential to provide energy production of approximately 130 TWh per year. The Gulf of Bothnia is expected to connect mainly to bidding zones 1 and 2 and the supply of electricity production is needed for energy transition, primarily for industry. Energy establishment also leads to positive indirect employment effects. However, the proposed energy expansion affects other interests in the marine area. In the Gulf of Bothnia there are both Swedish and Finnish commercial fishing whose access to fishing areas can be affected. The impact on commercial fishing is negligible in the Bothnian Bay and North Kvarken, and 150 medium-sized in the Southern Bothnian Sea. Indirect effects may occur in value chains linked to the fisheries processing industry and landing ports. Shipping is affected partly by a slightly longer mileage in the changed fairway in the Southern Bothnian Sea, and partly by the potential impact on navigation and maritime safety of the increased presence of fixed installations that offshore wind farms would entail. The plan indicates that safety distances should be established when designing and permitting energy areas in order to minimise collision risks. The potential impact on ice formation is an uncertainty factor for winter navigation in the Gulf of Bothnia. Baltic The plan does not provide guidance on more energy areas in the Baltic Sea than the existing or already licensed wind farms. This means that the plan's guidance on energy extraction does not contribute to negative effects on the nature environment, cultural environment, recreation, tourism, shipping, fish and commercial fishing in the plan area. At the same time, this means that a large potential for energy extraction is not exploited. A large contribution to renewable and fossil-free energy in southern Sweden is lacking, as well as the potential climate benefit an establishment would have provided space for. Limited guidance on energy extraction and energy areas in the plan area is negative for the wind industry, including wind energy project companies and affected sectors. New electricity production in the Baltic Sea is expected to connect mainly to bidding zones 3 and 4. In order to achieve this goal, Sweden's offshore wind energy must be realised with a higher concentration in other marine spatial plan areas. Investigation areas for shipping around Gotland as well as sand extraction areas remain from the adopted marine spatial plan. Skagerrak/Kattegat The plan proposal for the Skagerrak/Kattegat contains energy areas in important migratory routes for birds and bats. This poses a high risk of negative impacts. The risk of cumulative effects is high as several of the energy areas with projects that have received permits are assessed to have a negative effect on birds. Realisation of the energy areas would have a cumulative negative effect on harbour porpoises in both the northern and southern parts of the Skagerrak/Kattegat. Negative effects on bottom environments are considered to be limited if nature values are taken into account in the design. A potential positive local net effect may arise if energy use replaces bottom trawling in areas especially in the Skagerrak. However, the impact on commercial fishing may mean an intensification of fishing in adjacent accessible areas with increased pressure in them. For impacts related to climate, water and air, the assessment is that the marine spatial plan guidance has a great positive effect in that it guides on increased opportunities for renewable energy production that can replace fossil fuels and also fuels in the long term, which would lead to lower levels of air emissions. However, the expansion of energy areas may mean changes in steaming distances for commercial fishing, with the risk of some increase in emissions as a result. The construction of offshore wind energy can lead to local impacts in the form of clouding and dispersal of sediments, but the assessment is that this does not affect the marine environment in the long term. 151 The west coast has high values from a cultural environment and recreation point of view. A large number of areas of national interest and national interest claims for the cultural environment and outdoor life can be found along the coast. The plan's proposals for energy areas, particularly in Halland, are expected to have a major negative effect on these interests, with a risk of impact on the tourism industry. In the Skagerrak, the energy areas are located further out from the coast but, on the other hand, include large areas in the marine area. The marine spatial plan for the Skagerrak/Kattegat guides potential energy extraction of about 20 TWh per year, which would constitute an important addition of fossil-free electricity to parts of western Sweden. The electricity production is only considered to be able to connect to bidding zones 3 and 4. The potential impact on shipping in the Skagerrak/Kattegat is estimated to be relatively small, both for Swedish and international shipping. The plan indicates that safety distances should be established when designing and permitting energy areas in order to minimise collision risks. Energy areas were adjusted according to the planning consultation taking into account national interest claims for commercial fishing and fishing operations. Overall, the impact on commercial fishing of the energy areas in the marine spatial plan for the Skagerrak/Kattegat is considered to have a potential major impact on commercial fishing in the plan area, primarily in the case of northern shrimp fishing, as well as bottom trawling for Norway lobster and fish. This includes the effects of areas with licensed wind farms. The impact on commercial fishing can also have second-round effects on value chains, self-processing, the processing industry, affected landing ports and municipal interests. Environmental objectives and the EU Marine Strategy for the Marine Environment Directive The marine spatial plans’ guidance is considered to make both positive and negative contributions to Sweden’s national environmental objectives. The environmental quality objectives where the plan has the greatest positive effect are "Limited climate impact". By creating the conditions for an increased establishment of offshore wind energy in the Swedish territorial sea and Swedish exclusive economic zone, there is potential to replace fossil energy production and, in the long term, fossil fuels with an alternative that does not generate greenhouse gases. The environmental quality objectives where the plan has the greatest negative effect are Sea in balance and living coast and archipelago, A rich plant and animal life, and Good built environment. Offshore wind affects marine nature environments both during construction and the operational phase, which risks negatively affecting ecosystems and threatening biodiversity, such as birds and marine mammals. The landscape is also affected by offshore wind energy, as well as cultural environments and areas that are important for recreation. For the environmental quality objectives Fresh air and Non-toxic environment, marine spatial plans have a marginal effect in that guidance on energy use can affect local emissions, both positively and possibly negatively as driving distances change. The marine spatial plans’ guidance on sand extraction can lead to local impacts on the marine environment, and lead to the dispersion of pollutants from sediments. The marine spatial plans are assessed in relation to the Swedish Marine Environment Regulation and the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive to be able to affect the descriptors for biodiversity (seabirds, marine mammals), alien species, seabed integrity, hydrographic conditions 152 and underwater noise. It is possible to limit the impact on the marine environment by introducing conditions and consideration measures, but there are several uncertainties linked to the extensive deployment of offshore wind energy. Uncertainties include potential risks of hydrographical changes and consequential effects, effects on ice formation, outcomes of consideration measures and opportunities for coexistence. Relation of the marine spatial plans to the National Strategy for Sustainable Regional Development throughout the country 2021 – 2030 and its priorities: Equal opportunities for housing, work and welfare throughout the country: • High quality of life with good and attractive habitats - By guiding about areas for use recreation and cultural environment, as well as consideration and adaptation for nature and cultural landscapes, the marine spatial plan affects the strategy's priority related to promoting nature and cultural landscapes, stay in nature, the right of public access and outdoor life. • Good spatial planning - Through the plan's guidance on the most suitable use and particular consideration, marine spatial plans contribute to a long-term and balanced balance between different societal interests. Thus, the marine spatial plans contribute to the strategy's priority of promoting a sustainable social structure, reduced climate impact, conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services in a changing climate, and that the interests of total defence are taken into account. Innovation and renewal as well as entrepreneurship and entrepreneurship across the country: • A competitive, circular and bio-based, climate and environmental sustainable economy - The plan's guidance on energy in two of the marine spatial plans contributes to the strategy's priority on the deployment, production and use of renewable energy that is important for regional energy supply and sustainable regional development. • The plan’s guidance on the use of commercial fishing contributes to the same priority by taking into account the conditions for commercial fishing. Accessibility throughout the country through digital communication and the transport system • Accessibility through sustainable transport systems - The plan's guidance on shipping and other uses contributes to the priority through maritime transport supply that is significant for people and businesses across the country. The priority also highlights the importance of coordination between activities and transport infrastructure at local, regional and national level. 153 7. References and lists References Arneborg, Lars, Per Pemberton, Nathan Grivault, Lars Axell, Sofia Saraiva, Erik Mulder, och Sam Fredriksson. 2024. Hydrographic effects in Swedish waters of future offshore wind energy scenarios. RO77. SMHI. Energimyndigheten. 2023. Förslag på lämpliga energiutvinningsområden i havsplanerna. ER 2023:12. Hansson, Per. 2019. Koncentrationer av hotade termikflyttande fåglar i Fennoskandia. Vox Natura. ARCUM - Arctic research centre at Umeå university. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2012. Tillämpning av ekosystemansatsen i havsplaneringen. 2012:14. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2016. Sjöfart och naturvärden vid utsjöbankarna i centrala Östersjön. 2016:14. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2017a. Havsplanering med hänsyn till klimatförändringar. 2017:16. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2017b. Sjötrafik på Salvorev, norr om Gotland. 2017:28. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2017c. Underlag för klimatrefugier i havsplaneringen 2017 - Möjliga klimatrefugier i Östersjön baserat på två scenarier. 2017:13. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2018a. Effekter av omdirigering av sjöfart och tumlare vid Hoburgs bank och Midsjöbankarna. 2018:6. Göteborg. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2018b. Symphony - Integrerat planeringsstöd för statlig havsplanering utifrån en ekosystemansats. 2018:1. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2019. Nature i havsplaneringen - en fördjupning om utgångspunkter och underlag för nature och klimat i havsplaner för Bottniska viken, Östersjön och Västerhavet. Underlag till regeringen. Dnr 3628-2019. Havs- och vattenmyndigheten. 2023. Samexistens mellan havsbaserad vindkraft, yrkesfiske, naturvård och vattenbruk. 2023:2. Jordbruksverket. 2021. Handlingsplan för utveckling av svenskt vattenbruk 2021 - 2016. Jordbruksverket. Klimat- och näringslivsdepartementet. 2024. Beslut i ärenden enligt lagen om svensk ekonomisk zon för att uppföra, driva och avveckla vindkraftsparker KN2023/04163, KN2023/00942, KN2023/03312, KN2024/02112, KN2023/03583, KN2023/04229, KN2024/01139, KN2023/04661, KN2024/01342, KN2024/01466, KN2023/01063, KN2023/00990, KN2023/00909. Länsstyrelsen i Skåne län. 2005. Bevarandeplan för Natura 2000-område Falsterbo-Foteviken. Länsstyrelserna. 2024. Planeringsunderlag för marina kulturmiljövärden i den nationella havsplaneringen - Nationell sammanställning av regleringsbrevsuppdrag RB202:3B4. 154 Naturvårdsverket. 2006. Inventering av marina naturtyper på utsjöbankar. 5576. Odell, Anders, Anders Bernland, Gunnar Eriksson, Per Grahn, Tomas Mårtensson, Lars Norin, Mari Olsén, och Beatrice Reichel. 2022. Möjligheter till samexistens mellan Försvarsmaktens verksamhet och utbyggd vindkraft. FOI-R--5293--SE. Rantanen, Perttu, Jani Helminen, och Nature Resources Institute Finland. 2023. ”lliittiseuranta- aineisto suomalaisten troolialusten kalastusalueista Itämerellä vuosien 2018-2022 aikana.” Regeringen. 2021. Nationell planering för transportinfrastrukturen 2022-2033. Skr 2021/22:261. Infrastrukturdepartementet. Regeringen. 2022a. Havsplaner för Bottniska viken, Östersjön och Västerhavet—Statlig planering i territorialhav och ekonomisk zon. Bilaga till beslut 2022-02-10. M2019/02215. Regeringen. 2022b. Uppdrag om nya områden för energiutvinning i havsplanerna. 2022/00276. Regeringen. 2024a. Energipolitikens långsiktiga inriktning. prop. 2023/24:105. Regeringen. 2024b. ”Regeringen presenterar nyheter på vindkraftområdet”. Downloaded 04 november 2024 (https://www.regeringen.se/pressmeddelanden/2024/11/regeringen- presenterar-nyheter-pa-vindkraftsomradet/). Regeringen. 2024c. Uppdrag att genomföra en kartläggning av Sveriges territorium och ekonomiska zon för att identifiera områden med potential för fossilfri energiproduktion och tillhörande energidistribution samt att se över sina riksintresseanspråk. KN2024/00663. Riksantikvarieämbetet. 2017. ”Höga kusten”. Downloaded 8 September 2023 (https://www.raa.se/evenemang-och-upplevelser/upplev-kulturarvet/varldsarv-i- sverige/alla-varldsarv-i-sverige/hoga-kusten/). Ringsberg, Jonas, Victor Ceder, Nils Helgesson, och Basil Pengattukunnel Thomas. 2024. The impact of wind farms on winter navigation. Chalmers University of Technology. Sjöfartsverket och Transportstyrelsen. 2023. Sjöfartsverkets och Transportstyrelsens- rekommendationer vid projektering och etablering av havsbaserad vindkraft. 23–03702, TSS 2023-2506. Sveriges geologiska undersökning. 2016. Koldioxidlagring i Sverige - sammanställning och resultat från NORDICCS. 2016:20. Sveriges geologiska undersökning. Sveriges geologiska undersökning. 2017. Förutsättningar för utvinning av marin sand och grus i Sverige. 2017:05. Sveriges geologiska undersökning. Sveriges geologiska undersökning. 2018. Havsplan marin sand, internt arbetsmaterial. Ystads kommun. 2023. ”Strandfodring i Ystad”. Downloaded 8 September 2023 (https://ystad.se/bygg-miljo/miljo-och-avfall/natur-miljo-och- klimat2/klimatanpassning/integrerad-kustzonsforvaltning/strandfodring-i-ystad/). 155 Laws, regulations etc. SFS 1964:822 Nature Conservation Act SFS 1966:314. Continental Shelf Act. SFS 1983:293. Enlargement and Closure of Public Navigation Channels and Public Ports Act SFS 1988:950. Cultural environment law. SFS 1992:1140. Act on the Exclusive Economic Zone of Sweden. SFS 1998:808. Environmental Code. SFS 1998:896. Ordinance on the management of land and water areas. SFS 2010:900. Planning and Building Act. SFS 2015:400. Marine spatial Planning Ordinance. SFS 2017:1272. Act on Swedish Maritime Territory and Maritime Zones. Council Directive 92/43/EEC of 21 May 1992 on the conservation of nature habitats and of wild fauna and flora Directive 2009/147/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 November 2009 on the conservation of wild birds Directive 2014/89/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 July 2014 establishing a framework for marine spatial planning. Government bill: Management of marine areas (bill 2013/14:186). World Heritage Convention: UNESCO Convention Concerning the Protection of the World Culture and Nature Heritage, Paris, 16 November 1972 Government bill: The long-term direction of the energy policy (bill 2023/24:105). List of geographical data sources Background maps In plan maps: Topographic Sitemap Viewing. Lantmäteriet. https://www.lantmateriet.se/en/geodata/goods-products/product list/topographic-webmap-view/. Maps created by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management Plan maps Created by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, HaV. Created: 2024. Map figures created by the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management Figure 1.2-1 Overview and figures. Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management, HaV. 2019. List of marine spatial plan maps Map 1 Plan map for the Gulf of Bothnia ......................................................................................... 50 Map 2 Plan map for the Bothnian Bay marine area ....................................................................... 56 Map 3 Plan map for the Northern Bothnian Sea and North Kvarken marine area ........................ 63 Map 4 Plan map for the South Bothnian Sea marine area ............................................................ 72 Map 5 Plan map for the Baltic Sea................................................................................................. 80 Map 6 Plan map for the North Baltic Sea and South Kvarken marine area .................................. 85 Map 7 Plan man for the Central Baltic Sea marine area ............................................................... 93 Map 8 Plan map for the Southeast Baltic Sea marine area ......................................................... 101 Map 9 Plan map for the South Baltic Sea marine area................................................................ 109 Map 10 Plan map for the the Southwest Baltic Sea and Öresund marine area .......................... 117 Map 11 Plan map for the Skagerrak/Kattegat .............................................................................. 123 Map 12 Plan for the Skagerrak marine area ................................................................................ 129 Map 13 Plan map for the Kattegat marine area ........................................................................... 139 List of figures Figure 1.2-1 The three marine spatial planning areas ..................................................................... 2 Figure 1.2-2 Concepts, boundaries and planning responsibilities . ................................................. 5 Figure 1.3-1 The overall marine spatial planning process ............................................................ 10 Figure 1.4-1 The planning objectives ............................................................................................ 16 Figure 2.2-1 The marine spatial plans are divided into different types of areas. ........................... 21 Figure 2.4-1 Example of how coexistence can look like in the plan map ..................................... 40 157 List of tables Table 1 Area table Bothnian Bay ................................................................................................... 57 Table 2 Area table Northern Bothnian Sea och North Kvarken ..................................................... 64 Table 3 Area table Southern Bothnian Sea ................................................................................... 73 Table 4 Area table Northern Baltic Sea and South Kvarken ......................................................... 86 Table 5 Area table Central Baltic ................................................................................................... 94 Table 6 Area table Southeastern Baltic Sea ................................................................................ 102 Table 7 Area table Southern Baltic Sea ....................................................................................... 110 Table 8 Area table Southwestern Baltic Sea and Öresund ......................................................... 118 Table 9 Area table Skagerrak ...................................................................................................... 130 Table 10 Area table Kattegat........................................................................................................ 140 158
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